renewable energygy g program- opportunities & challenges
TRANSCRIPT
Renewable Energy Program-gy gOpportunities & Challenges for
M l iMalaysia
By:Ir Halim Osman CIRED Malaysia
CIGRE-AORC Meeting 2011,
Ir. Halim Osman – CIRED Malaysia
L/O/G/Og ,
Chiang Mai Thailand26-28 October 2011
Renewable Energy Development in Malaysia The Pastin Malaysia – The Past
• RE as the 5th FuelMalaysia 8TH Malaysia
Plan (2001 -2005)
RE as the 5th Fuel• Implied 5% RE in energy mix
• Targeted RE capacity to be connected to power utility grid:• 300 MW Peninsular Malaysia; 50 MW Sabah
Malaysia 9th Malaysia Plan
(2006 2010)
• 300 MW – Peninsular Malaysia; 50 MW - Sabah• Targeted power generation mix:
• 56% natural gas, 36% coal, 6% hydro, 0.2% oil• 1.8% Renewable Energy
(2006 – 2010)gy
• Carbon intensity reduction target: 40% lower than 2005 levels by 2020
RE as of RE as of 31st
December
• Connected to the utility grid (as of 2010): 61.2 MW (17.5% from 9th MP target)
• Off-grid: >430 MW (private palm oil millers and solar hybrid)
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2010
RE Development in Malaysia –New Stimulants : Beyond 2011New Stimulants : Beyond 2011
Established policy, regulatory and support mechanism framework & action plan to stimulate greater investment i RE & t t in RE & targets
National RE policy & Action
RE act, rules & regulations, g
Feed-in Tariff ( 1st Dec 2011)Feed-in Tariff ( 1st Dec 2011)
RE Implementation agency –SEDA
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N i l RE P liNational RE Policy & Action Plan& Action Plan
Malaysian National RE PolicyMalaysian National RE Policy
Policy Statement:
Enhancing the utilisation of indigenous renewable energy resources to contribute towards national electricity supply security and sustainable socio-economic development
Objectives:Objectives:
To increase RE contribution in the national power generation mix;To facilitate the growth of the RE industry;To ensure reasonable RE generation costs;To conserve the environment for future generation; andTo conserve the environment for future generation; andTo enhance awareness on the role and importance of RE.
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Strategic Thrusts of National RE Policy
Strategic Thrusts of National RE Policy Policy Policy
Strategic Thrust 2: Strategic Thrust 3: gProvide Conducive
Business Environment for RE
Strategic Thrust 3: Intensify Human
Capital DevelopmentEnvironment for RE p p
Strategic Thrust 1: Introduce Legal
St t i Th t 5
1: Introduce Legal and Regulatory
Framework
Strategic Thrust 5: Create Public
Awareness & RE
Strategic Thrust 4: Enhance RE
R h d Awareness & RE Policy Advocacy
Programmes
Research and Development
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Strategic Thrusts of National RE Policy
Strategic Thrusts of National RE Policy Policy Policy
THRUST 1
•Introduce Appropriate
THRUST 2
•Create Conducive
THRUST 3
•Intensify Human
THRUST 4
•Enhance RE Research and
THRUST 5
•Create Public and Appropriate
Legal Framework
•A new RE Act
Conducive Business Environment for RE
Human Capital Development
• RE in Technical and
Research and Development
• RE Research & Development
and Stakeholder Awareness & RE Policy Advocacy P
e ct•Feed-in Tariff (FiT)
•RE Fund (Professional F d M )
• Promote RE businesses –SME and manufacturing
• Long term low i t t fi i
Tertiary Curricula• RE Training Institutes and Centres of E ll
pAction Plan –reduce cost of technology & promote wider application
Programmes
• Effective & continuous informationFund Manager)
•FiTImplementing Agency
•Responsibilities
interest financing • Standard evaluation process
• Fiscal Incentives • Special Incentives
Excellence• Pool of experts to fulfil local and overseas market
• Fiscal relief for RE
application• Coordination & co‐operation in technology & economic research
information dissemination
• Relationship with media, NGOs & private entities •Responsibilities
and obligations on power utilities and RE developers
• Special Incentives for Locally Developed R&D
• Incentives to Promote Local
Fiscal relief for RE courses
• Financial incentives for training programmes
bet Government & private sector
• Strong linkages bet local & international
• Demonstration & awarenessprogrammes in primary & secondary Content
• RE Centre for SMEs
international research institutes
• Development of RE innovations
secondary schools
•Periodic monitoring & evaluation of
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RE
National RE TargetsNational RE Targets
Year Cumulative RE RE Power Mix Cumulative Capacity (vs Peak Demand) CO2 avoided
2011 73 MW 0.5 % 0.3 mt
2015 985 MW 6% 11.1 mt
2020 2,080 MW 11% 42.2 mt
2030 4 000 MW 17% 145 1 mt
Notes: RE capacity achievements are dependent on the size of RE fund
2030 4,000 MW 17% 145.1 mt
Assumptions:
Feed‐in Tariff (FiT) in place
15 6% d l th t (CAGR) f RE it f
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15.6% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of RE power capacity from2011 to 2030.
RE Policy & Action Plan: Targets25,000 Cumulative RE Installed Capacity (& Ratio to Peak Demand)
2050:21.4 GW (73%)
2050 11 5 GW
20,000 RE (RE Policy & Action Plan)
RE (Business as Usual)
( )2030
3.5 GW
11.5 GW
15,000
W
10,000
MW
2030:4,000 MW (17%)
5,000
2020:2,080 MW (11%)
2015:985 MW (6%)
1090% increase of BAU
‐
( )
BAU 2050: < 2,000 MW
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
Year9
RE Support MechanismFeed in Tariff- Feed in Tariff
Feed-in Tariff (FiT)Feed-in Tariff (FiT)
A mechanism that allows electricity that is produced from indigenous RE t b ld t tiliti t fi d i i d fresources to be sold to power utilities at a fixed premium price and for
specific duration.
Provides a conducive and secured investment environment which will make financial institutions to be comfortable in providing loan with longer period (>15 years)period (>15 years).
Provides fixed revenue stream for installed systemOnly pays for electricity produced: promotes system owner to install y p y y p p ygood quality and maintain the systemWith suitable degression rate, manufacturers and installers are promoted to reduce prices while enhancing qualitypromoted to reduce prices while enhancing quality
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Critical Elements in Legal Framework for Effective FiT MechanismCritical Elements in Legal Framework for Effective FiT Mechanismfor Effective FiT Mechanismfor Effective FiT Mechanism
FIT must be guaranteed via the RE Act, whereby:g , yAccess to the grid is guaranteed – utilities legally obliged to accept all electricity generated by RE private producersLocal approval procedures are streamlined and clearFiT rates
high enough to produce ROI + reasonable profit (not excessively) to act as an incentivefixed for a period (typically 20 years) to give certainty & provide p ( yp y y ) g y pbusinesses with clear investment environmentadequate "degression" to promote cost reduction to achieve “grid parity”
Adequate fund is created to pay for the FiT rates & guarantee the payment for the whole FiT contract periodImplementation by a competent agency for constantImplementation by a competent agency for constant monitoring, progress reporting and transparency
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Renewable Energy Act 2011
T id f th t bli h t d i l t ti fTo provide for the establishment and implementation of a
special tariff system which is Feed-in Tariff System (FiT)
To catalyse the generation of renewable energy and to
provide for related mattersprovide for related matters
Outlines provisions for:
FiT mechanism‘s implementation
Establishment of RE FundEstablishment of RE Fund
SEDA Malaysia as implementing agency for FiT
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mechanism
Feed-in Tariff Rates
Technology / Source
FiTDuration
Range of FiTRates
Annual DegressionSource Duration Rates
(RM/kWh)Degression
Biomass (palm oil waste, agro based) 16 0.27 – 0.35 0.5%
Biogas (palm oilBiogas (palm oil waste, agro based,
farming)16 0.28 – 0.35 0.5%
Mini Hydro 21 0.23 – 0.24 0%
Solar PV & PP 21 0 85 – 1 78 8%Solar PV & PP 21 0.85 – 1.78 8%
Solid waste & 16 0.37 – 0.45 1.8%
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Sewage
Proposed Source of Fund for FiTProposed Source of Fund for FiTSource of Funding
2011 - additional tariffs collection from electricity consumption by
FiT C t
from electricity consumption by consumer in the electricity bill
Every RM100/Month - RM1 for REFiT Cost RE
Additional 1% (proposed in 2012)
The size of RE fund will determine1%
The size of RE fund will determine the RE target for Malaysia
B fitBenefit polluters pay conceptwill not affect low incomewill not affect low income consumers (<300 kWh/mth)encourages EE and DSM
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Renewable Energy Act 2011
T id f th t bli h t d i l t ti fTo provide for the establishment and implementation of a
special tariff system which is Feed-in Tariff System (FiT)
To catalyse the generation of renewable energy and to
provide for related mattersprovide for related matters
Outlines provisions for:
FiT mechanism‘s implementation
Establishment of RE FundEstablishment of RE Fund
SEDA Malaysia as implementing agency for FiT
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mechanism
Opportunities for Malaysiapp y
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RE Related Opportunities for Malaysia
RE Related Opportunities for Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia
Generating economic activity and new
• RM 19 billion loan values to banksactivity and new
businessesbanks
• RM70 billion revenues & tax income of 1.75 billion50 000 j b • 50,000 jobs
Meeting CO2 emission d ti t t &
RM2.1 billion savings of external i CO2 t iti tireduction targets &
savings, environmental committments
in CO2 cost mitigation
Contribution towards energy security
??????
E h d ti l ??????Enhanced operational efficiency & lower cost of delivery for utilities
??????
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Challenges for Malaysiag y
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Key Challenge – Striking A Balance in Managing RE agenda in Managing RE agenda
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT RE
MARKET SUSTAINABILITY DEVELOPMENT – RE
AGENDASUSTAINABILITY
Cost of delivery & BalancedRE Act &
Regulationsefficiency
Quality of Supply
BalancedIndustry
governance-Policy RE Fund & FIT Pricing
Mechanism/ReviewEnergy Prices
-Policy, guidelines,codes &
stds
RE DEVELOPMENT &C O
stds
Smart GridIMPACT ONECOSYSTEM
Smart Grid????????
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Key Challenge – Adequacy of RE fund & pressure on tariff fund & pressure on tariff
Limited RE fund & cappingcapping
on staggered RE dev
Increase in RE Fund-Increase in levy on
electricity tariff
Tariff – energy prices
electricity tariff
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Key Challenge – FIT mechanism & changing utility cost parameters changing utility cost parameters
Fit built upon avoided cost of utility + premiumCost of services or of utility + premiumCost of services or
avoided costs, displaced cost
h tilit t Avoided cost or displaced cost
are locked for the
may change , utility at risk at being squeezed
out unless are locked for the periodthere is transparent
costing methodology & adjustment is j
allowed
Cost of services mayCost of services may increase under shallowConnection schemes
due to network
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due to network reinforcement
Key Challenge – Enhancing security & optimization of RES& optimization of RES
RES t ib ti tUtility needs to meet RES contribution to energy security, system capacity is relatively low
Utility needs to meet Obligations on system Security, reliability &
PQ t tPQ to customersNeed to provide
balancing and reserve Industry
solutions lies in capacity if RES not secured or reliable
under normal
technologies & incentives - SG
capabilities& contingency
Utility may develop
capabilities
Utility may develop methodology to include RES in
resources or capacity
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resources or capacity planning
Key Challenge – Optimal solutions in connection/integration of RESin connection/integration of RES
RE Act & regulationsUtility has obligations RE Act & regulationsUtility has obligations to optimize service
delivery costs, i t i itmaintain security,
reliability, PQ etc. Utility has to fully
Industry has to seek “optimal
Commercial rules-Connection charge
scheme??mitigate effects of RES connections –fault level, system
psolutions” -
fully developed guidelines,
scheme??
Simplified, yreinforcement
beyond PCC etc.
guidelines, methodology, c
odes etc.
Simplified technical rules -
processing, design methodology connmethodology, conn
ection schemes
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Conclusions
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Conclusions
Malaysia implementing new regulatory/policy framework to
ramp up RE into 2080 MW by 2020.
Major opportunities lie in stimulating economy throughMajor opportunities lie in stimulating economy through
developing RE market & contribution towards carbon
reduction emission.
Mix of challenges lies ahead that requires stakeholder policyMix of challenges lies ahead that requires stakeholder policy
makers responsible for industry governance to make
coherent, balanced approach as RE goals must be
managed along with other
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g g
Conclusions
Malaysia will face mix of unique challenges - striking a
balance between RE agenda and other industry imperatives
is essential in an industry not achieving maturity in bothis essential in an industry not achieving maturity in both
capabilities and performance
Industry stakeholders/policy makers responsible for industry
governance to have holistic view of industry and managegovernance to have holistic view of industry and manage
RE agenda/objectives in harmony other industry objectives.
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Thank You!
L/O/G/O