renewable energy financing issues in developing countries for review

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Renewable Energy Financing Issues in Developing Countries: The Case of Uganda’s Renewable Energy Sub-Sector. By: Atipo Ambrose Peter 1 [email protected] Abstract: Renewable Energy continues to attract a great deal of global interest. Much as it has already taken root in the developed countries, a lot still has to be done to fully develop and entrench the same in developing countries. RE has traditionally had hydro as the major source category; however, with the recent developments in the sector, large gains have been realized in the other categories as well, which among others include solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and Biofuels. Developing countries have the benefit of skipping the learning phase of RET development and so can analyse all options and chose to adopt what has worked and what is working in the advanced RE markets, and could also be made to work for them. 2 Development of RE is very capital intensive and attracts high initial/upfront costs still yet with high risk profiles specific to the individual categories of RE 1 The author is an international Legal and Policy Expert in the fields of Energy, Oil & Gas and Infrastructure Finance and is currently the Head of the Energy, Natural Resources and Infrastructure Practice at Kiiza & Kwanza Advocates, a Ugandan Law Firm. He can be reached at [email protected] 2 The learning phase is usually characterised by invention with trial and error through experimentation which either proves successful or not. The advantage the new RE economies have is that, they can easily sieve and chose to adopt what works and what has worked as far as RETs are concerned. 1

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Page 1: Renewable Energy Financing Issues in Developing Countries for Review

Renewable Energy Financing Issues in Developing Countries: The Case of Uganda’s

Renewable Energy Sub-Sector.

By: Atipo Ambrose Peter1 [email protected]

Abstract:

Renewable Energy continues to attract a great deal of global interest. Much as it has already

taken root in the developed countries, a lot still has to be done to fully develop and entrench the

same in developing countries. RE has traditionally had hydro as the major source category;

however, with the recent developments in the sector, large gains have been realized in the other

categories as well, which among others include solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and Biofuels.

Developing countries have the benefit of skipping the learning phase of RET development and so

can analyse all options and chose to adopt what has worked and what is working in the advanced

RE markets, and could also be made to work for them.2 Development of RE is very capital

intensive and attracts high initial/upfront costs still yet with high risk profiles specific to the

individual categories of RE and specific areas of development, which risk profiles have to be

structured and managed effectively. In all this, finance still plays a very major role in the

development of RETs and it is for this reason that private and public finance initiatives both have

a very big role to play in the development of the subsector. Each of the categories, be it private

or public are, on their own, limited in scope and applicability hence the need to have either

category complementing the other where shortfalls are imminent. These tools come either in pure

private finance or pure public finance or jointly through public private partnerships and other

innovative financing tools. Developing countries are faced with several financing challenges for

RETs among others.

1 The author is an international Legal and Policy Expert in the fields of Energy, Oil & Gas and Infrastructure Finance and is currently the Head of

the Energy, Natural Resources and Infrastructure Practice at Kiiza & Kwanza Advocates, a Ugandan Law Firm. He can be reached at

[email protected]

2 The learning phase is usually characterised by invention with trial and error through experimentation which either proves successful or not. The advantage the new RE economies have is that, they can easily sieve and chose to adopt what works and what has worked as far as RETs are concerned.

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Page 2: Renewable Energy Financing Issues in Developing Countries for Review

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Contents Page

DECLARATION……………………………………..…………………………………………...2

DEDICATION………………………………………..……………………………..………….…3

APPROVAL………………………………………………………………………..…………......4

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT………………………….…………………………..…………...........5

TABLE OF CONTENTS……………………………………………………..………….…….…6

LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES……………………………………..…………………….…8

ACRONYMS…………………………………………..…………………..……………..............9

ABSTRACT……………………………………………………….…………………………......11

Chapter 1: Introduction.................................................................................................................12

1.2 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY ...........................................................................................21

1.2.1 General objective.................................................................................................................21

1.2.2 Specific objectives...............................................................................................................21

Chapter 2: Review of Uganda's Energy Sector.............................................................................23

2.1 Review of energy sector policies and laws.............................................................................23

2.2 Different sources of renewable power and estimated Mega watts.........................................27

2.3 RE Policy Position on PFIs and PPPs................................................................................29

2.4 Sources of finance for renewable energy in Uganda............................................................32

2.5 Challenges Faced In Development of Renewable Energy In Uganda....................................36

2.5.1 Limited technical and institutional capacity.........................................................................36

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Page 3: Renewable Energy Financing Issues in Developing Countries for Review

2.5.2 Weak and Inadequate Financial Sector ................................................................................37

2.5.3 Limited Stakeholder Involvement.........................................................................................38

2.5.4 Lack of standards and quality assurance...............................................................................39

2.5.5 Lack of proper laws to integrate bio fuels in the economy...................................................40

2.5.6 Lack of diverse risk mitigation and management tools........................................................40

CHAPTER THREE: RE SPECIFIC ISSUES................................................................................42

3.1 RE SPECIFIC ISUES.........................................................................................................42

3.2 Risk in RE..........................................................................................................................44

3.2.1 Risk Management ...........................................................................................................47

3.3 RE in Rural Electrification .................................................................................................53

3.4 General Financing Options......................................................................................................57

3.4.1 Debt ......................................................................................................................................59

3.4.2 Equity ...................................................................................................................................63

3.4.3 Sales and Lease Back............................................................................................................65

CHAPTER 4: PFIs and PPPs in RE...............................................................................................67

4.1 Financing Structures................................................................................................................67

4.1.1 On Balance Sheet Financing.................................................................................................68

4.1.2 Off Balance Sheet Financing ...............................................................................................69

4.2 PPPs.........................................................................................................................................73

4.3 Specific RE Category Issues....................................................................................................79

CHAPTER 5: General Recommendations and solutions...............................................................86

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CHAPTER 6: Conclusion..............................................................................................................93

Bibliography ................................................................................................................................94

LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES

CONTENT PAGE

Table 1: Sources of renewable power and estimated Mega Watts (MW).............................28

Table 2: A Bar Graph showing Sources of Renewable Power and Estimated Megawatts...28

Table 3: Sources of finance for renewable energy technologies in Uganda..........................33

Table 4: Power Project Lending Banks..................................................................................35

Table 5: The general investment costs and risk element for the different sizes of RE

projects.....................................................................................................................................44

Table 6: Specific RE Risks.......................................................................................................47

Table 7: Typical project finance structure for RE project.....................................................70

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ACRONYMS

ADB African Development Bank

BUDS Business Development Services Programs

CDM Clean Development Mechanism

EACA East Africa Custom Act

ERA Electricity Regulatory Authority

ERT Electricity for Rural Transformation Program

FITs Feed in Tariffs

GEF Global Environment Facility

IAs Implementation Agreements

ITC Investment Tax Credits

IRR Internal Rate of Return

Kw Kilowatt

KwH Kilowatt Hour

MOEMD Ministry of Energy and Mineral Development

Mw Megawatts

Mw Hr Mega Watt Hour

PEAP Poverty eradication Action Plan

PFIs Private Finance Initiatives

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PSF Private Sector Foundation

PSP Private Sector Participation

PSR Power Sector Reform

PTC Production Tax Credits

PPAs Power purchase agreements

PPP Public Private Partnerships

REA Rural Electrification Agency

RE Renewable Energy

REA Rural Electrification Agency

REB Rural Electrification Board

REF Rural Electrification Fund

RETs Renewable Energy Technologies

ROI Return on Investment

SCOUL Sugar Corporation of Uganda Limited

UECCC Uganda Energy Credit Capitalisation Company Limited

UNEP United Nations Environment Program

UIA Uganda Investment Authority

URA Uganda Revenue Authority

VAT Value Added Tax

WB World Bank

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1. Introduction

Uganda’s renewable energy policy is quite elaborate and presents a focused and quite robust

approach in dealing with the national renewable energy issues. It presents a detailed, integrated

and specific highlight of issues, opportunities, challenges, targets and solutions for the local RE

sector i.e. power generation, energy efficiency, modern energy services, rural and urban poor

electrification access, waste to energy and Biofuels. The policy even goes ahead to create the

necessary infrastructure for its implementation. The RE Policy vision is, “to make modern

renewable energy a substantial part of the national energy consumption by increasing the use of

modern renewable energy from 4% at the time of inception of the policy in 2007, to 61% of the

total energy consumption by the year 2017.3 This ten year vision presents an achievable but

ambitious challenge for Uganda, especially if the prevailing legal, political, social, economic and

financial set up conditions of the Ugandan economy, and how they impact on the enablement of

RE investment and development at all levels, are to be considered. The policy document terms

these conditions, “Barriers to Renewable Energy Development”.4 These conditions are high

upfront costs, inadequate legal and institutional framework, limited technical and institutional

capacity, lack of financing mechanisms, lack of awareness, underdeveloped markets,

unsustainable use of biomass, lack of standards and quality assurance, lack of sufficient data on

resource base, lack of integrated resource planning, limited stakeholder involvement and

inadequate attention to research and development.5 Of all these barriers, this paper gives special

emphasis to the barriers that directly impact on financing of RE and these are;

i) High upfront costs

ii) Inadequate legal and institutional framework

3 MOEMD, “The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda” at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.54. The overall objective of this policy is to diversify the RE supply sources and technologies in the country. 4 ibid p.515 ibid. Research and development should not only concentrate on technology but also on creation of innovative workable financing structures.

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iii) Lack of adequate and appropriate financing mechanisms for such projects

iv) Underdeveloped markets for RE

v) Lack of sufficient data on resource base and

vi) Lack of integrated resource planning.6

Though not the major hindering factors, these five are very paramount to the development of

renewable energy not only in Uganda but internationally because they form the basis of the

development and operation stages of the projects.7

The policy highlights certain specific areas of interest for development namely, small RE

investment through the creation of a stable and predictable environment using among others the

regular publication of FITs and introduction of a standard PPA for the various RE categories8 as

measures. This is supposed to go a long way in creating, “predictability and stability”, in the

sector, which conditions many an investor will always seek in an investment environment. The

emphasis on small RET development has the potential of having the country get electrified faster

than it would ordinarily have, since it is substantially faster to bring these small projects to

commissioning stage, and also cheaper than it is for large projects in terms of overall cost though

more expensive in terms of unit cost of development. The objective of the government is to have

more projects come on board in the shortest time possible, an attribute the big power projects

have been seen to traditionally lack.9 In Uganda, just like in other developing countries, majority

of small and mini power projects that would ordinarily get commissioned within less than a year

or within one and a half years at most, do not fit the above mentioned standard. The reasons for

project delays in reaching timely commissioning mainly arise from delays in obtaining

approvals10 and sourcing for finance. For large projects, it is even more difficult than it is for

small projects mainly because of the stringent terms attached to the conditions of raising equity

and debt for projects, which projects in many cases do not ordinarily have a large and reliable

market, a factor which often results in several guarantees and subsidies from the government.

6 Ibid p.527 These stages provide the basis of the financing mechanism as well.8 supra9 Big projects especially hydro usually take no less than two years to commissioning.10 Delays in obtaining approvals most times stem from a lack of technical and skilled personnel to prepare the project, and if they are there, most project developers find the real professionals expensive to contract.

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In Uganda, the strategy of promoting small power development has paid off as five small hydro

power projects were being developed by January 201011 and all these have a combined estimated

planned capacity of 46.995mw12.

Hand in hand with this strategy are the publication of a standardised PPA and the frequent

publication of FITs. This frequent publication of tariffs by ERA after consultation with stake

holders serves as a confidence booster for investors in the sector and has been going on for some

time now. However, some of the promoters of power generation projects have expressed concern

about the perceived unfairness and non transparency by ERA in arriving at the FITs.13 This is

why ERA, attempts to involve all stakeholders to discuss the tariff review reports prepared by the

appointed consultant before effecting any recommendations. This tariff review process is done

frequently i.e. every 3-5 years, and always takes into account the development strides the sector

has achieved. For developers, the generation tariffs and feed in tariffs are of particular interest.

An analysis of the tariffs for the different power projects in the country reveal a difference in

tariffs for different power projects. This is mainly due to the different sizes and costs of

production that the developers and government taken into account when developing these

projects. Generally, the tariffs are high because of the high cost of financing,14 explaining the

heavy subsidies provided by the government especially in rural areas. Attempts to standardise

terms have resulted into standardised PPAs.

The standardised PPA attempts to create a more predictable environment in regard to the terms

of engagement of power producers with the government who is the main off taker, yet different

projects would require different conditions of power purchase, and more still, since the PPA is

used as a risk management tool often times than not, the standardised PPA should be more of an

indicative guide than a rule of thumb strict document imposed on investors. The standardised

PPA should thus be promoted as such. The FITs in Uganda have for a long time lacked the

11 ERA, “Status of Electricity Projects under Development” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Status%20of%20Electricity%20Projects%20under%20Development.pdf pp.2-312 ERA, “Small Hydro Power Projects” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Status%20of%20Electricity%20Projects%20under%20Development.pdf13 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.514 The cost of financing not only considers the interest rates but also considers the risk element and how it is managed. Because of the high risk profile of developing countries, the cost of financing is generally higher than it is in developed economies.

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Page 10: Renewable Energy Financing Issues in Developing Countries for Review

backing of an inbuilt escalation clause15 in the PPA to account for variations in costs of

production, a factor which discourages investment despite the fact that it may create

predictability yet power development and generation is a business and a positive cash flow

would serve to attract financiers. Therefore, FIT escalators in PPAs should not be ignored, at

least as a risk management tool for the benefit of the financiers, the project sponsors and the

project in general. Escalators would serve in improving the bankability of a project.

Another strategy is the development of solar energy technologies through the creation and

enactment of legislation which will mandate urban dwellers, middle income households and

commercial building owners to use solar energy technologies.16 This legislation is to help in

creation of energy efficiency and increased use of RETs in low consumption areas. The low

consumption areas are mainly the rural areas, urban dwellers, middle income households and

commercial buildings as mentioned earlier. Solar energy technology development in Uganda has

attracted mainly off grid and stand alone premise based systems which have recorded

tremendous success in terms of installation numbers. Several microfinance schemes have

developed based on the provision of solar PV stand alone systems for rural based communities,

reaffirming the very pivotal role microfinance plays in rural electrification and renewable energy

development among others.

For large solar systems however, only one licence was awarded in August 2006 to, Energy

Systems for Africa Limited for the production of 50mw of solar-thermal generated power yet

nothing much in terms of development has been achieved to date, as the licence application

process is still incomplete.17 The FITs that have been available for a while now are the FITs for

mini hydro and co-generation plants with the evident absence of FITs for solar technologies,

hence the assumption that there are no special FITs for solar as is the case with mini hydro and

co-generation. This serves to discourage investment in the solar aspect of RE, however, in the

ongoing tariff review process, it is hoped that favourable FITs for solar developers will be

developed and approved.

15 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.516 ibid17 ERA, “Solar Licensed Projects” http://www.era.or.ug/SolarLicencedProjects.php

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With regard to mini solar, another company Micro Power Group is in the process of obtaining a

licence for 0.24 mw Solar-PV generated power for the districts of Arua, Mbale and Lira as well

as micro-grids in several other places in the country.18 This is an indication that large scale

development of solar technologies in Uganda still faces several challenges; however with a law

in place that obligates the use of solar for specified low consumption activities, solar would form

the base load power for general lighting and the other specified low consumption purposes in all

premises countrywide. The law supposed to realise these minimum standard obligations for

domestic and commercial premises is yet to be enacted, however, work is going on behind the

scenes to ensure the enactment of this law, which would also go a long way in strengthening the

national energy efficiency and conservation policy.

The development of Biofuels through the establishment of a policy that obligates fuel dealers to

blend biofuels while also providing incentives for biofuel producers to increase their investment

and production is propounded by the policy as a strategy that can be used to develop the biofuel

industry in the country. Further, development of a testing centre at the UNBS and enactment of

legislation to obligate a minimum 20% blend of biofuels in all fuel as propounded by the policy

is expected to promote the development of biofuels for use in transport and power generation.19

So far, there is no Biofuel Law in place yet, however, there is a great deal of work going on to

have the law come on board sooner than later. With this law, a more predictable and stable

investment environment will be created, which stability and predictability would in turn go a

long way to attract and encourage investment in the sector. There is great potential for biofuel

production from among others the four sugar factories in the country20, beverage processing

plants and paper mills to mention but a few.

A biofuel company, African Power Initiative (API) has since 2008 been involved in the planting

of more than 2500 acres of jatropha a high yielding biofuel plant which yields up to five times

more than soya per hectare. The company is the biggest biofuel plantation owner in the country

and has positioned itself as the promoter of biofuel production in the country, with plans to build

sub regional plants in all regions where they have plantations and a biodiesel refinery in 18 ERA, “Status of Electricity Projects under Development” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Status%20of%20Electricity%20Projects%20under%20Development.pdf p.819 ibid20 SCOUL, Kakira, Kinyara and GM sugar are the only four sugar factories in the country of which only two are producing power under co-generation.

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Kampala the capital and main business district. The residue from the process will be used to

generate biomass for power, fertilisers and chemicals.21 The benefits from biofuels are immense

even besides the residual benefits such as power production among others, yet a law setting

certain minimum blending obligation standards when enacted would result in a predictable

environment that would encourage financiers to put their money in the development of biofuel

projects, which are also capital intensive and traditionally require heavy equity financing. Fast

tracking the process to enact the biofuels law is therefore paramount if investment in the sector is

to be realised.

Since biomass accounts for 92% of domestic energy consumption, with wood and charcoal for

cooking taking up the larger chunk of that, a lot still has to be done to ensure that modern

utilisation of biomass is promoted.22 This is the reason why the RE policy moots for formulation

of a policy that will encourage the growing of high energy crops in addition to utilisation of

biogas and the use of energy efficient stoves and burners for energy efficiency purposes. The

policy further advocates for legislation that will ensure that all waste is not just burned but the

energy content first extracted before disposal,23 a move that will realise increased availability of

modern biomass energy in the country. The potential for modern biomass is high with registered

progress in Kinyara Sugar Ltd where there is production of 3mw of power under co-generation

using bagasse, and another 18mw produced under the same circumstances by SCOUL.24 Other

biomass generation projects are not yet on board with several of them still in permit and license

application stage.25 Biomass has attracted other applicants for permits namely Sesam Energy Ltd

for a 33mw “waste to Energy” biomass project in Kampala the capital, Kabale Energy Ltd for

30mw Peat power project in Kabale the Southwest of the Country, and Apac Energy for Agro

Processing Centres (U) Ltd. All these projects are in different stages of development26, however

none of them has reached commissioning stage as yet. The potential for biomass power is very

21 “Uganda Bio-diesel refinery opens” http://www.greeneconomyinitiative.com/news/226/ARTICLE/1317/2008-12-14.html22 Uganda National Development Plan 2010/11-2014/15, p.14923 MOEMD, “The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda” at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.824 ERA, “Co-generation/Biomass/Waste Projects” http://www.era.or.ug/Co_Generation.Php of the 18mw produced, only 6mw are used by the factory and the rest sold to the national grid. There have arisen issues to do with late payments to the generator, however, in the overall, co-generation has been a success.25 ERA, “Status of Electricity Projects under Development” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Status%20of%20Electricity%20Projects%20under%20Development.pdf p.726 Ibid p.8

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high and can be promoted as a waste disposal management system that creates power and adds

value to the various companies. Most of the financing under this arrangement would be in the

form of adding a co-generation plant unit, hence the high likelihood of corporate finance in the

financing of the projects save for the independent ones.

The policy also addresses the issue of sustainability in the development of RETs in general and

highlights the important role of the government in ensuring this sustainability through among

others, the continuous acquisition and dissemination as well as publicizing of technical data to

create awareness on investment opportunities and consumption options to consumers and

investors alike. It also recognises the need to develop institutional capacity and coordination of

efforts to develop the sector through the creation of a dedicated department of RE and Energy

Efficiency at Ministerial level and National Energy committees at all levels from national down

to district level. This establishment of dedicated RE institutions goes a long way in coordinating

efforts for widespread RET development and offers coordinated efforts to ensure quick access to

financing for RET project development. The Energy Resources Department at the Ministry of

Energy currently handles development of energy resources including renewable energy under the

RE Division in this department. The continuous acquisition and dissemination of technical

information is ongoing, however the information that the government can afford to get is basic

and is to be used as indicative information pending further feasibility by the developer. This

poses a challenge to small power producers who hope to get financing based on the basic

information obtained by the pre-feasibility studies carried out by the government. None of these

studies can be used as a basis to obtain finance for the projects hence the need for further

research by the prospective developer mainly because the standards set by the government for

feasibility studies are below the standards set by the banks and other financiers for projects in the

sector. In that regard, aligning the standards with those of financiers would serve to create

sustainability in the development of RETs.27

In the promotion of R&D for the RET sector, the policy recognises that innovation is what will

drive efficiency while lowering the costs of RETs, a factor that would go a long way in making

RETs more acceptable while lowering the costs of set up. Even still, when local manufacturing

capabilities are greatly supported, increased widespread development would be expected to 27 This is an area an institution such as ERA or any other, could take up, to ensure smoothness in the process.

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follow. The private and public sectors would work well together in this regard to realise

maximum gains.28

In addition the policy recognises the government’s role in adopting and setting up financing

mechanisms such as the Credit Support Facility and Smart Subsidies with the objective of

scaling up investments in RE and rural electrification.29 Programs such as the WB funded ERT I

& II with the BUDS project, REF, and the recently capitalised UECCC Ltd initiative among

others, have achieved big gains in terms of rural electrification especially. Under ERT Project,

transactional advisory services as well as partial funding of the cost of feasibility studies is

provided to RE project developers with projects of under 20mw and with a rural electrification

element. The UECCC Ltd initiative involves the disbursement of capitalisation credit to

renewable energy projects to enable them achieve a good level of financing to enable the projects

proceed in a timely manner. The credit is disbursed through financial institutions at low interest

rates in the form of debt. It also provides partial risk guarantees among other risk mitigation

tools. This initiative will play a very important role in solving the financing challenge faced by

energy project developers and sponsors as well as ensure that projects reach commissioning in a

timely period. The company is currently involved in a PSP Hydro joint initiative with GTZ,

PSFU and REA to offer financial and technical support to mini-hydro power plants of up to 1mw

and with a rural electrification component.30 The success of this initiative can be used to promote

the same for projects of up to 20mw.

The company will obtain financing and technical expertise from various donors and funds for

green financing should not be an exception. The tapping into and utilisation of some of the

international green financing resources would play a big role in increasing the available finance

for development of RETs locally.

It is important to note that the achievement of operationalisation of some of the measures under

the objectives of the RE policy could only be made possible with the enactment of appropriate

legislation which takes into account financiers interests in sector projects. These categories of 28 The Uganda Industrial Research Institute and the Presidential Initiative for Development of Science and Technology would play a very pivotal role in this regard.29 MOEMD, “The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda” at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.830 The support involves providing a 25% conditional grant attainable on completion of the project, 60% low interest rate long term loans and partial risk guarantees.

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legislation would address specific issues as recognised by the policy namely; FITs, compulsory

solar for specified low consumption functions, Biofuels production and blending, adoption of

alternative technologies, regulation of charcoal production and transportation, institutional

frameworks, fiscal and financial incentives for RE investment and environmental protection.31

Therefore, it follows that this paper discusses these aspects in light of the financing aspect of RE

projects with special attention to PFIs, PPPs and other innovative fiscal and financial

arrangements that could be employed or developed for purposes of making renewable energy

development a great deal easier. However, it is imperative to note that because of the complex

nature of renewable energy projects, which complexity arises from various factors such as those

mentioned above as well as the scattered and isolated nature of the renewable energy sources, the

novelty of technology involved and the unreliability and unpredictability of some of the fuel

sources used, such as wind and solar among others,32 renewable energy development a couple of

years down the road, has not attracted much in terms of tangible alternative renewable energy

projects coming on board, save for the traditional hydro at both mini and large levels.

The renewable energy categories of wind, solar, biomass and geothermal have not attracted the

requisite investment to make them an important aspect of the generation mix due to several

factors, important of which include, the high upfront costs, which condition is not made any

easier due to a dearth in available financing for such renewable power projects especially in

developing economies such as Uganda’s.

The varied legal, regulatory and technical reasons for underdevelopment of the RE sector are

quite diverse. This paper will identify the role of finance, as one aspect, in the promotion of RE

projects in developing countries, with special emphasis on Uganda, through both private and

public finance initiatives.

Chapter two will review Uganda’s power sector with emphasis on the potential and challenges

facing the sector in light of RE and its connection with Rural Electrification, while emphasizing

the abundance of renewable/green energy options as the naturally occurring alternative option

due to an abundance in their natural occurrence country wide. Under the same chapter, the

31 Ibid p.1032 All these issues are key when structuring a financing package for the project.

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existing policies that bear on the development of RE and Rural Electrification will be considered.

It will also highlight and analyze the renewable energy policy’s position on PFIs and PPPs as

financing tools for renewable energy development in Uganda. Still under this chapter, the

hindrances the policy and the Ugandan situation in general pose, in relation to the use of PPPs

and PFIs in the renewable energy sector development, will be considered.

Chapter three will analyse the nature of renewable energy highlighting how RE works, the

common RE issues, how RE projects are ordinarily financed and the major RE risk issues

common to RE projects and how they are ordinarily dealt with. The objective of this chapter will

be to identify opportunities and challenges in offering solutions to the existing bottlenecks in the

Ugandan power sector, as will be tackled in the subsequent relevant chapter.

Chapter four will introduce the concepts of Private Finance Initiatives and PPPs while

highlighting their roles in power sector development. Here, the nature of the two tools will be

highlighted with emphasis on their possible role in encouraging general power sector

development and the role the government can play in ensuring that the same tools are effectively

used to encourage sector development while also highlighting their role in RE.

Chapter five will attempt to offer solutions to the problems highlighted in the previous chapters

while also suggesting alternative financing mechanisms for renewable power projects in light of

the hindrances identified earlier in the paper. Under the same chapter, the role of legislation and

regulation in encouraging the use of PPPs, PF and other financing tools to encourage

development in the sector will be considered.

Chapter six will conclude by showing that the two financing tools, though very vital, may also be

insufficient and sometimes irrelevant in certain situations as far as renewable power development

is concerned hence the need for a mix and match arrangement for RE financing.

1.2 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

1.2.1 General objective

To establish issues in Renewable Energy Financing in Developing Countries

1.2.2 Specific objectives 16

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1. To examine the policies and laws on renewable energy financing in Uganda

2. To find out the sources of financing for renewable energy in Uganda

3. To investigate the challenges faced in financing of renewable energy in Uganda

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CHAPTER TWO: REVIEW OF UGANDA’S POWER SECTOR

This chapter, will give a review of Uganda’s power sector with emphasis on the potential and

challenges facing the sector in light of RE and its counterpart, Rural Electrification, while

emphasizing the abundance of renewable/green energy options as the naturally occurring

alternative option due to an abundance in their natural occurrence country wide. Under the same

chapter, the existing policies that bear on the development of RE and Rural Electrification will

be considered. It will also highlight and analyze the renewable energy policy’s position on PFI

and PPPs as financing tools for renewable energy development in Uganda. Still under this

chapter, the hindrances the policy and the Ugandan situation in general pose, in relation to the

use of PPPs and PF in the renewable energy sector development, will be highlighted.

2.1 Review of energy sector policies and laws

Uganda’s energy sector is a very important and vital component of the Uganda economy. It

constitutes a major income earner for the government in the form of taxes, fees, levies and duties

among others, while also taking a large part of government and public expenditure through

budget and sector support. With liberalization of the energy sector, private participation in the

sector has increased tremendously with a big majority of energy investments constituting private

sector finance.33

Since its liberalisation in the late 1990’s, the electricity network in Uganda has achieved great

strides in terms of development, coverage and maintenance despite the power cuts the country

has been facing for much of the last five years.34 The country currently still faces a huge

electricity supply deficit with a very large part of the population still unconnected to the

electricity grid implying that those who have access to modern power are connected to isolated

grids and stand alone systems among others.

Much of the new generation is attributed to independent power producers (IPPs) who have

tremendously contributed towards electrification of the country. These IPPs have generally

33 UIA, “Investing in Uganda’s Energy Sector” at http://www.ugandainvest.com/energy.pdf p.234 These power cuts were attributed to the low levels of power production caused by low water levels due to the long drought that the country experienced. The cuts were curtailed by the introduction of expensive thermal fuel generators in various parts of the country and increased water levels.

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thrived globally as a result of the liberalisation and unbundling of the power sectors in various

countries.

Uganda’s electricity sector like several others was unbundled, during the power sector reforms of

the 1990’s, from the vertically integrated government utility, UEB, that handled the three roles of

generation, transmission and distribution simultaneously.35 It was unbundled into three separate

independent functions namely generation handled by UEGCL, transmission handled by UETCL

and distribution handled by UEDCL. The generation and distribution functions were

concessioned out to, ESKOM (U) Ltd36 and UMEME37, respectively. The independent power

regulator, ERA oversees and regulates the country’s electricity sector.38 All these above

mentioned functions have achieved great strides in terms of performance and greatly contribute

to the positive development of the sector.

In 2002, the government came out with an Energy Policy after several years of relying on

Ministerial Policy Statements.39 The Energy Policy 2002 was a sign of the government’s

commitment towards development of the energy sector on a long term basis approach. This

energy policy highlighted and brought about several changes in the approach the government

was using to bring about development of the power sector. These changes are identified and

discussed later in this paper, with particular emphasis on the roles of renewable energy and

finance in the development of the sector.

The policy goal of the 2002 Energy Policy is to meet the energy needs of Uganda’s population

for social and economic development in an environmentally sustainable manner.40 The policy

takes into account the linkages between the energy sector, the international arena and the rest of

the domestic and regional economy. It further recognises that the sector is constrained by

inadequate financing and as such further recognises the role of globalisation in ensuring that the

country is in compliance with several conditions in the development dynamics of this time and

age, and in this regard, the need to set up a conducive environment that can attract private 35 S.6, Cap. 145 Laws of Uganda (2000 Edition)36 It is a wholly owned subsidiary of ESKOM Group of South Africa a leading power service provider in Africa.37 A consortium of Globleque and ESKOM38 Established under s.4(1) cap 144, Laws of Uganda39 MOEMD, “The Energy Policy for Uganda, 2002” at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/EnergyPolicy.pdf p.440

Ibid p.1

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finance and encourage energy trade and other aspects of partnerships, is propounded.41 However,

the policy also recognises that there is a need to strengthen the institutional and legal framework

in which the sector operates especially for RE among others. The government has put in place

diverse and varied measures in this regard with several projects being promoted to ensure the

achievement and realisation of such a conducive investment and operating environment and

appropriate legal and institutional framework.

The policy further recognizes the country’s abundant natural resource base and hence the vast

potential for renewable energy production from such biomass sources which biomass has always

been the leading source of Uganda’s energy needs.42 Solar, wind, geothermal and bio-fuels are

also identified as the other renewable energy categories with good potential for development;

however, hydrological resources are the most abundant and have attracted the most in terms of

development and private sector interest.43 Uganda’s main source of power is hydro with an

installed capacity of 2.154 billion kilowatt hours as per 200844 of which a minimum of 70% is

attributed to large hydro, and the rest to mini hydro. Mini hydro is predominant in rural areas

mainly due to the rural location of the mini hydro sites. This makes it a very important aspect in

the Rural Electrification Process. The other categories of RE are also predominant in rural areas,

explaining why RE is a key element in Rural Electrification.

RE and Rural Electrification are intertwined and cannot be separated. In Uganda’s case, most of

the country’s RE sources lie in the rural areas, which factor makes them a very vital component

under the relevant respective policies. Uganda developed the Rural Electrification Strategy and

Plan, which covers the period 2001 to 2010, as a special program for rural electrification as

required by the Electricity Act of 199945.

41 Ibid p.542 MOEMD, “National Biomass Demand Strategy 2001-2010” at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/BEDS-Contents.pdf p.4. According to the BEDS, biomass accounts for 93% of the energy mix in Uganda.43 Private sector participation has been key in bringing several power projects to fruition. In mini hydro, private sector involvement is the norm as government does not take part as an investor in the development of power projects of less than 20mw.44 These figures are according to the EIA country statistics at http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/iedindex3.cfm?tid=2&pid=33&aid=12&cid=&syid=2004&eyid=2008&unit=BKWH 45 S.63 of the Electricity Act, 1999, Cap. 145, Laws of Uganda.

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Under this plan, one of the most important strategies that have been successful in overcoming

some of the barriers to rural electrification is the establishment of an appropriate institutional

framework which framework comprises a number of institutions charged with the management

of the rural electrification process. One of these bodies is the Rural Electrification Agency

(REA) whose mandate is to ensure implementation of the Rural Electrification Strategy and Plan,

through Public Private Partnerships.46 The REA works as the secretariat of the Rural

Electrification Board47 (REB) whose role is to oversee the implementation of the strategy and

management of the Rural Electrification Fund (REF)48. The Rural Electrification Master Plan49 is

another of the framework strategies designed to overcome the barriers to Rural Electrification

among others.

All these bodies and functions work together to ensure that power projects are developed in the

rural areas. These projects are all regulated by the Energy Regulatory Authority (ERA) which

also decentralizes its regulation role in certain appropriate circumstances as highlighted later in

this paper.

With a progressively demand driven approach to development, government’s role is the

preparation and determination of policy, while promoting investments, with set targets, and

provision of guidance to investors. On the other hand however, all capable sponsors such as

private companies, local authorities, NGOs and communities among others are all able to initiate

electrification projects and where these are not desirable for private sector initiation, government

gets involved by promoting PPPs so as to ensure electrification in these areas in realistic time.50

This shows that government does not only stop at enablement through policy but also goes ahead

to take decisive effort to ensure that the electrification plan goes on as planned. This aspect raises

an interesting solution to one of the challenges to financing renewable energy under rural

electrification (also read imperfect markets). It is worth noting that government is the major

player in ensuring the success of a rural electrification drive in any economy because of its

46 REA Overview, at http://www.rea.or.ug/?p=site&s=2&pg=247 The REB is part of the implementation framework48 The REF is also part of the implementation framework and allows for the provision of grants and subsidies on investment costs for Rural Electrification Projects. These grants are provided especially to cover part of the cost of feasibility studies and transactional costs, and subsidies are provided to reduce the cost of power to the rural consumer.49 Its role is to provide information on investment opportunities.50 www.energyinstug.org/...com.../file,Others%7CRural+E+Plan.pdf/ pp 6-7

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central role as creator and promoter of policy and law and also as an active participant as

subsidizer and guarantor for most if not all private sector led power development projects.

The RE policy also further recognizes that Uganda currently suffers from energy poverty51 which

in Uganda is characterized by low consumption levels of modern energy forms such as electricity

and petroleum products, inadequacy and poor quality of electricity services in addition to the

dominant reliance on wood fuel sources.52 This is the situation that the policy sets out to change

for the better, so much so that the country will be characterised by high consumption levels of

modern energy among others.

2.2 Different sources of renewable power and estimated Mega watts

Uganda has considerable renewable energy sources for energy production and provision of

energy services. These resources include hydro, mini-hydro, solar, biomass, geothermal, peat,

and wind. However, with the exception of biomass whose contribution is very significant, the

remaining renewable sources contribute about 5% of the country’s total energy consumption.

This limits the scope and productivity of economic activity in different parts of the country, yet if

these resources were to be fully tapped into, they would go a long way in making the different

categories of RE a major source of Uganda’s power. Currently, hydro is the main source of

renewable power for Uganda with large hydro being the biggest source, followed by the mini

hydro sites which also provide a considerable amount of power, though in comparison terms

mini hydro provides about 10% of what large hydro provides. Thermal fuel generators provide a

considerable amount of power which is slightly more than the amount of power provided by mini

hydro in terms of megawatts. It is however not an RE type hence will not be discussed further in

this paper.

Solar PV accounts for the third largest source of power in Uganda in current production terms,

which however is very low. The figures for the potential of Uganda’s renewable energy are

tabulated below and seem to be in consonance with the current production by source as

mentioned.

51 MOEMD, “The Energy Policy for Uganda, 2002” at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/EnergyPolicy.pdf p.8. Energy Poverty is

defined as “the absence of sufficient choice in accessing affordable, reliable, quality, safe, and environmentally benign energy services to support economic and human development”52 ibid

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Table 1: Sources of renewable power and estimated Mega Watts (MW)

Energy source Estimated mega watts

Hydro 2000

Mini-hydro 200Solar 200

Biomass 1650

Geothermal 450

Peat 800

Wind -

Total 5300

Source: Alternative energy sources assessment report 2004, national biomass assessment study.

Table 2: A Bar Graph showing Sources of Renewable Power and Estimated Megawatts

23

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Mega Watts

Hydro

Mini -hydro

Solar BiomassGeothermal

Peat

Wind Sources

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Source: Alternative energy sources assessment report 2004, national biomass assessment study.

2.3 RE POLICY POSITION ON PFIS AND PPPS

The RE Policy recognizes the very important role PPPs have to play in promoting investment in

the RE sector. The utilization of PPPs as a financing and development tool can be achieved

through the provision of a conducive policy, legal and regulatory framework environment which

is expected to contain among other things tax rebates for investors in the sector, favorable forex

exchange conversion terms, incentives such as guarantees or other risk hedging mechanisms and

favorable power purchase pricing terms and subsidies among others.53 These are particularly

intended to address the problem of high investment costs and risk in these investments, which

factors have a very important bearing on financing for RE projects. The role of the government

in proactively implementing desirable projects which would erstwhile be undesirable to the

private sector is recognized under a recommended strategy aimed at encouraging the private

sector to invest at a later project stage when the initial undesirable stages such as exploration for

feasibility purposes, have been carried out by the government. The private sector involvement is

through direct participation in management, operations and development of the project.54

The policy further provides for the establishment of an appropriate financing and fiscal policy

with the ultimate objective of attracting investment into the subsector and enabling RETs to

penetrate different markets.55 Under the aspect of establishment of an appropriate financing and

fiscal policy, the RE policy recognizes that, PPPs and other innovative financing mechanisms

such as targeted subsidies, can be used to stimulate market penetration by RETs.56 The

encouragement of market penetration deals with some of the challenges facing development of

the sector. The current financial and fiscal regime in Uganda does not support low interest rates

and long term lending57 which can be attributed to a small and under developed financial sector

53 MOEMD, The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda, at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.5554 ibid55 Ibid p.5856 ibid57 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.7 Uganda’s lending rates are considered the highest in the world in real terms.

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characterized by low capitalized financial and capital markets.58 This subsequently leads to a

situation where there are very limited options for finance and a high demand for the prevailing

long term and high interest rate lending. Furthermore, the previous absence of a credit reference

service meant that most of the borrowers were considered high risk which factor further

compounds the problem of high interest rates and short lending terms.

The introduction of specific tax regimes for RE, such as accelerated depreciation, tax

exemptions, preferential tax treatment and the adaptation of tax on other energy generation

categories, in such a way as to encourage renewables, is another of the strategies proposed in the

RE policy.59 Much as this strategy is mainly to encourage RE penetration in the market, it also

has an important role it plays in the financing of RE projects as it impacts on the amortization

period as well as the types of investors who could actually invest in the RE projects as utilities

and financial institutions among others, as is explained elsewhere in this paper. In Uganda, there

is VAT exemption for power development projects; however, this has not been effective because

of some issues that touch on the mechanism of recovery since the exempted developers are still

charged VAT by their non exempted suppliers hence causing problems even in recovery of the

same by the investors. This hurts the suppliers and developers alike, ultimately leading to a

situation where local contractors are not actively involved in development of power projects

since there is no mechanism for them to recover their VAT besides increasing prices which in

turn ultimately leads to high costs for the developer thus negating the VAT exemption. 60

In addition to the VAT exemptions for project development, Uganda Revenue Authority (URA)

also offers 5 year minimum tax holidays for projects and developers who are registered with

Uganda Investment Authority (UIA) as investors. This 5 year tax holiday exempts the developer

from tax liability for the entire first five years of operations. However, many of the small and

mini power developers have not taken advantage of this tax holiday due to a lack of information

in regard to the same.

58 The lending capacity of local development financial institutions is limited by their limited net worth while commercial banks prefer short term lending because of the good returns at low risk that accrue from the same 59 MOEMD, The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda, at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.5560 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.27 The GOU Contracts make it obligatory for developers to use local contractors and local materials as much as possible.

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The policy further recognizes that risk is an important factor that influences investment in, and

financing of RE projects, and thus goes on to suggest the implementation of innovative credit

enhancement instruments and risk mitigation mechanisms to make investors more comfortable to

invest their money in RE projects in the country. This strategy is mainly mooted for the rural

development programs;61 however it also has a big bearing on the investment in projects

generally. The common risks identified by power developers in Uganda are several and include

legal risks which arise from a lack of or limited awareness by the developers of the legislation

and regulations relating to the power sector as well as a lack of confidence in the court system by

some investors.62 In addition, regulatory risk is another category of risk that investors in the

sector raise as a matter of concern. The regulatory risk is considered high and of paramount

concern to the project developers and financiers especially. For the case of Uganda, this risk is

due to the perceived political and government interference particularly in the end-user tariff

setting process, despite that however, ERA is generally considered to be independent.63 Political

risk of investing in Uganda is considered to be moderate due to the political stability the country

has had for over the last 20 years. However, the recent election violence in neighboring Kenya

and few incidences of political violence in the country’s recent past makes the developers and

financiers cognizant of the fact that drastic changes can occur very quickly. Another category of

risk recognized by investors in the power sector is infrastructure risk which ranges from

telecommunications, roads and transmission infrastructure which are considered to be slow,

inefficient, unsecure, inaccessible or inadequate64 for the purposes for which they are meant.

These risks are low profile among developers save for transmission infrastructure risks which

directly bear on the project.

The above mentioned are some of the risk investors in the power sector in Uganda are concerned

about. The issue of risk is dealt with in detail later in the paper.

61 MOEMD, The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda, at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.5562 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.19 The legal risk is quite low and does not pose much of a problem in project development decision making.63 Ibid p.26- The lending for the projects is mainly premised on the PPA and license as the main collateral, so government interference in tariff setting exposes the lenders to significant risks 64 Ibid

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Because of the unique challenges posed by different situations in different economies, financing

mechanisms for RE may also vary and as such, the policy suggests the development of financing

schemes that are adapted to the local needs and traditions65 of the various communities in which

the projects are likely to take place. Some of the schemes cited include the use of revolving funds

to enable market development for small, appropriate RETs for rural development as well as

microfinance for certain small scale domestic and community projects. These revolving funds,

because of their revolving nature, would work best for short term return projects, hence the need

to complement them with other longer term financing tools. Much as microfinance is useful, it is

also limited in scope and cannot be used to sustain large projects, hence its utilization in the

development of small projects especially those that involve provision of small turnkey RE

systems such as solar PV for home use among others. Microfinance can be utilized effectively

for larger projects than the traditional small projects, by ensuring that the microfinance funds are

mixed with other bigger funds with longer amortization periods in the financing structure for

projects and this would go a long way in ensuring the widespread development of RE in

developing countries.

With ever increasing global concern about green house gas emissions and the large carbon

footprint created by the industrialized countries and also many of the non green fossil fuel based

energy projects, some innovative tools and mechanisms were created to help reconcile the need

to develop with the need to preserve the environment. The RE policy proposes the need to

benefit from the different opportunities that are offered by the Kyoto Protocol, CDM, Emission

Trading, Joint Implementation Programs and the Carbon Credits Scheme.66 All these

mechanisms can be effectively utilized so as to greatly reduce the financing burden on the RE

project investors, as some of these mechanisms can be employed to secure green financing

incentives, provided an appropriate supporting legal and regulatory framework is in place.

65 MOEMD, The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda, at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.5566 ibid

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2.4 Sources of finance for renewable energy in Uganda

A number of players have been attracted into the RE power sector especially in generation with

several of them acquiring concessions for existing and self developed generation plants at both

large and mini levels.

Since the local finance sector is weak overall and the banks and other financial intermediaries

have no experience with project financing in electrification, not much has been achieved in terms

of having RE projects come on board save for the large hydro and fuel thermal generation

segments.67 The pay-back period on these investments dose not correspond to the short term loan

maturity period offered by most local financial institutions. However, donor finance is in plenty

though inadequate and more still, undesirable where it does not reflect the market dynamics of

demand and supply.

Below is a table showing the sources of finance for RETs in Uganda.

Table 3: Sources of finance for renewable energy technologies in Uganda

Financial source Projects

Government of Uganda

Multilateral and bilateral organisation

Private Equity Funds

Bujagali

World Bank Various Renewable energy projects

African Development Bank Bujagali interconnection project

IMF Some renewable energy projects

Private partners Renewable energy projects

67 Both have been successful in receiving finance because of the government’s heavy involvement in their development through the direct procurement of project feasibility studies and the provision of very favourable guarantees, tariff and investment terms so as to have these projects quickly developed. The developers for these projects are also highly capitalised with a good reputation and thus attract the requisite financing easier.

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Source: “Energy for water – health – education, national consultation workshop, Uganda, 15 th

November 2005”

This table shows that the large majority of the finance for RETs in Uganda mainly comes from

the category of public sources in the form of government and development partner financing.

These play a very big role in bridging the financing gap in developing countries where there are

few alternative private finance sources.

The development Banks operating in Uganda are only three namely AfDB, EADB and UDB of

which AfDB is the most capitalised followed by EADB and finally UDB. AfDB has extended

support to several power projects in the country especially through the EADB and direct

government loans. The interest rate for AfDB is based on the 6 months LIBOR plus 2-4

percentage points with an appraisal fee of 0.5% of the amount requested, which should in any

case not be less than US$ 40,000, and this appraisal period is for a period of between 6 to 9

months.68 The rates and appraisal periods are typical and have to be accounted for when

structuring the financing deals.

The average cost of borrowing from development banks is 7% for foreign currency loans, with

an added margin of 1-3% depending on the perceived risk of the borrower, however, on the

shilling loan; it is in the region of 17% plus a margin of 1-3% depending on the perceived risk as

well.69 This implies that it is more expensive to borrow in local currency than it is to borrow in

US. Dollars due to several reasons which include among others the currency risk associated with

the Shilling as opposed to the dollar. This however has an effect on the projects that would

ordinarily opt for the cheaper option of borrowing in dollars, in that they would have to hedge

against currency and exchange rate risks since the projects would be earning in shillings and yet

have to pay back the debt in dollars.

EADB with a capitalisation of approximately $200 million, on the other hand is popular among

mini hydro power developers in the country with most of the loans extended to them having a ten

year maturity period70 which period is short for such projects because of their long term nature,

68 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p. 2369 Ibid 70 Ibid p.22

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hence the need to employ innovative financing mechanisms to ensure a long general amortisation

period. EADB charges 1% of the amount as loan arrangement fees of which 75% will be

refunded if the project appraisal is unsuccessful.71

The project developers also benefit from lines of credit from AfDB, EIB, ExIm Bank of India

among others72 which all constitute main sources of funding.

The UDB on the other hand has not been approached by any power developers because of its low

capitalisation of $20 million73 which would hardly build any serious power plant. This is

therefore not considered an available source of funding for power projects in the country.

Commercial banks in the country also actively lend to energy projects, however, two factors

determine how much a commercial bank can lend and these are, the exposure limit of the bank

which should be anything no more than 25% of their paid up capital and made available to a

single borrower, and secondly is, the nature of commercial bank liabilities which support short

term lending with a 5 year maturity period being the preferred lending term for several of the

commercial banks.74 The commercial banks active in lending to power projects in Uganda are

DFCU, Stanbic Bank and Standard Chartered Bank. Some of the banks have resorted to

syndication as well as partnering with their mother banks to co-finance projects so as to manage

their exposure limitations among other factors.

Here below is a table showing some of the banks that lend to power projects in the country

together with their interest rates and other charges.

Table 4: Power Project Lending Banks

Name of Lender Base lending rate on

Forex

Base lending rate on

Shillings

Other Charges

AfDB, EADB 7% (base lending rate) +

1-3%

17% (base lending

rate) + 1-3%

Lead arrangement fee,

appraisal fee (1% at

71 Ibid p.2372 ibid73 ibid74 ibid

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EADB/ 0.5% at

AfDB), etc.

UDB 9% 17-19% Approval fess 2% of

the loan.

Stanbic 7.5% 16% Arrangement fee 1-

2%

DFCU 8.5% 19%

Barclays Bank 16-19%

Standard

Chartered

8% 18.5% Arrangement fees 1-

2% of the loan.

Commitment fees

50% of arrangement

fees on unutilised

amount.

Source: Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry75

Other financiers of energy projects in Uganda include NORFUND, DED/KFW, PROPARCO,

EAIF, IDA through ERT, UECC through local commercial banks and Uganda Carbon Bureau

for carbon credits among others.

2.5 CHALLENGES FACED IN DEVELOPMENT OF RENEWABLE ENERGY IN

UGANDA

Despite Uganda’s vast hydro power potential estimated at 3000MW, lest than 10% of this

potential is exploited thus curtailing commercial and domestic energy supplies. What has always

been projected in financial year plans cannot be met due to underdeveloped financial sector

which makes it difficult to efficiently and appropriately finance projects and manage the various

75 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p. 23

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risks presented by RE. However, other RE sources are also still not fully tapped into due to

certain constraints that are institutional, legal and policy oriented. The major constraints to

development and financing of RE in Uganda are discussed below.

2.5.1 Limited technical and institutional capacity.

In Uganda, like in any other developing country, there is limited technical and institutional

capacity, which cuts across both private and public sector, to implement and manage renewable

energy investments. In Uganda however, great strides have been taken to tackle this technical

and institutional inefficiency and thus several institutions have been put in place to deal with the

various aspects of RE.

The recent rural electrification programs for instance demand that there should be enough public

and private involvement in the energy business. However lack of adequate local skills to address

the various roles, needs and decision making, has hindered renewable energy development in

Uganda76. The country faces scarcity of experienced qualified personnel to effectively manage

the RE development process. This lack of experienced personnel leads to the employment and

contracting of foreign firms at expensive rate which many a local developer would shy away

from. The use of local contractors also presents problems with the financing institutions since the

local contractors are often times small and undercapitalised and hence cannot raise the relevant

performance guarantees and also do not have the requisite experience to handle large magnitude

projects, as required by some multilateral and bilateral financing institutions.

There has for a long time been a lack of a standard procedure and legal instruments for new

renewable energy investments causing some bit of frustration among would be investors and

financiers due to the uncertainty of the entire outcome of the negotiation and development

process. However, this has changed due to the publication of a standard PPA and FITs which

create an element of certainty which certainty is important in creating bankable projects. The

ERA has streamlined procedures for power development and operation which is going a long

way to promote development of the sector.

76 MOEMD, “The Energy Policy for Uganda, 2002” at http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/EnergyPolicy.pdf p.51

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2.5.2 Weak and inadequate financial sector

The financial sector has hindered development of RE in Uganda. The lack of appropriate

financing mechanisms to facilitate the development and promotion of RETs has for a long time

frustrated efforts to develop RE projects. Commercial banks currently are not providing long

term lending required for RETs, the capital market is small and thrives on short term capital

instrument listings due to the small size of the capital market sector. Renewable energy

technologies are still characterized by high upfront costs, which local developers as well as

others may find unaffordable. Mechanisms for consumer financing to address this problem are

still inadequate. The lack of domestic finances for energy sector projects has led to undue

reliance on external financing. There is need to further stress that new resources (capital,

technology, human resources) from the domestic private sector, financial institutions are still

lacking to implement and support the renewable energy sector in Uganda77. However, the

proposed liberalisation of the Pension Fund sector and, the recently created East African

Common Market are bound to increase the capitalisation for the local capital markets and will go

a long way in increasing available finance for RE projects among others. The recent

capitalisation of the UECCC Ltd will also greatly contribute to solving this financing challenge

as UECCC Ltd is a local initiative by the Ministry of Energy and understands the local market

problems the industry faces, and for this reason, would greatly work towards solving the

financing issue.

The inadequate and unpredictable nature of financing energy schemes in Africa cannot be

underscored. The ADB estimates that financing of energy schemes in the entire continent for the

next 12 years will require a minimum $3 billion per annum, which though a big figure in itself, is

small considering the entire continent needs to benefit.78 It is also noteworthy that funding in the

energy sector is generally done on a case by case or project by project basis as opposed to using

a general long term financing strategy within the national and regional programs.79 Long term

solutions to energy poverty are simply unthinkable without adequate access to investment which

77 Forum of Energy Ministers of Africa, “Report on the FEMA Ministerial Meeting”, Entebbe, Uganda, august, 3, 2005

78 “Energy Poverty in Africa” at ww.ofid.org/workshops/ Energy Poverty/ Energy PovertyinAfrica.doc

79 Uganda’s approach has been yearly contributions to long term strategies in that the National Energy Fund receives budgetary contributions annually save for the 2010/2011 budget where the contributions were conspicuously absent.

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access is created by a good investment environment, implying that the role of the state in

encouraging investment is quite paramount. Experience shows that market incentives and

business innovation can provide new pathways for energy poverty solutions. Therefore, the need

to maximize entrepreneurship, transfer skills and capacities as well as encourage public-private

partnerships is crucial.80

2.5.3 Limited stakeholder involvement

There has been limited stakeholder participation in the planning and implementation of

renewable energy projects in Uganda, leading to poor sustainability of investments. Furthermore,

with the Power Sector Review (PSR), the need for holistic program development and

management, involving the various bodies and stakeholders in the power sector is even more

pressing. In the past, energy planning emphasized the addressing of supply side issues, especially

for commercial sources of energy, and not the demand side issues. This approach tended to

favour the urban population, which is the major user of commercial fuels, while marginalizing

the energy needs of majority of the population, which live in rural areas and depend mainly on

biomass. The rural areas also contain over 85% of the population with the largest majority of this

proportion actually living below the poverty line.81 The new strategy of involving all

stakeholders and having specialised programs for the different areas of the population will go a

long way in ensuring electrification of the country as the issues for the different areas are

understood and tackled specifically as opposed to generally as was the case in the past. The

specialised programs take into account the different development and financing dynamics of

power projects in the various areas, which is very important as developers and financiers take

into account the local market situation among others in making a financing decision. Power

development projects in rural areas for example will require subsidisation because of a lack of a

reliable market among other factors. The segregation of the markets is one way to identify and

better deal with financing issues for power development among others.

80 ibid81

ENABLE,  “Energy Sector Policy Overview Paper” at www.enable.nu/publication/ Energy _ Policy _ Overview _ Uganda .pdf

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2.5.4 Lack of standards and quality assurance

There are lack of adequate standards and mechanisms to monitor and ensure quality of RETs.

The different solar technologies on the market are not known to the general public their

effectiveness is equally not standard. Similarly hydro, wind, modern biomass and biofuel

opportunities and standards of investment and operations are not known to the general public.

This is not only a Ugandan problem but a problem in most of the developing countries, and as

such, approximately one – third of the estimated 1.6 billion people living without access to

electricity worldwide live in Africa.82 The Uganda National Bureau of Standards (UNBS) is

increasing its coverage and mandate to the energy sector as well t help in the standardisation of

some local industry operations and qualities. Standardisation of the process an investor has to go

through in order to invest in a power plant among others has also been standardised except that

there still exist some conflicts especially in regard to certain roles such as building the power

evacuation system for on grid projects among others.

Standardisation of the regulatory element is also considered important as for small systems with

generation of less than 2MW or sales of less than 4 GWh; the Electricity Act contains provisions

which allow ERA to delegate its regulatory powers to competent local authorities. This is in

order to prevent conflicts of interests arising from any local authority entering into the role of

project concern and also to prevent regulatory bottlenecks from discouraging investment in the

sector as this delegated regulation is usually less stringent83. This standardisation of procedures

as well as quality ensures a predictable operating regime which is what would make financiers of

projects more comfortable.

2.5.5 Lack of proper laws to integrate bio fuels in the economy

The responsible and sustainable production of biofuels ensures that the environment is conserved

in the promotion of RETs. As noted, traditional biomass constitutes the major source of energy

for Uganda and it is the government’s objective to ensure that its use is modernised. With

modernisation definitely comes the enactment of appropriate policy and legislation to create a

predictable environment. As noted earlier, Uganda is still in the process of coming out with a

82 Yinka Adeyemi “About 650 million Africans may lack access to electricity by 2030, delegates told at CSD4” at www.uneca.org/eca_resources/news/102605sdd_dna.htm 83 citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.131.2796...

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biofuel law which law would facilitate investment in the sector as it will lead to a predictable and

stable investment and operation environment.

2.5.6 Lack of diverse risk mitigation and management tools

The local risk mitigation and management market for power project related risks among others is

still small and shallow. The insurance market which constitutes a major player in this market is

no exception to this especially in the tools and risk management and mitigation packages they

offer for energy sector related projects. Like most other developing countries, the appetite of

investors and off shore capital markets is impacted by the country’s risk ranking. The country’s

risk ranking is determined from several factors and political risk in all its forms is the commonest

form of risk that is used as a benchmark to determine the country’s risk profile. The legal and

regulatory regime including but not limited to negotiations for Power Purchase Agreements

(PPAs) and guarantees through implementation agreements (IAs), all form a basis for investor

influx into the energy sector84. The UECC which offers partial risk guarantees for small hydro

projects of up to 1mw under the PSP Hydro initiative is a good step in the development of tailor

made risk mitigation measures through PPPs.

All in all, these challenges all present opportunities to make the sector better in terms of

predictability and stability of the investment and operation environment so as to attract financiers

who like predictability and stability in areas where they may wish to invest their money.

84 Godfrey R. Turyahikayo, “Investment opportunities in the power sector in Uganda”, Uganda Business investment Forum, Cedar Park, Hotel,

Johannesburg, 2nd October 2008 at www.tpnetworks.co.za/.../Investment_Opportunities_in_UGANDA.pdf

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CHAPTER THREE: RE ISSUES

This chapter will offer an analysis of the nature of renewable energy highlighting how RE works,

the common RE issues, how RE projects are ordinarily financed and the major RE risk issues

involved in RE projects and how they are ordinarily dealt with, citing prominent examples of

different renewable power projects where necessary. The objective of this chapter will be to

identify opportunities and challenges in offering solutions to the existing bottlenecks in the

Ugandan power sector, as will be tackled in the subsequent relevant chapter.

3.1 RE SPECIFIC ISUES

RE projects are different from other projects in the energy sector, first because of the cost

element. RE Projects are characterized by high upfront costs which cover the aspects of

development and investment, while maintaining low running costs for the project after

commissioning. It is this nature that makes RE unique especially in regard to the financing aspect

since many sponsors would not have the initial moneys to fully invest in the projects hence

seeking debt. Another reason for the high costs is that most RETs are still in the cost reduction

stage and therefore have not yet settled at low market prices; however, how soon this happens is

dependent on how fast RE is embraced at a global scale. In Uganda, most if not all RE projects

have relied on more debt than equity in their financing. The capital intensive nature of RE

projects makes them very sensitive to the conditions of capital cost financing hence the need to

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RE being quite novel in most areas and not having reached its full development potential even in

the developed world means there is insufficient data for prudent project analysis. This problem is

accentuated by a lack of accurate data on the “fuel” supply side.85 Much of the fuel in RE comes

from nature which fuels could be in the form of wind, sunshine or water among others. These

sources all pose unreliability issues because of their nature aspect i.e. being uncontrollable by

man. This makes RE unique in that the fuel element is unpredictable and the arising risk should

be adequately dealt with and managed in the structuring of the project if the project is to be made

bankable.

The risk profile of RE is difficult with an elevated ratio of high risk factors or unclear risk. 86 This

is due to uncertainty in regard to certain factors such as fuel source and a lack of control of such

essential factors as fuel which in turn lead to problems in determining projected output thus

affecting cash flow projections yet many financiers would want to see a good projected cash

flow before financing a project. This aspect makes structuring RE projects even more complex

than other ordinary projects and also highlights the need for innovative financing. Uncertainty

can be dealt with by the use of proper feasibility studies and employment of adequate risk

mitigation tools. Geothermal in the African Rift Valley has benefitted from a $18 million PPP

arrangement called African Rift Valley Geothermal Development Facility (ARGeo) where

UNEP and WB through the GEF are financing the feasibility studies for geothermal power

generation in the rift valley as well as recommending appropriate technology to ensure lower

costs of production than would ordinarily be the case, with the ultimate objective of underwriting

risks of drilling in the countries of the Great Rift Valley.

Most if not all RE projects have a life span spread over a long period of time and are therefore

exposed to risk for too long. With this high risk exposure period, the risk management expenses

increase thus increasing the cost of the project. This is one of the reasons RE projects are

expensive and require a lot in terms of risk mitigation by the parties to the project.

RE finance differs for the different types of RE technologies and is even more segmented by the

type of the debtor and the size of the projects. Project finance is used for large RE projects,

85 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p 486 ibid

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corporate finance for small on-grid RE projects, and consumer and microfinance for small off-

grid RE projects.87

Below is a table showing the general investment cost and risk element for different sizes of

different RE projects.

Table 5: The general investment cost and risk element for the different sizes of RE projects

Source: "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches"88

3.2 RISK IN RE

In order to successfully develop RE projects, risk has to be adequately and properly managed so

as to be able to have well structured bankable projects that are competitive on the market and

appeal to prospective risk sensitive financiers so as to easily attract finance. However, RE

87 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.688 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38 (Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.19

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projects are very risky because of the high technological and resource risk involved, not

competitive per se because of the economics involved and entail a more complex financing and

operational structure than ordinary projects. This is all based on the premises that each and every

factor of a project has an element of uncertainty which poses a threat to the success of the project

and the risks have to be undertaken by some party either willingly or unwillingly with or without

a premium in return.89

RE projects present the following risks as common to the RE sector;

i) Fuel Supply Risk-This is the risk that the fuel (source of energy) which could be

wind, water, sunshine or feedstock for biofuels and co-generation among others, will

be unreliable consequently leading to the project’s inability to generate energy in a

manner that is predictable and dependable leading to a distortion of the cash flow and

subsequently the payback schedule. Many of these projects rely on the supply of

nature for fuel without a chance of substitution when the fuel source fails, hence its

importance in RE projects. With Uganda’s case, hydro is the main source of power

and faces large hydrological risks due to the effects of climate change. This

hydrological risk is a large concern for financiers who prefer90 that the government

undertakes such risk.

ii) Demand Risk- This is the risk that the energy produced by a project will not be

needed and as such will not be bought as anticipated or predicted by the projections.

This risk is very high in rural settings and hence poses a very big challenge for

financing RE in rural areas and developing economies. This risk is also known as

market risk and is addressed as mentioned earlier in the paper by way of issuance of

payment guarantees by the state and in the case of Uganda, interconnection of power

grids in the entire country and East African market.

iii) There also exist macroeconomic risks which risks arise as a result of changes in the

wider national economic conditions and include issues such as inflation, currency

devaluation and increased interest rates among others. In circumstances where the

89 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.2390 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.29

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state is involved, this risk is borne by the state because of its ability and capacity to

control such risks, which makes the state the best party to handle such risk.

iv) Regulatory Risk poses problems for many RE projects and attempts to highlight the

uncertainty that the sector faces. This is the risk that the government interferes in the

regulatory process and future laws and regulations when reviewed or changed will

alter the benefits or burdens to either party. This is usually managed by way of

contract through a stabilisation clause and the risk is borne by the state, which has the

means and capacity to control and manage such risk. Since RE is of utmost

importance and high on the political agenda of all countries, it is prone to be affected

by politics hence its high political and regulatory risk profile.

v) Performance Risk is the risk that the generating plant will not operate in accordance

with the prescribed requirements in terms of time and quantity. This risk is usually

allocated to the equipment supplier who gives a performance guarantee.

vi) Political Risk is another of the more important risks faced by RE projects especially

in developing countries with weak democracies and a propensity, however low, to

convertibility, expropriation and political violence among others. By its very nature,

this risk is allocated to the government together with the project developer obtaining

political risk guarantees.

vii) Force Majeure is the risk that unforeseeable circumstances out of the control of the

parties to the project will occur and either renders the project worthless or unable to

perform to expectations. This risk is usually dealt with by way of force majeure

clause and insurance. The insurer undertakes this risk, because of its very nature and

in most circumstances, the insurer is in the best placed position to effectively manage

and mitigate the force majeure risk.

viii) Environmental Risk is the financial risk stemming from both existing environmental

regulations and the uncertainty over possible future regulations. With the ever

increasing global importance of environmental protection and preservation,

economies are bound to regularly update their environmental laws, policies and

regulations thus affecting the project’s position. Stabilisation clauses do well in this

regard and the state undertakes this risk in most cases, though usually because of the

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importance of environmental matters and the need for conformity, the terms under

this are usually renegotiated to take into account any new changes.

3.2.1RISK MANAGMENT

Risk management is a very important element in the deployment of RE as it influences the

availability or non availability of commercial financing to the projects91 by also determining the

competitiveness and cost of RE. Risk management for RE projects and commercial investment

projects may come in the form of either one or several of the following tools viz; contracts,

insurance, credit enhancement instruments, alternative risk transfer instruments and reinsurance

among others, which can be used to reduce the costs of the project by transferring some of the

major and expensive risks away from the lenders and investors.92 Risk management is necessary

to make the financial structure of any commercial project such as RE projects viable, otherwise

they would require increased capital costs, more equity or the project would be unviable. RE risk

management is largely reliant on nature and its random character93 thus posing special RE risks.

Below is a table illustrating the typical risk allocation profile for RE Project

Table 6: Specific RE Risks

Renewable energy types Key challenges

Geothermal Drilling expenses an associated risks

Exploration risks

Critical component failures such as pumps breakdowns

Solar thermal Technological risks as project sizes increase

91 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.2392 UNEP-SEFI “Financial Risk Management for Renewable Energy Projects” at http://www.unep.fr/energy/activities/sefi/pdf/RE_Risk_Manag.pdf p.3. These are mainly characteristic of developed and well established financial markets, hence may not all be available to be effectively employed in developing countries with shallow undeveloped markets.93 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.25

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Hydro power Flooding

Annual resource variability

Wind power High upfront costs

Critical component failures

Wind resource variability

Offshore cable laying

Biomass Resource price variability

Environmental liabilities associated with fuel handling and

storage

Biogas Resource risk

Source: UNEP – Financial risk management instruments for renewable energy projects,

Summary document 2004

Insurance is the typical risk management tool and requires a certain amount of accumulated

experience while only becoming available when technology reaches a certain maturity. However,

for the case of RE, other standard risks may not be covered by insurance, due to a lack of a

general interest, in principle, to deal with RE under the concrete circumstances.94 It is noteworthy

that insurance, though included under financial risk management tools, is actually a financial

compensation and not a protection against the damage and loss that could occur against a

project.95 There are various categories of insurance for different risk elements.

Credit risk insurance is utilised to protect manufacturers, merchants and other suppliers of

goods and services from non payment by their customers and clients who have been supplied

with credit facilities. It can also be used effectively, in RE, to allocate risks among various

parties since it allows for the transfer of risks to a professional risk taker ultimately lowering the

94 Ibid p.2695 ibid p.28

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financial risk profile of the project.96 Under this, the risks that would benefit from the insurance

are commercial which include bankruptcy, insolvency, breach of contract, refusal to pay among

others and political which include expropriation, confiscation, nationalisation, exchange rate

inconvertibility, currency transfers and export /import embargoes among others.

This credit insurance can be offered by either private entities or public entities with private

entities offering flexibility, high discretionary credit limits, economic as opposed to political

motivation, non requirement of domestic content products and low buyer underwriting

percentage.97 This private credit insurance is scarce generally but more readily available in

developing countries.98

Another category is political risk insurance99 which is utilised to take care of political risk

concerns. It comes in three classic types namely coverage offering protection against restrictions

on the transfer and convertibility of currency, damage to project assets as a result of political

violence, and expropriation of project assets. The other type offers coverage against certain

changes in the legal and regulatory regime directly negatively affecting the project in issue

through creeping expropriation or even breach of contract by a host state.

This category of insurance is mainly offered by four groups of which three are considered major.

They include MIGA, OPIC, export credit agencies and private insurers. Political risk insurance

provision by the different highlighted players in the market is dependent on several factors such

as the host country of the project, the project’s ability to comply with certain environmental and

social standards such as the equity principles among others. IN Africa ATI is also offering the

same.

The responsibility of the state in ensuring the achievement of a low political risk profile cannot

be underscored.100 One of the ways is by ensuring that long term clear and precise policies and

laws are put in place for the RE sector at large so as to create predictability and reliability. This

96 ibid. A lowered financial risk profile increases the project’s chances of being financed.97 ibid p.2998 ibid99 This can be used to give the project an investment grade rating even in situations where the issuer country’s foreign currency rating is sub or marginal investment grade. 100 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.33

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would go a long way in curtailing the perceived and real political risk common to developing

countries.

Partial Risk Guarantees are designed to mitigate the risks of sovereign contractual obligations

or long maturity loans that private lenders are not equipped to evaluate or will not bear in

developing countries.101 They have been used with hydro projects, and much as they are an

instrument used to mitigate project risks, they can also be used to enhance credit worthiness,

provide additional leverage with government and encourage risk sharing. They are typically

provided by multilateral agencies such as MIGA and as their name suggests, effectively cover

only the parts of the financing which they are specifically designed to cover such as risks

concerned with rule of law, licences, termination amounts, regulatory frameworks, and

interference in arbitration process, expropriation and rights of way.102 Partial political risk

guarantees are used to cover creditors for specified sovereign risks that may arise from a

government’s default on contractual obligations, or the occurrence of certain force majeure

events of a political nature.103 This tool has been used in the Bujagali power project in Uganda.

A partial credit risk guarantee on the other hand covers creditors in circumstances where there is

default and it provides cover up to a certain capped amount such as 40 percent of the initial

principal, irrespective of the cause of the default.104 These are increasingly being used to manage

currency risk and raise finance through facilitating local currency financing. UECCC provides

partial risk guarantees to small hydro projects of up to 1MW under the PSP Hydro joint initiative

and are due to expand the facility to bigger projects as their capitalisation is increased.

Another type of risk management tool is the weather insurance or weather derivatives105

which are used to hedge or protect against weather related damage in weather sensitive sectors

such as RE and agriculture. This tool is increasingly being offered under a structured finance

101 UNEP-SEFI “Financial Risk Management for Renewable Energy Projects” at http://www.unep.fr/energy/activities/sefi/pdf/RE_Risk_Manag.pdf p.37102 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.30103 UNEP-SEFI “Financial Risk Management for Renewable Energy Projects” at http://www.unep.fr/energy/activities/sefi/pdf/RE_Risk_Manag.pdf p.37104 ibid p.37105 A general guide in regard to derivatives is that, the more transparent a product, the cheaper it will be to use. This is why it is important to reduce the information gap in the sector. Cheaper weather satellite systems are increasingly evolving in various parts of the world and would go a long way in creating more predictable weather profiles at a cheaper cost.

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package or “quanto” hedges that may include currency and power derivatives.106 Much as this

tool has experienced a lot of trade in temperature related derivatives, it is also very popular in

wind projects because of the substantial record wind power has, thus making it possible to

calculate risks. This tool can help manage volume risks that cannot be managed in any other way

so as to realise projects with a raised return on equity, higher gearing and reduced cost of

capital.107 These weather derivatives and weather insurance tools are scarce in developing

countries, however the Global Weather Risk Facility (GWRF) is working towards making these

tools available to developing countries as well. Since weather is a part of most RE projects, the

cash flow streams of these projects are highly dependent on effective management of the weather

risk which risk entails variability in wind, precipitation and temperature.108 This effective

management in turn creates financial certainty which in turn makes the project more bankable.

Besides insurance, the capital and financial markets also offer other financial risk management

tools which are generally quite expensive, complex and complicated and are essentially used to

manage structural challenges posed by different projects.

Contingent Capital is used to ensure that funds committed to the risk seller are available on

demand i.e. whenever a loss event occurs. It is an appropriate tool that promotion agencies could

use to cover the risk that would otherwise have deterred a private investor from investing funds

in the RE project.

Pledge of shares for start-up capital is necessary to secure an underlying debt obligation, where

a private company may require taking over the shares of another in the event of default in the

company’s obligations. It works best as a collateral instrument especially in instances where the

company structure and company laws are quite clear amidst unclear, risky and complex land,

property rights and mortgage laws.

Exchange risk instruments come mainly in the form of a SWAP, which is an agreement

between two counterparties. The objective of the agreement is to exchange one thing with

106 UNEP-SEFI “Financial Risk Management for Renewable Energy Projects” http://www.unep.fr/energy/activities/sefi/pdf/RE_Risk_Manag.pdf p.33107 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.33108 UNEP-SEFI “Financial Risk Management for Renewable Energy Projects” at http://www.unep.fr/energy/activities/sefi/pdf/RE_Risk_Manag.pdf p.31

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financial value for another thing with financial value as well. In instances of exchange risk, cross

currency SWAPs allow for, the exchange of principal amounts of money in different currencies

between two parties, typically the off taker and the project sponsor, the payment of interest based

on the exchanged amounts over a certain determined time frame and the re-exchange of the

principle amounts at maturity.109 This instrument is available for the more advanced financial

markets and is therefore lacking in developing countries, however it is an effective and

reasonably priced, exchange risk, management tool. The developing countries are thus left with

fixed exchange rates, exchange rate guarantees, public sector lending in local currency, escrow

accounts, liquidity facilities dedicated to risk mitigation such as standby credit facilities for

devaluation, regulatory risk mitigation, inflation index and foreign exchange index among

others.110

Securitization of credits is a financing technique that involves transferring the risk of loans to

assets into marketed assets. It is a process that involves the originator pooling a number of

roughly similar assets which are sold to an SPV which in turn issues securities which are sold in

either public or private placements with the help of a banking consortium.111

Credit enhancement through the involvement of reputable official lenders and risk managers

such as IFC, WB, MIGA and other bilateral insurers could greatly boost the credit ratings of a

project by reducing the perceived credit and political risk a stigma a number of developing

countries deal with regularly. This tool has proven quite successful in attracting a lot of FDI into

developing countries.112

All these risk management tools are put together in the PPA and IA as the foremost risk

management tool which plays a very crucial role in making the project bankable as several

financiers would want to see a long term PPA preferably with a take or pay clause before they

can approve funding. The terms of the PPA would need a skill in drafting and structuring for the

entire project, if the project were to become bankable.

109 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.35110Ibid p.37111 Ibid. The SPV is a trust or a corporation with the sole function of holding these assets. 112UNEP-SEFI, “Financial Risk Management Instruments for Renewable Energy Projects” at http://www.unep.fr/energy/activities/sefi/pdf/RE_Risk_Manag.pdf p.19

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3.3 RE IN RURAL ELECTRIFICTATION

RE and Rural Electrification, as mentioned earlier, cannot be separated as RE is a subordinated

part of the overall strategy for financing and organizing rural electrifications.113 The rural areas

in most if not all developing countries require a major boost in the form of special consideration

or what most may be referred to as affirmative action to ensure that they get electrified within

reasonable time. Uganda’s Rural Electrification Strategy and Plan 2001-2010 is the program that

seeks to achieve rural electrification in Uganda.

This strategy recognizes the role played by energy in the socio-economic development of the

country especially its role as an investment catalyst. It constitutes a framework for development

of the electrification process. The framework parameters are;

i) the broad national strategy for poverty eradication and development

ii) the national energy policy and

iii) The power strategic plan.

This strategy has its main result objective being the attainment of a rural electrification rate of

10% by the year 2010, which if translated to numbers would imply having at least 400,000 new

rural consumers being served114. A lot has been achieved in this light with the achievements

realised through the use of various strategies put in place and having the objective of overcoming

the major barriers to rural electrification.

The major barriers to rural electrification generally are:

i) The transmission grid is usually too far off from the rural areas.

ii) Several developing economies lack proper and workable incentives to encourage

private investment in rural electrification

iii) The high cost of RE technologies is a major deterrent yet still

113Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38 (Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.7114REA Overview, at http://www.rea.or.ug/?p=site&s=2&pg=2 It also has a vision to have all areas in the country have access to electricity by the year 2035. It is estimated that, of this 10% increase in coverage, 15% of the serviced households increase will come from higher connections to the existing grids outside of the urban triangle, 25% from isolated grids, 20% from photovoltaic solar systems and 40% from extension of the interconnected grid.

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iv) There also exists a dearth in financing for rural electrification because of its complex

nature and

v) Most of the rural areas would require decentralised energy systems in the form of

isolated/independent grids which are too expensive to set up and maintain especially

in light of

vi) The low ability of most rural economies to sustain a power system without any form

of subsidy.115

These are the major but do not represent an exhaustive list of challenges to RE development

especially in rural settings. Rural settings present a myriad of challenges, and these include the

low population density of low income earners which directly translates into low consumption

levels, the difficult terrain in rural areas among others which all make it more costly and difficult

to implement rural electrification schemes since long distances for connection and transmission

lead to greater electricity losses, and more expensive equipment maintenance and customer

support which factors all call for the requirement of subsidies in order to make them financially

viable.116

This part of the discussion is more concerned with the financing aspect of RE in rural

electrification and will thus concentrate on the same.

It is notable that there exists a very big financing challenge for RE in rural electrification, yet the

promotion of RE is a very important aspect of most if not all rural electrification strategies, more

especially in Uganda where there exists an abundance of RE resources. RE in rural areas would

mainly fall under the off-grid category which also comprises stand alone generation which are in

most cases isolated. This isolation coupled with the other challenges such as the lack of a viable

sustainable market among others, makes rural electrification commercially unviable hence

unattractive to the private sector. This situation leaves the government and donors with the task

of ensuring the implementation of rural electrification programs, which creates different

financing dynamics since public moneys are involved.117

115 This is the major reason why private finance is almost impossible to obtain in circumstances where there are no subsidies116 Ray Tomkins, “Extending Rural Electrification-A survey of innovative schemes” at rru.worldbank.org/Documents/OBAbook/10ch5.pdf p.2117 Public moneys have a totally different financing dimension from private moneys because of the difference in the way public and private sector approach investment. Public moneys would usually want to satisfy socio-economic and political objectives whereas private moneys often times look for a good ROI

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Developing countries such as Uganda are still working hard to achieve rural electrification under

their national electrification drives, while some other developed countries are comfortably

electrified.

RE development in rural areas poses a different set of challenges from RE development in

“urban” areas and hence financing challenges are also different. The difference in dynamics is

recognised by S.63 of The Electricity Act118, which spells out the government’s rural

electrification strategy, which in summary is aimed at the government supporting the provision

of rural electrification programs which programs attract both public and private sector

participation with the objective of achieving equitable regional electricity distribution and access,

grid expansion and off-grid solutions promotion, stimulation of innovation within suppliers and

the maximization of social, economic and environmental benefits of the rural electrification

subsidies.119

In financing RE for main-grid and rural electrification applications, reducing and minimizing the

upfront costs of project finance while still ensuring the financial sustainability of the RE

generators during operation respectively, are the key financing challenges.120

Since the sizes of RE technologies in rural electrification are smaller than in ordinary bulk power

markets, the unit cost per MW of power, in project development and implementation is higher in

Rural Electrification settings.121 Rural electrification power markets are commercially unviable

and often times non commercial, and for this reason, subsidies as a cost recovery system, play a

big role in ensuring that social equity is promoted. However, in the bulk power sector, subsidies

are unacceptable as they distort the markets with regulatory failure likely to arise in financially

weak sectors. The role of subsidies in financing RE in rural electrification is considered in light

of how much in electrification access can be created by the available subsidy amount, more than,

whether the subsidy is effective.122 This is because of the need to create a sustainable financing

118Electricity Act, 1999, Cap 145, Laws of Uganda119 MOEMD, “The government of Uganda, Rural electrification strategy and plan covering the period 2001 to 2010” at www. energy instug.org/...com.../file,Others%7C Rural +E+ Plan .pdf/ p.10120 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.20121 ibid122 supra

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model that will address the concerns of the financiers first and foremost while also addressing

the needs of the project sponsors in the short and long run. However, on the side of the

government and international development partners, there is a temptation to have the

effectiveness of the subsidy as the first and foremost concern because of the social impact

function and responsibility that they often champion. Subsidies for rural electrification in

Uganda come from donor support and a portion of the bulk power transmission levy under

UETCL. The West Nile Rural Electrification Company (WENRECO) power project123 received

subsidies worth $8.2m which subsidies were provided under the Energy for Rural Electrification

Project. However, these subsidies were made available only for the benefit of the HFO plant in

the form of fuel.

With three categories of projects under the rural electrification strategy i.e. grid extension, mini

grids and PV, it is easy to see how RE fits into all these categories, however, in light of the set up

of rural areas, there is no best solution, rather, each community or area will have a solution that

works well for it with each project category presenting its own challenges and resulting

solutions.

Under grid extension projects, the transmission grid is extended to cover new rural areas that

were erstwhile unconnected and presents the least cost solution, however only as far as the

volume and value of demand would justify the cost of the new transmission lines. The economics

and financials of most rural areas in Uganda do not justify extension of the transmission system

to these areas, however the national social and economic cost that the country would have to bear

as a result of the non electrification of some of these areas, is reason enough to justify the

extension of transmission grid lines to these economically unviable rural areas. This is why the

government would most times accept to bear the cost of transmission by creating policy which

allows for cross subsidies on the transmission levy between the non-grid connected rural areas

and the grid connected bulk transmission viable market areas such as the urban areas, among

others. With these cross subsidies, and the connection to the national transmission grid, a new

market is created which makes power projects including grid connected RE power projects in

rural areas even more bankable. For areas where demand is very dismal and the distance (also

123 The WENRECO off grid power project is complex as it involves the provision of HFO Power in the interim pending the completion of the hydro power plant.

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read cost) to connect to the grid is very high, a mini-grid project offers a very good cost effective

solution especially for relatively concentrated areas such as towns, industrial estates, large

facilities, etc.

Bank of Uganda, the Uganda Central Bank manages the Energy for Rural Transformation

Refinance Fund (ERTRF), which forms the basis of the loan component for the Energy for Rural

Transformation (ERT) program, through commercial banks. It has been working on developing a

financial intermediation for long term loan facilities for rural electrification124 to attempt to solve

the problem of lack of long term finance for the sector. This initiative has come in the form of

the UECCC Ltd which is expected to solve this financing problem that has hindered RE

development in the country for a very long time.

3.4 GENERAL FINANCING OPTIONS

There exist several financing options for RE, with both the public sector and the commercial

private sector also offering a wide variety of instruments for financing and risk coverage which

could be used for RET finance.125 In financing RE projects, it is imperative that the parties to the

project fully appreciate that the costs, of producing electric power, while utilizing RETs, are very

sensitive to financing terms hence the need to structure the financing package adequately. 126 The

RE sector especially in developing countries has project promoters and investors with limited

experience and track records in development of RE projects,127yet again, despite the different

sizes of investment, the costs are generally higher and are all characterized by high upfront costs,

yet the project promoters have very limited capital funds, be it credit or equity, hence opting to

access high amounts of external financing from advanced and developed financial markets at

favourable interest and maturity rates with the project cash flows acting as collateral for the loan.

This painted picture is characteristic of project finance which is the most popular financing

model for power projects and RE is no exception.128

124 MOEMD, ERT Fact sheet p.1125 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p. 13126 ibid127 Limited track record due to a general lack of successful RE projects save for the hydro aspect in countries such as Uganda128 It also sets a benchmark of checking how much the local financial system can accommodate financing of such projects with available funds and instruments. A lack of adequate financial instruments is the major undoing of the financial systems in most developing countries.

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There are several financing routes for the developer’s consideration and majorly include;

i. Use of personal financial reserves which could also include support from friends and

business associates. For big projects, this route can only be used to meet the required

minimum equity threshold for the financial structure of the project, however for small

projects; this route can be used to finance the entire project. In Uganda, it is unlikely that this

route can be effectively harnessed mainly because of the low levels of capitalisation amongst

the population and the long term period of investment before they can start earning, amidst

several different short term return investment opportunities.

ii. The use of bank loans that are secured against the developer’s assets, which falls under

the category of corporate finance. This option would thus require a developer with adequate

collateral and good financial reputation with their bankers. It however increases exposure of

the developer’s core business to the risks associated with and emanating from the project. In

Uganda, this has been used for projects such as co-generation in Kakira and Kinyara sugar

works mainly because the co-generation is an extension of the core business of sugar

production, however, if it’s to start from scratch as an independent project, it becomes very

expensive to rely on corporate finance to develop power plants.

iii. Co-development of the project with joint venture partners who are financially strong and

more readily able to raise finance is another option and popular especially in instances where

the initial developer wants to build a good reputation profile for the project. These joint

venture partners would often times be those who have experience in the project and have the

ability to raise finance from several sources as and whenever required. These joint venture

relationships result into a joint venture which often times is a separate special purpose

vehicle. This has been used in the recent development of the 250mw Bujagali Dam by

Bujagali Energy Limited which is a joint venture between IPS129 and Sithe Global Power

LLC.130 This consortium of developers together with the Government of Uganda has

provided equity to the tune of US $ 180M which is just a fraction of the entire project cost.

129 IPS is the Infrastructure division of the Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development130 This is an affiliate of the Blackstone Group which is a private equity firm with the ability to easily raise large finance on request.

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iv. Use of bank loans secured against the project assets and future cash flows also known as

limited recourse project financing which is the most popular route for power projects is

another option. Under this, some guarantees may be necessary especially from the state

among others. This has been used in majority of power development projects in Uganda

because of its appropriateness to power project development.

v. Leasing is also a very good option that would work well for RE however it is not

common in developing countries for lack of long term lease facilities. Under it, the lessee

uses assets financed and owned by the lessor for a consideration in the form of regular

payments to the lessor. This has not been used much in power project development because

of the lack of a mature leasing market in the country. However, Development Finance

Company of Uganda (DFCU) and the Shell Foundation have capitalised the Uganda Energy

Fund for this purpose.

The above together with some major finance categories (sources of project capital) which present

a major component of the financing structure are discussed in detail below.

3.4.1 Debt

Debt financing usually takes the biggest part of the financing profile for project financing of

power projects, with no exception to RE projects. Debt is generally lower risk than equity and

the most highly structured component of the financing. They are generally structured such that

the lender will get first priority on the returns of the investment or even at disposition, leaving

the equity investors to be taken care of after. The challenge in power, leave alone RE, is

packaging the debt in such a way that provides adequate assurance that the loan will be paid back

in a timely manner which is the lenders risk management assurance hence ensuring that the risk

is brought within levels acceptable to the lender.131 Debt financing is characterized by fixed

interest rates and strict repayment schedules which two issues are presented in various ways

dependant on the source of finance.132 Project debt is usually supplied by institutional investors

who are usually, either one bank, or a syndicate of banks. Just like is typical of PF, they lend

131 Edward. D. Einowski et al, Chapter Five, The Law of Lava, Penciling out: Project Finance for Geothermal Power Projects, (Stoel Rives LLP, 2009) P.1132 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.16

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against the cash flow of the project.133 Instead of relying on only bank loans, the project could

also raise some debt financing from the issue of bonds on the bond market. Usually it is

institutional investors who would take up most if not all of the bond on sale. These definitely

require mature financial markets, which factor poses a great hindrance to many of the capital and

finance markets of developing countries. These developing countries have capital and financial

markets that are not liquid enough hence they cannot be fully relied on as a reliable source of

project debt. In Uganda, the bond markets are short term in nature and usually do not exceed five

years, which period is way too short for power projects. In any case, most of the players on the

bond market are institutional investors who are conservative and traditional in their approach

towards investment in projects with only very reputable and proven institutions bond requests

being oversubscribed. With the liberalisation of the pension fund sector in Uganda and

establishment of the East African Common Market, the capital and bond markets are expected to

receive extra capitalisation which will greatly contribute to solving the problem of lack of

capitalised and developed financial and capital markets.

The term of the loans are dependent on government guarantees, certainty of project cash flows

and the rate at which the banks borrow money.134

Project debt falls under the following categories;

Project level debt which is also known as senior secured debt is debt that is secured by a lien on

the project. The project forms the collateral and is the most senior element in the capital

structure.135 This category of debt has been used in the structuring of several projects in Uganda

with the biggest being the Bujagali Power Project with project level debt worth $136m by IFC,

EIB, AfDB, German DEG/KFW and the Netherlands Development Finance Company among

others. In several other power plants, multilateral development institutions provide this project

level debt such as was the case with Buseruka Power plant in Western Uganda promoted by

Hydromax which received $6m as project level debt from the Preferential Trade Area (PTA)

Bank, $9m from AfDB. In another project, Bugoye power project, the Emerging Africa 133 US PREF, “Renewable Energy Finance Fundamentals” at www.uspref.org/.../USPREF_ Renewable %20 Energy %20 Finance %20 Fundamentals %20v2.1.pdf p3134 ibid135 DTI, DTI New & Renewable Energy Program, “Financing Renewable Energy projects: A guide for developers” at www.berr.gov.uk/files/file15118.pdf p.5 Such debt can also be secured by way of levered lease

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Infrastructure Fund Ltd (EAIF) provided purely loan financing of senior debt worth $14m for the

13mw $35m project in Kasese, Western Uganda that was commissioned in 2009.136 The EAIF

also provided senior debt of $14m to the 18mw Mpanga power project being developed by the

US based renewable firm Asia Energy Management Systems (SAEMS), while in the 6.5mw

Ishasha power plant, the IFC provided $4m of project level debt.

Another category is Holding company debt, which is incurred by the borrowing project

sponsors, however, the cash they expect to get from the projects they own, is what is used as

collateral for the borrowing. Such debt is attractive especially to large sponsors and utilities who

can borrow at the corporate level at low interest rates, a factor which also favours such

institutional investors even in Uganda where they can benefit from low interest rates when they

borrow at the corporate level. Hydromax in the Buseruka power project obtained some form of

holding company debt to contribute to the $8m equity contribution to the project.

Construction debt is another category which is arranged by sponsors through a bank loan to

fund the construction of the project since construction risk is unpopular among investors such as

term lenders and project equity investors who would usually be more willing to spend once the

project is up and generating income. Investors under this arrangement are also prone to

mezzanine financing after the construction phase has been dealt with.

Loan guarantees are also an important category of debt that is not so common especially in RE

projects. These can either be used for project level and holding company level debt categories.

Under this, the responsible government department guarantees a loan up to a certain high

percentage which percentage is usually more than 50% of the project cost.137 Under this category,

for unattractive project profiles such as those of new unproven technology, government may

provide the loan directly however, for those with profiles that do not have a problem with private

financiers; the government offers the said guarantee. Such a system could work as well in

developing countries, since the concept involves government substituting the creditworthiness of

the sponsor for its own creditworthiness. It could work well with governments that are

creditworthy. Uganda has an energy fund whose funds are to be used to support investment in

136 http://allafrica.com/stories/200811102627.html 137 In the US, the Department of Energy is the guarantor and offers loan guarantees of up to 80% of the project debt in circumstances where the banks are willing to lend to the project with its risk profile. Here the lender bears the 20% unguaranteed risk. However where the risk profile is unattractive especially due to technological risk issues, the government will not guarantee but actually issue loans to the prospective investors.

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the energy sector. The fund is currently undercapitalised and hence cannot fully support

investment in the sector. Further capitalization of the fund would serve various categories such

as RE, conventional fossil fuel, etc for purposes of direct investment, offering guarantees and

loans in the respective categories among others and will also serve in ensuring promotion of

energy projects. The fund will be used to meet start up costs and to expedite implementation of

energy projects138 especially the stages that may not readily attract investment capital. This

capitalization of the Energy Fund could also come from donor support, internal collections, tariff

subsidies, as well as annual budgetary contributions as has been the case save for in the

2010/2011 national budget where the Energy Fund contributions were conspicuously absent.

Mezzanine Finance is a mixed debt category, with capital attributes, that falls in the

subordinated level i.e. below the main debt in terms of priority of payment or in liquidation with

its principle and interest paid only after sorting out the interest and principle of the senior debt. It

is a higher risk loan as compared to other ordinary loans hence the returns are expected to be

high, a factor which explains the compensation these loans receive through participation in the

project profit and loss sharing. This high risk element presents problems in areas where the risk

profile139 is very high such as in developing countries and rural areas in particular hence deterring

such potential private investors who are usually on the lookout for high risk in favourably less

risk profile areas, and as if to add salt to injury, RETs are not on their own favourable attractors

of credit because of their novelty and unproven record in technology, which factors raise

pertinent issues in regard to high technological risks. Mezzanine debt has been noted to be

employed in circumstances where the prospective financier does not want to bear the initial

project risks such as construction and development risk and would thus come in after the

development or construction phase has been successfully implemented. This arrangement has

been noted in the Bugoye power project where one prospective financier agreed to put in

mezzanine finance only after the construction phase has been successful.140

3.4.2 Equity

138 “Uganda National Development Plan 2010/11-2014/15” p.55139 Especially credit risk140 This was for purposes of avoiding to deal with the construction risk.

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Available equity for RE projects from the project promoters is usually minimal and comes in the

form of direct investment of either personal finance resources, or as third party capital inputs by

venture capitalists or other interested investors and this is mainly due to the requirement by

prospective debt financiers to have a certain minimum amount of equity already availed to

projects they have to lend to.141 This is a form of risk management, which also demonstrates a

commitment by the project promoter to the project. With a minimum equity ratio of 20%142, the

project developers have a big challenge in raising the said equity amounts to contribute to the

whole financing package on their own, hence the need to attract additional equity investors who

will share in the benefits that accrue characteristic to equity investors.143 In Uganda, generally

equity ranges from 20%-30% as can be observed in the various power projects such as

WENRECO where equity was $3m, Bugoye $8m and in Bujagali $180m.

In the RE sector and particularly in developing countries, the ROI for RE projects is lower than

the 50%-60% target threshold usually preferred by venture capitalists which factor explains a

lack of enthusiasm by private venture capital to invest in RE projects. This low ROI is also

complemented by long payback periods with limited public exit routes, posing a real deterrent to

private capital investment in equity for RE projects.144 In areas where the growth of the sector is

promising and steady, alternative fund managers usually offer a lifeline in the form of finance to

projects which meet a minimum 20% IRR, with a minimum investment of 5-10 million pounds

and ability to fully recover input and profits within a maximum 10-15 year period. 145

Characteristically this paints a typical RE project return profile that would attract a seasoned

alternative equity investor. Therefore, if the developing countries such as Uganda are to attract

the required private investment into projects, such a profile has to be achieved as a minimum.

The advantage is that bilateral and multilateral financing institutions can still afford to lend

141 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) pg 14142 This is the usual industry standard, however each project presents its own financing challenges hence the ratio can change form project to project143 Such benefits include the potential for high unbounded returns from the project which is on the other hand accompanied by high risk. This explains why venture capital firm involvement may always require a high equity stake so as to maintain a high degree of control over their investments. It is however considered very expensive because it dilutes the equity for the project promoters.144 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p. 15145 ibid

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amidst such a profile, thus explaining the large number of bilateral and multilateral financing

institutions in power project financing in Uganda. Such institutions include NORFUND, WB,

IFC, AfDB and PTA Bank among others.

There also exist structured equity investors, who are usually institutional investors who want to

efficiently use the tax benefits from their investments.146 Such investors usually have a high

appetite for project risk, a levered balance sheet so that they can always offer competitive pricing

for the product and most of all, a predictable tax liability.147 These benefits may be in the form of

tax credits and accelerated depreciation among others, which the project developers may not

utilize in the short run before the project starts making profits, and yet deferring these benefits to

a future date may prove unworthy for the project developers, and for this reason such tax equity

investors come in handy. These tax equity investors could be utilities or other taxpaying entities

such as financial institutions, banks and insurance companies who are usually passive in the

investment, and are more interested in a return and the tax benefits they can obtain from their

capital investment in the project. Their levered balance sheets which put them in a better position

to offer competitive pricing can also encourage low cost power from such projects, which makes

them an invaluable player in the industry that should be encouraged by the government

incentives through law and policy. In Uganda, this type of investors have not been seen in the

financing of power projects mainly due to a lack of the type of tax incentives that would promote

such structured investment.

Project equity investments are highly customized and are best made through structures such as

partnerships and leases which provide a mechanism to efficiently transfer tax benefits to the

equity investor especially where the tax laws of a state provide for the same. Such benefits

include accelerated depreciation and tax credits which could be utilized at any time depending on

the tax regulations of the economy and the structure of the investment vehicle. Under

partnerships, the sponsor and equity investor form a partnership as the investment vehicle with

each partner contributing a portion of the project capital expecting to benefit and be liable in the

same proportions.

146 DTI, DTI New & Renewable Energy Program, “Financing Renewable Energy projects: A guide for developers” at www.berr.gov.uk/files/file15118.pdf p.3147 Ibid. The levered balance sheet arises from the investor having different sources of business income from various projects they might posses and as such can move money freely through the company operations.

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The other project structure that is used is the lease which is an instrument through which

sponsors can sell the project to a financial institution and lease the same back so as to transfer

their tax benefits148 to the leasing financial institution.

In order to encourage such investors to invest in equity for projects such as RE ones, it is

important that the government tax law or sector specific law, specifically provides for the tax

incentives to be obtained from such investments as opposed to the current general incentives as

provided for in the Income Tax Act149 and The Investment Code Act150 among others which

apply to all projects generally. This ambiguous generalization of tax credits and benefits does not

serve to promote investment interest in the sector as it does not provide any specific incentives

for those interested in such investment. However, special provisions were given for specific

power project categories151 by URA, which is a good step in the right direction and once fully

publicized and extended to other power categories, will lead to an increase in investment in the

sector or better still an appreciation of the incentives.

3.4.3 SALES AND LEASE BACK

Project financing has developed very interesting and innovative instruments to assist in the

financing and development of projects while managing risk. In developing countries, this

financing option could work well as the financing institution will maintain ownership of the

financed asset which potentially eliminates the need for other collateral, subsequently solving the

problem of credit risk to the extent that ownership of the financed asset remains in the financier.

Another reason is that, in developing countries which have financial systems that do not allow

for provision of long term loan facilities by local commercial banks152, leasing presents an

opportunity for these financial institutions to get into financing RE projects from the initial

project development phase.153 The Uganda Energy Fund entered in to an arrangement with

148 The Tax benefits include tax credits and depreciation benefits149 Cap 340, Laws of Uganda150 Cap 92, Laws of Uganda151 Under the URA Domestic Taxes Practice Notes issued on 05/02/2010, supplies in the form of goods and services, to hydro power projects among others, are exempt from VAT152 This implies that with their short term financing, these commercial banks cannot get into financing of RE projects and other long term projects at the initial project development phase.153 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.17

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DFCU to offer lease facilities for energy related projects. This is at least a step towards

promotion of leasing as a tool to finance expensive RETs. The power sector in Uganda is yet to

realise a lease developed project under this arrangement.

CHAPTER 4: PFIS AND PPPS IN RE

This chapter will introduce the concepts of Private Finance Initiatives and PPPs while

highlighting their roles in power sector development. Here, the nature of the two tools 154will be

analyzed with emphasis on their possible role in encouraging general power sector development

and the role the government can play in ensuring that the same tools are effectively used to

154 They will be looked at together with he risk element

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encourage sector development while emphasizing the role in RE. Each of the categories will be

briefly looked at highlighting the major issues associated with them with an elaborate discussion

on biofuels because of their increasing influence.

4.1 FINANCING STRUCTURES

There exist two different structures for financing RE projects namely Corporate Finance and

Project finance with the former constituting financing of a project and the latter constituting

financing for a project respectively.155

There are several factors which affect the financing decision, first from the point of whether

outside financing should be sought and if so, what form or mode of financing it should be, most

of all on whether limited recourse financing should be used or not.

The following questions should be addressed in order to eventually determine whether to opt for

limited recourse financing or on balance sheet financing which option would have subsequent

ramifications on how the entire project will be developed;

i) Whether the project sponsors have all the necessary financing for the project from

their own resources and if so, whether they are ready to employ the same in financing

the entire project

ii) Whether the magnitude or size of the project is right for purposes of attracting PF

lenders. This is important because there are several lenders who may not be ready and

willing to finance a project where the debt component is less than a certain minimum

threshold, save for special circumstances.

iii) Whether the project has several developers with different financing capabilities and

objectives, involved in the project

iv) Whether the size of the potential financial obligation would substantially damage the

financial health of the borrower, should the project go bust or fail

v) Whether the project is in a non-core business segment for the developer and offering

limited exposure to the company for the benefit of financial markets and

shareholders.

155 Ibid p.18

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vi) Whether there exist any specific project risks that the developer is not comfortable

with and would want to see them off loaded onto other third parties in a structured

manner.156

4.1.1 ON BALANCE SHEET FINANCING

This involves the provision of funds to an economic subject based on the balance sheet and

financial performance of the borrower and is more likely to be used by sponsors who are

financially strong. This is often referred to as recourse lending. This form of financing

presents the debtor as liable to the lender in their personal capacities as borrowers. Such

financing falls under the category of corporate finance, and is, cheap as far as the

arrangement costs, legal and annual fees are concerned, easy and quick to arrange and also

presents a flexible financing structure with a less tight network of contracts for risk transfer

and management which also leaves the sponsors in a position where they generally accept

majority of the project risk.157 The moneys involved under this category of financing are

usually small, hence attempts to use it with large projects that require large sums of money

renders it unviable since most of the players in the financing of large projects including RE

ones, would rather work with a more tailored financing structure.158 This kind is more suited

for financing small RE projects such as small scale PV, stand-alone systems and also projects

for first time developers among others. Small projects would usually only attract on balance

sheet financing and where there is no balance sheet to rely on, equity capital from the

sponsors and other sources such as family, friends, business associates, etc will be sought.

However, it is worth noting that the cost of capital for private equity is expensive and not tax

efficient.159 Another way for small projects that would not attract on balance sheet financing

due to a lack of balance sheet to rely on would be to enter into a co-development

arrangement with a financially strong partner.160 In Uganda, Kinyara and Kakira Sugar have

used substantial on balance sheet financing for co-generation development. Most commercial

156 DTI, DTI New & Renewable Energy Program, “Financing Renewable Energy projects: A guide for developers” at www.berr.gov.uk/files/file15118.pdf p.3157 Ibid p.6158 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p. 18159 DTI, DTI New & Renewable Energy Program, “Financing Renewable Energy projects: A guide for developers” at www.berr.gov.uk/files/file15118.pdf p.6160 Ibid

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banks in the country have the skill and expertise to deal with this form of financing as it is

the commonest.

4.1.2 OFF BALANCE SHEET FINANCING

On the other hand, off balance sheet or limited/non-recourse financing presents a more desirable

financing option for large projects. This form of financing allows for participation by many

participants and financing entities giving funds to a project and mainly relying on the project

cash flows to pay back the loan, and not the creditworthiness of the borrower as is the case with

corporate finance. It entails the lender being able to control the project cash and even under

certain adverse situations, such as when the project is either in default or not paying according to

schedule, step in and operate the project. This is the lender’s collateral and is known as taking

security over the projects assets and contracts.161 This financing structure allows for creation of

new entities usually referred to as SPVs which imply that the new created entity is separate from

its founders who have either no or limited recourse liability in regard to the SPV as far as the

lender is concerned. It comes with many advantages for developing countries especially as it

allows for structuring of the entire entity to provide room for creating an adequate management

structure, non standardized lending conditions that are tailored to a specific project. 162 This is

used for several large scale projects and in RE, resource risk issues are raised and are addressed

by incorporating additional mechanisms such as contingent repayment schemes and or reserve

accounts.163 For the equity investor, project financing presents an opportunity to maximize

equity returns, monetization of tax financing opportunities, and movement of significant

liabilities off balance sheet and protection of key assets.164

The parties usually involved in limited/non-recourse financed RET projects are several and are

linked together by a network of tight contracts. The principle parties are the shareholders and 161 DTI, DTI New & Renewable Energy Program, “Financing Renewable Energy projects: A guide for developers” at www.berr.gov.uk/files/file15118.pdf p.8 Taking security or collateral can involve assignment of priority rights to the project cash flow, bonding, contractual undertakings, insurance, mortgage or fixed and floating charges over the physical assets for the project which assets are not considered the major source of security but the project cash flow and last but not least, assignment of the project contracts.162 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) pg 18163 ibid pg 19

164 Chris Groobey et al, “Project Finance Primer for Renewable Energy Projects” at

www. bakermckenzie .com/.../na_projectfinanceprimer_article_jun08.pdf p. 1 This is why it is called structured finance

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lenders on one side and then the contracting parties namely fuel suppliers where necessary,

equipment suppliers, construction contractors and subcontractors, power purchasers, project

operators and network operators on the other side. Here below is a table showing a typical

project finance structure with the network of contracts between the parties.

Table 7: Typical project finance structure for RE project

“PROJECT COMPANY AKA “THE BORROWER”

Source: US PREF, Renewable Energy Finance Fundamentals165

For RE projects, the principle skill in structuring successful limited recourse project financing is

in transferring or allocating specific risk to external parties who are best able to mitigate, absorb

or manage the said risk in the most efficient manner. This is done while leaving the residual risk

which is usually modest, with the developer of the project.166

Risk in the circumstances is categorized into pre and post completion risk, which are dealt with

differently. These different risk categories are briefly explained below.

165 www.uspref.org/.../USPREF_ Renewable %20 Energy %20 Finance %20 Fundamentals %20v2.1.pdf 166 DTI, DTI New & Renewable Energy Program, “Financing Renewable Energy projects: A guide for developers” at www.berr.gov.uk/files/file15118.pdf p.11

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One of the pre-completion risks involved for RE projects is the Technology risk which is the

risk that the technology used will not perform to expectations. This risk in RET projects is

usually transferred to the contractor or equipment supplier who is considered to be in the best

position to efficiently manage the risk. This risk transfer is usually done contractually by having

the contractor or equipment supplier undertake liability to pay monetary damages in the event

that there is a technology performance shortfall. New technology is usually considered very high

risk for the reason that it hasn’t been consistently tested and for this reason, it is not popular with

lenders. This technology risk is managed by way of obtaining technology performance

guarantees from the technology and equipment supplier. This risk is not specific to developing

countries and is considered a general risk.

There is also the risk that there will be a delay in completion of the project and this is termed as

completion risk. This risk is usually allocated to two parties namely the contractor and the

insurer. The contractor by way of contract undertakes to be liable to pay monetary damages for

delay in completion of the project. This is coupled with insurance coverage where the insurer, for

an insurance policy or premium paid, undertakes to cover certain delay risks such as those due to

force majeure among others. This completion risk is considered high in Uganda due to a lack of

skilled contractors to develop power plants167 hence the use of foreign contractors who are more

familiar with the process of power plant development. Lenders in addition to use of qualified

contractors would require forms of completion guarantees to mitigate this risk.168

The other common pre-completion risk for RE projects is the capital cost overrun risk which is

the risk that the estimated budgeted costs will be insufficient to complete the project and would

thus require extra capital to enable the project reach completion and operation stage. This is

important since the security for the lenders is the project cash flow thus they would not let the

project die before it pays off the debt. The lenders place significant reliance on the contract to

ensure the project is finished on time and when finished will perform to expectations.169 The

fixed price turnkey contract is the risk allocation mechanism used to manage this risk. The

167 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.29168 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.7169 DTI, DTI New & Renewable Energy Program, “Financing Renewable Energy projects: A guide for developers” at www.berr.gov.uk/files/file15118.pdf p.9

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contractor who should be creditworthy, enters into a fixed price turnkey contract with the

developer, and undertakes to accept much of the capital cost overrun risk while also providing

completion cost guarantees in relation to either new technologies (equipment suppliers) or

contractors who are small or less known.170 The main contractor singly guarantees the

performance of other contractors and equipment suppliers so as to reduce the complexity of

having to specifically delineate the performance of each of the other parties yet that could be

done by the main contractor in the subcontracts. The Bujagali power project and the WENRECO

power project have faced capital cost overruns in their development with the cost of Bujagali

increasing from the expected $550m at the beginning of the project to over $700m.171

After completion of the project, there also exist what are termed post completion risks, the

commonest in RE projects are explained below.

Operating risk is the risk that the operator will not be able to efficiently operate the plant to the

required expectations so the employment of an experienced O&M operator is often required by

the lenders in addition to operation guarantees from the O&M operator.172

The political risk is also common and fits into the category of pre and post completion. This is

mainly in relation to the investment atmosphere and the non expropriation of project assets

including the project cash flow. This is usually mitigated by obtaining political risk guarantees

such as MIGA from WB and Africa Trade Insurance Agency173 among others. This political risk

deals with regulatory risk issues particularly political tariff setting which is perceived as high in

Uganda174, among others.

There is default risk by the off taker UECTCL, which is considered a bit high in Uganda and this

risk should be managed by the government providing a back to back payment guarantee for

payments175 due from the single off taker, UETCL.

170 Ibid p.11 This contract contains completion tests and liquidated damages payable in the event that the tests are not met as scheduled.171 The cost for Bujagali keeps on increasing and it is feared it will hit the $1bn mark, making it the most expensive hydro power project in the world.172 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.7173 Ibid p.49174 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.28175 ERA, “Constraints to Investment in Uganda’s Electricity Generation Industry” http://www.era.or.ug/Pdf/Report-Investments-Constraints_final_23-10-2008.pdf p.33

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The market risk is also high; as the available market is perceived not to be able to effectively

take the produced power either due to incapacity in terms of ability to pay or in terms of a lack of

a general market. This issue is expected to be mitigated by the interconnection to the general

East African market.

4.2 PPPs

PPPs are a long term performance based approach used to procure public infrastructure and

involve a lot of private sector financing and risk sharing.176 The concept of PPPs is based on joint

initiatives developed, executed and managed by a public sector agency and a private sector

entity, both players having common goals and individual objectives.177 The public and private

sectors join forces to design, finance, build, manage and maintain infrastructure projects. PPPs

are characterized by shared goals, shared or complementary resources such as financial capital,

human resource, political influence, time, knowledge and expertise, and finally shared risks and

benefits.178 Every project might have a different PPP approach to it with the transactional

relationship and risk allocation being different for each. Since the integrated private player

assumes the financial and commercial risks under a long term contract thus also mitigating

public risk, these PPPs are best suited for large complex projects with managed maintenance and

construction schedules. The key benefit of these partnerships is shared economies of scale for

both parties, and for the partnership scheme to be successful, three important basic elements have

to be fulfilled;

i) The governments benefit of fulfilling a development imperative, political goal or even

social need should be considered seriously.

ii) The private sector benefit of generating a profitable revenue stream and or expanding

market access should be taken into account.

iii) Lastly, the consumer benefit which comes in the form of quality service delivery at

affordable less than unsubsidized market price in a normal business set up179 should

also be considered.

176 PPP Canada, 2008-2009 Annual Report, at http://www.p3canada.ca/_files/file/PPP-Annual-Report_EN.pdf p.6177

Md. Monwar Hasan Khan, “The role of public private partnership in renewable energy sector” at http://www.iim.uni-flensburg.de/sesam/upload/Asiana_Alumni/Manohar_PPP.pdf p.12178 Ibid p.13179 Ibid p.14

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They come in several forms, the commonest of which include service contracts, delegated

management contracts and construction support among others.180

Service contracts are used where the public sector wants to maintain the overall operational

responsibility for a project and thus gives the private player a contract to provide a bundle of

specific services which services include human and technical resources for all operational and

financial aspects of project management, and maintenance of the project facilities through an

O&M contract which could allow the private player to take over and operate the facilities. 181 In

Uganda’s power sector, these service contracts have been used in majority of the power projects

with ESKOM and UMEME concessions being typical of the same.

The delegated management contract is used where the public sector wishes to maintain the

overall ownership of the assets but does not want to get involved in the management of the same.

The public authority thus delegates the management function to a private player for a definite

long term period while maintaining an oversight supervisory role. This can be done either,

through an affermage of lease agreement, which gives the private player who is referred to as the

operator, the responsibility to maintain and renew the existing facilities in line with the

contractual terms, or though a concession. ESKOM management concession in Jinja at the

UEDCL power plants of Kiira and Nalubale is a typical example of a management contract in

Uganda. It is also important to note that this management contract has so far been successful.

Under the concession model, the public authority will maintain strict control over the service

terms while also maintaining the power to make all key decisions in regard to the applicable rates

and targets for the project, with the private player being given a long term right and

responsibility to manage the project and make all necessary investments.182 The concession

model is quite popular in the energy industry because of the long term given to the private

players to enable them get returns on their investment before handover of the project facilities.

This model can be made to work in certain RE categories. The concessions awarded to ESKOM

180 Stephen Thomsen, “Encouraging Public-Private Partnerships in the Utilities Sector: The Role for Development Assistance”, NEPAD/OECD Investment Initiative, Imperial Resort Beach Hotel, Kama Hal, Entebbe, Uganda, 25-27 May 2005 at www.oecd.org/dataoecd/29/45/34843203.pdf  p.4181 ibid182 Ibid p.5

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by UEGCL and UMEME by UEDCL are typical concession model arrangements which

concessions have management and service contracts included in the whole arrangement.

The most popular form is the construction support which gives the private player a chance to get

involved in the design and construction phases of the infrastructure project while also sharing in

some of the risks involved. It has the Build Develop Operate (BDO), Build Operate Transfer

(BOT) and Build Own Operate (BOO) categories under it. Under BDO, the public authority

gives the private player a fixed term within which to design, construct and operate new

infrastructure. The private player does not own the infrastructure whose ownership remains in

the hands of the public authority. The private player assumes all risk related to the aspects

undertaken by it while also committing to an overall cost for the infrastructure development and

management, and is paid a fee by the public authority in return.

The other category is the BOT which has been used for several hydro power plants world over,

Uganda inclusive. It involves the private player undertaking the design, financing, building and

operation functions of the project. This is quite robust and is a very popular PF model, with

several interlinked contracts between various players; its use in PPPs should not be underscored

either. Its popularity stems from the long term periods given to allow the private player service

any debts incurred for the project development and to earn a suitable return on investment. Just

like in the previous category, formal ownership of the assets remains in the public authority or

the government. The third category is the BOO which, as its name suggests, has the private

player own the infrastructure facility while maintaining control of the project as well. This

arrangement has been used for virtually all power projects in Uganda since the liberalisation in

the 1990’s and most of the big power plants are on BOT arrangement with the smaller ones on

BOOT arrangement and all for a period of not less than 15 years which period is considered

adequate for the project to have paid its debt and received a reasonable profit. In Uganda,

government is involved as an investor in power projects of above 40 MW and has undertaken

PPP arrangement schemes in all that fit into this category.

PPPs, especially in developing countries provide a vehicle for FDI into public utilities and come

in various forms ranging from physical infrastructure development, provision of social and

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health services as well as public administration.183 Because of the inadequacy of public funds to

invest in physical infrastructure, developing countries such as Uganda, need to invite and

facilitate greater private participation in infrastructure project development. Traditionally,

financing ordinarily comes from donor assistance and domestic public finances. The challenge

for the private investment in infrastructure development is that it is not financially viable from a

private sector perspective especially in regard to returns on investment as well as the time frame

for the returns.

Generally, PPPs can be expanded with special reliance on donor aid to enhance the quality of the

projects, raise profitability and reduce risks.184 PPPs therefore have an important role to play in

improving on the risk profile of a project especially where a reliable donor is involved. In

addition, with donors such as the world bank that do not really look at profitability but offering

social-economic benefits to the recipient states, the private investor is left to enjoy much of the

profit which makes erstwhile less profitable projects more profitable. The involvement of the

WB in the different power projects in Uganda has boosted the projects profile and attracted the

requisite financing from other financiers accordingly.

PPPs therefore present a form of subsidy for private investors and this subsidy is based on

several factors but mostly on the presumption that the markets are not perfect. PPPs in

developing countries face several challenges, important of which include the lack of proper and

developed legal and regulatory framework and capacity, political and other non-commercial risks

and a lack of private rate of return for several projects with a high social rate of return. It is quite

important that the reason for PPPs is known before embarking on any PPP financing

arrangements.185 In Uganda, PPPs have been used for virtually all power development projects

directly for those above 40 MW and indirectly through various project support mechanisms for

those below 40 MW, because of the government’s involvement at various levels. The reason is

essentially to subsidise the private investors where necessary and to also attract private financing

into the project where government does not have adequate finance for the same.

183 Stephen Thomsen, “Encouraging Public-Private Partnerships in the Utilities Sector: The Role for Development Assistance”, NEPAD/OECD Investment Initiative, Imperial Resort Beach Hotel, Kama Hal, Entebbe, Uganda, 25-27 May 2005 at www.oecd.org/dataoecd/29/45/34843203.pdf  p.3184 ibid185 It could be for efficiency purpose or funding purposes depending on the circumstances of each case.

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The PPP arrangements discussed earlier emphasize the public ownership and control of the

project assets. However, for commercial ventures such as RE, a lot of private control and

ownership is required if private finance is to be attracted. This can be through arrangements that

involve joint-ventures, Greenfield projects and divestiture and asset sale.186

Joint ventures would have both the public authority and private player jointly finance, own and

operate an infrastructure project. It is done on a strictly commercial basis which makes it even

more attractive to the private players who may have profit as their number one objective. Still

under the joint venture, the risks and responsibilities are shared in line with the equity stake in

the project and any contractual arrangements to that effect, entered into by the parties. The

Bujagali power project and WENRECO have benefitted from such an arrangement with the

government playing an active role as shareholder and equity contributor.

Greenfield projects are new projects that are usually built and operated by a private player who

undertakes to bear the commercial risks associated with the project, while other risks are either

undertaken by, or shared with, the public sector. The construction categories mentioned earlier

can be used under this arrangement. Most if not all power projects developed in the recent past or

undergoing development have been undertaken by the private sector majorly. Government’s

involvement has been in undertaking certain risks such as payment default risk by the off taker

through payment guarantees among others.

Divestiture and asset sale is another arrangement that can attract greater private sector

participation in infrastructure projects. Under this, state assets are sold to the private sector either

through the direct sale of the assets themselves or through initial public offerings. The state often

times remains the regulator and subsidizer of projects that the private sector deems unviable to

finance. These categories could include provision of power to poor rural communities among

others. It is a PPP because the state continues playing a role in the sector while the private player

also plays its part as described earlier. In Uganda, the government used this category during the

liberalisation period and divested and sold some of the assets of UEB to UMEME among others,

186 Stephen Thomsen, “Encouraging Public-Private Partnerships in the Utilities Sector: The Role for Development Assistance”, NEPAD/OECD Investment Initiative, Imperial Resort Beach Hotel, Kama Hal, Entebbe, Uganda, 25-27 May 2005 at www.oecd.org/dataoecd/29/45/34843203.pdf p.6

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so as to streamline the industry. Currently, the government of Uganda does not have much to sale

as far as RE is concerned rather its involvement is more in development of new projects.

All these three arrangements can be used by IPPs, however the commonest are in relation to

Greenfield projects and most if not all developing countries are actually focusing on private

power through IPPs as the solution to the electrification problem faced by several developing

countries187 and Uganda is no exception.

By government offering incentives to encourage investment in the renewable energy sector, the

government is already playing a role under PPPs. These incentives could be tax free imports,

subsidies, etc and serve to ensure that the service is made affordable to the consumer by

removing the project’s commercial cost burden from the consumer who will in turn receive an

efficient and yet affordable service, and also helps the private player recover investment costs in

a shorter period than would have been, had the incentives not been given188. These PPPs can be

used to bring RE to populations that hitherto did not have any power, in a shorter time due to the

short time that private players require for projects to start generating income when investing their

money. This in turn shifts the investment burden from the government to the private player.

PPPs would work best in areas where the private sector might not ordinarily desire to invest due

to the poor economics and financials that these areas such as rural areas present. The commercial

risks which involve forces of demand and supply are ordinarily borne by the private player while

the other risks such as legal, regulatory and political are borne by the government which is in a

better position to individually handle the respective risks. However, for these PPPs to work,

government has to take serious initiatives at policy level to address some issues such as

establishment of a proper legal and regulatory framework and environment for PPPs to operate

in, establishment of long term finance schemes for such projects, increase awareness and

promote the use of PPPs by all stakeholders and encouragement of decentralized power schemes

for isolated off-grid areas that are not economical to connect to the national grid, among others.

Another aspect of RE financing where PPPs would work is in the development of risk mitigation

tools for the sector. Since risk management is a part of the financing package, it is important that 187 Much of Private Participation in power goes into generation with the transmission function being retained by the government and the distribution function being given to one private player through concessions where there are small markets.188 On the basis of a fixed pricing structure

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innovative risk management tools are created. However, with insurance, which is the commonest

and most readily available of the risk management tools, there exists a problem of institutional

inertia, which simply means that, the sector does not invest in development of new insurance

tools rather in adapting the existing ones to different situations,189 partly due to a lack of big

budgets for R&D, a gap the public sector could always fill.190 This role of PPPs is seen in the

ARGeo project mentioned earlier in this paper. This project is a PPP initiative which underwrites

risks of drilling in the countries of Djibouti, Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania among other Great

Rift Valley countries. This initiative is receiving support from the governments of Iceland and

Germany among others.

The UECCC is another PPP initiative where the government and multilateral development

agencies work together with the private commercial banks to avail medium term financing as

well as risk guarantee instruments to private sector developers in energy projects.

4.3 PARTICULAR CATEGORIES OF RE

Mini hydro is in abundance in Uganda, with a potential capacity of 210mw191 which would

supply the national grid and also operate as isolated grids. Mini hydro has various liability covers

for it because of the general understanding of the technology involved as a result of the wide

scale use of large hydro. Mini hydro is thus easier to develop in Uganda than the other categorise

hence is abundance.

Geothermal is a reliable RE source that produces sustainable base load power with minimal

environmental impact192 and is multidisciplinary in use. Uganda’s renewable energy policy also

recognizes the importance of this category of RE, which has a generation potential of 450mw.193

Geothermal projects however face high upfront costs for exploration, well drilling and plant and

equipment installation. The issue with management of these risks is that the underwriters and 189 UNEP-SEFI, “Financial Risk Management Instruments for Renewable Energy Projects”, (Words and Publications, Oxford, UK, 2004) at www. unep .fr/energy/activities/frm/pdf/statusnotemarch08.pdf p.12. insuranceforRenewables.com is an example of a PPP initiative to provide project risk insurance for developing countries especially.190 Centre for Research in Energy Efficiency and Conservation (CREEC) is a public private partnership initiative at the Makerere University’s Science and Technology Faculty and is involved in research and development of Energy Efficiency and Conservation191 MOEMD, The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda, http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.42192 Jerry R. Fisch, “The Law of Lava, Just Starting Out: Leasing, Siting, and Permitting Geothermal Projects: Chapter One, Lava Law: Legal Issues in Geothermal Energy Development”, Stoel Rives LLP, 2009, P.1193 MOEMD, The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda, http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.45

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insurers always try to use the petroleum environment model that they are familiar with, yet the

two activities operate in different environments. This leads to a mismatch that does not really

serve the purpose of effectively managing risk. More still, geothermal projects have a long

waiting period from start till the project starts generating revenues and thus a high likelihood of

the project not being able to meet its debt obligations since things could terribly go wrong during

the waiting period. This is the concern of most if not all financiers for geothermal projects.

Drilling is a very important and vital aspect of geothermal and a lot depends on its success.

Unsuccessful drilling means the project will not generate power and thus there will be no

revenue made. The risk of increased costs arising from blow outs and controlling a well,

restoring and or redrilling a well, and the costs of remedial measures associated with seepage and

pollution are all high under operation risk and have to be managed well in order to make the

financiers of the project comfortable.

The exploration risk of not being able to achieve minimum economically acceptable thermal

water flow rates has been covered by the public sector but it is increasingly being shared through

public-private initiatives which provide insurance cover against the risk of not achieving

economically acceptable flow rates. This issue is being handled through a PPP initiative ARGeo

which has obtained financing to the tune of $18m for the GEF to underwrite drilling risk in the

Great Rift Valley countries including Uganda. It has financed certain techniques in Kenya such

as micro seismic and magneto telluric surveys which processes can achieve savings of up to

$75m on a 70mw installation. In Uganda, total geothermal power potential is 450mw with the

most promising geothermal sites at Katwe in Queen Elizabeth National Park, Burnaga in Semliki

National Park and Kibiro all in Western Uganda.

Wind is also another of the widely applied RE categories that has not attracted much interest

from investors quite contrary to the situation in Kenya. In Uganda, the wind speeds of 2 to 4

m/sec are only sufficient for small scale wind power generation and specialised applications such

as wind water pumps194 and irrigation systems among others. It can also be used for small

industries and rural areas as the capacity is in the region between 2.5kv to 10 kV.195 The capital

194 Ibid p.49195 Supra it has been used for small scale pump projects in Karamoja in the North East of the country

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costs per MWh for wind produced power are relatively high for the simple reason that wind

plants only produce power when the wind is blowing.196

Risk management is achieved through sharing risk with the project sponsor seeking to shift the

technology risk to the turbine manufacturer and the construction contractor, the lender typically

takes paramount positions in the project revenues and assets and in the process shifts the risks to

the project sponsor and third parties such as the construction contractor and turbine manufacturer

by getting the benefits of contractual obligations and warranties. All this is done through the use

of various legal undertakings by the parties involved. These undertakings include warranties and

contractual requirements for the work carried out in making the project operational and

equipment, mortgages and security interests granted in the project revenues, assets and key

project agreements, the work performed, guarantees for each party’s obligation from

creditworthy entities and the requirements for insurance cover for certain adverse risks.197 There

is also the risk of delay or non completion of the project, and this is the main concern for the

investors in the initial stage and they are covered by insurance policies that are comprehensive in

nature covering all aspects of risk in the construction stage. After the construction stage, the

operational stage is reached and it also presents its own operation risks such as turbine failure to

perform completely or to perform to expectations among others. This is covered by all

operational risk insurance cover. These are accompanied by warranties and guarantees from the

turbine manufacturers who should be creditworthy if the warranties are to be taken seriously let

alone be considered. Contractual Service Agreements are used in some parts of the developed

world and involve the turbine manufacturer undertaking to repair any defects or replace any

defective turbines for in exchange for earnings on every MWh of power produced.198 Wind

power has been developed on commercial scale in neighbouring Kenya due to the high wind

speeds and favourable wind FITs which support commercial wind power production.

Bio fuels are being promoted in Uganda mainly to feed the transport industry through provision

of bio fuels to blend in diesel and gasoline, with the benefits of the same being pitted as the

196John M. Eriksson et al, “The Law of Wind- Power Purchase Agreements and Environmental Attributes” (Stoel Rives LLP, 2009) Ch.6, p.1197 ibid198 UNEP-SEFI “Financial Risk Management for Renewable Energy Projects” http://www.unep.fr/energy/activities/sefi/pdf/RE_Risk_Manag.pdf p.27

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motivation for their promotion. Such benefits include reduction in C02 and toxic air emissions,199

greenhouse gas build up and dependence on imported fuel200

Like other renewable energy options, bio fuels, which usually come as either biodiesel or

ethanol, also require high initial capital injection, which capital generally comes in the form of

either equity or debt. Each of the categories has its own advantages and disadvantages and it is

quite important that the perfect mix of funds (categories of capital) is achieved, which mix is

unique for each project due to the unique nature of circumstances surrounding different projects.

It is noteworthy that, equity financing can come directly from the project sponsors or investors or

alternatively from other financiers as mezzanine debt among others. Debt financing on the other

hand could also come from project sponsors and other financiers as well. Equity financing,

obtained from investors, is generally considered to be more expensive for the project developers

than the traditional debt financing obtained from lenders.201 This is due to several reasons,

important of which is the resulting equity dilution that would occur, hence the need for project

developers to obtain equity financing to bring their projects to fruition.202

In order for the government or the energy policy to promote renewable energy development, it is

quite important to understand what the financiers of the project want. This is a vital step towards

achieving bankability of a project. Providers of equity finance for a biodiesel project just like

other PF projects would usually want stable and definite future earnings from the project hence

the common concern with the quality of applicable intake and off-take agreements.203

This paper’s main focus is on financing renewable energy hence will concentrate on the legal

and regulatory as well as fiscal regime elements of the biodiesel industry looking at them from

the aspect of how they will affect financing of RE projects.

199 With 312 million litres of petroleum being replaced with Methyl Alcohol, a reduction of nearly one million tons of Co2 emissions will result’ this is based on a 25% and 60% compulsory blend with 385 million litres of gasoline and 360 million litres of diesel respectively, according to the 2010 estimates. 200 MOEMD, “ The Renewable Energy Policy for Uganda”, http://www.energyandminerals.go.ug/pdf/RENEWABLE%20ENERGY%20POLIC9-11-07.pdf p.38201Edward D. Einowski et al, “The Law of Biofuels-Financing your Biofuels Project”, (STOEL RIVES LLP, 2008) Ch.1- pg. 1202Ibid-Equity financing for biodiesel projects is becoming less available to project developers due to two major factors, namely the food versus fuel morality debate and the lag of second generation conversion technologies, yet equity investment into upstream and plant o8ptimization developments is on the increase.203ibid

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The issue of market risk should be addressed. This market risk is the risk that the Biofuels

produced will not find buyers on the market. Since Biofuels are not necessarily popular among

fossil fuel traders, it is necessary that the government, by law and regulation, set a certain

minimum standard for Biofuels.

This standard is two way;

i) That a certain minimum percentage of Biofuels should be blended in all gasoline and diesel that

is imported refined and also sold at pumps and fuel depots. In Uganda’s case, the percentage has

been put at 20%204 and this should apply to all gasoline and diesel importers and refiners to

ensure that all the gasoline and diesel traded in the country is blended with a respective bio fuel.

ii) The second way is to have obligated parties purchase a certain minimum obligated amount of

Biofuels, which purchases and use will in turn result into RECs for these parties. RECs could

work if there is a law, regulation or policy which provides for the benefits of accumulating

renewable energy credits and also penalises those that do not meet a certain REC amount. These

RECs should only be attributed to purchases of Biofuels and not also, those bought out rightly

from other parties as is the case in USA, mainly because Uganda is still a developing country 205

and if it has to benefit from biodiesel development and utilisation, such standards should be put

in place at least for the start as they would provide for a boost effect towards the development of

Biofuels.

With these obligations, the market for Biofuels is made more or less definite hence mitigating the

market risk to that extent.

However, on the other side of market risk is that the producers of Biofuels may not be able to

meet the market demand for Biofuels. This could to some extent go hand in hand with volume

risk, since volume risk, just like market risk is two way. However, it specifically deals with risk

that the producers of Biofuels will either meet the market volume demands or not. With

compulsory blending of a minimum of 20% Biofuels in all fuel imported or refined in the

country, an almost definite market is created which means that the amounts of bio fuels required

by the market are easily predictable.204 supra205 A developing country that need a boost towards the development and promotion of Biofuels, and this compulsory one sided REC source requirement could as well serve that purpose.

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Biofuels are extracted from plants whose successful growth is highly dependent on the weather

or climate, of the farming area, among others. This is what we may refer to as climate/weather

risk which is ordinarily borne by the producer who may obtain insurance against the changes in

weather.

However, in putting together a financing package for a Biofuels project, other risks are

considered quite paramount and these are technology risk, operating risk, debt burden and

accounting liabilities.206 Because of the importance of these risks in a Biofuels project, each

participant fights hard to shift these risks away from themselves, which leads to the difficulty, as

mentioned above, in putting together a financing package.207

Through performance warranties, the developers and investors shift the technological risk to the

builder while the lender always seeks to shift these risks to the project owners by taking senior

positions in the project revenues and assets, while also shifting the same risks to third parties by

getting the warranties and contractual obligations of these third party participants. The ultimate

purpose of all this is to enhance the prospects of the loan being repaid on schedule208, since

on-schedule repayments are very important in satisfying the financing package requirements.

The role of the legal adviser in this whole financing package structuring is to ensure that the

desires of the parties in risk sharing among others are identified by way of negotiation and put

together by way of documentation in the form of legal instruments that bind the parties. Typical

in such financings are several interconnected contracts which are put together to form a

contractual matrix for the whole project. Legal instruments involved have instruments such as

mortgages and security interests granted in the project assets, equipment and performance

warranties as well as contractual obligations for equipment and work carried out in bringing the

project to the operation stage, revenue and key project agreements among others.

206Edward D. Einowski et al, The Law of Biofuels-Financing your Biofuels Project, (STOEL RIVES LLP, 2008) Ch.1- pg.1207 ibid208 ibid

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CHAPTER FIVE: GENERAL OBSERVATIONS, RECOMENDATIONS AND

CONCLUSION

Chapter five will highlight general observations of the financing aspect of the and attempt to

offer solutions to the problems highlighted in the previous chapters while also suggesting

alternative financing mechanisms for renewable power projects in light of the hindrances

identified earlier in the paper. Under the same chapter, the role of legislation and regulation in

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encouraging the use of PPPs, PF and other financing tools to encourage development in the

sector will be considered.

Framework conditions present the major hindrance towards the financing of renewable energy

projects in developing countries and generally. These are determined by policy and law that’s in

place. The framework conditions are affected by policy and legal framework, energy sector

competition & bias and financing.

Policy and legal framework can be used as a tool to encourage RE investment and development

by creating instruments that allow IPPs including those of RE to easily connect, but most

especially, to sell to the common power grids irrespective of their sizes. The inability to connect

to the power grids is one factor that discourages private investment in the RE sector, because

without that ability, the market is diminished. This is coupled with a lack of transmission access

which could either be brought about by exorbitant transmission tariffs or by a lack of enabling

law that allows for transmission and third party access for generators however small, in

liberalised sectors where the transmission role has been privatized and is owned by a private

player who may be vertically integrated. Even in government owned transmission regimes, there

may be limitations on the minimum amount of generated power to supply through the

transmission system, and this poses a threat to small power project development, yet some RE

systems can only generate so little.

All RE projects require siting and permitting approvals, and in many cases, these approvals may

have stringent qualifications attached to them, most of which stem from environmental concerns

especially where environment is categorized into the broad areas of physical, social and

economic. Much as the government owes a responsibility to protect its people, the role of

regulation should not be to stifle business development but to encourage responsible

development of the sector. Therefore win-win solutions should be developed so that even small

RE producers can be allowed to develop their sites in a responsible manner. This also puts a

responsibility on the developer to match up to the required standards or they have no business in

the sector, which standards should not be unduly constraining implying a workable and

manageable minimum threshold. Policy and law can therefore be used to make the permitting

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and siting process less constraining than it is in many countries and this should be taken into

account when enacting the relevant laws and policies as discussed earlier in the paper.

The nature of the energy sector also presents its own specific issues in regard to how framework

conditions affect the development of the RE sector. Firstly, the sector benefits from a lot of low

cost energy from conventional sources yet RE is generally more expensive in certain instances,

this thus creates competition issues, in that RE will not be able to favourably compete on the

market. That’s why subsidies and special tax regimes directed towards RE are employed in many

of the power markets, however they have the negative effect of causing distortions in price

between RE and other power sources. These disparities could subsequently lead to a failure by

the market to value the public benefits of renewables or worse still lead to market failure. The

price disparities could also be somewhat regularized if the environmental cost of fossil fuels was

also put into account when pricing conventional energy sources that rely on fossil fuels as raw

materials. This will especially be important when the country starts using gas powered plants and

HFO plants with production of HF and gas from the country’s oil and gas fields, hence it should

be taken into account.

The core issue that affects the development of RE, after the legal and regulatory framework

conditions, is the financing aspect which also in itself is taken into account when determining

law and policy for sector development. A lack of adequate information on the RE sector denies

market access to would be development stakeholders while keeping financiers in ignorance of

what the sector provides in the form of financing opportunities, and would thus be considered

unattractive. One of the issues that make RE unattractive to developers are the high risk profile it

possesses, and worse still there are not many established risk management tools to cater for such

risk which risk is also not necessarily commensurate to the returns on investment.

The typical demand profile for RE financing is based on the fact that funds are required in order

to have the project materialize and also to ensure that, with an adequate and proper financing

structure, the advantages of competitiveness of RETs would increase since the cost of RE

electric power are also highly sensitive to the financing terms.209

209 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005)p.13

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Since RE, in comparison to conventional energy, has widened the financial tasks to be solved,

the financial needs of RE exist at three levels i.e. household and community group levels which

need micro-credit, entrepreneurs who need long term patient capital which allows them time to

develop products and services based on RE and finally investors who require reduced or shared

credit risks up to a point where several track records of success and confidence in RE have been

achieved210 at a wider scale.

Some other sources of financing for small projects that could be tapped into could include

utility companies interested in diversifying their portfolios into generation projects. This is

common especially when the legal and regulatory framework provides for easy access to the

transmission grid for all sizes of projects with favourable tariffs. However, where there are

constraints to connection to the transmission grids with no favourable FITS in place, it presents

problems which make it unattractive for even utilities to invest in small generation projects. In

the US, utilities and other taxpaying entities are encouraged to invest in RE Generation projects

by the tax incentives in place. These tax incentives include production tax credits, investment tax

credits and accelerated depreciation. PTCs can encourage investment in long-life, high quality

and reliable equipment and machinery since the investor in the project would benefit from Tax

Credits on the production of the project for a certain long term duration fixed by the tax

regulations. In the US, it is 10 years of production from the commissioning date, however it can

vary from country to country but it would be important to strike a balance, by ensuring that it is

not too short a period so as not to attract the requisite interest, or too long a period for

government to lose out on much needed tax money. In Uganda, as mentioned, 5 year tax

holidays and VAT exemptions on the project as well as import duty waivers, serve in this regard

as far as tax incentives are concerned.

The introduction and utilisation of Investment and Production Tax Credits would go a long way

in filling the financing gap for RE in developing countries. Where ITCs are utilised, the ROI of

the project, once it comes on board, is boosted by the same percentage the project receives in

ITCs which makes investment in RE projects under such a tax regime even more attractive to the

private sector, seeing that an ROI of say 35% can be made in the first year of operation despite

210Ibid p.7

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the project not making profits. Such an incentive would attract private finance from investors

who would otherwise have been deterred by the long lead times of such projects.

Equipment suppliers and contractors may also be interested in investing in small generation

projects in return for a contract to either supply equipment, or to construct among others. This is

common in the developed countries and is purely a business decision. It can also be employed in

developing countries such as Uganda, however the technical skills and capacities of the local

contractors who are more familiar and comfortable with the local market conditions as compared

to their international counterparts who even require expensive state guarantees, should be tapped

into and developed. This is where the training aspect in the development of RETs is utilised.

Local entrepreneurs and businessmen can also invest as co-development partners in such

projects. However in several economies especially the developing ones such as Uganda’s, it is

important that awareness of the sector is increased among the populace so as to make the

available prospective RE project investors aware of what is on the market and better still

understand investment in the RE sector. Much of the capital from business men and private

investors in our local economy can present a cheap and fast source of financing for several of

these RE projects which would offer a lifelong income and profits since the investors would own

the projects and would have their money work for them. However, due to a varied array of

opportunities to invest their money in and have quicker returns than in power where they would

have to wait for a minimum of 10 years before they start earning, it is unlikely that private

individual finance will play a big role in financing Ugandan power in the near future.

Another source that should not be under looked are the community finance initiatives which

involve the communities pooling money together so as to finance the RE projects for their

benefit and use. Through such schemes where all the power is to be used by the community, off-

grid projects present a better option that may prove cheaper than grid connected systems,

however, where excess power is envisaged, connection to the transmission grid is paramount as

it subsequently presents a source of income for the community who will benefit from selling

excess power to the national grid. These community finance schemes come in various forms

such as power cooperatives among others.211 Uganda’s communities have vast capital resources

211 These were used in the USA to boost their rural electrification program.

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that can be pooled together through co-operative investment societies which are being promoted

by the government as SACCO’s. These societies present a magic bullet for community financing

of RE in rural electrification and should thus be promoted if gains in RET development in

developing countries are to be realised.

Carbon financing is also available for projects in the form of renewable energy, green or ethical

investment funds which may be tapped into for purposes of developing RE projects. These funds

are readily available for most RE projects as long as the project meets a certain prescribed

criteria so as to benefit from the funds. The Rural Electrification strategic plan recognizes the

need to tap into this source of finance for RE projects. This source presents various mechanisms

such as the CDM, JI and IETs among others. In Uganda, most projects are either too small to

attract green financing or do not have the skill to apply for the same. This is the reason for the

inception of Uganda Carbon Bureau which is supposed to be an umbrella for green projects of

various sizes and help them get financing for carbon credits generated. They also take care of the

entire process of application which makes it less cumbersome for developers.

The CDM is a mechanism which creates a market for CO2. It works in such a way that, a party,

usually an industrialized country under the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol, buys emission

reduction credits arising from projects developed in developing countries which are also referred

to as Non-Annex One Countries. This market for CO2 involves the purchase of carbon credits

which are termed CER and are expressed in tones of CO2 equivalent.212 The Kyoto Protocol has

certain flexible mechanisms that can be used to leverage these benefits especially for Annex One

Countries to reap the benefits of emissions trading in a cost effective manner while ensuring

sustainable development for the developing countries. These three flexible mechanisms are the

Joint Implementation (JI), Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and International Emissions

Trading (IET) with JI and CDM being project based. These two project based mechanisms

involve the development and implementation of projects that reduce GHG emissions so as to

generate carbon credits as a result. The resultant generated carbon credits can then be sold on the

carbon market as CERs. All RE projects are generally considered green as they play a role in

212 Allafrica.com, “Ghana: Carbon Finance And the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)” at http://www.carbonoffsetsdaily.com/news-

channels/global/ghana-carbon-finance-and-the-clean-development-mechanism-cdm-17164.htm

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reduction of GHG emissions through the provision of alternative non-fossil fuel based energy

such as hydro, geothermal, wind, solar, biomass and also bio-fuel projects among others.

Whereas JI is more concerned with development of projects in developed Annex One Countries

through the generation of credits referred to as Emission Reduction Units (ERU), the CDM is

concerned with generating CERs from projects in developing countries.

Projects that may want to benefit from the CDM must, as a prerequisite, undergo a very rigorous

documentation and approval process by a variety of local and international stakeholders. This

process is based on the specified CDM modalities and procedures. The process involves the

initial feasibility assessment and the development of a Project Design Documentation (PDD),

host country approval from a host country that has ratified the Kyoto Protocol through their

Designated National Authority (DNA), project validation and verification by the Designated

Operational Entity (DOE), registration, emission reduction verification and credit issuance by the

EB.213 Once the project passes the tests set for it, it becomes eligible to benefit from the CDM

which goes a long way in reducing on the project costs through provision of finance, efficient

technology and sustainable development. The problem is that there is no developed carbon

market in the developing countries of Africa especially since most of the carbon financing is

concentrated in Asia and the Americas.214 Establishment of proper legal and regulatory

environment Encouragement of the trading of CER is the way to go, in order to reap from the

benefits of CDM for RE projects215 particularly in developing countries that have a very low

carbon footprint.

In addition to the above discussed mechanism is the Global Energy Facility (GEF), which is an

intergovernmental fund with its main objective being environmental protection. It is comprised

of the WB, UNDP and UNEP. In its mandate to protect the environment, the fund offers non

reimbursable financing for the incremental costs in green projects which include RE projects.

The incremental cost principle essentially provides for the compensation of marginally

economically viable RE projects for the extra cost incurred over and above the would be cost of

a similar non green project, so as to have the RE project reach early completion and entry onto

213 ibid214 ibid215 This is through the attraction of FDI

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the market.216 This arrangement has been used to fund feasibility studies in the Rift Valley for

geothermal power production purposes under PPP arrangement.

The promotion of the Uganda Carbon Bureau as well as promotion of other similar outfits while

strengthening their mandate in putting together green projects and making their accessibility to

green financing and carbon credit accumulation easier, would go a long way in making green

financing available. This should be done as a joint effort involving all stakeholders.

The creation of institutions based on PPP arrangements such as the Uganda Energy Credit

Capitalisation Company and further capitalisation of the same to offer a wide variety of

financing tools for a wider scope of power development in developing countries would go a long

way in solving the financing challenge faced by developers of power energy projects including

RETs in developing countries such as Uganda. The role of such an institution would be to bring

together all sources of finance and risk management instruments under one roof and make them

available to prospective developers either directly or through other financial institutions as is the

proposed model of disbursement by the UECCC Ltd.

CHAPTER SIX: CONCLUSION

216 Peter Lindlein et al, "Financing Renewable Energy-Instruments, Strategies, Practice Approaches" at http://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/DE_Home/Service_und_Dokumentation/Online_Bibliothek/PDF-Dokumente_Diskussionsbeitraege/38_AMD_Renewable_Energy.pdf Discussion Paper 38(Kfw Bankengruppe, Group Communications, Frankfurt am Main, December 2005) p.69

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From the foregoing discussion, it is noteworthy that developing countries have special financing

considerations because of their economic set up thus making dynamics of financing RE projects

in developing countries quite different from the traditional . With the developing countries

having underdeveloped and undercapitalised financial systems, very big limitations as far as

obtaining a full range of financing and risk management options from within and abroad do exist.

The government or the public sector as it were, has the paramount responsibility to ensure the

development of the sector and creation of an environment that will attract the full range of

options to wit; ensuring the prevalence of a favourable risk profile and enablement of movement

and availability of necessary finance and risk management tools for such projects. The private

sector on the other hand has a duty to ensure that the created environment is utilised fully and in

partnership with the public sector, to create lasting solutions that work. With each sector217

working on its own, it is almost impossible to create the environment that would enable the

improvement in the availability of financing and risk management tools for RE projects among

others. All that has to be created is an enabling environment that would be nurtured by public

and private sector participation through innovation to ensure workable financing solutions for the

diverse situations and scenarios taking into account the existing handicaps.

Important among the influencing conditions include the credit and risk profile rating of the

country, which have a very big bearing on whether finance will be availed to a project or not.

The role of the Public and Private sectors in solving the financing challenges highlighted is thus

paramount. The government, donors and private sector should work in consonance to ensure

favourable financing and risk management frameworks and incentives in the country. This

explains why PPPs are actually being championed as the vehicle through which infrastructure

projects should be developed. PPPs are not a silver bullet though and thus the role of PFIs such

as Project and structured Finance, and other innovative financing tools, in the development of RE

in these developing countries should not be underscored.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

217 Public or private sector

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PRIMARY SOURCES

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http://www.unep.fr/energy/activities/sefi/pdf/RE_Risk_Manag.pdf

US PREF, “Renewable Energy Finance Fundamentals” at

www.uspref.org/.../USPREF_ Renewable %20 Energy %20 Finance %20 Fundamentals %20v2.1.pdf

CONFERENCE PAPERS

Forum of Energy Ministers of Africa, “Report on the FEMA Ministerial Meeting”, Entebbe,

Uganda, august, 3, 2005

Godfrey R. Turyahikayo, “Investment opportunities in the power sector in Uganda”, Uganda

Business investment Forum, Cedar Park, Hotel, Johannesburg, 2nd October 2008 at

www.tpnetworks.co.za/.../Investment_Opportunities_in_UGANDA.pdf

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Stephen Thomsen, “Encouraging Public-Private Partnerships in the Utilities Sector: The Role

for Development Assistance”, NEPAD/OECD Investment Initiative, Imperial Resort Beach

Hotel, Kama Hal, Entebbe, Uganda, 25-27 May 2005 at

www.oecd.org/dataoecd/29/45/34843203.pdf

INTERNET SITES

citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.131.2796...

Allafrica.com, “Ghana: Carbon Finance and the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)” at

http://www.carbonoffsetsdaily.com/news-channels/global/ghana-carbon-finance-and-the-clean-

development-mechanism-cdm-17164.htm

EIA country statistics at

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/iedindex3.cfm?

tid=2&pid=33&aid=12&cid=&syid=2004&eyid=2008&unit=BKWH

MOEMD, ERT Fact sheet

REA Overview, at http://www.rea.or.ug/?p=site&s=2&pg=2

Yinka Adeyemi “About 650 million Africans may lack access to electricity by 2030, delegates

told at CSD4” at www.uneca.org/eca_resources/news/102605sdd_dna.htm

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