regional disparity in thailand by assist. prof. duangmanee laovakul faculty of economics thammasat...

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Regional Disparity in Thailand by Assist. Prof. Duangmanee Laovakul Faculty of Economics Thammasat University Siam City Hotel September 09, 09

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Regional Disparity in Thailand

byAssist. Prof. Duangmanee Laovakul

Faculty of EconomicsThammasat University

Siam City HotelSeptember 09, 09

Income Distribution and Poverty Incidence in Thailand

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• Highest income inequality

- In the past → South

- Present → Northeast

• Lowest income inequality

- Bangkok (mostly)

- Central (2002, 2006 and 2007)

• The inequality in the urban areas is higher than in the rural areas.

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• Highest inequality

- North (except 1998: South)

• Lowest inequality

- Bangkok

• The inequality in the urban areas is higher than in the rural areas.

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• The poorest (as measured by the poverty line): Northeast (18.05% or 3,914,420 people in 2007)

• The second poorest: North

• The fewest poor: Bangkok (1.47% or 82,940 people)

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• The poorest: Northeast (13.05% or 2,830,300 people in 2007)

• The second poorest: North

• The fewest poor: Bangkok (1.14% or 64,400 people)

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Unemployment

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• The highest unemployment rate: Bangkok

• The lowest unemployment rate: Northeast

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Health Care Service Disparity

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Population served by each doctor by Region:1988-2005

Source: Thai Public Health Report: 2005-2007, Ministry of Public Health21

Population served by each Health Care Center Officer by Region:1988-2005

Source: Thai Public Health Report: 2005-2007, Ministry of Public Health22

• The highest number of population served by doctor and health care service officer: Northeast

• The lowest number of population served by doctor: Bangkok

• The lowest number of population served by health care service officer: South

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The Difference between Population per Medical Personal of Bangkok and Northeast:1988-2005

Source: Thai Public Health Report: 2005-2007, Ministry of Public Health24

Private Hospitals by Region: 2006

Source: Thai Public Health Report: 2005-2007, Ministry of Public Health25

Health Care Center per population by Region

Source: Thai Public Health Report: 2005-2007, Ministry of Public Health26

• The highest ratio of population to health care center: Northeast

• The lowest ratio of population to health care center: North

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Population per Health Care Center by Region

Source: Thai Public Health Report: 2005-2007, Ministry of Public Health28

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• The highest ratio of population to bed: Northeast

• The lowest ratio of population to bed: Bangkok

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Population per bed by Region: 1988-2005

Source: Thai Public Health Report: 2005-2007, Ministry of Public Health31

Education Disparity

(Thai Education Situation: 2007/08: Witayakorn Chiengkul)

• Most students who have to quit schools in the middle of the year are in Northeast, some are in the North.

• The government budget per head allocated to poor provinces is lower than in rich provinces.

• Government expenditures per head of schools in poor provinces is less than schools in Bangkok.

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Opportunity to access education

• Age 3-5 (pre-school):

Highest opportunity: Bangkok (70%)

Lowest opportunity: Northeast (46%)• Age 6-11 (primary school):

Highest opportunity: East

Lowest opportunity: Northeast

(15% difference)• Age 12-14 (secondary school):

Highest opportunity: East

Lowest opportunity: Bangkok

(12% difference)34

Opportunity to access education

• Age 15-17 (high school):

Highest opportunity: East

Lowest opportunity: Northeast

• Age 6-17 (handicap):

Highest opportunity: North

Lowest opportunity: Northeast

• Rate of continuing study from primary school to secondary school:

Highest rate: Northeast

Lowest rate: South35

Opportunity to access education

• Rate of continuing study from secondary school to high school:

Highest rate: Bangkok

Lowest rate: Northeast and South (3 provinces)

• 2006

Highest number of years in school: Bangkok

Smallest number of years in school: North36

Quality of education

• National Test Results (2001-2003) for M.6 students:

Largest number of students who get “good” level: Bangkok

Smallest number of students who get “good” level: South

Greatest difference among schools: Northeast

Smallest difference among schools: Bangkok

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Quality of education

• National Test Results (2001-2003) for students who already graduated high school:

Largest number of students who get “good” level: graduated from school in Bangkok

Smallest number of students who get “good” level: graduated from school in Northeast

Greatest differences among schools: Northeast

Smallest differences among schools: Bangkok

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Education Opportunities for poor students

• Northeastern students get the lowest education subsidy per head at most education levels, except pre-school and primary school (southern students get the lowest).

• The education subsidy per head for Northeastern students is lower than the overall average → the inequality in budget allocation.

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The inequality of education outcome

• Students who get high national test scores (both M.3 and M.6 level) are in well developed areas with good schools.

• Students from Northeast and the three provinces in the South get low national test scores (both M.3 and M.6 level).

• As a result, students from poor areas cannot pursue a higher education level.

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Economic Development and Education Service

• Economic development is imbalanced. The lowest income group (40%) has less opportunity to get education. The government should support grants for their allowance, travel expense and etc to the poor. (Thai Education Situation: 2008/09: Witayakorn Chiengkul)

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Local Government Revenues

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• The North, Northeast and South regions can collect less tax revenue from their own sources than can the Central and Bangkok regions.

• The Northeast receives the highest grants.

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• The smallest local revenue per head: Northeast

• The highest local revenue per head: Bangkok

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Policies to Address the Regional Disparity

• Fiscal Policies

- Taxes: oProgressive tax rateoExpand tax base → impose direct taxation

i.e. property tax, capital gains taxoReduce tax leakage

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- Expenditureso Provide Social welfare/ Social Safety Net: education, health care service,

etc.o Target the pooro Building people capacity in the long- run

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• Decentralization Policies

- Distribute budget to local areas

- Distribute grants to the needed areas

• Land Policies

Land is a factor of production

- Community Land Title

- Land Bank

- Reserve agricultural land for

agricultural usage 50

• Increase financial access for the poor

- Microfinance

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