reference materials coal industry overview 201305 · 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 central and...
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Reference MaterialsReference Materials
COAL INDUSTRY OVERVIEWCOAL INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
May 2013May 2013
22
■ Global Energy Resource Reserves -----------------------------------------------3
■ Global Energy Resource Supply ---------------------------------------------------4World Total Primary Energy Supply Shares, World Total Fuel Shares of Electricity Generation
■ Global Coal Consumption Outlook ------------------------------------------------5Global Coal Consumption Outlook, Coal Shares of Power Generation in Major Countries
■ Global Coal Reserves ----------------------------------------------------------------6
■ World Coal Trade ---------------------------------------------------------------------7
■ World Coal Exporters and Importers ----------------------------------------------8
■ Trends in Coal Exports and Imports by Major Countries ---------------------9
■ Coal Consumption in Japan --------------------------------------------------------10Coal Consumption by Industry, Total Electricity Generation and Generation by Fuel Type
■ Trends in Domestic and Imported Coal in Japan and Import Sources ---11Volume of Domestic and Imported Coal Supply, Japan’s Coal Import Sources
■ Australian Coal Prices 1: Annual ---------------------------------------------------12
■ Australian Coal Prices 2: Quarterly ------------------------------------------------13
Table of ContentsTable of Contents
33
51.3 Years114.9 Years59.5 Years42.8 YearsLife of Reserves (R/P)
53,700 Tonnes
6.341 Billion Tonnes
3.24 Trillion m3
3.94 Billion Tonnes
Annual Production(P)
15.216.832.910.2CIS
6.34.27.610.4Africa
51.043.38.43.6Asia-Pacific
1.60.239.562.2Middle East
0.72.52.71.3Europe
8.61.33.88.5Central and South America
16.5 %31.8 %5.6 %3.7%North America
Reserve status by region
2.755 Million Tonnes
728 Billion Tonnes
192 Trillion m3
169 Billion Tonnes
Reserves (R)
UraniumCoalNatural GasCrude OilWorldwide Data as of 2010Worldwide Data as of 2010
Source:BGR Reserves, Resources and Availability of Energy Resources 2011
Global Energy Resources ReservesGlobal Energy Resources Reserves
44
Global Energy Resource SupplyGlobal Energy Resource Supply
Source:IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2012 Source:IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2012
*Others include Geothermal, Solar, Wind Power etc. **Others include Geothermal, Solar, Wind Power, Biofuels, Renewable Energy etc.
Coal Coal 27.3%27.3%
Oil Oil 32.4%32.4%
LNGLNG21.4%21.4%
NuclearNuclear 5.7%5.7%
Hydro 2.3%Hydro 2.3%
Combustible Combustible RenewablesRenewablesand Wasteand Waste 10.0%10.0% Others*Others*
0.9%0.9%
World Total Fuel Shares of World Total Fuel Shares of Electricity Generation 2010Electricity Generation 2010
Coal Coal 40.6%40.6%
OilOil4.6%4.6%
LNGLNG22.2%22.2%
NuclearNuclear12.9%12.9%
HydroHydro16.0%16.0%
Others**Others**3.7%3.7%
World Total Primary Energy Supply World Total Primary Energy Supply 20102010
55
16%
27%
44%
46%
68%
78%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
China
India
US
Germany
Japan
Russia
Source:EIA International Energy Outlook2011 Source:IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2012
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Central andSouth America
Africa
Middle East
Russia/ EasternEurope
Europe
North America
Other Asia
Australia/NZ
South Korea
Japan
India
China
Million Tons
Year
TOTAL TOTAL 6,1196,119
7,4747,4747,8707,870
8,2358,235
8,9908,990
9,7419,741
10,46110,461
Global Coal Consumption OutlookGlobal Coal Consumption Outlook Coal Shares of Electricity Generation Coal Shares of Electricity Generation in Selected Countries 2010in Selected Countries 2010
Global Coal Consumption OutlookGlobal Coal Consumption Outlook
66Source:BGR Reserves, Resources and Availability of Energy Resources 2011
US US (Total 2,566)(Total 2,566) 2,258
308
SubSub--bituminous and bituminous and Brown CoalBrown Coal
(100Million (100Million tonnestonnes))
Anthracite and Anthracite and Bituminous coalBituminous coal
(100 Million (100 Million tonnestonnes))Data in 2011Data in 2011
CanadaCanada(Total 66)(Total 66)
4322
ColombiaColombia 49
Other Latin American Other Latin American CountriesCountries(Total 93)(Total 93)
4951
RussiaRussia(Total 1,600)(Total 1,600)
687914
ChinaChina(Total 1,916)(Total 1,916)
1,806
110
IndonesiaIndonesia(Total 172)(Total 172)
9378
Other Other Asia/OceaniaAsia/Oceania(Total 1,168)(Total 1,168)911
256
AustraliaAustralia(Total 809)(Total 809)
438371
India India (Total 795)(Total 795)
49
746
EuropeEurope(Total 880)(Total 880)
180
700
South AfricaSouth Africa
280
23
Other African Other African countriescountries
Global Coal ReservesGlobal Coal Reserves
77
World Coal TradeWorld Coal Trade
Japan imports coal approximately 180 million tonnes annually which is 16% of the world coal trade, 1,100 million tonnes.
Source:IEA Coal Information 2012
Data in 2011(Million tonnes):Red- increased, Blue- decreased from 2010
Other European countries
49.623.8
7.959.0
Asia (Import includes China)
574.0
7.9
8.2
18.4
North America
28.7
Latin America
35.3
9.6
4.6
(to OECD Europe)
(to OECD Europe)38.8
5.3
51.3
13.9
Africa / Middle East
23.8
1.5
Canada32.1
2.5
18.9
7.4
10.6
4.4
28.2
OECD Europe231.2
(to Other European countries)7.4
3.7(from US)
1.7
1.9
5.3
14.6 (to Asia and China)
0.7
3.4
7.3
(to Africa and Middle East)
262.7
10.8
37.9
10.1
51.3
38.8
5.3
Japan175.4
11.9
1.9
8.1
0.9
0.6
109.7
(to North America)
1.1
1.1 (from South Africa)
(from South Africa)
145.7
China (Export)
12.7
(to Latin America)
18.2
Australia283.4
Russia 117.3
Poland8.1
3.7
US93.9
9.2
1.2(to Other Europe)
1.2
Colombia89.0
(from US)
(from Colombia)
(from Canada)
(from Colombia)
(from US)
33.7
0.97.8(to Africa and
Middle East)
7.8From Colombia)
Kazakhstan24.4
0.6
2.9
0.9(to Other European countries)
(from Indonesia)(to Latin America)
1.2
(from Russia)
1.2(to Japan)
0.7
(from South Africa)
South Africa67.3
Indonesia309.0
(to OECD Europe)
88
US8%
Others*9%China
2% Indonesia26%
Australia25%Russia
11%
Colombia7%
South Africa6%
Canada3%
Kazakhstan3%
India10%
Others**30%
Russia2%
UK3%
Germany4%
Taiwan6%
South Korea12%
Japan16%
China17%
Source : IEA Coal Information 2012
World Total Coal World Total Coal Export 2011Export 2011
1,141.98 1,141.98 million million tonnestonnes
World Total Coal World Total Coal Import 2011Import 2011
1,102.411,102.41million million tonnestonnes
*Others includes Poland, Venezuela, Ukraine, India etc.*Others includes Poland, Venezuela, Ukraine, India etc. **Others includes Belgium, France, Spain, US, Canada etc.**Others includes Belgium, France, Spain, US, Canada etc.
Coal ExportersCoal Exporters Coal ImportersCoal Importers
World Coal Exporters and ImportersWorld Coal Exporters and Importers
99Source:IEA Coal Information 2012
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011e
Japan(import) South Korea(import) China(import) India(import) Taiwan(import)
Australia(export) Indonesia(export) US(export) China(export)(Million tonnes)
(Year)
Trends in Coal Exports and Imports of Selected Trends in Coal Exports and Imports of Selected CountriesCountries
1010
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1985 1995 20050
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Total Coal Sales(left axis) Cokes(right axis)Ceramic, stone,clay(right axis) Steel(right axis)Electricity(right axis)
Source:IEA World Energy Outlook 2012Source: Agency of Natural Resources and Energy,2012 Annual Report on Energy
(Million tonnes)
(Year)
Coal Consumption by IndustryCoal Consumption by Industry Total Electric Generation and Shares Total Electric Generation and Shares of Generating Sourcesof Generating Sources
Coal Consumption in JapanCoal Consumption in Japan
(Million tonnes)
14.6%
27.6% 25.7%
29.2%8.1%
10.7%
4.2%
19.2%24.3%
32.4%
29.1%
30.4% 33.6%16.8%
28.7%
30.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1990 2010 2015f 2020f0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Coal OilLNG NuclearHydro OthersTotal Electricity Generation(right axis)
1111
China 2%
US 4%
Others1%
Canada 5%
Russia 7%
Indonesia19%
Australia62%
020406080
100120140160180200
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2011 (Year)
(Miliion tonnes)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Import Ratio (%)
Trends in Domestic / Imported Coal and Import Trends in Domestic / Imported Coal and Import SourcesSources
Source: Agency for Natural Resources and Energy,2012 Annual Report on Energy
■ 99.4% of coal being supplied in Japan is imported.
■ 62% of total import (175 million tonnes) is from Australia.
Volumes of Domestic and Volumes of Domestic and Imported Coal SupplyImported Coal Supply JapanJapan’’s Coal Import Sourcess Coal Import Sources
Imported Imported coalcoal
Domestic Domestic productionproduction
1212
330.00
29.50
79.50
240.00254.10
125.00
172.00
300.00
125.00
39.80
121.00
95.00
129.85
52.5028.75
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
Hard Coking Coal(Steel material) 39.80 42.79 46.00 44.00 57.00 125.00 115.00 98.00 300.00 129.00 200.00 330.00 206 172.00
Semi-soft Coking Coal(Steel material) 29.50 35.40 31.92 29.92 42.00 79.50 58.00 63.90 240.00 81.00 167.00 254.10 147.00 121.00
Thermal Coal(Electricity and general industry) 28.75 34.50 31.85 26.75 45.00 52.50 52.50 55.50 125.00 70.50 97.75 129.85 115.00 95.00
FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 Q1 FY2011 Q1 FY2012 Q1 FY2013 Q1
206-210
*See the next page
Australian Coal Price Chart 1 : AnnualAustralian Coal Price Chart 1 : Annual
Price (US$/Mt)
(Mitsui Matsushima Co. Ltd. Research)
*Thermal Coal prices are fixed ones in April of each year.
1313
206.00
254.10
172.00
200.00
330.00
121.00
147.00167.00
95.00
115.00
129.85
97.75
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
Hard Coking Coal(Steel material) 200.00 225.00 209.00 225.00 330.00 315.00 285.00 235.00 206.00 225.00 170.00 165.00 172.00
Semi-soft Coking Coal(Steel material) 167.00 172.00 143.00 180.00 254.10 212.00 179.00 145.00 147.00 147.00 117.00 117.00 121.00
Thermal Coal(Electricity and general industry) 97.75 97.75 97.75 97.75 129.85 129.85 129.85 129.85 115.00 115.00 115.00 115.00 95.00
FY2010 Q1 FY2010 Q2 FY2010 Q3 FY2010 Q4 FY2011 Q1 FY2011 Q2 FY2011 Q3 FY2011 Q4 FY2012 Q1 FY2012 Q2 FY2012 Q3 FY2012 Q4 FY2013 Q1
254.1-264.0 212-242.55 179.0 -182.0 145.0-179.0
206.0-210.0
Price (US$/Mt)
Australian Coal Price Chart 2 : QuarterlyAustralian Coal Price Chart 2 : Quarterly
(Mitsui Matsushima Co. Ltd. Research)
*Thermal Coal prices are fixed ones in April of each year.
1414
Source publication list
●IEA International Energy Agency
Coal Information 2012 (published in Nov. 2012)
Key World Energy STATISTICS 2012 (published in Nov.2012)
World Energy Outlook2012 (published in Nov. 2012)
●EIA U.S. Energy Information Administration
International Energy Outlook2011 (published in Sep. 2011)
●BGR Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources
Reserves, Resources and Availability of Energy Resources 2011 (published in Jun. 2011)
●Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, 2012 Annual Report on Energy (published in Dec.2012)