redevelopment commission pp 9.01.11

56
Seth Harry and Associates, Inc. Beaufort Retail Report Debriefing: Redevelopment Commission September 1, 2011

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Page 1: Redevelopment commission pp 9.01.11

Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

Beaufort Retail Report Debriefing:

Redevelopment Commission

September 1, 2011

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Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

The Market

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Extra-Regional Context

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Regional Competitive Context

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Local Competitive Context

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Local Competitive Context

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Market Context

Primary:(Daily Needs)

Secondary:(Shoppers Goods)

Tertiary:(Regional/Specialty Goods)

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5 min -

Population:5,282/ 5,054/ 5,147

Households:2,210 /2,158/2,205

Median HH Income:$34,265$41,984$47,811

10 min -

Population:18,566/ 19,756/ 20,923

Households:7,371/ 7,930/ 8,413

Median HH Income:$38,260$47,757$54,507

30 min -

Population:64,891/ 73,633/ 80,129

Households:21,893/ 25,758/ 28,320

Median HH Income:$38,615$48,070$54,169

Demographics (2000, 2010, 2015)

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Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

Demand(Potential) 5/10/15 min:

$56,537,694$48,666,322/$ 7,871,372

$179,242,620/$ 29,320,982

$574,680,879/$ 92,221,799

Supply(est.):

$143,125,115$118,781,660/$ 24,343,455

$329,412,426/$ 56,929,091

$912,903,068/$ 76,602,630

Leakage/SurplusFactor:

- $86,587,421- 41.9- 51.1

- 29.5- 32.0

-22.79.3

By NAICS:

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Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

Oversupply Verses

Inflow of consumer dollars:

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Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

Retail Sales per Square foot:

Range:$30 – 80/sq. ft.w/ some notable

exceptions

Restaurant Sales per Square foot:

Range:$200 – 300/sq. ft.

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Psycho-graphic Trends

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Psycho-graphic Trends

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Psycho-graphic Trends

•Mid-life Junction•Up and Coming Families•Great Expectations

•Rural Bypasses•Military Proximate•Silver and Gold

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Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

Psychographic Characteristics

Diverse in many ways but --with the exception of “Gold and Silver” – have modest income levels, and are considered careful spenders, who frequent discount retailers and family-style chain restaurants.

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Psychographic Characteristics

“Up and Coming Families”represents one of the best long-term capture potentials –young in median age with a high level of disposable income.

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Strategic Response(threats and opportunities)

• Nearby Shopping Centers compete for local purchases

• Internet/Hilton Head Competes for Shoppers Goods

• Tanger Factory Outlets (Fashion/apparel focus)

• Ad hoc Visitor experience

Threats:

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Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

Strategic Response

• Unique physical setting/waterfront environment

• Congestion on 278 (nobody goes there anymore, it’s too popular)

• Catalytic/transformative Uses• Changing Demographics

Opportunities

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Critical Issues• Market Positioning• Merchandising Plan• Coordinated Operating Hours/Comprehensive management

• Lighting• Parking• Revenue/maintenance• Upper-story uses (code)• Funding mechanisms• Gentrification

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Strategic Response• Capture a larger share of the localconsumer market

• Capture a larger share of the visitor market

• Embrace Change while retaining core strengths and attributes(Pursue Catalytic Projects)

• Diversify Economy/appeal

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• Redefine what Constitutes “Downtown” Beaufort

• Broaden diversity of goods and experiences within “niche” focus, while avoiding unanticipated/ unwanted “niche” stigmas

• Create flexible, robust “framework” to guide change in an organic, but consistently positive direction

Strategic Response

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Comprehensive Management:

• Merchandising Plan• Marketing• Coordinated Operating Hours/Management

• Lighting• Parking• Events programming

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Merchandising Plan (current):

P

P

P

P

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Merchandising Plan (proposed):

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Merchandising Plan:

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• Design/Merchandising Strategies• Signage• Lighting• Way-finding• Street furnishings• Landscaping• Security/maintenance/Visitor Assistance (ambassadors)

• Visitor Amenities/Restrooms

Strategic Responses

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Building Design

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Tenant Design Guidelines

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Influential/Supportive Policies and Funding Sources

• Historic Review Board• National Rehab Code/• Federal and State Rehabilitation Tax Credits

• Federal New Markets Tax Credits• Special Events Funding• TIF/BID• Low-interest revolving loan fund• Public/private Grants

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Strategic Responses

•More frequent/locally targeted events

• Initiate merchant enhancement policies/programs

• Initiate merchant recruitment strategies

• More Jobs and more people living downtown

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Demographic Trends

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Demographic Trends

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Demographic Trends

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Demographic Trends

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Demographic Trends

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General Observations/recommendation:

• Need to refine and sharpen market positioning strategy

• Secure more detailed information on the Visitor market, and update frequently

• Restaurants are leading the leading the curve in setting the tone, and “proving the market” – retail needs to follow suit

• Hours/days of operation is probably the biggest short-term impediment to growing market share

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Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

General Observations/recommendation:

• Many stores need to improve quality and “freshness” of interior design/ merchandising

• Traffic flow/parking needs addressing, including narrow sidewalks

• Create more reasons to come downtown• Consider, dedicated, targeted recruitment campaign

• Wherever possible, align local buyer’s preferences with visitor market merchandise (broaden appeal)

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Seth Harry and Associates, Inc.

General Observations/recommendation:

• Encourage new investment through more flexible regulatory/design parameters

• Aggressively pursue catalytic opportunities by leveraging existing assets

• Tailor downtown housing/redevelopment options to target specific consumer groups through segmentation analysis

• Redefine “downtown” as a broader set of unique districts, to enhance visitor draw

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General Observations/recommendation:

• Break potential disinvestment cycle –build on momentum

• Pursue “best in class” merchants with unique, one of a kind products

• Diversify offerings/price points within broad merchandise categories

• “Grow your own” grocery concept• Aim for where the market is heading – not where its been

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Summary:• Modest local market, further challenged by current recession• Large supply of commercially zoned land just outside of town• Physical constraints represented by the historic downtown core

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Key Strategic Response:• Increase market share by offering a broader array of branded merchandise• Develop/enhance the local consumer market in both size and demographic attributes.• Capitalize on demographic trends favoring compact, walkable communities, and an amenity rich environment

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What does Beaufort want to be?

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A. A traditional coastal community, trading on its

history and cultural assets,appealing to a well-defined,

consistent audience

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B. A diverse community, representing a broad socio-economic spectrum whose

attraction to Beaufort is based upon a combination of local traditions and natural

amenities

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C. A dynamic, forward looking City of the future which embraces its past while positioning itself as a

sustainable community where young families and adults can

pursue their dreams in exciting and fulfilling ways

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D. All of the above.

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Not a single “big idea,”rather --

A multi-faceted approach within

a flexible, well-coordinated,and comprehensive

framework …