reaching commodity derivatives to farmers may 2006

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  • 8/9/2019 Reaching Commodity Derivatives to Farmers May 2006

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    Reaching the Benefits of Commodity Derivatives

    to Indian Farmers

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

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    Risk: Farmers Perspective

    Need: It will be good if I can be assured of my post-

    harvest price when I am making my planting decision

    Solution: Sell Futures

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    ,

    there is too little rain, or too much rain, or rain at wrongtime, or some pest / insect attack. Market price goes up,

    but I get stuck with smaller crop and lower price

    Solution: Buy Put Option

    Recommendation: Permit Options

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

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    Execution: Farmers Perspective

    Need: My objective is price protection for what I amproducing, I cant manage Exchange margins etc., Iwould simply want to deliver my goods & settle

    But: My lot size is too small to take it all the way to one ofthe Exchange delivery centre. Cost is too high for thatlong distance

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    Also: The variety / quality that I produce is not theExchange grade. In fact my grade fetches me betterprice

    Solution: I want to sell & deliver to my regular buyer, if hecan give me an option embedded forward price

    Recommendation: Permit Cash Market Contracts where

    pricing could be in the nature of OTC Options

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

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    Option Pricing: Farmers Perspective

    Need: While I understand the logic of Option premium,

    very often the premium is so high, the option doesnt look

    worthwhile

    Solution: I dont mind giving up some upside to reduce

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    Possibility: Write options in coupled transactions to

    reduce the cost by getting some premium

    Structures: Caps, Barriers, Averages etc

    Recommendation: Do not restrict writing options, in case

    of coupled transactionsS Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

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    Selling: Farmers Perspective

    Need: I end up selling immediately after harvest, as I do

    not have storage capacity, or because I need cash,

    although I know that the price will be higher a few weekslater

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    , ,

    Pricing transactions

    Possibility: I can then deliver soon after harvest, take

    cash when I want, price when I think it is highest

    Recommendation: Reform APMC Act to facilitate

    flexibility to delink. Warehouse Receipt negotiability is a

    precondition too.S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

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    Downside of ignoring these needs

    Uncertain Cash flows to farmers shall result in people

    moving away from farming business resulting in:

    lower domestic production leading to higher inflation

    higher dependence on imports, leading to trade

    imbalances for the Country (larger deficits in BoP)

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    o pay ng a en on o ese nee s o armers s aincrease disparity between rich and poor in the country

    resulting in:

    Social unrest

    Political tensions

    As 57% of Indian workforce is in agriculture, uncertain

    cash flows to farmers shall result in lower growth rates

    for the sector slowing down the economy

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    Conclusion

    Fragmented Size, Geographic Dispersion, and

    Heterogeneity in Circumstances are the fundamental

    characteristics of Indian farmer

    Market institutions (futures, options, insurance etc) and

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    Regulatory Framework (APMC, WHR etc) need to be inplace to make the Indian farmers globally competitive

    Need Institutional Intermediaries who can bundle (i) cashmarket transactions, (ii) gateway to exchange

    transactions, (iii) OTC options (iv) physical reach into

    the villages

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    ITC eChoupal is one such potential Intermediary

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

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    What is eChoupal?

    A two-tier infrastructure, specifically designed

    to deliver multiple services for both farming and farm

    produce marketing in an integrated manner to suit the unique character of rural India,and

    to cater to the evolving needs of demand driven food

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    agr cu ture va ue c a n More importantly

    Farmers can access information and knowledge freeof cost,

    and have a freedom of choice when it comes totransactions

    ITC recovers the costs by unlocking value fromstreamlining the supply chain

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    Characteristics of Rural India

    Farmers are small

    impacting their bargaining power Villages are geographically dispersed

    impacting real-time access to information

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    Variation in circumstances (agro-ecology, resources) impacting costs & scope of customisation

    The infrastructure is also weak, and still evolving Physical, Social, Institutional

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    And historically, the markets evolved

    in this context

    The traditional middlemen

    made up for the lack of infrastructure

    lent money, sold inputs and bought output

    but, created an exploitative cycle of dependency

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    were more appropriate for the supply driven value

    chains in an economy of shortages

    e.g. mandi (a fair price discovery mechanism, but

    the sunk cost of transport limits choices)

    e.g. agri extension system (delivered great results

    during Green Revolution days, where the

    communication needs were more generic)

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    Demands of the globalising trade

    1. Transition from supply-driven to demand-driven valuechains

    Quality as per customer needs (& changing diets)

    Traceability to farms & farm practices (SPS, TBT)

    2. Competitiveness in Price / Value equation

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    Lower transaction costs along the chain

    Further accentuating the need for

    Customised knowledge

    Real-time & relevant information Access to quality inputs at competitive prices

    Effective vertical coordination of the value chain

    Efficient Price discovery & risk management

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    ITC eChoupal, by leveraging Information

    Technology, takes on these challenges

    By virtually aggregating the small farmers and linking

    them to various entities in the supply chain Improving transaction efficiency

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    e ver ng rea t me n ormat on to many armersdirectly across geographies

    Facilitating informed choices

    Provide customized solutions for a farmers specificneed with the help of experts

    Increasing farm yields

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    Reaching IT to the Farmer Tier 1

    eChoupal @ Village Level (Within 5 KM reach of all

    target farmers)

    Sanchalak, a farmer selected from within the

    village & trained, interfaces between Computer

    and the Community

    Computer with Multimedia & Internet Access

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    Additional investments in Solar Power & VSATs toovercome weak infrastructure

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    Reaching IT to the Farmer Tier 2

    Choupal Saagar @ Cluster level (within 30 KM from all

    Choupals)

    Samyojak, a trader appointed by ITC, provides

    various services under ITC supervision e.g. QualityTesting, Electronic Weighment, Storage, Payments

    New made-to-design hubs being built, to overcome

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    e s or age o space n e ra ona ware ouses

    for parking (tractors / trollies) and farmer utilities,

    besides many operational problems

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    ITC eChoupal Services 2

    Training the Sanchalaks in appropriate productiontechnologies

    who in turn disseminate to other farmers Custom built local language web portals contain

    weather conditions forecasts together with

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    frequently asked questions on farming

    Web casting of specially prepared video films on bestfarming practices Video

    Testing facilities (new as well as access to existing) Soil, germination, virus etc

    Supply chain for quality farm inputs Video

    Innovative schemes like self reliance in soy seed

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    The Financial Products Portfolio

    Insurance

    Life General

    Weather

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    Crop Motor

    Health

    Credit Credit Rating Services

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    All these services are delivered through

    Collaborative effort

    18 Agri Input Companies (from bothPublic & Private sector)

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006

    State Agricultural Universities

    Some Krishi Vigyan Kendras

    National Research Centers of ICAR

    Indian Meteorological Department

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    Thank You

    S Sivakumar, ITC Limited May 2006