reach solar consultants - presentation at intersolar india 2013 | learnings from india's 2gw...

43
PV Plant Design Optimization Learning from India's 2GW Installations www.reach-solar.com

Upload: sdchrosis

Post on 03-Jul-2015

2.037 views

Category:

Business


0 download

DESCRIPTION

The presentation given by REACH Solar Consultants at the Intersolar India Conference 2013 - Learnings from India's 2GW Installations featuring insights into CUF and Performance Ratio of Solar Power Plants.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

PV Plant Design

OptimizationLearning from India's 2GW Installations

www.reach-solar.com

Page 2: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Performance Data

www.reach-solar.com

• For this presentation

• Sample of 50 plants

operational for at least

one year in Gujarat

• 28 with c-Si and 22 Thin

Film

Page 3: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

This is how the data

tables look like

www.reach-solar.com

?

Page 4: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

CUF: What do you

expect?www.reach-solar.com

?

Page 5: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

www.reach-solar.com

2

0

2

3 3

6

14

16

1

3

12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%

Frequency Distribution CUF Values

Highest CUF 21.3%

Lowest CUF 12.2%

The Difference:

Absolute: 9.1% | Factor: 1.75

Page 6: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

www.reach-solar.com

60.00%

92.00%

94.00%

40%

8%

6%

Top Performers vs. All Others

2

0

23 3

6

14

16

1

3

12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%

Frequency Distribution CUF Values

Page 7: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Is this problem specific

to India?www.reach-solar.com

?

Page 8: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

No, it is not!“Nevertheless, the PV systems evaluable per region showed

significant deviations in their respective yields. Although located

in a similar environment, the yield variation in some regions was

up to 20 %. Assessment of the quartiles revealed 75 % of the

plants underperforming compared to the top performing

plants. Another 5 % were included in the group of outliers

due to their overall yield being too low for this study. The

significance test proves that, due to the sufficiently high number

of evaluable PV plants, the statistical results of our study reflect

the actual yields of the PV systems to a high degree.”

- Source: Survey on yield of photovoltaic plants 2012 in Germany

by Meteocontrol (Prof. Dr. Henirk te Heesen et al.

www.reach-solar.com

Page 9: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Is it because of the

panels?www.reach-solar.com

?

Page 10: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

www.reach-solar.com

1 1 1 1

7

9

1 11 1

2

3

5

7 7

0

2

12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%

CUF vs. Technology

Thin Film c-Si

Note:

There are 28 c-Si, but

only 22 Thin Film

installations in this

sample!

Page 11: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

www.reach-solar.com

12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%

CUF vs. Technology II

Thin Film c-Si

Bottom line:

There are very good and not so good

performing plants either with Thin Film

or c-Si!

Page 12: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Is it because of the

size?www.reach-solar.com

?

Page 13: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

www.reach-solar.com

Bottom line:

Do larger / smaller plants perform better?

One thing is for sure: The sample of 50

plants is too small to give an answer.

15.40

17.55

11.73 11.67 11.67

14.59 14.14

10.22

6.67

12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%

CUF vs. Average Installed Capacity

Average Installed Capacity

Page 14: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

So what can we learn

from this?www.reach-solar.com

?

Page 15: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

A Skeptical Thesis

• We do not have enough information, because

• Generation Data and CUF do not provide the

right or enough insights

www.reach-solar.com

Page 16: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Why have we done this

exercise?www.reach-solar.com

?

Page 17: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Reasons

• #1: To understand better the limitations of CUF and

generation data

• #2: To build awareness that there might be a

problem & that there is room for improvement

• #3: Not specific to India – happens also in Germany

/ Europe so it affects the whole industry

www.reach-solar.com

Page 18: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

CUF: What goes into the

equation…

• Units generated

• Installed Capacity

• Time (e.g. 1 year)

www.reach-solar.com

hkWCapacityInstalled

kWhMeasuredEnergyCUF

8760)(

)(

Page 19: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

CUF: What goes not into

the equation…

• Ambient

Temperature

• Panel Temperature

• Irradiation at Project

Site

www.reach-solar.com

• Grid related aspects

• Availability

• Frequency

Page 20: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

PR: A Different Approach

• Instead of asking:

What was achieved

without asking

about the frame-

conditions and

circumstances

• Ask:

What could have

been achieved

considering all the

frame conditions?

www.reach-solar.com

Page 21: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

www.reach-solar.com

77.58%81.54%

78.90% 78.63%76.00% 75.90%

72.03% 74.42% 76.39% 78.32%72.80% 70.60%

4%10%

14%18%

25%21% 19% 21% 19%

9%4% 3%

January February March April May June July August September October November December

Comparison of CUF and PR for a PV System in Germany(2012)

Performance Ratio [%] CUF [%]

Page 22: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Takeaways

• #1: Great components do not automatically lead to

high performing plants

• #2: Design has a huge impact (but not only

electrical design!)

• #3: CUF is a good tool but will not provide the

complete picture

• #4: PR is also a tool for quality management

www.reach-solar.com

Page 23: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

DESIGN

CHALLENGES

www.reach-solar.com

Page 24: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Design for Reliabilitywww.reach-solar.com

Component Capacity Nos Installed Plant

Capacity Lost

Chance of

Detection

1 Panel 250Wp 4000 0.025% “0”

1 String 5kWp 200 0.5% Not very likely

1 SCB 50kWp 20 5% Possible

1 Inverter 500kW 2 50% Likely

1 Transformer 1000kW 1 100% Most likely

*1MW plant – not a real application; simplified for illustration

Page 25: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

“Classical Approach”

•#1: Panels

•#2: Inverter

•#3: Temperature

www.reach-solar.com

Page 26: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

“Classical Approach”

•#1: Panels

•#2: Inverter

•#3: Temperature Price

www.reach-solar.com

Page 27: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Performance of Panelswww.reach-solar.com

80%

82%

84%

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

0 5 10 15 20 25

Min. Performance and Typical Performance of c-Si Panels vs. Time in Operation (Aging Process)

Min. Performance Typical Performance

Page 28: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Temperature

De-Rating

Performance of Inverterwww.reach-solar.com

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Sta

nd

ard

ized

Ou

tpu

t P

ow

er

Ambient Temperature

Simplified Output Power vs. Ambient Temperature

Page 29: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Is focusing on Panels

and Inverters enough?www.reach-solar.com

Page 30: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Drainage & Civil Workswww.reach-solar.com

Page 31: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

SCBswww.reach-solar.com

Page 32: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

SCB: Mission Critical Componentwww.reach-solar.com

Component Capacity Nos Installed Plant

Capacity Lost

Chance of

Detection

1 Panel 250Wp 4000 0.025% “0”

1 String 5kWp 200 0.5% Not very likely

1 SCB 50kWp 20 5% Possible

1 Inverter 500kW 2 50% Likely

1 Transformer 1000kW 1 100% Most likely

*1MW plant – not a real application; simplified for illustration

Page 33: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Transformer Monitoringwww.reach-solar.com

Page 34: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

…also at Plant

Level?www.reach-solar.com

Page 35: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Transformer: Mission Critical

Componentwww.reach-solar.com

Component Capacity Nos Installed Plant

Capacity Lost

Chance of

Detection

1 Panel 250Wp 4000 0.025% “0”

1 String 5kWp 200 0.5% Not very likely

1 SCB 50kWp 20 5% Possible

1 Inverter 500kW 2 50% Likely

1 Transformer 1000kW 1 100% Most likely

*1MW plant – not a real application; simplified for illustration

Page 36: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Mounting Structureswww.reach-solar.com

Page 37: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Mounting Structureswww.reach-solar.com

Page 38: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Mounting Structures: Mission Critical

Componentwww.reach-solar.com

Component Capacity Nos Installed Plant

Capacity Lost

Chance of

Detection

1 Panel 250Wp 4000 0.025% “0”

1 String 5kWp 200 0.5% Not very likely

1 SCB 50kWp 20 5% Possible

1 Inverter 500kW 2 50% Likely

1 Transformer 1000kW 1 100% Most likely

*1MW plant – not a real application; simplified for illustration

Page 39: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

No, it is not specific to India!www.reach-solar.com

Page 40: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Mounting Structureswww.reach-solar.com

Page 41: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Conclusion• Plant Efficiency

• EPCs and Owners Engineers – educate your clients about plant efficiency (PR vs. CUF)

• Quality Control• Install and use a SCADA system to monitor and document

the plant performance

• System Deployment• Deploy a system – focus on all design aspects (not only

electrical, but also civil)

• Share• Share your generation and performance data to set a

benchmark

www.reach-solar.com

Page 42: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

www.reach-solar.com

80 / 20

Top Performing

Plants Now

Top Performing

Plants in Future

Page 43: REACH Solar Consultants - Presentation at Intersolar India 2013 | Learnings from India's 2GW Installations

Contact Us

REACH Solar Consulting P Ltd.

S3 Team Business Center

98 V M Street, Mylapore

Chennai 600004

India

[email protected]

c/o CHROSIS UG

Hallerstrasse, 27

74549 Wolpertshausen

Germany

[email protected]

www.reach-solar.com