reach solar consultants - presentation at intersolar india 2013 | learnings from india's 2gw...
DESCRIPTION
The presentation given by REACH Solar Consultants at the Intersolar India Conference 2013 - Learnings from India's 2GW Installations featuring insights into CUF and Performance Ratio of Solar Power Plants.TRANSCRIPT
PV Plant Design
OptimizationLearning from India's 2GW Installations
www.reach-solar.com
Performance Data
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• For this presentation
• Sample of 50 plants
operational for at least
one year in Gujarat
• 28 with c-Si and 22 Thin
Film
This is how the data
tables look like
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?
CUF: What do you
expect?www.reach-solar.com
?
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2
0
2
3 3
6
14
16
1
3
12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%
Frequency Distribution CUF Values
Highest CUF 21.3%
Lowest CUF 12.2%
The Difference:
Absolute: 9.1% | Factor: 1.75
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60.00%
92.00%
94.00%
40%
8%
6%
Top Performers vs. All Others
2
0
23 3
6
14
16
1
3
12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%
Frequency Distribution CUF Values
Is this problem specific
to India?www.reach-solar.com
?
No, it is not!“Nevertheless, the PV systems evaluable per region showed
significant deviations in their respective yields. Although located
in a similar environment, the yield variation in some regions was
up to 20 %. Assessment of the quartiles revealed 75 % of the
plants underperforming compared to the top performing
plants. Another 5 % were included in the group of outliers
due to their overall yield being too low for this study. The
significance test proves that, due to the sufficiently high number
of evaluable PV plants, the statistical results of our study reflect
the actual yields of the PV systems to a high degree.”
- Source: Survey on yield of photovoltaic plants 2012 in Germany
by Meteocontrol (Prof. Dr. Henirk te Heesen et al.
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Is it because of the
panels?www.reach-solar.com
?
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1 1 1 1
7
9
1 11 1
2
3
5
7 7
0
2
12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%
CUF vs. Technology
Thin Film c-Si
Note:
There are 28 c-Si, but
only 22 Thin Film
installations in this
sample!
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12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%
CUF vs. Technology II
Thin Film c-Si
Bottom line:
There are very good and not so good
performing plants either with Thin Film
or c-Si!
Is it because of the
size?www.reach-solar.com
?
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Bottom line:
Do larger / smaller plants perform better?
One thing is for sure: The sample of 50
plants is too small to give an answer.
15.40
17.55
11.73 11.67 11.67
14.59 14.14
10.22
6.67
12% to 13% 13.1% to 14% 14.1% to 15% 15.1% to 16% 16.1% to 17% 17.1% to 18% 18.1% to 19% 19.1% to 20% 20.1% to 21% Above 21%
CUF vs. Average Installed Capacity
Average Installed Capacity
So what can we learn
from this?www.reach-solar.com
?
A Skeptical Thesis
• We do not have enough information, because
• Generation Data and CUF do not provide the
right or enough insights
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Why have we done this
exercise?www.reach-solar.com
?
Reasons
• #1: To understand better the limitations of CUF and
generation data
• #2: To build awareness that there might be a
problem & that there is room for improvement
• #3: Not specific to India – happens also in Germany
/ Europe so it affects the whole industry
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CUF: What goes into the
equation…
• Units generated
• Installed Capacity
• Time (e.g. 1 year)
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hkWCapacityInstalled
kWhMeasuredEnergyCUF
8760)(
)(
CUF: What goes not into
the equation…
• Ambient
Temperature
• Panel Temperature
• Irradiation at Project
Site
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• Grid related aspects
• Availability
• Frequency
PR: A Different Approach
• Instead of asking:
What was achieved
without asking
about the frame-
conditions and
circumstances
• Ask:
What could have
been achieved
considering all the
frame conditions?
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77.58%81.54%
78.90% 78.63%76.00% 75.90%
72.03% 74.42% 76.39% 78.32%72.80% 70.60%
4%10%
14%18%
25%21% 19% 21% 19%
9%4% 3%
January February March April May June July August September October November December
Comparison of CUF and PR for a PV System in Germany(2012)
Performance Ratio [%] CUF [%]
Takeaways
• #1: Great components do not automatically lead to
high performing plants
• #2: Design has a huge impact (but not only
electrical design!)
• #3: CUF is a good tool but will not provide the
complete picture
• #4: PR is also a tool for quality management
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DESIGN
CHALLENGES
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Design for Reliabilitywww.reach-solar.com
Component Capacity Nos Installed Plant
Capacity Lost
Chance of
Detection
1 Panel 250Wp 4000 0.025% “0”
1 String 5kWp 200 0.5% Not very likely
1 SCB 50kWp 20 5% Possible
1 Inverter 500kW 2 50% Likely
1 Transformer 1000kW 1 100% Most likely
*1MW plant – not a real application; simplified for illustration
“Classical Approach”
•#1: Panels
•#2: Inverter
•#3: Temperature
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“Classical Approach”
•#1: Panels
•#2: Inverter
•#3: Temperature Price
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Performance of Panelswww.reach-solar.com
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
0 5 10 15 20 25
Min. Performance and Typical Performance of c-Si Panels vs. Time in Operation (Aging Process)
Min. Performance Typical Performance
Temperature
De-Rating
Performance of Inverterwww.reach-solar.com
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Sta
nd
ard
ized
Ou
tpu
t P
ow
er
Ambient Temperature
Simplified Output Power vs. Ambient Temperature
Is focusing on Panels
and Inverters enough?www.reach-solar.com
Drainage & Civil Workswww.reach-solar.com
SCBswww.reach-solar.com
SCB: Mission Critical Componentwww.reach-solar.com
Component Capacity Nos Installed Plant
Capacity Lost
Chance of
Detection
1 Panel 250Wp 4000 0.025% “0”
1 String 5kWp 200 0.5% Not very likely
1 SCB 50kWp 20 5% Possible
1 Inverter 500kW 2 50% Likely
1 Transformer 1000kW 1 100% Most likely
*1MW plant – not a real application; simplified for illustration
Transformer Monitoringwww.reach-solar.com
…also at Plant
Level?www.reach-solar.com
Transformer: Mission Critical
Componentwww.reach-solar.com
Component Capacity Nos Installed Plant
Capacity Lost
Chance of
Detection
1 Panel 250Wp 4000 0.025% “0”
1 String 5kWp 200 0.5% Not very likely
1 SCB 50kWp 20 5% Possible
1 Inverter 500kW 2 50% Likely
1 Transformer 1000kW 1 100% Most likely
*1MW plant – not a real application; simplified for illustration
Mounting Structureswww.reach-solar.com
Mounting Structureswww.reach-solar.com
Mounting Structures: Mission Critical
Componentwww.reach-solar.com
Component Capacity Nos Installed Plant
Capacity Lost
Chance of
Detection
1 Panel 250Wp 4000 0.025% “0”
1 String 5kWp 200 0.5% Not very likely
1 SCB 50kWp 20 5% Possible
1 Inverter 500kW 2 50% Likely
1 Transformer 1000kW 1 100% Most likely
*1MW plant – not a real application; simplified for illustration
No, it is not specific to India!www.reach-solar.com
Mounting Structureswww.reach-solar.com
Conclusion• Plant Efficiency
• EPCs and Owners Engineers – educate your clients about plant efficiency (PR vs. CUF)
• Quality Control• Install and use a SCADA system to monitor and document
the plant performance
• System Deployment• Deploy a system – focus on all design aspects (not only
electrical, but also civil)
• Share• Share your generation and performance data to set a
benchmark
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80 / 20
Top Performing
Plants Now
Top Performing
Plants in Future
Contact Us
REACH Solar Consulting P Ltd.
S3 Team Business Center
98 V M Street, Mylapore
Chennai 600004
India
c/o CHROSIS UG
Hallerstrasse, 27
74549 Wolpertshausen
Germany
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