ratios and financial analysis

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1 Ratios and Financial Analysis Chapter 4

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Ratios and financial analysis for management students of any university.

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Page 1: Ratios and financial analysis

1

Ratios and Financial Analysis

Chapter 4

Page 2: Ratios and financial analysis

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Ratios and Financial AnalysisRatios : Why» Comparability among firms of different sizes» Provides a profile of the firmCaution:» Economic assumption of Linearity – Proportionality» Nonlinearity can cause problems:» Fixed costs, EOQ for inventories

Benchmarks: Is high Current ratio good? For whom?Industry-wide norms.Accounting Methods; Timing & Window DressingCurrent ratio: 300/200 to 200/100 is it getting better?

Page 3: Ratios and financial analysis

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Negative numbers

Firm Payout Ratios Dividend IncomeA $1,000 $5,000

20.00% B $1,000 $3,000

33.33%C $1,000 $(5,000)

-20.00%

Who has the highest payout ratio ? NOT B

Page 4: Ratios and financial analysis

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Common Size StatementsAll figures divided by the same figure

Balance Sheet: Divide by Total Assets = Liabilities + Equity

Income Statement: Divide byRevenue

Analysis across statements (activity analysis) not possible.

i.e. can not divide a Income Statement by Balance Sheet number

Industry Comparison [Robert Morris Associates]Yahoo Finance

Page 5: Ratios and financial analysis

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1 Activity Analysis

An Income Statement ÷ A Balance Sheet Figure

Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold÷ Average Inventory

Receivables Turnover = Sales ÷ Average Receivables

Fixed Asset Turnover = Sales ÷ Average Fixed Assets

Asset Turnover = Sales ÷ Average Total Assets

[365 / Turnover] is days outstanding.

More Turnover is it always good / bad

Payables Turnover = Purchases ÷ Average Payables

Page 6: Ratios and financial analysis

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2 Liquidity Analysis

Cash Cycle= Days Inventory Outstanding+ Days Receivables Outstanding- Days Payable Outstanding

Current Ratio =

Quick Ratio = Cash + Marketable Securities+ Accounts receivable

÷ Current Liabilities

Cash flow from= Cash flow from operationsoperations ratio ÷ Current LiabilitiesDell: 2004 10-K Look at pages 22 and 31

Page 7: Ratios and financial analysis

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3 Long term Debt and Solvency Analysis

Important for Bond CovenantsDebt = Short-term debt + Long-term debtTotal capital = Debt + Equity

Debt to Equity =

Times Interest Earned =

DebtDebt to total capital =

Total capital

Total AssetsLeverage =

Equity

Page 8: Ratios and financial analysis

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Balance Sheet - reported

Assets

Equity

Long-term debt

Short-term debt

Long-term Payablese.g. retirement benefits,

Deferred taxes

Short-term Payables

Page 9: Ratios and financial analysis

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Balance Sheet - rearrange

Assets

Equity

Long-term debt

Short-term debt

Long-term Payablese.g: retirement benefits

Deferred taxes

Short-term Payables

Interest Paid

No Interest Paid

Page 10: Ratios and financial analysis

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Balance Sheet

Assets

Operating Liabilities

Debt

Equity

0

Int. Exp • (1-t)

Net Income

Cost/return

Page 11: Ratios and financial analysis

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Returns

Operating Liabilities

Debt

Equity

0

Int. Exp • (1-t)

Net Income

Cost/return

After tax Interest Rate

ROE÷

÷

=

=

Page 12: Ratios and financial analysis

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4-1 Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin =

Margin Before Interest & Taxes =

Asset Turnover =

Return on Assets =

SalesAssets

EBITSales

Gross ProfitSales

NI + (1-tax) Int Exp Assets

Page 13: Ratios and financial analysis

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4–2 Profitability Analysis

Return on =Total capital (ROTC)

=

Net Income = (EBIT – Interest Expense) (1 – tax)

Return on Equity =

Debt = average Debt; Equity = Average Equity

Page 14: Ratios and financial analysis

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Ratios – Integrated Analysis

Economic relationships: higher sales leads to higher inventories

Overlap of components: Asset TO ratio is related to individual TO ratios.

Page 15: Ratios and financial analysis

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Ratios as composite of other ratios

Page 148

Page 16: Ratios and financial analysis

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Returns

Operating Liabilities

Debt + Equity =

Total Capital

0

Int. Exp • (1-t)

+Net

Income

Cost/return

ROTC÷ =

Page 17: Ratios and financial analysis

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ROE from ROTC

Page 18: Ratios and financial analysis

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ROTC from ROA

Page 19: Ratios and financial analysis

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4-12 : ROE and ROA (Book)

Net IncomeROE =

Equity

NI + (1-t) Interest Exp (1-t) Interest Exp= -

Equity Equity

NI + (1-t) Interest Exp Assets= •

Assets Equity

(1-t) Interest Exp Assets- •

Assets Equity

(1-t) Interest Exp= ROA -

Asset

Assets :page 142 last

s Equity

[also in 4-12]

Page 20: Ratios and financial analysis

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Total leverage Components

Operating Leverage • Financial Leverage

Contribution Margin After Tax NOPAT= •

NOPAT Net Income

Contribution Margin After Tax=

Net Income

Page 21: Ratios and financial analysis

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M1: ROE from ROA

Page 22: Ratios and financial analysis

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Total leverage

Total Leverage

Change in Net Income Revenue= •

Net Income Change in Revenue

Change in units x CM per unit x (1 - Tax rate)=

Net IncomeUnits x Unit price

•Change in Units X Unit Price

Units x CM per unit x=

(1 - Tax rate)Net Income

Contribution Margin After TaxNet Income