rating methodology sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g · pdf fileoutdated methodology...

33
OUTDATED METHODOLOGY INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE SEPTEMBER 2010 SEPTEMBER 30,2010 䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈䞉䝆䝱䝟䞁ᰴᘧ♫ ┠ḟ: 1. 䛿䛨䜑䛻 1 2. SF CDO 䛾✀㢮 2 3. SF CDO 䛻ᑐ䛩䜛䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈䛾䝰䝕䝸䞁䜾 ᡭἲ 4 4. 䝅䞁䝉䝔䜱䝑䜽ᘬ≉᭷䛾ၥ㢟 12 5. 䛭䛾䛾䝇䝖䝷䜽䝏䝱䞊ཬ䜃ዎ⣙㛵㐃᭩㢮 䛻䛛䛛䜟䜛ၥ㢟 14 6. 䝁䝷䝔䝷䝹䞉䝬䝛䞊䝆䝱䞊ཬ䜃 SF CDO 䛾䛭 䛾䛾ᙜ⪅䛾ᙺ䛾ホ౯ 17 7. ⤖ㄽ 19 1: SF CDO 䛾䛡ドๆရ䛾ᅇ ⋡䛾ᐃ 20 2:⌧㔠Ỵ῭䛜㐺⏝䛥䜜䜛䝅䞁䝉䝔䜱䝑䜽ᆺ SF CDO 䜈䛾ᅇ⋡䝇䝖䝺䝇 22 3: ドๆ䝇䝖䝺䝇䞉䝣䜯䜽䝍䞊 23 4: 䛾᱁♫䛜᱁䛧䛯ドๆရ 䛻㐺⏝䛩䜛᱁䝇䝖䝺䝇 24 5: 䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈䛾⌮䛥䜜䛯ᮇᚅᦆኻ 28 6: 䜰䝉䝑䝖┦㛵䛾ᯟ⤌䜏 29 䝁䞁䝍䜽䝖: ᮾி 03-5408-4100 03-5408-4152 SVP-䝏䞊䝮䝸䞊䝎䞊 [email protected] SF CDO 䛻ᑐ䛩䜛䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈䛾 ᱁ᡭἲ Moody’s Approach to Rating SF CDOs 1. 䛿䛨䜑䛻 ドๆရ䜢䛡䛸䛩䜛CDO(SF CDO) 1 ᮏ䝺䝫䞊䝖䛿䚸SF CDO 䛻ᑐ䛩䜛䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈䛾᱁ᡭἲ䜢ᴫㄝ䛩䜛䜒䛾䛷䛒䜛䛜䚸⡿ᅜ RMBS 䜢䛡䛸䛩䜛 SF CDO 䛷㔜䛺ᦆኻ䛜Ⓨ⏕䛧䛯䛣䛸䜢㋃䜎䛘䛶䚸䛣䜜䜎䛷䛻ຍ䛘䜙䜜 䛯᱁ᡭἲ䛾ኚ᭦Ⅼ䜒⧊䜚㎸䜣䛷䛔䜛䚹䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈䛾ศᯒᡭἲ䛾㦵Ꮚ䜢☜䛩䜛䛣䛸䛜 ㊃᪨䛷䛒䜛䛯䜑䚸ᮏ䝺䝫䞊䝖䛾ᮏ䛷䛿ᢏ⾡ⓗഃ㠃䛻䜎䛷῝䛟ゝཬ䛧䛺䛔䛜䚸㛵㐃䛧䛯ᢏ⾡ ⓗヲ⣽䛾グ㍕䛜䛒䜛せ䛺⊩䜢⬮ὀ䛻䛶⤂䛩䜛䚹ᚋ SF CDO 䛻ᑐ䛩䜛䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈 䛾᱁ᡭἲ䛜ኚ᭦䛥䜜䛯ሙ䚸䛭䜜䜙䜢䛧䛶ᮏ䝺䝫䞊䝖ཬ䜃ཧ↷⊩䜢᭦᪂䛧䛶䛔䛟ண ᐃ䛷䛒䜛䚹 䛿䚸䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈䛜䛣䜜䜎䛷䛻᱁䜢䛧䛶䛝 䛯ドๆရ䛻䛚䛡䜛せ䛺䜰䝉䝑䝖䞉䜽䝷䝇䛾䛴䛷䛒䜛䚹ᙜ䛾SF CDO䛿䚸ᴗ⏝ ⏘䜔CDO 䝖䝷䞁䝅䜵䛾ẚ㔜䛜㧗䛔㒊ᘬ䜢㝖䛡䜀䚸ᖜᗈ䛔ドๆရ䜢䛡䛸䛩䜛 ᘬ䛜䜋䛸䜣䛹䛷䛒䛳䛯䚹䛭䛾ᚋ 2007 ᖺ䜀㡭䛻䛛䛡䛶䛿䚸ఫᏯ䝻䞊䞁ᢸಖドๆ(RMBS)䛡䛸䛩䜛ഴ䜢♧䛩䜘䛖䛻䛺䛳䛯䚹 1 SF CDO 䛿䛂ABS CDO䛃䛒䜛䛔䛿䛂ドๆရ䛃䛸䜒䜀䜜䜛䚹 RATING METHODOLOGY 䛣䛾᱁ᡭἲ䛿䚸⌧⾜䛾䜒䛾䛷䛿䛺䛔䚹䝮䞊䝕䜱䞊䝈䞉䝆䝱䝟䞁䛜⌧ᅾ⏝䛧 䛶䛔䜛᱁ᡭἲ䛿䚸ᘢ♫䜴䜵䝤䝃䜲䝖䜢ཧ↷䛾䛣䛸䚹

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Page 1: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE SEPTEMBER 2010

SEPTEMBER 30,2010

:

1. 1

2. SF CDO 2

3. SF CDO

4

4. 12

5.

14

6. SF CDO

17

7. 19

1: SF CDO

20

2:

SF CDO 22

3: 23

4:

24

5:

28

6: 29

:

03-5408-4100

03-5408-4152 SVP- [email protected]

SF CDO

Moody’s Approach to Rating SF CDOs

1.

CDO(SF CDO)1

SF CDORMBS SF CDO

SF CDO

SF CDOCDO

2007 (RMBS)

1 SF CDO ABS CDO

RATING METHODOLOGY

Page 2: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

2 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

2. SF CDO

2.1.

SF CDO SF CDO SF CDOSF CDO 3

1

1 SF CDO

SPV(CDS)

CDS 2a )2b

2a SF CDO

SPV ABS1ABS2

ABSn

CDO

ABC

CDO CDS

Page 3: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

3 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

2b SF CDO

3 2

3 SF CDO

3 (SPV) ABSCDS CDS

SPV

CDS

2 SF CDO

50%

SPV CDS

CDO

AB

SPV

CDS

CDO

ABC

ABS1ABS2

ABSn

Page 4: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

4 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

2.2.

SF CDO

SF CDO CDO 3

SF CDO CDOROMTM

CDOROM 3.4.1

CDOROM

SF CDO SF CDO

SF CDO

CDO

3. SF CDO

3.1

SF CDO CDO (Expected Loss, "EL"EL EL

3.2.

3.2.1

3.2.1.1.

CDO SF CDO

1

1A2 3% CMBS 35%

A2 CMBS

3

Page 5: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

5 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

33% 1CDOROM 4

3.2.1.2 SF CDO

CDS5 2

6

3.2.1.3

3.2.1.4

CDOROM 7

3.2.2.

10%1 2

3.2.2.1

3.2.2.4

RMBS CMBS ABS SF CDO

SF CDO 8

4 "CDOROM v.2.5 User Guide" (February 2009)

5 "Moody's Approach to Rating Synthetic Re-securitizations" (October 2003)(

CDO (2004 7 ) ) (PAUG)SF CDO

6

7 "CDOROM v2.5 User Guide" (February 2009) 8 3.2.2.1

Page 6: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

6 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

3.2.2.2

(1) = × (1 ) = /(1 )

EL= WAL))

DP= WAL

RR=

5EL9

3.2.2.3

SF CDO10

SF CDO11

SF CDO

SF CDO

420%

3.2.2.4

12

2 13

EL (1) EL1

Aaa1

3.2.2.5 :

SF CDOSF CDO

SF CDO SF CDO

9 ( )

10 "How Moody's Deals With Non-Moody's-Rated Collateral Instruments Within Moody's-Rated CDOs" (December 2003)

11

( )CDOSF CDO CDO

12 "Structured Finance Watchlist Resolutions: 1992-2003" (June 2004) 13 "CDO RatingFactors VOL. II No. 3 Notching Watchlisted Structured Finance Securities in CDOs" (March 2005)

Page 7: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

7 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

SF CDO2 3

1 RMBS EMEA RMBSABS ABS ABS SF CDO

CDO Aaa4 Aaa 12

2 ABS RMBSEMEA RMBS CMBS CLO

2 Aaa 2Aaa 6 2

REIT REIT30% 14

3.2.3

15

SF CDO

6

16

2007

22

17

18

CMBS RMBS ABS

2006 2007 RMBSAaa

CMBS CLO 2 CMBSCLO

14 "Moody's updates key assumptions for rating corporate synthetic CDOs" (January 2009)(

CDO (2009 1 ) ) 15 Robert C. Merton

16 6

17 "Moody's updates its key assumptions for rating structured finance CDOs" (December 2008)(

CDO (2008 12 ) ) 18

(2 RMBS )

Page 8: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

8 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

19

»

» A RMBS 1 RMBS

» SF CDO 1 2

»

»

»

»

6 2 3

3.3 EL

3.3.1

SF CDO2 1)

2)

EL

EL

3.3.2

SF CDO SF CDO:

» SF CDO:20 SF CDO

CDOROM 21

» SF CDO: SF CDO

CDOROM

» SF CDO: SF CDO(Correlated Binomial Expansion Technique, "CBET"

22

SF CDOCBET CDOROM

SF CDO

19 "Moody's updates its key assumptions for rating structured finance CDOs" (December 2008)(

CDO (2008 12 ) ) 20 CDS 21 "CDOROM v2.5 User Guide" (February 2009) 22 "Moody's Correlated Binomial Default Distribution" (August 2004)

Page 9: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

9 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

3.3.3

3.3.3.1 CDO CDOROM

CDOROM SF CDO23

3.2.1

3.2.2.1

3.2.3

24

3.3.4

3.3.4.1 CDO

EL

(2) =

Pj=CBET j

Lj= j

(3) = max 0,

(3) Present Value, "PV"Libor Libor

25

23 "CDOROM v2.5 User Guide"

(February 2009) 24 ( ) "CDOROM v2.5 User Guide" (February

2009) 25 "Using the

Structured Note Methodology to Rate CDO Combo-Notes" (February 2004)

Page 10: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

10 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

3.3.4.2 CDO

SF CDO100%

CDOROM 26

CDOROM(2)

(4) = 1

SF CDO CDOROM

(5) = max 0,

CDOROM SF CDO

60%SF CDO EL CDOROM

SF CDO 3.3.4.1

ELEL

EL 99%

27

3.3.5

ELSF CDO

EL EL5 WAL

ELEL 5

Aa1 Aa2 Aa2

SF CDO CDOROMSF CDO EL

(MM)28

3.3.6 SF CDO

MM 5.0 A1 ELMM 6.0 A2

26 "CDOROM v2.5 User Guide" (February 2009) CDOROM

27 "CDOROM v2.5 User Guide" (February 2009) 28 "Moody's Metric and Its Uses" (June 2006) "Managed Synthetic CDOs: Moody's CDOROMTM Guidelines" (August

2005)( CDO: CDOROMTM (2006 5 ) )

Page 11: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

11 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

SF CDO

3

3.3.7

SF CDO (Event of Default)

SF CDO5.5

3.4

3.4.1 CDOROM

EL EL(MM)

MM ELEL

SF CDO CDOROMCDOROM

CDOROM29

CDOROM

29 "Managed Synthetic CDOs: Moody's CDOROMTM Guidelines" (August 2005)(

CDO: CDOROMTM (2006 5 ) )

Page 12: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

12 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

4.

4.1 30

4.1.1

2b

CDS

4.1.2 EL

EL

ABS ABS(GIC)

CDO

CDS

SF CDOLibor 1 Libor 3 Libor

SF CDO

i) ii)iii)

EL

4.2

CDSEL

SF CDOCDS

EL

(

30 "Understanding Collateral Risks of Funded Synthetics in CDOs" (June 2006)( CDO

(2006 11 ) )

Page 13: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

13 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

4.3 31

3.2.1

ISDA

32

SF CDO (PAUG)

33

PAUG CDS

PAUG CDS

PAUG

34

ABS CDS PAUGCDO SF CDO 3.2.1.2

SF CDO

Caa2

4.4 SF CDO 35

ISDA CDS SF CDO(EOD

EL

ISDA CDS CDS

CDS

EL

SF CDO CDS CDS

SF CDO CDS CDS

36

31 "Moody's Approach To Rating Synthetic Resecuritizations" (October 2003)(

CDO (2004 7 ) )

4.1.2 EL

32 ("Historical Recoveries in Synthetic CDOs: Variation and the Cheapest-to-deliver" (February 2004) )

33 "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Debt Obligations with Pay-As-You-Go Credit Default Swaps" (November 2006)

34 33 35 SF CDO CDS

SF CDO

EL EL 36 CDOROM

Page 14: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

14 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

5.

5.1

SF CDOSF CDO

CDS 37

5.1.1

100%

SF CDO(i) 1 (ii)

(WARF(iii) ( ) OC

( ) 238

5.1.2

39

5.2

SF CDO

SF CDO

P-1Aaa Aa3 P-1

SF CDO40

37

SF CDO

38 Aa2 Aa2Ba1

39 40 "Responses to Frequently Asked CDO Questions(Third of Series)" (March 2004) 10 "Temporary Use of Cash In

Structured Transactions: Eligible Investment Guidelines (The)" (December 2008)(: (2009 2 ) )

Page 15: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

15 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

5.3

5.3.1

41

5.3.2

SF CDO 2SF CDO

SF CDO

SF CDOSF CDO

SF CDO

5.4

5.4.1

SF CDO

21 42

2 20%2

(i)1 (ii)1

5%) 20 (iii)

41 "Responses to Frequently Asked CDO Questions(Third of Series)" (March 2004) 8 42

Page 16: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

16 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

5.4.2

SF CDO

SF CDO

SF CDO

WARF OC SF CDO WAL SF CDO 2

43

5.5 (EOD)

44

1

SF CDO

5.6

SF CDO 45

5.7

SF CDOISDA CSA

SF CDO

43 "CDO RatingFactors VOL. III No. 2 UPDATE: Post-Reinvestment Period Reinvesting in Actively-Managed CDOs"

(April 2006) 44 "UNDERSTANDING THE CONSEQUENCES OF ABS CDO EVENTS OF DEFAULT TRIGGERED BY LOSS OF

OVERCOLLATERALIZATION" (January 2008) 45

Page 17: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

17 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

5.8 RAC

SF CDO RACRAC

6. SF CDO

6.1

6.1.1

SF CDO SF CDO

SF CDO SF CDO

46

SF CDO

47

SF CDO

SF CDO

ADV

48

6.1.2

SF CDO (CMA)CMA 3

»

»

»

CMA

46 "Moody's Approach: Preparing CDO Managers for Moody's Operations Reviews" (December 2002) 47 (RIA) RIA

1940 RIA

48 "CDO Rating Methodology: Moody's Deal Score" (February 2003) "Update to Moody's Deal Score Report" (July 2005)

Page 18: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

18 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

49

CMA

CMA

6.2

SF CDOSF CDO

SF CDO

SF CDO:

»

»

» 50

»

»

»

»

6.3

1 SF CDO

(AUP)SF CDO

49 50

Page 19: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

19 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

7.

SF CDO

SF CDO SF CDOSF CDO

SF CDO

»

SF CDO

(a)(b)

(c)

»

SF CDO

»

SF CDOSF CDO

Page 20: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

20 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

1: SF CDO

ABS "Moody's Approach to Rating Multisector CDOs" (September 2000) CDO 2002 5 )

» 1= 1. 2. 3. 4.)

» 2= 1. 2. 3. A 4. B/C )

» 3= 1.CMBS 2.CMBS 3.CMBS4. ABS )

» 4= CDO

» 5= CDO

REIT 6 "Moody's Approach to Rating U.S. REIT CDOs" April 2010)

ABS

1 *

% (exc) % Aaa Aa A Baa Ba B

70.0% 100.0% 85.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0%

10.0% 70.0% 75.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0%

0.0% 10.0% 70.0% 65.0% 55.0% 45.0% 35.0% 25.0%

* 0% )

2 *

% (exc) % Aaa Aa A Baa Ba B

70.0% 100.0% 85.0% 80.0% 65.0% 55.0% 45.0% 30.0%

10.0% 70.0% 75.0% 70.0% 55.0% 45.0% 35.0% 25.0%

5.0% 10.0% 65.0% 55.0% 45.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0%

2.0% 5.0% 55.0% 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 25.0% 15.0%

0.0% 2.0% 45.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 15.0% 10.0%

* 0% )

Page 21: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

21 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

3 *

% (exc) % Aaa Aa A Baa Ba B

70.0% 100.0% 85.0% 80.0% 65.0% 55.0% 45.0% 30.0%

10.0% 70.0% 75.0% 70.0% 55.0% 45.0% 35.0% 25.0%

5.0% 10.0% 65.0% 55.0% 45.0% 35.0% 25.0% 15.0%

2.0% 5.0% 55.0% 45.0% 35.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0%

0.0% 2.0% 45.0% 35.0% 25.0% 20.0% 10.0% 5.0%

* 0% )

4 CDO*

% (exc) % Aaa Aa A Baa Ba B

70.0% 100.0% 80.0% 75.0% 60.0% 50.0% 45.0% 30.0%

10.0% 70.0% 70.0% 60.0% 55.0% 45.0% 35.0% 25.0%

5.0% 10.0% 60.0% 50.0% 45.0% 35.0% 25.0% 15.0%

2.0% 5.0% 50.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0%

0.0% 2.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 7.0% 4.0%

* 0% )

5 CDO*

% (exc) % Aaa Aa A Baa Ba B

70.0% 100.0% 85.0% 80.0% 65.0% 55.0% 45.0% 30.0%

10.0% 70.0% 75.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 25.0%

5.0% 10.0% 65.0% 55.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0%

2.0% 5.0% 55.0% 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 25.0% 10.0%

0.0% 2.0% 45.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 10.0% 5.0%

* 0% )

6 REIT

SU RR

+2 60.0%

+1 50.0%

0 45.0%

-1 40.0%

-2 30.0%

-3 15.0%

C Ca 25.0%

= × 1 × 70%

Page 22: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

22 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

2: SF CDO

PAUG SF CDO

SF CDO 1-

3 25% 15%

6 75% 50%

1 95% 65%

2 100% 90%

1) *

» ABS**

» CBO/CLO

» CMBS

» ABS**

» ABS*

» ABS***

» ABS

» RMBS

» REIT

» ABS**

2) CDO

*

**

*** ABS ABS ABS ABS

Page 23: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

23 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

3:

(DP)

Moody's US EMEA

Sector Code Sector Name Aaa non-Aaa Aaa non-Aaa

136 ABS - Consumer - Cons.ABS - Auto 6 2 6 2

137 ABS - Consumer - Cons.ABS - Credit Card and other Consumer Unsecured Loans 6 2 6 2

138 ABS - Consumer - Cons.ABS - Student Loans 6 2 6 2

139 ABS - Consumer - RMBS - Prime 12 4 6 2

140 ABS - Consumer - RMBS - Subprime 12 4 12 4

141 ABS - Consumer - RMBS - CDO of RMBS 12 4 12 4

142 ABS - Consumer - RMBS - Manufactured Housing 12 4 12 4

143 ABS - Consumer - Div.SF.CDO - CDO of SF - Diversified 12 4 12 4

152 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Credit Tenant Lease 6 2 6 2

153 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CRE CDO 12 4 12 4

154 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Diversified 6 2 6 2

155 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Office 6 2 6 2

156 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Retail 6 2 6 2

157 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Hotel 6 2 6 2

158 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Industrial 6 2 6 2

159 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Nursing Home 6 2 6 2

160 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Residential/Multi-Family 6 2 6 2

161 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Warehouse / Self-storage 6 2 6 2

162 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Healthcare 6 2 6 2

163 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Tax Lien 6 2 6 2

164 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Mutual Fund Fees 12 4 12 4

165 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Structured Settlement 6 2 6 2

166 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Utility Stranded Cost 6 2 6 2

167 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Big Ticket Lease 6 2 6 2

168 ABS - Corporate - Specific - IP (including Entertainment Royalties) 6 2 6 2

169 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Dealer's Floorplan 6 2 6 2

170 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Tobacco Bonds 6 2 6 2

171 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - Market Value CDO & CDO^2 12 4 12 4

172 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - CDO exposed to IG 12 4 12 4

173 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - CDO exposed to HY 6 2 6 2

174 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - CDO exposed to EM 6 2 6 2

175 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - ABS or CDO exposed to SME risk 6 2 6 2

176 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - CDO - Franchise Loans 12 4 12 4

Page 24: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

24 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

4:

A. (ABS):

S&P S&PS&P BBB 1 Baa3

AAA AA- A+ BBB- BBB-

1 2 3

2 3 4

1 2 3

1 2 3

RV 1 2 3

1 2 3

1 3 4

1 2 3

1 2 3

1 2 3

1 2 3

1 2 4

1 1 2

1 2 3

1 2 3

1 2 4

1 2 3

1 2 3

1 2 3

1 2 3

1 2 3

2 3 4

Page 25: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

25 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

B. (RMBS):

S&P

AAA AA+ BBB- BBB-

1 2 3

A 1 2 3

A 1 3 4

Fitch

AAA AA+ BBB- BBB-

A 1 2 4

A 1 3 5

FitchA A 2

2 1

C. (CMBS):

S&P Fitch

Fitch S&P Fitch S&P

1

# Fitch S&P 2

Fitch S&P 1.5*

# A40

* 1.5 S&P Fitch BBB Baa3 Ba1

S&P Fitch

A. (ABS)

S&P 2

AAA BBB- BBB-

1 2

1 2

1 2

* 1 2

1 2

1 2

1 2

Page 26: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

26 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

* Baa3 S&P BBB A1

B. (RMBS)

S&P Fitch 2

AAA BBB- BBB-

1 2

RMBS

1) Fitch S&P AAA 1

2)

C. (CMBS)

S&P Fitch

Fitch S&P

A CMBS Fitch S&P 3

B CMBS

A CMBS B CMBS

B CMBS :

i)

ii) 5%

iii)

S&P

A. (ABS)

S&P

AAA A- BBB+

ABS 1 2

B. (RMBS)

S&P

AAA 2003 1 AAA 2003 1AA BBB- BBB-

RMBS 0 1 2

C. (CMBS)

S&P

AAA AAA

CMBS 1 2

Page 27: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

27 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

S&P

AAA BBB- AAA BBB-

2 1

3 1

2 1

RMBS 2 1

CMBS 2 3

*

* ABS ABS 2

Page 28: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

28 SEPTEMBER 2010

5:

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 1 Aaa 0.0000% 0.00003% 0.0001% 0.0004% 0.0010% 0.0016% 0.0022% 0.0

2 10 Aa1 0.0000% 0.00031% 0.0017% 0.0055% 0.0116% 0.0171% 0.0231% 0.0

3 20 Aa2 0.0000% 0.00075% 0.0044% 0.0143% 0.0259% 0.0374% 0.0490% 0.0

4 40 Aa3 0.0000% 0.00166% 0.0105% 0.0325% 0.0556% 0.0781% 0.1007% 0.1

5 70 A1 0.0000% 0.00320% 0.0204% 0.0644% 0.1040% 0.1436% 0.1815% 0.2

6 120 A2 0.0000% 0.00598% 0.0385% 0.1221% 0.1898% 0.2569% 0.3207% 0.3

7 180 A3 0.0000% 0.02137% 0.0825% 0.1980% 0.2970% 0.4015% 0.5005% 0.6

8 260 Baa1 0.0000% 0.04950% 0.1540% 0.3080% 0.4565% 0.6050% 0.7535% 0.9

9 360 Baa2 0.0000% 0.09350% 0.2585% 0.4565% 0.6600% 0.8690% 1.0835% 1.3

10 610 Baa3 0.0000% 0.23100% 0.5775% 0.9405% 1.3090% 1.6775% 2.0350% 2.3

11 940 Ba1 0.0000% 0.4785% 1.1110% 1.7215% 2.3100% 2.9040% 3.4375% 3.8

12 1350 Ba2 0.0000% 0.8580% 1.9085% 2.8490% 3.7400% 4.6255% 5.3735% 5.8

13 1766 Ba3 0.0000% 1.5455% 3.0305% 4.3285% 5.3845% 6.5230% 7.4195% 8.0

14 2220 B1 0.0000% 2.5740% 4.6090% 6.3690% 7.6175% 8.8660% 9.8395% 10.5

15 2720 B2 0.0000% 3.9380% 6.4185% 8.5525% 9.9715% 11.3905% 12.4575% 13.2

16 3490 B3 0.0000% 6.3910% 9.1355% 11.5665% 13.2220% 14.8775% 16.0600% 17.0

17 4770 Caa1 0.0000% 9.5599% 12.7788% 15.7512% 17.8634% 19.9726% 21.4317% 22.7

18 6500 Caa2 0.0000% 14.3000% 17.8750% 21.4500% 24.1340% 26.8125% 28.6000% 30.3

19 8070 Caa3 0.0000% 28.0446% 31.3548% 34.3475% 36.4331% 38.4017% 39.6611% 40.8

20 10000 Ca 0.0000% 55.0000% 55.0000% 55.0000% 55.0000% 55.0000% 55.0000% 55.0

21 10000 C 0.0000% 100.0000% 100.0000% 100.0000% 100.0000% 100.0000% 100.0000% 100.0

Page 29: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

29 SEPTEMBER 2010

6:

Moody's Sector Code Sector Name

Map to, for correlation

only

ABS Recovery

Cat. (Table 4c) Key Agent

Key Agent Penalty (same

broad cat)

Assume Managed

unless specified?

Co

Global Me

Consu

136 ABS - Consumer - Cons.ABS - Auto 136 1 Originator 15% FALSE 5.00

137 ABS - Consumer - Cons.ABS - Credit Card and other Consumer Unsecured Loans 137 1 Originator 15% FALSE

138 ABS - Consumer - Cons.ABS - Student Loans 138 1 Originator 15% FALSE

139 ABS - Consumer - RMBS - Prime 140 2 Originator 15% FALSE Sam

Coun

140 ABS - Consumer - RMBS - Subprime 140 2 Originator 15% FALSE from above 10.0

141 ABS - Consumer - RMBS - CDO of RMBS 140 4 Arranger 15% FALSE 3.00%

142 ABS - Consumer - RMBS - Manufactured Housing 140 2 Originator 15% FALSE

143 ABS - Consumer - Div.SF.CDO - CDO of SF - Diversified 143 5

Manager/Arranger if

static 20% TRUE

144 ABS - Corporate - CRE - REIT - Hotel 144 6 NA 0% FALSE

145 ABS - Corporate - CRE - REIT - Multi family 145 6 NA 0% FALSE

146 ABS - Corporate - CRE - REIT - Office 146 6 NA 0% FALSE

147 ABS - Corporate - CRE - REIT - Retail 147 6 NA 0% FALSE

148 ABS - Corporate - CRE - REIT - Industrial 148 6 NA 0% FALSE

149 ABS - Corporate - CRE - REIT - Healthcare 149 6 NA 0% FALSE

150 ABS - Corporate - CRE - REIT - Self-storage 150 6 NA 0% FALSE

151 ABS - Corporate - CRE - REIT - Diversified 151 6 NA 0% FALSE

152 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Credit Tenant Lease 152 3 NA 0% FALSE

Page 30: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

30 SEPTEMBER 2010

Moody's Sector Code Sector Name

Map to, for correlation

only

ABS Recovery

Cat. (Table 4c) Key Agent

Key Agent Penalty (same

broad cat)

Assume Managed

unless specified?

Co

Global Me

Consu

153 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CRE CDO 153 3

Manager/Arranger if

static 20% FALSE Corpo

Rela

154 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Diversified 154 3 NA 0% FALSE 5.00

155 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Office 155 3 NA 0% FALSE

156 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Retail 156 3 NA 0% FALSE Sam

Coun

157 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Hotel 157 3 NA 0% FALSE 0.00

158 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Industrial 158 3 NA 0% FALSE

159 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Nursing Home 159 3 NA 0% FALSE

160 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Residential/Multi-Family 160 3 NA 0% FALSE

161 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Warehouse / Self-storage 161 3 NA 0% FALSE

162 ABS - Corporate - CRE - CMBS - Healthcare 162 3 NA 0% FALSE

163 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Tax Lien 163 3 Servicer 20% FALSE

164 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Mutual Fund Fees 164 3 Manager 20% FALSE Same region add-

on

165 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Structured Settlement

165 3 Servicer 20% FALSE (regardless of sector)

166 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Utility Stranded Cost

166 3 NA 0% FALSE 5.00%

167 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Big Ticket Lease 167 3 Servicer 20% FALSE (halved for Global vs.

168 ABS - Corporate - Specific - IP (including Entertainment Royalties)

168 3 Originator 20% FALSE non-Global exposure)

169 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Dealer's Floorplan 169 3 Seller 20% FALSE

170 ABS - Corporate - Specific - Tobacco Bonds 170 3 NA 0% FALSE

Page 31: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

31 SEPTEMBER 2010

Moody's Sector Code Sector Name

Map to, for correlation

only

ABS Recovery

Cat. (Table 4c) Key Agent

Key Agent Penalty (same

broad cat)

Assume Managed

unless specified?

Co

Global Me

Consu

171 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - Market Value CDO & CDO^2

171 4 NA (but check

Manager)

0% TRUE

172 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - CDO exposed to IG

172 5 Manager/Arranger if

static

20% TRUE

173 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - CDO exposed to HY

173 5 Manager/Arranger if

static

20% TRUE

174 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - CDO exposed to EM

174 4 Manager/Arranger if

static

20% TRUE

175 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - ABS or CDO exposured to SME risk

175 5 Manager / Originator

20% TRUE

176 ABS - Corporate - Corp.CDO - CDO - Franchise Loans

176 4 Originator 20% TRUE

Page 32: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

32 SEPTEMBER 2010

)

ABS

2

25.00%

16.67%

ABS

Aaa - Aa 100.00%

A 93.33%

Baa - Ca 86.67%

Same Same Same

Meta Sector Broad Sector Narrow Sector Real-Estate

GlobalGlobal 2% 3% 0% 0%Same Region 0% 0% 5% 5%Same Country 0% 5% 5% 5%

Global 0% 0% 5%Same Region Consumer 0% 0% 0%Same Country 5% 5% 5%

Global 0% 0%Same Region 0% 0% Real-EstateSame Country 5% 5%

Global 3% 0% 0%Same Region 0% 5% 5%Same Country 0% 5% 0%

Global Corporate 0% 0%Same Region 10% 5%Same Country 5% 5%

Global 0% 0%Same Region 10% 5%Same Country 5% 5%

Div.SF.CDO

CRE

Corp.CDO

Specific

Cons.ABS

RMBS

Page 33: RATING METHODOLOGY SF CDO Fû PFéG GnG GUG1G · PDF fileoutdated methodology international structured finance 2 september 2010 a Ü m 2:sf cdo fû pfég gng gug1g ghfþ a Ü m 2 2

OUTDATED

METHODOLOGY

INTERNATIONAL STRUCTURED FINANCE

33 SEPTEMBER 2010 :SF CDO

OU

Report Number: SF394 (Japanese)

SF157850(English)

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