Informe de Resultados

Encuesta Preelectoral para

The Times

Marzo 2008

2

METHODOLOGY OF THE SURVEY

INTENTION TO VOTE GENERAL ELECTION

GRAFICS

TABLES

3

5

7

12

3

METHODOLOGY OF THE SURVEY

4

UNIVERSE: Spanish national population (+18 years old).

SAMPLE: 1.000 interviews.

ERROR MARGIN: +3.16% (for overall data).

FIELD WORK: 5th March 2008. L M X J V S D

1 2

3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10 11 12 13 14 15 16

17 18 19 20 21 22 23

24 25 26 27 28 29 30

31

LEVEL OF STATISTICAL CONFIDENCE: 95.5% (2 sigma) to p/q=50/50.

SAMPLING FOR LAST UNIT: at random, stratisfied.

QUALITY CERTIFICATION: ISO 9001: 2000, ISO 20252:2006.

REALIZATION: SIGMA DOS, member of AEDEMO, ANEIMO, AEC, ESOMAR and WAPOR.

INTERVIEW: by phone (CATI-System).

TECHNICAL MANAGER: Carlos Malo de Molina.

5

INTENTION TO VOTE GENERAL ELECTION

6

Results 2004 (%)Results 2004 (%)OTROSOTROS

Intention to Vote (%)

MARCH 2008

INTENTION TO VOTEMARCH 2008

GENERAL ELECTION 14/Marzo/2004

% %

PSOEPPIUCiUERCPNVOTROS

43.139.34.92.91.61.56.7

42.637.75.03.22.51.67.4

TOTAL 100 100

Intention to vote general election

Participation: 74%-76%Participation: 74%-76%

7

GRAFICS

8

On a scale of 1 to 10, please rate the job being done by On a scale of 1 to 10, please rate the job being done by

following leadersfollowing leaders

3,93

4,99

5,6José Luis RodríguezZapatero

Mariano Rajoy

Gaspar Llamazares

9

33,4%

42,8%

4,3%3,2%

16,3%

PP PSOE IU OTHERS DK/NA

Which party do you want to win the General Elections?Which party do you want to win the General Elections?

10

Which party do you think will win the General Elections?Which party do you think will win the General Elections?

17,4%

9,5%

4,2%

52,3%

16,6%PSOE with an absolutemajourity

PSOE with a simplemajourity

PP with an absolutemajourity

PP with a simple majourity

DK/NA

11

Are you in favour of requiring immigrants to sign an Are you in favour of requiring immigrants to sign an

integration contract?integration contract?

Sí; 62,0%No; 26,4%

N.S./N.C.; 11,6%

DK/NA

11.6%

YES

62.0%

NO

26.4%

12

TABLES

13

Male Female 18 to 29 years 30 to 44 years 45 to 64 years 65 years and over PSOE PP IU OTHERS

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero 5,60 5,60 5,59 5,64 5,32 5,85 5,65 7,47 3,34 6,48 5,44

Mariano Rajoy 4,99 4,77 5,21 4,45 4,86 4,99 5,80 3,76 7,39 2,58 4,52

Gaspar Llamazares 3,93 3,78 4,10 4,33 3,65 4,00 3,85 4,66 2,51 6,41 4,04

Male Female 18 to 29 years 30 to 44 years 45 to 64 years 65 years and over PSOE PP IU OTHERS

PP 33,4% 34,0% 32,8% 27,2% 34,5% 28,7% 44,2% 8,3% 84,2% 5,4% 21,0%

PSOE 42,8% 42,5% 43,1% 48,1% 40,3% 47,3% 35,2% 82,1% 9,4% 36,3% 33,0%

IU 4,3% 5,9% 2,8% 5,3% 4,7% 4,9% 1,9% 2,8% 47,6% 4,6%

OTHERS 3,2% 4,3% 2,1% 3,1% 3,3% 3,3% 2,9% 0,4% 2,0% 2,2% 6,6%

DK/NA 16,3% 13,3% 19,3% 16,2% 17,2% 15,9% 15,9% 6,4% 4,5% 8,4% 34,8%

Male Female 18 to 29 years 30 to 44 years 45 to 64 years 65 years and over PSOE PP IU OTHERS

PSOE with an absolute majourity 16,6% 15,4% 17,8% 16,5% 15,3% 19,8% 14,5% 25,7% 5,7% 16,9% 16,5%

PSOE with a simple majourity 52,3% 54,4% 50,4% 58,9% 59,2% 49,4% 39,3% 57,7% 44,7% 80,0% 50,5%

PP with an absolute majourity 4,2% 3,8% 4,5% 5,5% 3,4% 3,4% 4,9% 1,0% 9,0% 3,8%

PP with a simple majourity 9,5% 11,6% 7,6% 8,9% 10,8% 10,6% 6,9% 2,8% 22,8% 6,7%

DK/NA 17,4% 14,9% 19,7% 10,2% 11,3% 16,8% 34,4% 12,8% 17,8% 3,1% 22,5%

Male Female 18 to 29 years 30 to 44 years 45 to 64 years 65 years and over PSOE PP IU OTHERS

Yes 62,0% 55,7% 68,1% 57,2% 61,6% 64,3% 64,7% 53,1% 76,9% 31,6% 62,0%

No 26,4% 33,4% 19,6% 32,4% 28,1% 25,4% 18,8% 36,6% 13,5% 63,3% 23,1%

DK/NA 11,6% 10,9% 12,3% 10,4% 10,3% 10,2% 16,5% 10,3% 9,6% 5,0% 14,9%

On a scale of 1 to 10, please rate the job being done by following leaders.

TOTALSex Age Vote - March 2004

Which party do you want to win the General Elections?

TOTALSex Age Vote - March 2004

Which party do you think will win the General Elections?

TOTALSex Age Vote - March 2004

Are you in favour of requiring immigrants to sign an integration contract?

TOTALSex Age Vote - March 2004

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