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Rapid Food Security Assessment, Libya Report November 2016

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Page 1: Rapid Food Security Assessment, Libya · Since the beginning of the crisis in 2011 ... limited access to dollars of the Central Bank of Libya given the fall of oil exports and overall

RapidFoodSecurityAssessment,LibyaReport

November2016

s

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TableofContent1 ExecutiveSummary...........................................................................................................................4

1.1 Keyfindings 42 Introduction......................................................................................................................................63 ObjectivesandMethodology............................................................................................................7

3.1 Objectives 73.2 Samplinganddatacollectionprocess 73.3 Limitations 8

4 IDPHouseholdsCharacteristics........................................................................................................94.1 Demographics 94.2 Timingofdisplacement 94.3 Employment 10

5 IncomeandExpenditure.................................................................................................................115.1 Incomesource 115.2 Expenditures 14

6 ExternalAssistance.........................................................................................................................187 FoodInsecuritysituationandtrends..............................................................................................208 Foodconsumption..........................................................................................................................21

8.1 Foodsources 259 CopingStrategies............................................................................................................................27

9.1 LivelihoodCopingStrategies 279.2 Consumptionbasedcoping 31

10 Profileofthefoodinsecure............................................................................................................3210.1 Geography 3210.2 Demography 3410.3 Socio-economicsituation 35

11 Conclusion.......................................................................................................................................3911.1 Recommendations 39

12 Annex1-CARIcalculations.............................................................................................................4013 Annex2:CARIConsolesbylocationandregion..............................................................................4414 Bibliography....................................................................................................................................49ListofFiguresandTablesMap1:FoodSecurityacrosslocations.........................................................................................................5Map2:SampleDistributioninLibya............................................................................................................8Figure1:IDPHouseholdCharacteristics......................................................................................................9Figure2:Timingandmainreasonfordisplacement....................................................................................9Figure3:IDPEmploymentstatus...............................................................................................................10Figure4:EmployedIDPs.............................................................................................................................11Figure5:Incomesourcesandrelativecontributiontototalhouseholdincome.......................................12Figure6:Incomesituation..........................................................................................................................13Figure7:Mainincomechallengesacrosslocations...................................................................................13Figure8:Averageshareofexpenditure.....................................................................................................14Figure9:Averageshareofexpenditureonfoodbyregionsandbylocations...........................................15Figure10:AverageshareofexpenditureonfoodbyIDPPlaceofOriginanddisplacementtime............16Figure11:Expendituredevelopmentandincomecomparison.................................................................17Figure12:FoodAid,Assistance,andNon-foodassistance........................................................................19Figure13:Non-foodsupport......................................................................................................................19Figure14:FoodConsumptionScore..........................................................................................................21Figure15:FoodConsumptionScorebyregionsandlocation....................................................................22Figure 16: Food Consumption Score by Displacement Groups, Sex of Head of Households andDisplacementtime.....................................................................................................................................24

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Figure17:Mealseatenperdaybysexofheadofhouseholdsandaverageofnumberofdaysdisplaced24Figure18:Foodsources.............................................................................................................................25Figure19:Averageuseofkeyfoodsourcesacrosslocations....................................................................26Figure20:Useofmarket(cashandcredit)asfoodsource2015vs.2016.................................................27Figure21:Livelihoodcopingstrategiesusedbyhouseholds.....................................................................28Figure22:Livelihoodcopingstrategies......................................................................................................28Figure23:LivelihoodCopingStrategiesbyregionsandlocations.............................................................29Figure24:Livelihoodcopingstrategiesbydisplacementgroupsanddisplacementtime.........................31Figure25:Consumption-basedcopingstrategiesacrosslocations............................................................31Figure26:Foodsecurityacrossregionsandlocations...............................................................................33Figure27:Foodsecurityacrossdisplacementgroups...............................................................................34Figure28:FoodsecuritybySexofheadofhouseholdandEmploymentstatus........................................34Figure29:Foodsecuritybydisplacementtime.........................................................................................35Figure30:Householdsfoodsecuritybymainsourcesof incomeanduseofconsumption-basedcopingstrategies....................................................................................................................................................36Figure31:ClusterAnalysisofMostVulnerableIDPGroups.......................................................................38Table1:CARIClassification........................................................................................................................20Table2:CARIdefinitions............................................................................................................................21Table3:CARIClassificationofIDPhouseholds..........................................................................................36Table4:CARImodel...................................................................................................................................40Table5:Fooditemstablefromhouseholdsurvey.....................................................................................40Table6:Copingstrategyactivitiestablefromhouseholdsurvey..............................................................42

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1 ExecutiveSummaryThe Rapid Food Security Assessment was implemented by Voluntas Advisory together with Diwan MarketResearchonbehalfoftheUnitedNationsWorldFoodProgramme(WFP)toprovideup-to-date-informationoncritical food related needs of displaced population in Libya. The data was collected from 26 August to 6September2016,ineightlocations,namelyTripoli,ZawiyaandBaniWalidintheWest,AwbariandSabhaintheSouth,andAjdabiya,Benghazi,andTobrukintheEast.Theselocationscombinedhostabout53percentofthetotalIDPpopulationinLibya.

1.1 KeyfindingsHousehold foodsecurity

Theassessmentfoundthat24percentofall IDPhouseholdsarefood insecureandthey are not able tomeet their essential food needswithout engaging in atypicalcoping strategies. The food insecure households have a poor or borderline foodconsumptionanduseahighshareoftheirbudgettocoverfoodneeds.From2015to2016,overallIDPfoodinsecurityhasincreased:only6percentofallIDPswerefoodinsecure(moderatelyorseverely)in2015.Inadditiontothosealreadyfoodinsecure, 62 percent of all the IDP households are at risk of slipping into foodinsecurity. The developments are related to the significant rise in food prices,depreciationoftheLibyandinar,aswellasthelackofliquidityintheLibyanbanks.

Geographicallocation of foodinsecurehouseholds

Theleveloffoodinsecurityishighinthewesternandeasternpartsofthecountry,wherethemajorityoftheIDPhouseholdsarelocated.Atlocationlevel,BaniWalidismost concerning, with 58 percent of IDPs considered food insecure. In general,locationsclosetotheconflictareasarehostingthemostvulnerablehouseholdsasthey come from the areas most affected by the ongoing fighting. Although thesouthern region holds only 7 percent of the IDP households, 21 percent of thehouseholdsinAwbariarefoundtobefoodinsecure.Tobrukisthemostfoodsecurelocation,with no household found food insecure, followed by Zawiyah and Sabhawhereonly4and7percentarefoodinsecure.

Profile of thefoodinsecure

Foodinsecurehouseholdsaretypicallylargefamiliesheadedbyunemployedheadofhousehold.TheseIDPshouseholdsaredisplacedfromlessthansixmonthsandtheyarefarfromtheirplaceoforiginsotheydidnotestablishasocial, familyorethnicnetworksinthenewareasyet.Thesehouseholdshavebeenparticularlyaffectedbythehighinflationandtheincreasedoffoodpricesthustheyexperiencedareductionoftheirincomeandasignificantincreaseontheirshareoffoodexpenditure.Inordertomaintainaminimumleveloffoodconsumption(mostofthemeatonlytwomealsperday)theyareadoptingseveralcopingstrategiesasspendingsavingsandreducingnon-foodexpensesonhealthandeducation.

Profile of thefoodsecure

Foodsecurehouseholdsaremorelikelytoresideinareasfarfromtheconflictandbeengaged in salaried work or received state salary. These households have beendisplaced formore than one year and they havemanaged tomaintain theirworkdespitebeingdisplacedand/ortheyhavere-establishedtheirsocialandeconomictiesinthenewareasandthustheimpactoftheeconomiccrisiswaslessharshonthem.

Gender aspectsonfoodsecurity

Householdheadedbywomenaremorelikelytobefoodinsecurethanthoseheadedbymen.Femaleheadsofhouseholdsareoftenunemployedandtheydonotreceiveanyformofemployment.

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Map1:FoodSecurityacrosslocations

IDPFoodInsecurityIndexScoresAcrossAssessedLocations

Food Insecurity Index Across Cities

19%

MarginallyFoodSecure

ModeratelyFoodInsecure

FoodSecure

SeverelyFoodInsecure

4%

24%34%

16%2%

4%13%

7%

20%1%

TobrukBenghazi

Ajdabiyah

SabhaAwbari

Zawiyah

Tripoli

BaniWalid

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2 IntroductionSincethebeginningofthecrisis in2011,over3millionpeoplehavebeenaffectedacrossLibya.1ThefurtherescalationofviolencestartinginMay2014andtheclashesbetweenforcesloyaltothegeneralKhalifaHaftarinthe east and militias in the west have led to a significant spike in humanitarian needs, civilian casualties,displacementaswellasthedestructionofpublicinfrastructureandthedisruptionofbasicsocialservicesandsocialprotectionsystems.Inaddition,in2016,militaryoperationsagainsttheIslamicStatelocatedinandaroundSirtehave intensifiedbyoutside interventions, leading to thedisplacementof5,560householdsandputtingimmensestrainsonthecapacityoflocalcommunitiesinTarhuna,AlJufrah,andBaniWalid.2Accordingto2017Humanitarian Needs Overview, an estimated 1.3 million people are in need some form of humanitarianassistance,includingapproximately241,000internallydisplacedpersons(IDPs).3Combinedwiththeunstablepoliticalandsecuritysituation,Libyaisfacingtheinterconnectedcrisisof lackofliquidityanda rapiddepreciationof theDinar in relation to theDollar.Uncertaintyand fearover the futurepoliticalandsecuritysituationhadasignificanteffectonLibya’sforeigncurrencyblackmarket.4InJuly2016theDollarcostedmorethan5dinars,arecordhighintheLibyanhistory.5ThedepreciationoftheLibyancurrencyhadansignificantimpactonthefoodsecurity,asLibyastillimportsthemajorityofitsfoodduetoaharshnaturalenvironment,whichmakes agricultural production difficult. Estimates indicate that asmuch as 80%of foodrequirementswere importedbeforetheconflict.6 ThedepreciationoftheLibyanDinar isalsorelatedtothelimitedaccesstodollarsoftheCentralBankofLibyagiventhefallofoilexportsandoveralleconomicoutput.In2016,oilproductionisestimatedtohavedeclinedforthefourthconsecutiveyear.Consequently,revenuesfromthehydrocarbonsectoramountedtoonlyatenthofrevenuesthataccruedoverthesameperiodlastyear.LackoffundstopayduesubsidiestoimportersanddistributorsofbasicfoodsinceOctober2015translatedintoadefacto removal of subsidies to food. 7 Consequently, shortages in the supply of food emerged and the blackmarketsprospered,whichaccordingtotheWorldBankledpricesoffoodtoincreaseby31percentinthefirsthalfof2016.8ThecrashintheDinar’sblackmarketvalueisrunninginparallelwiththeongoingcashcrisisatLibya’sbanks.Thepoliticalcrisishasdirectlyaffectedtheliquidityavailabilityasthecountry’sfinancialinstitutionssplitinMay2016whenthecrisisculminatedwiththetwocentralbanks(oneinTripoliandoneinTobruk)threateningtocirculaterival Libyan dinar banknotes in the country.9 The general lack of liquidity has increasingly affected peoples’livelihoodsforallof2016,withpeoplequeuingoutsidebanks,onlytofindthevaultsempty.10Lackofconfidenceinthefinancialsystemhasledtobusinessesandindividualsrefusingtodepositcash,instead,leavingitundertheirmattressesand increasing theshortageofmoney forbanks.The triplechallengesof increased fighting,depreciationoftheLibyanDinarandlackofliquidityhasseverelyaffectedfoodsecurityinLibyaespeciallyforthedisplacedpopulation.Duetotheaccessrestrictionanddifficulties inconductingassessments,coupledwithhighlyvolatileandfluidsituation,available informationon thehumanitarian situation in Libyahasbeen limited todate.Against thisbackground,thisrapidfoodsecurityassessmentwasconductedimplementedbyVoluntasAdvisorywithitslocalpartner Diwan Market Research on behalf of WFP to inform the food security intervention in 2017. DatacollectiontookplacefromAugust26thtoSeptember6th,2016andeight locationsweretargeted inthethreehistoricalregionsofLibya,namelyTripoli,ZawiyaandBaniWalidintheWest,AwbariandSabhaintheSouth,andAjdabiya,Benghazi,andTobrukintheEast.

1OCHA(2017):“HumanitarianNeedsOverview,November2016Libya”2IOM(2016):“SituationReportforAugust2016–LibyaHumanitarianSupporttoMigrantsandIDPs”3OCHA(2017):“HumanitarianNeedsOverview,November2016Libya”4Tarhouni,Adam(2016):“Op-Ed:Fear,uncertainty,riskandLibya’scurrencyblackmarket(1July2016)”5LibyaHerald(2016):“Libyandinarcontinuestocrashasitbreaks5-dinarmarkagainstthedollar”6WorldFoodProgramme(2011):“FoodSecurityinLibya:AnOverview”7WorldBank(2016):Libya’sEconomicOutlook–October20168Ibid.9TheGuardian(2016):“BattleofthebanknotesasrivalcurrenciesaresettobeissuedinLibya”10Tarhouni,Adam(2016):“Op-Ed:Fear,uncertainty,riskandLibya’scurrencyblackmarket(1July2016)”

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3 ObjectivesandMethodology

3.1 ObjectivesTheassessmentaimstoprovideanupdateofthecurrentfoodsecuritysituationofdisplacedpopulationinLibya,itsscale,andseverity.TheinformationgeneratedthroughtheassessmentwillfeedintofutureprogrammingandinformtheHumanitarianNeedsOverview.Furthermore,itwillenableWFPtofine-tuneresponseoptionsandtargetingforits2017programme.

3.2 SamplinganddatacollectionprocessTheassessmentfocusedonthepopulationdirectlyaffectedbytheconflict,specificallyIDPs,andcoverstheareaswhereasignificantnumberofIDPshasbeenreported.EightlocationscoveringthethreehistoricalregionsofLibyawereselected,namelyTripoli,ZawiyaandBaniWalid intheWest,AwbariandSabha intheSouth,andAjdabiya, Benghazi, and Tobruk in the East. The sampling framework allows for statistically representativefindingsattheregionallevelsgeneralizabletothewiderIDPpopulation.Targetedlocationswereselectedbasedonthefollowingcriteria:

1. Regionaldiversity:ToenablecomparisonamongthethreeregionsthesamplewassplitinordertocoverthreelocationsinEastandWestandtwointheSouth;

2. Concentration of IDP population: Based on IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix (IOM-DTM)localitieshostingthelargestshareofIDPsweretargeted.ThedatahasbeenadjustedtoreflectIDPhouseholdsizesmoreaccurately;

3. Comparisontohistoricaldata:toallowcomparisonwiththepreviousassessmentthelocationsthatweresurveyedin2014and2015wereselectedtobepartoftherapidassessment.

Altogether,theselocationscoverabout53percentofthedisplacedpopulationinLibyaaccordingtoIOM-DTMdatafromJuly2016.Inaddition,sevenoftheninelocationssurveyedinthepreviousassessmentwereselected,whichallowedcomparisonovertime.Atotalof890IDPshouseholdswereselectedrandomlyinthetargetlocations:100householdinterviewswithIDPswereconductedineachlocation,exceptthetwoareasintheSouth(SabhaandAwbari)where150and137householdinterviewswerecarriedrespectively(Map2).Onlysamegenderinterviewswereconducted.PostdatacollectionthedatawasweightedbasedontherelativenumberofIDPsintheeightlocations.Tovalidatedataandcomparefoodsecuritydevelopmentsovertime,therapidneedsassessmentemployeddatatabulationusingtwoprimarysourcesofdataforcomparison:

1. LibyaInteragencyRapidAssessment,December201411;2. LibyaMulti-SectorNeedsAssessment,June-July201512.

TheassessmentwasoutsourcedandperformedbyVoluntasAdvisorytogetherwiththeirLibyanpartnerDiwanMarketing Research, which has conducted various socio-economic surveys in Libya employing extensivequantitativemethods. The assessmentdesign, including thedata collection instruments,weredevelopedbyWFP.VoluntasAdvisoryimplementeddatacollection,analysisandreportingwithinputsandsupportsfromWFP.AlldatacollectioninthefieldwasconductedbyresearchersfromDiwanMarketResearch.VoluntasAdvisorytrainedthemaincoordinators,whoprovidedtrainingofthelocallevelresearchteams.Thedatacollectiontoolswere presented and discussed with the enumerators to ensure that the purpose of the assessment wasunderstoodandallquestionswereclear.Ineachlocation,ateamleaderensuredtheoverallimplementationofthe interviews and performed quality assurance checks. Filled instruments were brought to Tripoli for finalquality assurance by the data collection manager. The quantitative data was entered online using SurveyMonkey.MostoftheresearchershavebeeninvolvedinthepastfoodsecurityassessmentsandintheongoingmonitoringworkforWFPandare,therefore,familiarwiththetopicsandtargetedgroup.

11 Libya Interagency Rapid Assessment, December 2014. 12 Libya Multi-Sector Needs Assessment, June-July 2015.

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Map2:SampleDistributioninLibya

137

101

100

100

100

100

102

150

TripoliBenghazi

Awbari

BaniWalidAjdabiyah

Sabha

TobrukZawiyah

SouthEastWest

890HouseholdInterviewsconductedin8locationscoveringallthreehistoricregionsofLibya

*Adjusted numbers for data collection locations based onaverage family size of IDP families. Other use numbers from IOM DTM

Overall Rank Nationally Name in English IDP

householdsIDP

individuals*Share of

IDPs

1 Benghazi 10,346 59,696 16%

2 Bani Waled 7,200 42,192 11%

3 Ajdabiya 5,496 35,229 9%

4 Abu Salim (Tripoli) 4,934 27,863 7%

8 Tobruk 2,306 14,133 4%

9 Janzour (Tripoli) 1,950 11,012 3%

15 Az Zawiyah 893 4,715 1%

18 Sabha 740 5,136 1%

22 Awbari + Ghurayfah 641 4,478 1%

Followingdatacollection,thedatahasbeenweightedaccordingtoaccuratelyreflecttheshareofIDPsineachlocation.

3.3 LimitationsAnumberofchallengesandconstraintswereidentifiedaspartofthestudy:

• Representativeness:whileIOMDTMdataprovidesagoodoverviewofthedistributionofIDPsinLibyaandtheirplaceoforigin, it ishard toascertain therepresentativenessof theobtainedsample. It is,therefore, difficult to generalize to the wider IDP population living in areas not covered by theassessment.Thedatacan,however,beindicativeofthesituationforsameIDPgroups(e.g.,Tawergha)displacedinlocationsnotcoveredbytheassessment,aswellasdistinctsub-groups(e.g.unemployed,female-headedhouseholds,etc.).

• Social desirability effect: some of the topics included in the assessment touch upon issues that aresociallyawkwardand stigmatizede.g.begging,having lowconsumptionorhaving received support.Thereforetherecanbeariskthatfindingsrelatedtothesetopicsareunderestimated.TocontainthisriskasmuchaspossibletheresearchershavebeenundergoingrigoroustrainingonhowtointerviewIDPsonsensitivetopics,ensuringtheirconfidentialityandbuildingtrust.

Despitethelimitations,theassessmentisperceivedtoprovideanaccuratepictureofthesituationofvulnerablegroupsintheassessedlocations.

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4 IDPHouseholdsCharacteristicsThis section presents the main characteristics of the IDP households covered by the assessment, includinghouseholdsize,mainreasonsfordisplacementandemploymentsituation.

4.1 DemographicsTheaveragehouseholdsizeissix.FortypercentoftheIDPhouseholdsconsistsofmorethansixmembers.ThevastmajorityoftheIDPhouseholds(88%)areheadedbyamale(Figure5).Figure1:IDPHouseholdCharacteristics

©2016Voluntas Advisory.Allrightsreserved.StrictlyConfidential. 3

HouseholdCharacteristics

Head of Household

88%Male

Female

Number of Persons in IDP Households

40%

27%

6%

28%

>6

5-6

0-2

3-4

4.2 TimingofdisplacementGiventheprotractednessoftheunstablesituationinLibya,itisnotsurprisingthatthevastmajority(70%)ofIDPshavebeendisplacedforat leastayear.Thirty-sixpercentof IDPshavebeendisplacedformorethan24monthsindicatingtheprolongedeffectsonthecountry’sinstability.Thecausesofdisplacementareconsistentlyrelatedtoinsecurityacrosslocations.Thevastmajority(90%)ofIDPscitethedeterioratingsecuritysituationasthemainreasonfortheirdisplacement.“Ethnicconflict”and“politicalconflict”havebeenalsocitedasthemainreasonfordisplacementbyrespondents.Figure2:TimingandmainreasonfordisplacementSecurityDeteriorationMainReasonforDisplacement

Time in current area

34%

21%6-12months

0-6months>24months

36%

9%

12-24months

Main reason for displacement

Politicalconflict

4%

Religiousconflict

0%4%

Ethnicconflict 1%

90%Securitydeterioration

Others(Pleasespecify)

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4.3 EmploymentAmong IDPs, the employment rate remain high, as such more than half are still employed. This could beattributedtothefactthat70percentofIDPshavebeendisplacedformorethanayear,whichhasgiventhemsomechancetofindemploymentinthenewareasofresidency.Amongtheunemployed,onlyoneintenhasbeenwithoutajobforatleastayear.Thenon-workingIDPsareeitherhouseladiesorreceivingpensionsfrompublicemploymentwithoutworkingorunemployed.ThereisamultitudeofreasonsfoundamongtheIDPsfornotworking.However,40percentreportedillnessorageasthemainreasonfornotworking,26percentoftheIDPswhodonothaveajob,foundthatthiswaseitherduetohavinggivenup(13%),orjustnotbelievinginthepossibilityoffindingajob(23%).Aroundoneintenofthenon-workingIDPsstatedthattheydidnotknowhowtofindemployment.Figure3:IDPEmploymentstatusAbouthalfoftheIDPsworkasemployee

Current Employment Status

13% Unemployedandlookingforajob

7%

Pensionerandworking

2%

Pensionerandnotworking10%

Unemployedandnotlookingforajob

Houselady5%

10%

53%

Others(Specify)

Employee

Reasons for unemployment

6%10%

Tiredoflooking

Didn’tfindasuitablejobDon’tknowhowtofindjob

Security

Illness,Aging

40%

2%

Waitingforsuitablejob

7%

13%

Nochanceofwork

23%

No 11% Yes

Unemployed had a job last 12 months

ThevastmajorityoftheemployedIDPsarepublicsectoremployees.Fourpercentareself-employedoutsidetheagriculturesectororengagedinunskilledworkwhile6percentworkedasskilledworkers.Almostafifth(17%)ofIDPsreportedthattheyhadchangedtheirplaceofworkduringthepastyear.Whileitseemscounter-intuitivethat92percentoftheemployedIDPs,havebeenabletoremainintheirpreviousjobsdespitebeingdisplaced,thismightbeexplainedbythevastmajorityofLibyansbeingemployedinthepublicsector. Here they continue to receive their salary despite not being able to show up for work. This alsocorrespondswithfindings,listedbelow,where“statesalaries”isreportedasprimarysourceofincomeformostIDPs.HowevergiventhedeterioratingsituationoftheLibyaneconomythereisariskthattheseIDPswillstopreceivingsalaryananytimeinthefutureiftheydonotwork.ThiswillmeanthatthevastmajorityoftheIDPswilllosetheirprimarysourceofincome.

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Figure4:EmployedIDPs78%ofIDPsareemployedinthePublicSector

Job Type for Employed IDPs

5% Other(pleasespecify)

Agriculturallabour2%Farming(SelfEmployed)1%

6%

78%

Non-Skilledlabour4%

Publicservant

Skilledlabour

Self-employed(Non-Farm)4%

Changed place of your work during the last 12 months

No 17% Yes

YesNo 8%

Changed job during the last 12 months

5 IncomeandExpenditureThefollowingsectiondescribestheoveralltrendsinincomeandexpendituresfortheIDPssincetheescalationofarmedconflictsinMay2014.

5.1 IncomesourceAsmostIDPsstatedbeingemployedinthepublicsector, it isnotsurprisingthat42percentofIDPsreportedstatesalary,astheprimarysourceofincome.Thus,statesalariesarebyfarthemainprimarysourceofincomeandconstitute83percentof the incomeof IDPsemployed in thepublic sector. Furthermore, social securityprogramscontributesto79percentofthetotalincomeemphasizingthedependenceuponthepublicsectorofmanyIDPs.Othersourcescitedbyhouseholdsare:salariedwork,casuallaborandsupportfromrelatives.Findings from the REACH June 2016Multi-Sector Needs Assessment confirm that salaried employmentwasreported as the primary source of income among the IDP key informants, followed by pensions and socialsecurity.13

13 REACH (2016): “Multi-Sector Needs Assessment III Libya Report June 2016”

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Figure5:Incomesourcesandrelativecontributiontototalhouseholdincome

Statesalaryisthemainincomesourcefor42%ofIDPsandonaveragecontributesto83%oftheincome

Main Income Sources Last 30 Days and Relative Contribution to Total Household Income

Externalassistance

2%

Pettytrade

Salariedwork

7%

15%

Casuallabor

SaleofAgricultureProducts

<1%

33%

Skilledlabor

14%

<1%

68%

BeggingKinshipsupport

6%

82%

25%28%

Statesalary

Spendsavings

Socialsecurity

5%

72%

Remittances

73%

1%5%

Borrowing

37%

31%33%

3%

42%

79%83%

20%

<1%

MainsourceofincomeAveragecontributiontoincome

WhilemanyIDPsstillhaveincomesourcesfromemployment,theeruptionoffightingin2014seemstohavenegatively impactedthe incomeofaroundhalf the IDPs.Assuch,29percentreportedthattheir incomehaddecreasedbyupto50percentcomparedtotheMay2014.Evenmoreconcerning,almostafifth(17%)statedthatincomehaddroppedbymorethan50percentsincetheescalationoftheconflict.However,theimpactoftheconflictsinLibyaalsoseemstodifferbetweenIDPs,assuch,almosthalf(47%)reportedthattheirincomewasalmostthesameascomparedtobeforeMay2014.AnumberofchallengestogeneratingincomewereobservedbyIDPshouseholds.Lackofjobopportunitiesanddelayornon-paymentofsalariesarethetwo incomechallengesreportedbythemajorityofthe interviewedhouseholds.Thisindicates,thatwhiletheemploymentrateamongIDPsisratherhigh,underemploymentcouldbeasignificantissue,especiallyrelatedtoincomegeneration.Thisisbackedbythefactthat44percentofIDPhouseholds report low salaries as a primary income challenge. Recently displaced IDPs reported that somegovernmentemployersandcompanieshadblockedordecreasedtheirsalaries,whileothersexplainedthatIDPswereunable toworkbecausethey feltat riskofdiscrimination14.Finally, thenon-functioningbanksystem ismentionedby46percentofIDPsasaprimaryincomechallenge. 14 REACH Rapid IDP Protection Needs Assessment, May 2016

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Figure6:Incomesituation

46%ofIDPsreportdecreasingincomecomparedtobeforeMay2014,mainchallengebeingsalarynotbeingpaid

Income situation compared to before May 2014

Significantlyincreased(Bymorethan50%)

Highlydecreased(bymorethan50%)

29%

Aboutthesame

17%

Decreasedby0-50%

47%

Increased(bylessthan50%)3%

5%

Lowwage/salary

Bankingsystemnotfunctioning46%

Salarynotpaid,delayed58%

1%

44%

No/lackofopportunities60%

Other

2% Nochallenge/difficultiesfaced

Main Income Challenges

Figure7:Mainincomechallengesacrosslocations

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Statesalaryisthemainincomesourcefor42%ofIDPsandonaveragecontributesto83%oftheincome

Main Income Challenges Across Locations

56% 57%

90%88%

44%

29%

92%

40%

27%

33%

15%

Tobruk

45%

55%

39%

Benghazi

43%

29%

94%

56%

89%

SabhaBaniWalid

48%

70%

Ajdabiyah

83%

Awbari

26%

89%86%

89%

47%

62%57%

Zawiyah

63%

30%

61%

Tripoli

BankingsystemnotfunctioningSalarynotpaid,delayedNo/lackofopportunities Lowwage/salary

5.2 ExpendituresWhenitcomestoexpendituresoftheIDPs’,thesituationlooksevenbleaker.IDPshouseholdsreportedlyspendmorethanhalfoftheircashexpendituresonfood.MainexpendituresamongIDPhouseholdsare,inorderofsignificance,food,health/medicine,andrent/housing.Figure8:Averageshareofexpenditure

63%inBani Walid use>75%ofexpenditureonfood,sameisrepoted by33%inBengahzi and25%inAjdabiyah

Shares of expenditures spend on food

11%

5%

Transportation8%

Rent

13%59%

3%

Otherexpenditures

Food

Education

Health

Expenditure Shares

37%52%

13%

2016

27%

48%

2015

11%

2016

93%

19%

29%

19%

26%

2016

26%

23%

26%

25%

2015

2016

2015

1%

10%

2016

10%

2015

2015

70%

73%

26%

81%

2016

61%

1%

20%

1%

2015

19%

33%37%

15%

63%

85%

10%

16%

1%

2016

88%

12%

28%

2016

11%

1%

2015

0%

2015

88%86%

70%

Tripoli Zawi-yah

BaniWalid

Ajd-abiyah

Ben-ghazi Tobruk Sabha Awbari

<50%spentonfood

50%- <65%spentonfood

>75%spentonfood65%- <75%spentonfood

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TheexpendituretrendsvaryconsiderablyacrossLibya.InboththeWesternandEasternregionsofLibya,IDPshavehighsharesexpendituresonfood.Assuch,39percentofIDPsintheWestand46percentofIDPsintheEastspendmorethan65percentoftheirexpendituresonfood.Accordingly, inBaniWalid,BenghaziandAjdabiyahhighpercentageofhouseholdsspendsmorethan75%ofexpendituresonfood.Thesehouseholdsarelikelytobevulnerabletoeconomicshocksasthereislittleadditionalbudgetavailableforanyotherexpensesexceptthemostbasicrequirements.The food expenditure situation is more positive in Zawiyah, Sabha and Tobruk, where the vast majority isspendinglessthan50percentoftheirtotalexpendituresonfood.However,ingeneraltheshareofIDPsspendinglessthan50percentoftotalexpendituresonfoodseemstohavedroppedbyaroundtenpercentagepointsinmostcitiesincomparisonwith2015.OnlyTripoliandTobrukhaveseenpositiveimprovements,asinTripolitheshareofIDPsspendinglessthanhalfoftheirexpendituresonfoodincreasedfrom15percentto61percent,andinTobrukfrom52percentto93percentbetween2015and2016. Figure9:Averageshareofexpenditureonfoodbyregionsandbylocations

77%

35%23%

20%

26%31%

3%

10% 22%

29% 24%

South West East

<75%spentonfood

65%- <75%spentonfood

50%- <65%spentonfood

<50%spentonfood

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LookingattheplaceoforiginofIDPs,60percentofthehouseholdsfromWadialHayaa/Awbarispendsmorethan75percentofall theirexpendituresonfood.Among IDPs fromTawergha,about36percentwhospendmorethan75percentoftheexpenditureonfood.Acrossdurationofdisplacement,theshareofIDPsspendingmorethan75percentofexpendituresonfoodisthelargestamongIDPswhohavebeendisplacedbetweensixmonthsandayear,droppingto27percentforbetweenoneandtwoyearsandfallingevenmoreto22percentforIDPs,whohavebeendisplacedformorethantwoyears.Somewhatsurprisingly,thelowestshareofIDPs,whospendmorethan75percentofhouseholdexpendituresonfoodisfoundamongthemostrecentlydisplaced.Figure10:AverageshareofexpenditureonfoodbyIDPPlaceofOriginanddisplacementtime

15%

61%

81%73%

1%10%

19% 24%11%

52%

93% 88% 86% 88%

70%

85%

37%

19%26%

16%

70%

29%26%

37%

48%

7% 12% 12% 12%

29%

1% 1%

20%

10%

19%26% 27%

1%1%

1%

63%

10%

33%26% 25%

1%

2015

2016

2015

2016

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

Tripoli Zawiyah BaniWalid

Ajdabiyah Benghazi Tobruk Sabha Awbari

<50%spentonfood 50%- <65%spentonfood 65%- <75%spentonfood <75%spentonfood

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In2016,60percentoftheIDPsreportedasignificantincreaseinexpendituresofmorethan50percentsincetheoutbreakoffightinginMay2014.Theincreaseinexpendituresislikelytoberelatedtothehighinflationratesover2016,whichhasledtosubstantialdecreaseintherealpurchasingpowerofthepopulation,especiallygivenrisingbasicfoodprices.Inaddition,lackoffundstopayduesubsidiestoimportersanddistributersofbasicfoodsince October 2015 translated into a de facto removal of subsidies to food. Traditionally, Libyans receivedgovernmentfoodsubsidieswhichreducedthecostofkeycommoditiesby50%.Anadditional20percentreportedanincreaseoflessthan50percent,whereasonly13percentstatedthattheirexpenditurelevelissimilartobeforeMay2014.ComparingexpendituresandincomeforIDPhouseholdsclearlyindicatesthechallengingsituationfacedbyIDPsfollowing the intensificationof the conflicts. 75percentof IDPshavehadexpenditures increasedmore thanincome,whileonlyafifthhaveseencorrespondingincreasesinexpensesandincome,andonly7percenthavehadhigherincreasesinincomethanexpenses.Theincreaseduseofnegativecopingstrategies,asexplainedinthefollowingchapters,couldsomehowexplainedhowpeopleareabletomeetadditionalexpenditureswhiletheirincomesareshrinking. Figure11:Expendituredevelopmentandincomecomparison

36%23% 25% 22%

59%

24%12%

31%

41%

29%

7%

42%

27%

31%

37%

31%

26%

28%21%

9%

21%

14%

5%

20%

25%

16%

10%13%

60%

12%

36%

5%19%

32% 27%

<75%spentonfood

65%- <75%spentonfood

50%- <65%spentonfood

<50%spentonfood

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For75%ofIDPHouseholds,ExpenditurehasIncreasedmorethanIncomesinceMay2014

Comparison of Expenditure and Income Development for IDP Households

75%

19%7%

Expenditureandincomechangethesame

Expenditureincreaselowerthanincomeincrease

Expenditureincreasehigherthanincomeincrease

Expenditure Compared to Before May 2014

Highlydecreased(bymorethan50%)

3%Decreasedby0-50%4%

Aboutthesame 13%

Increased(bylessthan50%)

20%

Significantlyincreased(Bymorethan50%)

60%

6 ExternalAssistanceWhilefooddistributionhasbeenincreasinglydifficulttoundertakeinLibyaespeciallyafterthepulloutoftheUNagenciesfromthecountry,foodaidstillreachesIDPs.However,onlyalimitedshareofbothfoodaid(10%),foodassistance(4%)andnon-foodassistance(6%)arereachingIDPs.Thecitieswheremostfoodaidsareprovidedare Tripoli, Tobruk, and Sabha. These findings are also seen in the REACH June 2016 Multi-Sector NeedsAssessment,where43percentofIDPsreceivefoodthroughdistributionsfromthegovernmentofhumanitarianactors.15Intheearlymonthsof2016,theInternationalConfederationofRedCrossandRedCrescent(ICRC)andLibyanRedCrescenthavealsodistributedfoodtoIDPsinTripoli,Misrata,andTobruk.16Whenitcomestofoodassistancethroughcashbasedtransfer,lessthanoneintenofIDPsacrosscities,exceptSabhahavereceivedthis.InSabha,almostathirdofIDPshavereceivedfoodassistance.Non-foodassistancesharesarealsovastlylargerinSabha,wheremorethanhalfofIDPsreporthavingreceivedassistanceintheformofnon-fooditems.

15 REACH (2016): “Multi-Sector Needs Assessment III Libya Report June 2016” 16 Libya News Agency (2016): “IRCC and LRC distribute aid to displaces people in Tripoli, Misrata and Tobruk (13-02-2016)”

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Figure12:FoodAid,Assistance,andNon-foodassistance

OnlyLimitedShareofIDPsReceiveFoodAid,AssistanceandNon-foodAssistance

IDPs receiving various types of support

10%4% 6%

FoodAssistance(cash,vouchers)

100%

Yes

Non-foodassistance

(e.g.cookingutensils,soap)

Foodaid(fooditemsandinkindcontributions)

No

Tobruk34%

4%Benghazi

19%

8%9%

4%

0%

7%

BaniWalid

Zawiyah0%

Ajdabiyah

Tripoli25%

3%

6%

3%

29%

0%

0%1%

5%

7%

7%

55%

3%13%Awbari

5%

Sabha

% of IDPs across key locations receiving various types of support

FoodAssistanceNon-foodassistance

Foodaid

Thelargestprovidersofnon-foodaidandothersupporttoIDPsarereligiouscharities.NineteenpercentofIDPsreporthaving receivednon-foodaidorassistance fromreligiouscharities.This is followedby families (14%),CommunityBasedOrganizations(15%)andcommunitiesingeneral(14%).Furthermore,communitiesandfamilies/relativesarealsothe largestproviderofothertypesofsupport.Thisprovidesbackingtothecorrelationbetweendistancefromtheoriginandnegativecopingstrategiesdiscussedabove,asthemainfallbackofIDPsarerelatedtotheirimmediatecommunityorrelatives.Figure13:Non-foodsupport

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Religiouscharities,families,CBOsandcommunitiesarethelargestprovidersfornon-foodsupporttoIDPs

Actors providing support to IDPs

9% 9%

6%

14%

17%

2%

5%

14%

Localtribe

13%

19%

CBOs ReligiousCharity

6%

Family/relatives

CommunityNGOs

9%

15%15%

UNagenciesGovernment/authorities

0%

4%

OthersupportNonfood

7 FoodInsecuritysituationandtrendsThe status of household food security is analyzed applying theWFP’s standardmethodology “ConsolidatedApproachforReportingIndicatorsofFoodSecurity”(CARI).CARIlooksattwodomains,namelycurrentstatusandcopingcapacity.Foreachdomain,relevantindicatorsareemployed:foodconsumptionforcurrentstatus;andshareofexpenditureonfoodaswellaslivelihoodcopingindicatorforcopingcapacity.Foreachindicator,householdsareclassifiedintodifferentlevelsoffoodinsecuritytoderiveafoodsecurityindex.PleaserefertoAnnex1forthedetailedcomputationprocessofCARI.Thetablebelowshowstheresultsoftheanalysis.Theinterviewedhouseholdsarecharacterizedbyanacceptablelevelofcurrentconsumptionwithpoorcopingcapacity:i.e.households’minimumfoodconsumptionismostlymetbuttheircopingcapacityisstretchedwithahighshareofexpenditureonfoodandalargeproportionofhouseholdsadoptingseverecopingstrategies.Overall,24percentofthehouseholdsarefoodinsecure,leavingthemajorityof62percentvulnerabletofoodinsecurity(marginallyfoodsecure).Table1:CARIClassification

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

Food Secure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFood Insecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

76% / 16% 8%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

54% 23% 8% 14%

AssetDepletionLivelihood copingstrategycategories

26% 20% 40% 13%

FoodSecurityIndex14% 62% 18% 6%

76% 24%

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Table2:CARIdefinitions

Althoughtheproportionof‘foodinsecure(severely/moderatelyfoodinsecure)’householdsarerelativelysmallat24percent,avastmajorityofIDPhouseholdsof62percentare‘marginallyfoodsecure’andatriskoffoodinsecurity. The ‘food insecure’ households typically have significant food consumption gaps and/or adoptingsevere coping strategies with their household budget stretched to buy food. The ‘marginally food secure’households have managed to meet the minimum food consumption through adopting livelihood copingstrategies. 8 FoodconsumptionMeasuredbythefrequencyandthediversityofthefoodconsumedoverthepast7days,thefoodconsumptionamongthemajorityoftheinterviewedhouseholdsismostlyacceptable.Twenty-fourpercentofthehouseholdsareborderlineorpoorconsumptionwithsignificantfoodconsumptiongap,andthosehouseholdsunderthesecategoriestypicallyconsumeonlymainstaplesalmostdaily,vegetableseveryotherdays,andmeattwiceaweek,whilefruitordairyproductsarerarelyconsumed.Figure14:FoodConsumptionScore

Foodsecurityclassification

Description

Foo

dinsecure

Severely foodinsecure

Extreme food consumption gaps OR extreme loss oflivelihoodassets

Moderately foodinsecure

Significant foodconsumptiongaps,ORmarginallyabletomeetminimum food needs onlywith irreversible copingstrategies

Food

secure

Marginally foodsecure

Minimallyadequatefoodconsumptionwithoutengaginginirreversiblecopingstrategies

Foodsecure Adequate food consumption without engaging in typicalcopingstrategies

14%

62%

18%6%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%SeverelyfoodinsecureModeratelyfoodinsecureMarginallyfoodsecureFoodsecure

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Asfigure15shows,therehasbeenageneraldecreaseinfoodconsumptionscoresacrossLibya,from98percentofIDPshavinganacceptablefoodconsumptionscorein2015toonly76percentin2016.Atregionallevel,thewesternregionhasthehighestproportionofhouseholdswithunacceptablefoodconsumption.AjdabiyahandAwbarihaveseensignificantdropsfrom2015to2016intheshareofIDPswithacceptablefoodconsumptionscores;from100percentto81percentand64percentrespectively.BaniWalidhasthehighestproportionofhouseholdswithpoorfoodconsumption,withlessthanhalfofthehouseholdshavingacceptablediets.ThisdeteriorationmightbelinkedwiththeincreasenumberofIDPsintheselocationsin2016. Figure15:FoodConsumptionScorebyregionsandlocation

76%

16%

8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

FoodConsumptionGroup

Poorfoodconsumption(≤28)

Borderlinefoodconsumption(28.5-42)

Acceptablefoodconsumption(≥42.5)

Poor Borderline AcceptableSugar 0 1 3

Oil/fat 1 2 3

Dairy 0 1 4

Legumes 0 0 1

Fruits 0 0 1

Meat/Fish 1 3 5

Vegetables 2 3 4

MainStaple 6 6 7

FoodconsumptionbyFCG

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Lookingatthefoodconsumptionscorefordifferentdisplacedgroups,IDPsfromAwbari/WadialHayaastandsoutwithconsiderablyworsescore.Herelessthanhalfhaveanacceptablefoodconsumptionscore,comparedto groups from Benghazi (91%), Sirte (75%), Tawergha (74%) and groupswith other places of origin (77%).Furthermore,groupsfromAwbari/WadialHayaahavethelargestshareofIDPswithapoorfoodconsumptionscore, with almost a third (29%), which is significantly higher than other displacement groups. Also, newlydisplacedgroupsseemtohavesomewhatlowerfoodconsumptionscores.Lookingatfoodconsumptionformaleandfemaleheadedhouseholds,femaleheadsofhouseholdsconstituteafourthofIDPswithapoorfoodconsumptionscoreand14%and10%oftheIDPswithborderlineandacceptablefoodconsumptionscoresrespectively.

77%64%

85%

18%

22%

11%5%

13%5%

South West East

Acceptable Borderline Poor

80%

100%

76%

98% 94% 96%

46%

100% 100%

81%94%

84%96% 100%

90%100%

95%100%

64%

18%18%

2% 6% 4%

31%

14%

5%11%

4%8%

6%

28%

2% 6%

23%

5% 1% 5% 2%8%

2014

2015

2016

2014

2015

2016

2016

2014

2015

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

2014

2015

2016

2015

2016

Tripoli Zawiyah BaniWalid

Ajdabiyah Benghazi Tobruk Sabha Awbari

Acceptable Borderline Poor

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OnaverageIDPswithapoorfoodconsumptionscore,haveamediumtolongdistancetotheirplaceoforiginandhavesmallerhouseholds,withmorementhanwomen.IDPshavingaborderlinefoodconsumptionscoreareonaveragelargehouseholdswithmoremalethanfemalemembers,whohasamediumdistancetotheirplaceoforigin.IDPswithanacceptablefoodconsumptionscorehaveonaverageashorterdistancetotheirplaceoforiginandmediumsizedhouseholds,withanequalsplitofmenandwomen.Figure16:FoodConsumptionScorebyDisplacementGroups,SexofHeadofHouseholdsandDisplacementtime

Inrelationwiththenumberofmealseatenperday,inBaniWalidandTripolimorethanaquarteroftheIDPsgetslessthanthreemealsperday.Thetimeofdisplacementseemstobepositivelycorrelatedwithnumberofmealsperday.Assuch,thelongertimeanIDPhasbeendisplacedthehigherthenumberofmealseatenperdaywillbe.Thismaybeexplainedbythefactthatthelongerthedisplacement,thelongertheIDPswillhavehadtoestablishafootingandlivelihoodmechanisms.Figure17:Mealseatenperdaybysexofheadofhouseholdsandaverageofnumberofdaysdisplaced

91%

46%

75% 74% 77% 77%

62% 64%

80% 75% 76%

6%

25%

15% 20% 18% 16%

21%27%

12% 15% 17%

3%

29%

10% 6% 5% 7%18%

8% 8% 9% 8%

Acceptable Borderline Poor

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8.1 FoodsourcesDespiteanincreaseinexpendituresonfood,themajorfoodsourceismarketpurchasewithcashtheprimarywayofobtainingfoodforIDPscontinuestobethroughpurchasingitwithcashatthemarket.Surveyfindingsshowthatnearly89percentofallhouseholdscontinuedtoaccesstheir foodthroughpurchase–83percentthrough purchase in cash, while the remaining 6 percent buy their food on credit. About 3 percent of thehouseholdsgettheirfoodfromexternalsupport(Figurex).Localproductionhasbeenaffectedbyconflictandfarmers reportedthat thedestructionof irrigationssystemsanddisruptionofsupply routespreventedthemfrompurchasingseeds,particularlyforcropssuchasvegetables,whereseedsarenotnormallysavedfromthepreviousharvest. Inaddition, the increase in fuelpricesalso limited farmers’ability tocarryoutmechanizedoperations. Attacks on the commercial port in Benghazi are reported to have disrupted critical food importroutes.Therehasbeenasubstantialdeclineinfoodimportsasforeignshippersfearmakingdeliveries.17About89percentof the IDPshouseholdsarebuying food inthemarketandarehighlyvulnerabletomarketshocks and volatility of prices, both of which have become common in recent years. Inflationary pressuresremainedhighoverthefirsthalfof2016leadingtosubstantiallossinrealpurchasingpowerofthepopulation,especiallygiventherisingbasicfoodprices.Higherfoodpricestranslateintoafurtherincreaseinexpendituresonfoodtothedetrimentofotherneedssuchashealth,educationandasset/livelihoodsbuilding. Figure18:Foodsources

17 FAO, GIEWS Country Brief, November 2016.

79% 70%769.2

21% 30%702.4

MaleHH FemaleHH Average#ofdaysdaysdisplaced

Threeormoremeals Twoorlessmeals

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Lookingatthesourceoffoodbylocations,onaverageIDPsinTripoliusethemarketconsiderablylessthaninotherLibyancities.Marketpurchasesthroughbothcashandcreditdroppedsignificantlyfrom2015to2016.Assuch, 71 percent of IDPs in Tripoli use themarket for food acquisition. Several factors could influence thisdiscrepancy;eitherthemarketinTripoli isnotentirelyfunctioningregardingprovidingfoodforIDPsorotherfoodsourcessuchas foodaid ismorereadilyavailable.Also, this resultscanbeexplainedwith the fact thatexchangeislikelytobehigherinhecticcitiessuchasTripoli.ItmightalsobethatIDPsinurbansettingsrelyoninformalmarketsratherthanofficialones,andthusthevariancebetweenareasmightdifferinwhatisconsideredthemarket.AwbariandTobrokhavethehighestproportionofhouseholdspurchasingtheirfoodoncredit–15percentand11percent,respectively.Figure19:Averageuseofkeyfoodsourcesacrosslocations

Market(Cash)83%

Market(Credit)6%

Foodaid5%

Gift3%

Zakat1%

Loan1%

OwnProduction

1%

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Figure20:Useofmarket(cashandcredit)asfoodsource2015vs.2016

9 CopingStrategiesThe following section presents the findings on livelihood coping strategies and reduced coping strategiesemployedbyIDPhouseholds.

9.1 LivelihoodCopingStrategies

65%

97%

79%87% 90%

82%94%

71%

6%

10% 7%11%

15%11%1%

1% 1% 4% 2%18%

3%

20%

2% 2% 3% 4%14%

Tripoli Zawiyah BaniWalid

Ajdabiyah Benghazi Tobruk Sabha Awbari

Marketpurchase(cash) Marketpurchase(credit) Foodaid Other

93% 96% 99%90% 92% 93% 91%

71%

91%

80%

97% 96% 93% 94%86%

Tripoli Zawiyah BaniWalidAjdabiyah Benghazi Tobruk Sabha Awbari

2015 2016

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AssessmentfindingsshowthatmultiplecopingmechanismswereemployedtoaworryingdegreebytheIDPs.Morethantwo-thirdsoftheinterviewedhouseholdsreportedlyusedlivelihoodcopingstrategiesduetolackofmoneytobuyfoodorotherbasicneeds.Fifty-threepercentofthehouseholdsresortedtoemergencyorcrisislivelihoodcoping,suchassellingproductiveassetsorsendingchildrentowork,underminingfutureproductivityandcapacitytocope. AlargeshareofIDPhouseholdsspentsavings,orsoldhouseholdassets.Thesestrategiesmaybereversiblebutaprolongeddisplacementwould leadtoareducedability forhouseholdstodealwithfutureuncertainties.TheexcessiveuseofcopingstrategiesisanindicationofahighlevelofrisktofoodinsecurityamongIDPhouseholds.Theoveralluseofemergencycopingstrategieshasincreasedincomparisonwith2015findings.In2015onlyoneintenemployedemergencycopingstrategies,whichhasincreasedto14percentin2016.Theoveralluseofemergencycopingstrategiesisalsohigherthanin2014(12%).Figure21:Livelihoodcopingstrategiesusedbyhouseholds

Themostcommoncopingmechanismisspendsavings,followedbyreducingnon-foodexpensesonhealthandeducation,borrowing foodorbuying foodoncredit.Among the IDPs,23percentsoldhouseholdassetsasacopingmechanism,whereas9percentstatedthattheydidnotdosobecausetheyhadalreadyresortedtothiscopingmechanism.ThesefindingsareinlinewithJune2016REACHmulti-sectorassessmentthatfoundthatthemost frequent coping strategies used by IDPs included spending savings, buying food on credit or sellinghouseholdgoods.18Twenty-sixpercentofhouseholdshaveadoptednocopingmechanisms.Thiscouldeitherbeattributedtothelackofavailablecopingmechanismsornoneedforemployingnegativecopingmechanisms.Figure22:Livelihoodcopingstrategies

18 REACH (2016): “Multi-Sector Needs Assessment III Libya Report June 2016”

29%33%

26%

9%20%

20%

56%36%

40%

12%11%

14%

201420152016

Nocoping StressCoping CrisisCoping Emergencycoping

StressCoping CrisisCoping EmergencyCoping

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At regional level, both the South and theWest havemore than a fifth of IDPs adopting emergency copingstrategies,comparedtoonly5percentintheEast.Withregardstocrisiscopingstrategies,48percentofIDPsintheWesthasemployedcomparedto23percentintheSouthand35percentintheEast. Acrosslocations,aspikefrom2015to2016intheuseofemergencycopingstrategiesisfoundprimarilyinTripoli(27%-32%) and Sabha (6%-29%). The increase in emergency coping strategies is potentially related to thecontinuingdeteriorationinLibya’seconomicsituationandtherelatedsteepincreaseinfoodpricesespeciallyinthe South. Furthermore, continuing fighting in theWestern region can explain the deteriorating situation inTripoli,whereastheresultsfromSabhamightbelinkedwiththeinfluxofIDPsfromthefightinginSirte.Ontheotherhand,Benghaziexperiencedadecreasefrom15percentofIDPsresortingtoemergencycopingstrategiesin2015toonly1percentin2016,indicatingastabilizationoftheIDPsituation.Figure23:LivelihoodCopingStrategiesbyregionsandlocations

33%

10%

40%

21%

21%

20%

23%

48%

35%

23% 22%

5%

South West East

Nocoping StressCopingCrisisCoping Emergencycoping

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Amongdisplacementgroups,IDPsfromWadialHayaa/Awbariconsistentlystandsoutnegatively.Thisisalsothecasefortheuseofcopingstrategies,whereathirdofthedisplacementhasemployedemergencycopingstrategies.Theuseofemergencycopingstrategiesseemstocorrelatewiththedisplacementduration.However,theshareof IDPs who employ no coping strategies at all are significantly lower among recently displaced IDPs. ThisindicatesthatthesituationforIDPsisworsenedovertimeforashareofIDPs,butalsothatbetweenafifthand20percentofIDPscancreateasustainableconditionforthemselvesovertime.Giventhehighusageofcrisislivelihoodcopingstrategies,coupledwiththehighrelianceonsavings,itislikelythatIDPhouseholdswillfurtherresorttousingemergencylivelihoodcopingstrategiesintheupcomingmonths.

18%

29%

5%

50%

24% 26%

10%

29% 30%26% 24%

42%

24%20%

44%

35%29%

34%

12%

12%

12%

8%

16%

28%

27%

2%

8%

28%

22%

24%

26%

15%

8%

29%

7%24%

31%46%

32%

51%

30%

58%37%

48%65%

48%

37%

39%

33%

36%

57%

60%

21%

29%

44%17%

24%27%

32%

12%

2%9%

15%

4%

14%9%

15%

1%

14%

28%

12%6%

29%

3%

18%2014

2015

2016

2014

2015

2016

2016

2014

2015

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

2014

2015

2016

2015

2016

Tripoli Zawiyah BaniWalid

Ajdabiyah Benghazi Tobruk Sabha Awbari

Nocoping StressCoping CrisisCoping Emergencycoping

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Figure24:Livelihoodcopingstrategiesbydisplacementgroupsanddisplacementtime

9.2 Consumptionbasedcoping

Householdswereaskediftheyhadtoemployconsumption-basedcopingduetolackoffoodormoneytobuyfoodoverthepastsevendays. Almost75percentoftheinterviewedhouseholdsadoptedsomeformofcoping.Mostcommonlycitedcopingstrategiesare“relyoncheaperfoods(67%)”,“limitportionsize(59%)”and“restrictadults’consumptionsothatchildrencaneat(50%)”.Inlinewithothermeasuresoffoodsecuritymeasures,thelocationswiththelargestproportionofhouseholdsusingoneormorecopingstrategieswasBaniWalid,where99percentofhouseholdshadtocopewithfoodshortagesintheweekbeforethesurvey.Assuch,BaniWalid,hasaconsiderablyhigherReducedCopingStrategyScore,comparedtootherIDPlocations.TobrukandAwbariseemtobeoverallbetteroff,withloweraveragescores,thusconfirmingtheoveralltrendoveraratherlargervarianceintheIDPfoodrelatedneedsacrossLibya.Figure25:Consumption-basedcopingstrategiesacrosslocations

26%17% 22%

36%

5% 8%

33% 29% 24%

17%

16%

25%

20%

26%

36%

30%

16%16%

51%

32%

44%33%

43%

48%

30%

43%42%

6%

34%

8% 11%

26%

8% 7%13% 17%

Benghazi Awbari Sirte Tawergha Other 0-6months

6-12months

12-24months

>24

Nocoping StressCoping CrisisCoping Emergencycoping

1519

41

107

18 18

7

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EventhoughBaniWalid,consistentlystandsoutintermsofnegativefoodsecurity,thismightberelatedtotheoriginoftheIDPs.Asthefigurebelowindicates,thefurtherawayfromtheplaceoforigin,thehigherthereducedcopingstrategyscorefortheIDPs.Whilethecorrelationbetweendistancetoplaceoforiginandfoodsecurityisweak, it is still statically significant. The correlationmight suggest that IDPs rely on social, family or ethnicnetworkswhendisplaced.Thesenetworksareweakened the furtheraway the IDPsaredisplaced fromtheirorigin,thuscreatinganincreaseintheirreducedcopingstrategyscore.Withoutsocialnetworks,theIDPshavefewersourcestorelyonforsupportgiventheirdisplacement. 10 Profileofthefoodinsecure Inthissection,theassociationbetweenhouseholdfoodinsecurityandhouseholdcharacteristics/circumstancesisexplored.

10.1 GeographyAcrossregions,theWeststandsoutasthemostfoodinsecure,withoneintenbeingseverelyfoodinsecureand24percentmoderatelyfoodinsecure.ThisissignificantlyworsethanthesituationfoundintheSouthandtheEast,where87percentand85percentrespectivelyarefoodsecure.Thedistributionofthefoodinsecurehouseholdsvariesbyprovince.ProvincesthatareborderingorareclosetotherecentconflictareasarelikelytohostlargerproportionsoffoodinsecureIDPhouseholds.ThefightinginSirteandclashesbetweentheopposingforcesintheWestandEasthaveincreasedpressureoninstitutionsandhadanimpactonfoodavailabilityandontheeconomicsituation,whichhasaffectedIDPsnegativelyacrossLibya.Higher rates of food insecurehouseholds areobserved inBaniWalid (38%),Awbari (21%) and Tripoli (19%)comparedtotheotherlocation(17%and18%forBenghaziandAjdabiyahrespectively).SomeofthekeydriversoffoodinsecurityinLibyaincludetheongoingpoliticalinstability,conflictsandinsecurity,increasingcostof living includinghighhealthexpenses, inflationsand lackof liquidity,highandvolatile foodprices, poor government capacity to provide social services, very limited agricultural production and highdependenceonmarketstoaccessfood. Thearmedconflicthasdisruptedcommercialsupplyroutes,limitingtheavailabilityoffoodandpushinguppricesintheinhospitabledeserticsoutherngovernorates.

3 3

2 2 2

Relyoncheaperfood

Limitedmeals

Restrictconsumptionbyadults

Borrowedfood

Reducedmeals

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ThegraphbelowillustratesthedevelopmentinthefoodinsecurityindexacrosstheeightLibyancitiesfor2015and 2016. Overall, the findings indicate that IDPs are more food insecure in 2016 compared to 2015. TheproportionoffoodsecureIDPshavedroppedfrom33percentto14percent,whichalsoreflectsageneraldeclineinthefoodsecuritysituationofIDPs.Assuch,24percentarefoodinsecurein2016comparedto0percentin2015.Figure26:Foodsecurityacrossregionsandlocations

39%

7%18%

47%

58%

67%

13%

24%

12%11%

3%

South West East

SeverelyFoofInsecure

ModeratelyFoodInsecure

MarginallyFoodSecure

FoodSecure

6%20%

41%

10%18%

28%18% 12% 15%

62%

41%29%

37%

100%75%

80%

55%

42%

90%64%

68%

65%88% 85%

38%

51% 71%42%

19%4%

34%

16%2%

13%7%

20%24%

2% 2% 4% 1%

2015

2016

2015

2016

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

2015

2016

Tripoli Zawiyah BaniWalid

Ajdabiyah Benghazi Tobruk Sabha Awbari

FoodSecure MarginallyFoodSecure ModeratelyFoodInsecure SeverelyFoofInsecure

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IfwelookattheplaceoforiginoftheIDPs,householdsfromWadiAlHayaa/AwbariandSirtearesignificantlyworseoffthanothergroups.AmongIDPsfromAwbari,31percentareseverelyfoodinsecure,28percentaremoderately food insecure,andonly10percentarefoodsecure.Thehigher insecurityof IDPsfromAwbari isrelatedtothefactthatcomparedtotheotherdisplacementgroups,theyhaveconsiderablyloweremploymentlevels(only27%employedcomparedtothe46%amongTawerghawhichhasthesecondlowestemploymentlevel).WithregardstoIDPsfromSirte,around5percentarefoundtobefoodinsecure,whereas20percentaremoderatelyfoodinsecure.Figure27:Foodsecurityacrossdisplacementgroups

10.2 Demography

Foodsecurehouseholdsarelikelytohaveasmaller/mediumhouseholdsizeandbeheadedbyamale.Themean average household size among the food secure households is 5,9 compared to 6,2 for food insecurehouseholds.Womenheadedhouseholdexhibitahigherrateoffoodinsecurity.Thirty-ninepercentofwomen-headedhouseholdsarefoodinsecurewhiletherateisloweramongthemale-headedhouseholdsat22percent.Thedifferencecouldbeexplainedbyhigher levelsofunemploymentamongwomen(only8%areemployedcomparedto59%ofmale-headedhousehold),fewerincomesourcesduetolackofjobsbeforedisplacementsandthuslackofpensions.Figure28:FoodsecuritybySexofheadofhouseholdandEmploymentstatus

13% 10% 14% 15% 17%

80%

30%

61% 58%67%

5%

28%

20% 23%13%

3%

31%

5% 4% 4%

SeverelyFoofInsecure

ModeratelyFoodInsecure

MarginallyFoodSecure

FoodSecure

15%3%

20%6% 12% 7% 3%

62%

57%

65%

41%

64%

27%22%

17%

22%

11%

29%

20%

63% 71%

5%17%

3%

24%

4% 4% 3%

SeverelyFoofInsecure

ModeratelyFoodInsecure

MarginallyFoodSecure

FoodSecure

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Householdswiththeirheadsbeingunemployedemploymentarelikelytobemorefoodinsecurecomparedtotheemployedhouseholdheads.Thirty-fivepercentofhouseholdsare food insecureamong theunemployedheadsofhouseholdswhiletherateis14percentamongtheemployedhouseholdheads.WhilearoundhalftheIDPsreporthavingajob,therearesignificantvariationsacrossthesurveyeddistricts.Assuch,78percentofIDPsinTobrukand76percent inAwbariareemployed,whereasonly28percent inBaniWalidand50percent inAjdabiyahhaveajob.Recently-arrivedhouseholds(0-6months)aremorelikelytobefoodinsecure.RecentlydisplacedIDPsbothhavethehighestshareofseverelyfoodinsecure(11%)aswellasthelowestshareoffoodsecure(5%).AstrikingdifferenceofhouseholdfoodsecuritystatusisobservedamongtherecentlyarrivedIDPhouseholdscomparedtothosewhoarrivedmorethanayearago.Foodinsecurityishighamongthehouseholdsthatarrivedlessthansixmonthsago(28%),followedby6-12monthsago(20%),12-24month(26%)andmorethantwoyears(24%).LookingatthetimeofdisplacementforIDPs,BaniWalidandAwbaristandsoutwithhostingthelargestshareofnewIDPs.Twenty-threepercentofIDPsinBaniWalidand18percentinAwbarihavebeendisplacedforsixmonthsorless.ThefindingsshowthatthelongertheIDPshavehadtoestablishthemselvesinanewarea,thelessfoodinsecuretheyare.Figure29:Foodsecuritybydisplacementtime

10.3 Socio-economicsituationSeverelyfoodinsecurehouseholdshavelimitedaccesstostableincomecomparedtoothergroups.Assuch43percentofseverelyfoodinsecurehouseholdsrelyoncasuallaborasthemainincomesource,whilethemostcommonincomesourceforothergroupsisthestatesalary.Arelativelyhighproportionofseverelyfoodinsecure(16%)thusalsorelyonkinshipandgiftsfromfamilyandfriendsasthemainsourceofincome.Inordertocopewith theunstable income, severely food insecurehouseholdsadoptanumberof consumptionbasedcopingstrategieswithmorethan8outof10householdseating lesspreferred/expensivefoods,borrowingfoodorrelying on help from friends and relatives, as well as limiting portion sizes. This compares to food securehouseholdswerelessthanonethirdofthehouseholdsuseanyofthesecopingstrategies.

5%15% 15% 15%

68%64% 60% 61%

17%12% 19% 20%

11% 8% 7% 4%

0-6months 6-12months

12-24months

>24

SeverelyFoofInsecure

ModeratelyFoodInsecure

MarginallyFoodSecure

FoodSecure

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Figure 30: Households food security by main sources of income and use of consumption-based copingstrategies

Table3:CARIClassificationofIDPhouseholds

IDPgroups Foodinsecure Foodsecure

HeadofHouseholdMale 22% 78%Female 40% 60%

Displacementgroups(IDPsplaceoforigin)

Benghazi 8% 92%WadialHayaa/Awbari 60% 40%

Sirte 25% 75%Tawergha 27% 73%

Durationofdisplacement0-6months 27% 73%6-12months 20% 80%

52%

39%47%

29%

20%

20%

3%

12%

20%

43%

2%5%

6%5%

7% 8%

6% 4%15%

16%

10% 12% 12%7%

FoodSecure MarginallyFoodSecure

ModeratelyFoodInsecure

SeverelyFoodInsecure

Other

Kinship/giftsfromfamily/friends/remittancesPettytrade/smallbusiness

Skilledlabour

Casuallabour

Salariedwork

33%

71%75%

82%

30%

49%56%

82%

21%

61%

70%

82%

19%

52%

61%

77%

18%

50%

61%

79%

FoodSecure MarginallyFoodSecure ModeratelyFoodInsecure SeverelyFoodInsecure

Relyoncheaperfood

Borrowedfood

Limitedmeals

Restrictconsumptionbyadults

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12-24months 26% 74%>24months 24% 76%

EmploymentstatusEmployed 14% 86%

Notemployed 49% 51%

Distancetoplaceoforigin

Near(0-175km) 17% 83%Short(176-350km) 27% 73%

Medium(351-700km) 19% 81%Long(+700km) 35% 65%

OVERALL 24% 76%Among the IDPs surveyed, four distinct clusters of IDP groups stand out when applying a two-step clusterstatisticalanalysis.

• The first group,whichmakes up almost half of the IDPs (39%) consists of employedmale headsofhouseholds,whohasonlybeendisplacedforashortperiodandhasnotbeendisplacedfarfromtheirplace of origin. This group seems to the least food insecure group, as only 15% are found to foodinsecure.

• Thesecondgroup(13%ofIDPs)consistofemployedmaleheadsofhouseholds,whohasbeendisplacedforanextendedperiodandarelocatedfarfromtheirplaceoforigin.Thisgroupisalsonotaveryfoodinsecuregroup,asonly16%arefoundtofoodinsecure.

• Thethirdgroup,makingup12%oftheIDPs,areunemployedfemaleheadsofmediumsizedhouseholds.Thisgrouphasamediumtimeofdisplacementanddistancetoplaceoforigin.Amontheclustergroups,thisgroup,istheleastfoodsecure,withalmostathird(41%)beingfoodinsecure.

• Thefourthandfinalgroup(36%ofall IDPs)consistsofunemployedmaleheadsoflargehouseholds.Thesearedisplacedamediumdistancefromtheirplaceoforiginandhavebeensoforalongtime.Athirdofthesegroupisfoodinsecure,makingitthesecondmostinsecureclustergroup.

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Figure31:ClusterAnalysisofMostVulnerableIDPGroups

©2016Voluntas Advisory. Allrightsreserved. StrictlyConfidential.

Unemployedwomen,andunemployedmaleheadsoflargehouseholdmostvulnerableIDPgroups

Group1:EmployedMaleheadofMediumsizehousehold.Shortperiodofdisplacement,Shortdistancefromplaceoforigin

ShareoffoodinsecureingroupShareofIPDsGroupcharacteristics

Group2: EmployedMaleheadofMediumsizehousehold.Longperiodofdisplacement,Longdistancefromplaceoforigin

Group3:UnemployedFemaleheadofMediumsizehousehold.Mediumtimeperioddisplaced,shortdistancefromplaceoforigin

Group4:UnemployedMaleheadofLargesizehousehold.Longperiodofdisplacement,mediumdistancefromplaceoforigin

+6

39%

13%

12%

36%

15%

16%

41%

33%

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11 ConclusionAstheconflictcontinuesinLibyablockingprospectsforrevitalisingstateinstitutionsandstabilisingtheeconomy,therivalgovernments’abilitytodeliverconcreteimprovementinthelivesofLibyansisdecreasing,whiletheriskof further violence increases. Entire cities’ neighbourhoods have been destroyed, hundreds of thousands ofLibyanshavebeendisplaced,the localcurrencyhavedevaluatedand inflation isspiking leadingto increasingfoodpricesandsuspensionoftheregularsubsidiesbythegovernment.TheRapidFoodSecurityAssessmentof IDPs inLibya found that thecontinuingdeteriorationof securityandeconomicsituationareputtingimmensestrainsonIDPsinseveralareasinLibya.From2015to2016,overallIDPfoodinsecurityhasincreased,24percentofallIDPsarefoodinsecure,comparedto6percentfoodinsecurein2015.Overall,thesituationinBaniWalidisthemostpressing,whereIDPsaredisplacedduetoclashesbetweenforces from the eastern and western regions, and the fight against the Islamic State in Sirte face severehumanitarianchallenges.InBaniWalid,24percentofIDPsarefoundtobeseverelyfoodinsecureand43percentoftheIDPsintheWesterncityeatslessthanthreemealsperday.Furthermore,female-headedIDPhouseholdsare more food insecure than themale-headed ones. Also, IDPs seem to bemost insecure right after theirdisplacement,astheyhaveyetbeenabletocreatelivelihoodpotentials.TheeffectofdecreaseddisposableincomehashadasignificantimpactonIDPsfoodsecurity whoarealreadyaffectedbyrestrictedaccesstolivelihoods.Duetolimitedbankingfunctionalityhouseholdsdonothaveaccesstotheirsalariesandsavingsandtheyarenotabletoaccessfundsnecessarytopayfortheirneeds,includingfoodandaccommodation.Currently,almosthalfofIDPexpendituresaredirectedtowardsfood,thoughthisvariesconsiderably across cities. Food insecure and vulnerable households cope through adapting various copingstrategies.Thefrequentuseoflivelihoodcopingstrategies,especiallycrisisandemergencycoping,callforimmediateactionby humanitarian communities tomitigate a further deteriorationof food security situation among themostvulnerable.

11.1 Recommendations• Identifylocalpartnersthatcanhelpprovideandscale-upfoodassistanceinBaniWalidtoaddressIDPs

escalatingfoodsecuritycrisisinthecity;• IncreaseeffortstoreachvulnerableIDPhouseholdsespeciallyfemale-headedhouseholds,forinstance

throughtrainingoflocalpartnerstoidentifyandprofileIDPhouseholds;• Set-up food price monitoring system to enable on-going monitoring of food price inflation in key

markets;• Developcontingencyplansforotherconflictareasatriskoflocalizedsurgeofdisplacement,aswasseen

withtheSirtedisplacement;• ConsiderengagingwiththeLibyangovernmentonprovidingtargetedfoodsubsidiesinareashosting

highnumberofIDPs.

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12 Annex1-CARIcalculationsTheCARImethodologyisafoodsecurityassessmenttoolaimingtoestimatetheactualnumberoffoodinsecurehouseholdsinatargetpopulation.Itissuitablefornationalandsub-nationalassessmentsandspecificlocations,suchasrefugeesettlements.CARIisnotappropriateforqualitativeassessmentsthataresolelybasedonkey-informantinterviewsandfocusgroupdiscussionsandthereforeonlyIDPsandReturneeshavebeenincludedinthecalculations.TheCARImethodologyincludesthefollowingdomains,sub-domains,andindicators.Table4:CARImodelDomain Consoles IndicatorCurrentstatus Foodconsumption Foodconsumptionscore

FoodenergyshortfallCopingcapacity Economicvulnerability Foodexpenditureshare

PovertystatusAssetdepletion Livelihood coping strategies

categoriesThe4-pointscaleassignsascoretoeachindicator:

• Ascoreof1isseenasfoodsecure:ahouseholdcanmeetessentialfoodandnon-foodneedswithoutengaginginatypicalcopingstrategies.

• Ascoreof2meansmarginally food secure:ahouseholdhasminimallyadequate foodconsumptionwithout engaging in irreversible coping strategies but is unable to afford some essential non-foodexpenditures.

• Ascoreof3isseenasmoderatefoodinsecure,wherebyafamilyhassignificantfoodconsumptiongapsorismarginallyabletomeetminimumfoodneedsonlywithirreversiblecopingstrategies.

• Ascoreof4indicatesahouseholdisseverelyfoodinsecure,andthusfacesextremefoodconsumptiongaps,orhasseverelossoflivelihoodassetswillleadtofoodconsumptiongapsorworse.

Theoverallfoodsecurityclassificationiscalculatedinfourstepsbyfirstaveragingthehousehold’s4-pointscalescoresforavailableindicatorsinthecurrentstatusdomain(CS).Next,thesummaryindicatorofcopingcapacityis calculatednextbyaveraging thehousehold’s console scores foravailable indicators in thecopingcapacitydomain(CC).Thirdly,theCSandCCscoreareaveraged((CS+CC)/2).Thisaverageisthenroundedtothenearestwholenumberandwillalwaysfallbetween1and4.Thenumberthusrepresentsthehousehold’soverallfoodsecurityoutcome.Tocalculatewhatpercentageofthepopulationisfoodinsecure,theratesofthetwomostseverecategories(moderatelyfoodinsecureandseverelyfoodinsecure)aresummed.Inthisassessment,thefollowingthreeindicatorshavebeenincluded:

• Foodconsumptionscore• Foodexpenditureshare• Livelihoodcopingstrategiescategories

FoodconsumptionscoresFoodconsumptionscores(FCS)measurecurrentfoodconsumption.Householdsareallocatedintogroupsbasedonthevarietyoffoodsconsumedintheweekbeforebeingsurveyed.ThesurveyincludedthefollowingfoodgroupslargelyfollowingtheWFPTechnicalGuidanceforFoodConsumptionAnalysis:Table5:Fooditemstablefromhouseholdsurvey

Fooditems Foodgroups Weight

1. CerealsandGrain: Mainstaples 2

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Wheatbread(flourforhomebakery),RyeBread,Buckwheat,Pasta,Rice

2. Rootsandtubers: Potato,Beetroot3. Legumes/nuts:

Pulses 3 Beans,Peas/cannedpeas,othernuts4. Orangevegetables(Veg.richinVitaminA):

Vegetables 1 Carrot,RedPepper,Pumpkin5. Greenleafyvegetables:Spinach/Sourdock6. Othervegetables: Onion,Cabbage,Tomatoes/Cucumbers,Zucchini7.

Orangefruits(FruitsrichinVitaminA):Apricot,Peach,Orange

Fruits 18.

OtherFruits:Apple,Pear,Plums,Lemon

9. Meat:

Meatandfish 4

Chicken,Beef10. Liver,kidney,heartand/orotherorganmeats: Liver

11. Fish/Shellfish:Cannedtuna,Cannedsardines,Riverfish

12. Eggs13.

Milkandotherdairyproducts:FreshMilk,Cheese,Sourcream,Fuli(Kefir)/yoghurt Milk 4

14. Oil/fat/butter: Sunfloweroil,Butter,Lard,Margarine Oil 0,515. Sugar:Sugar,Cakes/sweets/cookies,Jam,Honey Sugar 0,5

16.

Condiments/Spices:Tea,coffee/cocoa,salt,garlic,spices,yeast/bakingpowder,lanwin,tomato/sauce,meatorfishasacondiment,condimentsincludingsmallamountofmilk/teacoffee,andherbsorsmallquantityofleafyvegetableslikeparsleyandcoriander

Condiments 0

Foreachfooditem,thenumberofdaysthattherespondenthaseatentheitemwithinthelastsevendaysisrecorded.Foreachfoodgroup,thesumofdaysiscalculated–scoresabovesevenarecodedas7.Eachfoodgroup score is then multiplied by its weight and the weighted scores summarized which equals the foodconsumptionscore.AsthereisahighuseofoilandsugaramongIDPs,theadjustedthresholdshavebeenutilizedforthisstudy.Theyareasfollows:

• Poor:0-28• Borderline28,5-42• Acceptable>42

ToconverttheFCSintotheCARIscale,adequatefoodconsumptionhouseholdsareconvertedtofoodsecureandassignedascoreof1.Borderlinefoodconsumptionhouseholdsareconvertedtomoderatefoodinsecureandassignedascoreof3.Poorfoodconsumptionhouseholdsareconvertedtoseverefoodinsecureandassignedascoreof4.Nohouseholdwillbeclassifiedasmarginalfoodinsecure.Foodexpenditureshare

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Food cost share measures economic vulnerability. Households are categorized based on the share of totalexpendituresdirectedtofood.Itisusedwhenpovertylineinformationisnotavailableandreliesonthepremisethatthegreatertheimportanceoffoodwithinahousehold’soverallbudgetcomparedtootherconsumeditemsandservices,themoreeconomicallyvulnerablethehouseholdis.Inthisstudy,thefoodcostsharehasbeencalculatedbyaskingrespondentswhattheirthreemainexpendituresareandwhatshareof their income is spendoneachof these three.Anotherapproach,whichhasnotbeenutilizedinthisstudy,isbydividingthetotalfoodexpendituresbythetotalhouseholdexpenditures.Convertingtheexpenditureshare intotheCARI4-pointscale isusuallybasedonthefollowingthresholdsforexpendituresusedtoacquirefoodcommodities:

• <50%ofexpenditure=Foodsecure• 50–65%ofexpenditure=Marginallyfoodsecure• 65–75%ofexpenditure=Moderatelyfoodinsecure• >75%=Severelyfoodinsecure

LivelihoodcopingstrategiesLivelihoodcopingstrategiesmeasurethesustainabilityoflivelihoodsandareadescriptorofahousehold’scopingcapacity. Households are categorized based on the severity of livelihood coping strategies employed. Theindicatorisderivedfromaseriesofquestionsregardingthehousehold’sexperiencewithlivelihoodstressandassetdepletionduring30daysbeforethesurvey.Allstrategiesareclassifiedintothreebroadgroups,includingstress,crisis,andemergencystrategies.Table6:Copingstrategyactivitiestablefromhouseholdsurvey

Duringthepast30days,didanyoneinyourhouseholdhavetoengageinanyfollowingbehaviorsduetoalackoffoodoralackofmoneytobuyfood?

Copingstrategycategory

1. Soldhouseholdassets/goods(radio,furniture,refrigerator,television,jewelry,etc.) Stress

2. Reducednon-foodexpensesonhealth(includingdrugs)andeducation Crisis

3. Soldproductiveassetsormeansoftransport(sewingmachine,wheelbarrow,bicycle,car,etc.)

Crisis

4. Spentsavings Stress

5. Borrowedmoney/foodfromaformallender/bank Stress

6. Purchasedfoodoncreditorborrowedfood Stress

7. Soldhouseorland Emergency

8. Withdrewchildrenfromschool Crisis

9. Begging EmergencyForeachcopingactivity,respondentswereaskediftheyhaddonetheactivitywithinthelast30days.Iftheyhadnot,respondentsreceivedfollow-upquestionsonwhetheritwasbecausetheyhadalreadydoneit(e.g.alreadysoldtheirhousemorethan30daysago)orbecausetheyhadnothadtodoittocope.Basedonthesethreeansweringcategoriesadichotomousvariablewasdevelopedwithrespondentsthathadperformedtheactivitywithin the last30daysaswellas therespondents thathadpreviouslyperformedtheactivityasonegroupandtheothergroupthathadnothadtodotheactivity.Thecopingstrategiesarehierarchallyrankedinthefollowingmanner:

1. Emergency2. Crisis3. Stress

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Thismeansthatifarespondenthasperformedbothanactivitywithinthestresscopingcategoryandactivitywithinthecrisiscopingcategory,therespondentwillberecordedwithinthecrisiscopingcategory.ThecopingstrategycategoriesaresubsequentlytranslatedintotheCARI4pointscaleinthefollowingmanner:

• Nocopingstrategy(i.e.notperformedanyactivities)=Foodsecure• Stresscopingstrategy(performedstressactivity,butneithercrisisnoremergencyactivity)=Marginally

foodsecure• Crisiscopingstrategy(performedatleastonecrisisactivity,butnotemergencyactivity)=Moderately

foodinsecure• Emergencycopingstrategy(performedatleastoneemergencyactivity)=Foodinsecure

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13 Annex2:CARIConsolesbylocationandregionTripoli

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

76% / 18% 6%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

61% 37% 1% 1%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

5% 12% 51% 32%

FoodSecurityIndex 6% 75% 19% 0%81% 19%

Zawiyah

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

96% / 4% 0%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

73% 26% 1% 0%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

26% 28% 37% 9%

FoodSecurityIndex41% 55% 4% 0%

96% 4%BaniWalid

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

46% / 31% 23%

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CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

1% 16% 20& 63%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

10% 27% 48% 15%

FoodSecurityIndex 0% 42% 34% 24%42% 58%

Ajdabiyah

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

81% / 14% 5%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

19% 29% 19% 33%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

50% 15% 32% 3%

FoodSecurityIndex 18% 64% 16% 2%82% 18%

Benghazi

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

84% / 11% 5%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

11% 37% 27% 25%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

42% 24% 33% 1%

FoodSecurityIndex 18% 65% 13% 4%83% 17%

Tobruk

Domain Indicator Foodsecure Foodinsecure

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FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

100% / 0% 0%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

93% 7% 0% 0%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

0% 15% 57% 28%

FoodSecurityIndex 15% 85% 9% 0%100% 0%

Awbari

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

64% / 29% 8%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

70% 28% 2% 0%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

33% 30% 19% 18%

FoodSecurityIndex37% 42% 20% 1%

79% 21%Sabha

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

94% / 6% 0%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

86% 11% 2% 1%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

35% 7% 29% 29%

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FoodSecurityIndex 41% 51% 8% 0%92% 8%

CARIScoresbyregionWest

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

64% / 22% 13%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

35% 26% 22% 24%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

14% 23% 45% 19%

FoodSecurityIndex7% 58% 24% 11%

65% 35%East

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

84% / 11% 5%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

23% 31% 22% 24%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

23% 22% 43% 13%

FoodSecurityIndex18% 67% 12% 3%

85% 15%South

Domain Indicator

Foodsecure Foodinsecure

FoodSecure(1)

MarginallyFood Secure(2)

ModeratelyFoodInsecure(3)

SeverelyFoodInsecure(4)

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CurrentStatus

FoodConsumption

FoodConsumptionGroup

77% / 18% 5%

CopingCapacity

EconomicVulnerability

Share ofexpenditure onfood

77% 20% 3% 0%

AssetDepletionLivelihoodcoping strategycategories

35% 18% 23% 35%

FoodSecurityIndex 39% 47% 13% 1%86% 14%

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