quarterly trends webcast - evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. evestment global...

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Quarterly Trends Webcast March 2020

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Page 1: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Quarterly Trends WebcastMarch 2020

Page 2: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

What We’ll Cover1. Global Asset Movement

2. Consultant & Investor Screening Behavior

3. Mandate Trends

4. Finding Opportunities

John MolesphiniGlobal Head of Insights, eVestment

Page 3: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Source: eVestment DatabaseUnderlying This Trends Analysis

25,000+Institutional Strategies

4,000+Asset Management

Firms Reporting Data

895+Consultants & Investors

Conducting Screens

$80TAUM Represented By

Managers Reporting Data

10,000+Manager Screens By Investors & Consultants Each Quarter

60,000+Public Plan Documents

180,000+Product Views By Investors & Consultants Each Quarter

3

Page 4: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Products AUM ($B)

US Equity 3,607 $15,026

US Fixed Income 2,631 $13,611

Global Equity 1,644 $4,040

Global Fixed Income 911 $2,488

EAFE Equity 550 $1,890

ACWI ex-US Equity 391 $1,755

Emerging Markets Equity 691 $1,553

Global Balanced/TAA 503 $1,018

Europe Fixed Income 452 $878

Emerging Markets Fixed Income 414 $844

Source: eVestment AnalyticsUnderlying This Trends Analysis

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Page 5: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

2019 2020 Through February

S&P 500 31.49% -8.27%

Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate 8.72% 3.76%

MSCI World-GD 28.40% -8.94%

Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate 6.84% 1.96%

MSCI EAFE-GD 22.66% -10.92%

MSCI ACWI ex-US-GD 22.13% -10.35%

MSCI EM-GD 18.90% -9.68%

50% MSCI World/50% Citi WGBI 16.57% -3.24%

Bloomberg Barclays Euro Aggregate 4.07% 0.15%

JPM EMBI Global Diversified 15.04% 0.54%

Source: eVestment AnalyticsUnderlying This Trends Analysis

5

Page 6: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Global Asset Movement

Page 7: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

State of Long-OnlySource: eVestment Analytics and Asset Flows

-$300,000

-$100,000

$100,000

$300,000

$500,000

$700,000

$900,000

$1,100,000

$0

$5,000,000

$10,000,000

$15,000,000

$20,000,000

$25,000,000

$30,000,000

$35,000,000

Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q1 2019

$0

Cumulative Institutional Flows

Reported Institutional AUM

60% MSCI World/40% WGBI

7

Page 8: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Institutional AUM with Flows OverlaySource: eVestment Analytics and Asset Flows

-$3,750,000

-$2,250,000

-$750,000

$750,000

$2,250,000

$3,750,000

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Fixed Income Flows

Equity Flows

BALANCED/MULTI-ASSET

FIXED INCOME

EQUITY

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Balanced/Multi-Asset Flows

8

Page 9: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Active vs. Passive Cumulative FlowsSource: eVestment Analytics and Asset Flows

-$3,750,000

-$2,750,000

-$1,750,000

-$750,000

$250,000

$1,250,000

$2,250,000

ACTIVE EQUITY

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

ACTIVE FIXED INCOME FLOWS

PASSIVE EQUITY FLOWS

PASSIVE FIXED INCOME FLOWS

ACTIVE EQUITY FLOWS

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Page 10: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Inflow Drivers – Q4 2019 (Institutional Only)Source: eVestment Analytics and Asset Flows ($M)

$284,555

P r i o r F o u r Q u a r t e r s

$4,798

$10,624

$3,699

-$10,635

-$950

$17,300

$10,298

$4,402

-$3,889$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000 $100,000

US Cash Management

US Core Plus Fixed Income

US Core Fixed Income

Global Passive Fixed Income

US Long Duration Fixed Income

Diversified Growth Funds

US Passive Core Fixed Income

US High Yield Municipal Fixed Income

Buy and Maintain Credit Fixed Income

Canadian Core Fixed Income

10

Page 11: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Outflow Drivers – Q4 2019 (Institutional Only)Source: eVestment Analytics and Asset Flows ($M)

-$75,352

P r i o r F o u r Q u a r t e r s

-$35,683

$13,618

-$55,948

$5,671

-$42,742

-$14,052

-$14,144

-$8,200

$23,757-$30,000 -$25,000 -$20,000 -$15,000 -$10,000 -$5,000 $0

US Large Cap Value Equity

Global Large Cap Core Equity

EAFE Passive Equity

US Large Cap Growth Equity

US Short Duration Fixed Income

US Floating-Rate Bank Loan Fixed Income

EAFE Large Cap Core Equity

US Enhanced S&P 500 Equity

Global Emerging Mkts Fixed Income - Local Currency

US Passive S&P 500 Equity

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Page 12: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Largest Positive Shifts (Institutional Only)Source: eVestment Analytics and Asset Flows ($M)

Q 4 2 0 1 9P R I O R F O U R Q U A R T E R S

-$50,000 -$40,000 -$30,000 -$20,000 -$10,000 $0 $10,000

US Corporate Fixed Income

Global Passive Equity

US Long Duration Fixed Income

US Balanced

Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity

UK Passive Equity

Global Large Cap Value Equity

Canadian Core Fixed Income

Asia ex-Japan All Cap Value Equity

US Passive Russell 1000 Growth Equity

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Page 13: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Largest Negative Shifts (Institutional Only)Source: eVestment Analytics and Asset Flows ($M)

Q 4 2 0 1 9 P R I O R F O U R Q U A R T E R S

-$20,000 -$10,000 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000

US Enhanced Cash Management

US Passive S&P 500 Equity

EAFE Passive Equity

Global Multi-Sector Fixed Income

Europe Fixed Income - Cash Management

Global Emerging Mkts Passive Equity

US Short Duration Fixed Income

US Passive Large Cap - Other Indices

ACWI ex-US Passive Equity

Europe Fixed Income - Corporate

13

Page 14: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Recent State of the eVestment ESG UniverseSource: eVestment Analytics and Asset Flows

$592B AS OF Q4 2019

AUM FLOWS

$(10,000)

$(5,000)

$-

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

EMEA US APAC Canada

14

Page 15: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Consultant & Investor Screening Behavior

Page 16: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Shifts in 150,000+ Consultant & Investor ViewsSource: eVestment Advantage – Q4 2019

-0.1%

-2.3%-0.6%

+1.4%

+1.0%

-0.1%

+0.2%

+0.4%

16

Page 17: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Universes With Highest Average Product Views By Investors & Consultants GloballySource: eVestment Advantage – Q4 2019

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0

eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity

eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

eVestment Canadian All Cap Value Equity

eVestment ACWI ex-US Large Cap Value Equity

eVestment Canadian Large Cap Value Equity

eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Value Equity

eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Growth Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Growth Equity

eVestment ACWI ex-US All Cap Growth Equity

eVestment EAFE All Cap Value Equity

17

Page 18: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Universes Most Viewed By U.S. Investors & ConsultantsSource: eVestment Advantage – Q4 2019

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

eVestment Global Large Cap Core Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Core Equity

eVestment US Core Fixed Income

eVestment US Large Cap Core Equity

eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity

eVestment US Small Cap Core Equity

eVestment US Small Cap Growth Equity

eVestment US Large Cap Growth Equity

eVestment US Small Cap Value Equity

eVestment US Large Cap Value Equity

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Page 19: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Universes With Largest Changes In U.S. Investor & Consultant InterestSource: eVestment Advantage – Q4 2019

0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60%

eVestment US Multi-Sector Fixed Income

eVestment Global Tactical Asset Allocation

eVestment Global All Cap Value Equity

eVestment US Long Duration Fixed Income

eVestment Global All Cap Growth Equity

eVestment Global Large Cap Core Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Core Equity

eVestment US Small-Mid Cap Core Equity

eVestment Global Large Cap Growth Equity

eVestment US Core Plus Fixed Income

19

Page 20: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Universes Most Viewed By EMEA Investors & ConsultantsSource: eVestment Advantage – Q4 2019

0 250 500 750 1000 1250

eVestment Global All Cap Value Equity

eVestment Global Emerging Mkts Fixed Income - Hard Currency

eVestment Global Unconstrained Fixed Income

eVestment Global Large Cap Growth Equity

eVestment Diversified Growth Funds

eVestment Global Large Cap Value Equity

eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Growth Equity

eVestment Global Large Cap Core Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Core Equity

20

Page 21: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Universes With Largest Changes In EMEA Investor & Consultant InterestSource: eVestment Advantage – Q4 2019

0.00% 0.25% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00%

eVestment Canadian Large Cap Core Equity

eVestment US Securitized Fixed Income - Non-Traditional

eVestment Pan-Europe Small Cap Equity

eVestment US Securitized Fixed Income - Mortgage

eVestment Europe Fixed Income - Corporate

eVestment Global Credit Fixed Income

eVestment US High Yield Fixed Income

eVestment Global High Yield Fixed Income

Fund of Funds - Multi-Strategy

eVestment Global All Cap Growth Equity

21

Page 22: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Universes Most Viewed By APAC Investors & ConsultantsSource: eVestment Advantage – Q4 2019

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

eVestment Japan All Cap Value Equity

eVestment US Large Cap Value Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Value Equity

eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity

eVestment Global Large Cap Growth Equity

eVestment Global Large Cap Value Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Growth Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Core Equity

eVestment Global Large Cap Core Equity

eVestment Australian Equity Shares - Long Only

22

Page 23: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Universes With Largest Changes In APAC Investor & Consultant InterestSource: eVestment Advantage – Q4 2019

0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00%

eVestment Global Credit Fixed Income

Macro - Multi-Strategy

eVestment US Small-Mid Cap Growth Equity

eVestment US Sector Focus Equity

eVestment Global Small-Mid Cap Equity

eVestment Canadian Large Cap Value Equity

eVestment US Securitized Fixed Income - Non-Traditional

eVestment US Large Cap Value Equity

eVestment Global All Cap Growth Equity

eVestment Australian Equity Shares - Long Only

23

Page 24: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Mandate Trends

Page 25: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

PUBLIC + ANONYMOUS SEARCHES PUBLIC SEARCHES ONLY

Private Equity 25% 41%

Equity 29% 12%

Fixed Income 14% 6%

Real Estate 13% 16%

HF / Multi Asset 7% 8%

Real Assets 7% 7%

Private Debt 6% 11%

Mandate Searches

9 7 5 5 5 5

Source: eVestment Market LensQ4 2019

25

Page 26: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Finding Opportunities

Page 27: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Largest Allocation Imbalances – Implying Future FlowsSource: eVestment Market Lens ($B)

($50) ($30) ($10) $10 $30 $50 $70

Cash & Overlays

Total Fixed Income

Other Assets

Public Equity

Hedge Funds/Abs. Return - Alt

Private Equity - Alt

Multi-Asset

Natural Resources - RA

Infrastructure - RA

Alternatives (Blend) Alt

Private Markets - Alt

Alternatives

Real Estate - RA

Real Assets (Blend) - RA

Total Real Assets

RA rolls into Total Real Assets

Alt rolls into Alternatives

US Plans

UK Plans

27

Page 28: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

$54B USD In Demand For Public EquitySource: eVestment Market Lens

Implied Gross Inflow$53.8B

Implied Gross Inflow (inside allowable range)

Implied Gross Outflow$77.2B

144U.S. public plans under allocated to public equity

226Potential individual mandates

54U.S. equity opportunities

38EM equity opportunities, one over $1B

11Plans widely under-allocated by $18M

-$70

-$50

-$30

-$10

+$10

+$30

+$50

Public Equity

Implied Gross Inflow$53.8 billion

Implied Net Flow-$5.3 billion

Implied Gross Outflow$59.0 billion

28

Page 29: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Identify Opportunities By Tracking Under AllocationsSource: eVestment Market Lens

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Targ

et A

lloca

tion

(%)

Current Allocation (%)

U.S. EquityInternational EquityEmerging Markets Equity

Investor: Eastern state public planPlan Size: $10 billion Opportunity: 4.5% underweight US Equity

$460 million potential mandate

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Page 30: Quarterly Trends Webcast - Evestment · 10.0. 15.0. 20.0. 25.0. 30.0. 35.0. 40.0. eVestment Global Emerging Mkts All Cap Core Equity. eVestment ACWI ex-US Small Cap Growth Equity

Claire [email protected]

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