q3 results 2020€¦ · 4 update on offices markets / france, italy & germany sources: cbre,...
TRANSCRIPT
2020Q3 RESULTS
I. UPDATE ON COVIVIO’S MARKETS & KEY ACHIEVEMENTS
I.A. Update on Covivio’s markets
I.B. Q3 2020 key achievements
II. ACTIVITY AT END-SEPTEMBER
I. II.A. Development pipeline
II. II.B. Letting activity & revenues
APPENDIX
SUMMARY
2
I.
UPDATE ON
COVIVIO’S
MARKETS & KEY
ACHIEVEMENTS
Milan Via Dante
► Update on Covivio’s markets
► Q3 2020 key achievements
3
4
UPDATE ON OFFICES MARKETS / FRANCE, ITALY & GERMANY
Sources: CBRE, Colliers
Take-up
+13%Q3 2020 vs Q2 2020
LETTING ACTIVITY
PICKING-UP SLOWLY…… WHILE INVESTMENT MARKET
REMAINS ACTIVE
€34 Bn YTDIn France, Italy & Germany
20,000 m² off-plan in Malakoff
~3.8% yield~3.8% yield
47,200 m² Nestlé HQ
€16 BN IN
FRANCE-27% vs 2019
83,000 m² office portfolio
~3.8% yield€15 BN IN
TOP 7
GERMAN
CITIES-33% vs 2019
4,000 m² in the CBD
~3.6% yield
N u m e r o u s t r a n s a c t i o n s c o m f o r t i n g v a l u a t i o n s
Longer decision processes
in an uncertain environment
Vacancy remains healthy
4.7% on average
In Greater Paris and top 7 German cities1
€2.6 BN IN
ITALY+4% vs 2019
1 Milan Q3 data not available to date. Take-up and vacancy are the average of Greater Paris and Top 7 German cities.
Both in Paris & the first ring
In Milan
4 430
4 490
4 5504 590 4 610
4 6404 670
4 7304 770 4 770 4 780
4 8104 840
4 870 4 890 4 890 4 900
05/19 07/19 09/19 11/19 01/20 03/20 05/20 07/20 09/20
12.511.4 11.1
12.711.7
12.311.7
10.69.1
14.8
8.6
6.86.1
6.8 6.9 6.55.4
4.4
05-19 07-19 09-19 11-19 01-20 03-20 05-20 07-20 09-20
GERMAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET / SUPPORTIVE ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES
Sources: Guthmann Real Estate, Destatis
5
Severe housing shortage…
… driving-up prices
Rental offer is droppingNumber of apartments on offer to rent, in thousand
Focus on Berlin
Sept-20 vs Sept 19: -64%
Apartments prices keep on increasingEvolution of median asking price in €/m²
Sept-20 vs Sept 19: +6%
new units needed per yearin Germany
…aggravated by slowing construction…
400,000
-1.8%
+6.6%housing price increasein Q2 year-on-year
housing building permitsin July
THE NEED & WILL TO TRAVEL IS THERE…
… BUT THE SECTOR IS FACING
STRONG HEADWIND
HOTEL MARKET / SHORT-TERM UNCERTAINTY PERSISTS
-35%
-72%
-71%-49%
-64%
-62%
-69%
-64%
RevPar in Europe in August-55%
Re-tightening of restrictions in September
Most business events cancelled in Europe in H2
(seminars, fairs, etc.)
Source: MKG 6
D
Occupancy rate
May
6.8%
June
17.9%
July
32.4%
August
38.9%
Covivio’s main hotel exposure, France & Germany
outperforming the rest of Europe in August
Better performance than expected during July & August
thanks to easing travel restrictions
Berlin Residential, new development
► Update on our markets
► Q3 2020 key achievements
7
I.
UPDATE ON
COVIVIO’S
MARKETS & KEY
ACHIEVEMENTS
A GOOD EXAMPLE OF OUR CAPACITY TO EXTRACT THE VALUE
OF OUR €1 BN ORANGE PORTFOLIO IN PARIS 8
FULL LETTING OF PARIS 5TH GOBELINS…4,500 M² REDEVELOPMENT PROJECT OF A FORMER ORANGE BUILDING
OFFERING A PLUG & PLAY SOLUTION WITH FULL SERVICES
through Covivio’s flex-workspace offer
STRENGTHENING THE PARTNERSHIP WITH AN EXISTING
TENANT, A LARGE PUBLIC INSTITUTION
End-2018Departure of Orange & launch of redevelopment
for €50 m total cost
Q1 2021 Delivery
5.0%
EBIT yield
€2.5 m EBIT
=
+15% margin vs
IFRS market rent
TRANSFORMATION OF AN OBSOLETE ASSET
INTO A NEW EFFICIENT BUILDING1.
2.
3.5 years firm contract starting at delivery
Paris Gobelins
see appendix page 24 for more details
9
…PROVING THE RELEVANCE OF COVIVIO OFFICE STRATEGY
OFFERINGQUALITY LOCATIONS
OFFERINGQUALITY BUILDINGS
THROUGH THE PIPELINE
INCREASINGTHE RANGE OF REAL ESTATE SOLUTIONS
See appendix page 21
for more details on the office portfolio
Paris
& Greater Paris
Top 5
German citiesMilan
✓ Transforming obsolete buildings
✓ Ambitious green targets
✓ Improving well-being
Mixed offer in the same building
Traditional lease + flexible component
4 buildings opened & 1 to come in Lyon
Full Plug & Play solutions
2 buildings & 1 to come in Paris 5th
Major business districts in
A high level of services
as a key differentiating strength
See appendix page 27
for more details on the flexible offer
into efficient office spaces
Target 100% of the portfolio by 2025
with very good or excellent levels in our developments
with wide services offer
Target 100% offices & residential
buildings with a service offer by 2025
New disposals in Q3
DISPOSALS / CLOSE TO €500 MILLION WITH +12% MARGINON TRACK TO >€600 MILLION GROUP SHARE TARGET FOR 2020
Disposal agreements
End-September 2020
€m
100%
€m
Group share
Gross yield
Group share
Margin
Group share
France offices1 €190 m €190 m 5.6% 7%
Italy offices €156 m €139 m 3.9% 18%
Germany
Residential€186 m €121 m 3.1% 19%
Hotels €22 m €10 m 6.4% 17%
Non-strategic
(retail)€61 m €30 m 7.1% -5%
TOTAL €616 m €491 m 4.6% 12%
10
1 Removal of one asset vs H1. Disposal process is delayed and removed from 2020 figures.
Mature & non-core offices in France & Italy
€44 m Group share3% margin
German Residentialin Leipzig and Berlin
€109 m Group share14% margin
11
DELIVERING ON GERMAN RESIDENTIAL PIPELINE
2017
€400 m
pipeline
€800 m1
4,000 units on 285,000 m²
40% target margin
€256 m
committed1
H1 2020 2020 2021 2022
123 units delivered€29 m cost
with 46% margin on cost
1 €540 m pipeline Group share and €166 m committed
2017: INITIATION
Exploiting land banks
on our portfolio
2018-2020: PIPELINE DOUBLED
by acquiring land banks
1/3 of projects committed
2020: FIRST DELIVERIES
Successful projects
with 46% margin on sale
2021 & BEYOND
Acceleration of deliveries
+247 units to deliver€68 m cost
+521 units to deliver€159 m cost
Incl. 1,600 m² land bank acquired in 2020
12
CLOSING HOTEL ACQUISITION
€573 million€248 m Group share
1,115 rooms
Closing in September(vs Q2 initially)
15 years firm lease duration
Triple net lease contracts1
with NH Hotels
Minimum guaranteed yield of 4.7%
CLOSING OF THE ACQUISITION OF 8 HOTELS
In the heart of some of the most visited European cities
PALAZZO NAIADI ROME PALAZZO GADDI FLORENCE HOTEL DEI DOGI VENICE HOTEL BELLINI VENICE
HOTEL PLAZA NICE HOTEL CARLO IV PRAGUE NY PALACE HOTEL BUDAPEST NY RESIDENCE BUDAPEST
238 rooms / 5* 86 rooms / 4* 64 rooms / 5* 100 rooms / 4*
152 rooms / 5* 152 rooms / 5* 185 rooms / 5* 138 rooms / 5*
TOURISM WILL COME BACK IN TOP EUROPEAN DESTINATIONS
1 Excluding Nice
B-
13
ESG RATINGS / COVIVIO RANKED AMONG THE WORLD LEADERS3 AGENCIES HAVE UPDATED THEIR RATING IN Q3
Best possible rating
Sector leader1
1 #1 out of 86 European Real Estate companies
Ranked 5th worldwide
out of 4,823 companies (all sectors)
Prime status
Top 3% worldwide
out of 358 real estate companies
Among the sector
leaders
II.
ACTIVITY
AT END-SEPTEMBER
Milan The Sign
► Development pipeline
► Letting activity & revenues
14
GREATER PARIS25,600 M²
15
DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE / 72,000 M² DELIVERED YTD€332 M COST IN GROUP SHARE
Châtillon - IRO25,600 m² / €138 m / 6.4% yield
MILAN - Symbiosis School7,900 m² / €22 m / 7.6%
MILAN - Via Dante4,700 m² / €58 m
MILAN - Duca D’Aosta2,600 m² / €13 m / 8.8%
ITALY38,200 M²
MILAN - The Sign A9,260 m² / €39 m / 7.3% yield
TURIN - Ferrucci - phase 313,730 m² / €33 m / 5.4%
Covivio first flex-workspace in Milan
one month after opening
GERMANY7,800 M²
BERLIN Residential7,800 m² / €29 m
of 123 units
100% let
now 34% pre-let
95% let
100% let First deliveries
3,800 m² lease
in September
61% occupied
100% let
NEW Total asset of 45 600 m²
16
Q3 OFFICE ACTIVITY / LETTING ACTIVITY PICKING-UP IN SEPTEMBER125,000 M² LET OR RENEWED IN Q3
New lettings, mainly on
the pipeline 14,600 m²
for 7 years
Renewals with long-term partners
and on iconic assets
End-of lease & releases for redevelopment
already included in the guidance
23 Orange assets in France
in secondary locations
Two buildings to be redeveloped
in Paris CBD and Milan CBD
Departures on two assets
in Paris 15th and Hamburg
Activity YTD Of which in Q3
45,400 m²
Mainly
Chatillon IRO
Two assets in Milan CBD
Turin Corso Ferrucci
110,100 m²193,100 m²
52,200 m²80,400 m²
vacated
One asset in Turin
GERMAN RESIDENTIAL REVENUE / +2.8% LFL RENTAL GROWTH
NRW
34% of rents
+3.5% LfL rental
growth
Hamburg
7% of rents
+2.6% LfL
Berlin
49% of rents
+2.1% LfL
Rental growth slowing due to regulation impact
Regulation effective since February 2020
4 constitutional complaints awaiting decision
Judicial review ongoing with the ruling within 24 months
+3.4% +2.1%
Dresden & Leipzig
10% of rents
+3.6% LfL
Berlin
Rental growth stays strongExtracting 15-20% rent reversion potential
Through reletting & modernization
NRW,Hamburg, Dresden & Leipzig
17
REVENUES AT END-SEPTEMBER / +1.5% LFL EXCLUDING HOTELS
End-September 2020, €million
Revenues
9 months 2020
100%
Revenues
9 months 2019
Group share
Revenues
9 months 2020
Group share
% change
like-for-like
Group share
Occupancy rate
%
Average
lease term
firm, in years
France Offices 180.8 171.9 157.8 +0.9% 93.0% 4.5
Italy Offices 126.1 109.9 96.2 +0.9% 96.5% 7.3
Germany Offices 47.6 4.9 37.6 +2.8% 73.7% 4.6
Germany Residential 184.2 115.7 118.3 +2.8% 98.7% n.a.
SUB-TOTAL OFFICES & RESIDENTIAL 538.7 402.3 410.0 +1.5% 93.4% 5.5
Hotels in Europe 114.0 91.1 44.5 -51.7% 100%1 14.3
TOTAL STRATEGIC ACTIVITIES 652.7 493.3 454.5 -8.3% 94.4% 7.2
Non-strategic (retail in France & Italy) 14.6 17.2 9.4 -4.8% 97.8% 6.6
TOTAL 667.3 510.5 463.9 -8.3% 94.4% 7.2
1 On lease properties
18
OFFICES
Decrease in occupancy
already included
in the guidance given at H1
RESIDENTIAL
Rental growth continues
HOTELS
97% of hotels reopened
but H2 2020 is impacted
by increasing restrictions
-74% LfL revenues in September
on variable leases & management contracts
RENT COLLECTION
97%collected
including 92% in Hotels
19
KEY TAKEAWAYS
DELIVERING ON THE PIPELINE
OPERATIONAL RESULTS IN LINE WITH GUIDANCE ANNOUNCED IN JULY
DISPOSAL PLAN WELL ON TRACK TO REACH TARGET OF >€600 M GROUP SHARE3.
2.
1.
In Offices: Covivio’s strategy is proving relevant
In Residential: accelerating on deliveries with high-value creation
APPENDIX
Paris 5th Gobelins
20
PORTFOLIO
21
A HIGH-QUALITY, WELL LOCATED OFFICES PORTFOLIO
22
& &
PARIS€2.4 bn Group share
GREATER PARIS€2.6 bn
MAJOR FRENCH
CITIES€0.8 bn
Lyon, Bordeaux, Marseille, Lille
MILAN€2.2 bn
TOP 5 GERMAN CITIES€1.4 bn
92% LOCATED IN1
€12.4 bn€10.2 bn Group shareAT END-JUNE 2020
1 Excluding Telecom Italia portfolio, 100% occupied and leased for 11 years
FRANCE OFFICES PORTFOLIO
A €7.1 BN PORTFOLIO
€5.9 bn in Group share
13%Major Regional Cities
40%Paris
23%Western Crescent and La
Défense
20%1st Ring
1%2nd Ring
2%Regions
PARIS CENTER OUEST
LA DÉFENSE
REST OF PARIS
WESTERN CRESCENT
VÉLIZY MEUDON
FIRST RING
COVIVIO ASSETS
(% of the portfolio in Group share)
MAJOR BUSINESS DISTRICTS
1-3 %
<1 %
3-6 %
6-9 %
9-12 %
20 %
Covivio’s Greater Paris Portfolio
% value
Group share
Rueil-sur-Seine
23
24
ORANGE ASSETS / VALUE CREATIVE REDEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL
VALUE CREATION
TARGET
>40%
CURRENT VALUE
12,850 M²
To de delivered in 2021 & 2023/2024
CARNOT
Paris 17th
11,200 m²
ANJOU
Paris 8th
10,100 m²
LABORDE
Paris 8th
6,200 m²
520,000 M² OF PARISIAN ASSETS
WITH HIGH POTENTIAL FOR TRANSFORMATION
Jemmapes
Bobillot
Raspail
Keller
Provence
Laborde
Anjou
Carnot
Voltaire
Boulogne Molitor
Pereire
Occupied Orange assets with potential
Committed developments
Already transformed
Carré
Suffren
Art&Co
The Line
Percier
Maillot
Ménilmontant
P. Auguste
Gutenberg
Gobelins
Littre
MontmartreN2 Batignolles
Steel
J. Goujon
TOTAL COST
~€480 M
ITALY OFFICES PORTFOLIOMilan: a €2.3 bn portfolio (€2.2 billion Group share)
focused on the best locations
16%Periphery
Rental portfolio
Developments
26%Center &
Semi-Center
Centre
Semi-centre
Periphery
CBD
Porta Nuova
M4
M4
M2
M2
M1
M1
M1
M5
M3
M3
Linate Airport
M5
Milanofiori
Navigli
Lorenteggio
City Life
Certosa Maciachini
Bicocca
Lambrate /Forlanini
Ripamonti
55%CBD & Porta Nuova
% value excl. Telecom Italia
-Group share
Milan89%
Outside Milan
11%
PORTFOLIO 100%
€3.6 BN
PORTFOLIOGROUP SHARE
€3.0 BN
Focusing on Milan (excl. Telecom Italia)
% value Telecom Italia portfolio
-Group share
Others
27%
Milan
22%
Turin
4%
Rome
12%
North of Italy
35%
Telecom Italia
11 years WALL / 100% occupancy
25
GERMANY OFFICES PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO 100%
€1.7 BN
PORTFOLIOGROUP SHARE
€1.4 BN
Berlin 21%
Frankfurt31%
Düsseldorf21%
Hamburg19%
Munich 8%Other 1%
In the Top 5 German cities
+€0.6 bn of development potential
Especially in Berlin AlexanderplatzFrankfurt – City Gate
% value-
Group share
26
COVIVIO FLEXIBLE OFFER / 21,300 M² OPENED ON 6 SITES
Sept. 2018March 2018End-2017
EUROMED MARSEILLE
Opening of the 1st site in Marseille2,300 m²
Mixed building of 9,800 m²with traditional lease & flexible offer
Oct. 2018
GARE DE LYON – PARIS 12th
MIROMESNIL – PARIS 8th MONTMARTRE – PARIS 18th
2nd site in Paris5,000 m²
Mixed building of 13,600 m²with traditional lease & flexible offer
1st site in Paris 3,500 m²
Fully flexible site
Partnership with Orange1,400 m²
Orange building of 5,900 m²with Orange using 50% of the flexible space
Aug 2020
GOBELINS – PARIS 5th
Oct.2019
DANTE 7 – MILAN
Q3 2021
SILEX II – LYON
4th site in Paris4,400 m²
Fully flexible site
Opening of the 1st site in Milan4,700 m²
Fully flexible site
Opening of the 1st site in Lyon5,000 m²
Mixed building of 31,000 m²with traditional lease & flexible offer
CITE NUMERIQUE - BORDEAUX
Partnership with Orange3,000 m²
Mixed building of 18,600 m²with traditional lease & flexible offer
27
GERMAN RESIDENTIAL PORTFOLIO
Berlin: a €3.6 billion portfolio (€2.3 bn Group share)
focused on the best locations
Basic locations
Average locations
5% of the portfolio
Good locations
23% of the portfolio
Prime locations
72% of the portfolioCovivio Assets
Sources: Engel & Volkers
1 Ground floor retail, car parks
40%Residential
7%Hamburg
9%Commercial1
49%Berlin
10%Dresden & Leipzig
34%NRW
PORTFOLIO 100%
€6.4 BN
PORTFOLIOGROUP SHARE
€4.1 BN
% revenuein
Group share
28
France35%
Germany26%
UK15%
Spain12%
Belgium6%
Other6%
%
value2
1 Cities with >2 million overnight stay per year2 At-end June 2020, excl. the acquisition to be realized in Q3 2020
…WITH SOUND
PROFITABILTY PROFILE
PORTFOLIO2
€2.4 BNGroup share
15Major hotel operators
Paris
Lille
Lyon
MadridBarcelona
Nice
Edinburgh
London
Brussels
Amsterdam
Munich
Berlin
Krakow
Warsaw
~35%EBITDAR Margin
in 2019
~1.8xrent cover1
in 2019
CENTRAL LOCATIONS + PROFITABLE ASSETS = STRATEGIC HOTELS FOR OPERATORS
87% IN MAJOR EUROPEAN CITIES1…
HOTELS / A UNIQUE PORTFOLIO ABLE TO FACE A CONJUNCTURAL CRISIS
29
27%
17%
11%
11%
7%
7%
3%
2%
Other15%
38 %Midscale
27%Economic
35%Upscale
COVIVIO HOTEL PORTFOLIO / DIVERSIFIED BY TENANT & SEGMENT
% revenue1
in Group Share
% valuein Group Share
B&B
RHG
Marriott
NH Hotels
Hotusa
BarceloAccor
IHG
1 Based on 2019 annualized revenues 30
ESG STRATEGY
31
COVIVIO CARBON TRAJECTORY: -1/3 OVER 2010-2030
Covivio carbon trajectoryIn line with the <2° trajectory of the 2015 Paris agreement
Average carbon weight per m²
Average carbon weight per m²
-17%
at end-2019
Approved by the Science Based Targets initiative since 2018
▪ Over all European activities
▪ Taking into account the whole life cycle of our assets (construction + refurbishment + operation)
▪ On all emissions scopes (1, 2 and 3)
▪ Without using carbon compensation or green electricity
▪ Compliant with TCFD1 recommendations
1 Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures
-1/3 carbon weight/m² over 2010-2030
32
OWNING & DEVELOPING SUSTAINABLE BUILDINGS IN A SUSTAINABLECITY…
100%Target 2025
100%Target 2025
Target
100%of new office
development projects
with Green areas
1 Already labelled or aiming at the Biodivercity label or equivalent (like Eco-jardin)
84%GREENER
ASSETS
CLOSE TO PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
SUPPORTING
BIODIVERSITY
96%<5’ walk from public transports
230,000 m²of offices with a Biodivercity label1
First operator to obtain 100% of assets certified“HQE in Operation” in Germany
in German residentialwith
33
34
…AND GENERATING MORE WELL BEING FOR END-USERSE
MORE
SERVICES
MORE
WELL-BEING
Offer a digital journey to our clients
► Deployment of our Office service app started in 2020
► Residential app available to 100% of tenants since June 2019 with already 4,650 users Covivio#home
Success of our flex-workspace offer
Target 100%of office & residential buildingswith a service offer by 2025
Target 100%of our new office development projects with a well-being certification
Paris
30, avenue Kléber
75116 Paris
Tel.: +33 1 58 97 50 00
CONTACT
Paul ArkwrightTel.: +33 1 58 97 51 85
Mobile: +33 6 77 33 93 58
www.covivio.eu
Hugo SoussanTel.: +33 1 58 97 51 54
Mobile: +33 6 84 44 95 40