pv own-consumption, feed-in tariff and system …...1 kwp →yield of 1200 –1600 kwh electricity/a...
TRANSCRIPT
Facilitatorr
PV own-consumption, feed-in tariff
and system integrationMichael Vogtmann,
Chairman of the German Society for solar energy
(DGS)
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 2
PV own consumption, feed-in tariff
and system integration
1. Electricity prices, PV generation costs, and feed-in tariff
2. PV-business models for direct consumption:
a) PV-system for self-consumption
b) power delivery to a third party
3. Outlook: benefit and economics in Sri Lanka
a) 3 kWp single-family house
b) 50 kWp hotel
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 3
Power purchase costs, feed-in tariff
and PV- generation costs
Electricity purchase
rising costs?
2% annually?
Feed-in tariffs
are quite
constant over
20 years
Grids are partly overloaded,
PV-direct consumption
will relieve the grids and
save costs
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 4
here:12 moduls x 250 Watt = 3.000 Wattpeak = 3 kWp
Space requirements depend on the power to be
installed
7 square meters are needed for 1 kWp
1 kWp → yield of 800 – 1100 kWh electricity/a in Germany
1 kWp → yield of 1200 – 1600 kWh electricity/a in Sri Lanka
A 4-person household
in Sri Lanka needs
ca. 20 m² roof area
to produce
annually 4500 kWh. 1,66 m
0,99 m
1 kWp
250 Watt
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 5
Electricity price 2019 in the private sector
In Germany: approx. 30 Ct/kWh
Much higher than the
PV-generation costs of approx. 11 Ct/kWh
and „EEG feed-in tariff“ of approx. 10 Ct/kWh
In Sri Lanka: between 5 and 22 Ct/kWh
Often higher than PV-generation costs
of approx. 7,5 Ct and „feed-in tariff“ of 12/8.5 Ct
Germany
Sri
Lanka
PV-generation costs Germany 11 Ct/kWh
PV-generation costs Sri Lanka 7,5 Ct/kWh
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 6
Electricity price 2019 in the commercial sector
In Germany: 15 to 23 Ct, on average 19 Ct
Much higher than the PV-production costs
and the EEG „feed-in tariff“ of approx. 9 Ct
In Sri Lanka: from 5 Ct up to 10,5 Ct
Higher than the PV production costs
→ same level as feed-in tariff
PV-generation costs Germany 8 Ct/kWh
PV-generation costs Sri Lanka 6 Ct/kWh
Sri
Lanka
2019
Germany
2019
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 7
PV own consumption, feed-in tariff
and system integration
1. Electricity prices, PV generation costs, and feed-in tariff
2. PV-business models for direct consumption:
a) PV-system for self-consumption
b) power delivery to a third party
3. Outlook: benefit and economics in Sri Lanka
a) 3 kWp single-family house
b) 50 kWp hotel
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 8
Quelle: SMA
Increasing PV own-consumption through
Energy management
User Behaviour + 5 to 10 %
e.g. washing machine
Smart Home + 5 to 10 %
automated electrical devices
Direction of PV-system + 5 to 10 %
east / west instead south
Power-to-Heat, -to-Cool + 20 to 40 % (in Sri Lanka + 100%)
direct-electrical waterboiler, heat pump, ventilation and climate control
Power-to-Power + 20 to 40 %
E-Mobility (E-bike, E-roller, E-cars), stationary (storage system)
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 9
9,8 kWp with storage 15kWh capacity
stabilizing the public grid
Dipl. Ing. Hans Urban Schletter GmbH
PV own consumption in household
Example: Solar pioneer Hans Urban
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 10
Active power PV-System.
First use pv-power for direct
consumption of household devices.
Loading of storage on base of
the available surplus pv-power.
Discharge of storage to supply household
whilst cloudy sky and in the evening.
Regulated car charging, adapted
to the available PV surplus.
Additional PV surplus for heating
water by electrical heater.
Grid feed-in or grid requirement is
reduced to a minimum.
Late summer day 28th of August: changing weather day
Dipl. Ing. Hans Urban Schletter GmbH
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 11
Active power PV-System.
First use pv-power for direct
consumption of household devices.
Loading of storage on base of
the available surplus pv-power.
Discharge of storage to supply household
whilst cloudy sky and in the evening.
Regulated car charging, adapted
to the available PV surplus.
Additional PV surplus for heating
water by electrical heater.
Grid feed-in or grid requirement is
reduced to a minimum.Dipl. Ing. Hans Urban Schletter GmbH
Late summer day 28th of August: changing weather day
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 12
0
ct
Components of the electricity price in Germany –
better system integration in cases of PV own-
consumption
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 13
PV own consumption, feed-in tariffand system integration
1. Electricity prices, PV generation costs, and feed-in tariff
2. PV-business models for direct consumption:
a) PV-system for self-consumption
b) power delivery to a third party
3. Outlook: benefit and economics in Sri Lanka
a) 3 kWp single-family house
b) 50 kWp hotel
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 14
own-consumption rate
Financed by own capital
Financed by loan with 8% Interest → expenses: neutral
Payback period <10 years
RoI 6 %
autonomy rate
Example 1:
single-family house
in Colombo
3 kWp for
4500 kWh/a
electricity demand
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 15
Typical daily load profiles
for solar compatible commercial species
Example 2:
Hotel in Colombo
50 kWp for
80.000 kWh
electricity
demand
Annotation:
A storage for the
demand during the
evening or for
power outages
could be considered
In G1: a high electricity demand daily except for the weekend: up to 90% own-consumption
In G2 and G3: 100% own-consumption possible - at the same time 10 to 20% partial autonomy
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 16
Example 2:
Hotel in Colombo
50 kWp for
80.000 kWh
electricity
demand
Annotation:
a storage for the
demand during the
evening and for
peak shaving
could be considered
autonomy rate
own-consumption rate
financed by loan with 8% interest → expenses neutral
20% equity,80% financed by loan with 8% interest, 6 years
payback period , RoI 6%
Financed by own capital, 10 years payback period, RoI 5%
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 17
20.000 GWh PV production/a
= 2018 Sri Lankas
energy consumption
overall x 1,35
(for higher future demand)
Space requirement:
100 square kilometers
covering 17% of the Island
Annotation:
A big challenge but what
is the alternative for a
sustainable independent
economy and strong
climate protection according
to „Paris 2015“ ?
Facilitatorr
Thank you very much for your attentionMichael Vogtmann, DGS e.V.
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 19
Household: 5 kWp, power purchase net 25 Ct/kWh, investment cost 1.400 EUR/kWp, interest on debt 2%/a
Commercial: 65 kWp, power purchase net 19 Ct/kWh, investment cost 1.100 EUR/kWp, interest on debt 2%/a
Industrial: 250 kWp, power purchase net 15 Ct/kWh, investment cost 950 EUR/kWp, interest on debt 2%/a
Quelle: BSW e.V.(Source: BSW Investorguide)
RoI: ca 8%
RoI: ca 11%
Average direct consumption (%)
RoI Industrial RoI Commercial RoI Private Household
EEG 2017: Economics of own-consumption at different
rates(Base: 2% rise of power purchase cost per year, 70% borrowing, 2% loan rate)
www.dgs-franken.de
DurchführerMichael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 20
12 years
73.600 €
35.600 €
with reduced EEG
reallocation charge
(40%)
with full EEG
reallocation charge
(100%)
10 years credit
16 years
Comparing 100 kWp concepts:
RoI PV Own Consumption vs. RoI Delivery to a third party
Durchführer
www.dgs-franken.de
Michael Vogtmann| PV Own-Consumption,
Feed-In Tariff and System Integration |
26.03.2019 | Seite 21
Quelle: SMA
production
costs 7,5 Ct
Energy Management
Smart Home: „Time Table“ for electrical consumers
Energy consumption
of three devices
production
costs 7,5 Ct