PV development in FrancePV development in France

Market, Policy, & ForecastsMarket, Policy, & Forecasts

By Richard Loyen, General secretary of Enerplan,French professional association of solar energy

Market tendencies for 2009 :Market tendencies for 2009 :o Market driven by BIPV on tertiary and agricultural

building with # 85 MWp (+283% /08)o Market on individual housing with BIPV (existing

and new) 2nd segment with # 75 MWp (+227% /08)o “Solar park” at # 60 MWp (+500% /08)o Forecast market 09 : 250 MWp expected “sold”o A high level of applications at the end of 2009, with

3 GW on 6 weeks. Negotiations about retroactive FIT conditions for this applications

Market tendencies for 2009 :Market tendencies for 2009 :

New FIT 2010 :New FIT 2010 :- Contract on 20 years- BIPV at 58 c€/kWh and 50 c€/kWh (depends of

type and age of the building)- BIPV simplified at 42 c€/kWh (every type of

building)- FIT in base (for roof top and ground mounted

systems) at 31,4 c€/kWh with a bonus until 20 % above 250 kW. Bonus linked with sun irradiation

New FIT 2010 :New FIT 2010 :- New cap of 2200 h/year with tracking, 1500

without, in France continental- Corsica and Overseas: 1800 hours or 2600

hours if solar tracking- No more license for production (“Certificat

d’obligation d’achat”). The installer has to attest the compliance with norms and laws

- Technical requirements for “BIPV” will be changed in 2011

Market tendencies for 2010 :Market tendencies for 2010 :o ??? for projects developed at the end of 09, high

potential impact, more than 3 GW of applicationso Residential (Individual & collective) housing with

BIPV will be not impacted. FIT at 58 c€ is high.o Market on tertiary and agricultural building with

simplified BIPV (at 42 cts€) will be limited in the north part of France

o Development of “solar park” segment and big roof top projects (with 20% bonus),

o Forecast market 2010 : 300 to 400 MWp

Conservative Enerplan road map : Conservative Enerplan road map :

A new ambitious : A new ambitious :

3 % of e-French market by 20203 % of e-French market by 2020

Market of 1 GW/year in 2013, with 3 GW installed in 2013

Market of 2 GW/year in 2020 with more than 13 GW installed in 2020 on/in building

New building : from 4% in 09 to 45% in 15 and 70% en 2020 Existing building : maxi of refresh building (up to 2% annually)

Conservative professionnal road map Conservative professionnal road map mainly drives by PV with building policymainly drives by PV with building policy

New standard :50kWh/ M² will enhance PV marketNew standard :50kWh/ M² will enhance PV market

o By 2011, new offices should consume less than 50 kWh/M²

o By 2013, All the new buildings should consume less than 50 kWh/m².

o By 2020 All the buildings, Energie ZERO, The buildings have to produce more energy than they consume.

o By 2050, the consumption of energy has to reach ¼ of what is today (energy law, 2005)

10 years guarantee for building technology 10 years guarantee for building technology

With the introduction of PV on/in building :- Insurance about “PV” product with EPERS : 10 years

guarantee for building technology (Civil Code n°1792), and responsibility for manufacturers with EPERS (Civil Code n°1792-4)

- Insurance ask for technical evaluation of the product & instructions to install it : cost time and money but necessary

- Great attention to durability, safety aspects …

ENERPLAN - The Solar energy professional network in France - Work for solar energy development since 1983 - Our missions:

o Represent the French solar energy sectoro Structure the solar energy sector (ST & PV)o Develop market demando Work closely with European Solar Thermal

Industry and European Photovoltaic Industry Association, and with national associations in Europe

... Enerplan is working to enlarge the solar business in France

in agreement with sustainable development and the European & International collaboration

www.enerplan.asso.fr

contact@enerplan.asso.fr