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PURSUING OURTRANSFORMATIVE JOURNEY
SUPPLEMENT TO THE BUDGET
2018-2019
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 1
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 3
SUPPLEMENT TO THE BUDGET
2018/2019
4 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 5 5
Purpose To supplement the Budget 2018-2019 with a review and outlook of the economy in greater detail.
Outline The supplement is structured into four parts:
1. The Global Economic Performance with respect to output, investment flows and global trade
2. Review of the Mauritian Economy: Highlights
3. Economic Review and Outlook: Macroeconomy
4. Economic Review and Outlook: Sectoral
All data, unless otherwise specified, are official data from Statistics Mauritius and
Bank of Mauritius.
Data coverage
6 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
Contents
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 7 5
REVIEW OF THE MAURITIAN ECONOMY: HIGHLIGHTS
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
SECTORAL PERFORMANCE
REVIEW OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
GLOBAL GDP GROWTH
GLOBAL TRADE
GLOBAL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
MAURITIUS AND THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
MAURITIUS ECONOMIC GROWTH AND WORLD TRADE
06
ECONOMIC REVIEW AND OUTLOOK: MACROECONOMY
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCEMAURITIUS GDP GROWTH
EMPLOYMENT/UNEMPLOYMENT
YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT
PRODUCTIVITY
CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
NATIONAL SAVINGS
INVESTMENT
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INFLOWS
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT OUTFLOWS
EXTERNAL TRADE & BALANCE OF PAYMENT
FOREIGN CURRENCY RESERVES
INFLATION
EXCHANGE RATE
EXCESS LIQUIDITY
GOVERNMENT REVENUEGOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURE BY SECTOR
FISCAL BALANCES
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBTSTRUCTURE OF GOVERNMENT DEBT PORTFOLIO
CURRENCY COMPOSITION OF EXTERNAL DEBTDEBT AFFORDABILITYMATURITY STRUCTUREINTEREST RATE RISKEXTERNAL DEBT SERVICE RATIO
14
ECONOMIC REVIEW AND OUTLOOK: SECTORAL
SECTORAL PERFORMANCE
TRADITIONAL SECTORSAGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND FISHING
THE SUGAR-CANE SUB-SECTOR
EMPLOYMENT
NON-SUGAR AGRICULTURAL SECTORTEA PRODUCTION
FOOD CROPS
FISH PRODUCTION
LIVESTOCK
MILK AND CHEESE
EMPLOYMENT
MANUFACTURINGSUGAR MANUFACTURING
FOOD PROCESSING
TEXTILE
OTHER MANUFACTURING
TOURISMTOURIST ARRIVALS
TOURISM EARNINGS
EMPLOYMENT
TOURIST ACCOMMODATION
MODE OF TRANSPORT
GOLF COURSES
CONSTRUCTION
FINANCIAL SERVICESGLOBAL BUSINESS
INVESTMENT
ICT
EMERGING SECTORSREAL ESTATE
IRS/RES/HIS/PDS
KNOWLEDGE CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE
MEDICAL HUB
RENEWABLE ENERGY
CREATIVE INDUSTRY
BLUE ECONOMY
SEAFOOD
SEAPORT
24
09
0607
07
10
14
15
16
17
24
14
15
161617
181818191920212122222223232323
25
272728282829293031323333343435363637373840414243454546474849
5253
50
53
07
07
13
26
8 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 6
Review of the Global Economy
Global GDP Growth
According to the World Economic Outlook published in April 2018 by the IMF, the global economic upswing that began around mid-2016 has become broader and stronger. With financial conditions still supportive and expectations of a sizeable fiscal expansion in the United States, global growth is expected to strengthen in 2018 and 2019.
The downside risks are possible sharp tightening of financial conditions, waning popular support for global economic integration, geopolitical strains, growing trade tensions and risks of a shift toward protectionist policies.
Global GDP growth is estimated to have picked up from 3.2 percent in 2016 to 3.8 percent in 2017, the fastest rate since 2011. It is expected to rise to 3.9 percent in both 2018 and 2019.
In advanced economies, growth in 2017 is estimated to have rebounded to 2.3 percent from 1.7 percent in 2016, explained almost entirely by a significant surge in investment. In 2018, these economies are expected to grow at a higher rate of 2.5 percent. Faster growth in the US and Euro area, particularly in France, will drive this output acceleration.
Growth in Emerging Market and Developing Countries is estimated to have increased from 4.4 percent in 2016
to 4.8 percent in 2017. It is expected to rise further to 4.9 percent in 2018.
China’s economic growth is forecast to moderate to 6.6 percent in 2018 from 6.9 percent in 2017.
India’s GDP is expected to pick up to a 7.4 percent growth rate in its fiscal year 2018/19.
For the Sub-Saharan African region, growth is expected to rise to 3.4 percent in 2018 from 2.8 percent in 2017.
In South Africa, economic growth is forecast to tick up to 1.5 percent in 2018 from 1.3 percent in 2017.
WORLD
3.5
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
3.2
3.83.9
2.11.8
2.3 2.4
4.3 4.4
4.84.9
3.4
1.4
2.8
3.4
EMERGING MARKET AND DEVELOPING
ECONOMIESEURO AREA
CHART 1 : REAL GDP GROWTH
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
2015 2016 2017 2018
%
Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2018, IMF
6
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 9 7 7
Global Trade
Global trade has picked up significantly in 2017, growing by 4.9 percent in contrast to 2.3 percent in 2016. It is expected to expand at a higher rate of 5.1 percent in 2018.
Global Foreign Direct Investment
In contrast with accelerated growth in GDP and trade, global FDI flows declined by 23 percent in 2017 according to the World Investment Report 2018 of UNCTAD.
UNCTAD forecasts a marginal increase in global FDI flows of about 5 percent in 2018.
FDI flows to developed economies fell by 37 percent in 2017 while flows to developing economies remained stable.
Flows to transition economies also dropped by 27 percent after increasing by 78 percent in 2016.
For 2018, UNCTAD forecasts an increase in flows to developed and transition economies while flows to developing countries will remain stable.
Mauritius and The Global Economy
Chart 5 shows that during the past four decades, economic growth in Mauritius has followed a similar pattern to that of global economic growth. However, on average, the economic growth rate of Mauritius has been higher than that of the global economy.
The chart also shows that Mauritius has not known an economic recession in the past 37 years. Mauritius holds the record for the longest run of positive economic growth in the world.
Mauritius Economic Growth and World Trade
Chart 6 shows that both GDP growth and the Export of Goods & Services of Mauritius are particularly sensitive to trends in Global Trade.
CHART 5: GDP GROWTH
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
1978 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017
Mauritius World
1981
Source: Statistics Mauritius & IMF WEO Database
CHART 4 : FDI FLOWS
2012 20130
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
USD
BIL
LIO
N
Developed countries Developing countries Transition Economies
859
652
65 84
693 649
2015
36
744
1,141
2016
64
1,133
670
2014
57
685597
Source: World Investment Report 2018, UNCTAD
%
CHART 2 : WORLD TRADE VOLUME GROWTH RATE
2015 2016 2017 2018
0
2
4
6
Source: World Economic Outlook April 2018, IMF
%
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Mauritius GDP Growth Rate Mauritius Exports of Goods & Services
World Trade Volume (IMF)
1980
Source: Statistics Mauritius & IMF WEO Database
CHART 6: MAURITIUS GDP GROWTH AND WORLD TRADE GROWTH
%
CHART 3 : WORLD FDI FLOWS
2012
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
USD
BIL
LIO
N
2013 2014
Source: World Investment Report 2018, UNCTAD
20162015 2017
47
712671
2017
10 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
Sour
ce: o
nthe
wor
ldm
ap.c
om
Seychelles
Mauritius
Reunion Rodrigues
Agalega Islands
CargadosCarajosIslands
Comores
Madagascar
INDIAN OCEAN
INDIAN OCEANRodrigues
INDIAN OCEAN
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 11 9
Most indicators point to a firming up of macro-economic fundamentals and an economic re-newal leading to a higher growth path.
Both the IMF and Moody’s have expressed opti-mism on the Mauritian economy.
The IMF views that the macroeconomic outlook is broadly positive:
Review of the Mauritian Economy: Highlights
Source: 2017 IMF Article IV Consultation Staff Report
“Economic activity is expected to remain robust, driven by the government’s ambitious Public Investment Program, and supported by continued dynamism in the tourism sector and financial intermediation activities. [...] Considering Mauritius’ track record of reinventing its economic model, there are grounds for optimism that the country will successfully manage the reform process.”
Source: Moody’s Investors Service Credit Opinion March 2018
In March 2018, Moody’s re-affirmed the Baa1 rating for Mauritius – a rating which according to them is supported by strong growth and macroeconomic resiliency to shocks.
“The Mauritian government’s credit profile is supported by a diversified, upper-middle income economy that has demonstrated resilience to external shocks, despite being small and open.”
12 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
Macro-Economic Performance
10
PRODUCTIVITYGROWTHREAL GDP
GROWTH
CONSUMPTION& SAVINGS
LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY
• 2017: 3.8% (Estimates)• FY 2017/18: 3.9% (Estimates)
• 2018 : 3.9% (Forecast)• FY 2018/19: 4-4.2% (Forecast)
• 2017: 2.4%• 2016: 3.4%
CAPITAL PRODUCTIVITY • 2017: 0.9%• 2016: 1.1%
MULTI FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
• 2017: 1.4%• 2016: 1.9%
TOTAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
• Real terms: 2.7% • Nominal terms: 6.1%
GROWTH IN 2017
• 2017: 89.3% • 2016: 89.0%
AS A % OF GDP
• Real terms: 3.0%GROWTH IN 2017
• 2017: 74.2% • 2016: 73.6%
AS A % OF GDP
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
• 2017: 10.7%
RATIO OF GROSS DOMESTIC SAVINGS TO GDP
• 2016: 11.0%
UNEMPLOYMENTRATE LOWEST IN 16 YEARS
• 2017: 7.1% • 2016: 7.3%
FEMALE UNEMPLOYMENT
• 2017: 10.7%• 2016: 11.2%
YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT
• 2017: 24.9%• 2016: 23.9%
FOREIGN CURRENCY RESERVESHIGHEST IN MORE THAN FIVE DECADES
• 2017: Rs 220.0 BILLIONEnough to cover 10.7months’ imports
• 2016: Rs 178.9 BILLION
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 13 11
INVESTMENT
INFLATION
TOTAL INVESTMENT
• 2017: 17.3% • 2016: 17.2%
AS A % OF GDP
PRIVATEINVESTMENT
• 2017: 13.2% • 2016: 12.8%
AS A % OF GDP
PUBLICINVESTMENT
• 2017: 4.1% • 2016: 4.4%
AS A % OF GDP
FOREIGN DIRECTINVESTMENT
• 2017: Rs 17.5 BILLION• 2016: Rs 13.6 BILLION
PUBLIC FINANCERS
• FY 2016/17: 3.5%• FY 2015/16: 3.5%
BUDGET DEFICIT
RECURRENT BUDGET DEFICIT• FY 2016/17: 1.9%• FY 2015/16: 1.5%
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT• END-JUNE 2017: 64.8%• END-JUNE 2016: 65.0%
TOTAL REVENUE• FY 2016/17: 21.0%• FY 2015/16: 20.9%
TOTAL EXPENDITURE• FY 2016/17: 24.5%• FY 2015/16: 24.4%
HEADLINEINFLATION RATE
• 2017: 3.7% • 2016: 1.0%
YEAR-ON-YEAR INFLATION RATE
• 2017: 4.2% • 2016: 2.3%
CORE 1 INFLATION• 2017: 2.2% • 2016: 0.4%
CORE 2 INFLATION• 2017: 2.2% • 2016: 2.2%
EXTERNAL BALANCE
BALANCE OF PAYMENT SURPLUS
• 2017: 6.2% • 2016: 6.0%
AS A % OF GDP
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
• 2017: 6.6% AS A % OF GDP
• Total exports of goods and services contracted by 0.6%, while total im-ports of goods and services increased by 8.2%.
TOTAL EXPORTS/IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES
AS A % OF GDP
14 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 12
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 15
0 2 4 6 8 10
0 2 4 6 8 10 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0
% Growth in 2017% Contribution to Growth in 2017
5.50.77.50.3
0.43.10.4
5.2
0.31.40.2
4.4
0.25.40.24.5
0.21.80.1
3.3
FINANCIAL AND INSURANCE ACTIVITIES
CONSTRUCTION
TOURISM
WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADE
ICT
MANUFACTURING
HUMAN HEALTH & SOCIAL WORK ACTIVITIES
PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES
REAL ESTATE ACTIVITIES
EDUCATION
1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0
% Growth in 2017% Contribution to Growth in 2017
13
Sectoral Performance
16 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
Mauritius GDP Growth
In 2017, GDP expanded by 3.8 percent, with positive growth in all sectors, except sugarcane and textile.
It is expected that GDP growth would be 3.9 percent in 2018, mainly driven by financial services, construction and tourism. Sectors such as agriculture, food processing, textile, construction, retail trade, ICT and global business are expected to register a higher growth rate than in 2017.
In nominal terms, GDP at market prices increased by 5.8 percent in 2017 compared to 6.1 percent in 2016. It is expected to pick up to 7.0 percent in 2018.
Employment/Unemployment
The unemployment rate declined to 7.3 percent in 2016 and further to 7.1 percent in 2017.
Youth Unemployment
A high proportion of the unemployed were among the youths within the 16-24 years age group.
The youth unemployment rate is estimated at 24.9 percent in 2017 compared to 23.9 percent in 2016.
The employment of Mauritians increased from 538,600 in 2016 to 545,100 in 2017. Increase in female employment accounted for 58 percent of the net increase in total Mauritian employment.
There were 28,400 foreign workers in Mauritius in 2017.
Total activity rate was 59.6 percent in 2017, same as in 2016. Male activity rate remained unchanged at 74.3 percent while female activity rate increased from 45.5 percent to 45.7 percent.
CHART 7 : MAURITIUS’ GDP GROWTH
2015
3.5
3.63.6
3.8 3.8
3.9
3.7
3.8
3.9
4.0
2016 2017 2018F
CHART 9 : YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
20172016201510
15
20
25
30
21.6
26.3
32.7
23.9
18.3
31.2
19.5
24.9
31.9
MALE
FEMALE
BOTH SEXES
35
THOUSAND
CHART 10 : MAURITIAN EMPLOYMENT
2015
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
2016
2017
MALE FEMALE BOTH SEXES
%
%
14
Economic Review & Outlook: Macroeconomy
3.5
5.5
7.5
9.5
11.5
13.5
2015 2016 2017
5.54.8
4.8
7.17.37.9
11.6 11.210.7
Both sexesMale Female
%
CHART 8 : UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 17
ProductivityThe gap between growth in labour productivity and average compensation continued to widen, leading to a constant rise in unit labour costs.
In 2017, labour productivity increased by 2.4 percent, while average compensation went up by 4.1 percent. As a result, unit labour cost rose by 1.7 percent.
Sectors with the highest increase in labour productivity during the period 2009-2017 were administrative and support service activities, ICT and financial services.
Capital productivity is on a rising trend and increased by 0.9 percent in 2017.
Multifactor productivity, which measures the rate of change in productive efficiency, increased by 1.4 percent in 2017 compared to 1.9 percent in 2016.
Consumption ExpenditureTotal consumption expenditure increased, in nominal terms, by 5.3 percent in 2016 and 6.1 percent in 2017, compared to 4.8 percent in 2015, mainly due to higher growth in household consumption.
In real terms, total consumption expenditure increased by 2.7 percent in 2017 compared to 2.9 percent in 2016.
In 2018, total consumption expenditure is expected to increase by a higher rate of 6.8 percent in nominal terms and by 3.1 percent in real terms.
2017
CHART 12 : LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0
50
100
150
200
IND
EX
UNIT LABOUR COST (MRU)
AVERAGE COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES
LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY
CHART 13 : PRODUCTIVITY AND COMPETITIVENESS INDICATORS (YEAR 2007 = 100)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
130
120
110
100
90
LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY
CAPITAL PRODUCTIVITY
MULTI FACTORPRODUCTIVITY
IND
EX
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
CHART 14 : CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (NOMINAL GROWTH)
2015 2016 2017 2018F
4.8 4.75.3 5.3
4.4
9.7
6.16.7
3.2
6.87.3
4.2
FINAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
HOUSEHOLDS GENERAL GOVERNMENT
2017
45.7
59.6 59.6
74.3
BOTH SEXES
CHART 11 : ACTIVITY RATE
30
40
50
60
70
80
20162015
74.8 74.3
45.546.6
60.4
MALE FEMALE
%
%
15
18 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
Macroeconomy (cont’d)
National Savings
Gross Domestic Savings, as a percentage of GDP, was 11 percent and 10.7 percent respectively in 2016 and 2017. In 2018, it is expected to rise to 10.9 percent.
Investment
The investment rate, defined as the ratio of gross domestic capital formation to GDP, averaged 17.3 percent during the period 2015-2017.
The ratio of private investment to GDP for the period averaged 12.9 percent.
Total investment grew by 5.9 percent in nominal terms in 2017 compared to 5.4 percent in 2016.
Investment in non-residential buildings, which fell by around 15 percent on average annually over 2013-2016, increased by 29.7 percent in 2017 mainly due to the renovation of a number of hotels.
For 2018, the investment rate is forecast at around 17.2 percent. A decline in the ratio of private investment to GDP from 13.2 percent in 2017 to 12.6 percent in 2018 would be offset by a rise in public investment to GDP ratio from 4.1 percent to 4.6 percent. Investment in non-residential building would remain high while a pick-up is expected in residential buildings and other construction works.
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows
Mauritius continues to attract significant amount of foreign direct investment.
[Note: For the period 2015-2017, the figures do not include reinvested earnings and shareholders’ loans and therefore are not comparable with previous years’ data.]
In 2017, there were some Rs 17.5 billion of FDI flows in Mauritius compared to Rs 13.6 billion in 2016. These investments were mainly in real
CHART 18: FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOWS IN MAURITIUS
(EXCLUDING GLOBAL BUSINESS)
CHART 16 : INVESTMENT RATE
0
5
10
15
20
2018F201720162015
4.7
12.6
4.4
12.8
4.1
13.2
4.6
12.6
17.217.317.217.4
TOTALPRIVATEPUBLIC
CHART 17 : INVESTMENT (NOMINAL GROWTH)
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
%
2018F201720162015
1.8
-16.7
3.613.4
-8.0-10.6
-0.1
29.7
5.24.8
25.6
15.6
RESIDENTIAL BUILDING
NON- RESIDENTIAL BUILDING
OTHER CONSTRUCTION WORK
2015 2016 2017
9,677
13,648
17,491
4000
9000
14,000
19,000
CHART 15 : SAVINGS
2015 2016 2017 2018F10.0
10.2
10.4
10.6
10.8
11.0
11.2
10.4
11.0
10.7
10.9
GROSS DOMESTIC SAVINGS (GDS) AS A % OF GDP AT MARKET PRICES
%
%
Rs
Mill
ion
16
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 19
estate development and financial services, which together accounted for 87.9 percent of total inflows. The share of FDI directed towards the construction sector amounted to 6.0 percent compared with an average of 4.2 percent during the previous 4 years.
France was the main source of FDI inflows, accounting for 25.1 percent of total inflows in 2017. Significant inflows were also registered from Luxembourg, South Africa, China and the UK.
Foreign Direct Investment Outflows
In 2017, FDI outflows increased to Rs 2.6 billion, from Rs 1.8 billion in 2016. Most of the investment was directed towards financial services, manufacturing, and real estate development. Some 74 percent of the investment went to developing countries, particularly in Africa (Kenya, Mozambique and Madagascar) and South Asia.
External Trade & Balance of Payment
In 2017, Mauritius registered a visible trade deficit of 21.6 percent of GDP. The high deficit is explained by lower exports of textile and clothing products and lower re-exports of telecommunication equipment, combined with higher imports of petroleum products and road vehicles.
In 2018, the visible trade deficit is expected to slightly go down to 21.5 percent of GDP.
The current account of the balance of payments registered a deficit of 6.6 percent of GDP in 2017.
The surplus in the overall balance of payments has been rising in recent years and reached 6.2 percent of GDP in 2017. Net inflows of investment and government loans in the capital and financial account were more than adequate to finance the current account
CHART 19 : FDI INFLOWS BY SECTOR, 2017
CHART 20 : DIRECT INVESTMENT ABROAD
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
RS
MIL
LIO
N
2,410
1,842
2,553
201720162015
CHART 21: VISIBLE TRADE BALANCE AS A % OF GDP
22.8
-18.2 -18.6 -21.6 -21.5
41.0
19.4
38.0
17.7
39.3
17.1
38.6
201720162015 2018F
VISIBLE TRADE BALANCE
IMPORT OF GOODS
EXPORT OF GOODS
CHART 22 : COMPONENTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNT AS A % OF GDP
CURRENT ACCOUNTSERVICESINCOME AND CURRENT TRANSFERS
GOODS
0
10
-10
-20
-30
-16 -17 -20
2015 2016 2017
Others 3.4%
Information & Communication 0.4%
Accommodation and food service activities 2.2%
Construction 6.0%
Financial and Insuranceactivities 37.7%
Real Estate
activities50.3%
17
20 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 18
Foreign Currency Reserves
As at end May 2018, total reserves amounted to Rs 222.0 billion, equivalent to some 10.7 months of imports. This is an increase of 23.8 percent over the level of reserves in May 2017.
Inflation
Headline inflation reached a low of 1.0 percent in 2016. It rose to 3.7 percent in 2017 due to the increase in prices of petroleum products, prices of vegetables following unfavourable climatic conditions and excise taxes on tobacco and alcoholic products. It further rose to 5.0 percent for the year ending April 2018 due to a jump in the prices of vegetables.
Year-on-year inflation rate in December 2017 was 4.2 percent compared to 2.3 percent in December 2016. It was at 3.7 percent in April 2018.
CORE1 inflation, which excludes “Food, Beverages and Tobacco” components and mortgage interest on housing loan from the CPI basket, increased from 0.4 percent in 2016 to 2.2 percent in 2017. It stood at 2.5 percent in March 2018.
CORE2 inflation, which excludes food, beverages and tobacco, mortgage interest, energy prices and administered prices, was rather stable at 2.2 percent over the period.
[ Note: Headline inflation is measured by comparing the average level of
prices, as measured by the CPI, during a twelve-month period with the average level during the corresponding previous twelve-month period.]
Exchange Rate
In 2017, the Mauritian rupee appreciated against the currencies of most of its main trading partners, except the South African rand. In nominal effective terms, as measured by the Mauritius Exchange Rate Index 1 (MERI1), the rupee appreciated by 2.1 percent between December 2016 and December 2017 and 1.7 percent between December 2015 and December 2016, compared to a depreciation of 9.4 percent between December 2014 and December 2015.
Macroeconomy (cont’d)
CHART 23 : GROSS OFFICIAL INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
50,0002.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
0.0
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
RS
MIL
LIO
N
MO
NTH
S
JAN
15
JAN
16
JAN
17
JAN
18
MA
R 1
5
MA
R 1
6
MA
R 1
7
MA
R 1
8
MAY
15
MAY
16
MAY
17
JUL
15
JUL
16
JUL
17
SEPT
15
SEPT
16
SEPT
17
NO
V 1
5
NO
V 1
6
NO
V 1
7
GROSS OFFICIAL INTERNATIONAL RESERVES IMPORT COVER (RHS)
%
CHART 25: MERI 1CHANGE IN MERI 1 (+VE MEANS DEPRECIATION)
DEC 2014/DEC 2015 DEC 2015/DEC 2016 DEC 2016/DEC 2017
1.0
-4.0
6.0
%
9.4
-1.7 -2.1
MA
RS
15
MA
RS
16
MA
RS
17
JUN
15
JUN
16
JUN
17
SEPT
15
SEPT
16
SEPT
17
DEC
15
DEC
16
DEC
17
MA
R 1
18
HEADLINE CORE1 CORE2 YEAR-ON-YEAR
0
1
2
3
4
5
CHART 24: INFLATION RATE
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 21
Against individual currencies, the rupee evolved in line with international trends.
Against the US dollar, the rupee appreciated by 6.1 percent between December 2016 and December 2017. It was rather stable between December 2015 and December 2016.
Against the Euro, the rupee depreciated by 5.4 percent between December 2016 and December 2017, in contrast to an appreciation of 2.9 percent between December 2015 and December 2016.
Against the British pound, the rupee depreciated by about 1 percent against the pound between December 2016 and December 2017. It appreciated by around 17 percent between December 2015 and December 2016.
Excess Liquidity
Excess liquidity in the banking sector, measured as cash balances held by banks in excess of the statutory cash reserve requirements, reached Rs 26 billion in December 2017 and remained at an elevated level of around Rs 22 billion, on average, during the first quarter of 2018.
Government Revenue
Government total revenue amounted to 21 percent of GDP in FY 2016/17, almost same as in FY 2015/16.
Tax revenue as a percentage of GDP increased from 18.5 in FY 2015/16 to 18.8 in FY 2016/17.
Non-tax revenue, which includes grants from donor countries and transfers from Special Funds, amounted to 2.2 percent of GDP, slightly lower than in FY 2015/16.
CHART 26: EXCHANGE RATE
2014 2015/16 2016/17
20.320.9 21.0
2.22.42.0
TAX REVENUE NON-TAX REVENUE TOTAL REVENUE
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
CHART 28: TOTAL REVENUE AS A % OF GDP
18.4 18.5 18.8
38
33
28
RS/USD
45
4035
30
Jan-
15A
pr-1
5
Oct
-15
Jan-
16A
pr-1
6Ju
l-16
RS/EUR
Jul-1
5
Jan-
17Ja
n-16
Jan-
18
Apr
-17
Oct
-17
Oct
-17
Jan-
15A
pr-1
5
Oct
-15
Jan-
16A
pr-1
6Ju
l-16
Jul-1
5
Jan-
17Ja
n-16
Jan-
18
Apr
-17
Oct
-17
Oct
-17
Jan-
15A
pr-1
5
Oct
-15
Jan-
16A
pr-1
6Ju
l-16
Jul-1
5
Jan-
17Ja
n-16
Jan-
18
Apr
-17
Oct
-17
Oct
-17
50
30
RS/GPB
19
CHART 27: EXCESS LIQUIDITY
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
19 M
AR
S 15
31 M
AR
S 16
30 M
AR
S 17
25 JU
N 1
5
23
JUN
16
22 JU
N 1
7
3 S
EPT
15
29
SEPT
16
18 S
EPT
17
24
DEC
15
22 D
EC 1
6
21 D
EC 1
7
29 M
AR
118
RS
MIL
LIO
N
15,000
25,000
22 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
VAT receipt is the largest component of tax revenue, followed by personal and corporate income taxes and excise duties. As a percentage of GDP, VAT receipts were stable at 6.8, revenue from income tax increased from 4.5 to 4.9 in FY 2016/17, and excise duties increased from 3.8 to 3.9 mainly due to the increase in excise rates on tobacco and alcoholic products.
External grants increased from 0.1 of GDP to 0.6 percent in FY 2016/17 mainly due to the grants provided by the Government of India for the implementation of the Metro Express project, the construction of the Supreme Court building, the ENT Hospital, acquisition of tablets for primary school students and the construction of social housing.
Government ExpenditureTotal government expenditure as a percentage of GDP reached 24.5 in FY 2016/17.
Capital expenditure as a percentage of GDP went down from 2.5 percent of GDP to 2.3 percent in FY 2016/17.
The ratio of recurrent expenditure to GDP increased from 21.9 percent to 22.2 percent in FY 2016/17 due to higher staff costs and increase in pensions and other social benefits.
CHART 29: SHARE OF TAX REVENUE, % FY 2016/17
RECURRENT EXPENDITURE
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
TOTAL EXPENDITURE
CHART 31: RECURRENT EXPENDITURE AS A % OF GDP
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
6.1
2.6
4.9
6.2
2.4
5.96.3 6.1
2.4
2014 2015/16 2016/17
COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES
INTEREST SOCIAL BENEFITS
8.0
Macroeconomy (cont’d)
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
2016/172015/162014
23.5 24.4 24.5
2.32.52.9
CHART 30: TOTAL EXPENDITURE AS A % OF GDP
Customs Duties 1.4%
PersonalIncome
Tax 10.3%
Other Taxes17.7%
VAT 35.9%
CorporateIncome Tax
14.1%
Excise Duty 20.5%
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
20.6 21.9 22.2
20
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 23
Fiscal BalancesFor FY 2016/17, the budget deficit was 3.5 percent of GDP while the recurrent budget registered a deficit of 1.9 percent of GDP.
After taking into account transactions in financial assets, namely loans and equity, Government borrowing requirements slightly increased from 3.4 percent of GDP in FY 2015/16 to 3.5 percent in FY 2016/17.
Expenditure by Sector
CHART 33: FISCAL BALANCES AS A % OF GDP
2014 2015/16 2016/17
OVERALL BUDGET DEFICIT RECURRENT BUDGET DEFICIT GOVERNMENT BORROWING REQUIREMENTS
0.4%
3.2%
3.4% 3.4% 3.5%
3.5%3.5%
1.5%1.9%
CHART 32: EXPENDITURE BY SECTOR, FY 2016/17
Social sectors 55.0%
Economic Sectors 8.9%
Environmental Protection 1.2%
Others 34.8%Education 14.3%
Health 10.1%
Housing 2.2%Recreation, Cultureand Religion 0.8%
Social Protection 27.7%
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
The share of Government expenditure allocated to social sectors increased from 54.1 percent in
2015/16 to 55.0 percent in FY 2016/17.
21
24 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
Public Sector DebtPublic sector debt, which includes debt of central Government, local authorities/parastatal bodies and public enterprises, amounted to 65.5 percent of GDP, as at end March 2017. This high level of debt was partly due to the issuance of Government securities for mopping up excess liquidity in the banking sector as from September 2014. As at end March 2017, some Rs 16 billion of Government securities, equivalent to 3.6 percent of GDP, were issued for the purpose.
Since April 2017, Government securities are no longer being issued for mopping up excess liquidity.
At end December 2017, the debt ratio fell to 63.4 percent. It declined further to 62.9 percent at end March 2018.
Structure of GovernmentDebt PortfolioDomestic v/s ExternalMost of the Government debt stock is domestically sourced. As at end March 2018, some 83 percent of Government debt was held by domestic investors.
Most of Government external debt are from bilateral (G2G) sources or multilateral institutions and are on concessionary terms.
Currency composition of external debtThe currency composition of Government external debt is generally aligned to that of proceeds from export of goods and services. Thus as at March 2018, 42.4 percent of external debt was denominated in Euro, 30.3 percent in US dollar, and 10.8 percent in Chinese Yuan.
CHART 34 : PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT AS % OF GDP
-5%52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
JUN15
SEP15
DEC15
MAR 16
MAR 17
MAR 18
JUN 16
JUN 17
SEP 16
SEP 17
DEC 16
DEC 17
6.3% 6.1% 5.9% 5.5% 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 5.6% 5.5% 6.7% 6.4% 6.3%
56.6%56.9%
57.8%
59.3%59.9%
59.3%59.5%59.5%58.6%
57.7%57.3%
56.6%
62.9%63.4% 63.6%
64.2%65.0% 64.9% 64.4%
65.5%64.8% 64.5%
63.4%62.9%
PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT
BUDGETARY CENTRAL GOVERNMENT TOTAL DEBT
PUBLIC ENTERPRISES DEBT (RHS)
CHART 35: COMPOSITION OF GOVERNMENT DEBT
DEC 14
10%
30%
50%
70%
90%
JUN 15
DEC15
JUN16
DEC16
JUN17
DEC17
MAR18
DOMESTIC EXTERNAL
76.3%
23.7%
75.9%
24.1%
76.9%
23.1%
78.7%
21.3%
80.0%
20.0%
82.6%
17.4%
82.8%
17.2%
83.1%
16.9%
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
DEC14
JUN 16
JUN 17
DEC 17
MAR 18
CHART 36 :CURRENCY COMPOSITION OF GOVERNMENT EXTERNAL DEBT
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
USD EURO CHINESE YUAN OTHERS
39.5% 10.7%
11.3%
11.2%
11.0%
10.8% 16.5%
16.1%
16.2%
14.8%
15.1%
41.8%
33.5%
32.3%
30.3% 42.4%
40.7%
39.1%
32.1%
34.7%
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
Macroeconomy (cont’d)
22
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 25
CHART 38: STRUCTURE OF GOVERNMENT DOMESTIC DEBT (%)
Debt affordability
The debt affordability metrics have improved significantly as: - the ratio of interest payments to Government revenue has declined from 20.1 percent in FY 2007/08 to 11.6 percent in FY 2016/17; and- the ratio of interest payments to GDP has come down from 3.9 percent to 2.4 percent over the same period.
Maturity structure
The maturity structure of Government debt has improved as evidenced by the following indicators:
Between end-December 2010 and end-March 2018:
(a) The share of short-term domestic debt declined from 26 percent to 11.4 percent, and the share of long-term domestic debt increased from 39 percent to 63 percent.
(b) The average time to maturity of Government domestic debt has been gradually lengthened from 2.9 to 4.7 years thereby reducing debt refinancing risks.
(c) Almost all external debt is long-term, with an average time to maturity of 5.9 years.
Interest Rate Risk
Interest rate risk is very low as more than 95 percent of Government’s domestic debt has a fixed interest rate.
The average time for re-fixing total Government debt, which is also a measure of interest rate risk, has steadily increased and reached 4 years in March 2018.
External debt service ratio
The external debt service ratio (external debt service as a percentage of revenue from exports of goods and non-factor services) has been relatively low in recent years. From 3.7 percent during FY 2015/2016, it increased to 6.2 percent at end-June 2017 mainly due to the early repayment of external loans of some Rs 4.2 billion. For the period March 2017 to March 2018, the debt service ratio declined to 5.8 percent.
-1%
4%
9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
DEC10
JUN11
JUN12
JUN13
JUN14
JUN15
JUN16
JUN17
DEC11
DEC12
DEC13
DEC14
DEC15
DEC16
DEC17
MAR18
SHORT TERM MEDIUM TERM LONG TERM
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic DevelopmentCHART 37: DEBT AFFORDABILITY RATIOS
0%
2007/08 2008/09 2015/16 2016/172010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10%
20%
30%
INTEREST PAYMENTS TO GOVERNMENT REVENUE
INTEREST PAYMENTS TO GDP (RHS)
Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
CHART 39: EXTERNAL DEBT SERVICE RATIO
-1%
4%
9%
Dec 2014 Jun 2016 Jun 2017 Dec 2017
3.8%
3.7%
6.2% 5.9%
Chart 39: External Debt Service Ratio
Mar 2018
3.8%
23
26 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
Traditional SectorsAGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND FISHING
The contribution of the agricultural sector to the economy declined to 3.1 percent in 2017.
In 2017, its output contracted by 0.2 percent due to lower cane and sugar production and lower growth in production of food crops. It is expected to grow by 1.1 percent in 2018.
In 2016, employment in the sector amounted to 41,300, accounting for 7.3 percent of total employment in the economy.
CHART 40: AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND FISHING AS A % OF GDP
2007
3
4%
5
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
CHART 41: REAL GROWTH RATE - AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND FISHING
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
-2.2-4.0-2.0+0.0+2.0+4.0+6.0+8.0
+10.0+12.0
-0.4
+3.5 +3.7 +3.7
-0.2
+1.1+2.0
+0.3+1.1+0.5
+2.7
+10.2
CHART 42: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND FISHING
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
THO
USA
ND
SUGARCANE NON SUGAR
Economic Review & Outlook: Sectoral
%
24
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 27
THE SUGARCANE SUB-SECTOR
The share of the sugarcane sub-sector in Agriculture has declined in recent years to reach 18.7 percent in 2017. Its share in GDP has consequently declined to 0.6 percent.
Gross value added in the sub-sector declined by 7.9 percent in real terms in 2017 compared to a 5.2 percent growth in 2016. It is expected to register a zero growth in 2018.
In 2017, some 49,973 hectares, under sugarcane cultivation, were harvested, down by 2.9 percent compared to 2016.
CHART 43: CONTRIBUTION OF SUGARCANE SECTOR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
0.00 0
1.0020
40% %
2.00 60
SUGARCANE AS A % OF AGRICULTURE (RHS) SUGARCANE AS A % OF GDP
CHART 45: CANE AREA
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
45,000
60,000
50,000
55,000
65,000
75,000
70,000
HEC
TAR
ES
AREA UNDER CANE CULTIVATION CANE AREA HARVESTED
CHART 44: REAL GROWTH RATE - SUGARCANE SECTOR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
+0.0%
+5.0
+10.0
+15.0
+20.0
-9.9
+4.3
+14.9
-6.5
+2.4
-5.4-2.2 -3.5 -3.8
+5.2
-7.9
0.0
-1.4
25
28 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 26
Sugarcane production amounted to 3.7 million tonnes in 2017, compared to 3.8 million tonnes in
2016. Total sugar produced was 355,213 tonnes in 2017, down from 386,277 tonnes in 2016.
CHART 48: EMPLOYMENT - SUGARCANE SECTOR
CHART 47: CANE YIELD
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
65.973.1 77.3 74.4 74.6 72.9 71.4 79.8 76.5 73.8 74.3
TON
NES
/ H
ECTA
RES
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2.0
7.0
12.0
17.0
THO
USA
ND
MALE FEMALE BOTH SEXES
CHART 46: CANE AND SUGAR PRODUCTION
20073,400,000 300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
3,900,000
4,400,000
4,900,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CANE PRODUCTION SUGAR PRODUCTION (RHS)
TON
NES
TON
NES
Average cane yield per hectare increased from 73.8 tonnes in 2016 to 74.3 tonnes in 2017, after
two consecutive years of decline.
In 2016, the sugarcane industry accounted for 30.0 percent of total employment in the agricultural
sector. Employment in the industry was at around 12,400 in 2016, of which 71.8 percent were men.
EMPLOYMENT
THE SUGARCANE SUB-SECTOR (cont’d)
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 29
NON-SUGAR AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
The share of non-sugar agricultural activities in Agriculture increased to 81.3 percent.
The non-sugar sector grew by 2.3 percent in 2017 and a growth of 1.3 percent is expected in 2018.
CHART 50: REAL GROWTH RATE - NON-SUGAR SECTOR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
0.0
+2.0
+4.0%
+6.0
+8.0
+4.5
+1.5
+6.9
+2.7+3.9 +4.1
+1.8
+6.5
+1.6+3.2
+2.3
+1.3
+3.5
CHART 51: TEA PRODUCTION
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
GREEN
TON
NES
BLACK TEA
CHART 49: CONTRIBUTION OF NON-SUGARCANE SECTOR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
0.0 0
50 %
100
1.0%
2.0
3.0
NON SUGARCANE AS A % OF AGRICULTURE (RHS)
NON-SUGARCANE AS A % OF GDP
TEA PRODUCTION
Tea plantation covered an area of 622 hectares in both 2016 and 2017.
Some 7,300 tonnes of green tea leaves were produced in 2017. The production of
manufactured tea (Black Tea) increased by 1.9 percent from 1,353 tonnes in 2016 to 1,379 tonnes in 2017.
27
30 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
FOOD CROPS
A total of 7,780 hectares, under food crops, were harvested in 2017, representing an increase of 0.2 percent. The production of food crops
increased by 0.3 percent from 106,271 tonnes in 2016 to 106,621 tonnes in 2017.
CHART 52: FOODCROPS
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 201790,000 5,000
7,000
9,000
110,000
130,000
120,000
100,000TON
NES
HEC
TAR
ES
PRODUCTION AREA (RHS)
CHART 53: TOTAL FISH PRODUCTION
TON
NES
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
5,000
20,000
30,000
25,000
15,000
6,377 5,660 6,706 5,887 5,283 4,780 5,795
12,63714,239
16,698
22,732
FISH PRODUCTION
Fish production increased by 36.1 percent, from 16,698 tonnes in 2016 to 22,732 tonnes in 2017. Production of other catch (mainly tuna
for processing and exports), which accounts for 92 percent of total fish production, rose by 40.8 percent. Fresh coastal fish catch decreased by 2.6 percent.
LIVESTOCK
In 2017, production of beef from live cattle amounted to 2,078 tonnes, 6.2 percent higher than in 2016. Ninety six percent of the production came from the slaughter of imported cattle which increased by 4.7 percent in 2017.
Production of goat meat and mutton went up by 33.3 percent from 42 tonnes in 2016 to 56 tonnes in 2017. The production of pork decreased by 4.1 percent.
28
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 31
POULTRY
The production of poultry increased by 3.7 percent from 45,800 tonnes in 2016 to 47,500 tonnes in 2017.
MILK AND CHEESE
EMPLOYMENT
Total employment in the non-sugar sector was 28,900 in 2016, 36.3 percent of whom were women.
CHART 54: LIVESTOCK SLAUGHTERED
CHART 55: LOCAL PRODUCTION AND IMPORTS OF MILK
20072006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 201615,00018,00021,00024,00027,00030,000
NO
OF
HEA
DS
TON
NES
2013 2014 2015 2016
0
6,000
12,000
18,000
24,000
5,025 5,025 4,525 4,025
IMPORTED MILKLOCAL PRODUCTION OF MILK
5.0
25.0
THO
USA
ND
2007
CHART 56: EMPLOYMENT - NON SUGAR SECTOR
20082007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MALE FEMALE BOTH SEXES
THO
USA
ND
25.0
5.0
15.0
Some 4,025 tonnes of fresh milk and cream were produced in Mauritius in 2016. Imports of fresh
and dried milk went up from 17,857 tonnes in 2015 to 22,414 tonnes in 2016.
29
32 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 30
MANUFACTURING
The manufacturing sector includes Sugar Processing, Food, Textiles and Other Manufacturing activities.
`Chart 57 shows that the share of the manufacturing sector, in terms of contribution to GDP, has been decreasing.
CHART 58: REAL GROWTH RATE - MANUFACTURING
CHART 59: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - MANUFACTURING
CHART 57: MANUFACTURING AS A % OF GDP
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 201611
13
15
17
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
+0.0
+1.0
+2.0
+3.0%
+4.0
+5.0
+2.6 +2.9+2.4
+1.9
+0.7
+2.1
+4.7
+1.8
+0.1 +0.3
+1.4 +1.3+1.9
90.0
100.0
110.0
105.0
95.0
115.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
THO
USA
ND
112.9 113.4
104.5 103.199.5 98.8
101.6 101.6 101.098.7
The manufacturing sector grew by 1.4 percent in 2017, compared to 0.3 percent in 2016.
In 2018, the sector is expected to grow by 1.3 percent, with improvements in Textile and Food.
2017 2018F
In 2016, some 98,700 people were employed in the manufacturing sector.
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 33
The output per employee increased to Rs 546,160 in 2016.
SUGAR MANUFACTURING
In 2018, the industry is expecting a sugar production of around 355,000 tonnes which is the same as in 2017.
In 2017, the sugar manufacturing sector grew by 2.4 percent. It is expected to register a zero growth rate in 2018.
CHART 60: OUTPUT PER EMPLOYEE IN MANUFACTURING
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
RS
CHART 61: TOTAL SUGAR PRODUCTION
340,000
390,000
440,000
490,000
TON
NES
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CHART 62: REAL GROWTH RATE - SUGAR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
+0.0
+5.0%
+10.0
+15.0
+20.0
-12.8
+5.6
+18.0
-2.9
+4.1
-5.8 -5.1
+6.6
+2.4+0.4 +0.8 0.0 +0.7
31
34 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 32
In 2016, there were around 1,400 employees in the sugar milling sector.
FOOD PROCESSING
Food processing activities are expected to grow by 1.0 percent in 2018, higher than the 0.2 percent growth in 2017.
Total employment in the sector increased to around 18,300 in 2016.
CHART 63: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - SUGAR
CHART 64: REAL GROWTH RATE - FOOD, EXCLUDING SUGAR
CHART 65: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - FOOD, EXCLUDING SUGAR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
THO
USA
ND
1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.51.4
1.61.8
1.6
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
-2.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
0.0+2.0+4.0%+6.0+8.0
+10.0
+2.7
11.4 12.113.2 13.8 14.5
15.2 16.517.3 18.2 18.3
+6.1
+4.2 +4.1
-1.4-0.3
+7.6
+2.4
+3.0
+1.4 +0.2 +1.0
+2.7
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
THO
USA
ND
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 35
TEXTILE
Textile manufacturing is expected to expand by 1.0 percent in 2018, following a contraction of 0.7 percent in 2017.
Total employment in the sector was around 47,100 in 2016, compared to around 48,600 in 2015.
OTHER MANUFACTURING
Other manufacturing sectors grew by 4.5 percent in 2017 and are expected to expand by 2.0 percent in 2018.
CHART 66: REAL GROWTH RATE - TEXTILE
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
-10.0-5.00.0
+5.0%+10.0+15.0 +9.8
+0.3 0.0 0.0 +3.0 +2.6 +4.2 +1.0 +0.8
-1.1 -2.8 -0.7
-5.8
CHART 67: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - TEXTILE
0.0
20.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
THO
USA
ND
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
64.2 63.654.9 53.7 50.1 48.6 49.3 49.5 48.6 47.1
CHART 68: REAL GROWTH RATE - OTHER MANUFACTURING
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0%
10.0
15.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
-4.3-1.0
-0.2
+4.8 +4.5
+2.0 +2.1
+2.8 +1.8 +2.0
+0.6 0.0
+12.7
CHART 69: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - OTHER MANUFACTURING
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
28.030.032.034.036.038.0
THO
USA
ND
35.8 36.2
34.8 33.8 33.3 33.3 32.731.9
33.5 34.3
Total employment in the sector was estimated at around 31,900 in 2016.
33
36 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 34
CHART 70: REAL GROWTH RATE - TOURISM
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
-10.0
-5.00.05.0
%
10.015.0
+12.7
+1.7
4.9
+7.0
+3.2
+0.7+1.9
+6.3 +7.2
+11.5
+5.2 +4.7 +4.7
TOURIST ARRIVALS
Some 1.3 million tourists visited Mauritius in 2017, an increase of 5.2 percent from 2016. Tourist arrivals are forecast to increase to 1.4 million in 2018.
Europe is the leading market with a share of around 60 percent of total arrivals. The number of tourists from France increased by 0.5 percent, from Germany by 14.5 percent, from UK by 5.6 percent and from Italy by 12.0 percent in 2017.
Reunion and South Africa remained the main source countries in the African region, with tourist arrivals from South Africa increasing by 7.0 percent over the past year.
Among Asian countries, arrivals from India grew by 4.4 percent, while those from China dropped by 8.1 percent in 2017.
TOURISM
The tourism sector is the fourth most important contributor to the economy, accounting for 7.1 percent of GDP.
In 2017, it grew by 5.2 percent and it is forecast to grow by 4.7 percent in 2018.
CHART 71: TOTAL TOURIST ARRIVALS
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
906,
971
930,
456
871,
356
934,
827
964,
642
956,
441
992,
503
1,03
8,33
4
1,15
1,25
2
1,27
5,22
7
1,34
1,86
0
1,41
0,00
0
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 37
TOURISM EARNINGS
Tourism earnings increased to Rs 60.3 billion in 2017, from Rs 55.9 billion in 2016. It is estimated at Rs 62.5 billion for 2018.
[Note: As from 2015, tourism earnings figures include data from money changers and foreign exchange dealers.]
Average expenditure per tourist increased to around Rs 44,900 in 2017 from around Rs 43,800 in 2016.
CHART 72: TOURISM EARNINGS
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
40,687 41,21335,693 39,456 42,717 44,378
40,557 44,30450,191
RS
MIL
LIO
N
CHART 73: AVERAGE EXPENDITURE PER TOURIST
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
44,86044,293
40,963
42,208
44,283
45,967
40,839
42,642
43,58743,835
44,938
38,000
39,000
40,000
41,000
42,000
43,000
44,000
45,000
46,000
47,000
RS
60,26255,867
According to the Survey of Inbound Tourism carried out by Statistics Mauritius during the 1st Semester of 2017, tourists from Russia were the highest spenders followed by Switzerland, UK, China and the US.
Tourists spent some 13.6 million nights in Mauritius in 2017. The average length of stay per tourist works out to 10.3 nights. Visitors from UAE spent the most per night in Mauritius, followed by their Chinese, American and Swiss counterparts.
Some 60 percent of total expenditure was on accommodation, 12 percent on food and beverages, 9 percent on shopping, 7 percent on sightseeing and 4 percent on entertainment and recreation.
Around 60 percent of tourists travelled on a package tour (where airfare, accommodation and other items such as meals, sightseeing, car hire are included in the tour price paid before departure from the home country of the tourist) and spent some Rs 5,005 per tourist per night compared to only Rs 3,595 by those travelling on non-package tour.
Some 80 percent of total tourists stay in hotels, 8.5 percent in tourist residences, 5.5 percent with friends/relatives, and 5.3 percent in guest houses. More than 90 percent of tourists from India and the UK, and 80-90 percent of tourists from China, Germany, South Africa, Italy and Switzerland stay in hotels.
SURVEY OF INBOUND TOURISM1st Semester 2017, Statistics Mauritius
35
38 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 36
EMPLOYMENT
Total employment in the Accommodation and food service sector, the major component of tourism, was estimated at around 40,800 in 2016. Output per employee was around Rs 705,000 that year.
As at March 2017, it was estimated that there were 30,974 employees in large establishments in hotels, air transport services, tour operators, travel agencies and car rental, slightly higher than in 2016.
CHART 74: EMPLOYMENT IN LARGE ESTABLISHMENTS, HOTELS ANDTRAVEL & TOURISM ACTIVITIES
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
26,622
29,000
27,664 27,685
28,487 28,93529,115 29,352 29,437
30,55630,974
TOURIST ACCOMMODATION
As at end December 2017, 111 hotels were operational in Mauritius and one was under renovation. The total room capacity of these hotels was 13,511 with 29,650 bed places. For the year 2017, the room occupancy rate of all hotels averaged 77 percent, up from 73 percent in 2016.
The bed occupancy rate also increased from 65 percent to 68 percent over the period.
Large hotels accounted for 51 percent of all hotels, 78 percent of total room capacity and 80 percent of total bed places.
CHART 75: OCCUPANCY RATE
ROOM OCCUPANCY RATE BED OCCUPANCY RATE
2012 20122013 20132014 20142015 20152016 20162017 2017
62%
65%
63%
65%
65%
67% 70
%
72%
73%
76% 77%
79% 70
%
68%
68%
65%
67%
63%
60%
58%
57%
55%
57%
55%
ALL HOTELS LARGE HOTELS
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 39
MODE OF TRANSPORT
CHART 76: CRUISE VESSELS AND TOURIST ARRIVALS BY SEA
20122012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20170 0
10
20
30
40
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
23 23 23
29 30
1815
CRUISE VESSELS (RHS)TOURIST ARRIVALS BY SEA
12,815 19,797 28,365 29,56516,93025,047 3,336
According to the Air Traffic Forecast Report 2017 of Airports of Mauritius Ltd, the total seat capacity in 2017 was 2,353,455. Air Mauritius is the largest carrier with 46.6 percent of seat capacity. The
largest foreign airline is Emirates, with 361,636 outbound seats followed by Air Austral with 10.4 percent of seat capacity.
CHART 77: SEAT CAPACITY IN MAURITIUS IN 2017
Air Mauritius 46.6%Emirates
15.5%
Others 17.6%
Air Austral 10.4%
South African Airways 4.7%
Air France 5.2%
Source: Air Traffic Forecast Report 2017, Airports of Mauritius Ltd
Ninety-eight percent of tourists travel by air to Mauritius. During the past few years, the number of tourists arriving by cruise ships has
increased significantly. In 2017, some 29,600 tourists arrived by sea.
GOLF COURSESThere are currently nine 18-hole Championship golf courses around the island, designed by world leading golfers.
GYMKHANA
PARADIS GOLF
VILLAS VALRICHES
TAMARINA GOLF ESTATE
MONT CHOISY
CONSTANCE BELLE MARE
ANAHITA ILE AUX CERFS
AVALON GOLF ESTATE
18-HOLE CHAMPIONSHIP GOLF COURSES IN MAURITIUS
37
40 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 38
CONSTRUCTION
In 2017, the construction industry recovered from a five-year contraction, with a growth rate of 7.5 percent. This upturn resulted mostly from higher private investment, especially in the tourism sector.
Growth in the construction sector is expected to rise further to 9.5 percent in 2018, driven mostly by investment in major public infrastructure projects.
CHART 78: REAL GROWTH RATE - CONSTRUCTION
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
+5.0%
+10.0
+15.0
+20.0+15.7
+11.8
+5.9 +4.3
-2.0 -3.0 -4.9
0.0
+7.5 +9.5
+1.4
-8.2 -8.5
CHART 79: INVESTMENT IN CONSTRUCTION
1,0001,200
1,400
1,600
1,8002,0002,200
2,400
2,600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
RS
MIL
LIO
N
Total investment in the construction sector increased by 12.6 percent in 2017 to reach Rs 1.3
billion. It is expected to increase by 9.3 percent in 2018 to Rs 1.4 billion
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 41
Investment in building and construction work, which accounts for 63.0 percent of total investment, increased by 7.6 percent from Rs 46,408 million in
2016 to Rs 49,917 million in 2017. It is expected to increase by 12.8 percent to Rs 56,303 million in 2018.
CHART 80: INVESTMENT IN BUILDING AND CONSTRUCTION WORK
2015 2016 2017 2018F
RS
MIL
LIO
N
13,067 11,67712,287
14,199
16,078
26,026
12,802
24,828
9,872
24,859
10,726
21.925
EMPLOYMENT
Total employment in the construction sector was estimated at 39,600 in 2016.
Output per employee increased by 1.6 percent to reach Rs 404,722 in 2016.
CHART 81: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - CONSTRUCTION
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
38.0
39.0
40.0
41.0
42.0
43.0
44.0
THO
USA
ND
40.0 40.1
41.4
42.542.6 42.8 42.7
40.740.2
39.6
CHART 82: OUTPUT PER EMPLOYEE IN THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016320,000
340,000
360,000
380,000
400,000
420,000
440,000
460,000
Rs
39
RESIDENTIAL BUILDING OTHER CONSTRUCTION WORKNON-RESIDENTIAL BUILDING
42 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 40
FINANCIAL SERVICES
The Financial and Insurance activities sector contributes around 10.5 percent to GDP.
The sector expanded by 5.5 percent in 2017 and is expected to grow at the same rate in 2018.
The total investment in the sector amounted to Rs 2.3 billion in 2017. Some Rs 1.8 billion are expected to be invested in 2018.
CHART 83: FINANCIAL AND INSURANCE ACTIVITIES AS A % OF GDP
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
CHART 84: REAL GROWTH RATE - FINANCIAL AND INSURANCE ACTIVITIES
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
+7.6
+10.1
+4.7 +4.5+5.7 +5.7 +5.5 +5.5 +5.3 +5.7 +5.5 +5.5 +6.0
+0.0
+2.0
+4.0
+6.0%+8.0
+10.0
+12.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018f
1,000
1,500
2.000
2.500
3,000
RS
MIL
LIO
N
CHART 85: INVESTMENT IN FINANCIAL AND INSURANCE ACTIVITIES
%
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 43
CHART 86: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - FINANCIAL AND INSURANCE ACTIVITIES
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
THO
USA
ND
S 9.310.6 11.3 11.9 12.2
12.6 13.1 13.5 13.5 13.5
Output per employee works out to Rs 3.5 million in 2016.
TABLE 1 : GLOBAL BUSINESS EVOLUTION
Number of Live GBCs1 Category12 Category2 MCs3 Global Funds4
Jan-13 9,660 11,207 165 860
Jan-14 9,825 10,668 171 871
Jan-15 10,306 11,011 174 883
Jan-16 10,756 10,688 180 917
Jan-17 11,067 10,283 178 929
Jan-18 11,501 10,084 182 982
1: Exclude companies Struck off / surrendered licence/ licence revoked/ Licence Lapsed or changed regime during the year 2: Include Global Funds 3: MCs Management Companies (Include Corporate Trustees as from May 2008) 4: Exclude funds in process of winding up
CHART 88: NUMBER OF LIVE GBCS
JAN- 13 JAN- 14 JAN- 15 JAN- 16 JAN- 17 JAN -18
9,500
10,50011,500
12,500
GBC (CATEGORY 1) GBC (CATEGORY 2)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20162,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
RS
CHART 87: OUTPUT PER EMPLOYEE IN FINANCIAL AND INSURANCE ACTIVITIES
Source: Financial Services Commission
Source: Financial Services Commission
The Financial and Insurance activities sector employed around 13,500 workers in 2016,
representing 2.4 percent of total employment in the economy.
GLOBAL BUSINESS
The Global business sector contributed around 5.5 percent to GDP and grew by 4.5 percent in 2017. It is expected to expand at a higher rate of 4.7 percent in 2018.
Between January 2017 and 2018, the number of live global business companies Category 1 (GBC1) increased by 3.9 percent to 11,501. During the same period, the number of GBC Category 2 declined from 10,283 to 10,084.
41
44 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 42
EMPLOYMENT
Some 3,355 persons were employed in Management Companies in December 2016, compared to 2,987 in December 2015. Provisional
CHART 89: EMPLOYMENT IN MANAGEMENT COMPANIES
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
22862451
2724 2988
33553614
CHART 90: TOTAL GBC1 OUTWARD INVESTMENT
2012 2013 2014 2015 20160
100
200
300
USD
BIL
LIO
N
-10
10
50
70
30 %
SHARE OF INVESTMENT TO INDIA (RHS)TOTAL OF GBC 1 INVESTMENT SHARE OF INVESTMENT TO AFRICA (RHS)
In 2016, total outward investment through GBC1 entities amounted to USD 327.6 billion, out of which around 55 percent was to India. The share
of total investment into Africa increased from 8.7 percent in 2015 to 9.6 percent in 2016.
INVESTMENT
figures for 2017 indicated a further increase of 3,614 in employment.
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 45
In 2016, large establishments in the ICT sector employed around 15,390 persons, representing
4.9 percent of the total employment in large establishments nationwide.
TABLE 2: EMPLOYMENT IN LARGE ESTABLISHMENTS - ICT SECTOR
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Large Establishments in ICT sector 136 138 140 134 129
Employment in ICT sector 12,972 14,094 14,747 15,006 15,390
Male 7,068 7,600 7,900 8,120 8,060
Female 5,904 6,494 6,847 6,886 7,330
CHART 91: ICT AS A % OF GDP
3
4
5
6
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
ICTThe ICT sector contributes around 5 percent to GDP, on average.
CHART 92: REAL GROWTH RATE - ICT
00+2.0
+6.0+4.0
+8.0%+10.0+12.0
+16.0+14.0
+15.1
+12.4+11.7 +11.2
+9.4 +8.9
+6.9 +6.6 +7.1
+5.4 +4.4 +4.5
+9.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
Activities in the ICT sector expanded by 4.4 percent in 2017 and are expected to grow by 4.5 percent in 2018.
43
46 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 44
The proportion of the population aged 5 and above who can use computers reached 60.5 percent in 2016, indicating an increase of 1.7 percent compared to 2014.
Mauritius has been consistently improving its performance in the ICT sector. The International Telecommunication Union ranked Mauritius, with an ICT Development Index of 5.88, 1st in Africa and 72nd out of 176 countries worldwide in 2017.
CHART 94: ICT INFRASTRUCTURE AND ACCESS
20072006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20160
50
100
150
200
PER
100
INH
AB
ITA
NTS
FIXED TELEPHONE LINES
MOBILE CELLULAR SUBSCRIPTIONS
INTERNET SUBSCRIPTIONS
CHART 95: ICT DEVELOPMENT INDEX
2014 2015 2016 2017
5.22 5.27 5.515.88
Source: International Telecommunication Union
While the percentage of households with cellular mobile telephones increased by 2.6 percent between 2014 and 2016, the percentage of those with fixed telephones declined by 2.5 percent. The number of households with internet access increased by 11.3 percent in
2016, to reach 63.3 percent of total households.The number of mobile cellular subscriptions per 100 inhabitants went up from 139.5 in 2015 to 143.6 in 2016. This represented an increase of 2.9 percent, with 1,814,000 mobile cellular subscriptions in 2016.
CHART 93: TRADE IN ICTTRADE IN ICT SERVICES TRADE IN ICT GOODS
IMPORT EXPORT
2012 20122013 20132014 20142015 20152016 20162017 20170 0
2,000 5,000
4,000 10,000
6,000 15,000
8,000 20,000
RS
MIL
LIO
N
RS
MIL
LIO
N
In 2017, exports of ICT goods amounted to Rs 1,295 million, while imports were Rs 9,653 million. Trade in ICT goods was lower than in 2015 and 2016, mainly due to a decline in both imports
and re-exports of cellular phones. Exports of ICT services amounted to Rs 4,385 million against imports of Rs 3,523 million.
Traditional Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 47
Emerging SectorsREAL ESTATE
In 2017, Real Estate activities grew by 3.3 percent and are expected to expand by 3.4 percent in 2018.
CHART 97: INVESTMENT IN REAL ESTATE ACTIVITIES
Economic Review And Outlook: Sectoral
CHART 96: REAL GROWTH RATE - REAL ESTATE ACTIVITIES
00+1.0
+3.0+2.0
+4.0%+5.0+6.0
+8.0+7.0
+4.6 +4.8+5.6
+6.2+7.1
+6.9+6.1 +5.3
+4.3 +4.1+3.3 +3.4
+5.3
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F14,000
19,000
24,000
29,000
34,000
RS
MIL
LIO
N
In 2017, around 38 percent of total investment was directed towards the Real Estate sector. Investment in the sector went up by 6.3 percent
and is expected to increase by 4.7 percent to reach Rs 31,297 million in 2018.
45
48 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 46
It was estimated that 50 IRS, 100 RES and 67 PDS residential units were sold in 2017.
Between 2005 and 2017, total revenue from the sales of these residential units amounted to Rs 6,708 million namely Rs 2,709 million from IRS, Rs 3,023 million from RES, and Rs 976 million from PDS.
CHART 98: GROSS DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOWS IN REAL ESTATE ACTIVITIES IN 2017
CHART 99: RESIDENTIAL UNITS SOLD
0 0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
50 50
100 100
150 150
200 200
250 250
2015 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 201720162009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
67
2
100
223225
129
186
103
3950
94
198
83117
10162
4233
159
11382
20
59
229
NUMBER OF IRS UNITS SOLD NUMBER OF RES UNITS SOLD NUMBER OF PDS UNITS SOLD
CHART 100: REVENUE FROM SALES OF RESIDENTIAL UNITS
IRS SALES REVENUE RES SALES REVENUE PDS SALES REVENUE
2005-2010
2005
-201
0
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
20172011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0 0
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1000
2000
300040005000
5000
10000
15000
20000
55.2
976.4
1,62
9
18,6
96
2,77
32,
920
3,01
3 1,55
61,
727 2,
689
1,67
1
3,70
42,
570
4,09
63,
023
3,88
12,
709
RS
MIL
LIO
N
RS
MIL
LIO
N
RS
MIL
LIO
N
20172016
Source: Economic Development Board
1. The Integrated Resort Scheme (IRS), the Real Estate Scheme (RES) and Property Development Scheme (PDS) are aimed at encouraging the acquisition of residential property in Mauritius by non-citizens.
IRS/RES/IHS/PDS1
IRS/RES/IHS/PDS 65.7%
Others 34.3%
Source: Economic Development Board
Emerging Sectors (cont’d)
In 2017, Rs 8.8 billion of FDI were invested in Real Estate development, of which 65.7 percent went to projects under the IRS/RES/IHS/PDS Schemes.
11,0
25
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 49 47
PUBLIC FUNDED INSTITUTIONS PRIVATE & SELF-STUDY OVERSEAS
CHART 101: ENROLMENT IN TERTIARY EDUCATION
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
15,880
9,612
9,53111,248
10,003
17,37219,882 21,766
11,661
10,90710,063
13,464
22,442 21,562
18,603 17,994
23,627
8,958 10,151
17,664
22,793 21,621
16,250
11,099 9,911
17,212
20,966
9,460
10,663
10,939
CHART 102: ENROLMENT OF INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS IN TERTIARY EDUCATION LOCALLY
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20160
1000
2000
1500
500
MALE FEMALE TOTAL
2. Students on Self-study follow courses exclusively through the distance education/e-learning mode
Total enrolment in tertiary education amounted to 48,089 in 2016. Around 80 percent (38,178) were studying locally and 20 percent (9,911) overseas. Of those based locally, around 55 percent (20,966) were enrolled in public funded institutions, 32 percent (12,303) in private institutions and 13 percent (4,909) were undertaking self-study2 without going through a tertiary institution locally.
The number of foreign students in Mauritius has increased from 573 in 2007 to 1,736 in 2016.The students are mainly enrolled in medical programmes, business management, information technology, hospitality management and Law.It is estimated that an international student spends on average MUR 20,000 per month which includes tuition fees, accommodation costs and living expenses.
KNOWLEDGE CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE
TABLE 3: MAIN COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN OF INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS
Number Percentage
India 503 29.0
South Africa 231 13.3
Nigeria 146 8.4
Madagascar 122 7.0
France 110 6.3
Tanzania 82 4.7
Kenya 79 4.6
The foreign students came from 69 different countries, mainly India, South Africa, Nigeria, Madagascar, France, Tanzania and Kenya.
2. Students on Self-study follow courses exclusively through the distance education/e-learning mode
50 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 48
MEDICAL HUB CHART 103: MAIN AREAS OF MEDICAL TREATMENT IN 2017
General MedicalCheck ups 36%
Cardiology 17%
Cosmetic andplastic surgery 15%
General surgery 9%
Other 23%
Around 14 percent of foreign patients were from France and 16 percent from countries in the region.
CHART 105: PUBLIC & PRIVATE SECTOR HEALTH PERSONNEL IN 2016
Doctors(incl.314 Specialists)23.0%
Dentists1%
Dentists11%
Qualified Nurses
& Midwife75%
QualifiedNurses
& Midwife16%
Pharmacists 17%Pharmacists 1%
Doctors(incl.499 Specialists)56.0%
PUBLIC SECTOR SELECTED HEALTH PERSONNEL IN 2016
PRIVATE SECTOR SELECTED HEALTH PERSONNEL IN 2016
There are 5 regional hospitals and 2 district hospitals providing public healthcare services in Mauritius. In addition, there are 3 specialised hospitals for chest diseases, 1 for eye diseases, 1 for ear, nose and throat (E.N.T.) diseases, 1 psychiatric hospital and 2 Cardiac Centres.
Seventeen private health institutions are also providing health care services.
There are some 5,000 medical and paramedical personnel in the public sector and 2,900 in the private sector.
CHART 104: MAIN COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN OF MEDICAL TOURISTS IN 2017
0
5
10%
15
FRANCE SEYCHELLES COMOROS
33
MADAGASCAR
10
14
Source: Economic Development Board
In 2017, some 11,000 foreign patients visited Mauritius for treatment compared to 18,000 in 2016. They chose Mauritius mainly for advanced treatment in cardiology, cosmetic & plastic surgery, hair grafting and fertility treatment.
Emerging Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 51
CHART 103: MAIN AREAS OF MEDICAL TREATMENT IN 2017
49
RENEWABLE ENERGY
Bagasse was the main source of energy supply from the renewables.
CHART 106: RENEWABLES AS A % OF TOTAL ENERGY REQUIREMENTS
CHART 107: SOURCES OF RENEWABLES AS A % OF TOTAL LOCAL (RENEWABLES) REQUIREMENTS IN 2016
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0
5
10
15
20
Fuel Wood2.8%
Hydro3.8%
Wind0.7%
Landfill Gas0.7%
Bagasse90.9%
Photovoltaic1.1%
Lorem ipsum
In 2016, around 15 percent of the total primary energy requirement was produced from local
renewable sources comprising hydro, wind, landfill gas, photovoltaic, bagasse and fuel wood.
Energy production from photovoltaic went up by 18.2 percent in 2016, from 2.2 ktoe3 to 2.6 ktoe.
Production from wind increased significantly from 0.2 ktoe to 1.5 ktoe that is around 7 folds.
3. Ktoe: thousand tonnes of oil equivalent
52 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 50
CREATIVE INDUSTRY
Between 2016 and 2017, the contribution to GDP of the Arts, Entertainment and Recreation sector increased from 3.0 percent to 3.1 percent .
The sector expanded by 4.7 percent in 2017 and is expected to grow by 4.8 percent in 2018.
CHART 108: ARTS, ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION AS A % OF GDP
CHART 109: REAL GROWTH RATE - ARTS, ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
0
+2.0
+6.0+4.0
+8.0%
+10.0+12.0+14.0
+8.1
+11.5 +10.9
+5.5+6.7 +7.7 +7.7
+6.8
+4.8 +4.7 +4.7 +4.8
+7.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
CHART 110: INVESTMENT IN ARTS, ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F400600
8001,000
1,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
RS
MIL
LIO
N
In 2017, some Rs 571 million were invested in the Arts, Entertainment and Recreation sector. In 2018, investment is expected to increase
substantially to Rs 1,785 million, mainly due to the construction of the Multi-Sport Complex at Cote d’Or.
Emerging Sectors (cont’d)
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 53 51
CHART 111: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT - ARTS, ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
In 2016, employment in the sector increased from around 11,600 to around 12,200 persons.
Output per employee increased from Rs 1,066,293 in 2015 to Rs 1,078,700 in 2016.
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0
5
10
15
THO
USA
ND
4.65.4 6.4
7.6 7.6 8.99.8 10.6 11.6 12.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016980,000
1,030,000
1,080,000
1,130,000
1,180,000
RS
CHART 112: OUTPUT PER EMPLOYEE IN ARTS, ENTERTAINMENT AND RECREATION
54 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 52
4. The Republic of Mauritius established that the outer edge of the continental margin in the relevant land territory in the Chagos Archipelago Region (Egmont and Diego Garcia Islands) extends beyond 200 nautical miles. As required by the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS Article 76), Mauritius made a submission to the Commission to set out the coordinates of the outer limits of the Extended Continental Shelf (ECS).
BLUE ECONOMY Mauritius has a total maritime zone of 2.6 million km2, of which 2.3 million km2 represents the Exclusive Economic Zone. An additional
expanse of 396,000 km2 is co-managed with
the Republic of Seychelles.4
Emerging Sectors (cont’d)
EXCLUSIVE ECONOMIC ZONE OF THE REPUBLIC OF MAURITIUS
SUBMISSION IN THE REGION OF RODRIGUES ISLAND
JOINT MANAGEMENT AREA (MAURITIUS AND SEYCHELLES EXTENDED CONTINENTAL SHELF)
PRELIMINARY INFORMATION IN THE CHAGOS ARCHIPELAGO REGION
BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 55 53
SEAPORT
In 2017, out of the 3,184 vessels which visited Port Louis, 34 percent were fishing vessels while 17 percent were carrying containers. The share of
cruise vessels has increased by about 1 percent in 2017.
CHART 113: REAL GROWTH RATE - SEAFOOD
CHART 114: TOTAL EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF FISH AND FISH PREPARATIONS
TABLE 4: VESSEL TRAFFIC
0
+5000
+10000
+15000
+20000
0.0
- 5.0
+5.0
+10.0
%
+15.0
+2.2
+6.8
+12.0 +11.3
-1.6
+6.4
-2.8
+9.8
+6.6+3.6 +4.0
+1.6
+5.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F AVGROWTH
07-17
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
RS
MIL
LIO
N
NET EXPORTS EXPORTS (F.O.B VALUE) IMPORTS (C.I.F VALUE)
+201 +1,767 +2,719 +3,590 +3,563 +2,945+1,637
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Vessel Traffic 2,654 3,476 3,652 3,329 2,947 2,934 3,184
Containerised Vessels 543 624 669 607 568 567 538
Dry Bulk Carrriers 53 57 61 58 52 56 58
Tankers (Liquid Bulk Carriers) 74 71 70 61 78 141 115
General Bulk Vessels 13 11 5 7 103 101 100
Fishing Vessels 767 851 993 1,067 953 977 1,067
Cruise Vessels 23 23 15 18 23 28 30
Others 1,181 1,839 1,839 1,511 1,170 1,064 1,276
5. Re-exports are goods which are exported in the same condition as imported or after undergoing minor operations which leave them essentially unchanged
THE SEAFOOD SECTOR
In 2017, imports of seafood products increased year-on-year from Rs 11,132 million to Rs 12,634 million. These imports were re-exported, processed and canned for exports, and consumed locally. Total re-exports5 in 2017 were estimated
at Rs 3,503 million, while processed seafood products exported amounted to Rs 10,768 million. A net export of Rs 1,637 million in the seafood sector was recorded.
Source: Mauritius Port Authority
56 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019 54
Total cargo traffic (both imports and exports) increased from 7.3 million tonnes in 2016 to 7.7 million tonnes in 2017.
In 2017, some 379,371 containers were handled in 2017 – 250,916 containers (TEU: 20 foot equivalent units) for imports and 128,455 for exports.
CHART 115: CARGO TRAFFIC
CHART 116: CONTAINER TRAFFIC
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
MIL
LIO
N
TON
NES
5.4 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.7 6.0 6.4
1.31.31.11.1 1.21.1
1.1
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017300,000320,000340,000360,000380,000400,000420,000440,000
TEU
’S
IMPORTS EXPORTS
Source: Mauritius Port Authority
Source: Mauritius Port Authority
Emerging Sectors (cont’d)
60 BUDGET SUPPLEMENT | 2018-2019
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La Tour KoenigPointe aux Sables
June 2018