protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future regulating privatised water:...
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Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Regulating Privatised Water: Lessons from England and Wales
Regina Finn
Chief Executive
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Overview
The Water Industry in England and Wales
The Role of Comparative Competition
Development of Market Competition
Conclusion and Questions
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
The Context: Long Term Challenges
Water Industry affected by long term drivers:– Climate change – adaptation and mitigation– Weather volatility – floods and droughts– Population growth and location – water stress– Demand for water and how we value water
Ofwat is regulating to protect consumers, promote value and safeguard the future.
Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
The Water Industry in England and Wales
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
England and Wales Water Industry
Water and sewerage companies
1 Anglian 2 Dŵr Cymru 3 Northumbrian 4 Severn Trent 5 South West 6 Southern 7 Thames 8 United Utilities 9 Wessex10 Yorkshire
Water only companies
11 Bournemouth & West Hampshire12 Bristol13 Cambridge14 Dee Valley15 Folkestone & Dover16 Mid Kent17 Portsmouth18 South East19 South Staffordshire20 Sutton & East Surrey21 Tendring Hundred22 Three Valleys
20
2122
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Industry snapshotKey facts 22 vertically integrated
monopolies. (39 at privatisation)
23 million connected properties
Average annual capital investment £3 to £3.5 billion
£70bn capital investment since 1989
Real bill increase in 10 years from 2000-10 will be 7%
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
North
umbr
ian
Tham
es
Sever
nTre
nt
Yorks
hire
Anglia
n
United
Utili
ties
South
ern
Wes
sex
Dwr Cym
ru
South
Wes
t
£
2004-05 2005-06 2009-10
Water & sewerage bills 2004-05 to 2009-10(in 2004-05 prices)
Average bills 2007-08:Industry average: £325 unmetered
£285 meteredSouth West (highest): £650 unmetered
£378 metered
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Ownership of Companies
Five listed companies (United Utilities, Northumbrian, Severn Trent, South West and Dee Valley)
One recently delisted (Yorkshire)
Rest privately owned
Range of owners including private equity firms and pension funds
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Ownership Structures by Regulatory Capital Value (RCV)
Ownership of water companies in England and Wales
49%
7%
36%
8% Listed on London StockExchange
Listed overseas(strategic foreignow ners)
Other f inancialow ners/consortiums incinfra and pen funds
Company limited byguarantee
Note - Correct at November 2007
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Gearing by RCV
55% - 65%
75% - 85%0% - 45%
65% - 75%
45% - 55%
Note - Correct at November 2007
Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
The Role of Comparative Competition
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Comparative Competition
Simple metrics - such as interruptions to water and supply number of complaints
Advanced modelling of expenditure and procurement efficiency, and
International benchmarking where possible
Key tool for regulating monopoly water industry:
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Advantages of Comparative Competition
Keeps regulation “small” Uses real information to
drive performance – difficult to challenge
Allows companies to manage their own business
Lets company performance speak for itself
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
What the Regulatory Regime Has Delivered (1)
Significant capital investment privately financed
£70bn invested in water sector since 1989
Major efficiency gains resulting in lower bills to customers
The average customer bill in 2010 will be £100 lower than it would have been
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
What the Regulatory Regime Has Delivered (2)
Total Operating Expenditure
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000
3,200
3,400
3,600
3,800
4,000
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Financial year to 31 March
1999 projection by companies
1994 final determination
Actual total operating
expenditure
Ministers' assumptions in
19892004
projection by companies
2004 final determination
1999 final determination
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
What the Regulatory Regime Has Delivered (3)
Essential services safeguarded
Improved reliability and quality of service
Improved water quality - safe, reliable drinking water
Reduced leakage Reduced risk of
sewer flooding
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Reduced Leakage
Total leakage 1994-95 to 2004-05 (Ml/d)
51124980
4505
3989
3551
33063243
3414
3605 3649 3608
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
5500
1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05
Year
To
tal
Lea
ka
ge
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Service Improvements
0
5
10
15
20
25
1990/95 1995-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05time
% F
ailin
g
DG2
DG3
DG5
DG5 1:10
DG5 1:20
DG6
DG7
DG8
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Drawbacks of Comparative Competition
Imperfect proxy for effective competition
Companies tempted to ‘game’
Data collection is an onerous and expensive exercise for both companies and regulator
Information asymmetry – companies have the advantage
And…
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Overall Performance Assessment (Water)
287 287 286 284 283 283 283 282 281 279 278 278 277 275 273 271 270 269 269 264 256281
0
50
100
150
200
250
04-05 score
03-04 scoreMaximum
288
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Overall Performance Assessment - Water and Waste Water
413 413 408 408 407 395 395 395 390 388
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
York
shire
Dwr Cym
ru
Wes
sex
Anglia
n
Sever
n Tr
ent
South
Wes
t
South
ern
United
Utili
ties
Tham
es
North
umbr
ian(*)
04-05 score
03-04 score
438Maximum
* includes Essex and Suffolk
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
So What Next?
Evolution of the comparative competition – eg capital incentive scheme
Review what we compare and measure – eg customer experience measures
Promote effective competition in the market – reduce regulation
Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
The Promotion of Market Competition
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Promoting Competition: Why?
Ofwat has a duty to promote competition
Competition can drive dynamic efficiency and innovation
Comparative competition has delivered– But risk of diminishing
returns over time Competition has delivered
benefits elsewhere Customers want choice
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Ofwat Competition Review – Part One
Conclusions: Existing regime ineffective Need to remove the access
pricing rule from primary legislation
– Replace with principles Reduce the threshold for non-
household customer competition from 50Ml to zero
Enable retail competition for sewerage
Develop accounting separation…
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Accounting Separation
Meets multiple goals, including promoting competition
Will require separation of the natural monopoly part of the value chain from contestable activities
Will provide greater visibility for new entrants on costs and potential margins
Will facilitate cost reflective access tariffs Will ensure level playing field between
incumbents and entrants New reporting from 2009
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Ofwat Competition Review – Part Two
Inform Government Review of competition in the sector
Will examine the potential for competition throughout the value chain;
Detailed paper in Spring Objective
– Secure innovative entry, efficient investment and customer benefits;
– Protect water quality and security
– Contribute to social and environmental objectives
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Ofwat Competition Review – Part Two
Key principles: Similarities with other network utilities Regulatory unbundling – early step Structural unbundling of retail – early step Mechanisms to secure innovation in resources All customers should benefit Separate cross-subsidies from the functioning of
the market Simple and transparent market models and
access pricing
– Protecting consumers, promoting value and safeguarding the future
Conclusion
The England and Wales Regulatory Regime has delivered significant benefits for water consumers
To continue to deliver, we need to build on the success of the past and develop new tools to tackle the challenges of the future