property insight q3 blue oct 2018 citixxxxx 22-11-2018 · ahmedabad bengaluru chennai delhi-ncr...
TRANSCRIPT
INDIA REAL ESTATE OVERVIEW
PROPERTY INSIGHTSIndia Quarter 3, 2018
Introduction
Economy
At a growth rate of 8.2% during April-June quarter, the Indian economy grew at its fastest in two years – again
cementing its position as the fastest growing economy in the world. The rally has been led by a strong pick-up in
the manufacturing segment that grew at 13% during the quarter. The construction sector, too, made a strong
recovery to grow at 8.7% against 1.8% in the corresponding period last year. Overall, the Indian economy is poised
for stable growth going ahead, while the world economy continues to witness uneven growth due to rising oil
prices and escalating trade tensions. According to International Monetary Fund (IMF), India is likely to grow at 7.3%
in the current financial year, against a global growth of 3.9%.
GDP growth rate & Repo Rate
GDP Growth Repo rate
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18
Source: World Bank, RBI, BSE, DIPP
Introduction
Over the last few years, the NDA-led central government has been taking steps to make India an attractive
investment destination. Relaxation of FDI norms across multiple sectors such as aviation, food processing,
defence, pharmaceuticals and introducing single-window clearances among other reforms have played a huge
role in India’s emergence as a strong investment destination among global investors. The government has also
been actively promoting its initiatives such as Make in India, development of new industrial corridors, Smart Cities,
Housing for All and infrastructure projects, etc. to attract foreign investment in India.
Strengths Threats
Recovery from Demonetization, GST High oil prices
Growth in private consumption Inflation
Sustained private investment (easing FDI norms,Ease of Doing Business)
Rupee depreciation
Policy reforms (Increased productivity throughMake in India initiative)
Stressed assets, rising NPAs
Note: As accessed from state RERA portals on October 5
State No. Of Projects Registered
Maharashtra 17,900
Karnataka 2,000
Tamil Nadu 700
3,600Gujarat
Haryana 300
RERA: Taking Stock
More than a year into the enforcement of the Real State Regulatory Authority (RERA), Indian states have achieved
varied levels of progress. While states like Maharashtra, Karnataka, Gujarat have fully operational RERA portals,
with an established conflict resolution mechanism, several states are lagging in implementation. Maharashtra has
taken the lead in forming its RERA portal and has the highest share of registered projects. In states like Telangana
and Haryana, the respective governments have launched the portals, albeit with relatively lower registrations. On
the other hand, West Bengal has steered away from the national RERA policy, and notified its own state policy- WB
HIRA (Housing Industry Regulatory Authority).
Regulatory Overview
MCLR Trend
Foreign banksPublic sector Bank
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
10.00%
June-2016
Interest Rates on A Strengthening Spree
For the period between 2014 to 2017, a robust rate of economic growth, benign inflation supported by all-time low
crude prices and robust forex inflows, allowed the RBI enough headroom to reduce the repo rate in nearly every
quarterly monetary policy. While this was a great boost to the credit and as well as the investment cycle, there were
concerns that the banks were not doing enough to pass on the benefit to consumers. In August 2016, the shift by
the RBI to the MLCR (Marginal Cost of Lending Rate) for new lenders was the step in the right direction. This
allowed new lenders to take advantage of the dynamic and low interest rate regime. However, older lenders were
still linked to the base rate that was still high.
The dynamic nature of the MCLR which allowed the lending rates to hit a seven-year low in 2017 worked well for the
credit cycle, however the RBI continued to push banks to pass on more benefit to the lenders in alignment with
declining repo rates and also allow old lenders to shift to MCLR regime.
However, beginning 2018, amidst inflation concerns in the economy fueled by oil prices and government policies
around increasing minimum support prices to crops and increased house rent allowances under the 7th pay
Commission along with a hardening in global commodity prices and escalating trade tensions have created
inflationary headwinds. With the RBI focused more on inflation targeting, there has been a hardening in stance in
terms of increasing repo rate which has gone up by 50 bps via a two-time increase. This has also resulted in banks
increasing their interest rates by 50-80 bps over the past couple of quarters. The country’s leading public-sector
bank, State Bank of India, increased its MCLR four times in 2018- from 7.95% at the beginning of 2018 to 8.50% in
October 2018. As seen below, public sector, private sector and foreign banks revised their MCLR upwards in 2018.
Sept-2016 Dec-2016 Mar-2017 June-2017 Sep-2017 Dec-2017 Mar-2018 June-2018 Sep-2018
Private sector bank
Impact on Residential Sector
Interest rates & stable home prices present good opportunity for homebuyers
An increase in home loan rate till now, will not have a significant impact on purchase of residential units, especially
in the mid and high-end segment as the change in actual EMI payable will not be significant. Weighted average
lending rates of public sector banks increased from 10.19% to 10.22% in July, while that of private sector banks
1increased from 10.53% to 10.55% in the same period . Moreover, in certain markets, home prices are now
bottoming off, and may move upwards as the market starts to recover over the course of time. If the banks
continue to raise rates over next year, the double-edged sword of a possible increase in prices and higher interest
rates may impact the monthly outgo of the homebuyer. Therefore, with most banks in the beginning of curve of raising
rates currently, this is an opportune time for homebuyers, as it coincides with stable prices in most markets. Serious
buyers, especially in an end-user driven market, should continue to scout the market for properties in this scenario.
Any hike in lending rate adversely affects the EWS, LIG and MIG who seek to buy homes. However, the government
has rolled out the credit linked subsidy scheme (CLSS) under the government’s Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana
(PMAY), to make credit cheaper and more accessible. Hence, homebuyers from these income groups can insulate
themselves from rising interest rates, by availing subsidy on interest. Hence, it is a good time for first-time
homebuyers to enter the market, without being deterred by the rise in interest rates.
1Reserve Bank of India
Credit Linked Subsidy Scheme
Income Group
EWS
LIG
MIG I
MIG II
Income
Annual income up to INR 3 lacs
Annual income between INR 3 to 6 lacs
Annual income between INR 6 to 12 lacs
Annual income between INR 12 to 18 lacs
Area
up to 30 sq m
up to 60 sq m
up to 160 sq m
up to 200 sq m
Eligible loan
6 lacs
6 lacs
9 lacs
12 lacs
Interest subsidy
6.5%
6.5%
4.0%
3.0%
Loan tenure
20 years
20 years
20 years
20 years
Rupee depreciation: More bang for the buck for foreign investors?
Over the last few months, the Rupee has seen a sharp depreciation of around 14% over the past one year. On one
hand, the deprecating rupee can increase developers’ expenses, especially if they import services and raw
materials. However, on the positive side, a weak currency can give a fillip to purchases from overseas investors, as
Source: stPMAY, MIG I & II schemes currently have a validity till 31 March, 2019
it gives NRIs a compelling reason to invest in property in India. This is an attractive investment opportunity as NRIs
can benefit from the currency rate to buy into the market at a discounted rate. The rupee depreciation coupled
with a bottomed out real estate market and a consumer protection net in the form of RERA and investor protection
in the form of the revised Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code presents an opportunity for NRIs to revisit real estate
investments in India. Their focus on the larger cities and premium and luxury apartments could kickstart a small
revival in this residential price segment.
This situation could also boost institutional inflows into the residential sector from foreign entities. Residential
sector, for long, has been a preferred sector for private-equity players, with foreign investors pouring in excess of
USD 2.7 bn between 2014-H1 2018 (as per Cushman & Wakefield Research). With the rupee depreciating,
institutional investors may hasten their investment decisions to get a good bargain.
Rupee Depreciation
Foreign banksPublic sector Bank
74.00
72.00
70.00
68.00
66.00
64.00
62.00
60.00
58.00
Oct-2017 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18
Private sector bank
Sep-18 Oct-18
Source: RBI
Real Estate Market Snapshot
Residential
Increase in new unit launches
during Q3 2018
18%
Share of affordable segment in
overall unit launches
46%
Increase in average
project size
7%
Office
Increase in gross absorption
q - o - q
2-fold
New supply in Q3 2018
10.2 msf
In key locations across
IT markets
Single-digit vacancy
New mall supply in Q3 2018
0.5 msf
Most active in leasing
F&B,
Apparels Increase in mall rents
1% to 2%
Retail
Indian Residential Sector Overview
Bengaluru and Mumbai witness strong
growth in launches
Affordable Segment
Share declined to 40% in Q3 2018 from 49%
in Q2 2018
Mid Segment
Held a 12% share of unit launches; led by
Mumbai and Bengaluru
High-end Segment
Significant leap witnessed in Chennai
Luxury Segment
New Launches in Q3 2018 (in units)
3Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Delhi-NCR, Hyderabad, Mumbai and Pune
Affordable Mid High-end Luxury
5,860
657
5,448 2,128 900
4,181
869
1,527
611
2,874 2,062
300
284
1,177
206
1,172
413
56
818
30
Ahmedabad Bengaluru Chennai Delhi-NCR Hyderabad Mumbai Pune
Unit launches moderated and increased by 18% on a sequential (q-o-q) basis across the top 7 cities (Delhi-
NCR, Bengaluru, Mumbai, Chennai, Hyderabad, Pune, and Ahmedabad) during Q3 2018. This was mainly led
by a quantum leap in launches in Bengaluru followed by a strong growth in Mumbai. Across most of the other
cities, launches slowed down during the current period after a strong momentum witnessed during Q2 2018.
Affordable segment occupied a majority proportion in the overall unit launches at 46% during the third
quarter of 2018. This was followed by the mid segment, which continued its healthy pace though witnessing
a marginal decline on a q-o-q basis with its share at 40%. Select large projects were launched in the
peripheral areas of Mumbai, Bengaluru and Pune as developers look to benefit from the government’s
affordable housing policy.
Market sentiments continue to be promising backed by improving regulatory environment leading to strong
consumer confidence. However, sales offtake continues to be slow in most of the cities and developers
continue to dole out lucrative offers, discounts and freebies to attract fence sitters. Capital values have
largely remained at similar levels in most of the cities except select submarkets in Hyderabad. Capital values
also increased by 2-3% for the high-end segment in South and Central Delhi submarkets. In the upcoming
festive season, developers are expected to adopt aggressive marketing strategies to push the sale of
completed and under-construction inventory across all the cities. Buyers are expected to have an upper hand
in this positive market environment, resulting in favourable purchase decisions.
Key Trends
67
615
Mumbai ...................................................................................... 1
Delhi-NCR .................................................................................. 4
Bengaluru .................................................................................. 7
Index
Residential Overview
Mumbai
Overall unit launches continued their strong
momentum during Q3 2018 growing by nearly 29%
from the preceding quarter, and stood at nearly
9,500 units.
This was mainly led by few large project launches
in the western suburbs, followed by Thane.
Developers in the city look to benefit from the
government’s affordable housing policy and continue
to launch smaller sized units (below 30 sqm in city’s
core areas, and 60 sqm in peripherals).
The affordable segment continued its healthy
streak, accounting for 57% of the launches during
the quarter.
Homebuyers continue to be cautious and the
market remains price sensitive. Buyers are closely
evaluating the overall landing cost before effecting
their purchasing decisions
Share of launches in price segments
Rationalization of unit launches
12%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
1
Average Capital Values – Mid Segment (INR '000/sf)
South
South Central
Far North
Central
North East
North
Location
48.0 - 75.0
46.0 - 83.0
12.5 - 20.0
27.0 - 65.0
15.0 - 24.0
28.0 - 50.0
48.0 - 75.0
46.0 - 83.0
12.5 - 20.0
27.0 - 61.0
15.0 - 24.0
28.0 - 50.0
48.0 - 75.0
46.0 - 83.0
12.5 - 20.0
27.0 - 61.0
15.0 - 24.0
28.0 - 50.0
48.0 - 75.0
46.0 - 83.0
12.5 - 20.0
27.0 - 61.0
15.0 - 24.0
28.0 - 50.0
48.0 - 75.0
46.0 - 83.0
12.5 - 20.0
26.0 - 59.0
15.0 - 24.0
28.0 - 50.0
2016
2016
2017
2017
Q1 2018
Q1 2018
Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Average Capital Values – High-End (INR ‘000/sf)
South
South Central
Far North
Central
North East
North
Location
40.0 - 50.0
45.0 - 58.0
10.0 - 16.0
23.0 - 45.0
10.0 - 14.0
20.0 - 30.0
40.0 - 50.0
45.0 - 58.0
10.0 - 16.0
23.0 - 45.0
10.0 - 14.0
20.0 - 30.0
40.0 - 50.0
45.0 - 58.0
10.0 - 16.0
23.0 - 45.0
10.0 - 14.0
20.0 - 30.0
40.0 - 50.0
45.0 - 58.0
10.0 - 16.0
23.0 - 45.0
10.0 - 14.0
20.0 - 30.0
40.0 - 50.0
45.0 - 58.0
10.0 - 16.0
23.0 - 45.0
10.0 - 14.0
20.0 - 30.0
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
For details on project launches, refer Annexure
The values in the legend are in INR/sf.
57%
30%
10%
77%
13%
2016
45%
51%
4%
2017
13%
52%
35%
Q2 ‘18 Q3 ‘18
< 7,500 7,501 - 25,000 25,001 - 40,000 > 40,000
70%
25%
Q1 ‘18
6%
16%
56%
27%
2015
Launches – segment-wise across submarkets (%)
Submarkets Affordable Mid High-end Luxury Total (Number of units)
Eastern Suburbs
Western Suburbs
South Central
Thane
Navi Mumbai
0%
74%
0%
43%
86%
38%
22%
0%
51%
14%
62
3%
100%
7%
0%
% 0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
916
5,092
260
2,594
632
The Supreme Court has revoked the ban on
construction of new buildings in March 2018 and has
granted permission, on the condition of developers
employing adequate safeguards for proper disposal
of construction waste and other related covenants.
This order will remain in effect for 6 months post
which the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC)
is obliged to submit a fresh report to the Supreme
Court. This has intensified construction activities
across submarkets in the city.
The submarket of Thane including the peripheral
locations of Dombivli, Ambernath and Badlapur, Mira
Road and Navi Mumbai (in and around Panvel)
continue to witness heightened construction activity
during the third quarter of 2018. Areas such as
Vikhroli, Kanjurmarg, Bhandup in the Eastern suburbs
and Western suburban locations of Andheri,
Goregaon, Malad, Kandivali, Borivali etc., have a
strong under-construction pipeline. During Q3 2018,
select large projects were completed across locations
such as Parel, Andheri (East), Goregaon and Ghatkopar
in the high-end segment. Further, projects were also
completed in the peripheral areas of the Western
suburbs and Navi Mumbai, mainly in the affordable and
mid segment categories.
The capital and rental values have largely remained
range-bound in both mid and high-end segments
across most of the markets. However, prices in and
around Lower Parel and Mahalaxmi continue to be
under pressure due to sluggish demand.
Residential
Select established developers are likely to launch large projects within the city, mainly in the high-end
segment. At the same time, peripheral locations on the eastern and western suburban markets might
continue to see traction in launch activity.
In the backdrop of the upcoming festive season, developers are likely to offer several discounts, incentives
and freebies to lure fence sitters and push offtake in units. While quoted values are expected to remain
range-bound, genuine buyers are likely to be well positioned to strike a lucrative deal.
Launches Buyer sentiment Price
Outlook
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
KEY TO SUBMARKETS:
Eastern Suburbs: Sion, Wadala, Kurla, Chembur, Ghatkopar, Vikhroli, Powai, Chandivali, Kanjurmarg, Bhandup, Mulund
Western Suburbs: Andheri, Jogeshwari, Goregaon, JVLR, Malad, Kandivali, Borivali, Dahisar
South Central: Worli, Prabhadevi, Lower Parel / Parel, Dadar, Matunga
Navi Mumbai: Airoli, Ghansoli, Rabale, Koparkhairane, Vashi, Turbhe, Sanpada, Nerul, Belapur, Kharghar, Panvel
% indicates proportion of unit launches in different segments within a submarket.
2
3
About 3.2 msf of incremental Grade A office supply expected in Q4 2018
Leasing is expected to see a strong momentum, growing at an annual rate of 5-6% on the back of
consistent demand from IT-BPM, co-working and consulting sectors
The dearth of fresh supply amidst strong demand is likely to firm up rentals by 2-4% in SBD and
Andheri-Kurla Road by the end of 2018.
RentalsVacancyAbsorption
Office
Leasing Vacancy Rentals
Mall leasing is expected to gain traction in select submarkets such as Lower Parel, Link Road (Andheri W)
and Ghatkopar, resulting in rentals moving upwards owing to limited supply.
Main street rentals in BKC and Chembur are expected to firm up as demand strengthens amidst limited supply.
Retail
Residential Overview
Delhi-NCR
4
New unit launches decreased by 6% q-o-q during
Q3 2018 at 1,995 units. However, on a year-on-year
(y-o-y) basis, this was an increase of more than two
times reflecting the gradual shift towards new
project launches, even though the unsold inventory
in Delhi NCR continues to remain high.
The submarkets of Noida Expressway (Sector
150) and Greater Noida West in Noida constituted
48% of the total new launches during the quarter.
Gurugram which accounted for 46% of the new unit
launches noted activity in the micro-markets of
Dwarka Expressway and IFFCO Chowk.
Mid segment had a share of 59% in new unit
launches during the third quarter, while the rest
were in the high-end segment.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
For details on project launches, refer Annexure
The values in the legend are in INR/sf.
Rationalization of unit launches
*Capital values have been recalibrated historically
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Average Capital Values – High-End Segment (INR '000/sf)
South-West
South-East
Gurugram*
South-Central
Noida
Central
38.0 – 53.0
24.0 – 35.0
11.0 – 16.5
25.7 – 43.0
7.5 – 9.0
60.0 - 90.0
32.0 – 49.0
24.0 - 35.0
*10.0 – 16.2
25.0 - 43.0
7.0 – 9.0
60.0 - 90.0
32.0 – 51.0 32.0 – 51.032.0 – 49.0
24.0 - 35.0 24.0 - 35.024.0 - 35.0
10.0 – 16.2 10.0 – 16.210.0 – 16.2
25.0 - 45.0 25.0 - 45.025.0 - 43.0
7.0 – 9.0 7.0 – 9.07.0 – 9.0
60.0 - 95.0 60.0 - 95.060.0 - 90.0
2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Average Capital Values – Mid Segment (INR '000/sf)
South-East
South-Central
Gurugram*
Noida*
Location
4.5 - 9.0* 4.5 - 9.0* 4.5 - 9.0 4.5 - 9.04.5 - 9.0
20.9 – 25.7
23.8 – 33.3
4.0 – 6.5*
20.0 – 25.0
23.8 – 33.3
4.0 - 6.5*
20.0 – 25.0 20.0 – 25.020.0 – 25.0
23.8 – 33.3 23.8 – 33.323.8 – 33.3
4.0 - 6.5 4.0 - 6.54.0 - 6.5
Share of launches in price segments
36%
59%
41%
54% 52%
80%
24%31%
10%17% 20%
70%
6%
2016 2017 Q1 ‘18 Q2 ‘18 Q3 ‘18
< 2,800 2,801 - 8,000 8,001 - 20,000 > 20,000
Location 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
5
Launches – segment-wise across submarkets (%)
0%
0%
0%
0%
24%
100%
0%
76%
0%
Delhi
Gurugram
Noida
0%
0%
0%
0
924
100
Submarkets Affordable Mid High-end Luxury Total (Number of units)
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
KEY TO SUBMARKETS:
Gurugram: Excludes Manesar, Sohna
Noida: Excludes Greater Noida, Noida Extension
% indicates proportion of unit launches in different segments within a submarket.
Steady demand conditions kept the average capital
values largely similar across most submarkets during
the third quarter. However, certain micro-markets in
Gurugram like Golf Course Extension Road witnessed
a 3 – 4% q-o-q increase in capital values, especially as
the area is observing construction progress & project
completions. Rental values in South Delhi increased
by 12% on a q-o-q comparison for the mid segment
properties and by 4 – 6% for the high-end segment
owing to higher demand for rented properties in the
area.
New completions were noted in the micro-
markets of Noida Expressway, Sector 79 in Noida
during the quarter. As developers continued to
remain focused on construction of existing projects,
several micro-markets like Greater Noida West and
Noida Expressway in Noida and Golf Course Extension
Road, Dwarka Expressway and New Gurugram sectors
in Gurugram are likely to witness new completions in
the upcoming quarters.
Delhi Development Authority approved the Land
Pooling Policy in Delhi (approval awaited by Ministry
of Housing and Urban Affairs). Under the scheme,
DDA will pool land parcels owned by individuals /
developer, and return the land parcel upon
development of infrastructure. The policy, which will
replace the process of land acquisition, will release
land parcels for development in urban extensions of
Delhi, and increase the supply of organized housing
in the city.
Residential
Launches Buyer sentiment Price
New unit launches expected to remain largely range-bound in the upcoming quarter.
Capital prices across submarkets to remain broadly similar due to a high unsold inventory.
Sales are likely to increase on a gradual basis with improvement in the buyer sentiment.
Outlook
6
Office
Absorption Vacancy Rentals
Gurugram and Noida are expected to see addition of new supply of around 1.9 msf in the next quarter,
44% being in Golf Course Extension Road.
Leasing is likely to remain strong in the next quarter, with non-CBD region of Gurugram expected to
lead the office transaction activity.
Overall city rents are likely to remain largely stable in the upcoming quarter.
Retail
Rentals across malls and main streets are expected to maintain status quo in the upcoming quarter
owing to stable demand.
Apparels, lifestyle and F&B brands are likely to be the major demand drivers for retail spaces.
Vacancy RentalsLeasing
Residential Overview
Bengaluru
7
Launches were at about 10,910 units in the third
quarter of 2018, an increase by 1.9 times from the
previous quarter.
Over one-third of the launches in the current
quarter were contributed by North Bengaluru
followed by the South submarket (26.4%).
The affordable segment showed a surprising
increase, accounting for 54% of new launches, followed
by 38% contribution by the mid segment.
Majority of the developers though are still focused
on completing ongoing projects while also clearing
out their unsold inventory.
Share of launches in price segments
Rationalization of unit launches
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
For details on project launches, refer Annexure
The values in the legend are in INR/sf.
17%
54%
38%
8%
77% 80%
81%
13%13%
6% 5%19%
87%
0%
1% 2% 0% 0%
2016 2017 Q1 ‘18 Q2 ‘18 Q3 ‘18
< 2,800 2,801 - 8,000 8,001 - 20,000 > 20,000
Central
South East
North
East
South
Off Central I
South West
Off Central II
North West
4.5 – 6.75
7.0 – 10.0
4.5 – 6.5
5.0 – 7.0
7.0 – 11.0
6.5 – 8.5
6.5 – 7.5
10.0 - 12.5
4.3 – 6.0
4.5 – 6.75
7.0 – 10.0
4.5 – 6.5
5.0 – 7.0
7.0 – 11.0
6.5 – 8.5
6.5 – 7.5
10.0 – 12.5
4.3 - 6.0
4.5 – 6.75
7.0 – 10.0
4.5 – 6.5
5.0 – 7.0
7.0 – 11.0
6.5 – 8.5
6.5 – 7.5
10.0 – 12.5
4.3 - 6.0
4.5 – 6.75
7.0 – 10.0
4.5 – 6.5
5.0 – 7.0
7.0 – 11.0
6.5 – 8.5
6.5 – 7.5
10.0 – 12.5
4.3 - 6.0
4.5 – 6.75
7.0 – 10.0
4.5 – 6.5
5.0 – 7.0
7.0 – 11.0
6.5 – 8.5
6.5 – 7.5
10.0 – 12.5
4.3 - 6.0
Location 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Average Capital Values – Mid-End (INR '000/sf)
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Average Capital Values – High-End Segment (INR '000/sf)
Central
South
Off Central
North
East
Central
7.5 - 11.5 7.5 - 11.57.5 - 11.5
18.0 - 21.0 18.0 - 21.0 18.0 - 21.0
7.5 - 11.5
18.0 - 21.0
18.0 - 21.0
7.5 – 11.5
8.5 - 12.0
6.5 - 10.0
7.5 - 11.5
18.0 - 21.0
18.0 - 21.0
7.5 – 11.5
8.5 - 12.0
6.5 - 10.0
18.0 - 21.0 18.0 - 21.018.0 - 21.0
7.5 – 11.5 7.5 – 11.57.5 – 11.5
8.5 - 12.0 8.5 - 12.08.5 - 12.0
6.5 - 10.0 6.5 - 10.06.5 - 10.0
Location
8
Submarkets Affordable Mid High-end Luxury Total (Number of units)
Launches – segment-wise across submarkets (%)
29%
44%
100%
72%
0%
0%
71
56%
0%
0%
0%
0%
% 0%
0%
0%
28%
0%
100%
North
East
North West
South
Cental
South East
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
3625
2418
1651
2879
72
265
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
KEY TO SUBMARKETS:
North: Hebbal, Bellary Road, Yelahanka, Doddaballapur Road, Hennur Road, Thanisandara Road, Hebbal, Jakkur, Devanahalli
East: Marathahalli, Whitefield, Old Airport Road, Old Madras Road, Budigere Cross, Whitefield, Old Airport Road
North-west: Malleshwaram, Rajajinagar, Tumkur Road, Malleshwaram, Rajajinagar, Yeshwantpur
South: Jayanagar, J P Nagar, Kanakapura Road, Bannerghatta Road, BTM Layout, Banashankari, Koramangala
Central: Brunton Road, Artillery Road, Ali Askar Road, Cunningham Road, Lavelle Road, Palace Cross Road, Off Cunningham Road, Ulsoor Road, Richmond Road, Sankeys Road
South-east: Sarjapur Road, Outer Ring Road (Marathahalli- Sarjapur), HSR Layout, Hosur Road
% indicates proportion of unit launches in different segments within a submarket.
At 25% each, North and South East sub markets had
the most number of under-construction projects. These
were spread across the locations of Thanisandra
Road, Hebbal, Hennur, Kogilu, Yelahanka, Devanahalli
in North and Harlur road, Sarjapur road, Hosur road in
South East.
Around 4,582 units were completed this quarter
and 34% of these completed units were in the East
submarket, in locations like Old Madras Road,
Whitefield etc. This was followed by the North West
submarket which witnessed 27% of the overall
completions in Q3 2018.
The capital values in both the high-end and mid
segments remained largely range-bound with
slower pick-up in sales.
Residential
Buyer sentiment PriceLaunches
Launches are expected to increase despite slower growth in sales and the large unsold inventory levels.
Prices are expected to remain stable and buyers are can make the best of available offers.
Outlook
9
Office
Absorption RentalsVacancy
About 4.6 msf is expected to be operational in the last quarter of 2018.
Quoted rents remained stable across most submarkets during the quarter. However, they are expected
to strengthen owing to the robust demand momentum.
Retail
RentalsVacancyLeasing
About 0.83 msf mall space is expected to become operational in Q4 2018.
Rentals in the upcoming malls are quoted higher than market average, owing to higher demand and
limited quality supply. This is likely to push the average submarket rent upwards in the last quarter
of the year.
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