project management committee meeting washington, d.c. september 21, 2004

Project Management Committee MeetingWashington, D.C.

September 21, 2004

Independent Study to Assess FutureIndependent Study to Assess FutureSavings from Mitigation, Track BSavings from Mitigation, Track B

Telephone Interview DataTelephone Interview DataPreliminary AnalysisPreliminary Analysis

2

Track BProgress to Date

3

Track B Progress - ICommunity

FEMACall w/ Region

StateVisit

Federal Visit

FEMA LetterSent

Given OK to Start Calls

Hayward, CA

11/25/03 12/15/03(Sacramento)

12/16/03(Oakland)

12/19/03 1/8/04

Jefferson Co., AL Project Impact

1/5/04 Not Planned(Clanton)

2/11/04(Atlanta)

1/15/04 2/5/04

Horry Co., SC Project Impact

1/5/04 2/18/04(Columbia)

2/13/04(Atlanta)

1/15/04 2/7/04

Freeport, NY Project Impact

2/5/04 Not Planned(Albany)

2/27/04(New York City)

3/1/04 3/11/04

Tuscola, MI

1/27/04 3/17/04(Lansing)

2/18/04(Chicago)

3/4/04 3/10/04

Jamestown, ND Project Impact

3/30/04 8/16/04(Bismarck)

4/27/04(Denver)

4/15/04 4/26/04

Multnomah Co, OR Project Impact

6/23/04 Not Planned(Salem)

8/2/04(Seattle)

7/15/04 8/9/04

Orange, CA

Pending Pending Pending Pending Pending

Fort Walton Bch., FL Pending Pending Pending Pending Pending

Mandeville, LA Pending Pending Pending Pending Pending

4

Track B Progress - IICommunity

Given OK to Start Calls

Interviews Completed

CommunityVisited

BCA DataCollected

Bibliography Created

Hayward, CA

1/8/04 3/12/04 1/22/04 Complete Complete

Jefferson Co., AL Project Impact


Horry Co., SC Project Impact


Freeport, NY Project Impact


Tuscola, MI


Jamestown, ND Project Impact

4/26/04 7/25/04 8/17/04 Complete Pending

Multnomah Co, OR Project Impact

8/9/04 In Process Pending Complete Pending

Orange, CA

Pending Pending Pending Pending Pending

Fort Walton Bch., FL Pending Pending Pending Pending Pending

Mandeville, LA Pending Pending Pending Pending Pending

5

Track BProcess Data

6

Informant Participation Status

88

67

52

0102030405060708090

100

# In

divi

dual

s

Referred Approached Interviewed

7

Informant Participation Status by Community

15

21

10 10

1517

1311

79

12

15

7

10

67

11 11

0

5

10

15

20

25

Hayward

Jefferson Co.

Horry Co.

Freeport

Tuscola

Jamestown

Referred Approached Interviewed

# In

div

idu

als

8

Reasons Informants WereNot Approached (n=21)

• Likely bias (e.g., State Hazard Mitigation Officer, Federal Hazard Mitigation Officer)

• Insufficient/inaccurate contact information

• Individual working outside of the country/moved/retired

• Interviews already completed for community

• Job title/role suggests minimal contribution to study– Approved by Track B team leader

9

Informant Referrals by Community FAKE DATA

02468

101214161820

Hayward

Jefferson Co.

Horry Co.

Freeport

Tuscola

Jamestown

# R

efer

rals

Avg. Referrals per Person Tot. Individuals Referred

10

Total Number of Contacts Needed to Complete Interviews

(Includes Telephone, Mail, Fax, Email)

98

69

50

8193

79

7 10 6 7 11 11

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Hayward

Jefferson Co.

Horry Co.

Freeport

Tuscola

Jamestown

(n )

Total Contacts Interviews

11

Index Informants

• Key individuals with knowledge of mitigation activities within the community

• Identified based on:

– FEMA recommendation

– Preliminary data analysis

• Provided research staff with names and contact information of potential informants

• Provided local “endorsement” of study

12

Acting AssistantCity ManagerREFUSED2/3/04

Assistant Director of Public WorksINTERVIEWED 1/27/04 1

City Manager, Originally agreed Then REFUSED 1/30/04 1

Dir. Public WorksINTERVIEWED 2/9/04

Chief BuildingInspectorREFUSED 2/5/04

Associate CivilEngineerINTERVIEWED2/11/04

SeniorPlannerREFUSED 2/5/04

HAZMAT ProgramCoordinatorINTERVIEWED 2/18/04

Fire ChiefREFUSED2/5/04

Emergency OperationsREFUSED 2/9/04

Division Head of Water FacilityINTERVIEWED 2/19/04

1 Index Informant2 Independent Network

Director, Community &Economic DevelopmentINTERVIEWED 3/12/04 2

Public Information OfficerINTERVIEWED 3/12/04 2

Flow Chart of InterviewNetwork in Hayward

FEMA

Deputy Publicity Dir. for UtilitiesNot Approached

Cal State HaywardNot Approached

13

FEMA

Director, County EMAInterviewed 1

3/1/04

1 Index Informant

Flow Chart of InterviewNetwork in Jefferson Co.

CountyCommissionerInterviewed 1

3/4/04

Director, Land DevelopmentInterviewed 3/4/04

Land Development eInterviewed 2/24/04

Land Development prInterviewed 2/17/04

Former City Planner, Consultant Interviewed 2/23/04

Admin. Assistant,County EMA Interviewed 2/24/04

City NFIPNot Approached

Director, Inspection ServicesNot Approached

County GIS ManagerNot Approached

CountyCommissionerRefused 3/8/04

Dir., Local Land TrustInterviewed 3/4/04

Fire Chief, City of TarrantNot Approached

Auburn UniversityNot Approached

USGSNot Approached

Dir. of County Inspection ServicesNot Approached

State Hazard Mitigation OfficerNot Approached

President, Local Engineering CompanyInterviewed 3/10/04

Hydrologist, Local Engineering CompanyInterviewed 3/10/04 County EMA

Not Approached

County EMANot Approached

14

FEMA

1 Index Informant

Flow Chart of InterviewNetwork in Horry Co.

Emergency Planner,County EMDInterviewed 1

2/18/04

Director, Emergency ServicesCounty Red Cross ChapterInterviewed 3/19/04

Meteorologist, Local Television StationInterviewed 3/1/04

Public Safety Director,County EMDInterviewed 2/25/04

Property Manager, County EMDInterviewed 3/2/04

Professor, Civil Engineering Department, Clemson UniversityInterviewed 2/23/04

National Weather ServiceNot Approached

Head Building Official,City of ConwayNot Approached

Fire Chief,County Fire DepartmentRefused 3/8/04

Director, County Storm Water ManagementNot Approached

15

FEMA

1 Index Informant

Flow Chart of InterviewNetwork in Freeport

Grant Administrator,Public WorksInterviewed 1

3/23/04

Floodplain Manager,Superintendent of Buildings, Mitigation CoordinatorInterviewed 3/18/04

Manager,Public WorksInterviewed 3/16/04

Village Trustee; Owner, Local Insurance AgencyInterviewed 3/23/04

Business Owner, Local Marine StorageInterviewed 4/14/04

Coordinator, Emergency Management TeamInterviewed 5/25/04

Director, Emergency ManagementInterviewed 4/21/04

Business Owner, Local Restaurant Refused 5/27/04

Village Trustee Refused 5/21/04

Village Engineer,Department of Public WorksNot Approached

16

FEMA

1 Index Informant

Flow Chart of InterviewNetwork in Tuscola

County Drain CommissionerInterviewed 1 4/5/04

Engineer, Local Eng. GroupRefused 4/6/04

Prog. Admin., Intercounty DrainsInterviewed 5/25/04

Lieutenant, State Police Dept.Interviewed 4/5/04

Township Mgr., TittabawasseeInterviewed 4/1/04

Engineer, Local Company Interviewed 3/25/04

Flood Specialist,City of Vassar Interviewed 4/2/04

President, Local BusinessNot Approached

Environmental Engineer,State Dept. Environmental QualityInterviewed 5/24/04

Engineer, Local Eng. GroupInterviewed 4/1/04

Preliminary Research

Manager, City of VassarInterviewed 1 3/25/04

Director, Public WorksCity of FrankenmuthInterviewed 1 4/2/04

State Hazard Mitigation Officer Not Approached

Local Construction Co.Interviewed 1 3/22/04

Engineer, Canadian CompanyNot Approached

171 Index Informant

Flow Chart of InterviewNetwork in Jamestown

City Engineer Interviewed 6/4/04

Consultant Interviewed 6/7/04

Local Red Cross ChapterInterviewed 6/18/04

Parks and Recreation Interviewed 6/30/04

State House of Reps. Interviewed 7/9/04

Weather SpotterRefused 6/4/04

Training Office, Fire Dept.Refused 6/8/04

City Fire Chief Interviewed 6/8/04

Police ChiefNot Approached

State Department of Emergency ManagementNot Approached

City AdministratorInterviewed 7/1/04

FEMA

MayorInterviewed 1

6/1/04

Director, State Dept. of Emergency Mgmt.Refused 7/6/04

Asst. City EngineerRefused 7/6/04

President, Amateur Radio Association Interviewed 6/17/04

Local Cable Services Interviewed ??/??/04

County Emergency Manager Interviewed 6/21/04

18

Interview Informant Job Titles (N=52)

70%

15%

15%

Community Official

NGO/Community Partner

Local Informant

19

Track BPreliminary Findings

20

Informant Perceptions of Community Risk

123456789

10

Quake Wind Flood

VeryLow

Very High

(n=47, n=48, n=49)

21

Percent of Informants who Believe the Community Has a Natural Hazard

Mitigation Program

83100 100 100

5060

0102030405060708090

100

% Y

es%

Yes

In your opinion, does the community have a natural hazard mitigation program? (N=47)

22

Informants’ Knowledge of the Community’s Natural Hazard Mitigation

Program

3.4

6.7

3.5

7.97.3

4.8

123456789

10

Not Very

Much

Very Much

Ave

rage

Kn

owle

dge

How much do you know about the community’s natural hazard mitigation program? (N=39)

23

Informants’ Assessment of the Community’s Natural Hazard Mitigation Program?

(Community Officials)

• Insert Sample quotes.

What is your assessment of the community’s natural hazard mitigation program?

24


(CBO/Community Partners)



25


(Local Informants)



26

Informants’ Assessment of the Appropriateness and Effectiveness of Natural Hazard Mitigation Programs

123456789

10

Appropriate Effective

How appropriate/effective do you consider these [natural hazard mitigation] efforts? (N=40)

27

Informants’ Perceptions of how the Community’s Natural Hazard Mitigation

Program Compares to Others

In your opinion, how does the community’s natural hazard mitigation program compare to natural hazard mitigation programs in other communities? (N=38)

Much Better

3.84.3

3.84.1

4.7 5

1

2

3

4

5

Hayward

Jefferson Co.

Horry Co.

Freeport

Tuscola

Jamestown

Much Worse

About the Same

ME

AN

28

Informants’ Perceptions of Benefits Provided by Mitigation Activities

Which of the following benefits were provided by [this mitigation activity]? (N=?)

29

Informants’ Perceptions of Primary Objectives/Benefits of Mitigation

Activities

What was the major objective of this activity? (N=?)

30

Informants’ Perceptions of Success Meeting Major Objectives with VS.

without Mitigation Activities

How would you rate the community’s success in meeting this [major] objective with/without this activity? (N=?)

31

Total Number of Spin-Offs: Mentioned Vs. Confirmed

3 3 3

2

0 00

1

2

3

4

5

Mentioned Mentioned and Confirmed Total Confirmed

# S

pin

-Off

s#

Sp

in-O

ffs

project management committee meeting washington, d.c. september 21, 2004

Documents

state officials

tuscola county

public information

communitygiven ok

independent study

likely bias

chief buildinginspectorrefused

minimal contribution