progressive maharashtra 2013
TRANSCRIPT
Progressive Maharashtra 2013
Economics Division, CARE Ratings
February 2013
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3
Maharashtra has for long and rightly so, donned the title of being the commercial,
financial, industrial and entertainment capital of the country. The state continues to be
the single largest contributor to the country's economy both in terms of share in the
nation's GDP as well as its contribution to the central tax account. Maharashtra is thus
strategic to the growth of India's economy and in a way has been a barometer of the
state of industry in the country. Any change in the state's economy, positive or negative
has the potential to have a multifold impact on the nation as a whole.
The Maharashtra model has been an established one which has set a template for other
states to follow. The fact that it is broad based is significant as it takes along all the
sectors of the economy. This is manifested in the leading position occupied by the state
in several crops, industry and services which makes it a favorite destination for
employment and investment. This has also acted as a pull fact or for migration as well as
enterprise at both the informal and formal levels. Also given that Mumbai is the
country's financial centre means that Maharashtra has to necessarily be the fulcrum for
the development process of the economy.
However, despite being regarded as a land of limitless opportunities, there are some
issues that need to be addressed with urgency to ensure that the state retains its
undisputed leading position. In particular, the disparity in growth and development
across the regions and districts of the state should be addressed. While few pockets of
the state have seen growth that makes them a force to reckon with in the global arena, a
large number of them can be uplifted to the same level through appropriate policy
action. Herein also lays the potential to fuel the future growth of the state's economy
as focused attention helps not only to bridge the difference in prosperity but also
elevates the overall position of the state in the growth chart. Conducive policies coupled
with timely implementation would be the key to development of these regions. The
state government has already initiated several such steps and one can see some
acceleration in them in the coming years.
Second, given the competition that is building up across states in attracting
investments, we need to have concomitant growth in the infrastructure space. Such
investments require infrastructural support and speedy clearances to make them
viable. This is another area which needs to b e addressed to ensure that investment
continues to flow to this state. The state already holds Mumbai, which is the financial
centre for the entire nation and should be leveraged for this purpose. While it is natural
for investment to seek the best environment for opportunity and returns, Maharashtra
has to gear up to remain the preferred destination. In the face of stiff competition from
the likes of Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka in attracting investments, Maharashtra will
necessarily have to provide an environment that gives it the cutting edge. Therefore,
policy focus is the need of the hour especially at a time when the overall economic
conditions in the country are not upbeat. The state government and industry should
come together to explore opportunities in the state so that resources flow in a time
Foreword
D R Dogra
MD & CEO
CARE Ratings
Rashesh Shah
Chairman & CEO
Edelweiss Group
4
bound and sustainable manner. Here, the concept of collaboration has to come in where the two segme nts work
together to take the state along.
Progressive Maharashtra is an excellent endeavour that brings together the doyens of industry, finance, academics and
administration to deliberate on the various issues and challenges confronting Maharashtra and to discuss ways of
arriving at solutions. It serves as a platform for voicing the needs and measures that need to be adopted to stimulate
and ensure sustainable growth in the state. With various governments of the state having historically been progressive
and proactive, ready to adopt viable approaches for the growth and development of the state, such a platform is widely
acknowledged as being most helpful for all the stakeholders.
This publication is a comprehensive overview of the state's economy, its various sectors and the is sues and constraints
faced by them along with probable solutions and suggestions to improve the state's econ omy. We believe that this
publication would help lead to the germination of new ideas for the state's economic growth and we remain
committed to assisting all stakeholders in this endeavour.
Rashesh Shah
Chairman & CEO Edelweiss Group
D R DograMD & CEO
CARE Ratings
5
Executive Summary
Maharashtra is undoubtedly one of the most important states of the country, being the largest state
economy of the nation. The state also enjoys the unique distinction of being the trade nucleus,
entertainment centre, financial focal point, industrial hub and investment destination of the country. It
is also blessed with nature’s bounty i.e. mineral resources, favorable climatic conditions and a diverse
topography. The state also leads in terms of overall infrastructure, has a well established and extensive
connectivity within the country and the rest of the world. It also has a large pool of skilled human
resource. All this has necessarily enabled Maharashtra to be in the forefront of industrial activity and the
service sector of India.
There are three areas that need to be covered extensively in the next stage of growth and development.
The first is reducing the disparity in growth and development across the regions and districts of the
state. Economic activity and investments are seen to be concentrated in certain belts viz. the Mumbai-
Pune-Thane belt over the years, making these regions economically more advanced and while this
region’s absorptive and industrious capacities are believed to have reached saturation points, the other
lesser developed regions are seen to be almost cut out from mainstream economic activity. For
Maharashtra to enhance its economic potential there is thus increased need to disperse the process of
economic development and its benefits across the length and breadth of the state.
Also, infrastructure has to keep pace with growing needs and which will strengthen the functioning,
productivity and efficiency across sectors, industries and establishments of the state. A more flexible
and alert administrative structure would help to incentivize businesses and new investments. This is
necessary considering that Maharashtra is also facing intense competition from proactive neighboring
states, which could pressure on the primacy of the state in the field of economic growth.
Here we present an overview of Maharashtra’s state economy, its various sectors and their prevailing
trend, the issues and challenges faced in these sectors along with a brief look at the government
measures initiated/undertaken and measures that need to be undertaken to boost growth in the
respective areas.
This publication has been divided into 8 broad sections/chapters. To start with we examine the economy
of the state i.e. its size and growth over the years, the sectoral composition and changes in these over
the years and the growth target for the coming future. We also look into the profile of the various
districts of the state in this section – population and their contribution to the state’s GDP.
Section 2 is dedicated to the state’s agriculture sector wherein we evaluate the state’s agricultural
profile, share in state economy along with growth over the years, the issues faced by this sector, the
potential for this sector and the measures required for achieving improved performance. We also have
looked at the agri-business and food processing industry of Maharashtra here – their problems and
government measures to promote the same. Thereafter, in Section 3 we have the Industrial scene in
Maharashtra wherein we look at the current state of the industrial sector here, the investments made in
the sector, the performance of the industries of the state, the state’s industrial policy and the issues,
challenges and solutions to industrial development in the state.
6
Section 4 examines the infrastructure of Maharashtra – the various physical (transportation, power,
irrigation, telecom) and social (education and health) infrastructure, in terms of availability and
shortfalls in these followed by issues pertaining to their development in order to overcome gaps in the
same. Given the growing need for development of infrastructure in the state which entails huge
investments we have also include infrastructure investments requirements and financing options in this
section. Section 5 throws light on the financial health of the state and its fiscal management over the
years. The fiscal deficit is within the FRBM norms set for the states. Also, given the relatively low level of
its debt stock, the pressure of debt-service is rather controlled for the state. Section 6 looks at monetary
environment and landscape of the state, highlighting key differentiating aspects of the state’s monetary
system.
We have identified sectors that have potential to boost the state’s economy in the future in Section 7.
The sectors listed out here include tourism, agri-business, textiles, infrastructure, education, healthcare
and telecom.
Lastly, Mumbai being the epicenter for Maharashtra in all aspects of its economy, we have dedicated a
separate section on the city in Section 8, which lists out its various advantages and challenges and the
various requirements that it has to fulfill for being an International Financial Centre.
7
Index Pg. No.
1. Maharashtra : the dynamic state 9-14
Demographic Structure & Overview of State Economy 9
Way forward : 12th
Plan Target 12
District Profile 12
2. Agriculture 15-26
State’s Agricultural Profile 15
Agriculture in GSDP 17
Agriculture and Employment 17
Issues in Agriculture 18
Agri Business 20
Food processing industry 20
Problems faced by agri business 21
Government measures so far 22
What needs to be done to boost agriculture? 24
Future action plan 25
3. Industry Scene in Maharashtra 27-46
Current state of affairs 28
Maharashtra State Industrial Policy 36
MSME Development in Maharashtra 38
Issues Challenges and Solutions to Industrial Development 39
Industrial Prospects – focus areas 43
4. Infrastructure 47-71
Maharashtra Infrastructure 47
Transportation – Roads, Railways, Seaports 49
Power 52
Irrigation 57
Telecom 62
Social Infrastructure – Education and Healthcare 64
Infrastructure Financing 67
5. Maharashtra Fiscal Overview 72-74
6. Monetary Scenario 75-80
7. Sectors with Potential for the future 81-86
8. Mumbai – the locus in Maharashtra 87-91
8
List of Exhibits
Exhibit 1.1 Economic Size and Growth 10
Exhibit 1.2 Sectoral Shift in composition of GSDP 11
Exhibit 1.3 Division wise population distribution 13
Exhibit 1.4 Division wise contribution to GSDP 13
Exhibit 2.1 Share of Agriculture in GSDP 17
Exhibit 2.2 Growth in Agriculture 17
Exhibit 2.3 Share of Workforce in Agriculture 17
Exhibit 2.4 Area under irrigation 18
Exhibit 3.1 Composition of industrial sector 29
Exhibit 3.2 Composition of new industrial investment 33
Exhibit 3.3 Composition of new industrial investment in manufacturing 33
Exhibit 3.4 Operational performance of industries 34
Exhibit 3.5 Regional distribution of MSME 38
Exhibit 4.1 Installed Capacity 53
Exhibit 4.2 Share of installed capacity from different sources 53
Exhibit 4.3 Power requirement & availability 54
Exhibit 4.4 Power supply shortage 54
Exhibit 4.5 Power supply position 55
Exhibit 4.6 Irrigation potential 58
Exhibit 4.7 Irrigation Utilization 59
Exhibit 4.8 Irrigation potential created 60
Exhibit 4.9 State wise tele density 63
Exhibit 6.1 Share of banking and insurance in GSDP 76
Exhibit 6.2 Distribution of offices of commercial banks – various states 77
Exhibit 6.3 State wise share of commercial banks offices 77
Exhibit 6.4 Distribution of offices of commercial banks – Maharashtra 78
Exhibit 6.5 State wise share of rural bank offices 79
Exhibit 6.6 State wise share of semi urban bank offices 79
Exhibit 6.7 State wise share of urban offices 79
Exhibit 6.8 State wise share of metropolitan offices 79
Exhibit 6.9 Share of deposits of commercial banks 80
Exhibit 6.10 Share of credit of commercial banks 80
List of Tables
9
Table 1.1 Sectoral composition of GSDP 11
Table 2.1 Production FY10 16
Table 2.2 Area, production & yield of food grains 16
Table 3.1 District level industrial profile 28
Table 3.2 Industrial growth 29
Table 3.3 Main industries snapshot 31
Table 3.4 New domestic investment 33
Table 3.5 State wise operational profile of industries 35
Table 3.6 MSME clusters 39
Table 3.7 Ease of doing business 42
Table 4.1 Maharashtra infrastructure at glance 48
Table 4.2 Road network in Maharashtra 49
Table 4.3 Rural connectivity 50
Table 4.4 Railways 51
Table 4.5 Electricity tariff 55
Table 4.6 Power loss 56
Table 4.7 Maharashtra – Irrigation at glance 58
Table 4.8 No of projects 59
Table 4.9 State wise no of telecom connections 62
Table 4.10 Details of VPT in leading states 63
Table 4.11 Education – Infrastructure 65
Table 4.12 Health indicators 66
Table 4.13 Sector wise project investment in infrastructure 68
Table 5.1 Government finances 72
Annexure
3.1(a)
District-level industrial profile 92
10
1. Maharashtra: the dynamic state
Maharashtra, often called the “financial and commercial capital of India”, is undoubtedly one of the
most important states of the country. The state is not only large in terms of land area but more crucially
also in terms of its contribution to the country as a whole.
With a gross state domestic product (GSDP) of Rs 805,031 crore as of FY12, Maharashtra is the largest
state economy in the country, accounting for more than 15% of India’s GDP. The state has registered a
robust annualised compound growth rate of nearly 8.0% in the last five years (FY08-12). It is also one of
the better performing states of the country in terms of per capita GSDP (Rs 70,885 as of FY12). The
average for the country is Rs 46,555 that may be broadly reflective of micro-level welfare.
Maharashtra is a front-runner in industrial activity and the service sector space in the country. The state
accounts for 17.7% of the country’s industrial output and 16.2% of its services sector output.
Undoubtedly, Maharashtra is hence, the largest contributor to the central pool of taxes. It accounts for
more than 60% of corporate tax collection in the country, directly contributing to augmenting the
revenue base of the central government as well.
The state additionally, has considerable mineral resources, has suitable geographical and climatic
conditions for development of agriculture, is extensively connected within the country and with the rest
of the world (be it in terms of physical infrastructure of rails, road and air or in terms of
telecommunications) and is backed by large skilled human resource pool ideal for the development of
knowledge-based services industries.
Maharashtra enjoys a unique position of being a trade nucleus, entertainment centre, financial focal
point, industrial hub and investment destination of the country. Despite these advantages, however, the
state is slowly seen to lose its prime slot consequent on weakening internal set-up and competition from
other proactive states of the country. With all the dynamism that lies within the state of Maharashtra,
all the state needs is a revival push to change its economic landscape and through its contribution, of
the country at large.
This publication examines the opportunities that lie ahead of the state of Maharashtra, whilst examining
new approaches and thrust areas that may provide the essential boost for the state to move onto a
higher sustainable growth trajectory.
Demographic Structure
The state of Maharashtra is located on the west coast of the Indian Territory. Spread over an expanse of
about 307,731 square km, Maharashtra is the third largest state in the country (in terms of area),
accounting for more than 9% of India’s total land area.
In terms of population, the state is the second most populated in the country after Uttar Pradesh. Mid-
year population (July 1, 2012) estimates suggest that Maharashtra was home to 115 million persons. The
urban-rural composition of the state is in the 45:55 ratio. The state has registered a birth rate of about
18 persons per 1000; although lower than the national level (of about 22 per 1000), the same remains
high. Literacy rate in the state stands at a high level of 82.9%, well above the all-India level of 74.0%,
11
however considerably less when compared with the state of Kerala that has the highest literacy rate of
99.39% in the country. This characteristic of the population of Maharashtra is backed by a large base of
skilled and industrial labour.
Overview of State Economy
Maharashtra is one of the largest and strongest growing state economies in the country. The state has
clocked an encouraging compound annualised growth of 7.9% over the last 5 years (FY08-FY12), higher
than even the national average of 7.5% during the same period.
Exhibit 1.1 provides a comparative picture of economy size (measured by gross state domestic product
(GSDP)) and growth in some major states of the country and India as a whole.
States such as Gujarat and Tamil
Nadu are relatively smaller in
size, but have grown at much
higher rates of 9.6% and 8.1%
during this period. With a GSDP
of Rs 805,031 crore (Rs 1,448,453
crore in current prices) in FY12,
the state grew by 8.5% during
the year over FY11 (higher than
its CAGR of 7.9% during the
period FY08-12).
Exhibit 1.1: Economic Size and Growth (FY08-12)
*Date till FY11; Source: CMIE
Sectorally speaking, industry and services sector together are the major contributors to GSDP of the
state. Industrial output accounted for 31.0% of GSDP, with industry in the state touching growth of 9.1%
during FY12. The services sector on the other hand, has 61.7% share in Maharashtra’s GSDP, growing at
a rate of 10.1% in FY12. The agricultural sector in the state has however, not recorded extraordinary
performance on similar lines as industry and services. Share of agriculture and allied activities in GSDP,
has consistently been declining over the years, remaining small at 7.4% in FY12. It is not just a
contraction of share in total output, but also considerable fluctuation and indeed contraction in growth
rate of this sector that is a concern for the state, given the dependence of a large segment of its
population on this sector. Growth in primary activities stood at a negative 5.1% in FY12 (over a high base
of 15.6% in the previous year). Looking at the fluctuations in growth in the sector one would hence,
conjecture that productive activity in this sector is heavily influenced by extraneous factors, in this case
the monsoons.
7.47.9 8.1
7.3
9.6
6.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
(%)
Rs
cro
re
GSDP CAGR
12
Table 1.1: Sectoral Composition of GSDP (Rs crore)
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Agriculture & allied 63,642 53,808 54,250 62,709 59,501
Share in GSDP (%) 10.7 8.8 8.1 8.5 7.4
Growth rate (%) 13.8 -15.5 0.8 15.6 -5.1
Industry 189,333 187,322 205,980 228,290 249,168
Share in GSDP (%) 31.8 30.7 30.9 30.8 31.0
Growth rate (%) 11.7 -1.1 10.0 10.8 9.1
Services 341,857 369,062 405,894 450,695 496,363
Share in GSDP (%) 57.5 60.5 60.9 60.8 61.7
Growth rate (%) 10.5 8.0 10.0 11.0 10.1
GSDP (constant
prices) 594,832 610,191 666,123 741,694 805,031
Growth rate (%) 11.3 2.6 9.2 11.3 8.5
*Source: CMIE
The shift in sectoral composition of GSDP for Maharashtra becomes more perceptible in Exhibit 1.2.
There has been a clear movement of economic activity away from agriculture and allied activities and
towards industry and the services sector. Share of agriculture in GSDP stood at 10.8% in 2004-05, which
has consistently declined to 7.4% as of 2011-12. Production in the agricultural sector is greatly limited by
low coverage of irrigation and higher dependence on monsoons in the state. Commensurately, share of
industry has increased to 61.7% in 2011-12 (from 59.6% in 2004-05) and share of services has increased
to 31.0% in 2011-12 (from 29.6% in 2004-05).
Exhibit 1.2: Sectoral Shift in Composition of GSDP
*Source: CMIE
10.8%
29.6%
59.6%
2004-05
Agriculture & allied
Industry
Services
7.4%
31.0%
61.7%
2011-12
13
Way Forward: 12th
Plan Targets of Maharashtra
The targets set by the state for the 12th
plan period (2012-17) are largely in line with the existing
direction of growth of the state, but requires considerable effort at consolidating growth in the various
sectors. Overall growth for the state during the 12th
plan period has been set at 10.5%, higher than the
current growth rate of 8.5%. This pace of growth is expected to be supported by considerably higher
growth 4% in the agricultural sector, coupled with 11% growth in industry and services sector each.
The greatest challenge in this regard would be the revival of the agriculture sector. Growth in this
segment contracted in FY12 and indeed continues to be a gamble of monsoons, given that more than
80% of agricultural land in the state is rain-fed. Uncertain, delayed and uneven spread of monsoons is
bound to negatively impact agricultural output. In this regard, the state plans to initiate the “Dryland
Farming Mission”, with additional 100 lakh hectares expected to be brought under the ambit of
protective irrigation in the state. The state may also develop agro-based industries in order to add and
enhance value along the production chain. Existing output may hence be better utilised, thereby
promoting growth in the primary sector of the state.
The state has immense potential to push industrial growth to the target 11.0% during this period. The
said target is hence achievable, however it requires concerted efforts to attract and retain industrial
investments in the state. Provision of adequate infrastructural facilities would prove to be a critical input
to overall industrial growth and development. Increased operations in dedicated industrial
zones/clusters and the Delhi Mumbai Industrial Corridor, thereby greatly enhance prospects for the
state of Maharashtra.
Growth in the services sector is already in double-digits. The state being a major trade hub and financial
centre, a target growth of 11% is easily attainable. Indeed, agricultural and industrial activity is bound to
increase demand for derived services as well, that would boost growth in the tertiary sector of the state.
Along with banking continuing to remain a major service, sectors such as tourism, healthcare and
education are expected to be potential thrust areas.
Maharashtra: District Profile
The state of Maharashtra is administratively divided into 6 divisions covering 35 districts. These 6
divisions are – Konkan (Mumbai, Mumbai Suburban, Thane, Raigad, Ratnagiri and Sindhudurg), Pune
(Pune, Satara, Sangli, Solapur, and Kolhapur), Nashik (Nashik, Dhule, Jalgaon, Ahmednagar, and
Nandurbar), Aurangabad (Aurangabad, Jalna, Latur/Lattalur, Nanded, Osmanabad, Parbhani, Hingoli,
and Beed), Amravati (Amravati, Akola, Washim, Buldhana and Yavatmal) and Nagpur (Nagpur,
Chandrapur, Wardha, Bhandara, Gondia, and Gadchiroli).All the 35 districts have diverse demographic
and economic profiles. Select districts, namely Mumbai, Thane, Pune, Nagpur and Nashik have
historically been centres of concentration and have thus seen higher levels of growth and development.
Here we provide a broad profile of the districts of the state, based on population and economic growth.
14
Population
As per the 2011 census, the state of
Maharashtra registered a population of 112
million, with a compound annualised growth
rate of 1.5% over the previous census of 2001.
The Konkan division is the most populated
region of the state, being home to 25.5% of
the state’s population. The Pune division is the
next populated (20.9%), followed by
Aurangabad division (16.7%), Nashik division
(16.5%), Nagpur division (10.4%) and Amravati
division (10.0%).Going by districts, Thane is the
most populated, accounting for 9.8% of the
state’s population, followed by Pune (8.4%),
Mumbai suburbs (8.3%), Nashik (5.4%) and
Nagpur (4.1%).
Exhibit 1.3: Division-wise population distribution (as of 2011)
*Source: Census 2011
GSDP and Income
The highest contribution, of nearly 41.0%,
towards the state’s GSDP coming from the
Konkan Division (Mumbai City & Suburbs,
Thane, Raigad, Ratnagiri and Sindhudurg).
Within the Konkan division itself, there is
considerable disparity in contribution to
economic output. The Mumbai region alone
(city + suburbs) accounts for about 56.0% of
Konkan Division GDP. The Mumbai region
along with Thane together has a share of
nearly 89.0%.
Exhibit 1.4: Division-wise contribution to Maharashtra’s
GSDP (as of 2011)
*Source: Economic Survey, 2011-12
Konkan
Div
(25.5%)
Nashik Div
(16.5%)
Pune Div
(20.9%)
Aurangab
ad Div
(16.7%)
Amravati
Div
(10.0%)
Nagpur
Div
(10.4%)
Konkan
Div
(40.7%)
Nashik Div
(12.5%)
Pune Div
(22.1%)
Aurangab
ad Div
(9.6%)
Amravati
Div (5.9%)
Nagpur
Div (9.2%)
15
Going by districts, there appears to be more perceptible demarcations in terms of economic growth. The
Mumbai-Thane-Pune belt of the state has historically been the most industrialised and most developed
region of the state. Aggregate gross district domestic product (GDDP) of these three districts together
stood at Rs 427,800 crore in FY11 (constant terms) i.e. 47.7% of Maharashtra’s GSDP. The Nashik and
Nagpur districts are the next most developed/industrialised regions. The five districts put together
account for 57.7% of the state’s output.
Given the population profile and GDDP of the various districts of the state, income disparities are rather
inevitable to notice. The Mumbai region (City + Suburbs) is the richest region of the state, registering a
per capita income of Rs 141,138, followed by Thane (Rs 125,562), Pune (Rs 121,033), Nashik (Rs 54,512)
and Nagpur (Rs 51,336). It may be noted that within these affluent regions as well, the Mumbai-Thane-
Pune belt is considerably better off when compared with the other two regions of Nashik and Nagpur.
The concentration of economic activity and capital investments in the belt over the years has made this
zone, economically more advanced. However, while the developed and affluent Mumbai-Thane-Pune
belt has now reached near saturation point with regard to its absorptive and industrious capacities;
other less developed regions of the state have been rather cut off from concerted mainstream
development efforts. In order for Maharashtra, to revive and enhance its productive potential, there is
increased need to disperse the process of economic development and its benefits across the length and
breadth of the state.