progress report oct 2012 – mar · pdf fileprogress report oct 2012 – mar 2013 ......

Improvements in the Harmonized Seismic

Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries

(SfP Project Number 984374)

PROGRESS REPORT Oct 2012 – Mar 2013

Submitted to the

Science for Peace and Security Programme

Public Diplomacy Division

NATO

Zeynep Gulerce, Ankara, Turkey, NPD Radmila Salic, Skopje, FYR Macedonia, PPD

PROJECT CO-DIRECTORS :

Neki Kuka, Tirana, Albania Hazim Hrvatovic, Ilidza, Bosnia and Herzegovina

Snjezana Markusic, Zagreb, Croatia Jadranka Mihaljevic, Podgorica, Montenegro

Vladan Kovacevic, Belgrade, Serbia

April 2013

Improvements in the Harmonized Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries SfP-984374

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

PAGE List of Abbreviations used in the Project Plan........……………………………… 02

1. Project Co-Directors……………...........................................................…….. 02 2. Technical Progress………..……...........................................................…….. 03

2.1 Albania………………………………………………………………. 04 2.2 Bosnia and Herzegovina……………………………..………….. 07 2.3 Croatia…………………………….………………………..………. 08 2.4 Macedonia………………………………………………………….. 12 2.5 Montenegro...……………………………………………………….. 19 2.6 Serbia...…………………………………………………………….. 22 2.7 Turkey………………………………………………………………. 24

3. Financial Status………………................................................................….… 28 3.1 SfP NATO Budget Tables….…………………..…………………. 28 3.2 SfP NATO Summary Budget Table.…………..…………………. 36

4. Equipment Inventory Records………………..………………….…………..…. 37 5. Criteria for Success Table……………………………………………..………… 38 6. Outline of the SfP Summary Report (Annex7).……………..…………………. 39


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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS USED IN THE PROJECT REPORT ARSO Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia

BB Broad Band (usually - frequency response domain of a seismic instrument)

BSHAP NATO SfP No 983054 Project acronym

COST European Cooperation in Science and Technology DGA Design Ground Acceleration DTM Digital Terrain Model

DEMA Danish Emergency Management Association

DPPI Disaster Preparedness and Prevention initiative of the EU Stability Pact

DSHA Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis

OHAZ Computer Program for Seismic Hazard evaluation based on PSHA methodology and Spatially Smoothed Seismicity Approach

EMSC Euro-Mediterranean Seismological Centre, France

EC European Commission

GIS Geographical Information System

GMP Ground Motion Prediction

GPS Global Positioning System IGEWE Institute of Geosciences, Energy, Water and Environment

IPR Intellectual Property Right

ISC International Seismological Center, Newberry

IZIIS Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology at the University "Ss. Cyril and Methodius", Skopje, FYR Macedonia

METU Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey

MSO Montenegro Seismological Observatory

MSC Mercalli-Cancani-Sieberg earthquake intensity scale

MSK Scale of Seismic Intensity (Medvedev-Sponhouer-Karnik)

ML, Mw, MS, mb, Md, Mlh, Mm - different types of magnitude definition

PGA Peak Ground Acceleration

PSHA Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis

RP Return period of a seismic event, expressed in years

UNDP United Nations Development Programme


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1. PROJECT CO-DIRECTORS Asst. Prof. Dr. Zeynep Gulerce, PhD in Civil Engineering, NPD Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey Tel: +(90) 3122107481 E-mail: [email protected] Asst. Prof. Radmila Salic, PhD Candidate, MS in Earthquake Engineering, PPD Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Seismology, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia Tel: +(389) 71311890 E-mail: [email protected]; [email protected] Prof. Dr. Neki Kuka, PhD, Project Co-Director Institute of Geosciences, Energy, Water and Environment Polytechnic University of Tirana, Rruga "Don Bosco", No. 60, Tirana, Albania Tel : +(355) 42259540 E-mail: [email protected] Prof. Hazim Hrvatovic, PhD in Geology, Project Co-Director Geological Survey of Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Ilidza, Bosnia and Herzegovina Tel: +(387)33621567 E-mail: [email protected] Asst. Prof. Dr. Snjezana Markusic, PhD in Geophysics, Project Co-Director University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia Tel: +(385)14605900 E-mail: [email protected] Jadranka Mihaljevic, Project Co-Director Montenegro Seismological Observatory, Podgorica, Montenegro Tel: +(382) 20648980 E-mail: [email protected] Vladan Kovacevic, Project Co-Director Seismological Survey of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia Tel: +(381) 113034 227 E-mail: [email protected]

mailto:[email protected]




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2. TECHNICAL PROGRESS The technical progress of each participating country is briefly summarized below: 2.1. ALBANIA According to the decisions taken in the first project workshop and kick-off meeting held in Skopje during 4-5 October 2012, the main foreseen objectives of the project for the next six month period would be as follows:

o Improvement and upgrading of the magnitude 3+ national earthquake catalogues, o Establishing of the Balkan strong motion database, o Selection of the equipment to be purchased with the project funding.

Below is shortly described the work performed by the Albanian project team during the period October 2012 – 31 March 2013 for the realization of the above project objectives. A.1 Major Accomplishments A.1.1 Upgraded earthquake catalogues of Albania During this period the Albanian project team was engaged in:

o Investigating the data for the earthquakes occurred within our territory, examining for missing or duplicate events, as well as improvement of their location and magnitude characterization.

o Investigating the catalogue completeness and identifying the possible existing gaps in the national catalogue.

o Unification of the magnitude scales and adding available earthquake metadata for the present earthquakes.

o Providing a final earthquake catalogue compatible according to the international standards.

Our upgraded earthquake catalogues were sent to Dr. Vladan Kovacevic, project co-director for Serbia, who is responsible for the compilation of a harmonized and unified earthquake catalogue of the Western Balkan Countries. Two catalogues of earthquakes occurred within Albania are prepared:

1. Catalogue of Albanian earthquakes with Ms≥4.5, for the time period 58BC-2012. This catalogue comprises earthquakes occurred within the area with geographical coordinates 39.00-43.00N and 18.50-21.50E. Part of this catalogue, covering the period 58BC-1964, includes earthquakes occurred within the area with coordinates 38.50-43.00N; 18.50-22.50E. The catalogue includes in total 715 earthquakes, from which 585 are main shocks, and 130 earthquakes are for/aftershocks.

2. Catalogue of the Albanian earthquakes with ML≥3.0, for the time period 1964-31/12/2011, sent on December 10, 2012. The catalogue contains 21536 events. Events occurred within the area with geographical coordinates [38.00-43.85N; 18.00-22.00E]. Reported magnitudes and references are given for this earthquake catalogue.

A.1.2 The unified earthquake catalog in terms of moment magnitude, MW It is evident, that compilation of a homogeneous earthquake catalog, by expressing the size of the earthquakes in a unified magnitude scale is the first step in the PSHA. Because most of GMPEs proposed recently (Akkar & Bommer 2010, Bindi et al. 2010, PEER NGA


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models 2008, etc.) use the moment magnitude, MW, it is indispensable to have a unified catalogue in terms of MW. The MW estimation was preceded by a detailed statistical investigation regarding the relationships between different magnitude scales used by the seismic networks of the region, with a view to check the magnitude consistency reported by the above mentioned agencies with the MW magnitude obtained by the centroid moment tensor solutions (Harvard CMT catalog, PDE catalogue) or from RCMT solution (INGV, ETHZ). A lot of events are also reported in the bulletins of ISC in terms of MS and Mb magnitude scales. To utilize this very useful information, two regression models enabling their conversion to the MW scale, were derived using all the data available for the BSHAP area till April 2011. MS and Mb are taken from the ISC bulletins, whereas the corresponding MW values are taken from the Harvard CMT catalog, and the RCMT catalogues of INGV and ETHZ. Two regression models are applied, the quadratic and rational. The fit is the same for both models, but the rational model is simpler and fits better for the small events. The present regional regression relations fit the data in the BSHAP area, much more closely than the relevant relations derived globally by Scordilis (2006). For the earthquakes occurred within Albanian territory we have compiled a unified earthquake catalogue in terms of MW for events with MW≥3.0. This unified catalogue will be used in further analysis and in the seismic hazard calculations. A.1.3. Establishing of the Balkan strong motion database One of the main intentions of the WP2 of the project is establishing of a strong motion database for the Western Balkan countries. The focus of the first stage is collection and database storage of accelerometric station metadata. The comprehensive survey of the existing accelerometric networks in the Western Balkan region and the station technical characteristics was realized through the dissemination and collection of a specific questionnaire prepared by the Macedonian colleagues, following the relevant discussions and agreement in the Skopje Workshop. According to this questionnaire, we have compiled and provided to Ms. Radmila Salic, responsible for the WP2 of the project, the list of our BB and SM stations along with the WGS-84 station coordinates and other useful ground motion recording station information. In the following, briefly are described the main achievements during this six-month period:

1. The inventory of the Albanian Strong Motion Network (ASMN) is prepared. This network is actually composed of twelve SMA accelerographs upgraded by the QDR digital kits, ten CMG-5TD standalone systems, and eight CMG-5T sensors.

2. Continuous real-time data transmission via satellite communication (Intelsat) to the our monitoring center in Tirana, is provided in this period for three CMG-5T strong motion sensors collocated in our existing seismic stations, namely the Peshkopia (PHP), Korça (KBN) and Tepelena (TPN).

3. During this period a project aiming implementation of the GPRS technology for ten Guralp CMG-5TD standalone accelerographic systems has been also undertaken. The intention is to establish their remote control and continuous real-time data transmission. The project is under way. Several tests have been done and the results are very promising.

4. Efforts are undertaken by our specialists to start the determination of the ground type VS30 parameter for our BB and SM stations using geophysical methods.


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A.1.4. Selection of the equipment to be purchased In the framework of NATO BSHAP project, in order to increase our monitoring capacities and to enable seismic data exchange with other project' partners, within the foreseen budget for Albania, we bought ten standalone CMG-5TD units (sensor + digitizer + DAS) and eight CMG-5T strong-motion sensors. For the CMG-5TD systems we are working to implement GPRS technology for their remote control and continuous real-time data transmission. To put in the operation the CMG-5T sensors, we need to complete them with the other components (digitizers + DAS). With the funds provided by the BSHAP project, we bought three Nanometrics Trident digitizers and some other necessary accessories, and installed three CMG-5T sensors at our VSAT stations. This investment resulted very effective, because with a minimum cost, will increased our monitoring capacities and seismic data exchange with other project’ partners. Now, using the BSHAP2 funds for Albania, we intent to buy two additional Nanometrics Trident digitizers, in order to install two of the five remained CMG-5T sensors in two other VSAT stations, sharing our existing seismographic satellite technology (Nanometrics – Canada) used in these seismic stations. This solution will further improve the real time strong-motion data collection and dissemination, making them available also for the other partners in the BSHAP2 project, and beyond. A.2 Actions to insure the implementation of results The probabilistic seismic hazard map, that is the major objective of the project, shall be adopted by the Albanian authorities as National Annex for the new design standard conform Eurocode 8. IGEO staff is working with the relevant authorities in the Ministry of Public Works and Transportation for the formulation of the necessary actions that will comprise the relevant Albanian Institutions for the EC8 implementation in our country. A.3 Milestones for the next six months Instrument deployments: Within the next six-months, deployment of two CMG-5T strong motion sensors and the Trident digitizers which will be purchased with the funds of BSHAP project should be performed. They will be installed at our VSAT stations which use the real-time satellite communications. Seismic Data Exchange: Extending of seismic data exchange using Seedlink format, with the other partners in BSHAP project (Montenegro, Macedonia, Kosovo, Serbia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Croatia), will be also our priority for the next six months. A.4. Involvement of young scientists A young researcher, Dr. Edmond Dushi, seismologist, engaged in the seismic monitoring and seismic data analysis is involved in the project. A.5 Major travels Major travels were related to participation to the first project workshop & kick-off meeting, held in Skopje during 4-5 October 2012.


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2.2. BOSNIA AND HERTZEGOVINA The participation of the Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) in the project was delayed since the beginning. We had informed the NATO SfP Project Office representatives immediately after the BiH authorities refused to sign the initial project grant letter on September 2012. Rest of the project participants agreed to start the project activities and the first project workshop was held on October 2012 in Skopje, Macedonia with no participation from BiH. Until the effective start date of the project up to this date, project participants have tried to resolve the issue by series of meetings and dialogue between the participants, BiH co-director, NPD, NATO-SfP office representatives, NATO Bosnia and Herzegovina delegates etc. However, the issue is still not resolved and no sign of progress is foreseen in the near future. After discussing the issue among the participants in the second project meeting on April 2013 (no representatives from BiH), following desicions are made:

1. BiH Co-director Mr. Hrvatovic or any other team member from BiH will be hired as independent experts using the budget assigned to BiH under the conditions listed in the Project Management Handbook.

2. Montenegrin Co-director Mrs. Mihaljevic will lead the project activities in Work Package #3 (WP3-Seismic Source Characterization) instead of Mr. Hrvatovic. The contributions of Mr. Hrvatovic in these activities will be coordinated by the WP3 leader.

3. Other institutes and participants will provide more support over the WP3 activities. A young researcher from Turkey, Ms. Marjan Vakilinezhad will help the WP3 task leader to perform sensitivity analysis for seismic sources.

4. The workshop for WP3-Seismic Source Characterization will be held in Montenegro instead of Bosnia and Herzegovina on February 2014.

5. Travels of the additional support personel and independent experts for the project meetings will be paid under the BiH budget when necessary.

6. Equipment budget of BiH might be added to equipment budget of other participants to increase the number of equipments that can be purchased and to cover a larger area for seismic monitoring.


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2.3. CROATIA A.1 Major Accomplishments Main activities of Croatian participation in the project in this period were mostly related to Croatian earthquake catalogue (A.1.1) and building a harmonized accelerometric databank for Croatia by unifying the formats of the collected strong ground motion data. (A.1.2). A.1.1 Croatian earthquake catalogue The Croatian Earthquake Catalogue (CEC) contains over 55000 earthquakes in Croatia and the surrounding areas covering the period since 373BC until today. The gathering of seismological data in Croatia has a history longer than a century with continuous instrumental observations since 1908. The CEC has been compiled using all data on earthquakes (the catalogues, macroseismic reports, seismograms, and other related documents) from the archives of the Department of Geophysics, Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb. Its first revision was described by Herak, M., Herak, D. and S. Markušić in 1996. The catalogue is routinely updated with hypocentral locations and magnitudes obtained through location procedure using all data from Croatian stations as well as those reported by other regional networks. A subcatalogue of CEC with the boundaries 41.7-46.7N and 12.7-19.7E contains data for about 47600 erthquakes (as given in Figure 1). To estimate the completeness for Croatian catalogue, the summary of the time distribution of the events since 1908 is presented in Figure 2 (the cumulative number of mainshocks vs. time). As Figure 2 implies, there are three main time intervals that are characterized with change in seismological monitoring. The first one is at the beginning of the 20th century started with Wiechert seismographs installation, second is in the mid-seventies (1975) with first considerable increasing in the number of seismological stations, and third is at the beginning of this century (2005) with further upgrading of seismographic stations with the installation of digital equipment. Improving magnitude scale for the Croatian seismographic network:

o Magnitude revision yielded new calibrating functions for local magnitudes (ML and MWA) which produce distance-independent estimates.

o A procedure for routine computation of moment magnitude using spectra of local and regional earthquakes has been established.

o The correspondence between the three magnitudes is close to 1:1 relationship. This is encouraging, promising an easy conversion from ML to MW for older events.

The Croatian Catalogue was improved by recalculations of the ML magnitude after the installation of digital seismographs in 2002. In the period 2003-2005 the new ML magnitudes are determined from station ZAG. After 2005, the magnitudes for each Croatian station were recalculated and the median magnitude was determined for each event. The Croatian BSHAP catalogue contains data for 3398 earthquakes from 373BC – 2011. The magnitude threshold is ML = 3.0. It covers all events within Croatian borders and those that are within 15 km of the border. The Croatian BSHAP catalog was submitted in December 2012, with data having root reference as agreed in Format of the BSHAP catalogue.


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Figure 1: Epicentres from the Croatian catalogue (373BC-2011)

Figure 7: Completeness levels

Figure 2: Completeness check for the Croatian earthquake catalogue A.1.2 Building a harmonized acceleromatric databank for Croatia By unifying the formats of the collected strong ground motion data a harmonized acceleromatric databank for Croatia was built. The Croatian strong motion database contains 101 records of earthquakes with magnitudes ranging 1.9 to 6.0. The locations of earthquakes recorded by accelerographs perched on Croatian territory are mostly in the Central and Southern Dalmatia and in Bosnia and Herzegovina (Figure 3). Also, the databank was improved by adding ground motion recording station information.

Completeness: 1908-1974: MC ≥ 4.0 (b = –0.86; a = 4.45) 1975-2004: MC ≥ 3.0 (b = –0.94; a = 4.88) 2005-2011: MC ≥ 2.0 (b = –0.90; a = 4.64)


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Figure 3: Spatial distribution of earthquakes recorded by the Croatian strong motion network A.2 Actions to insure the implementation of results As one of the main objectives of the project is improving the earthquake catalogue by adding recent earthquake data and unified values of magnitudes. During the past period, Croatia created new magnitude relation and improved earthquake catalogue with newly calculated values of magnitude. Another very important objective was compiling the available strong motion data, so the Croatian strong motion databank was created. All the mentioned databases are available to all participants of the project. A.3 Milestones for the next six months In the next six months of project realization, a final earthquake catalogue compatible with international standards should be compiled and unified. Special attention and care will be taken to enhance real-time seismic data exchange in a convenient and harmonized data format for future collaboration. Also, we are planning to purchase and install two accelerographs and also to participate in seismic hazard evaluation and the algorithm design. A.4 Involvement of young scientists From the beginning of the project, three young scientists (Snježan Prevolnik, Iva Dasović and Krešimir Kuk) were involved in realization of project activities. They participated in the revision of earthquake catalogues and preparing the Croatian strong motion databank. Krešimir Kuk also manages all details concerning data exchange with neighboring countries and running and operating national seismic network.


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A.5 Major travel The travels were related to the 1st Project Workshop & Kick-off Meeting in Skopje, Macedonia, 3-5 October 2012 (D.Herak, M. Herak, S. Markušić). A.6 Visit by experts/advisors and NATO consultant During the first 6 months of the Project there was no visits of foreign experts/advisors to Croatia. A.7 Visibility of SfP project All international activities of Croatian team are permanently being announced and updated on the official web site of the Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb. The project and ongoing activities were also mentioned in national news and television by Croatian project Co-Director Prof. Dr. Snježana Markušić. A.8 Technical and administrative difficulties There were no technical and administrative difficulties in project realization. A.9 Changes in personnel There were no changes in personnel at the Department of Geophysics, Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb. A.10 Changes in project plan There were no changes in project realization regarding the project plan.


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2. 4. MACEDONIA In the period October 2012 - March 2013, the Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Seismology (IZIIS-Skopje) conducted tasks compliant to methodology, project structure and activities of the adopted Project Plan. The principal activities have been focused on: (1) Improvement of the Macedonian earthquake catalogue; (2) Inventorisation of Macedonia seismic monitoring networks (weak and strong motion); (3) Assembling of Macedonia strong motion data set; (4) Survey and compilation of performance requirements and manufacturers for strong motion instrumentation to be procured; (5) Compilation of project countries seismic monitoring networks inventory (weak and strong motion); (6) Project Coordination; and (7) Organization of the kick-off and 1st project workshop in Skopje (04-05.10.2012). A.1 Major Accomplishments Main activities of Macedonian partner as stated were mostly related to:

1. Improvement of Macedonian earthquake catalogue

Figure 4: Macedonian Earthquake Catalogue 681 events (-479 to 2005)

The initial Macedonian earthquake catalogue with Mmin = 2.9 which was compiled during the first BSHAP project is under the further refinement and improvement, and will be completed according to project adopted dynamic. For testing purposes using Kijko & Sellevoll (1992) approach overall BSHAP (final version) catalogue was examined in order to be defined and tested earthquake hazard parameters. This approach allows us to utilize the historic part of catalogue, or equivalently, the largest, historic events. For testing purposes have been created synthetic catalogue for the area <38.0 deg N - 47.5 deg N> and <12.5 deg E- 24.5 deg E>, with time span 10,000 years. The synthetic data was generated according to assumption that catalogue was divided into 2 parts: extreme events and 8 sub-complete periods. Alternative 1. The BSHAP catalogue area <38.0 deg N - 47.5 deg N> and <12.5 deg E- 24.5 deg E> was divided for squares size 0.5 deg x 0.5 deg. For each square are calculated 3 parameters: mean activity rate lambda (for Mw=4.0), the b-value of


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Gutenberg-Richter and Mmax. All calculations are taking into account information about completeness of the BSHAP catalogue. The used catalogue is starting from AD 1150. The catalogue of historical events with time span -510 to 1150 was ignored.

Distribution of

Mean Activity rate lambda (for Mw=4.0) Min=0.0064; Max=0.4966

Distribution of b-value of Gutenberg-Richter

Min=0.50; Max=1.11

Distribution of Mmax Min=6.55; Max=7.62

Synthetic Earthquake Catalogue (time span 10,000 years)

Figure 5: Distribution Results | Alternative 1 Alternative 2. The BSHAP catalogue area <38.0 deg N - 47.5 deg N> and <12.5 deg E- 24.5 deg E> was divided for squares size 0.5 deg x 0.5 deg. For each square are calculated 3 parameters: mean activity rate lambda (for Mw=4.0), the b-value of Gutenberg-Richter and Mmax. All calculations are taking into account information about completeness of BSHAP catalogue. The catalogue was divided into 2 parts, extreme (the largest events, within time span -510 - 1150) and complete (8 sub complete catalogues, until 2010). The catalogue of historic events within period -510 to 1150 was included. Alternative 3. Testing with alternative division of the catalogue (longer historic catalogue -510 - 1400 and -510 - 1830) and different squares sizes is ongoing. In the following phase will be examined also the influence of pre and aftershocks on the seismic hazard parameters and compared to results obtained from the declustered earthquake catalogue.


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Distribution of

Mean Activity rate lambda (for Mw=4.0) Min=0.0009; Max=0.3676

Distribution of b-value of Gutenberg-Richter

Min=0.52; Max=1.02

Distribution of Mmax Min=6.55; Max=7.62

Synthetic Earthquake Catalogue (time span 10,000 years)

Figure 6: Distribution Results | Alternative 2

2. Inventorisation of Macedonia seismic monitoring networks (weak and strong motion)

The complete inventorisation of the Macedonia seismic monitoring networks was accomplished and accordingly systemized in GIS data base. In total 7 weak and 163 strong motion stations were archived. Every station in data base is defined by: country code; country name; network type; IR network code; FDSN network code; other network code; network operator or responsible organization; operator abbreviation; type of organization managing the network; mission of the station; station code; station name; channel code; latitude; longitude; altitude; opening date; closing date; in operation; instrument type; number of bits; amplitude maximum; timing system; acceleration triggering level; STA/LTA triggering threshold; communication


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system; interaction system; sensor; recording system; sensor orientation; sampling rate; soil qualitative description; Eurocode soil identification; Eurocode determination method; frequency of the soil fundamental mode; vs30 value; other site information (site effect or geology); reference publication on the station; instrument site; URL; earthquake waveform data availability; data formats; station installed under BSHAP.

Figure 7a: Disposition of Macedonia

Weak Motion Network

Figure 7b:

Disposition of Macedonia Strong Motion Network

Figure 7c: Disposition of Macedonia

Seismic Monitoring Networks (Integrated Map)

Figure 7d:

Stations installed under BSHAP (green triangles)

3. Assembling of Macedonia strong motion data set for testing the available Ground Motion Attenuation (GMA) relations

Identified are certain discrepancies in Macedonia strong motion data base, in particular related to reported magnitudes, station subsoil conditions and maximum horizontal accelerations. Process of rechecking and refinement is ongoing. Framework of the relational data base is established.


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4. Survey and compilation of performance requirements and manufacturers for

strong motion instrumentation to be procured The performances of strong motion instruments are defined as well as the list of reliable manufactures, on which basis the bid invitation and related documentation shall be prepared.

5. Inventorisation of BSHAP countries seismic monitoring networks Macedonia as leading country of WP-2 has finalized the compilation of the participating countries seismic monitoring networks and accordingly systemized in GIS data base. In total 73 weak (14 MNE; 12 ALB; 22 SRB; 18 CRO; 7 MKD) and 244 strong (5 MNE; 26 ALB; 42 SRB; 8 CRO; 163 MKD) motion stations were archived. Every station in data base is defined by previously explained parameters.

6. Project Coordination As PPD Country, the project coordination is undertaken at all levels.

Figure 8(a): Disposition of BSHAP countries

Weak Motion Networks (BiH not included)

Figure 8(b): Disposition of BSHAP countries

Strong Motion Network (BiH not included)


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Figure 8(c): Disposition of BSHAP countries

Seismic Monitoring Networks (Integrated Map) (BiH not included)

Figure 8(d):

Stations installed under BSHAP (BiH not included)

7. Organization of the kick-off and 1st project workshop in Skopje (04-

05.10.2012) The kick-off meeting and first project workshop has been organized in Skopje in the period 04-05 October 2012. Workshop findings and conclusions are documented in the meeting minutes. Detailed agenda is posted on NATO SfP984374 web site: http://wbalkanseismicmaps.org/index.php/meetings/project-kick-off-meeting-skopje.

Figure 9: Photos from the kick-off meeting and first project workshop, Skopje, 04-05 Oct 2012 A.2 Actions to insure the implementation of results As one of the main objectives of the project is harmonization with EU standards (i.e. Euro code 8) the collaboration with Macedonian Institute for Standardization (ISRM; http://www.isrm.gov.mk) is already established and the phase for adopting seismic hazard maps is initiated.

http://wbalkanseismicmaps.org/index.php/meetings/project-kick-off-meeting-skopje

http://www.isrm.gov.mk/


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A.3 Milestones for the next six months In the next six months of the project performance the following tasks shall be completed:

1. Improvement of Macedonian earthquake catalogue; 2. Compiling of available strong motion data and building harmonized accelerometric

data base; 3. Improving the strong motion data bank by adding ground motion station

information’s; 4. Investigation of available ground motion prediction models and their applicability to

the region; and, 5. Procurement of the SM instruments, selection of station sites and assurance of

additional budget for construction of facilities to accommodate SM instruments. A.4 Involvement of young scientists From the beginning of the project, young scientist (Ms. Irena Gjorgjeska) is involved in realization of project activities. Ms. Gjorgjeska, student at IZIIS-Skopje, is finalizing her master thesis and start with preparatory works for her PhD Thesis. A.5 Major travels The travels were related to Project workshop: Skopje, Republic of Macedonia (Project kick-off) 4-5 October 2012 (Prof. Z. Milutinovic and R. Salic). A.7 Visibility of SfP project Special Session on the BSHAP project achievements and improvements to be done will be organized in the frame of International Conference on Earthquake Engineering (29 to 31 May 2013), Skopje, Republic of Macedonia (http://www.se-50eee.org/). A.8 Technical and administrative difficulties There were no technical and administrative difficulties in project realization. A.9 Changes in personnel There are no changes in the personnel. A.10 Changes in project plan There were no changes in project realization regarding the project plan.

http://www.se-50eee.org/


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2. 5. MONTENEGRO A.1 Major Accomplishments According to the conclusions and timetable of Project Kick of Meeting, Montenegrin partner at first provided the details of MSO seismological and strong motion networks (WP2). The list included the number, type and location of weak motion instruments. For the strong motion instruments, apart from these details, the broader list involved data on instrument purpose and position in the building, foundation soil type etc. In addition, list of all earthquake (M>3.5 threshold) strong motion records that MSO stored has been delivered. Having in mind the project goal to reprocess all available strong motion data, the investigation and field trips to identified and determine the exact instrument’s positions (WGS coordinates) of once upon existing IZIIS strong motion network (1976-1985) has been performed. In respect to activities related to WP1 national catalogue MW>3.0 has been delivered. Data included: national data (covering Montenegro territory and bordering belt of app 10km width) reported as ML and converted to MW. The magnitude conversion is given according to L. Duni, N. Kuka, Sh Kuka, A. Fundo, 2010 (Towards a new seismic hazard assessment of Albania, Proceedings of XIV ECEE Ohrid, Macedonia, T1- paper No1894). As agreed provided sub catalogue covers time span from 1970 till end of 2012.

a. B)

Figure 10: a) Montenegro National Catalogue, b) Montenegro Mw>3.0 treshold subcatalogue delivered for the WP1 activities.

Further, catalogue has been de-clustered according to procedure given by Herak, 2007 (Earthquake catalogues and preparation of input data for PSHA – science or art?, BSHAP 1st Meeting, http://www.wbseismicmaps.org/Documents/Ig_Herak.pdf). Montenegrin partner provided NPD with the preliminary Pro Forma Invoice (dated from 22 October, 2012) with specification of planned equipment (and current prices included for the information) and vendor contacts.

http://www.wbseismicmaps.org/Documents/Ig_Herak.pdf


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C) D)

Figure 11: a) Main evenst catalogue Mw>3.0 1970-2012, b) Clusters of events extracted from sub catalogue Mw>3.0

A.2 Actions to insure the implementation of results So far, the former BSHAP project results have been already implemented within the Montenegro Coastal Area Management Programme. In addition, the findings of this project have been used in elaboration of Physical Plan for the Coastal Region of Montenegro currently under development (both under the auspicious of Ministry of Sustainable Development And Tourism). All the findings of current Improvement project will affect the undergoing activities on transposition of Euro codes into domestic legislations governed by the Engineering Chamber of Montenegro. A.3 Milestones for the next six months The equipment purchase should be realized. The further sensitivity analyzes on hazard results upon the earthquake and seimsotectonic data is planned. The training on processing of strong motion data is planned, as well. A.4 Involvement of young scientists Due to current restrictive employment policy in public institutions (such MSO is) no young personnel have been available to be nominated for this project. As the consequence of previous project the former SfP stipendiary Ms. Jadranka Mihaljevic successfully presented her thesis for the degree of master of science to Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Seismology, at the University “Ss. Cyril and Methodius”, Skopje. The thesis titled “Seismic Hazard of Montenegro Based on Spatially Smoothed Seismicity Approach” aimed to investigate the resulting differences in between “national” verse “regional / harmonized” approach in the seismic hazard analysis. For this purpose completeness of national earthquake data has been closely investigated and utilized in hazard calculation. The results had been compared to preliminary and final BSHAP results with respective conclusions.


Page | 21

A.5 Major travel MSO Project Co-Director traveled to Skopje to take part in Project Kick of Meeting (October 4-5, 2012.) A.6 Visit by experts/advisors and NATO consultant On the occasion of Information day & Partnership Building, held in Podgorica on January 29, 2013. In coordination with NPD and SPS Office MSO undertook co-organizing role in this event and covered expenses for invited speaker Mr Assoc. Dr. Karol Nemoga, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Bratislava, Slovakia, member of the NATO SPS Independent Scientific Evaluation Group (ISEG). MSO was visited by Ms Dr. Deniz Yüksel-Beten, Senior Science for Peace and Security (SPS) and Partnership Cooperation Advisor and Mr. Dr. Eyüp Kuntay Turmuş, NATO SPS Science Advisor. Director of Institute for Hydrometeorology and Seismology of Montenegro Mr Branislav Glavatovic welcomed guests and introduced them with capacity building that MSO experienced through previous cooperation in SPS Programme. Project Co-Director Ms Jadranka Mihaljevic informed about the current activities under the SPS No 984374 project. A.7 Visibility of SfP project Alongside with Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration of Montenegro & Ministry of Science, MSO took part in organization and financing of the event Information day & Partnership Building, held in Podgorica on January 29, 2013. The event raised significant attention in scientific community towards the opportunities of SPS Programme. In the special session devoted to experiences of co-directors from Montenegro, in particular the projects ‘Improvements in/ Harmonization of Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries (BSHAP)’ presentations were given by: Dr. Branislav Glavatović, SPS Project (‘Harmonization of Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries – BSHAP’), and Mr. Sc. Jadranka Mihaljević (‘SPS Project Improvements in the Harmonized Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries’). A.8 Technical and administrative difficulties The formal merging of former public bodies: Institute for Meteorology and Montenegro Seismological Observatory took part during last year. During their stay in Podgorica, the SPS officers were introduced with this process - merging of these institutions into joint Institute for Hydrometeorology and Seismology of Montenegro. The SPS No 984374 Project Grant Letter was signed by both directors of former Institutes (and Mr Luka Mitrovic as appointed head of Institute for Hydrometeorology and Seismology of Montenegro). A.9 Changies in personel No changes in personnel were undertaken. A.10 Changes in project plan According to project plan no financial means were planed for the NATO experts and consultants. In agreement with NPD SPS No 984374 project and SPS office the stated amount of budget is redirected to cover the expanses of travel, hotel accommodation and per diem of Mr. Karol Nemoga. Printing the posters for the event as national contribution covered MSO.


Page | 22

2. 6. SERBIA In the past six month period (October 2012 to March 2013), Seismological Survey of Serbia conducted tasks consistent to the methodology, project structure and activities of the approved Project Plan. The main goal of these tasks is preparation and compilation of the national earthquake catalogue consisting of verified data which are the first and one of the most important steps in seismic hazard assessment and preparation of the national acceleration catalogue. Within the first working package, the participants from Seismological Survey of Serbia have been working on the following tasks: survey of available catalogues; re-assessment of historical earthquakes and fulfillment of missing data; investigation of the national catalogue completeness according to accepted M = 3.0+ magnitude scales; investigation of possibilities for an unification of magnitude type. The result is draft version of the National earthquake catalogue, which has to be improved and finished in next six month period, in accordance with Project plan schedule. For the purpose of the equipment purchase, we are investigated two possibilities. We investigated certain performance requirements for the strong motion instruments and the type of instruments according to existing strong motion stations and analysis software. In the same time we are thinking for purchase one BB stations (seismometer and digitizer) because planed budget will nearly cover the price of these purchase (we are planning to transfer budget for computer equipment to the seismological equipment). As we have very good experience with Quantera digitizers (especially with Quantera Q330 digitizer) we plan to make seismological broadband (BB) station with new BB seismometer PBB 200 produced by Metrozet (Kinemetric). One of the main objectives of the Project is providing a consistent background for the Provisions harmonized with EU standards, i.e. Euro code 8. Actions taken to accomplish that objective coincide with the initiative of the Ministry for the economy and regional development in the Serbian Government for the harmonization of the building standards with EU. For that purpose, continual weakly meetings of the Commission for Observing and Activities are taking place in Serbian Engineering Chamber. Preliminary agreement was accomplished with the members of the Commission on their help in finalizing Project activities. As it is agreed on the last meeting in Skopje Seismological Survey of Serbia collect list/inventory of BB and ACC stations inclusive of coordinates, soil conditions, instrumentation type and it was presented on maps. In the ORFEUS + NERA WS witch was held in Istanbul on Nov. 12-14 Seismological Survey of Serbia have two participant and give a talk about the Serbian strong-motion network. It was nice occasion to present our project, regional monitoring capabilities and infrastructure and discuss the possibility to be part of NERA initiative. Improvement of an existing seismic station network in the region and real time data exchange is another important objective of the Project. For that purpose, exchange data with neighboring countries obtained in the past time period. Having in mind establishment of an active scientific collaboration between participating countries as an important Project objective, we enabled an insight and help in usage of our catalogues for the period of their interest to colleagues from Republic Srpska.


Page | 23

According to the Project Plan, in the next three to six months period, following tasks should be achieved: completion of the National earthquake catalogue; investigation of the existing geological, neo tectonic, remote sensing and other relevant data in the Serbia and surrounding regions for the purpose of seismic source determination; equipment purchase and deployment. After the initial meeting in October 2012, in Skopje next meeting of the working is planed for the end of February 2013 in Belgrade but it was postponed for end of April 2013 (April 25-26. 2013).


Page | 24

2. 7. TURKEY A.1 Major Accomplishments In the period October 2012 - March 2013, the Middle East Technical Univesity conducted the administrative tasks according to the project plan. The principal administrative activities can be summarized in four main headings: A.1.1. Compiling the list of strong motion and broadband equipments to be purchased: The draft list of strong motion and broadband equipments to be purchased within the budget of the project is given below. We expect a small increase in the equipment budget due to the special conditions of one of the participants (as explained in Section 2.2). After the equipment budget is finalized, the process of collecting prize offers from the vendors for each item in the list will be initialized. Table 1: The draft list of strong motion and broadband equipments to be purchased within the budget of the project.

Country Budget for Equipment Purchase (EURO)

Number of Strong Motion

Recorders

Brand for SGM Recorders Technical Details

Albania 8000 2 Trident Digitizers Nanometrics

(CMG-5T sensors) via our Nanometrics Libra VSAT.

Croatia 8500 2 Guralp CMG-5TD Macedonia 16000 4 Guralp CMG-5TD

Montenegro 16000

2 accelerometers

+ 1 high resolution recorder + equipment

Geotech (EU representative 2M Systems

B.V. Netherland

Triaxial accelerometer, model PA-23, full scale ±

4g, sensitivity 2.5v/g; High resolution recorder

SMART 24R

Serbia 18000 (20500) Digitizer + 1 BB seismometer Kinemetrics

Triaxial seismometer PBB 200S + 6 chanel digitizer

Q330 Notes: The equipment that will be purchased by participants from Serbia is a broadband seismometer. Installation, site preparation, instrument testing and connection to the national seismological network is not included to this fund.

A.1.2. Launch of the project website: The website of the project is prepared according to the NATO visual identity guidelines and launched on March, 2013 under the communication plan budget. The web address for the website is http://www.wbalkanseismicmaps.org/. The main (home) page of the website is provided in Figure 12. The documents (minutes of the meetings, presentations, reports, etc.) of the previous project is also moved to the new project website. The website will be updated after each major accomplishment during the course of the project. A.1.3. Special Session on International Conference on Earthquake Engineering (SE-50EEE): A special session to present the activities of the previous and current NATO projects for the harmonization of the seismic hazard maps in Western Balkan Countries was proposed to the conference scientific committee and got accepted. The title of the special session and the tentative titles of the presentations along with the presents is provided below. This draft version is published in the conference website and will be discussed and finalized as soon as possible.

http://www.wbalkanseismicmaps.org/


Page | 25

Title: Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries Conveners: (To be decided soon) Number of oral presentations: 6 (additional poster presentations might be expected) Oral presentations (tentative): Overview of the project activities and future work (to be presented by Dr. Zeynep

Gülerce, Turkey) BSHAP Earthquake catalogue and improvements (to be presented by Slavica

Radovanovic, Serbia) Croatian Fault-plane solutions (fps) database and re-calibration of magnitude

scales for the Croatian seismographic network (to be presented by Dr. Marian Herak, Croatia)

Strong Ground Motion Network and Database (to be presented by Radmila Salic, Macedonia)

Seismic Source Characterization (to be presented by Jadranka Mihaljevic, Montenegro)

Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Maps for Western Balkans (to be presented by Dr. Neki Kuka, Albania)

Figure 12: The main (home) page of the project website. A.1.4. Participation of Bosnia and Hertzegovina: The participation of the Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) in the project was delayed since the beginning. We had informed the NATO SfP Project Office representatives immediately after the BiH authorities refused to sign the initial project grant letter on September 2012. Rest of the project participants agreed to start the project activities and the first project workshop was held on October 2012 in Skopje, Macedonia with no participation from BiH. Until the effective start date of the project up to this date, project participants have tried to resolve the issue by series of meetings and dialogue between the participants, BiH co-director, NPD, NATO-SfP office


Page | 26

representatives, NATO Bosnia and Herzegovina delegates etc. However, the issue is still not resolved and no sign of progress is foreseen in the near future. After discussing the issue among the participants in the second project meeting on April 2013 (no representatives from BiH), following desicions are made:

1. BiH Co-director Mr. Hrvatovic or any other team member from BiH will be hired as independent experts using the budget assigned to BiH under the conditions listed in the Project Management Handbook.

2. Montenegrin Co-director Mrs. Mihaljevic will lead the project activities in Work Package #3 (WP3-Seismic Source Characterization) instead of Mr. Hrvatovic. The contributions of Mr. Hrvatovic in these activities will be coordinated by the WP3 leader.

3. Other institutes and participants will provide more support over the WP3 activities. A young researcher from Turkey, Ms. Marjan Vakilinezhad will help the WP3 task leader to perform sensitivity analysis for seismic sources.

4. The workshop for WP3-Seismic Source Characterization will be held in Montenegro instead of Bosnia and Herzegovina on February 2014.

5. Travels of the additional support personel and independent experts for the project meetings will be paid under the BiH budget when necessary.

6. Equipment budget of BiH might be added to equipment budget of other participants to increase the number of equipments that can be purchased and to cover a larger area for seismic monitoring.

A.2 Actions to insure the implementation of results The end products of this project includes the complete earthquake catalogue and acceleometric databank compatible with the international standards. These items are the main tools of seismic design of critical structures such as dams, bridges, power plants etc. in EU countries and United States. New and improved seismic hazard maps for different levels of acceptable seismic risk will also be introduced at the end of the project. These tools will be provided to the end users such as earthquake researchers, civil protection agencies, ministries responsible for seismic safety improvement and seismic risk management, and authorities for seismic design code legislation in terms of an open-to-public web site/portal. A.3 Milestones for the next six months In the next six months of the project following tasks shall be completed:

1. The equipment purchase for all participating institutes should be realized.

2. Further sensitivity analyzes on hazard results upon the earthquake and seimsotectonic data should be initiated. For this purpose, a training for young scientists on PSHA software will be organized in Albania by Prof. Dr. Neki Kuka and Ms. Jadranka Mihaljevic in September, 2013.

3. Next project meeting will be held in Croatia in September or October of 2013.

4. Specifically for the activities under WP1, following work plan is established and agreed by the participants:


Page | 27

Step Task By Date1 BSHAP-1 catalogue should be updated by

reflecting any change after 2010 (the only update is required by Croatia in this meeting)

Croatia 15 May 2013

2 Finalized BSHAP-1 catalogue should be compared to the ISC-GEM catalogue for large events for any discrepancies

Albania 1 July 2013

3 Updates to the BSHAP-1 catalogue for3.0>M>3.5 earthquakes and any earthquakes occurred between 2010-2012 should be put together using 15 km buffer zones around national borders

Croatia 15 August, 2013

4 Neighbors should check the buffer zonesand send updates to Croatia

All 1 September, 2013

5 After the catalogue is finalized, declustering and completeness check should be performed

Serb ia 1 November, 2013

6 Method of updating the catalog in the future should be proposed

Macedonia 1 September, 2013

Figure 13: Work plan fo WP1 for the next six months.

5. Specifically for the activities under WP2, following work plan is established and

agreed by the participants:

Step Task By Date1 Draft flatfile including metadata should be

compiledMacedonia 15 May 2013

2 Compiled flatfile should be compared with availab le public datasets for missing information + some statistics should be provided

Macedonia 1 July 2013

3 Possib ilities of collaboration for digitization and processing should be explored

Turkey 15 August, 2013

4 Candidate GMPEs should be selected (first pool-anything availab le globally and regionally)

Turkey 15 September, 2013

5 Site characterization data should be added

All 15 August, 2013

6 Raw data format should be decided Macedonia 1 September, 2013

Figure 14: Work plan fo WP4 for the next six months.


Page | 28

A.4 Involvement of young scientists From the beginning of the project, a young scientist (Ms. Marjan Vakilinezhad ) is involved in realization of project activities. Ms. Vakilinezhad is a graduate student at METU-Ankara, and her master thesis entitled “Effects of Seismic Source Characteristics and Ground Motion Prediction Models on PSHA Results” is directly related to the project activities. A.5 Major travels The travels were related to the first project workshop: Skopje, FYR Macedonia (Project kick-off workshop) on 4-5 October 2012 (Prof. Dr. Sinan Akkar and Asst. Prof. Dr. Zeynep Gülerce (NPD). A.7 Visibility of SfP project Three major accomplishments were realized for increasing the visibility of the project:

1. Montenegro took part in organization and financing of the event Information day & Partnership Building, held in Podgorica on January 29, 2013. The event raised significant attention in scientific community towards the opportunities of SPS Programme. In the special session devoted to experiences of co-directors from Montenegro, in particular the projects ‘Improvements in/ Harmonization of Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries (BSHAP I-II)’ presentations were given by: Dr. Branislav Glavatović, SPS Project (‘Harmonization of Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries – BSHAP’), and Mr. Sc. Jadranka Mihaljević (‘SPS Project Improvements in the Harmonized Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries’).

2. Special Session on the BSHAP project achievements and improvements is organized in the frame of International Conference on Earthquake Engineering (29 to 31 May 2013), Skopje, Republic of Macedonia (http://www.se-50eee.org/).

3. The website of the project is prepared according to the NATO visual identity guidelines and launched on March, 2013. The web address for the website is http://www.wbalkanseismicmaps.org/.

A.8 Technical and administrative difficulties The administrative difficulties in project realization, especially on the BiH participation is summarized in Section 2.2. A.9 Changes in personnel The young scientists Emre Akyüz (a former graduate student at METU-Ankara) was graduated on February 2013 and will not be able to contribute to the future project activities. Therefore, Ms. Marjan Vakilinezhad is included in the project team instead of Mr. Akyüz. A.10 Changes in project plan The possible changes in the project plan is summarized in Section 2.2.

http://www.se-50eee.org/

http://www.wbalkanseismicmaps.org/


Page | 29

3. FINANCIAL STATUS 3.1 SfP NATO BUDJET TABLES A) ALBANIA

Science for Peace - Project Management Handbook Annex 4a

ATTENTION: Project Co-Directors from NATO countries (except Bulgaria and Romania) are only eligible for NATO funding for items f-g-h !

Project number: SfP - 984374 Project short title: SfP – BSHAP2Report date: 31.03.2013 Duration of the Project 1 : 04.10.2012 - 30.09.2014

ACTUAL EXPENDITURES

FORECAST EXPENDITURES Maps for the Western Balkan Countries

Detailed Budget Breakdown (to be completed in EUR 3 )

(1) from start until 31.03. / 30.09. (current year)2

(2) for the following six

months

(3) for the following period

until project's end

Comments on changes, if any, in the financial planning compared to the approved Project Plan

(a) Equipment (A1)Nanometrics Trident Digitizers 0 7,500 0(A3) Site preparation, installation, testing and 0 500 0and connection to the national seismological

network

Subtotal "Equipment" 0 8,000 0(b) Computers - Software (B1) 2 PC laptops 1,870 130

Subtotal "Computers - Software" 1,870 130 0(c) Training (C1) Training of two younger researchers 290 2,210(C2) Study tours for two younger researchers

Subtotal "Training " 290 1,000 1,210(d1) Books and Journals (global figure) 0 0 0(d2) Publications (global figure) 0 0 0

Subtotal "Books - Publications" 0 0 0(e) Experts - Advisors 0 0 0

Subtotal "Experts - Advisors " 0 0 0(f) Travel(F1) Meetings 1,195 2,000 4,806(F2) Conferences

Subtotal "Travel" 1,195 2,000 4,806(g) Consumables - Spare parts: 495 500 505

Subtotal "Consumables - Spare parts" 495 500 505(h) Other costs and (i) stipends (specify)

Subtotal "Other costs"

TOTAL (1), (2), (3) : 3,850 11,630 6,521

CURRENT COST OUTLOOK =(1)+(2)+(3) 22,0001 Give month/year when the Project started and expected ending date. 2 Choose the appropriate date and complete the year.3 As of January 2002, grants are made in Euro (EUR) and all figures should be given in EUR.

May 2006 28

Please provide one sheet per Project Co-Director

SfP NATO BUDGET TABLE

Project Co-Director: Prof. Neki Kuka, PhD in Applied Mathematics, Albania


Page | 30

B) BOSNIA AND HERTZEGOVINA Following changes are suggested for the budget:

• BiH equipment budget (16.000 Euro) and computer budget (4.000 Euro) should be re-distributed among the other participants (except Turkey) to increase the number of equipments to be purchased for a better seismic monitoring. The total number (20.000 Euro) may be shared equally (4.000 Euro for each participant except Turkey) since cost of one strong motion equipment is approximately 4.000 Euros. This way, every participant can buy one more strong motion equipment or digitizer.

• Remaining budget (22.000 Euros) should be use to cover the travel and training costs of additional support personel from each country and the expertise cost for the BiH participants. 5.000 Euro may be added to the training budget to cover the expenses of the young researchers that will attend the training workshops to help WP2 and WP3. 10.000 Euro should be moved to the expert budget item to be used for BiH team members. Remaining 7.000 Euro might be added to the training budget temporarily and may be used to cover the travel expenses for the experts.

• As a summary: Item in the proposed BiH budget: Expenditure (in Euros) Comment

(a) Equipment. 16,000 Moved to the equipment budget of other participants except Turkey

(b) Computers - Software 4,000 Moved to the equipment budget of other participants except Turkey

(c) Training 8,000

5,000 Euro moved to the training budget of other participants

3,000 Euro moved to the Expert budget to be used for BiH experts

(d) Books - Publications 0 No change (e) Experts - Advisors 0 No change

(f) Travel 10,000

3,000 Euro moved to the travel budget of other participants

7,000 Euro moved to the Expert budget to be used for BiH experts

(g) Consumables - Spare parts: 1,500 Moved to the travel budget of other participants

(h) Other costs and (i) stipends 2,500 Moved to the travel budget of other participants

TOTAL : 42,000

• Suggested changes are reflected to the future expenditures column in the

summary budget table in Page 36 and will only be realized after the approval of NATO SfP Office.


Page | 31

C) CROATIA



Project number: SfP - 984374 Project short title: SfP - Seismic Maps Harmonization IIReport date: 11.04.2013 Duration of the Project 1 : 04.10.2012 - 04.10.2014

ACTUAL EXPENDITURES




months


until project's end


(a) Equipment (A1) Two strong motion instruments 0 8,500 0

Subtotal "Equipment" 0 8,500 0(b) Computers - Software (B1) PC, laptops and printers 100 1,500 900

Subtotal "Computers - Software" 100 1,500 900(c) Training 0 1,500 500

Subtotal "Training " 0 1,500 500(d1) Books and Journals (global figure) 0 0 0(d2) Publications (global figure) 0 0 0


Subtotal "Experts - Advisors " 0 0 0(f) Travel 1,500 2,500 4,000

Subtotal "Travel" 1,500 2,500 4,000(g) Consumables - Spare parts: 150 350 500

Subtotal "Consumables - Spare parts" 150 350 500(h) Other costs and (i) stipends (specify)

Subtotal "Other costs"

TOTAL (1), (2), (3) : 1,750 14,350 5,900


May 2006 28

FORECAST EXPENDITURES



Project Co-Director: Prof. Dr. Snježana Markušić, Zagreb, Croatia


Page | 32

D) MACEDONIA Science for Peace - Project Management Handbook Annex 4a


Project number: SfP - 984374 Project short title: SfP - BSHAP - IMPReport date: 31.03.2013 Duration of the Project 1 : 04.10.2012 - 04.10.2014

ACTUAL EXPENDITURES




months


until project's end


(a) Equipment (A1) Two strong motion instruments 0.00 16,000.00 3,000.00

Subtotal "Equipment" 0.00 16,000.00 3,000.00(b) Computers - Software (B1) Workstation 4,110.59 0.00 0.00

Subtotal "Computers - Software" 4,110.59 0.00 0.00(c) Training 0.00 2,200.00 2,189.41

Subtotal "Training " 0.00 2,200.00 2,189.41(d1) Books and Journals (global figure) 0.00 0.00 0.00(d2) Publications (global figure) 0.00 0.00 0.00

Subtotal "Books - Publications" 0.00 0.00 0.00(e) Experts - Advisors 0.00 0.00 0.00

Subtotal "Experts - Advisors " 0.00 0.00 0.00(f) Travel 1,462.02 3,537.98 5,000.00

Subtotal "Travel" 1,462.02 3,537.98 5,000.00(g) Consumables - Spare parts: 314.64 685.36 1,000.00

Subtotal "Consumables - Spare parts" 314.64 685.36 1,000.00(h) Other costs and (i) stipends (specify) 1,089.22 410.78 1,000.00

Subtotal "Other costs" 1,089.22 410.78 1,000.00

TOTAL (1), (2), (3) : 6,976.47 22,834.12 12,189.41

CURRENT COST OUTLOOK =(1)+(2)+(3) 42,000.001 Give month/year when the Project started and expected ending date. 2 Choose the appropriate date and complete the year.3 As of January 2002, grants are made in Euro (EUR) and all figures should be given in EUR.

May 2006 28




Project Co-Director: Ms. Radmila Salic, Skopje, Macedonia


Page | 33

E) MONTENEGRO



Project number: SfP - 984374 Project short title: SfP - Seismic Maps Harmonization IIReport date: 1.04.2013. Duration of the Project 1 : 04.10.2012 - 04.10.2014Project Co-Director:

ACTUAL EXPENDITURES


from start until 31.03. 2013


months


until project's end


(a) Equipment 0 19,000 0

Subtotal "Equipment" 0 19,000 0 Risen for 1.000 in respect to plan according to current prices

(b) Computers - Software 0 0 1,500 1.000 redirected to budegetary item Equipement

Subtotal "Computers - Software" 0 0 1,500 2.000 as planned

(c) Training 0 2,500 7,500

Subtotal "Training " 0 2,500 7,500 10.000 as planned

(d1) Books and Journals (global figure) 0 0 0(d2) Publications (global figure) 0 0 0


Subtotal "Experts - Advisors " 592 0 0 592EUR - Podgorica Info day: invited expert Mr. K. Nemoga

(f) Travel 721.5 2,278 5,000

Subtotal "Travel" 722 2,278 5,000 8.000 as planned

(g) Consumables - Spare parts: 0 0 908

Subtotal "Consumables - Spare parts" 0 0 908 592 EUR redirected to item Experts

(h) Other costs and (i) stipends (specify) 116 384 1,500 116 EUR - nonreturnable ticket for canceled Belgrade meeting

Stipends

Subtotal "Other costs" 116 384 1,500TOTAL (1), (2), (3) : 1,430 24,162 16,408


May 2006 28




Jadranka Mihaljevic, Podgorica, Montenegro


Page | 34

F) SERBIA



Project number: SfP - 984374 Project short title: SfP - BSHAP - IMPReport date: 31.03.2013 Duration of the Project 1 : 04.10.2012 - 04.10.2014

ACTUAL EXPENDITURES




months


until project's end


(a) Equipment (A1) Two strong motion instruments 0.00 24,500.00 0,00

Subtotal "Equipment" 0.00 24,500.00 0.00(b) Computers - Software (B1) PC, laptops and printers 0.00 0.00 0.00

Subtotal "Computers - Software" 0.00 0.00 0.00(c) Training 0.00 3,000.00 2,500.00

Subtotal "Training " 0.00 3,000.00 2,500.00(d1) Books and Journals (global figure) 0.00 0.00 0.00(d2) Publications (global figure) 0.00 0.00 0.00

Subtotal "Books - Publications" 0.00 0.00 0.00(e) Experts - Advisors 0.00 0.00 0.00

Subtotal "Experts - Advisors " 0.00 0.00 0.00(f) Travel 1,454.06 1,545.94 4,000.00

Subtotal "Travel" 1,454.06 1,545.94 4,000.00(g) Consumables - Spare parts: 0.00 500.00 500.00

Subtotal "Consumables - Spare parts" 0.00 500.00 500.00(h) Other costs and (i) stipends (specify) 0.00 500.00 500.00

0.00 1,500.00 1,500.00

Subtotal "Other costs" 0.00 2,000.00 2,000.00

TOTAL (1), (2), (3) : 1,454.06 31,545.94 9,000.00

CURRENT COST OUTLOOK =(1)+(2)+(3) 42,000.001 Give month/year when the Project started and expected ending date. 2 Choose the appropriate date and complete the year.3 As of January 2002, grants are made in Euro (EUR) and all figures should be given in EUR.

May 2006 28




Project Co-Director: Mr. Vladan Kovacevic, Belgrade, Serba


Page | 35

G) TURKEY



Project number: SfP - 984374 Project short title: SfP - Seismic Maps Harmonization II

Report date: 20 April 2013 Duration of the Project 1 : 04.10.2012 - 04.10.2014Project Co-Director:

ACTUAL EXPENDITURES


from start until 30.03. 2013


months


until project's end


(a) Equipment 0 0 0

Subtotal "Equipment" 0 0 0(b) Computers - Software 0 4,000 2,000

Subtotal "Computers - Software" 0 4,000 2,000(c) Training 0 0 0

Subtotal "Training " 0 0 0(d1) Books and Journals (global figure) 100 400 500(d2) Publications (global figure) 0 0 1,000

Subtotal "Books - Publications" 100 400 1,500(e) Experts - Advisors 0 0 0

Subtotal "Experts - Advisors " 0 0 0(f) Travel 872 5,000 6,128

Subtotal "Travel" 872 5,000 6,128(g) Consumables - Spare parts: 0 0 1,000

Subtotal "Consumables - Spare parts" 0 0 1,000(h) Other costs (website) 500 500 0

Stipends

Subtotal "Other costs" 500 500 0TOTAL (1), (2), (3) : 1,472 9,900 10,628


May 2006 28




Asst. Prof. Dr. Zeynep Gulerce, Ankara, Turkey


Page | 36

3.2 SfP NATO SUMMARY BUDJET TABLES

Project number: SfP - 984374 Project short title: SfP - BSHAP-II Improvements in the Harmonized Seismic

Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries

Report date: 4.10.12-31.03.13 Duration of the Project1:

04.10.12 – 04.10. 2014 / 2 years /

The Project is in the year: 1

Breakdown per Project Co-Director ACTUAL EXPENDITURES FORECAST EXPENDITURES

APPROVED BUDGET: Total year 1-5

CURRENT COST OUTLOOK: Total year 1 - 5

since start until 31.03.2013 of current year 2

for the following 6 months

for the following period until project's end

Comments on changes, if any, in financial planning compared to the approved Project Plan

Prof. Neki Kuka, AL 22,000 22,000 3,850 11,630 6,520.50

Prof. Hazim Hrvatovic, BIH 42,000 42,000 0.00 24,408 17,592 This budget will be re-distributed

Prof. Snezana Markusic, CRO 22,000 22,000 1,750 14,350 5,900.00

Radmila Salic, MK 42,000 42,000 6,977 22,834 12,189.41

Jadranka Mihaljevic, MNE 42,000 42,000 1,430 24,162 16,408.00

Vladan Kovacecic, SRB 42,000 42,000 1,454 31,546 9,000.00

Prof. Zeynep Gulerce, TR 22,000 22,000 1,472 9,900 10,628.00

TOTAL 234,000.00 234,000.00 16,934 138,829 78,238

Breakdown per item (to be completed in EUR 3) ACTUAL EXPENDITURES FORECAST EXPENDITURES

Prof Zeynep Gulerce Turkey

APPROVED BUDGET: Total year 1-2

CURRENT COST OUTLOOK: Total year 1-2

since start until 31.03.2013 of current year 2

for the following 6 months

for the following period until project's end

Comments on changes, if any, in financial planning compared to the approved Project Plan

(a) Equipment. 92,000.00 96,000 0 96,000 0 BiH Equipment budget added

(b) Computers - Software 21,500.00 17,500 6,081 5,630 2,289

(c) Training 34,000.00 39,000 290 10,200 26,900 Additional training to support WP3

(d) Books - Publications 2,000.00 2,000 100 400 1,500

(e) Experts - Advisors 0 10,000 592 4,408 5,000 BiH participants will be hired as experts

(f) Travel 63,000.00 70,000 7205 16,862 45,933 Increased to cover travel costs of BiH

(g) Consumables - Spare parts: 9,500.00 9,500.00 960 2,035 5,913

(h) Other costs and (i) stipends 12,000.00 12,000.00 1,706 3,294 7,000

TOTAL : 234,000.00 234,000.00 16,934 138,829 78,238


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4. EQUIPMENT INVENTORY RECORDS

Inventory Label # Property Item Manufacturer Model

Number Serial

Number Date of

Purchase Cost (EUR) Location

Albania

Bosnia and Hertzegovina

Croatia

Macedonia 3064 Workstation DELL M4700 27.11.2012 4,110.59 MK

Montenegro

Serbia

Turkey


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5. CRITERIA FOR SUCCESS TABLE

Project number: 984374 Project short title: BSHAP-IMP

Report date: March 31, 2013. Duration of the Project : 04.10.12-04.10.2014 /2 years/

The Project is in the year : 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5

Criteria for Success as approved Criteria for Success: with the first Grant Letter on: 10-07-2012

Achievements as at 04.10.12/31.03 of current year 3

% (changes should be refleced here) %

Seismic instruments deployments and integration into national networks 15 No purchase of equipment is realized 0

Final earthquake catalogue compatible with international standards 15

Collection of the earthquake catalog is completed, harmonization work is ongoing.

10

Building a harmonized acceleometric databank by unifying the formats of the collected strong ground motion data

10

Inventorisation of the networks is finalized, inventory GIS database is prepared, database model isprepared, collection of available strong motion records is ongoing.

5

Modeling of seismic source characteristics of the region as an input to the PSHA 20 Not yet started. 0

Hazard assessment applying unified methodological approach consistent to EU standards and GIS hazard maps

35 Not yet started 0

Dissemination of the results to the international scientific community 5

International Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Skopje, Macedonia, June 2013 (Special Session).

Nato Info Day at Montenegro

Project Web Site Operable.

3

TOTAL : 100% 28


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Annex 7 OUTLINE OF THE SfP 984374 SUMMARY REPORT

SfP – Seismic Maps Harmonization II

SfP-984374 Improvements in the Harmonized Seismic Hazard Maps for the Western Balkan Countries

Project Co-Directors:

Asst. Prof. Dr. Zeynep Gulerce, METU, Ankara, Turkey (NPD) Asst. Prof. Radmila Salic, IZIIS, Skopje, Macedonia (PPD) Prof. Dr. Neki Kuka, Institute of Geosciences, Energy, Water and Environment, Tirana, Albania Prof. Dr. Hazim Hrvatovic, Geological Survey of Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina Asst. Prof. Dr. Snjezana Markusic, Department of Geophysics, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia Civil. Eng. Jadranka Mihaljevic, Montenegro Seismological Observatory, Podgorica, Montenegro Eng. Vladan Kovacevic, Seismological Survey of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia Approval Date: 10.07.2012 Effective Date: 04.10.2012 Duration: 2 years (October 2014) NATO Budget: 234,000.00 EUR Information about the SfP Project through Internet: The website of the project is prepared according to the NATO visual identity guidelines and launched on March, 2013. The web address for the website is http://www.wbalkanseismicmaps.org/.

Abstract of Research

The Western Balkans is a seismically active region and characterized by significantly higher earthquake hazard and risk when compared to the rest of Europe.The main goals to achieve are improvement in the initial harmonized seismic hazard maps of the participating countries by implementing state-of-the art probabilistic seismic hazard assessment techniques and the outputs of the BSHAP project, integration of improved seismic hazard maps with the ongoing seismic hazard studies in Europe and surrounding countries and collaboration and exchange of information between the participating country scientific communities and earthquake professionals around the world. To this end, the recently deployed seismic stations, seismic data exchange protocols, earthquake catalogue and hazard studies conducted by the BSHAP participants will be brought to a more enhanced level with the opportunities provided by the new project. The end users of the Project results will be governmental disaster management agencies, ministries of environment or agencies responsible for environmental protection and sustainable development in the Balkan region. The civil protection agencies as well as the insurance companies, in all of the participating countries, may benefit from these results by using it to estimate seismic risk at certain region/location. Consequently, they will introduce risk prevention, preparedness and mitigation measures. Direct users of Project results should be structural engineers, earthquake engineers, and physical planers in the whole region.

Major Objectives

Compiling and integrating the available strong ground motion data recorded by the improved seismic networks during BSHAP or previously occurred earthquakes using the outputs of earlier scientific projects.

Improving the BSHAP earthquake catalogue by adding unified earthquake metadata such as magnitude, depth, and style-of-faulting information and site characterization of selected strong ground motion recording stations.

Selecting and implementing proper ground motion prediction equations for the probabilistic seismic hazard assessment by comparing the compiled strong ground motion data with available global, European, Euro-Med, and regional ground motion prediction models.

Encouraging the use of collected strong ground motion database for the end users and


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international earthquake research communities by realizing improved multi-lateral data exchange protocols and publishing the major project findings in an open-to-public web portal.

Collecting the available information on seismotectonical source characterization of faults and background zones in the Geological Information Systems (GIS) framework with the help of BHSAP and other scientific project outputs. Providing expertise to the participants for implementing the seismic source characterization as the input of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment framework.

Improving the seismic hazard maps of the region using the project end products (seismotectonic and accelerometric database) and state-of-the art seismic hazard assessment methods.

Establishing active scientific collaboration and exchange of information between the participating countries and scientific communities all around the world.

Training of future-promising young scientists in earthquake-hazard related topics by conducting group meetings, workshops and training seminars.

Overview of Achievements since the Start of the Project until (30 September 2012)

Two project workshops was realized in Skopje and Belgrade. Collection of the earthquake catalog is completed, harmonization work is ongoing. Inventorisation of the networks is finalized, inventory GIS database and database model is prepared, collection of available strong motion records is ongoing.

Payments through NATO Funds:16,394 EUR

Milestones for the Next Six Months

The equipment purchase for all participating institutes should be realized. Sensitivity analyzes on hazard results upon the earthquake and seimsotectonic data should be

initiated. For this purpose, a training for young scientists on PSHA software will be organized in Albania by Prof. Dr. Neki Kuka and Ms. Jadranka Mihaljevic in September, 2013.

BSHAP-1 catalogue should be updated by reflecting any change after 2010 (15 May 2013) Finalized BSHAP-1 catalogue should be compared to the ISC-GEM catalogue for large events

for any discrepancies (1 July 2013) Updates to the BSHAP-1 catalogue for 3.0>M>3.5 earthquakes and any earthquakes occurred

between 2010-2012 should be put together using 15 km buffer zones around national borders. Neighbors should check the buffer zones and send updates to Croatia (1 September 2013)

After the catalogue is finalized, declustering and completeness check should be performed (01 November 2013)

Draft flatfile including metadata should be compiled and compared with available public datasets for missing information (01 July 2013)

Candidate GMPEs should be selected (first pool-anything available globally and regionally) Site characterization data should be added (15 August 2012) Third Project Workshop, Croatia (End of September 2013)

Implementation of Results

The Civil Engineering Faculties/Departments of the regional universities as well as the concerned Ministries and Engineering Chambers are the major civil entities that will make use of the outcomes of this project to upgrade the national seismic provisions for their further adoption to EUROCODE 8 standards. Results of the Project will be available to all foreseen end-users in all participating countries

NATO Consultant: N/A

Other Collaborating Institutions

Center for Seismology, Federal Meteorological Institute, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina Hydrometeorological Institute of Republic of Srpska, Sector for Seismology, Banja Luka, Bosnia

and Herzegovina Seismological Observatory, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Skopje, Republic of

Macedonia. Intellectual Property (IP) Rights: N/A _____________________________________________________________________