problem set 5 (hand in)

20
YEAR GDP = Y(t) CAP = K(t) EMP = L(t) 1950 2181876 6328850.5 45282 1951 2357716 6808344.0 47925 1952 2453736 7050130.0 48903 1953 2568912 7307389.0 50304 1954 2554388 7567169.0 49087 1955 2736390 7874742.0 50737 1956 2794747 8177633.5 52468 1957 2853529 8470444.0 52957 1958 2832622 8730865.0 51425 1959 3028077 9042303.0 53372 1960 3105761 9410647.0 54294 1961 3185102 9719826.0 54103 1962 3379878 10072993.0 55659 1963 3527066 10465713.0 56767 1964 3730496 10911239.0 58395 1965 3972893 11412346.0 60879 1966 4234948 11935598.0 64025 1967 4351188 12414244.0 65935 1968 4564724 12920394.0 68027 1969 4707931 13439002.0 70515 1970 4717667 13899786.0 71007 1971 4873010 14394300.0 71331 1972 5128774 14962213.0 73788 1973 5418206 15587390.0 76901 1974 5390187 16120947.0 78383 1975 5379527 16524117.0 77071 1976 5669275 16979164.0 79507 1977 5930551 17527076.0 82600 1978 6260390 18172714.0 86829 1979 6459211 18841772.0 89936 1980 6443411 19392764.0 90531 1981 6610640 19914240.0 91292 1982 6484313 20307654.0 89684 1983 6784705 20761348.0 90289 1984 7277229 21386624.0 94543 1985 7585699 22054654.0 97529 1986 7852072 22698254.0 99497 1987 8123937 23326776.0 102115 1988 8465447 23961024.0 105375 1989 8776978 24600122.0 108047 1990 8945439 25188296.0 109530 1991 8938883 25652820.0 108435 1992 9256661 26160804.0 108798 1993 9510774 26752074.0 110937 1994 9894702 27424690.0 114390 1995 10163690 28155274.0 117416 1996 10549488 28985402.0 119827 1997 11022879 29882946.0 122942 1998 11513417 30879060.0 126149 1999 12071355 31958800.0 129240 2000 12565164 33077686.0 132030 2001 12684428 34042272.0 132080 2002 12909717 34851148.0 130628 2003 13270043 35675240.0 130315 2004 13773988 36589712.0 131732 2005 14235557 37569048.0 133997

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Solutions to Problem Set 5 for Macroeconomics Course (BA) at University of Vienna

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DataYEARGDP = Y(t)CAP = K(t)EMP = L(t)log[Y(t+1)/Y(t)]0.4(K(t+1)/K(t))0.6*log(L(t+1)/L(t))log(A(t+1)/A(t))Solow Residualk(t) = K(t)/L(t)k(t) = k(t)-k(t-1)k(t) = 0.35*A*(k^(3/4))-(0.1+0.01)*k(t)195021818766328850.545282139.7652599267-1.1470429619195123577166808344.0479250.03366142550.01268666160.01478191270.00619285121.0143617195142.06247261352.2972126868-1.2247139779195224537367050130.0489030.0173363440.00606225370.00526402840.00601006191.0139348767144.16559311292.1031204994-1.2964420755195325689127307389.0503040.01992139270.00622604080.00736021070.00633514121.0146941142145.26457140591.098978293-1.3341551685195425543887567169.049087-0.00246236210.0060684825-0.0063816177-0.00214922690.9950634471154.15831075448.8937393485-1.6450146798195527363907874742.0507370.02989112930.00692116020.00861497630.01435499281.0336059311155.20708752981.0487767754-1.6823158746195627947478177633.5524680.0091645040.00655652350.0087418352-0.00613385480.9859755493155.85944766330.6523601335-1.7055845054195728535298470444.0529570.00903979190.00611141310.00241731880.000511061.0011774519159.94946843674.0900207733-1.8526141682195828326228730865.051425-0.00319366670.005260439-0.0076494445-0.00080466130.9981489143169.77860962579.829141189-2.213735131195930280779042303.0533720.02897829070.00608871310.00968350620.01320607141.0308751514169.4203514952-0.3582581305-2.2003864275196031057619410647.0542940.01100111760.00693617090.0044630167-0.00039807010.9990838297173.32756842383.9072169286-2.3467060734196131851029719826.0541030.01095531270.005615603-0.00091829480.00625800451.0145139064179.65410420866.3265357849-2.58698484161962337987810072993.0556590.02577767950.00620001670.00738843120.01218923161.028464325180.97689502151.3227908128-2.6377345661963352706610465713.0567670.01851256220.00664411550.00513632650.00673212021.0156220476184.36262265053.385727629-2.76841453761964373049610911239.0583950.02435299220.00724209910.00736783160.00974306151.0226877679186.85228187342.489659223-2.86521667741965397289311412346.0608790.02734028990.00780034460.01085510840.00868483691.0201988671187.45948520840.6072033349-2.88891545731966423494811935598.0640250.02774121350.00778770110.01312924620.00682426611.015837559186.4208980867-1.0385871217-2.84840130021967435118812414244.0659350.0117597660.00683043760.007659854-0.00273052570.9937324558188.28003336621.8591352795-2.92099635031968456472412920394.0680270.02080667550.00694219210.0081391850.00572529841.0132702654189.93038058421.650347218-2.98571131911969470793113439002.0705150.01341556550.00683650450.0093601148-0.00278105370.9936168466190.58359214350.6532115593-3.01139584421970471766713899786.0710070.00089719350.00585643810.0018117925-0.00677103710.9845300196195.75233427695.1687421334-3.21601357641971487301014394300.0713310.014070020.00607297440.00118628890.00681075671.0158059603201.79585313546.0435188585-3.45829310311972512877414962213.0737880.02221625960.00672211330.0088244560.00666969041.0154760626202.77298476720.9771316318-3.49776458691973541820615587390.0769010.02384195060.00711102750.01076774890.00596317421.0138254153202.6942432478-0.0787415194-3.49458076291974539018716120947.078383-0.00225168060.00584685940.0049739365-0.01307247650.9703480189205.66892055682.9746773089-3.61522575291975537952716524117.077071-0.00085974070.0042910845-0.0043985325-0.00075229270.9982692815214.40122743968.7323068829-3.9736427831976566927516979164.0795070.02278343230.00471921670.00810862360.00995559191.0231883625213.5555863006-0.8456411391-3.93866167071977593055117527076.0826000.01956752110.00551726670.00994480830.00410544611.0094979611212.1922033898-1.3633829107-3.882384631978626039018172714.0868290.02350634410.00628412880.01301085120.00421136411.0097441926209.2931393889-2.8990640009-3.76322069831979645921118841772.0899360.01357808260.0062807810.0091612612-0.00186395950.9957172717209.50200142320.2088620343-3.77178280341980644341119392764.090531-0.00106363750.00500718730.0017182498-0.00778907450.9822248681214.21130883344.7093074102-3.96578154711981661064019914240.0912920.0111276730.00460960980.00218124240.00433682081.0100359244218.13784340363.9265345701-4.12889404871982648431320307654.089684-0.00837953690.0033984074-0.0046306509-0.00714729340.9836774295226.4356406948.2977972904-4.47753159181983678470520761348.0902890.0196669990.00383831710.00175192380.01407675811.0329439542229.94327105183.5076303579-4.62646792541984727722921386624.0945430.03043507230.00515467440.01199672160.01328367631.0310593769226.210549697-3.7327213549-4.46800527581985758569922054654.0975290.01802956440.00534320590.00810263530.00458372321.010610307226.1343190231-0.0762306739-4.46477989511986785207222698254.0994970.01498866730.00499688110.0052057290.00478605721.0110812512228.13003407141.9957150483-4.54936298711987812393723326776.01021150.01478227360.0047449070.00676773330.00326963341.0075570203228.43633158690.3062975156-4.56237077151988846544723961024.01053750.01788334820.00466026210.00818882760.00503425861.0116592541227.3881281139-1.0482034731-4.51788467031989877697824600122.01080470.01569511470.00457275470.00652507520.00459728491.0106418657227.67982452080.2916964069-4.53025618191990894543925188296.01095300.00825664880.00410461090.00355222490.0005998131.0013820746229.96709577282.287271252-4.62748264181991893888325652820.0108435-0.00031840570.0031745302-0.0026181623-0.00087477360.9979877866236.57324664556.6061508726-4.91043052771992925666126160804.01087980.01517110630.00340638930.00087085690.01089386011.0254012915240.45298626813.8797396227-5.07804943711993951077426752074.01109370.01176150270.0038825480.00507330320.00280565141.0064811636241.14654263230.6935563642-5.1081241321994989470227424690.01143900.01718685720.0043137080.00798698560.00488616361.0113143357239.7472681178-1.3992745145-5.047481591819951016369028155274.01174160.01164869120.00456721240.00680353270.00027794611.0006401994239.79077808820.0435099703-5.049365204619961054948828985402.01198270.01617997220.00504782790.00529644310.00583570111.0135278833241.89374681832.1029687302-5.140562327219971102287929882946.01229420.01906365770.00529763280.00668735250.00707867241.0164328028243.06539669111.1716498728-5.191504154319981151341730879060.01261490.01890919440.00569626450.0067101230.00650280691.0150859271244.78243981321.7170431221-5.266328397819991207135531958800.01292400.02055178760.0059705570.00630788230.00827334821.019232699247.28257505422.5001352409-5.375634589620001256516433077686.01320300.01741213930.00597786250.00556540440.00586887241.0136052993250.5315913053.2490162508-5.518306207920011268442834042272.01320800.00410272630.00499336690.0000986622-0.00098930280.9977246387257.73979406427.2082027592-5.837300079820021290971734851148.01306280.00764583440.0040794204-0.00288046960.00644688361.0149552248266.79691949669.0571254324-6.242784592620031327004335675240.01303150.01195560820.004059926-0.00062512150.00852080361.0198136101273.76157771556.9646582189-6.557997556620041377398836589712.01317320.01618737010.00439683510.00281812630.00897240881.0208746244277.75872225433.9971445387-6.740201101220051423555737569048.01339970.01431476430.00458847960.00444227390.00528401091.0122412023280.37230684272.6135845884-6.859838265120061461519638524884.01364030.01143017930.00436445980.00463730810.00242841141.0056072861282.43428663592.0619797932-6.954501613820071487678739387952.01379350.00770450110.00384882410.00291033420.00094534271.0021791029285.55444230983.1201556739-7.098202235620081483355740057600.0137170-0.00126384020.0029286102-0.0014492043-0.00274324610.99370335292.02886928636.4744269765-7.398113893220091441794340347576.0131220-0.01234200050.0012530091-0.0115554631-0.00203954650.9953147806307.480384087815.4515148015-8.122961656220101477935040615356.01302720.01075202980.0011491264-0.00188937160.01149227511.0268151673311.77348931474.2931052269-8.326549891120111505237340926444.01318490.00794963760.00132549890.00313545570.00348868291.0080653404310.4039014327-1.369587882-8.2615000532Sample Mean:1.0090351576Sample Variance:0.0001767461

Plots

Plots0.00619285120.00601006190.0063351412-0.00214922690.0143549928-0.00613385480.00051106-0.00080466130.0132060714-0.00039807010.00625800450.01218923160.00673212020.00974306150.00868483690.0068242661-0.00273052570.0057252984-0.0027810537-0.00677103710.00681075670.00666969040.0059631742-0.0130724765-0.00075229270.00995559190.00410544610.0042113641-0.0018639595-0.00778907450.0043368208-0.00714729340.01407675810.01328367630.00458372320.00478605720.00326963340.00503425860.00459728490.000599813-0.00087477360.01089386010.00280565140.00488616360.00027794610.00583570110.00707867240.00650280690.00827334820.0058688724-0.00098930280.00644688360.00852080360.00897240880.00528401090.00242841140.0009453427-0.0027432461-0.00203954650.01149227510.0034886829

log(Solow Residual)

Answers-1.22471397792.2972126868-1.29644207552.1031204994-1.33415516851.098978293-1.64501467988.8937393485-1.68231587461.0487767754-1.70558450540.6523601335-1.85261416824.0900207733-2.2137351319.829141189-2.2003864275-0.3582581305-2.34670607343.9072169286-2.58698484166.3265357849-2.6377345661.3227908128-2.76841453763.385727629-2.86521667742.489659223-2.88891545730.6072033349-2.8484013002-1.0385871217-2.92099635031.8591352795-2.98571131911.650347218-3.01139584420.6532115593-3.21601357645.1687421334-3.45829310316.0435188585-3.49776458690.9771316318-3.4945807629-0.0787415194-3.61522575292.9746773089-3.9736427838.7323068829-3.9386616707-0.8456411391-3.88238463-1.3633829107-3.7632206983-2.8990640009-3.77178280340.2088620343-3.96578154714.7093074102-4.12889404873.9265345701-4.47753159188.2977972904-4.62646792543.5076303579-4.4680052758-3.7327213549-4.4647798951-0.0762306739-4.54936298711.9957150483-4.56237077150.3062975156-4.5178846703-1.0482034731-4.53025618190.2916964069-4.62748264182.287271252-4.91043052776.6061508726-5.07804943713.8797396227-5.1081241320.6935563642-5.0474815918-1.3992745145-5.04936520460.0435099703-5.14056232722.1029687302-5.19150415431.1716498728-5.26632839781.7170431221-5.37563458962.5001352409-5.51830620793.2490162508-5.83730007987.2082027592-6.24278459269.0571254324-6.55799755666.9646582189-6.74020110123.9971445387-6.85983826512.6135845884-6.95450161382.0619797932-7.09820223563.1201556739-7.39811389326.4744269765-8.122961656215.4515148015-8.32654989114.2931052269-8.2615000532-1.369587882

motion of physical capitaldelta(k(t))

Problem Set 5(c)The movements of the Solow residual represents shocks to total factor productivity of an economy. Thus it may characterized by productivity slowdowns and growths of productivity in an economy. For example, a slowdown in productivity might result from increasing costs of energy or switching to a new technology while growth in productivity might be connected with increasing productivities of input factors labor and capital (e.g. labor productivity increases when the education of labor force is improving, capital productivity increases when a new technology brings efficiency advances)