probability experiments problem solving sample spaces theoretical vs experimental compound events...
DESCRIPTION
Experimental Probability (Cont.) Political PartyRespondents Democrat246 Republican175 Moderate43 Independent36 What is the probability that someone will vote for a Democrat? Is this the theoretical probability or experimental probability? Do you suspect the theoretical and experimental probability are similar?TRANSCRIPT
ProbabilityExperiments
Problem SolvingSample Spaces
Theoretical vs ExperimentalCompound Events
Independent and Dependent Events
Experimental Probability• P(E) =
• Lets say you flipped a coin 10 times. You got 6 heads and 4 tails.• What is the probability, based on your experiment, that you flip a
head next time?
• What is the theoretical probability that you will get a head next time?
Experimental Probability (Cont.)Political Party RespondentsDemocrat 246
Republican 175
Moderate 43
Independent 36
What is the probability that someone will vote for a Democrat?
Is this the theoretical probability or experimental probability?
Do you suspect the theoretical and experimental probability are similar?
Sample Spaces and Theoretical Probability• Theoretical Probability is similar to experimental probability in that it
is favorable/total for its formula. The difference is that rather than using data collected from an experiment or a survey, we use logic and reasoning to determine the probability.
• Example, you could flip a coin and get a result other than 5 heads and 5 tails, but theoretically, your next coin toss should be 50% heads and 50% tails.
Compound Events• The probability of A and B occurring. P(A) * P(B).• Remember, Probability is between 0 and 1
• Example. What is the probability of flipping a coin head and rolling a 6 on a die• Flipping a coin is .5 and rolling a die to get a 6 is .1666• Is the chance of doing both great then doing either? Less than doing either?
• How do we get to such a result?
Independent Events/Dependent Events• Independent Events. When one event has no consequence over
another event.• P (B and A) = P(A)*P(B)
• Dependent Events. When one event alters the results of the other event.• P(B and A) = P(A)*P(B given that A occurred)• Example: What is the probability of drawing two queens from a deck of
cards?