probabilistic trajectories of light general aviation operations by damiano taurino
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Probabilistic Trajectories of light General Aviation operations ALIAS 2014 – European University Institute - FiesoleDamiano Taurino
in behalf of the ProGA Consortium
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ProGA Project
study the feasibility of a system that can continually and automatically predict the future GA aircraft’s flight corridor or its volume of operation
Probabilistic 4d Trajectories of light General Aviation operations
Main Objective
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STORYBOARD
1Planning
2Flying
USER NEEDS BENEFITS
APPROACHES CHALLENGES
3
After-flight
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CAPT. MASSIMO
BE-FREE
SAFE
PLANNING
G
VFR
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PLANNING
TRAFFIC INFO
AVOID KNOWN CRITICAL SPOTS
HOTSPOTS
AB
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PLANNING
Intent data
Historical dataACCEPTABILIT
Y
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
hotspots
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IN-FLIGHT
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IN-FLIGHTBETTER SA
VISUALIZATION
AVOID POTENTIAL CONFLICTS
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IN–FLIGHT (short-term prediction)
ACCEPTABILITY
ADSB-LIKE
KALMAN FILTER
Two-phase iterative scheme
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IN–FLIGHT
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IN-FLIGHT (LONG TERM)
VISUALIZATION
UNCERTAINTY VIS. METHODS
IN-FLIGHT REPLANNING
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IN-FLIGHT (LONG TERM)
DATA AVAILAB
BETTER SA
MATCHING
COMPUTATION
RECONSTRUCTION
KDE
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KDE FOR TIPICALLY FLOWN PATHS
KDE from the flown paths betweenBernay (LFPD) andSaint-Cyr-l'Ecole (LFPZ)
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KDE FOR TIPICALLY FLOWN PATHS
KDE from the flown paths betweenBernay (LFPD) andSaint-Cyr-l'Ecole (LFPZ)
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KDE FOR TIPICALLY FLOWN PATHS
KDE from the flown paths betweenBernay (LFPD) andSaint-Cyr-l'Ecole (LFPZ)
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AFTER-FLIGHTACCEPTABILIT
Y
SEND FLIGHT PATH
ENGAGEMENTFlown Path
UPLOAD
REAL TIME TRACK
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FLIGHT CORRIDORS VS VOLUMES OF OPERATION
FLIGHT CORRIDORS +
HOTSPOTS
VOLUME OF OPERATION
powered glider
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FLIGHT CORRIDORS VS VOLUMES OF OPERATION
Termal lift flights
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WAY FORWARD
Develop a prototype HMI
Validate the concept with pilots by means of simulations, interviews, observations
Assess the foreseen benefits of a ProGA system in the key performance area of safety
Determine the social acceptance within the GA community of sharing location and intent during flight
Understand certification issues: is it part of the cockpit or just a support tool (e.g. Electronic Flight Bag)?
“A portable EFB is a portable EFB host platform, used on the flight deck, which is not part of the certified aircraft configuration. It hosts type A and/or type B as well as miscellaneous (non- EFB) software applications. If mounted, the portable EFB must be easily removable from its mounting device without the use of tools, by the flight crew.” (CAA UK definition)
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LIABILITY AND INSURANCE
It is not an autonomous/automatic system, but it still supports the Pilot in Command in decision making (by presenting a probabilistic information)
In the case of an accident may the use of the tool somehow affect pilot’s liability (negatively or positively)?
Liability and non-certified equipment (e.g. in the case of non-reliable position data transmission)
May the use of the tool bring benefits when taking out insurance (due to enhanced safety)?
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CONCLUSIONS
PLANNINGTRAFFIC
INFO
AVOID KNOWN CRITICAL SPOTS
HOTSPOTS
BETTER SA
VISUALIZATION
AVOID POTENTIAL CONFLICTS
ACCEPTABILITY
ADSB-LIKE
KALMAN FILTER
UNCERTAINTY VIS. METHODS
IN-FLIGHT REPLANNING
DATA AVAILAB
MATCHING
COMPUTATION
RECONSTRUCTION
KDEFLIGHT PATH SHARING
ENGAGEMENT
LIBERTY
SAFE
LIABILITY
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CONCLUSIONS
ProGA can help improve three layers of conflict management
This will help reducing GA midair collision risk
Trajectorymanagement
Intent basedsurveillance
State basedsurveillance
Midair collision
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THANK YOU
Database by Dmitry Baranovskiy from The Noun Project
Process by Takao Umehara from The Noun Project
Airplane by Juan Pablo Bravo from The Noun Project
X and check by useiconic.com from The Noun Project
Captain Massimo
/credits