prioritising adaptation actions in value chains:what we know about best bets for costs benefits and...
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What we know about best bets for costs benefits and co-benefits
Peter LäderachSenior Climate Change SpecialistInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)February 2016
Prioritising adaptation actions in value chains:
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: ASAP IFAD Value Chains
CCAFS/CIAT climate science for IFAD/ASAP projects
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The example of NICADAPTCCAFS/CIAT Climate Science used by policy makers by farmers
in climate policies and for climate finance (IFAD/ASAP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature (°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation (mm)
Current Climatic suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well being
Health and nutrition
Commitment to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP- Expenditure on education as % of government spending
- GDP per capita- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity)- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature (°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation (mm)
Current Climatic suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well being
Health and nutrition
Commitment to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP- Expenditure on education as % of government spending
- GDP per capita- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity)- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature (°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation (mm)
Current Climatic suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well being
Health and nutrition
Commitment to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP- Expenditure on education as % of government spending
- GDP per capita- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity)- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature (°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation (mm)
Current Climatic suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well being
Health and nutrition
Commitment to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP- Expenditure on education as % of government spending
- GDP per capita- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity)- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Feasibility of CSA practices
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Cost and benefit of CSA practice
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade-offs
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade-offs
Plot level functions Full sun monocrop
Shade tree monocrop
Banana / food intercrop
Polyculture system
Forest system
Yield quantity Yield quality
External input use Nutrient recycling Production risks Plantation life Food security CC adaptation Carbon stock
Ecological services light color = low → dark color = high
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Scaling of CSA in supply chains
www.ciat.cgiar.org Science to cultivate change
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
Peter Läderach [email protected]