PRINCIPLES OF MACROECONOMICS

Term: Fall 2005

Course Number: ECO 2013-839

Meeting Times Tuesday & Thursday @ 10:50-12:05 and Location: 042-1020.

Course Description No prerequisites. This course cannot be used to satisfy upper-level and Prerequisites: requirements for a degree in business administration and/or economics.

The course is intended to provide students with an introduction to the principles of income determination and national income accounting. The approach to the materials is both diagnostic and prescriptive. A primary focus of analysis is on the use of monetary and fiscal policy to accomplish

the goals of full employment, economic growth and price stability.

Instructor: L.A. Woods

Office Hours: Tuesday and Thursday – 12:15 to 2:00; and by appointment.

Phone: [904] 620-2641

E-mail: lwoods@unf.edu

Required Texts: N. Gregory Mankiw. 2004. Principles of Macroeconomics, Third Edition. Mason, OH: Thomson/South-Western.

Outside Readings: In addition to the assigned reading material in the text, each student is expected to read a total of ten (10) articles (not editorials or book reviews) from scholarly journals over the term. Time, Businessweek, Fortune, The Wall Street Journal, etc. are all popular periodicals and DO NOT qualify as scholarly journals. Several examples of scholarly journals are Harvard Business Review, Business Economics, Journal of Developing Areas, Land Economics, Journal of Marketing. Some students may prefer to read the daily articles found on the Mises Institute website (www.mises.org) or Economic Insights found at the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank’s website (www.federalreserve.org). Each of the articles should be reviewed, summarized or outlined as a written report on 5" x 8" note-cards. These reports are to be turned in on a weekly basis, beginning the week of .

Additional Each student is expected to be well informed on current economic issues --

Requirements: both domestic and international -- by reading the Investor’s Business Daily (especially the Monday issues, which are sold on the newsstands on Saturday) or the Wall Street Journal; and by viewing Market Wrap on CNBC, Nightly Business Report (PBS), or Lou Dobbs on CNN on a daily

basis.

Course Outline and Schedule:

August 23 Introduction/background/housekeeping

Aug. 25 - Introduction to economics and key issues: Sept. 27 What is economics? What are the tools that are used in economics?

What are the critical elements of macroeconomics and of economic

reasoning? Production possibilities, economic growth, benefits of specialization and exchange/trade. The role of markets, supply anddemand. Market equilibrium. Macroeconomic concepts. Overview of Gwartney and Stroup’s [What Everyone Should Know About Economics and Prosperity.1993. James Madison Institute] “Ten Key Elements of Economics”. Major definitions and relationships. Time – the measure of many things. National income accounts; inflation and techniques for adjustment. Mankiw, Chapters 1-4; 10-11. SKIM Chapter 5.

Internet exercise with Chapter 10 – changes in real GDP: Go to: www.bea.govClick on: ‘GDP’Click on: ‘Interactive NIPA Tables’Click on: ‘Frequently requested NIPA Tables’Click on: “Table 1.1.6 – “Real GDP, chained dollars”

Select your own time period, I chose 1970 to 2004

Internet exercise with Chapter 10 – percent changes in real GDP (growth rates:Go to: www.bea.govClick on: ‘GDP’Click on: ‘Interactive NIPA Tables’Click on: ‘Frequently requested NIPA Tables’Click on: “Table 1.1.1 – “Percent Change from Preceding period,

in real GDP”Select your own time period, I chose quarterly data, 1988to 2004

Internet exercise with Chapter 11 – historic annual CPIGo to: www.bls.gov

On the far left, under “Inflation and Consumer Spending,”click on: “Consumer Price Index”

Click on: “Tables Created by BLS” [Bureau of Labor Statistics]Click on: “Table Containing History of the CPI, 1913 – Present”

note – results by monthly, annual average, and percentchange

Internet exercise with Chapter 11 – unemploymentGo to: www.bls.govOn the far right, under “Employment and Unemployment,”

click on: “National Unemployment”On the far right box – “Latest Numbers”, click on:

(dinosaur icon for “Unemployment Rate”) the data set goes back to 1975, but is pre-programmed for 1994 to 2004; select your own time period, I chose 1975 (January) to 2005 (July)

Aug. 26 Last day for Drop/Add

Sept. 5 Labor Day – University Holiday

Sept. 12 First of the article reviews is due. One is due each week for the next 10 weeks.

Sept. 20 FIRST QUIZ

Sept. 22 - Preliminary issues and long-run fundamentals Oct. 25 Changes through time, economic growth, productivity and wealth creation

(as opposed to wealth re-distribution). Long-tern growth and theories of growth. Savings or consumption, Ah, that is the question (present vs. future – instant vs. delayed gratification). [See: Scott Peck, The Road Less Traveled or People of the Lie]. Investment and capital; interest rates and GDP. The underpinnings of financial decisions. The nature and operation of labor markets; employment, unemployment, and wages. Myths and realities – Is it really the worst economy since the Great Depression? [For verification, go to: the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics website: www.bls.gov. Look at the Unadjusted and adjusted unemployment rates for 1986 through 2004 – pay particular attention to 1993-1994; 1996 in comparison with 2002 through 2004] Money supply growth, inflation.Mankiw, Chapters 6-9; 12 -17.

Oct. 27 SECOND QUIZ

Nov. 1 - Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply. Short and long term Dec. 1 fluctuations. Monetary and fiscal policies. Tradeoff between inflation and

unemployment and growth. International issues. Business cycles and cycle theory. Current policy issues. Spatial specialization (comparative advantage) and the gains from trade. Mankiw, Chapters 9; 18-23.

Nov. 7 Deadline to withdraw from Spring term

Nov. 11 Veteran’s Day – University Holiday

Nov. 24 – Nov. 27 Thanksgiving Holiday

Dec.1 LAST DAY OF CLASSES

Dec. 8 FINAL QUIZ Note: The final quiz will be held in the regular classroom from9:00 to 10:50.

Grading: Three, equally weighted quizzes will comprise 86% of the final grade. The remaining 14% of the final grade will be determined by the outside

readings and summaries. The following aggregate grading scale will be used:

350 to 323 (100% to 93%) ............... A322 to 298 (92% to 86%) ................. B297 to 270 (85% to 77%) ................. C269 to 242 (76% to 70%) ................. D Less than 242 (69%) ..................... F

Things to Ponder:

James D. Gwartney and Richard L. Stroup. 1993. What Everyone Should Know About Economics and Prosperity. Tallahassee, FL: The James Madison Institute.

Purpose of using this book – eliminate economic ignorance! Many notions that people hold about economics are in error, largely because they have been given the theoretical mechanics, but not the broader rudimentary concepts that form the structural framework, e.g., the ‘law of demand’ vs. ‘incentives matter’. It also adheres to the military’s KISS [Keep It Simple, Stupid] principle.

The authors’ open with a simple statement that incorporates one of the ‘key elements of economics’ – “there’s no such thing as a free lunch’ (TANSTAAFL). “We realize that your time is valuable.” (iv) Embedded in this statement is the recognition that: (i) resources, including your time, are scarce (the ‘ law of scarcity’; and (ii) they can be put to alternative uses (they have an alternative or opportunity cost). One of the primary reasons that learning the ‘basic’ economic principles outlined in the book is that they: “…enhance your ability to differentiate between sound arguments and economic nonsense, i.e., separate the truth from the BS that constantly presented in

the media. Often the media elite make misleading statements such as: “Gasoline prices are at an all time high.” Which is true, if you fail to discount prices for the influence of inflation, brought to us by the government’s ability to print (create) money without constraint. Ask yourself, what has happened to the five-cent Hershey bar. Equally misleading is their confusion over Revenue and Profit when reporting “Oil companies profits are up 350 percent!”, when the true metric was Gross Revenue. And, again, “Health care costs (prices) are too high in the United States,” implying that this is a result of greedy businesses and medical professionals, without inquiring further about WHY they are high! Without too much effort, it is possible to deduce several reasonable reasons that account for the high costs, though not necessarily in order of importance:

(i) the role of Medicare (government intervention):[by setting reimbursements to doctors, hospitals and other medical

professionals at below market clearing (equilibrium) prices, the unfunded costs are shifted onto consumers with insurance or who pay cash. This raises the premiums on health insurance, as well.]

(ii) the ‘greed’ of tort lawyers (Fast Eddy Farah and John Edwards); [skimming-off 33%, PLUS costs from the gross award, results in higher premiums paid by doctors for mal-practice insurance, translating into even higher bills to health insurance companies and higher premiums to consumers. Transfer wealth from those that have to themselves.]

(iii) a gradually aging population:[the need for medical care increases with age, placing greater demand on the healthcare system.] and

Murray N. Rothbard has observed: “But why are rates (health care) high and rising? The answer is the very existence of health-care insurance, which was established or subsidized or promoted by the government to help ease the previous burden of medical care.” (78) By this he means that there is a system of third party payers (government or private insurers) that, “…pay, not a fixed sum, but whatever the doctor or hospital chooses to charge.” (79) Moreover, he reports that “…medical customers…have come to think of unlimited third-party payments as some sort of divine right….” (79) Further, he notes: “…there is another deep flaw in the medical insurance concept. Theft is theft, and fire is fire, so that fire or theft insurance is fairly clear-cut – the only problem being the ‘moral hazard’ of insurees succumbing to the temptation of burning down their own unprofitable store….” (79) “…there is no way to prevent a galloping moral hazard, as customers – their medical bills reduced to near zero – decide to go to the doctor every week to have their blood pressure checked or their temperatures taken.” (79) Health insurance became a commonality during WWII as wages were fixed, but benefits were not…so companies began to provide health insurance, in lieu of pay increases.

Somewhat later in his article, Rothbard wrote:

But the roots of the current medical crisis go back much further than the 1950s and medical insurance. Government intervention into medicine began much earlier, with a watershed in1910 when the much celebrated Flexner Report changed the face of American medicine. [Named after Abraham Flexner and commissioned by the Carnegie Institute for Medical Research.]

Flexner’s report was virtually written in advance by high officials of the American Medical Association, and its advice was quickly taken by every state in the Union.

The result: every medical school and hospital was subjected to licensing by the state,which would turn the power to appoint licensing boards over to the state AMA. The state was supposed to, and did, put out of business all medical schools that were proprietary and profit-making, that admitted blacks and women, and that did not specialize in orthodox, ‘allopatic’ medicine: particularly homeopaths, who were then

a substantial part of the medical profession, and a respectable alternative to orthodox allopathy.

Thus through the Flexner Report, the AMA was able to use government to cartelize the medical profession: to push the supply curve drastically to the left (literally half the medical schools in the country were put out of business by post-Flexner state governments), and thereby raise medical and hospital prices and doctors’ income. (80)

…the medical establishment was now able to put competing therapies (e.g., homeopathy) out of business; to remove disliked competing groups from the supply of physicians (blacks, women, Jews); and to replace proprietary medical schools financed by student fees with university-based schools run by the faculty, and subsidized by foundations and wealthy donors.

…our very real medical crisis has been the product of massive government intervention, state and federal, throughout the century; in particular, the artificial boosting of demand coupled with an artificial restriction of supply. The result has been accelerated high prices and deterioration of patient care. (81)

Source: M.N. Rothbard. 1995. “Government Medical ‘Insurance,’ Making Economic Sense. Auburn, AL:

Ludwig von Mises Institute, 78-81.

[It must be noted that the AMA was pursuing what economists call ‘rent-seeking behavior.’ Rent-seeking frequently involves going to government (especially the legislative or judicial branches) to get what they are unable to obtain through free-market transactions. Zoltan J. Acs and Daniel A. Gerlowski have defined ‘rent-seek behavior’ more narrowly: “An attempt by some interested party to alter the allocation of rents in a contractual agreement; in general, does not create value within the organization.” 1996. Managerial Economics and Organization. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 448.

Another, recent example of TANSTAAFL has been borne out by the November elections in Florida. One of the initiatives that passed overwhelmingly was to increase the ‘minimum wage’ to a ‘living level’ as of January 1, 2005. Has anyone been to a McDonald’s since New Year’s Eve? What has happened to the price of a Big Mac, or a Big Mac Meal? Raising the minimum wage to businesses (you know, those GREEDY folks) has increased their cost of doing business, and they have decided to ‘share their pain’ by passing these increases on to their customers (roughly a 30% increase in the price of a Big Mac), rather than cutting the size of a burger or order of fries. [Keep in mind, this higher minimum wage applies to ALL firms, not just ‘fast-food’ operations – retail outlets (Kmart, Target, Wall Mart), grocery stores (Publix, Winn-Dixie, Albertson’s), hospitals, movie theaters, and so on…expect to pay higher prices in ALL areas to cover these higher labor costs. Note Well: These increased costs of labor HAVE NOT BEEN ACCOMPANIED by an increase in labor productivity!!!] The importance of this observation may be seen the fifth “Key Element of Economics” cited by Gwartney and Stroup, below.] There are still several adjustments that may be expected, if you understand economic processes – substitute capital (equipment) for labor, which means fewer entry level jobs will be available for young workers reducing opportunities for women and minorities to obtain work experience leading to BETTER jobs. Milton Friedman once stated in an interview with Playboy (early 1970s), in regard to the ‘minimum wage question’: “It is better to be employed at $3.50 and hour, than unemployed at $5.00 an hour.” [See: Robert L. Formaini, “Milton Friedman – Economist as Public Intellectual,” Economic Insights, Vol. 7, No. 2; available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0202.html.] Additionally, some firms may be forced to REDUCE their labor force due to higher labor costs, resulting in higher rates of UNEMPLOYMENT… this result may be seen clearly in a number of European nations that have heavy handed government intervention in their economies, especially in labor markets, foe example France and Germany, which have unemployment rates twice those in the United States. Such secondary outcomes are referred to by economists as ‘unintended consequences’ (note: the tenth “Key Element of Economics” cited by Gwartney and Stroup, below) and they have unintended costs.

Economic ignorance seems to stem from a concentration on the theoretical mechanics of economics (mathematical models, et.), rather than focusing on the basic principles. This results in a tuning-out of students.

The key principles have been provided to people from the cradle onward, but without simple approaches to the messages, e.g.,

Aesop’s fable of the ‘Grasshopper and the Ants’ – what is the message of the fable? Simply, it is self-reliance and self-responsibility! Rather than accepting responsibility it is easier

(more convenient?) to seek self-absolution by passing the blame or responsibility onto others or society as a whole, e.g., the old Flip Wilson character (Geraldine) – “The Devil made me do it!” Place reliance on some third party to take responsibility – the government, disregarding its inability to effectively/efficiently solve real human problems because of its propensity to distort markets and to create unintended consequences.

The child’s story, “Chicken Little,” has a message, too: THINK, don’t be stampeded into life-(changing) threatening decisions on the basis of faulty information, no matter how loud the message is shouted or how often! “The sky is falling! The sky is falling! Would TurkeyLurky and Ducky Lucky and all the other barnyard critters have been better-off had they just sat down and thought Chicken Little’s foolishness through. But, what did they do? They followed a self-appointed false prophet (Foxy Loxy) to there doom. Are there many ‘self-appointed false prophets’ out there? Count on it! Global warming, the population bomb has exploded (Thomas Malthus and Paul Ehrlich) genetically modified (GM) foods (Jeramy Rifkin), and vaccines will harm children, to name a few!

“The Little Red Hen” provides an additional example of a child’s story with a profound message – the role of incentives and property rights (physical/ intellectual and individual/group) in a well-ordered barnyard or society. We are always and everywhere constrained by scarcity, whether of resources or of time. This reality means that ALL human needs/wants cannot be satisfied at a moment in time, consequently some individuals have more than others – an uneven distribution of looks, income, wealth, land…. Those that have less would always like to have more. Hence laws and their enforcement are necessary. An unspoken truth of the tale, expressed by the Little Red hen is a property right to her and her children’s labor – ‘we worked to produce the final product, and it is ours to use as we see fit.’ Keep in mind the Three Inalienable Rights espoused by the Founding Fathers – ‘Life, Liberty and Pursuit of Happiness,’ remember they were barrowed from John Locke’s ‘Life, Liberty and Property’. Contrast this with the nonsense that everyone should have ‘equal shares’ à la Karl Marx, “From each according to his ability, to each according to his need,” and Stalin’s re-write, “From each according to his ability, to each according to his work’!

Gwartney & Stroup point out the fact that “political rules and policies” affect the economy – largely as a result of the ‘law of unintended consequences’. Decisions are made and policies implemented with utter disregard to potential future outcomes, which have probabilities that must be estimated and the consequences calculated. Consider their admonition:

…we are a nation of economic illiterates. In a democratic setting, the consequences of economic illiteracy can be disastrous. People who do not understand the sources of economic prosperity are susceptible to schemes that conflict with the attainment of that prosperity. (v)

Ten Key Elements of Economics

1. Incentives Matter. In simple terms, if you want more of a certain activity or behavior, reward it, if you want less, the

penalize it. The ‘reward’ may be profits (sales), an ice cream cone (a child minding his/her parents), or a kindly

word (a ‘Thank you’) for a good deed done. The penalty may be a higher tax on the activity, a spanking, or deprivation of a pleasurable activity (watching a favorite TV program for a naughty child) or a rebuke for bad

behavior. Responses are not instantaneous, but require time for behavioral adjustments (a lagged effect). Uses market adjustment to a change in price (buyers/sellers). A change in tax rates behaves the same way,

households must adjust their expectations and spending behaviors to both higher and lower rates. Please note the comment (4):

….market prices will coordinate the actions of both buyers and sellers.

The example provided of ‘higher gasoline prices of the 1970s is both timely and telling. The connection between voters and political candidates is also worthy of comment – see: Robert L. Formaini. 2003. “James M. Buchanan – The Creation of Public Choice Theory,” Economic Insights, 8 (2); available at:www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0302.

The insight that incentives also matter in socialist/communist societies is significant in avoiding wishful thinking and the belief that certain economic laws may be repealed by caring politicians – ‘Let’s impose price controls’ – in the mistaken belief that there will be no consequences! [SHORTAGES]

Gwartney & Stroup field a common notion: “…economic analysis only helps explain the actions of self-centered, greedy materialists.” (5) By observing that “This view is false.”

2. There is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch. (or, more crudely: TANSTAAFL) TANSTAAFL was a term coined by Milton

Friedman, see: Robert L. Formaini. 2002. “Milton Friedman – Economist as Public Intellectual,” Economic Insights, 7 (2); available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0202.html. [Note: this is the same as Mankiw’s “Principle # 1 “People Face Tradeoffs”, 4-5]. The factor underpinning these statements is the so-called ‘law of scarcity’, which gives rise to the principle of alternative (or opportunity) costs. These costs are associated with the facts that we must contend with limited resources and unlimited wants (and, perhaps more importantly, needs). Money spent on lighting bridges for the Super Bowl is no longer available to add classrooms to public schools. This means that if we want more of one item, it will be necessary to forego or give up alternative items as we transfer resources into the production of the item desired. We must make choices between/among various alternatives because of scarcity. This principle applies to government, as well as individuals. You may remember this basic idea from the Production Possibilities Curve found in all Principles of Economics texts. Of all costs, it is the costs that reflect ‘lost alternatives’ that are most frequently ignored by individuals (if I go partying tonight, how will it affect my grade on tomorrows test?), businesses (if we allocate investment dollars to this product, what alternative investments must be give-up?) and government bureaucrats (if we provide public housing to this group, what services must be foregone by other groups?) The Congress consistently ignores this principle (TANSTAAFL)! They can always raise taxes, impose user-fees, impose price-controls, and, thereby, distort markets, i.e., divert spending on PRIVATE sector goods and channel it into the production of PUBLIC sector goods. This does not reflect the desires of consumers, but the wishes of special interest groups, i.e., it represents rent-seeking behavior. (go to: Robert L. Formaini. 2003. “James M Buchanan. – The Creation of Public Choice Theory,” Economic Insights, 8 (2); available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0302. ) Such costs are a critical force in directing scarce resources to their ‘highest and best uses’ and avoiding mal-investment! See: Robert L. Formaini. 1999. “Hayek – Social Theorist of the Century,” Economic Insights, 4 (1); also available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei9901; Robert L. Formaini. “Ludwig von Mises, Economic Insights, 6 (4); available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0104.html. Roger W. Garrison. 2001. Time and Money: The Macroeconomics of Capital Structure. London: Routledge/Taylor & Francis Group, esp. Chapter 3; Ludwig von Mises, 1998. Human Action: A Treatise on Economics. Auburn, AL: Ludwig von Mises Institute, esp. Chapter XX.

Prices provide signals to both consumers and producers: higher prices – buy less and produce more; and lower prices – buy more and produce less [revealed in the demand/supply relationship]. In this process, increased consumer demand for a good, stimulates producers to attempt to increase output. Output expansion requires producers to bid resources away from their use in the production of other goods (their

alternative uses). It is always necessary to remember Mises admonition: in a free market, the consumer is king and that all production is for consumption! Note the emphasis that Gwartney & Stroup place on the provision of so-called ‘free’ goods to an ‘individual or group’ and the opportunity costs that these ‘free’ goods impose on others. (7) They are emphatic in their assessment:

…this merely shifts the costs; it does not reduce them. Politicians often speak of ‘free’ education’, ‘free medical care,’ or ‘free housing’. The terminology is deceptive. None of these things are free.

Something to ponder, the Bush II administration’s proposed Medicare Prescription Drug Bill, what are the likely opportunity costs? And, what are the potential unintended consequences? In spite of many government attempts, none have been able to repeal the ‘Law of Scarcity’. However, its restrictive nature has been loosened over the long haul by the activities of the innovative actions of the ‘entrepreneur’. See: W. Michael Cox. 2001. “Schumpeter – In His Own Words,” Economic Insights, Vol. 6, No. 3; available at: www.dallasfed.org/htm/pubs/ei/ei6_3_01. For example, as demand for copper has grown and prices have risen, it has been displaced in many uses by cheaper and more efficient substitutes, i.e., optical fiber and/or aluminum cable. Other examples include the longer term shift in energy sources: wood, coal, liquid fuel stock, gaseous fuels, to WHAT next?

3. Voluntary Exchange Promotes Economic Progress. Individuals pursuing their own self -interest entering into exchange

realize a ‘mutuality of benefits’ or voluntary exchange will not take place. ‘Exploitation’ is only possible by the

use or the threat of the use of force – a theft. Exchange or “Trade is productive; it permits each of the trading

partners to get more of what they want.” (8) G&S provide three reasons why trade (exchange) is productive, i.e.,

“why it increases the wealth of people.” Specialization enables individuals and societies to expand total output.

(i) “First, trade channels goods and services to those who value them most”; manifested through a willingness to pay! “A good or service does not have value just because it exists.” (8)

(ii) “Second, exchange permits trading partners to gain from specializing in the things they do best,” including individuals, regions and nations resulting in lower costs for goods and services.[The so-called ‘Law of Comparative Advantage, see: Robert L. Formaini. “David Ricardo:

Theory of Free International Trade,” Economic Insights, Vol. 9, No 2; available at: www.dallasfed.org/researh/ei/ei0402.html.]

(iii) “Third, voluntary exchange permits us to realize gains derived from cooperative effort, division of labor, and the adoption of large-scale production methods.” It is necessary to contrast outcomes under situations of individual (household) production, known as ‘subsistence or self-sufficiency production’ involving small-scale production, with those of collective effort (factory or mass production) known as ‘commercial production’. It is wise not to equate ‘collective effort’ with

the Marxist/Socialist model… Mass production yields vastly larger output per worker at

substantially lower costs [the realization of ‘scale economies’]. See: Robert L. Formaini. “Adam Smith – Capitalism’s Prophet,” Economic Insights, Vol. 7, No.1; available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0201.html. for Adam Smith’s observations on the gains from specialization of task, or, alternatively, division of labor. He provides what has come to be

known as ‘the pin factory’ case as an example of worker specialization and improvements in output.

4. Transaction Costs Are An Obstacle to Exchange; Reducing This Obstacle Will Help Promote Economic Progress.

The source of the idea of ‘transaction costs’ is to be found in the work of Ronald Coase, especially: 1937. “The Nature of the Firm,” Economica, 4 (November), 386-405. A primary aspect of Coase’s conceptualization of the firm is that it is ‘a bundle of contracts’ (with suppliers, labor, customers, share holders). For a brief overview of Coase and his contributions, see: Robert L. Formaini and Thomas F. Siems. “Ronald Coase – The Nature of Firms and Their Costs,” Economic Insights, Vol. 8, No. 3;

available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0303.html. Gwartney and Stroup note: “Voluntary exchange is productive because it promotes cooperation and helps us get more of what we want. However, exchange

is also costly. The time, effort and other resources necessary to search out, negotiate, and conclude an exchange are called transaction costs.” (11, emphasis added) Other transaction costs include monitoring

and enforcing behaviors, implicitly or explicitly implied in any exchange contract. The text identifies two major sources of high transaction costs: (i) physical obstacles – oceans, rivers, marshes, and mountains; and (ii) institutional obstacles – taxes, licensing requirements (radio, television, etc.), government regulations, price controls, tariffs and quotas. (11) They further observe that “…high transaction costs reduce the potential gains from trade. Conversely, reductions in transaction costs increase the gains from trade and thereby promote economic progress.”

5. Increases in Real Income are Dependent Upon Increases in Real Output. “Higher income and standard of living are dependent upon higher productivity and output.” (13) This relationship should be intuitively obvious

– productivity is ‘output per unit input’ (labor, capital, etc.). With increases in productivity (more output

for the same, or even fewer input), prices of goods fall, while returns to factor owners (land, labor, etc.) rise. Gwartney and Stroup continue: “Once the linkage between output and income is recognized, the real source of economic progress is clarified. We improve our standard of living (income) by figuring out

how to produce more output (things that people value). Economic progress is dependent, for example, on our ability to build a better house, computer, or video camera with the same or a lesser amount of labor and other resources. Without increases in real output – that is, output adjusted for inflation – there can be

no increases in income and improvement in our living standard. (13, emphasis added) Gwartney and Stroup, right point out: “Politicians often erroneously talk as if the creation of jobs is the source of economic progress….Focusing on jobs is a potential source of confusion. More employment will not promote economic progress, unless the employment expands output.” (14, emphasis added) Consider the

‘economic’ rationality of, President F.D. Roosevelt’s make-work projects (WPA, CCC, for example) in this light, especially given what Gwartney and Stroup have to say: “We do not need more jobs, per se. Rather, we need more productive workers, more productivity-enhancing machinery, and more efficient economic organization so we can produce more output per capita.” (14, emphasis added) Productivity, then

depends, according to Mankiw, on: physical capital (machinery, equipment); human capital (education, training, skills; natural resources (availability or substitutability); and technological knowledge (invention and innovation). (245-7)

Gwartney and Stroup continue, reporting: “Some observers argue that technology adversely affects workers.” Such observers are reminiscent of General Ned Ludd, see:

www.albany.edu/~rs7921/quick.html. “In fact, just the opposite is true. Once you recognize that expansion in output is the source of higher wages, the positive impact of improvements in technology is apparent: better technology makes it

possible for workers to produce more and thus to earn more.” (14, emphasis added) There is a whole new breed

of

‘luddites’ in the world today, following in the pattern of Mary Shelley (authoress of Frankenstein), opposing numerous technologies that increase human well-being, for example: the issue of ‘genetic engineering’ … more and better food sources; more effective pharmaceutical products; bacteria that

destroy harmful compounds (nuclear wastes, chemical waste products); save endangered species (elm and

chestnut trees; and panda). One of the most outrageous of these Neo-Luddites is Jeramy Rifkin. Often these neo-luddites engage in ‘terrorism’ (destroying other peoples’ property and killing folks – e.g., the

Unibomber), in the name of doing a social good. One of Joseph Schumpeter’s primary contributions to economics was his recognition of the beneficial destructiveness of technological change, resulting from both invention

and innovation, summarized by the phrase “the perennial gale of creative destruction.” W. Michael Cox.

2001. “Schumpeter – In His Own Words,” Economic Insights, Vol. 6, No. 3; available at: www.dallasfed.org/htm/pubs/ei/ei6_3_01. Gwartney and Stroup have incorporated these ideas:

“Sometimes specific jobs will be eliminated….These changes, however, merely release human resources so they can

be used to expand output in other areas….Other tasks can now be accomplished with the newly released resources and, as a result, we are able to achieve a higher standard of living than would otherwise be the case.” (15)

Ironically, Gwartney and Stroup’s small book was published by The James Madison Institute in Tallahassee, Florida, but their insights consistently have been ignored by politicians and policy makers in that city. For example, the likely ‘unintended consequences’ of state-mandated minimum wages were ignored, and the socially undesirable outcomes (higher prices, fewer choices, higher unemployment;

fewer work opportunities for teenagers) will likely be blamed on the greedy business community (read, greedy capitalist). They wrote in 1993: “Recognition of the link between output and income also makes easier to see why minimum wage legislation and labor union fail to increase overall wages of workers. A higher minimum wage will price some low-skill workers out of the market.” [More unemployed low-skill

workers.] “Therefore, their employment will decline, reducing total output. While some individual workers may be helped, overall per capita income will be lower because per capita output will be lower.” (15) They conclude, emphatically: “Without high productivity per worker, there can be no high wages per worker….Production provides the source of income.”

Associated with improved technologies, increased output, and higher wages is the need for fewer workers,

especially fewer unskilled or semi-skilled workers.

6. The Four Sources of Income Growth are (a) Improvements in Worker Skills, (b) Capital Formation, (c) Technological Advancements, and (d) Better Economic Organization. The term ‘growth’ involves change(s) over some period of time. (i) Skilled workers are more productive – leading to higher levels of output. Skills are improved by both formal training (schools, apprenticeships) and on the job learning (OJT). (ii) Additions to capital stock (new machines, software) enable workers to be more productive. (iii) Improvements in technology (new equipment, new products) permit the increase in output per worker per unit of time. (iv) Improvements in organizational structures, both in the private and the public sectors support increased productivity…the shift from craft to factory product/mass production. All four elements stimulate economic growth (increases in output). Gwartney and Stroup cite the role of legal systems and the creation of patent protection…”Effective economic organization will facilitate social cooperation and channel resources toward the production of goods that people value, Conversely, economic organization that protects wasteful practices and fails to reward the creation of wealth will retard economic progress.” (18) All too frequently firms and individuals will pursue ‘rent-seeking’ behaviors, i.e., going to government to obtain what they have been unable to obtain through the free

market, e.g., Barksdale and Netscape (US Department of Justice) vs. Gates and Microsoft.

7. Income is Compensation Derived from the Provision of Services to Others. People Earn Income by Helping Others. “…we must not lose sight of precisely what income is. Income is simply compensation received

in exchange for productive services supplied to others. People who earn large incomes provide others with

lots of things that they value….There is a moral here. If you want to earn a large income, you had better

figure out how to help others a great deal.” (19) They point out a common fallacy in regards to high incomes: “Some people have a tendency to think that high-income individuals must be exploiting others… The

late Sam Walton (founder of Walmart Stores) became the richest man in the United States because he figured out how to manage large inventories more effectively and bring discount prices on brand-name

merchandise to small town America.” (20) Currently, many ‘luddites’ oppose Walmart because: they run small, ‘mom-and-pop’ retailers out of business! But, they provide consumers with lower prices, enabling them to buy more items that provide them with satisfaction of both wants and needs. Keep in mind Henry Ford drove the Stanley Steamer out of business, as his mass production factories reduced the price of automobiles from an average of $ 2,000 per vehicle to less than $ 800; yes, jobs were lost in the Stanley Steamer plants, but were added in the factories producing Fords. In addition, lower prices permitted lower income families to acquire an automobile.

8. Profits Direct Businesses Toward Activities that Increase Wealth. “At any given time, there is virtually an infinite

number of potential investment projects. Some will increase the value of resources and promote economic

progress. Others will reduce the value of resources and lead to economic decline. If economic progress is going to proceed, the value-increasing projects must be encouraged and the value-reducing projects avoided. This is precisely what profits and losses do in a market setting.” (21) Often individuals, pursuing their own self-interest promote value-reducing projects by recruiting government intervention in markets

to assure the value-reducing projects take precedence over value-increasing projects. Such actions reduce general, social welfare below levels that it would have otherwise have attained. In spite of all the

negative comments by critics, “…profit is a reward that business owners earn if they produce a good that

consumers value more (as measured by their willingness to pay) than the resources required for the good’s

production (as measured by the cost of bidding the resources away from their alternative employment possibilities).

In contrast, losses are a penalty imposed on businesses that reduce the value of resources…Losses and bankruptcies are the market’s way of bringing such wasteful activities to a halt.” (21) Gwartney and

Stroup conclude this section: “Essentially, profits and losses direct business investment toward projects that promote economic progress and away from those that squander scarce resources.” 23)

9. The ‘Invisible Hand’ Principle – Market Prices Bring Personal Self-Interest and the General Welfare Into Harmony. Gwartney and Stroup quote Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations: “Every individual is continually exerting himself to find out the most advantageous employment for whatever capital he can command. It

is his own advantage, indeed, and not that of the society which he has in view….He intends only his own

gain, and he is in this, and in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was not part

of his intention.” They continue, “…the remarkable thing about an economy based on private property and

freedom of contract is that market prices will bring the actions of self-interested individuals into harmony with the general prosperity of a community or nation.” (24) See: Robert L. Formaini. “Adam Smith – Capitalism’s Prophet,” Economic Insights, Vol. 7, No.1; available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0201.html. Despite Adam Smith’s observations, “The invisible hand principle is difficult for many people to grasp because there is a natural tendency to associate order with centralized planning. If resources are going to be allocated sensibly, surely some central authority must

be in charge.” (24, emphasis added) The ancient Greeks and modern depth psychologists (Carl G. Jung)

would suggest that the cause is hubris or egocentric projection, both of which result in disaster! More to the

point,historic (empirical) evidence demonstrates the inability of ‘central planning’ to out-perform the free

market in meeting real human needs and wants, see: the former Soviet Union and its client states in Central and Eastern Europe. All of this had been predicted by von Mises ; [Robert L. Formaini. “Ludwig von Mises, Economic Insights, 6 (4); available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei0104.html] and Hayek [Robert L. Formaini. 1999. “Hayek – Social Theorist of the Century,” Economic Insights, 4 (1); also available at: www.dallasfed.org/research/ei/ei9901] in their debates with communists/socialists during the 1920s. Gwartney and Stroup continue, “When private property and freedom of exchange are present, market prices will register the choices of literally millions of consumers, producers, and resource suppliers and bring them into harmony. Prices will reflect information about consumers preferences, costs and matters related to timing, location, and circumstances that are well beyond the comprehension of any individual

or central-planning authority. This single summary statistic – the market price – provides producers with everything they need to know in order to bring their actions into harmony with the actions and

preferences of others [consumers and suppliers]. The market price directs and motivates both producers and resource suppliers to provide those things that others [consumers] value highly, relative to their costs.” (24-5, emphasis added) For a detailed explanation, see: F.A. Hayek.1945. “The Use of Knowledge in Society.,” American Economic Review, 35, 4, 519-530. (This a difficult article, but well worth the effort.)In a brief, telling statement, Gwartney and Stroup, noting that central planning is unnecessary, write,

“When the prices of these [wheat, houses, furniture] and other products indicate that consumers value them as

much or more than their production costs, producers seeking personal gain will supply them….producers will

seek out the best resource combination and most cost-effective production methods because lower costs mean higher profits” (25-6)

10. Ignoring Secondary Effects and Long-term Consequences is the Most Common Source of Error in Economics. Gwartney and Stroup attribute Henry Hazlitt (Economics in One Lesson) with pointing out the

importance of ‘secondary’ and ‘long-term’ effects of human decisions. “Hazlitt’s one lesson was, that when

analyzing an economic proposal, one:

must trace not merely the immediate results but the results in the long run, not merely the primary consequences but the secondary consequences, and not merely the effects on some special group but the effects on everyone.(27, emphasis in the original)

Gwartney and Stroup conclude: “It is difficult to argue with this point [failure to adhere to this warning is the most common source of economic error]. Time and again, politicians stress the short-term benefits derived from a policy, while completely ignoring longer-term consequences. Similarly, there seems to be an endless pleading for proposals to help specific industries, regions, or groups without considering their impact on the broader community, including taxpayers and consumers.” (27, emphasis added) They

report

sadly, ”Of course, much of this is deliberate…When the benefits are immediate and easily visible, while the

costs are less visible and mostly in the future, it will be easier for interest groups to sell befuddled economic

reasoning.” (27) They cite: rent controls – more housing for the poor, lower returns for landlords, less construction of rental units, increased shortages and declining quality of existing rental units… They thenquote a Swedish economist: “In many cases rent control appears to be the most efficient technique

presently known to destroy a city – except for bombing.” (28) Rent controls create SLUMS…Next, they identify tariffs and quotas to ‘protect jobs’ as an example of ignoring long run, secondary effects…tariffs/quotas

on foreign (imported) automobiles serve to protect jobs in Detroit and increase automobile prices, auto consumers must curtail consumption of other goods and services, resulting in job losses in other industries…fewer foreign cars sold, exporting nations have fewer dollars with which to purchase US manufactured goods further affecting employment in non-automobile producing industries in the US!!!Gwartney and Stroup conclude: “Once the secondary effects are considered, the impact on employment is clear. The restrictions do not create jobs; they reshuffle them.” (29, emphasis added) Other examples include government spending on favorite projects and minimum wage legislation….

Library Scholarly journals may be located in the periodical section of the library Assignments: (The Third Level).

Written The individual article summaries will comprise one of the written Communication communication requirements in this course. Please note that the cards= Requirements: format, particularly the Bibliographic material, should conform to those

found in the Chicago Manual of Style.

Oral Class participation constitutes the demonstration of oral Communication communication skills. At all times, class discussion and class Requirements: participation is strongly encouraged.

Computer Use of the Internet for data searches, articles from scholarly journals Applications: and data manipulation are encouraged. The need for students to access the

instructor=s home page to download syllabi, class materials, and project

instructions serves as an additional set of computer applications.

International Mankiw devotes several chapter to international issues. Lectures and Coverage: handouts are used to augment the international component of this course.

Environmental Externalities/market failures, as well as government policies, are used Issues Covered: to examine environmental issues. In addition, the regulatory response and

burden on private markets are discussed. The role of private property in a

free-market economy and its implications for economic efficiency vis-a-vis the public provision of goods and services are examined in the so-called

>tragedy of the commons=.

Ethical Issues Ethical issues related to illegal or immoral activity within the economy

will Covered: be discussed where and as appropriate. This is particularly appropriate, given recent scandals—Enron, Global Crossing, etc. and elected governmental officials. Since the course addresses aggregates, aggregate behavior of producers, consumers, regulators will be considered.

Academic Integrity: Each student is expected to do his/her own work on assigned activities and on all quizzes. An understanding of what constitutes plagiarism and abuse of copyright >fair use= laws is expected of each student.

Students With Students with a disability, as defined under the Americans with Disabilities: Disabilities Act (ADA), who may require special classroom

accommodations, should inform the instructor of any special needs during the first week of class. Students should also contact the Office of Disabled Services Programs (620-2769) immediately.