preview slides: future focus & theme group meeting · theme group meeting march 20, 2012 ....
TRANSCRIPT
Preview slides:
Future Focus &
Theme Group Meeting March 20, 2012
Chapel Hill 2020:
Overview of Development Scenarios
5 Focus Areas
&
Downtown
NC-54
15-501 North
15-501 South
MLK North
MLK South
Downtown
5 Focus Areas
NC-54
15-501 North
15-501 South
MLK North
MLK South
Scenario 1:
Incremental Growth
Scenario 2:
Modest Redevelopment
Scenario 3:
Transit-Oriented Growth
3 Scenarios
• Existing planned
projects
• Development of
vacant lands and
undeveloped parcels
• Limited
redevelopment
• Limited new road
investment
• Tweaking of zoning
Scenario 1:
Incremental Growth
Low Density
Commercial
Low Density
Residential
Open Space
• Major investment in
new roads,
streetscapes and
ped/bike facilities
• Significant
redevelopment of
existing properties
in corridors
• Modifications and
additions to existing
zoning
• District/Corridor
Plans for key
development areas
Scenario 2:
Modest Redevelopment
Low Density
Mixed Use
High Density
Commercial
New Streets
Scenario 3:
Transit-Oriented Growth
High Density
Residential
High Density
Mixed Use
• High Density
Redevelopment
around potential
transit stops
• More Mixed-Use
• Integrated open
space
• Emphasis on tight
street network
• District/Corridor
Plans for key
development areas
• New TOD and/or
Form-Based Zoning
Districts
Chapel Hill 2020:
Scenario Indicators
Project Background
• Scenario planning provides a
forum, process, set of tools, and
measureable outcomes so
stakeholders might contemplate
alternative growth futures.
• Allows stakeholders the
opportunity to measure results
and evaluate the trade-offs
associated with competing
scenarios.
• Scenarios presented are not
apples-to-apples or cumulative
comparisons.
Study Area Boundaries
MLK — North
MLK — South
Downtown
N 15-501
S 15-501
NC 54
Outside Defined Sub-Areas
Our evaluation focused on six sub-
areas within the Town’s planning
jurisdiction, including:
Trade-offs between the three
scenarios were reported at sub-area
and community-wide levels. Quick Fact:
The sub-areas in this study
account for 24.3% of the
land area inside the Town’s
planning jurisdiction.
Tonight’s Presentation
• Dwelling Unit Counts
• Non-Residential Square Footage
• New CHCCS Students
• Potable Water Demand
• Sanitary Sewer Service Demand
• Demand for New Parkland
• Town Operating Revenue Potential
• Town Operating Expenditure Potential
• Net Operating Revenue Potential
• Average Automobile Emissions
• Residential Energy Use
• Commercial Energy Use
• Development in Watersheds
• Development in Impaired Watersheds
• Demand for New Public Space
(in mixed-use development)
• Total Daily Vehicle Trips
• Total Daily Transit Trips
• Average Population Density
• Average Employment Density
• Jobs – Housing Proximity
• Adjacency to Proposed Light
Rail Transit Service
• Proximity to Proposed Light
Rail Transit Service
• Proximity to Proposed Bus
Rapid Transit Service
Scenario 0: Trend Development
Scenario-at-a-Glance
• Total Population =
• Total Employment =
• Population Density =
• Employment Density =
• General Res. Density =
• General Non-Res Intensity =
78,553
78,874
7.62 p / r ac
23.88 e / nr ac
3.46 du / r ac
0.22 FAR
Key Growth Drivers
• Implements Current Comprehensive Plan
• Favors greenfield development patterns
• Minimal infrastructure investment
Notes:
p / r ac = persons per residential acre e / nr ac = employees per non-residential acre du / r ac = dwelling units per residential acre
Scenario 1: Incremental Growth
Scenario-at-a-Glance
• Total Population =
• Total Employment =
• Population Density =
• Employment Density =
• General Res. Density =
• General Non-Res Intensity =
79,617
78,819
7.89 p / r ac
22.70 e / nr ac
3.58 du / r ac
0.21 FAR
Key Growth Drivers
• New growth follows committed projects
• Favors greenfield development patterns
• Limited infrastructure investment
Notes:
p / r ac = persons per residential acre e / nr ac = employees per non-residential acre du / r ac = dwelling units per residential acre
Scenario 2: Modest Redevelopment
Scenario-at-a-Glance
• Total Population =
• Total Employment =
• Population Density =
• Employment Density =
• General Res. Density =
• General Non-Res Intensity =
80,261
83,394
8.03 p / r ac
22.93 e / nr ac
3.66 du / r ac
0.21 FAR
Key Growth Drivers
• Committed + proposed projects
• Favors greenfield development patterns
• Modest redevelopment of existing parcels
• Focus on new road and bicycle /
pedestrian access
Notes:
p / r ac = persons per residential acre e / nr ac = employees per non-residential acre du / r ac = dwelling units per residential acre
Scenario 3: Transit-Oriented Growth
Scenario-at-a-Glance
• Total Population =
• Total Employment =
• Population Density =
• Employment Density =
• General Res. Density =
• General Non-Res Intensity =
99,038
87,408
9.64 p / r ac
26.02 e / nr ac
4.47 du / r ac
0.23 FAR
Key Growth Drivers
• Committed + proposed projects
• Some greenfield development
Notes:
p / r ac = persons per residential acre e / nr ac = employees per non-residential acre du / r ac = dwelling units per residential acre
Chapel Hill 2020:
Comparison of Development
Scenarios
February 16, 2012 Workshops
North MLK
• Suggestion that boundary include
Highway Site north of I-40 going
towards Hillsborough
• I-40 exit critical to the development
potential
• Area west of railroad and south of
landfill – Light Industrial/Research
Park
• Mixed use in area of Lakeview MHP
• Mixed use at Timberlyne from MLK –
low density
• Protect green areas/Rural Buffer
• Balanced walkable scale and
responsive development, not stand-
alone retail
• Low-medium density around Weaver
Dairy Road
What we heard
North MLK Land Use
Institutional
High Density
Mixed-Use
High Density
Residential
North MLK Connections
Greenway
Pedestrian Oriented
South MLK
• Need more detail on the environmental
impacts
• Preserve gateway character of Chapel
Hill
• Development should be well
transitioned, not imposing
• Compact urban forms are desirable
• Concern about future needs on Estes
Road
• Estes should include bike paths and
transit opportunities
• Include green space south of
Bolinwood
• More connectivity to Downtown and
UNC
What we heard
South MLK Land Use
Low Density Mixed-Use
Preserved Open Space
South MLK Connections
Transit Oriented Development
PED/Bike Friendly Streets
Highway 54
• Boundary changes to include the
intersection with 15-501 and the area
surrounding the Friday Center
• Focus density and mixed use (with
parking included) around the Friday
Center proposed station
• Maintain “green gateway” along 54
• Focus intensity and a mix of uses
around proposed LRT and BRT stops
• For the most part the highest density
that should be reached is 4-6 stories
• Step down density away from transit
stops and towards existing residential
• Focus growth within Orange County
limits
• Include UNC’s plans for their
properties in future development
strategies
What we heard
Highway 54 Land Use
High Density Mixed-Use
Community Park
Highway 54 Connections
Pedestrian Oriented
Transit Oriented
North 15/501
• Acknowledged high development potential
• Preferred Scenario 3 with Light Rail and Bus
Rapid Transit
• Gateway site (south-west corner of 15/501 and
I40 intersection) and University Mall major
development potential – high density mixed –
use/commercial/residential
• High Density towards 15/501 transitioning to
medium density towards the neighborhoods
and medium density along Franklin Street
• American Legion developed as public open
space
• Enhance Connectivity - Circulator road, east-
west streets between Franklin Street and
15/501, Connect Legion & Old chapel Hill
• Greenways connecting open spaces, existing
trails and major development areas
• Include Blue Cross Blue Shield (and UNC) in
discussion about potential collaboration and
development.
What we heard
North 15/501 Land Use
Low Density Mixed-Use
Low Density Commercial
North 15/501 Connections
Complete Streets
Greenway Trail
South 15/501
• Potential to expand
boundary south and west
• Protect waterways and open
spaces
• Park and ride is integral to
Southern Village
• Area should be walkable
and bikeable
• Be conscious of the
corridors character
• Maintain sensitivity to
environmental issues
• Create safe connections
across 15/501
• Protect water quality
• Transit is integral for traffic
mitigation
What we heard
South 15/501