presentation november 2011
DESCRIPTION
Petroleum PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Exploration & Development in Kurdistan November, 2011
A Lundin Group Company 2
In the Heart of the Middle East: Kurdistan 3
Sources:
* BP Statistical Review 2010
** Dr. Ashti Hawrami, Minister for Natural Resources, KRG
» Over 55% of the World’s oil reserves
are in the Middle East *
» Kurdistan region is projected to have
70 billion barrels of oil reserves and
200 TCM of gas**
» Kurdistan is the only region in the
Middle East which is open to industry
with good commercial terms
Kurdistan
ShaMaran in the Land of the Giants 4
Pursuing Exploration, Appraisal & Development Opportunities.....
.....in one of the World’s most prolific petroleum provinces
Kurdistan in Earliest Phase of Exploration
» Less than 10 exploration wells drilled in
Kurdistan prior to 2006 due to politics and predominance of Kirkuk
» Prior drilling based on surface anticlines and seeps - no seismic
» 25 wells drilled in the last 5 years with over 70% success rate for finding oil
5 5
Legend
Oil Field Gas Field Prospect
KURDISTAN
Additional Industry Interest Imminent 6
Oklahoma Land Rush, April 1889
» Most of the prospective acreage has been taken up
» Largest oil companies working in the south are not working in
Kurdistan
» Passing of the Oil & Gas Law would spark a significant
additional interest in Kurdistan
» New entrants will have to pay a huge premium to get into
Kurdistan
» Consolidation has commenced: Several recent deals (Afren,
Hess, Maersk Oil, Oryx, Repsol, PetroCeltic, Genel/Vallares)
Kurdistan
Asset Summary
* Held through a 33.5% interest in General Exploration
Partners Inc. (GEP)
** Formerly known as Block K42
7
ShaMaran has one of the best acreage
positions in Kurdistan:
» Pulkhana oilfield appraisal / development
» Atrush world class oil discovery
» Two high potential exploration blocks
Map showing current and near future well activity
7
Block
ShaMaran
Working
Interest
Partners
Operator
Gross
Acres
Status
Pulkhana 60% Petoil 20%, KRG 20% ShaMaran 130,862 Appraisal & Development
Arbat 60% KRG 20% + 20% ShaMaran 240,549 Exploration
Taza** 20% Oil Search 60%, KRG
20%
Oil Search 124,784 Exploration
Atrush* 26.8%* Aspect Energy 53.2%,
Marathon 20%
GEP* 66,469 Exploration / Discovery
The Opportunity 8
» Experienced management team with Kurdistan experience
» Financial strength
» Execution excellence
» Structuring to become the leading oil company in KRG
»Extremely attractive exploration acreage in KRG
»Billion+ barrel PIIP potential
»Aggressive drilling program to commence by year end
»Major new discovery with upside
»Plans for an aggressive appraisal / programme including an EPS
»3D seismic in progress
»Capacity to be a world class producer on development
Pulkhana Atrush
New Ventures
Taza / Arbat
Exploration
» Previous discovery on block
»Significant contingent resources + upside
»Appraisal and workover drilling
»Early production system (EPS)
being implemented
»Potential production of
up to 10kbopd within
12 months*
Existing
Discoveries
Growth
*Internal estimate
Atrush Update 9
» Gross oil column of over 700 meters. 120 meters net matrix in the Jurassic with additional 140 meters potential net pay in Jurassic Butmah and Cretaceous
» Atrush-1 tested over 6000 bopd (from three Jurassic horizons, equipment constrained). Potential for flow rates >15,000 bopd* (PI > 200 bpd/psi)
» Possible upside in the sub-thrust trap and extension of Swara Tika discovery into the Atrush block
» Approved Appraisal Work Programme:
» Post-discovery 3D seismic acquisition in progress
» Atrush-2 appraisal well location under construction (Q2 2012 spud)
» Planning EPF for long-term testing
» Planning recompletion of Atrush-1
*Internal estimate based on engineering data
Atrush-1 Mus Formation Test (March 2011)
Atrush 3D Seismic Acquisition 10
Drilling seismic shot holes on the slopes
Vibroseis Acquisition in front of the Atrush feature
Atrush-1 Jurassic Oil Discovery 11
Atrush discovery
Gross Volumetrics* (MMBO) Low
(1C)
Best
(2C)
High
(3C)
Discovered Jurassic STOIIP 1075 1423 1891
Contingent Resources 161 355 661
* Post-Drill Evaluation, August 2011 (RPS Energy for GEP)
Gross Prospective Resources*
(MMBO)
Low
(1C)
Best
(2C)
High
(3C)
Cretaceous STOIIP 15 208 451
Jurassic STOIIP 125 220 416
Footwall STOIIP 9 59 196
Cretaceous Resources 3 62 180
Jurassic Resources 19 55 146
Footwall Resources 1 15 69
12 Pulkhana Oilfield
» Legacy discovery on trend to major fields in the area (tested 2,950 bopd from two horizons in Pulkhana-5 in 1956)
» Awarded as a field appraisal / development project. One of the four PSCs awarded prior to permanent Iraq constitution
One of the many oil seeps on the Pulkhana structure
Jambur 1.2 BBO
Kirkuk 26 BBO
Pulkhana
1956 well tested
>2,900 bopd oil
13 Pulkhana Update: PLK-8RE
» Legacy well PLK-8 tested oil from the Shiranish at 2500-3500 bopd
» Much improved rates from the 1957 & 2006 tests (av. 600-700 bopd) despite debris and mud losses from 2006 drilling
» Significant fracture system providing high deliverability
» Better Shiranish oil quality than expected (31.6 deg API, low gas and very low H2S content)
» Successfully drilled additional 60m reservoir section
» Planning for well to be connected to Early Production Facility during 2012
PLK-8RE Testing Shiranish formation (October 2011)
13
14 Pulkhana Upside Revealed in PLK-9
» Significant upside of over 500+ MMB PIIP* (additional potential in the north & in deeper zones and along the fault trend)
» Post-test confirmation of pre-existing proven
» Euphrates (120m potential gross column)
» Shiranish (no contact confirmed)
» Additional potential
» Oil in Eocene Jaddala (31-34° API oil, (140m gross oil column, Oil Down To)
» Dhiban (based on logs)
» Balambo (380m potential gross column with oil shows to well TD)
» Untested deeper potential in Jurassic
» Pulkhana-9 geological sidetrack in progress to retest the Cretaceous sections openhole
14
Abundant oil over shakers while
drilling PLK-9 (Balambo
formation)
Testing Shiranish in
Pulkhana-8RE
*Internal estimates based on 2D seismic
Arbat Update
A B
C
D
E
F
15
» High potential exploration block (over 930 km2 with active petroleum system – surface seeps)
» Two prospects (Potential PIIP 600 MMB*):
» Arbat-A: Main prospect (Arbat-1) – regional Jurassic & Triassic reservoirs
» Arbat-B: Shallow Cretaceous prospect (success could prove the shallow Cretaceous play in the block)
» Four major leads with significant mean resource potential in excess of 2.2 billion barrels PIIP**
» Acquisition of up to 200 kms of infill 2D seismic in progress to firm up the leads
» Arbat-A well location approved with start of civil engineering imminent
Arbat
*McDaniel & Associates ; **Internal estimates based on 2D seismic and regional reservoir properties
Arbat Structural Leads – Large Surface Anticlines 16
3 large surface anticlines:
» Lead E has closure in dip direction – Strike direction to be determined by new seismic
» Lead F has closure in strike direction – Dip direction to be determined by new seismic
» Possible closure in front of Lead E (similar to Arbat A prospect)
17 Taza Update
» Option agreement converted to PSC
» Significant drillable 4-way dip-closed prospect
identified on trend to Jambur (1.2 BBO) and
Sarqala (WZR)
» Presence of surface oil seep and proven oil on
trend increases chance for oil rather than gas
» Planning underway to drill an exploration well in
Q1/Q2 2012 – PTD ~3400m MD
» High flow rates in excess of 9000 bopd from
ontrend Sarqala well (Jeribe Fm) provides
optimism for main Jeribe target
One of the Taza Block Oil Seeps
K42
*2011 Operator estimates for Jeribe, Euphrates & Shiranish only
18 Taza Prospect
» Five regional reservoir targets: Jeribe,
Euphrates/Serikagni, Kirkuk Group, Jaddala and
Shiranish
» Estimated mean recoverable oil of 545 million
barrels, with billion barrel potential*
» Internal & Third party audit of all potential
reservoirs ongoing (due year end)
Taza Prospect
*2011 Operator /Internal estimates for Jeribe, Euphrates & Shiranish oil only case
A
A’
A
A’
Gross Prospective Resources*
(MMBO)
Mean Low
(1C)
Best
(2C)
High
(3C)
Oil Only case 586 94 460 1106
Converting Resources to Reserves 19
Aggressive Schedule:
Subject to partner and Government approval
Key Issues / Risks
Politics: » Moving in the right direction. Petroleum Law in Parliament
» Baghdad & Erbil working towards resolutions of issues
» Cost recovery payments on exports from Kurdistan a major
milestone
Gas vs. Oil: » Two assets (Pulkhana & Atrush) are oil only
» Increasing evidence that the two exploration blocks are
outside of the main gas-risk fairway
Drilling Operations: » Technical & managerial staff with multi-well (10+) and 5+
years Kurdistan experience
» Atrush drilled on time and within budget
» Pulkhana reservoirs significantly shallower than
neighbouring blocks that experienced operating difficulties in
the south
» First operated well drilled within budget. Geological sidetrack
in progress
20
Area that appears more gas prone
(SNM blocks outside of region)
Building Value 21
Valuations are difficult due to lack of pure or publicised transactions
Internal estimated value of Contingent Resources / 2P reserves in the range of $4-$8 per barrel
*McDaniel & Associates (2010 Report) / RPS Energy (post-drill Atrush-1)
Lundin Group Track Record for Shareholder Return 22
Company 2002 Present Notes
Tanganyika $0.55/share $13.5 million MC
$31.50/share $1.9 billion MC
Sold to Sinopec 2008
Valkyries $0.45/share $4 million MC
$16.00/share $750 million MC
Sold to Lundin Petroleum 2006
Red Back $1.35/share (2000) $45.4 million MC
$30.50/share $8.98 billion MC
Sold to Kinross in 2010
Lundin Petroleum U $0.41/share U $101 million MC
$19.00/share
US $6.2 billion MC
+ Enquest spin off US$1.2 billion MC
Active
BlackPearl $0.25/share $2.1 million MC
$3.79/share $1.1 billion MC
Active
NGEx Resources $0.40/share $33.8 million MC
$2.78/share $421 million MC
Active
Lundin Mining $0.60/share $4.6 million MC
$3.91/share $2.34 billion MC
Active
Health, Safety & Environment (HSE)
» Good working relationship with local authorities, communities in the area
» Excellent Corporate HSE record
» No security incidents in the area of operations
» Targeted CSR projects have created goodwill in the area
23
Key Points 24
»One of the best acreage positions in one of most prospective areas in the world
»Size potential of SNM’s projects similar to recent discoveries in Kurdistan
»Cash >$ 25 million
»Mean unrisked PIIP (gross) in excess of 3.3 billion barrels in four projects*
» Two discoveries and two high potential exploration plays
»Early production systems in planning stage to allow future exploration / appraisal activity to
be funded from cash flow
»Significant industry interest imminent from major players currently operating in the south. A
number of high-profile deals announced in recent months
*McDaniel & Associates / RPS Energy
Profile & Contacts
» Symbol TSX V: SNM
» Share Capital
Issued and outstanding 680,483,860 shares
Fully diluted 683,717,194 shares
» Directors and Management
» Keith Hill, Chairman of the Board
» Pradeep Kabra, Director, President and CEO
» Brenden Johnstone, CFO
» Mark Grace, Exploration Manager
» Serge Manciet, Drilling Manager
» J. Cameron Bailey, Director
» Alex Schneiter, Director
» Gary Guidry, Director
» Brian Edgar, Director
» ShaMaran Petroleum Corp
Pradeep Kabra, President & CEO
5 Chemin de la Pallanterie
1222 Vésenaz
Geneva
Switzerland
Tel: +41 22 560 8600
Fax: +41 22 560 8601
Email: [email protected]
» Investor Relations
Sophia Shane
Namdo Management Services
Suite 2000
885 West Georgia Street
Vancouver, BC, Canada V6C 3E8
Tel: +1 604 689 7842
Fax: +1 604 689 4250
Email: [email protected]
www.shamaranpetroleum.com
25
26 Cautionary Statements
This document contains statements about expected or anticipated future events and financial results that are
forward-looking in nature and, as a result, are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, such as legal and
political risk, civil unrest, general economic, market and business conditions, the regulatory process and
actions, technical issues, new legislation, competitive and general economic factors and conditions, the
uncertainties resulting from potential delays or changes in plans, the occurrence of unexpected events and
management’s capacity to execute and implement its future plans. Actual results may differ materially from
those projected by management. References to regional and un-related company oil resources are sourced
from industry and other websites. References to resource volume potential and potential flow rates are for
general information only and are subject to confirmation. Further, any forward-looking information is made only
as of a certain date and the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking information or
statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or reflect the
occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required by applicable securities laws. New factors
emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for management of the Company to predict all of these factors
and to assess in advance the impact of each such factor on the Company’s business or the extent to which
any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any
forward-looking information.