presentation mark waechter
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Mobile as MediumA Snapshot on the German Market
Mark WächterMobile Strategy Consultant, MWC.mobi
Head of Section Mobile, BVDW Association
Chairman and Co-Founder, MobileMonday Germany
Board of Directors, Mobile Marketing Association MMA
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German Market Trends� 28 m new devices have been sold in 2010
� 30% Smartphones (accelerating!)
� 1 of 4 Germans have a Smartphone (14 – 29y: 1 of 3)
� Every 2 years Germans change their mobile device
� Growth engine in Non-Voice-Revenue: Mobile Internet (MI)� But still only 10% of Mobile User go regularly online (iPhone user: 100%)
� iOS: 20% share in Smartphone market in 2010, but 80% share in MI access
� MI Driver: mobile email, apps, social networking, LBS, navigation, LTE
� Service Provider (all 4 MNOs in one shop) consolidate
� Since 1st MVNO hit Germany in 2004 enormous segmentation took place� All 4 MNOs launched own “no frills” offers
� 140 MVNOs more or less established� SIM only, Branded Reseller, Pure Data, Free Mobile Portal + SIM, …
� 5 MVNEs established
� NRW is “The Mobile Power of Germany”� 3 of 4 MNOs
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Market Share per activated SIM(market saturation: 133%)
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SP/MVNOMarket Share:∼ 30%
... based onthese MNOs:
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MOU outbound / day (in million)
-------- Fixed -- Wireless (≈30%)
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Blended ARPU Development in €55% Prepaid
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Market Share per Revenueincl. SPs (100% = 24,3 bn. €)
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- approx. 19“ SIMs
- 54% Prepaid
- 1.000 shops
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Mill. Messages/day x all networks∼ 36 bn. SMS / year
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Non-SMS Data is driver for
growth in Non-Voice-ARPU
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SMS
MMS
Data
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# of users who regularly use 3G
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Data volume in Mobile Networks grows dramatically !
Per-User-Consumption equals 2% of Fixed Internet
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Total Mobile Data Volume p.a.
Avg. Mobile Data Volume per User per Month
LTE Roll-Out
in Germany
• all 4 MNOs acquiredspectrum
• start of LTE roll-outend of 2010
• rural areas first target
• Telekom LTEcoverage on the right
(dark magenta spots)
as of May 2011
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Mobile as Medium: A Snapshot
� At the age of 14 everybody has a mobile phone – with a strong downward drift.
� The structure of the users of Mobile Web equals that of the Internet users around the year 2000.
� Only 10% of the population uses the Mobile Web frequently – over 8m people.
� Media-Spending in Mobile are in avg. around 1%- for some brands already at 5%.
� Population of the Mobile Web doubles each year!
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Smart Phones, High Bandwidth and
Access on Data in the Net
Augmented Reality
Voice Search
Picture Recognition
Translation
Navigation
...
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Mobile as Medium bridges
between real and digital world!
LOCATION
NAVIGATION
CHECK IN
CONTEXT
MOBILE IS THE
CENTRAL ACCESS
CHANNEL
FOR COMPANIES
TO REACH THEIR
TARGET GROUP
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Mobile First:A Mobile Strategy gets essential …
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Düsseldorf
The city has long become a
prime location for mobile
telecommunications
companies, exerting
enormous attraction at all
levels of the value creation
hierarchy, from Asian
infrastructure giants to
innovative SMEs that have
formed locally. A leading
location in an international
perspective, Düsseldorf is
home to more than 1,500
companies from the
information and
communications technology
sector. Its unique
ecosystem of companies,
industry associations and
institutions has made
Düsseldorf …
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Düsseldorf ⎮ DUS
A truly Mobile Capital
� > 50% of all SIMs distributed out of DUS� E-Plus, Vodafone
� > 50% of all Devices sold out of DUS� LG, Nokia, RIM, Sony Ericsson
� Infrastructure Giants choose DUS as hub� Ericsson, Huawei, NSN, ZTE
� DUS as initial point of important pilots� LTE, NFC/RFID, Future Store
� Excellent climate for SMEs and Start-Ups� „Where Business meets Lifestyle“
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Globally
Connected
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Europe
Japan China
India
North
America
Russia
Japanies companies with Mobile LoB invested in Düsseldorf
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• Docomo / net mobile
• Mitsui
• NEC
• NTT
• Renesas Electronics
• Sharp
• Sony Ericsson
• Toshiba
• Yokowo