presentation for london investment week 19.02.2015 final edit

London Investor ShowTrends for 2016:

The Silent Megacrash & Depression, creeping up on you

since 2011with Francis D Hunt aka ‘The Market Sniper’

Introduction & Session Plan

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

1. Introduction

Who am I?

Why should you care?

What I am going to tell you today

2. The Detail

I. MegaCrash Part 1 – The Banks

III. MegaCrash Part 2 – China, Cargo & Commodities

III. MegaCrash Part 3 – The Indices

Introduction & Session Plan


4. Summary & Conclusion

5. A small quick fire slide of predictions

6. Your Personal Solution.. And must do’s right now!

7. Learn More Quickly

8. How to engage me, should you wish

9. Questions

Part 1 - Who am I?


Trading for 26 years across most markets

Originator of the Hunt Volatility Funnel [HVF] Set up & Theory

MBA in International Finance & Economics

Member of the STA

Why should you care?


So what?

Utilising HVF Theory – Landed Major investing & trading Themes, e.g.–

1. Euro Crisis, Mk I, Mk II & MK III

• EURCHF floor to fail in January 2015 – for a 30% FX Trade overnight

• EURCHF Nov 2009 Fail prediction for 1400 pips & preceding the 2010 Jan ‘Greek Crisis Mk I’

Eurozone Crisis & Later 2015 Floor fail


Floor Fail in January EURCHF


Eurozone Crisis & Later 2015 Floor fail


30% FX move in under an hour


Retail Broker cost of Floor Fail in EURCHF


The Great Energy sell off - Brent 2014


The September Equity 2014, deflation sell off


The August Equity 2015, sell off. We traded USDJPY for a 62.5 RRR


The August Equity 2015, sell off. The break for Indices


The August Equity 2015, sell off. What happened next


So Far we have picked the downlegs, are you ready for the main course?


The Great Energy sell off - Brent 2014/15



Ferrexpo Plc (FXPO)BEFORE


• After target, 40% left on first Inverse HVF in a new trend likely to over-perform. • set up over-performance bands to manage.

Ferrexpo Plc (FXPO)AFTER

40% was closed for a 1:9.48risk to reward ratio

on over-performance


• Short call 2014, captured as it was breaking at 1020 • First inverse HVF in new trend, anticipated over-performance • target 881 - strong overshoot just touched 800.

Rolls Royce (RR)BEFORE


Rolls Royce (RR)BEFORE


GPX - 70% Market Cap decimationBEFORE

• Textbook inverse HVF • Perfect set up with a windup within • 70% devaluation performed well • Entered short from 102 to exit at target of 28.75


Gulf Sands petroleum (GPX)BEFORE

• Textbook inverse HVF • Perfect set up with a windup within • 70% devaluation performed well • Entered short from 100 to exit at target of 27.75

A MegaCrash that will destroy Trillions


1. A near Global Central Bank Controlled monetary experiment that has gone wrong.

2. The Central banking Cabal lead by the Fed, had limited options to them post the DotCom Boom.

3. They have continued to play the same card to ever further extremes & the game is up

4. We are on the verge of an imminent Crash, & the old painkillers don’t work anymore if they ever did.

3 Reasons why.


1. MegaCrash 1 - The Banks Again

2. MegaCrash 2 – China, Cargo & Commodities

3. MegaCrash 3 – The Equity Indices

The Banks Again!


The Banks Again.

Was Anything much rectified post 2008


Bank Crisis MKII – Deutsche Bank BailIn, Barclays Next


Mega Crash Part II

The Banking Crisis MK II

1. In September 2015 I made a YouTube Clip, Deutsche to Go Bust ergo Bail in/out etc..

2. In fact we expect it to be the early break, of a more broader MK II bank failure and bail ins/outs round

3. With a UK Bank next to follow Deutsche.. Barclays Bank4. Prediction Mark Carney will be pressed to ‘confirm’ Barclays &

British Banking is Strong, within the next 3 months.


Mega Crash Main Stream Media Arrives Banking Part II


Bank Crisis MKII – Deutsche Bank Bail In/Out,


Deutsche Bank Bail In/Out currently 13.23 from 30 during our call


The Odd Derivative - Euro 54.7 Trillion X20 GDP, X5 EU GDP


Deutsche Bank - 5Year CDS


If this was a mining stock what would you think comes next?


Barclays gives up the 200 level


Barclays Breaks & gives up the 200 level


Standard Chartered, Dodged Sub Prime how is it doing?


Standard Chartered, Keep on keeping on


STAN Daily Inverse HVFBEFORE

• called at the end of 2013 when an inverse HVF was forming • called a short from 1550 to collapse to 1240


• made our target • set up another Inverse HVF in 2014

STAN Daily Inverse HVFAfter

Trend Continuation + Pattern + Volatility Squeeze = Traders Edge


Standard Chartered, We traded many of the set ups the next


Standard Chartered, Dodged Sub Prime how is it doing?


Final Comment on Banks, Debt & Liquidity

Part 2 - China, Cargo & Commodities - 2011


How is it Looking In China, Commodities & Global Trade?

The Baltic Dry Index


Maersk – ‘Its worse than 2008!’


Dr Copper the Industrial Metal of Building


We Traded it on an Inverted HVF


Contained initial fall, that got disorderly later


…and again on short timeframes 230 for run to 200


…Target, then Broadening & dip


AUD/NZD – Key Inflection points Monthly Chart


AUD/NZD – Key Inflection points Weekly Chart 2011


Brent Oil – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart



Part 3 - Indices - Apocalypse Now’ish

Equities & Indices

1. A suckers rally will be on the way, not exactly clear how long it may last

2. Very soon to be followed by a worse than 2008 Equity Market complete blood bath, particularly in the US

3. Guest appearance the USDJPY aka the ‘Fear Index’4. Hear are my Technical Reasons…

The Indices


With the FED being the fulcrum of the Central Banking Cartel.

Lets examine US Indices


Your 7 year feast from bottom of 2009 - Dow


Thought ‘Head & Shoulders’ was a shampoo?- Dow


Seen this movie before? Meet Mr 2007 - 50%+ dive – Dow14,200 to 6,500


Golden over extended S&P


Moar H&S’s


Its Started Already Russell 2000, a small company index


Super Extended Nasdaq has a ‘Fake out’ Rally in it first


Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY


Fibo extended USDJPY weekly


Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY weekly

Conclusions


1. Key Major European and UK Banks [US too] are selling off to exceedingly low market capitalization levels. No smoke without fire!

2. The derivatives bombs they hold are HUGE and were never effectively dealt with! Think of each bank as having an embedded LTCM hedge fund, only with larger leverage.

3. Junk Debt market unravelling as an early indicator of distress for both companies, Banks & Institutions holding that debt.

Conclusions


1. The Great Commodity and Energy & Industrial Metals Specific sell off, began actually in 2011, and has been in a contained fall since, on weakening China ability to hold things together under its own debt issues.

2. Shipping, Global Trade & Oil [economic activity measure] are all at extreme lows. Can a supply Glut explain it all away, from Oil, Containers & falling world trade?

3. Major Emerging markets & FX sell off - TRY, ZAR, MXN, RUB, BRL etc.., all with $ [USD] denominated debt, getting more expensive as they depreciate.

Predictions


1. Prediction Mark Carney will be pressed to ‘confirm’ Barclays & British Banking is Strong, within the next 3 months.

2. Deutsche Bank will require recapitalisation, Bail in, along with Soc Gen, Barclays, a number of Italian/Spanish/Other banks. Later in the US, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley & CitiGroup will leadthe US wobble. Expect Bail outs & in’s this time

3. Major US Indices will go into full fledged Bear territory, with falls of 25 - 60+% possible

4. Equity wise, time for Cash, Puts & Shorts + ‘button down the hatches’

5. Precious Metal Miners should be your only rare Long holdings

Predictions


1. The EURUSD will run through parity and 0.9575 levels, probably on Sovereign Debt & Banking issues. Implying the 2nd wave crisis will likely emerge there first

EURUSD Weekly Predictions


Predictions


Solutions


1. Keep High Cash levels

2. Spread deposit holdings across strongest banks

3. Have multiple Jurisdiction bank accounts – even Singapore/Uruguay

4. Be short the market generally, particularly US Markets

5. ‘button down the hatches’ on Capital Investment & Expenditure

Solutions


1. Personally Hold Physical Gold & Silver

2. Precious Metal Miners should be your only rare Long holdings

3. Learn To Trade! Especially Short right now.. It’s a little different from Buy & Hold

Learn to Trade


1. If your existing situation is:

Successes, but ‘give back’ periods, Fits & Starts progress. Need help, yet least prone to ask for it by nature – Individual Creative

2. Time to Compress Time Continuum to Attaining a ‘Shift’

The Outakes & Conclusion


1. Solution - Support :

Become a specialist at 1 thing

Have a detailed complete strategy at all levels

Have a REAL edge

Low Emotion Trading

Follow my trades




Trade with a Probability Outcome with a RRR approach

Know your Bias’s, through external assessment

Join a Private Online Community of ‘like minded’ – A Tribe

Learn Patience, Selectivity & Efficiency

Attain Precision, Relaxed Execution & Positive Outcomes




Develop your ‘self awareness’

Leave Impulse based responses behind

Mentorship

Share Common Detailed Plan

Claim ‘the shift’ in your trading

Products

www.TheMarketSniper.com

Product Includes Cost / Value

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Joining Fee - £497.00 Mthly - £127.00

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©2015 – The Market Sniper

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The End


Avoid Inertia, at key moments its time..

…To Take action


Contact Francis: [email protected]

Products & Services

The Market Sniper Trader Value Pack3 DVD set & Audio [5 hrs multi-topic]

Coming soon! Only £124.95

FREE Webinar ‘Become part of the 9%’ includes a Crash Course on HVF Theory

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presentation for london investment week 19.02.2015 final edit

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