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Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher

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Page 1: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher

Page 2: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy
Page 3: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

• Old people vote more than young people

• Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals

• Wealthy people vote more than poor people.

• Partisans/ideologues vote more than non-partisans.

Page 4: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

US Turnout in Last Twenty Years

• 50-59% in presidential elections

• 30-39% in off-year elections

• Voting Age Population (VAP) Figures

Page 5: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

1) Nature of elections

2) Weak political parties

3) Tuesday Voting

4) Registration laws

5) Apathetic citizens

Page 6: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Nature of elections

Page 7: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy
Page 8: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Nature of elections

• Numerous elections and many offices

• “Election overload”

• Educational differences point to the complexity of American elections

• Parliamentary systems may have one or two votes

• Multi-party systems have higher turnout than two party systems

Page 9: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Weak Political Parties

• Republicans and Democrats are NOT in the “turnout maximization” business; they are in the business of winning elections

Page 10: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Weak Political Parties

• 100 million voters

• 110 million voters

• 120 million voters

Get 50.1%

Page 11: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Weak Political Parties

1960 2008 Dem 43% Dem 34% Indep 23% Indep 40%Repub 32% Repub 26%

Page 12: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Weak Political Parties

Independents are much less likely to vote on election day than partisans (Republicans or Democrats)

Page 13: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Weak Political Parties

• Both parties have put more emphasis on voter mobilization in the last 10-15 years; may account for slight increase in turnout in last few elections

Page 14: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Tuesday Voting

• Raises “costs” of voting

• 1872 congressional law placing second Tuesday in November

• Many countries vote on week-ends

• Create a National Voting Day (every two years)

• Holiday or week-end voting might increase turnout by 5-7%

Page 15: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Registration Laws

• You must be registered to vote in order to vote

• “Costly” to register

• Used to be many restrictions on registration (most eliminated)

• It is VERY EASY to register to vote in 2014

• 1993 Motor Voter Law which enabled registration in many government offices

Page 16: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Registration Laws

• Registration rates have risen

• BUT percentage of registered who actually vote has fallen

• So easy to register that we have included a lot of “iffy” potential voters

Page 17: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Same Day Registration

Page 18: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Same Day Registration

• Nine states used SDR in 2012 election

SDR States 69%

Non-SDR States 58%

Every state using SDR would add 5-7% in overall turnout

Page 19: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Same Day RegistrationStates with highest turnout in 2012

MINNESOTA* 76.4%

WISCONSIN* 72.9%

NEW HAMPSHIRE* 70.9%

IOWA* 70.6%

MAINE* 69.3%

Vermont 67.7%

Maryland 67.3%

Virginia 66.5%

* SDR state

Page 20: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Apathetic Citizens

• No mandatory voting in US

• People are free to exercise their “right” to not vote

Page 21: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Apathetic Citizens

• Alienated citizens who are turned off by the nature of political campaigns or who honestly do not like the two main choices they are given

• These alienated voters could be “mobilized” with better campaigns (or better candidates)

Page 22: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Apathetic Citizens

• Truly apathetic citizens who do not care about politics

• Nothing will convince these people to participate (and that isn’t necessarily a bad thing)

Page 23: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy

Apathetic Citizens

• “Perfect voting turnout system” ….

• 80 - 85 % Turnout ?

Page 24: Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. Old people vote more than young people Highly educated individuals vote more than less educated individuals Wealthy