preparation of national tb prevalence survey in …...• 32 townships excluded from a sampling...
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National TB Prevalence survey in Myanmar
ByDr. Thandar Lwin
Programme ManagerNational TB ProgrammeDepartment of Health
58 million pop. 676,577 sq km (75/sq km)
Includes in 22 TB HBC
Est. ARTI - 1.66% (1972),
1.5% (1994)
Est. TB prev.- 162/100,000 pop.
(All TB cases)
Est. TB death rate – 13/100,000
(2006)
S+ notification rate/100,000 population in Myanmar (1997-2008)
0102030405060708090
100
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Year
per 1
00,0
00 p
opul
atio
n
Detected
Point Estimate of TB
prevalenceper 100,000 95% CI
For population aged 10 or moreEligible samples: 20792S(+) TB 58 279 193 364 New 47 226 148 304 S(-), Culture (+) TB 53 258 170 347 New 47 230 148 312 S(-), Culture (-), X-ray(+) TB suggestive 272 1318 1070 1567 New 219 1066 849 1282 Bacteriologically positive TB 111 537 421 653 New 94 456 344 568
For all populationSize of population: 25182S(+) TB (*) 58 229 161 297 * Assuming there was no smear + cases in children under 10 years
Yangon Divisional Survey (2006) (GF, WHO, JICA, JATA)- Screened for TB symptoms by interview- CXR screening- Sputum examination for those with TB symptoms and CXR abnormalities
f/b culture
National TB prevalence survey (2009)Primary objective:To determine the prevalence of pulmonary TB at a defined point in time (2009) in Myanmar:
- smear positive pulmonary TB- culture positive pulmonary TB- symptoms suggestive of TB - radiological abnormalities suggestive of pul. TB
Secondary objective:To identify •Health seeking behaviour of TB patients and individuals reporting chest symptoms•Utility of private sector•TB Risk factors such as nutrition, smoking, housing conditions (SE factors), etc.
Sample sizeSample size of 49,690 eligible subjects are required
• Capacity of the cluster work: ~ 200/day • Capacity / week: 650-750Therefore• 70 clusters, 710 eligible subjects aged 15 or more
Stratification• States (28%) and Divisions (72%)• Cluster distribution (70 clusters): States 20, Divisions 50• 32 townships excluded from a sampling frame due to
logistical difficulties to carry out field operations (2.4% of total populations)
Cluster
Preparation for survey• Protocol development and put up for the permission of
MOH and ethical committee• Secure funding• Procurement – takes 3-6 months• Develop survey field manual• Field testing of questionnaire• Provide trainings • Organize survey teams
(3 based in Yangon, 2 based in Mandalay) (2 teams operation at the same time, 8 months may be necessary to complete 70 clusters)
OrganizationCentral Steering CommitteeTechnical Advisory GroupCentral coordinating unit• Administration: Finance/Logistic management• Lab. unit• X ray unit • Statistics (Data management) unit• Field Teams
– Team leader (Dr.), 4 Interviewers, 2 X-ray Technicians and 1 Assistant, 1 Dr. for X ray screening, 3 Drivers (12 No.)
– Local: TB coordinator, Lab technician, Health workers and community volunteers (11 No.)
Survey MethodScreening:
Interview and Chest X-rayBacteriology• 2 Sputum samples (spot & early
morning home collection) will be collected from those with TB suspected symptom and/or those with defined abnormality on Chest X-ray
Microscopy/Culture
• 2 sputum specimens from TB suspects• Screen by Fluorescence microscope• Confirming only positive slides by ZN
• Culture with Egg-based Solid Mediums • Identification : PNB, Niacin test, capillia
test
2008 2009ItemOct Nov Dec Jan Feb March Apr May June July Aug Sept
Preparation for protocol
Selection of cluster
Approval from MOH, Ethical committee (DOH),
Advocacy and resource mobilization
Procurement
Training / filed testing
Pre visits
Survey operation
Technical assistance (WHO)
JICA/JATA
Time Frame
Time Frame2009 2010Item
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb March Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
Survey operationLab resultsData management and analysis
Post survey Preliminary ResultsFinal ResultsTA (WHO)TA (JICA/JATA)
BudgetItems USD %
1 Technical assistant (WHO) 8,000 0.9
2
Capital cost (Procurement)4 X-ray units with portable generator (7.5KVA)Incubators and generator (45KVA) for lab. 429170 48.9
3
Field operation cost in 70 clustersCar hiring cost and fuelFuel cost for generators 261657 29.8
4 Supervision only to 25 clusters 2,909 0.3
5 Pre visits 2 times of pre visits to each cluster 18,992 2.2
6 Training 9,174 1.0
7 Expenses for X-ray machine maintenance 6,000 0.7
Expenses for lab maintenance 5,000 0.6
8 Expenses for sputum microscopy and culture 20451 2.3
9 Central Data Management 9080 1.0
10 Stationery & printing forms 23,491 2.7
11 Contingency 2,036 0.2
13 WHO administrative cost 81,040 9.2
Total 877,001 100
Funding sourcesSources of funding Contribution
in USD Remarks
MOH/DOH/NTP Human resourceWHO 15,000 Technical Assistance
3DF 270,000 Equipment & field operational costJICA 114,000 Technical Assistance, Training and
one X-ray unit, generator for lab.JATA Technical Assistance
Bill & Melinda Gates foundation
/PSI/WHO
358,000 Equipment & field operational cost
USAID/PSI/WHO 120,000
Available budget 877,000Including WHO administrative cost (7%) for 3DF, (13%) for BMGF/USAID/PSI
Major Challenges• Timely procurement • Different funding mechanism• Human Resource Capacity of TB Lab
– Culture and quality control• Mobilization of clinical staff especially for field
works for 8 months• Staff motivation• Monsoon, rainy season
Trainings
Training
Pre testing
519 Young ladies working in a garment factory were screened and treated 3.2 S +, C+1 S neg., C neg. CXR provedwere treated
DOT at work place
Pre‐Visit:Collaboration of
local community is essential
Briefing, Preparation for census
and census
Census: Confirming eligible population and asking for participation
People who basically stay in a defined area more than two weeks are eligible population regardless the possession of their house or having
Form 10 (household register)
Structured Interview by a trained interviewers
• Basic socioeconomic data
• TB related symptoms
– Duration of sickness
• TB history
– Previous treatment
– Consultation Places
– Current Treatment
– Utilization of Public and Private Service
Home visits are carried out to those who can’t afford to come due to illness, age etc.
X-ray Cars
&
Portable X-ray machine
SubjectsReception
(1+2)
Chest X ray(1+3)
Abnormal
Lab.: Sputum Exam. Registration & collection
(1)
X ray normal
X-Ray reading
Check out &
incentive (1)
Interview (3)
Explanation if necessary
Flow Not Eligible
Team Leader
Age ≥15years Taking X‐ray
RIT/JATA provided X-ray cars
and JICA provided portable X-ray units
Developing Film and reading on the Spotusing Auto‐processor
Field X-ray reading
Quality Sputum collection and Quality Bacteriology Examinations are Keys for the Survey
Data entry and analysis
• EPI‐Info version 6.4d and STATA version 9 are used
• Data entry and validation will be done with partners
Role of partners- PSI, 3DF, WHO, JICA, JATA- Synchronized contribution of fund- Involve in Central Steering Committee- PSI – Post survey case control study- Involvement in data analysis and documentation
Lessons learnt- Quality of laboratory and laboratory capacity- Maintenance of equipment- Strong leadership- Staff motivation- Not to do survey in raining season
Recommendations to other countries- To have high political commitment- To secure fund and make sure to have simple funding mechanism- Need a full time survey coordinitor
Thank you
Outline of the presentations1.Background – map, pop2.Epidemiology – estimated incidence, notification rate3.Yangon survey result4.Outline of national survey (sample size, clusters, screening methodology)5.A photo of portable CXR6.Timeline of preparation7.Organogram, staffing8.Training – field testing9.Role of partners10.Lessons learnt11.Recommendations to other countries
Sample size• Expected prevalence of S(+) in aged 15 or more:
278.4/100,000 • Precision (d)= 20%(0.0005)• 95% Confidence Level• Participation rate 90%• Cluster effect = 1.3 from Yangon Survey experience
more precise study than that of previously planned for future comparison to show a decline, impact of the efforts
Sample size of 49,690 eligible subjects are required
Field practice: Flow of participants and placing of survey team
Nation‐wide Sputum positive point prevalence Survey in 1994
• Screened for chest symptoms• Sputum examination for TB suspects • Age 10 years and above
Examined S + Per 100,000 (95% CI)
Urban 10,946 8 73 (34-150)
Rural 26,478 31 117 (81-168)
Total 37,424 39 104 (75-144)