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Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen By Calvin Chen Technical Director Technical Director

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Page 1: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002Roadmap for Q4/2002

Premio Desktop and Intel ProcessorPremio Desktop and Intel ProcessorRoadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003

By Calvin ChenBy Calvin ChenTechnical DirectorTechnical Director

Page 2: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

AgendaAgenda

Intel Desktop Processor OverviewIntel Desktop Processor Overview

Intel Desktop Processor RoadmapIntel Desktop Processor Roadmap

-- Q4/2002, Q1/2003, Q2/2003, and Q3/2003 Breakdown-- Q4/2002, Q1/2003, Q2/2003, and Q3/2003 Breakdown

Premio Desktop RoadmapPremio Desktop Roadmap

-- Q4/2002, Q1/2003, Q2/2003, and Q3/2003 Breakdown-- Q4/2002, Q1/2003, Q2/2003, and Q3/2003 Breakdown

Other Desktop Technologies (USB, Firewire, AGP, etc.)Other Desktop Technologies (USB, Firewire, AGP, etc.)

SummarySummary

                  

Page 3: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Desktop Processor OverviewIntel Desktop Processor Overview                   

Intel’s P4 transition from the Willamette core (0.18 micro / 256K cache) to Intel’s P4 transition from the Willamette core (0.18 micro / 256K cache) to

the Northwood core (0.13 micron / 512K cache) will be complete by the the Northwood core (0.13 micron / 512K cache) will be complete by the

end of 2002end of 2002

The next phase is to transition the P4 from the 400MHz front side bus The next phase is to transition the P4 from the 400MHz front side bus

(FSB) to the faster 533MHz FSB and (FSB) to the faster 533MHz FSB and FASTEST 800MHz FSBFASTEST 800MHz FSB

By Q1/2003, the only P4 400MHz FSB CPU available will be the 2.0A GHz, By Q1/2003, the only P4 400MHz FSB CPU available will be the 2.0A GHz,

everything else will 533MHzeverything else will 533MHz

Intel’s 2003 initiative is to get Hyper-Threading (HT) enabled CPUs down Intel’s 2003 initiative is to get Hyper-Threading (HT) enabled CPUs down

to desktop systems; currently, only the P4/3.06GHz is HTto desktop systems; currently, only the P4/3.06GHz is HT

It won’t be until Q2/2003 when Intel will make a major HT push by It won’t be until Q2/2003 when Intel will make a major HT push by

releasing P4 CPUs with an even faster FSB of 800MHzreleasing P4 CPUs with an even faster FSB of 800MHz

On the Celeron side, Intel will transition to the Northwood core and On the Celeron side, Intel will transition to the Northwood core and

continue ramping up the speeds in 100MHz incrementscontinue ramping up the speeds in 100MHz increments

Celeron FSB and L2 cache will remain at 400MHz and 128KCeleron FSB and L2 cache will remain at 400MHz and 128K

Page 4: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Desktop Processor RoadmapIntel Desktop Processor Roadmap                   

P4-W = Willamette core (0.18 micron); 256K L2 cache; 400MHz FSBP4-N/400 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 400MHz FSBP4-N/533 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 533MHz FSBP4-N/800 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 800MHz FSBCeleron-W = Willamette core (0.18 micron); 128K L2 cache; 400MHz FSBCeleron-N = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 128K L2 cache; 400MHz FSBRed denotes P4 with Hyper-Threading Technology

Page 5: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Processor Q4/2002 BreakdownIntel Processor Q4/2002 Breakdown                   

The Celeron will transition to the Northwood core this quarter, so Intel can The Celeron will transition to the Northwood core this quarter, so Intel can

continue ramping up the speedcontinue ramping up the speed

Celeron will hit 2.20GHz by the end of 2002Celeron will hit 2.20GHz by the end of 2002

The Celeron (all speeds) will still be running at 400MHz FSB with 128K L2 The Celeron (all speeds) will still be running at 400MHz FSB with 128K L2

cache; the reason is because Intel doesn’t want the Celeron overlapping into cache; the reason is because Intel doesn’t want the Celeron overlapping into

the P4-Northwood (400 or 533/FSB/512K) spacethe P4-Northwood (400 or 533/FSB/512K) space

For the P4 processor, the majority will be Northwood core (512K)For the P4 processor, the majority will be Northwood core (512K)

Intel will begin to phase out the 400MHz FSB CPUs during this quarterIntel will begin to phase out the 400MHz FSB CPUs during this quarter

The fastest P4 available (and the only one with Hyper-Threading) will be the The fastest P4 available (and the only one with Hyper-Threading) will be the

P4/3.06GHzP4/3.06GHz

The remaining 533FSB CPUs (2.4B, 2.53, 2.66, and 2.80GHz) and 400FSB CPUs The remaining 533FSB CPUs (2.4B, 2.53, 2.66, and 2.80GHz) and 400FSB CPUs

(1.8A, 2.0A, 2.2, 2.4, 2.5, and 2.6GHz) will not have Hyper-Threading(1.8A, 2.0A, 2.2, 2.4, 2.5, and 2.6GHz) will not have Hyper-Threading

Page 6: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Processor Q1/2003 BreakdownIntel Processor Q1/2003 Breakdown                   

No major changes for Q1/2003No major changes for Q1/2003

Intel will be phasing out the 400FSB P4s in favor of the Intel will be phasing out the 400FSB P4s in favor of the

533FSB533FSB

Highest speed P4 will still be at 3.06GHzHighest speed P4 will still be at 3.06GHz

No changes for the CeleronNo changes for the Celeron

Page 7: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Processor Q2/2003 BreakdownIntel Processor Q2/2003 Breakdown                   

In this quarter, Intel will release their next generation P4 chipset In this quarter, Intel will release their next generation P4 chipset

codename “Springdale”codename “Springdale”

Springdale will bring the following new technologies to desktop Springdale will bring the following new technologies to desktop

platforms: AGP 8X, DDR400, serial ATA, 800MHz FSB, and possibly platforms: AGP 8X, DDR400, serial ATA, 800MHz FSB, and possibly

integrated wireless supportintegrated wireless support

Accompanying the Springdale chipset will be a new line of P4 running Accompanying the Springdale chipset will be a new line of P4 running

at 800MHz FSB with speeds of 2.4, 2.6, 2.8, 3.0, and 3.2GHzat 800MHz FSB with speeds of 2.4, 2.6, 2.8, 3.0, and 3.2GHz

All 800MHz FSB P4 will be HT enabledAll 800MHz FSB P4 will be HT enabled

Intel will keep the 533MHz FSB P4s around till the end of 2003Intel will keep the 533MHz FSB P4s around till the end of 2003

No major change for the Celeron, other than a minor speed bump to No major change for the Celeron, other than a minor speed bump to

2.3GHz2.3GHz

Page 8: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Processor Q3/2003 BreakdownIntel Processor Q3/2003 Breakdown                   

After the launch of the Springdale chipset and the P4 800MHz FSB After the launch of the Springdale chipset and the P4 800MHz FSB

CPUs in the last quarter, things will settle down againCPUs in the last quarter, things will settle down again

So no major changes on the P4 and Celeron side for this quarterSo no major changes on the P4 and Celeron side for this quarter

But going forward to Q4/2003, we should see the release of the next But going forward to Q4/2003, we should see the release of the next

generation P4 core codename “Prescott”generation P4 core codename “Prescott”

See the upcoming slide Desktop Q3/2003 for more details about See the upcoming slide Desktop Q3/2003 for more details about

PrescottPrescott

Page 9: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop RoadmapPremio Desktop Roadmap                   

* = denotes new product

Page 10: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop Q4/2002 BreakdownPremio Desktop Q4/2002 Breakdown                   

For our Premio desktop product line-up, we have three categories: NetPC/Mini PC, For our Premio desktop product line-up, we have three categories: NetPC/Mini PC,

micro ATX, and ATXmicro ATX, and ATX

For NetPC/MiniPC (Calypso/Argos/Proteus), we currently have the Calypso 4; Argos S651, For NetPC/MiniPC (Calypso/Argos/Proteus), we currently have the Calypso 4; Argos S651,

845GL, and 845EM; Proteus S651, 845GL, 845EM, and 845EPT2L845GL, and 845EM; Proteus S651, 845GL, 845EM, and 845EPT2L

For micro ATX (Minos), we currently have the S651, 845GL, 845EPT2L, and 845EMFor micro ATX (Minos), we currently have the S651, 845GL, 845EPT2L, and 845EM

We will phase out the 845GL once our inventory is exhaustedWe will phase out the 845GL once our inventory is exhausted

For ATX (Athena/Shadowhawk G2), For ATX (Athena/Shadowhawk G2), we have the Athena 845D (400MHz FSB only), which we we have the Athena 845D (400MHz FSB only), which we

will phase out once inventory is exhaustedwill phase out once inventory is exhausted

For the 533FSB side, we have the Athena 845E, 845EBG2, 845EBG2L, and 850E (Rambus For the 533FSB side, we have the Athena 845E, 845EBG2, 845EBG2L, and 850E (Rambus

PC800); PC800); currently only the 845E supports the P4/3.06GHz with Hyper-Threadingcurrently only the 845E supports the P4/3.06GHz with Hyper-Threading

We will be skipping the 845PE chipset (which only adds DDR333 support); the performance We will be skipping the 845PE chipset (which only adds DDR333 support); the performance

delta between DDR266 and DDR333 is only about 1-2%delta between DDR266 and DDR333 is only about 1-2%

See this PDF file for benchmarking numbers: See this PDF file for benchmarking numbers:

http://www.premiopc.com/pdfs/performance/Premio_DDR266_and_DDR333_Performance_Comparison.pdfhttp://www.premiopc.com/pdfs/performance/Premio_DDR266_and_DDR333_Performance_Comparison.pdf

Page 11: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop Q1/2003 Breakdown Premio Desktop Q1/2003 Breakdown                   

On the NetPC/MiniPC end, we will introduce two new platforms:On the NetPC/MiniPC end, we will introduce two new platforms:

Calypso 4ECalypso 4E, which will use the Intel 845GV chipset to give us 533FSB and , which will use the Intel 845GV chipset to give us 533FSB and

HT supportHT support

S651BS651B, which is a revision of our S651 add HT support, which is a revision of our S651 add HT support

We will begin to phase out the Minos/Argos/Proteus 845EM this quarterWe will begin to phase out the Minos/Argos/Proteus 845EM this quarter

For the Athena/Shadowhawk G2, we will For the Athena/Shadowhawk G2, we will phase out the 850E in favor of phase out the 850E in favor of

the 850E2the 850E2, which will add Rambus PC1066 support, which will add Rambus PC1066 support

The Athena 850E2 life cycle will be relatively short, because The Athena 850E2 life cycle will be relatively short, because Intel will be Intel will be

dropping Rambus support in the future and going with a dual channel dropping Rambus support in the future and going with a dual channel

DDR333/400 solutionDDR333/400 solution with their upcoming Springdale chipset with their upcoming Springdale chipset

Page 12: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop Q2/2003 BreakdownPremio Desktop Q2/2003 Breakdown                   

In this quarter, Intel will launch their Springdale chipset, which is the In this quarter, Intel will launch their Springdale chipset, which is the

successor to their 845x chipsetsuccessor to their 845x chipset

We will be using two version of the Springdale chipset: Springdale-PE and We will be using two version of the Springdale chipset: Springdale-PE and

Springdale-GSpringdale-G

Springdale-PE will support 800/533/400FSB, dual channel DDR400, and AGP Springdale-PE will support 800/533/400FSB, dual channel DDR400, and AGP

8X (no integrated video)8X (no integrated video)

For the Athena/Shadowhawk G2, we will launch the Springdale-PE platformFor the Athena/Shadowhawk G2, we will launch the Springdale-PE platform

For the Minos/Argos/Proteus series, we will launch the Springdale-G (which For the Minos/Argos/Proteus series, we will launch the Springdale-G (which

has all the features of Springdale-PE w/ the addition of integrated video)has all the features of Springdale-PE w/ the addition of integrated video)

We will continue to keep the S651B around, as long as there is sufficient We will continue to keep the S651B around, as long as there is sufficient

demanddemand

The 845E will be discontinued in favor of the Springdale-PEThe 845E will be discontinued in favor of the Springdale-PE

Page 13: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop Q3/2003 BreakdownPremio Desktop Q3/2003 Breakdown                   

After the launch of the Springdale chipset, things will settle again for awhileAfter the launch of the Springdale chipset, things will settle again for awhile

So no major changes to our desktop platforms in Q3/2003So no major changes to our desktop platforms in Q3/2003

By this time, all the desktops should have Hyper-Threading and at least 533FSB By this time, all the desktops should have Hyper-Threading and at least 533FSB

support w/ USB 2.0support w/ USB 2.0

Looking beyond to Q4/2003, Intel will release their next generation P4 CPU core Looking beyond to Q4/2003, Intel will release their next generation P4 CPU core

codename Prescottcodename Prescott

Prescott will be the successor to the Northwood core (0.13 micron, 512K L2 cache)Prescott will be the successor to the Northwood core (0.13 micron, 512K L2 cache)

Details for Prescott are sketchy at best now, but it will be 0.09 micron and may Details for Prescott are sketchy at best now, but it will be 0.09 micron and may

have 1MB L2 cache, and will probably start life at 3.4GHz or higherhave 1MB L2 cache, and will probably start life at 3.4GHz or higher

Prescott FSB will probably remain at 800MHzPrescott FSB will probably remain at 800MHz

Currently, it's unknown if Prescott will require a new chipsetCurrently, it's unknown if Prescott will require a new chipset

Page 14: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Other Desktop TechnologiesOther Desktop Technologies                   

USB 2.0USB 2.0: It's available now; keep in mind that USB : It's available now; keep in mind that USB

2.0 is backwards compatible w/ USB 1.1 devices. It is 2.0 is backwards compatible w/ USB 1.1 devices. It is

also known as Hi-Speed USB. This should take us to also known as Hi-Speed USB. This should take us to

the end of 2003. There are no plans for USB 3.0 yet.the end of 2003. There are no plans for USB 3.0 yet.

IEEE1394/FirewireIEEE1394/Firewire: Currently, Firewire maxes out at : Currently, Firewire maxes out at

400Mbps; Firewire is mainly used for DV (digital 400Mbps; Firewire is mainly used for DV (digital

video) editing. With the advent of USB 2.0, Firewire video) editing. With the advent of USB 2.0, Firewire

will be a niche technology for use with video editing will be a niche technology for use with video editing

onlyonly

Page 15: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)                   

Serial ATASerial ATA is the evolution of IDE technology; current ATA-100 is is the evolution of IDE technology; current ATA-100 is

the standard; (ATA-133 is available, but since it is not officially the standard; (ATA-133 is available, but since it is not officially

supported by Intel, it will remain a niche technology)supported by Intel, it will remain a niche technology)

Serial ATA will start at SATA-150, or 150MB/secSerial ATA will start at SATA-150, or 150MB/sec

Specs for SATA II (300MB/sec) and III (600MB/sec [!!!]) are already in Specs for SATA II (300MB/sec) and III (600MB/sec [!!!]) are already in

progressprogress

Two major benefits of SATA is thinner cable and lower voltage Two major benefits of SATA is thinner cable and lower voltage

requirementsrequirements

Current flat ribbon ATA-100 cable is wide and can restrict airflow Current flat ribbon ATA-100 cable is wide and can restrict airflow

inside a chassis (see picture on right); while the SATA cable are much inside a chassis (see picture on right); while the SATA cable are much

thinner and flexiblethinner and flexible

SATA will not take off until the introduction of the Springdale chipset SATA will not take off until the introduction of the Springdale chipset

in Q2/2003; in the meantime, you will probably see some 3in Q2/2003; in the meantime, you will probably see some 3 rdrd party party

SATA PCI controllersSATA PCI controllers

HDD makers will not transition from the current 40 pin IDE HDDs to HDD makers will not transition from the current 40 pin IDE HDDs to

SATA HDDs unless there is a strong demandSATA HDDs unless there is a strong demand

Page 16: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)                   

MemoryMemory: We have DDR266 and DDR333 now. There is no : We have DDR266 and DDR333 now. There is no

real incentive to jump to DDR333, as the performance gain real incentive to jump to DDR333, as the performance gain

is very slight. As far as Intel is concern, Rambus is dead; is very slight. As far as Intel is concern, Rambus is dead;

Intel will not have any Rambus chipset beyond PC1066. Intel will not have any Rambus chipset beyond PC1066.

Instead, Intel will be using dual channel DDR400 Instead, Intel will be using dual channel DDR400

(effectively giving us DDR800) in their Springdale chipset(effectively giving us DDR800) in their Springdale chipset

AGPAGP: For the majority of desktop systems, AGP 4X will : For the majority of desktop systems, AGP 4X will

continue to be the norm; currently, ATI Radeon 9700 is continue to be the norm; currently, ATI Radeon 9700 is

AGP 8X, and nVidia is revising some of their current cards AGP 8X, and nVidia is revising some of their current cards

(for example, the GeForce4 Ti 4800) to AGP 8X. But there (for example, the GeForce4 Ti 4800) to AGP 8X. But there

is very little performance gain going from AGP 4X to 8X. is very little performance gain going from AGP 4X to 8X.

Intel will have official AGP 8X support in their Springdale Intel will have official AGP 8X support in their Springdale

chipset in Q2/2003chipset in Q2/2003

Page 17: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Summary for Intel Desktop ProcessorsSummary for Intel Desktop Processors                   

Starting in 2003, begin to transition your customers to P4 533FSBStarting in 2003, begin to transition your customers to P4 533FSB

For Celeron, you can remain at 400FSB, although your CPU upgrade For Celeron, you can remain at 400FSB, although your CPU upgrade

options will be limited once the P4 400FSB CPUs are phased outoptions will be limited once the P4 400FSB CPUs are phased out

Hyper-Threading (HT) technology is here (in a limited amount) as the Hyper-Threading (HT) technology is here (in a limited amount) as the

P4/3.06GHzP4/3.06GHz

Q1/2003 should be a relatively quiet quarter as there are no major CPU Q1/2003 should be a relatively quiet quarter as there are no major CPU

changeschanges

Starting in Q2/2003, Intel will introduce their P4 800FSB CPUs (all with Starting in Q2/2003, Intel will introduce their P4 800FSB CPUs (all with

HT support)HT support)

Prescott, the successor the P4 Northwood core, will be arriving late Prescott, the successor the P4 Northwood core, will be arriving late

Q3/2003 or Q4/2003Q3/2003 or Q4/2003

Page 18: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Summary for Premio DesktopsSummary for Premio Desktops                   

We will start transitioning our desktop platforms to HT support starting in We will start transitioning our desktop platforms to HT support starting in

Q1/2003Q1/2003

By Q1/2003, our entire desktop product line will have 533/400FSB supportBy Q1/2003, our entire desktop product line will have 533/400FSB support

We will launch the 850E2, S651B, and Calypso 4E platforms in Q1/2003We will launch the 850E2, S651B, and Calypso 4E platforms in Q1/2003

In Q2/2003, we will launch new desktops based on the Springdale chipsetIn Q2/2003, we will launch new desktops based on the Springdale chipset

Inform your customers of these changes, so they know the life cycle of Inform your customers of these changes, so they know the life cycle of

our desktop productsour desktop products

Intel and AMD are locked in a battle for the fastest desktop, so except Intel and AMD are locked in a battle for the fastest desktop, so except

major changes every other quarter in 2003major changes every other quarter in 2003

Because of this, the life cycle of desktop is relatively short nowBecause of this, the life cycle of desktop is relatively short now

Page 19: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q4/2002 to Q3/2003 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

The EndThe End

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