praxair investor day€¦ · rightsizing asset rationalization back office consolidation growth:...
TRANSCRIPT
Praxair Investor Day Sustaining Growth and Outperformance
New York City
September 16, 2013 www.praxair.com/investors
1 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Agenda – Morning Session 10:00am – 12:15pm
Topic Speaker
Welcome
Why Praxair?
Managing the Business
Product & Energy Management
Operations Reliability & Productivity
US Packaged Gases – Growth & Profitability
Petchem & Refinery – Pursuing New Opportunities
Canada – Growth through Natural Resources
Mexico – Well-Positioned for Growth
Q&A
Kelcey Hoyt
Steve Angel
Eduardo Menezes
Scott Kaltrider
Sean Durbin
John Panikar
Dan Yankowski
Matt White
Antonio Cesar
2 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Agenda – Afternoon Session 2:00pm to 4:00pm
Topic
High Performance Culture
Europe – A Tale of Two Economies
South America – Valuable Long-Term Franchise
Asia – Growing Profitably
Technology Priorities
Project Selection Discipline
Project Execution
Sustaining Growth & Outperformance
Q&A
Speaker
Scott Telesz
Todd Skare
Domingos Bulus
Anne Roby
Ray Roberge
Ben Glazer
Murray Covello
Jim Sawyer
High Performance Culture
Scott Telesz
Prior employment
– SABIC, VP Resins
– General Electric: General Management, Product
Management, Sourcing roles
– McKinsey
Executive Vice President since 2010 Europe, Asia, Surface Technologies, Strategy, Procurement
2007-2010
1998-2007
1989-1998
Duke University, BS Electrical Engineering
Harvard University, MBA
3 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair Priorities and Processes
1. Safety First… demands operational discipline … positive side effects
2. Profit > Size
3. Stable strategy … stay on course
4. Best practical execution > innovative / futuristic ideas
5. Monthly operating rhythms … avoids quarter-end fire drills
6. Hands On … capex projects, productivity, pricing, risk mitigation
7. Efficient and effective communication … speed, action-oriented
8. Accountability and restrictions enforced … everyone’s responsibility
Rigorous and continuous attention to detail
PR
OC
ES
SE
S
PR
IOR
ITIE
S
4 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair Capex Investing
1. Project capex is still precious cash
Exhaustive stress test scenarios for returns & risk
Avoid “me too” and “must win” rationalization
Overruns taken seriously … regardless of size or cause
2. Unwavering customer negotiation
Onsite and merchant, regardless of size or geography
Adhering to our principles > any single opportunity
3. Conservative acquisitions
Buy quality … integrate thoroughly … remedy mistakes
Discipline … from start to finish
5 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair People
1. Field P&L > HQ Staff
2. Org layers optimized to balance
Command / control / accountability at local level
Unfiltered information flow and executive touch
3. Incentive compensation = f (profit, growth, w/c, ROC)
4. Performers rewarded & promoted
Highly differentiated, formulaic, transparent
5. Leadership transitions without re-org drama / distraction
Institution > Individual
6 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Europe – A Tale of Two Economies
Todd Skare
VP, South Region, US Packaged Gases
Director, Global Supply Systems, Asia
Business Development Manager, US Industrial Gases
Prior Praxair experience in Engineering
President, Praxair Europe since 2010
2009
2005
2003
1992-2002
State University of New York at Buffalo, BS Chemical Engineering
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, MBA
7 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair Europe
Ongoing Productivity Initiatives:
Rightsizing
Asset rationalization
Back office consolidation
Growth:
Russia investments
Pipeline expansion in Antwerp
Oil & Gas in the North Sea
Margin upside with recovery…continued targeted investment strategy
Germany
Italy
France
Spain
Portugal
Scandinavia
Russia
Sales of $1.4B
Sales €B 1.1 1.1
2007 2013
2,450 2,230
Headcount (ex-Russia)
Benelux
8 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Moscow
Praxair Russia
Investment Strategy
Integrated supply + density
Quality customers
Heavily industrialized zones
Sales Outlook
2013 2017F
$20
~$250
Existing
Backlog
Praxair Locations
Evraz (3,000 tpd)
Nikochem (400 tpd) VolzhskyAzot Acq.
Volga River
Region
Urals
Region
$MM
More opportunities than expected… execution every bit as tough
KuibyshevAzot JV
(1,400 tpd)
9 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
South America – Valuable Long-Term Franchise
Domingos Bulus
President, Praxair Asia
Executive Director, Andean Countries
General Manager, Colombia
Industrial Gases Manager, South America
Prior Praxair experience in Sales & Operations
SVP & President, Praxair South America since 2003 2001
1996
1995
1990
1984-1989
Gama Filho in Rio de Janeiro, BS Mechanical Engineering
Amana-Key, Advanced Management Program
10 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair in South America
Deep, experienced organization
– 5,500 employees: 4,300 in Brazil
Unrivaled network
– 90+ plants remotely monitored
– 8,000+ deliveries daily
– 300+ sales locations
Outstanding customer retention rate (99%)
Growing faster than competitors
Sales of $2.1B / IG Market = $4.5B
Praxair Presence
Source: Spiritus Consulting
Building presence for over 100 years
#1
#3
#2
#1
#1
#2
#2 #2
11 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
South America Outlook
Vast mineral and hydrocarbons
resources
─ Energy and infrastructure projects
Growing middle class with
under-met needs
Manufacturing base expansion
Steel industry repositioning
Currency volatility
High labor and power costs
Slow pace of government
sponsored construction projects
End of commodity “super cycle”
Challenges
Opportunities
Opportunities outweigh challenges
12 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Resilient Performance in Any Environment
High bar for productivity
Price discipline
Contract optimization
World-class CRM program
Applications technology
Unmatched supply reliability
Historical Performance vs. IP
CAGR
= 3%
Industrial Production (region weighted average)
CAGR
= 9%
Praxair South America Sales (in local currency)
100
Expect mid-to-high single digit sales growth annually the next 5 years
2003 2006 2009 2012
13 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Asia – Growing Profitably Dr. Anne Roby
President, Praxair Electronics
SVP, Global Sales
VP, South Region, US Industrial Gases
Houston Area Pipeline Director, US Industrial Gases
Prior Praxair experience in Sales and R&D
President, Praxair Asia since 2011
2010
2009
2006
2004
1991-1999
Villanova University, BS Chemical Engineering
University of Delaware, PhD Chemical Engineering
14 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
China Macro & Opportunities
Slower overall economic growth
Rebalancing industrial sector
Government policy driving environmental
compliance and technology-intensive industries
Faster growth inland
Macro Environment
Refining
Chemicals
Energy efficiency
Environmental protection
Opportunities
+ +
- IG Consumption Per Capita
(% of US)
US
China Decades of
organic growth
Source: Spiritus, Praxair internal analysis
20%
100%
+ Praxair China Sales
Strong outlook for industrial gases
Base
Growth
New
Projects
2012 2017F
15 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair China Versus Other Majors
9/13/2013 | Praxair Business Confidential | 16
Source: Praxair internal analysis
Praxair
Comp A
Comp B
Comp C
OP Margin %
PX profitability advantage driven by disciplined approach to the
market and density strategy
16 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Start Up O2 TPD
SOPO 2009 3,000
Wuwei 2012 3,000
Yankuang Guohong
2015 3,000
China Gasification Projects
Coal mine
Gasifier
O2
Syngas
Coal
processing
Coal Gasification
Fuels
(liquids, gas)
Refinery
Hydrogen
Methanol
& Olefins Ammonia
Praxair
ASU
Praxair Plants
Customer quality
End market outlook
Technology & operational execution
Permitting & water challenges
Investment concentration
IG Scope
Careful selection of target projects
Project Viability
Praxair
Considerations
17 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair Asia
Praxair Asia Sales
Geographic selectivity … profitable growth
Thailand
India
In Operation
Under Construction
China
Korea
2017F
India
China
2012
Thailand
Korea
$1.4B
>$2.5B
Thailand
Korea
India
China
18 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Technology Priorities
Ray Roberge
Chief Technology Officer
President, Electronics
Director Sales, Electronics
Director Product Line Development, Global Supply Systems
Prior Praxair experience R&D & Business Management
SVP & Chief Technology Officer since 2011
2008
2005
2002
1998
1973
Worcester Polytechnic Institute, BS Chemical Engineering
University of Michigan, MS Chemical Engineering
19 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Technology Overview
Impact Priorities
Supply System
Optimization
ASU and HyCO cost reduction
Product line designs for high
construction costs
~3% per year lower
cost to serve
Applications
Technology Drive top-line
growth
New growth applications for
developed markets
Migrate applications to
emerging markets
Productivity 5% per year
Sustain productivity savings
Operational efficiency
Enhanced reliability
Technology programs aligned with business priorities
20 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair Air Separation Product Lines
Global designs with product
slate flexibility
Design for sale-of-gas “Total
Cost of Ownership”
Reduce cost 3% every year
Rapid learning and project execution
Recoverable engineering
Procurement leverage
Reliability: common spares
Approach Benefits
Competitive advantage through product line plants
10 15
20
Product Line (P/L)
Platforms
P/L Plants as % of
Total Plant CapEx
P/L Plants Operating or
Under Construction
2008
35
90 60
80 90+
2013 2018F 2008 2013 2018F 2008 2013
21 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Applications in Emerging Markets
Environmental
Metfab
Steel / Metals
Pharmaceuticals
Food & Beverage
IG Consumption Per Capita (% of US)
US China Mexico Brazil India
Decades of
organic
growth
20% 12% 10%
2%
100%
Applications migration driving emerging market growth
Source: Spiritus, Praxair internal analysis 22 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Applications Example – O2 in Steel Production
O2 Intensity per ton of Steel
Coke to Pulverized
Coal Injection + O2
Direct Reduced Iron
Stove
Oxygen
Dilute Oxygen
Combustion
CoJet System
Hot O2 Burner Productivity
Innovations key contributor to oxygen demand growth
150
100
Index
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Nat Gas + O2
23 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Project Selection Discipline
Ben Glazer
General Manager, Helium & Rare Gases
Director, Advanced Components, Electronics
Controller, Oil & Gas Services
Prior Praxair experience in Finance
Captain, United States Air Force
Director, Executive Staff & Capital Projects since 2012
2009
2006
2005
2002-2004
1995-2001
US Air Force Academy, BS Mechanical Engineering
Northeastern University, MS Mechanical Engineering
Cornell University, MBA
24 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Heads-Up Review
Final Approval
First Pass Review
Audit
Potential Project
Identified
Monthly Execution Reviews
Customer Proposal
Opportunities consistent with stated strategies
Standard global hurdle rate >> cost of capital
Single project evaluation model
Terms & conditions review
Risk-based return criteria
Managing Our Capital Projects
Project Selection Project Execution
Process focus supports long-term return on capital goals
25 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair Investment Criteria
Lower Risk Standard Global Hurdle Rate Higher Risk
Strategic Alignment
Cost Reduction – Take or Pay – Merchant Guaranteed Cash Flows
Sovereign Risks
Execution
Customer & Asset
Criteria
Foreign exchange volatility Contractual enforcement Ease of doing business
Product line offering Execution complexity
Counter-party risk Underlying asset viability
Density & integrated supply systems
– Stand alone plants Opportunistic –
26 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Sample Project Return on Capital
Investment Initial Contract Term Renewal
Annuity-based business model
Accretive to ROC within ~5 years
Successive renewals
- 2 - 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16+
Praxair Consolidated Return on Capital Average
Economic Term (years)
27 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
IG Capex Project Backlog Geographic Mix
Based on announced projects for competitors
Praxair project portfolio well-balanced across geographies
Comp A Comp B Comp C Praxair 2013F
Year End
N. America
S. America
Europe
M.E. & Africa
Other Asia-
Pacific
China
28 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Project Execution
Murray Covello
VP, Global Operations Excellence
President, Praxair Asia
VP, Operations and Services, US Industrial Gases
President, Canada
Prior Praxair experience in Sales & Operations
Vice President, Global Supply Systems since 2009
2008
2005
2002
1999
1981-1997
University of Toronto, BS Mechanical Engineering
York University, MBA
29 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Design & Build
* FEL-1 & 2 – increasingly detailed project estimates
Start-Up
Management
Project Reviews
Disciplined Project Execution Process
Front End Loading (FEL) Process
Budgetary FEL-1 (Business Planning)
FEL-2 (Facility Planning)
FEL-3 (Project Planning)
Budgetary estimate
Conceptual design
Initial cost estimate
Design iterations
Control cost estimate
Procurement & contracts
Risk plans
Project Execution
Operations input
Audit
Careful selection and superior execution ensure expected ROC
30 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
IP-sensitive engineering in US
China team for local projects and
global detailed design
Building strong Russian capabilities
3rd party engineering firms to balance
workload
Engineering capacity leveraged by
product line concepts
Work transfer facilitated by IT and
common tools
Mobile and talented teams
1,000+ Headcount
US Project
US Design
Europe/Russia
South America
China
India
Other Asia
Other NA Project
Praxair Engineering Deployment Strategy
Global product line design … local execution
31 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Praxair Capex Project Results
Cost Performance
(% variance to control budget)
Schedule Performance
(% variance to control schedule)
New geographies: Russia
Construction cost escalation:
Brazil
Current Challenges
China prefabrication / sourcing, local
capability, contractor management
Leverage Brazil fabrication and
execution team
Solutions
0.9% 0.4%
-0.5%
2.3% 2.3%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2.8% 1.9%
3.5%
2.3%
3.8%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Proven execution capability…key to delivering expected project returns
32 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Sustaining Growth & Outperformance
Jim Sawyer
VP & Treasurer
Assistant Treasurer
Area Treasurer, Europe
Prior Praxair experience in Finance
EVP & Chief Financial Officer since 2000
1994
1992
1989
1985
Wesleyan University, BS Geology and Environmental Sciences
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MBA
33 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Financial Leverage:
High ROC and cash flow
Operating Leverage:
Price + productivity > inflation
20 Years of Growth and Outperformance
Continued focus on growing EPS faster than revenue
EPS
13% CAGR
SALES
8% CAGR
OP
11% CAGR
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
34 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
What We Heard Today
Mexico oil & gas
Air & water quality
North America
manufacturing
Brazil infrastructure
Canada natural
resources
US petchem
projects Growing
applications
& intensity
China
gasification
Russia
Disciplined pricing
High performance
culture
Energy
management
Sustainable
productivity
P&L accountability
Integrated supply
& density
Industry-leading
ROC 14-15%
Increasing free
cash flow
1-2% annual share
reduction
Growth from diverse sources… continued leverage down the P&L
Energy
Emerging Markets
Environmental
Excludes foreign currency and divestitures 35 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Cash Flow Projections (2013-17F Cumulative)
Cash Flow Generated from Operations
$17 billion (24% of sales)
Cash Flow Distributed
$7 billion (10% of sales)
Cash Flow Invested
$10 billion (14% of sales) Europe
South
America
Asia
North
America
Dividends Share
Repurchase
Balanced use of cash to maximize return to shareholders
Asia
South
America
Europe
North
America
36 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013
Governance and Integrity
Maintain strong systems and a culture of global corporate governance, compliance, ethics,
human rights, integrity and accountability.
Strategic Leadership
Stay current with, and take advantage of, emerging global opportunities, developments and
challenges to position Praxair for the future.
Customer Commitment
Focus relentlessly on the delivery of customer value through continuous innovation that helps
our customers enhance their product quality, service, reliability, productivity, safety, energy
efficiency and environmental performance.
Environmental Responsibility
Achieve continuous environmental performance improvement and energy efficiency in our
operations.
Employee Safety and Development
Provide opportunities that allow employees to develop to their fullest potential in a creative,
inclusive and safe environment.
Community Support
Participate in community development in regions where we operate.
Financial Performance
Maintain year-on-year recognition from shareholders and stakeholders for top-tier financial
performance.
Stakeholder Engagement and Communication
Partner with internal and external stakeholders to achieve a strong, secure and sustainable
society, economy and environment.
Principles of Sustainable Development
37 | Praxair Investor Day | 9/16/2013