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  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    1/17

    Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com

    Email: [email protected]

    FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 20, 2015

    INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

    IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPHOF THE PRESS RELEASE

    Toomey looks to face formidable challenge in 2016

    Raleigh, N.C. Pennsylvania Republican Sen. Pat Toomey is on track for another tightrace after PPPs first Pennsylvania poll of 2015 finds him with low support and a host ofcapable Democratic challengers.

    Two months after the sound defeat of fellow Republican Gov. Tom Corbett, the first-termsenators approval rating has dropped to 28%, down three points from PPPs lastPennsylvania poll in June. Women and independent voters are among the mostsignificant critics of the former Wall Street banker, tracking at 22% approval each.Toomey fails to capture majority support from his base constituencyjust 39% ofRepublicans and 44% of very conservative voters approve of his job performance to date.

    Former two-term Governor Ed Rendell leads the pack of potential Democraticchallengers, besting Toomey 44-41 in a hypothetical matchup. Rendell owns a substantial17-point advantage with Independents, and leads with both men and women (+1 and +6,respectively). Should Rendell decide to enter the race, he would start with a decidedname recognition advantage over Toomey, 85-63.

    Toomeys 2010 opponent Joe Sestak is the next closest challenger. Toomey eked out atwo-point victory in 2010, and would again defeat Sestak 40-36 if an election were heldtoday. Sestak has been hailed early on as the favorite for the Democratic nomination, butthe former two-term Congressman only polls 40% name recognition with 19% support.

    MSNBC pundit Chris Matthews, who has hinted at a run in the past, also trails Toomey by four points (42-38). Attorney General Kathleen Kane lags behind Toomey by six points, but polls one point ahead of the Senator in name recognition.

    Early indications are that Pennsylvania will have one of the most hard fought Senate

    races in the country next year, said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.Pat Toomey hasnt made a very strong impression on voters one way or another in hisfirst four years in the Senate, and that leaves him pretty vulnerable if the Democrats areable to land a strong candidate.

    PPP surveyed 1,042 registered voters from January 15 th to 18 th. The margin of error for the surveyis +/- 3.0%. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewedover the internet to reach respondents who dont have landline telephones.

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

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    January 15-18, 2015Survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015Survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Pennsylvania Survey Resul ts

    Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of PresidentBarack Obamas job performance?

    42% Approve .......................................................... 51%Disapprove ...................................................... 8%Not sure ..........................................................

    Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator PatToomeys job performance? If you approve,press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. If yourenot sure, press 3.

    28% Approve .......................................................... 35%Disapprove ...................................................... 37%Not sure ..........................................................

    Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Kathleen Kane? If favorable, press 1. Ifunfavorable, press 2. If youre not sure, press3.

    31%Favorable ........................................................ 33%Unfavorable .................................................... 36%Not sure ..........................................................

    Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Chris Matthews? If favorable, press 1. Ifunfavorable, press 2. If youre not sure, press3.

    19%Favorable ........................................................ 24%Unfavorable .................................................... 57%Not Sure ..........................................................

    Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Michael Nutter? If favorable, press 1. Ifunfavorable, press 2. If youre not sure, press3.

    23%Favorable ........................................................ 23%Unfavorable .................................................... 55%Not sure ..........................................................

    Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ed Rendell? If favorable, press 1. Ifunfavorable, press 2. If youre not sure, press3.

    43%Favorable ........................................................ 42%Unfavorable .................................................... 15%Not sure ..........................................................

    Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Joe Sestak? If favorable, press 1. Ifunfavorable, press 2. If youre not sure, press3.

    19%Favorable ........................................................ 21%Unfavorable .................................................... 60%Not sure ..........................................................

    Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Josh Shapiro? If favorable, press 1. Ifunfavorable, press 2. If youre not sure, press3.

    10%Favorable ........................................................ 16%Unfavorable ....................................................

    74%Not sure ..........................................................Q9 If the candidates for Senate in 2016 were

    Republican Pat Toomey and DemocratKathleen Kane, who would you vote for? If PatToomey, press 1. If Kathleen Kane, press 2. Ifyoure not sure, press 3.

    44%Toomey ........................................................... 38%Kane ............................................................... 17%Not Sure ..........................................................

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    3/17

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    4/17

    January 15-18, 2015Survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015Survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Q18 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

    53%Woman ........................................................... 47%Man .................................................................

    Q19 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

    44%Democrat ........................................................ 40%Republican ...................................................... 16%Independent / Other ........................................

    Q20 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,press 2. If other, press 3.

    85%White .............................................................. 11% African-American ............................................ 5%Other ...............................................................

    Q21 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to

    45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.

    11%18 to 29 ........................................................... 29%30 to 45 ........................................................... 39%46 to 65 ........................................................... 21%Older than 65 ..................................................

    Q22 Mode

    80%Phone ............................................................. 20%Internet ...........................................................

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    5/17

    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    2012 Vote

    BarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Obama Approval

    App rove

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 80% 4% 16%

    51% 10% 93% 67%

    8% 10% 3% 16%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    BarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Toomey Approval

    App rove

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 18% 41% 21%

    35% 45% 25% 24%

    37% 37% 33% 55%

    Base

    2012 VoteBarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Kane Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 48% 13% 22%

    33% 16% 55% 19%

    36% 36% 33% 59%

    Base

    2012 VoteBarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Matthews Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not Sure

    19% 28% 11% 7%

    24% 13% 37% 18%

    57% 59% 52% 75%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    Barack

    Obama

    Mitt

    Romney

    Someone else /

    Don't remember Nutter Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 35% 12% 8%

    23% 17% 29% 22%

    55% 48% 59% 70%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    Barack

    Obama

    Mitt

    Romney

    Someone else /

    Don't remember Rendell Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    43% 64% 23% 19%

    42% 18% 67% 51%

    15% 17% 10% 30%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    BarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Sestak Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    19% 31% 9% 4%

    21% 11% 31% 22%

    60% 57% 60% 74%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    BarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Shapiro Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    10% 16% 5% 3%

    16% 11% 22% 16%

    74% 73% 73% 80%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

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    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    2012 Vote

    BarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Toomey/Kane

    Toomey

    Kane

    Not Sure

    44% 16% 77% 34%

    38% 67% 11% 17%

    17% 17% 12% 48%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    BarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Toomey/Matthews

    Toomey

    Matthews

    Not sure

    42% 15% 76% 30%

    38% 67% 11% 9%

    20% 18% 14% 61%

    Base

    2012 VoteBarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Toomey/Nutter

    Toomey

    Nutter

    Not Sure

    42% 13% 77% 30%

    35% 62% 9% 9%

    23% 25% 14% 61%

    Base

    2012 VoteBarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Toomey/Rendell

    Toomey

    Rendell

    Not sure

    41% 12% 75% 30%

    44% 77% 14% 18%

    15% 11% 11% 52%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    Barack

    Obama

    Mitt

    Romney

    Someone else /

    Don't remember Toomey/Sestak

    Toomey

    Sestak

    Not sure

    40% 11% 76% 25%

    36% 67% 8% 7%

    23% 22% 17% 68%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    Barack

    Obama

    Mitt

    Romney

    Someone else /

    Don't remember Toomey/Shapiro

    Toomey

    Shapiro

    Not sure

    43% 16% 76% 26%

    31% 56% 9% 5%

    26% 28% 16% 69%

    Base

    2012 Vote

    BarackObama

    MittRomney

    Someone else /Don't remember

    Casey Approval

    App rove

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    41% 62% 23% 19%

    33% 15% 53% 27%

    26% 23% 24% 54%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Obama Approval

    Appr ove

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 73% 78% 45% 14% 5%

    51% 23% 19% 37% 84% 90%

    8% 5% 3% 18% 1% 4%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

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    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Toomey Approval

    Appr ove

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 25% 17% 25% 36% 44%

    35% 52% 44% 34% 28% 21%

    37% 23% 39% 42% 36% 35%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Kane Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 49% 42% 37% 18% 9%

    33% 22% 25% 26% 43% 54%

    36% 29% 34% 37% 40% 37%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Matthews FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not Sure

    19% 38% 26% 17% 12% 9%

    24% 23% 12% 17% 33% 39%

    57% 39% 62% 66% 55% 52%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Nutter FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 44% 29% 26% 11% 7%

    23% 26% 20% 17% 23% 34%

    55% 30% 50% 57% 66% 59%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Rendell Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    43% 70% 60% 48% 24% 17%

    42% 13% 26% 33% 64% 69%

    15% 17% 14% 19% 12% 13%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Sestak Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    19% 42% 29% 17% 12% 4%

    21% 20% 15% 17% 21% 36%

    60% 39% 56% 66% 67% 60%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Shapiro Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    10% 30% 16% 7% 5% 4%

    16% 19% 9% 17% 16% 20%

    74% 51% 74% 77% 79% 76%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Toomey/Kane

    Toomey

    Kane

    Not Sure

    44% 9% 18% 37% 70% 79%

    38% 81% 63% 42% 15% 5%

    17% 11% 19% 21% 15% 16%

    Base

    IdeologyVery

    liberalSomewhat

    liberal ModerateSomewhat

    conservativeVery

    conservative

    Toomey/Matthews

    Toomey

    Matthews

    Not sure

    42% 15% 14% 33% 68% 80%

    38% 72% 69% 40% 13% 6%

    20% 13% 17% 27% 19% 14%

    Base

    IdeologyVery

    liberalSomewhat

    liberal ModerateSomewhat

    conservativeVery

    conservative

    Toomey/Nutter

    Toomey

    Nutter

    Not Sure

    42% 15% 14% 30% 71% 79%

    35% 65% 57% 42% 9% 6%

    23% 20% 28% 28% 20% 15%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

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    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Toomey/Rendell

    Toomey

    Rendell

    Not sure

    41% 9% 15% 29% 69% 80%

    44% 79% 70% 53% 18% 7%

    15% 12% 14% 17% 13% 13%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Toomey/Sestak

    Toomey

    Sestak

    Not sure

    40% 7% 13% 30% 69% 79%

    36% 81% 60% 39% 11% 4%

    23% 12% 27% 31% 20% 17%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Toomey/ShapiroToomey

    Shapiro

    Not sure

    43% 10% 16% 33% 71% 79%

    31% 72% 50% 33% 10% 4%

    26% 19% 33% 34% 19% 18%

    Base

    Ideology

    Veryliberal

    Somewhatliberal Moderate

    Somewhatconservative

    Veryconservative

    Casey Approval Appr ove

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    41% 59% 57% 50% 27% 12%

    33% 19% 20% 20% 48% 62%

    26% 22% 23% 30% 25% 26%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 40% 43%

    51% 51% 51%

    8% 9% 6%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Toomey Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 22% 35%

    35% 31% 38%

    37% 46% 27%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Kane Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 30% 31%

    33% 30% 37%

    36% 40% 32%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Matthews Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not Sure

    19% 19% 19%

    24% 16% 32%

    57% 64% 49%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    9/17

    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Nutter Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 18% 28%

    23% 20% 25%

    55% 62% 47%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Rendell Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    43% 43% 42%

    42% 39% 45%

    15% 17% 13%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Sestak Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    19% 17% 22%

    21% 17% 25%

    60% 67% 52%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Shapiro Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    10% 10% 10%

    16% 12% 20%

    74% 77% 70%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Toomey/KaneToomey

    Kane

    Not Sure

    44% 41% 48%

    38% 40% 36%

    17% 19% 16%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Toomey/MatthewsToomey

    Matthews

    Not sure

    42% 42% 43%

    38% 39% 36%

    20% 19% 21%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Toomey/Nutter

    Toomey

    Nutter

    Not Sure

    42% 40% 44%

    35% 34% 36%

    23% 26% 21%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Toomey/Rendell

    Toomey

    Rendell

    Not sure

    41% 39% 43%

    44% 45% 44%

    15% 16% 13%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    10/17

    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Toomey/Sestak

    Toomey

    Sestak

    Not sure

    40% 38% 43%

    36% 36% 37%

    23% 26% 20%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Toomey/Shapiro

    Toomey

    Shapiro

    Not sure

    43% 41% 44%

    31% 31% 32%

    26% 28% 24%

    Base

    Gender

    Woman Man

    Casey Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    41% 40% 43%

    33% 30% 36%

    26% 30% 21%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 72% 11% 35%

    51% 22% 83% 51%

    8% 7% 6% 14%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Toomey Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 22% 39% 22%

    35% 43% 23% 40%

    37% 36% 38% 38%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Kane Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 45% 16% 25%

    33% 21% 47% 33%

    36% 34% 36% 42%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Matthews Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not Sure

    19% 26% 13% 13%

    24% 13% 34% 29%

    57% 61% 53% 58%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Nutter Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 35% 10% 18%

    23% 17% 28% 25%

    55% 48% 62% 56%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    11/17

    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Rendell Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    43% 62% 22% 39%

    42% 24% 64% 37%

    15% 14% 14% 23%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Sestak Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    19% 28% 9% 19%

    21% 14% 27% 24%

    60% 58% 64% 57%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Shapiro Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    10% 16% 7% 3%

    16% 13% 17% 22%

    74% 71% 77% 75%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Toomey/Kane

    Toomey

    Kane

    Not Sure

    44% 20% 76% 34%

    38% 65% 10% 33%

    17% 15% 14% 33%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Toomey/Matthews

    Toomey

    Matthews

    Not sure

    42% 16% 77% 28%

    38% 66% 9% 30%

    20% 17% 14% 41%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Toomey/Nutter

    Toomey

    Nutter

    Not Sure

    42% 17% 75% 28%

    35% 61% 8% 28%

    23% 22% 17% 44%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Toomey/Rendell

    ToomeyRendell

    Not sure

    41% 17% 74% 27%

    44% 73% 13% 44%

    15% 11% 13% 29%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat RepublicanIndependent

    / Other

    Toomey/Sestak

    ToomeySestak

    Not sure

    40% 14% 75% 27%

    36% 64% 7% 31%

    23% 22% 18% 42%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

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  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    13/17

    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Race

    White Afr ican-

    Ameri can Other

    Sestak Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    19% 18% 29% 19%

    21% 21% 14% 27%

    60% 61% 56% 53%

    Base

    Race

    White Afr ican-

    American Other

    Shapiro Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    10% 9% 22% 13%

    16% 16% 12% 22%

    74% 75% 66% 65%

    Base

    Race

    White Afr ican-

    Ameri can Other

    Toomey/Kane

    Toomey

    Kane

    Not Sure

    44% 48% 17% 30%

    38% 35% 71% 34%

    17% 17% 12% 36%

    Base

    Race

    White Afr ican-

    American Other

    Toomey/Matthews

    Toomey

    Matthews

    Not sure

    42% 47% 12% 26%

    38% 33% 74% 36%

    20% 19% 14% 38%

    Base

    Race

    White Afr ican-

    Ameri can Other

    Toomey/Nutter

    Toomey

    Nutter

    Not Sure

    42% 47% 5% 32%

    35% 30% 70% 35%

    23% 23% 25% 32%

    Base

    Race

    White Afr ican-

    American Other

    Toomey/Rendell

    Toomey

    Rendell

    Not sure

    41% 46% 5% 24%

    44% 39% 84% 47%

    15% 14% 11% 29%

    Base

    Race

    White

    Afr ican-

    Ameri can Other Toomey/Sestak

    Toomey

    Sestak

    Not sure

    40% 46% - 27%

    36% 31% 78% 39%

    23% 23% 22% 34%

    Base

    Race

    White

    Afr ican-

    American Other Toomey/Shapiro

    Toomey

    Shapiro

    Not sure

    43% 48% 6% 33%

    31% 28% 61% 28%

    26% 24% 33% 40%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    14/17

    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Race

    White Afr ican-

    Ameri can Other

    Casey Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    41% 38% 69% 29%

    33% 34% 16% 46%

    26% 28% 14% 25%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 40% 46% 42% 36%

    51% 42% 45% 52% 60%

    8% 18% 9% 6% 4%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Toomey Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 19% 25% 30% 36%

    35% 29% 35% 35% 36%

    37% 53% 40% 35% 28%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Kane Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 35% 27% 32% 31%

    33% 12% 38% 33% 37%

    36% 53% 35% 35% 32%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Matthews Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not Sure

    19% 23% 17% 18% 22%

    24% 12% 22% 23% 32%

    57% 65% 60% 59% 46%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Nutter Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 21% 22% 22% 24%

    23% 13% 29% 21% 22%

    55% 66% 49% 56% 54%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65Rendell Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    43% 35% 47% 41% 44%

    42% 30% 38% 45% 48%

    15% 35% 15% 13% 8%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65Sestak Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    19% 24% 19% 18% 20%

    21% 12% 26% 19% 21%

    60% 64% 55% 63% 58%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    15/17

    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Shapiro Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    10% 11% 11% 9% 11%

    16% 7% 18% 16% 18%

    74% 82% 70% 75% 71%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Toomey/Kane

    Toomey

    Kane

    Not Sure

    44% 27% 45% 44% 52%

    38% 48% 40% 37% 34%

    17% 25% 15% 19% 14%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Toomey/Matthews

    Toomey

    Matthews

    Not sure

    42% 33% 37% 43% 53%

    38% 44% 44% 35% 32%

    20% 22% 19% 22% 15%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Toomey/Nutter

    Toomey

    Nutter

    Not Sure

    42% 27% 39% 42% 52%

    35% 36% 40% 33% 29%

    23% 37% 20% 24% 19%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Toomey/Rendell

    Toomey

    Rendell

    Not sure

    41% 31% 32% 44% 52%

    44% 44% 52% 42% 38%

    15% 26% 16% 13% 10%

    Base

    Age

    18 to29

    30 to45

    46 to65

    Older than 65

    Toomey/Sestak

    Toomey

    Sestak

    Not sure

    40% 31% 34% 42% 50%

    36% 39% 42% 34% 32%

    23% 30% 24% 24% 18%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65Toomey/Shapiro

    Toomey

    Shapiro

    Not sure

    43% 36% 36% 44% 53%

    31% 31% 39% 28% 27%

    26% 32% 26% 28% 20%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65Casey Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    41% 21% 46% 44% 40%

    33% 32% 32% 32% 34%

    26% 46% 22% 24% 26%

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    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 41% 42%

    51% 54% 39%

    8% 5% 18%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Toomey Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    28% 29% 27%

    35% 38% 19%

    37% 33% 53%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Kane Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 30% 32%

    33% 35% 28%

    36% 35% 40%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Matthews Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not Sure

    19% 18% 21%

    24% 25% 16%

    57% 56% 62%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Nutter Favorabilit yFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    23% 21% 28%

    23% 24% 17%

    55% 55% 55%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Rendell FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    43% 42% 47%

    42% 47% 22%

    15% 11% 32%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Sestak Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    19% 19% 22%

    21% 22% 15%

    60% 59% 63%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Shapiro Favorabilit y

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    10% 8% 19%

    16% 18% 8%

    74% 74% 73%

  • 8/9/2019 PPP Release PA 12015

    17/17

    January 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania votersJanuary 15-18, 2015survey of 1,042 Pennsylvania voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Toomey/Kane

    Toomey

    Kane

    Not Sure

    44% 46% 38%

    38% 39% 36%

    17% 15% 26%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Toomey/Matthews

    Toomey

    Matthews

    Not sure

    42% 44% 36%

    38% 38% 38%

    20% 18% 26%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Toomey/Nutter

    Toomey

    Nutter

    Not Sure

    42% 44% 32%

    35% 35% 34%

    23% 21% 34%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Toomey/Rendell

    Toomey

    Rendell

    Not sure

    41% 45% 25%

    44% 43% 49%

    15% 12% 26%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Toomey/SestakToomey

    Sestak

    Not sure

    40% 43% 30%

    36% 36% 39%

    23% 21% 31%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Toomey/ShapiroToomey

    Shapiro

    Not sure

    43% 45% 31%

    31% 30% 36%

    26% 24% 33%

    Base

    Mode

    Phone Internet

    Casey Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    41% 40% 47%

    33% 36% 20%

    26% 24% 32%