powerpoint-presentation · • the water injection programme in the buah reservoir layer continues...
TRANSCRIPT
Q4 Highlights
• Production increase continues: new production record with
10,956 BOPD in Q4-15 – up 9% compared to Q3-15
• Revenue of MSEK 222, down 13% compared to Q3-15
• EBITDA of MSEK 113, down 26% compared to Q3-15
• Net result MSEK 27, down 65% compared to Q3-15
• Earnings per share SEK 0.78 for Q4-15
• Net cash of MSEK 436, down 10% compared to Q3-15
• SEK 1.00 per share dividend proposed
• 7 wells drilled on Block 3 and 4 in Oman
• New reservoir layer boosts production
• Long term production testing of Lithuanian well continues
2
Tethys’ assets
Producing
Assets
Country Licence Area,
km2
Tethys
share
Partners* 2P reserves
31 Dec 2014
(mmbo) **
Production
Q3 2015
(bopd)
Oman Block 3 & 4 34,610 30% CC Energy, Mitsui 18.2 10,847
Lithuania Gargzdai 884 25% Odin Energi,
Geonafta
- 109
Exploration
assets
Oman Block 3 & 4 34,610 30% CC Energy, Mitsui
Lithuania Rietavas 1,594 30% Odin Energi, Private
investors
Lithuania Raseiniai 1,535 30% Odin Energi, Private
investors
France Attila 1,986 40% Galli Coz
France Alès 215 37.5% Private investors
* Operator in bold
** Reserves in Oman audited by DeGolyer and MacNaughton
3
• New layer boosts production – 12,630 bopd in January 2016
• Production expected to continue to increase in 2016
with month on month volatility
Average daily production in Oman
4
11 606
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Octo
be
r
No
ve
mbe
r
De
ce
mbe
r
Janu
ary
Feb
ruary
Ma
rch
April
Ma
y
June
July
Augu
st
Septe
mb
er
Octo
be
r
No
ve
mbe
r
De
ce
mbe
r
Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15
Reserves Block 3&4 Oman
(31 Dec 2015, mmbo)
mmbo 1P 2P 3P
Farha South 7.6 10.2 12.7
Shahd 4.9 6.8 12.0
Saiwan East 0.4 1.2 3.2
Total 12,9 18.2 27.9
Independent petroleum consultant DeGolyer and MacNaughton
Canada Limited (“DMCL”) reviews Tethys Oil’s reserves in Oman
annually.
5
Development of reserves
mmbo 1P 2P 3P
Total 31 Dec 2014 11.8 17.8 25.1
Production 2015 -3.5 -3.5 -3.5
Revisions 4.7 4.0 6.3
Total 31 Dec 2015 12.9 18.2 27.9
Reserves, December 31, 2015
• Blocks 3 and 4 investments for 2016 will be closely monitored and subject to
on-going revisions. The target is to fund investments on Blocks 3 and 4
primarily from cash flow from operations
• During the financial year 2016, the cash flow from operations amounted to
MSEK 503 and investments in oil and gas amounted to MSEK 324
• Including the dividend received from Lithuanian assets, the cash flow
from operations after investments in the financial year 2015 amounted
to MSEK 179
• Lithuania operations are expected to be financed from oil production and
available cash in the associated Lithuanian companies
6
Cash flow
7
• Average daily production in Q4 2015 increased 9% compared with
Q3-15
• 31% increase in average daily production compared with Q4-14
ProductionBarrelsBarrels BOPD BOPD
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
2 000 000
2 500 000
3 000 000
3 500 000
4 000 000
2013 2014 2015
Total production Ave daily production
768 226
784 207
858 453
928 047
1 007 782
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Total production Ave daily production
• Q4-15 revenue is down 13% compared to Q3-15 revenue due to
decline in oil prices
• Accounting principles have been changed to better align revenue with
production development
MSEK MSEK
8
Revenues MSEK
602
1 027
905
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2013 2014 2015
Revenue
281
205223
255
222
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Revenue
Sold barrels
• Significant anticipated reduction in overlift in Q4 2015 (increase in
overlift in Q2 and Q3 2015)
• The total underlift position as per 31 December 2015 is 22,725 barrels
9
BarrelsBarrels
850 926
1 464 228
1 805 056
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
1 600 000
1 800 000
2 000 000
2013 2014 2015
Sold volumes
434 035
308 892
545 019584 399
366 746
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Sold volumes
Average achieved selling price per barrel
• Average achieved selling price down 22% compared with Q3-15
• 2 months lag in future price
USD/bbl
10
106,6 103,9
58,1
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
110,0
2013 2014 2015
Ave selling price
97,1
63,8
57,8
61,8
47,9
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
110,0
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Ave selling price
USD/bbl
EBITDA
• EBITDA of MSEK 105 in Q4-15, down 26% compared with Q3-15
• Lower EBITDA and EBITDA margin following lower oil prices
11
MSEK MSEK %
488
743
496
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2013 2014 2015
EBITDA
181
99
130
153
113
64%
48%
58%60%
51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
Expenses
• Increase in OPEX is in line with the increased levels of production
MSEKMSEK
12
92 92
74
94102
8 9
18
7
10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Operating expenses Administrative expenses
153
255
36231
31
44
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2013 2014 2015
Administrative expenses
Operating expenses
Opex and Net back per barrel (USD/bbl)
13* After current government take
• OPEX per barrel is decreasing with higher production
• Costs starting to come down following lower oil prices
• Opex between USD 10.3 and 14.3 per barrel during 2015,
of which direct lifting cost accounts for 50-60%
USD/bblUSD/bbl
14,1 13,4 12,1
41,3 40,6
18,1
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
2013 2014 2015
Operating expenses Net back
16,9 14,310,3 12,1 11,9
33,6
18,819,7
20,013,0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q4 2013 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Operating expenses Net back
Net result after tax
• Net result decrease by 65% Q-o-Q explained mainly by lower
oil prices
14
MSEK MSEK
249
340
198
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2013 2014 2015
-1
63
30
78
27
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Balance Sheet Q4 2015
• Strong net cash position of MSEK 436
• Net cash affected by movement of over 150,000 barrels from overlift
to underlift in Q4-15
• MSEK 106 distributed to shareholders (dividend SEK 1 per share)
and share redemption SEK 2 per share), the share repurchase
programme added MSEK 42 to the distribution of capital to
shareholders.
• A large part of cash and cash equivalents are held in USD which has
appreciated against SEK during the full year 2015
• Exchange rate as per balance sheet day: 8.51 SEK per USD.
15
(MSEK) 2015-12-31 2015-09-30 2014-12-31
Net cash 436 485 372
Total assets 2,165 2,142 1,816
Shareholders’
equity1,864 1,838 1,675
• Tethys’ investments in Blocks 3 and 4 amounted to MSEK 79 in Q4
16
MSEK MSEK
Oil and gas investments
* Adjusted investments
290
259
324
0
100
200
300
400
2013 2014 2015
2013 2014 2015
101
131
50
8579
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Oil and Gas Investments
Wells in Oman
• 7 wells drilled in Q3 2015, all on Shahd oil field
• Five rigs in operation, including one work over rig
17
35
39 40
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2013 2014 2015
Wells drilled
4
11
9
13
7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Wells drilled
20
Shahd Oil field
Producing areas
Prospects /
prospective areas
New reservoir - Lower Khufai
Carbonates - successfully
brought on stream
The water injection
programme in the Buah layer
showing signs of working
• Barik, Khufai, Lower Buah and Lower Al Bashir currently
producing
Block 3 and 4, Oman - Stratigraphy
21
22
Block 3 & 4
Producing Reservoirs
Barik - Farha South
Lower Al Bashair – Farha South & Shahd
Lower Buah - Shahd
Khufai – Shahd & Saiwan east
ــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــCarbonate Clastic
Stratigraphic Column with producing reservoirs
23
Conclusion• Tethys Oil continues to yield positive financial results:
– Revenues MSEK 222
– EBITDA MSEK 113
– Net result MSEK 27
• Tethys will be able to continue to generate a positive gross
profit also at prices below 30 dollars per barrel
• New reservoir - Lower Khufai Carbonate - brought in production
• The water injection programme in the Buah reservoir layer
continues following initial encouragement
• Production expected to continue to increase in 2016, however
with monthly fluctuations
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IMPORTANT NOTICE
25