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10/5/2015 1 © 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved. Mitch Blum, HDR Engineering Inc. The Coming Flood of 2D Models 1D Modeling 2D Modeling Motivation for Advancement in Modeling HEC-RAS 2D Modeling “Flood” of 2D Models Regulatory Implications Outline © 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved. 1D Modeling Review

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Page 1: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

10/5/2015

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© 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.

Mitch Blum, HDR Engineering Inc.

The Coming Flood of 2D Models

1D Modeling

2D Modeling

Motivation for Advancement in Modeling

HEC-RAS 2D Modeling

“Flood” of 2D Models

Regulatory Implications

Outline

© 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.

1D Modeling Review

Page 2: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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Steady State

Unsteady State

Cross Sections in ONE Direction

Hydraulic Computations in ONE Direction

Step Backwater

o Solves one direction

o Downstream to upstream

1D Modeling

1D Modeling

Advantages

o Simple cross sectional geometry

o Simple to run

o Faster computation time

o Hydraulic Structures

o Lots of supporting literature

Disadvantages

o Trouble modeling shallow overland flows

o Can overestimate depth and velocity due to 1D

assumptions

o Laying out cross sections difficult

o Requires engineering judgment

o Doesn’t capture complex dispersive flow

1D Modeling

Continuity Equation:Q A + = 0x t

2

o f

( /A)Q Q h gA( ) 0S St x x

α

Momentum Equation:

(Only in X direction)

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© 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.

2D Modeling Review

Uniform Grid – Square cells

Rectilinear Grid – Rectangular cells

Unstructured Grid/Mesh

o Triangles

o Quadrilaterals

o Polygons

2D Model Construction

Page 4: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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Always Unsteady state

Hydraulic computations in 2 Directions, X

and Y

Solves Full St. Venant Equations

o X and Y

2D Modeling

2D Modeling

2D Modeling

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Advantageso Simple overland model construction

o Dispersive shallow flow

o No guessing at cross section orientations

o More informative dynamic mapping

o Modeling in 2 directions

Disadvantages• More data intensive to build

• Limited on hydraulic structures

• Heavy reliance on terrain quality

• Computational time and power

• Expensive (commercial)

2D Modeling

Integrated 1D/2D Modeling

Images courtesy of XP Solutions

Integrated 1D/2D Modeling

Images courtesy of City of Fort Worth

Using 1D Model Only

Using 1D-2D

Combined Model

Page 6: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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Complex Unknown Flow

50 Lateral Structures

3 Reaches

Stability Issues

1D Tanana Model

© 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.

Motivation for Advancement in Modeling

Page 7: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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“Post Katrina World”

Katrina

o Post Katrina Emergency Management Reform

Act 2006

o Tighter Regulations

o More emphasis on analysis

Extreme Publicized Events

Source: NOAA

Brett Duke / The Times-Picayune

Dam Breach

o Teton Dam Breach

o Bastrop Example

o Statewide Requirements

o Emergency Management Plans

Levee Breach

Early Warning Systems

o Mississippi USACE Breach

Extreme Publicized Events

Engineering Channel

Page 8: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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Mississippi

Ohio River

Flooding 2011

Forced Levee

Breach

Installed over

100 Temporary

Gages to

Capture the

Event

Used as Model

Validation

Faster Computational Time for Emergency Response Modeling

Source: HEC

© 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.

HEC-RAS 5.0

Alpha Version 1 – April 2013

Alpha Version 2 – Aug 2013

Beta Version – May 2014

Revised Beta – June 2014

Revised Beta – Oct 2014

Revised Beta – March 2015

Revised Beta - August 205

5.0 Release – September 2015

Timeframe

Page 9: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

10/5/2015

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1D/2D Integrated Hydrodynamic Model

Regular or Irregular 2D Grid Cells

Finite Volume Solution

Full Saint Venant or Diffusion Wave

Equation Solution Options

Unstructured or Structured

Computational Meshes

Detailed Hydraulic Table Properties for

Computational Cells and Cell Faces

RAS Mapper

HEC-RAS 5.0

Public Domain

Extensively Tested

Computationally Efficient

Terrain Processing

New Codeso Not repackaging existing codes

Unique Approach to 2D Solutiono Sub grid cell detail

How is it Different?

Computational Mesh with Sub-Grid

Terrain Data (Terrain Detail is Utilized)

Each Cell Face is a Detailed Cross

Section

Gridding Pre-Processing Defines

Hydraulic Property Lookup Tableso Elev-Wetted Perimeter (Face)

o Elev-Area (Face)

o Roughness (Face)

o Elev-Volume (Cell)

Model Uses Tables During Run (Faster)

How is it Different?

Page 10: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

10/5/2015

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Finite

Volume

1D*

1D*

1D*

1D*

*HEC-RAS 2D accounts for irregular skew in grid cell face

Source: HEC

HEC-RAS 5.0

Terrain Creation and Association

Multiple Terrain Support

o Hierarchical control

Flexible Tile – Resolutions

Less terrain file size limits

Map Projection

o Reference or manual assign

Shapefile backgrounds

Web Imagery

RAS Mapper

Page 11: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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Static and Dynamic Results

o Depth

o Water Surface Elevation

o Velocity

o Inundation Boundary

o Flow (1D only)

o Depth * Velocity

o Arrival Time

o Recession

o Duration

o Percent Time Inundated

Web Imagery

Shapefiles

Profiles

HEC-RAS Visualization

Visualization

© 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.

The “Flood” of 2D Models

Matt Cardy/Getty Images

Page 12: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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Cost

Computational Power

Reliance on GIS or CAD systems

FEMA Acceptability

Historic Impediments to the “Flood”

Hydro Response Ltd

Getty Images

© 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.

Breaking Down the Barriers

HEC-RAS 5.0

o Free to download, install, and

use

o Upwardly compatible

o Free documentation

o Ongoing support

Proprietary Software

o Upward of $60,000

Cost

Lori SR

Page 13: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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64 Bit Computations

Multiple Processors

Faster Processors

Solid State Memory

Video Graphic Cards

Shorter Runtimes

Larger Storage Available for Output

Advances in Computer Hardware and Software

HEC-RAS Moving

Away from GIS

Geospatial Processing

within HEC-RAS

o Pre-processing Model

geometry

o Terrain development

and modification

o Modeling output and

visualization

Reliance on GIS or CAD

© 2015 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.

Regulatory Implications

Page 14: PowerPoint Presentation...Floodway concept formulation unavailable. More review anticipated for treatment of structures. XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D v. 12.00 (May 2010) XP Solutions XP Solutions

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PROGRAM DEVELOPED BY AVAILABLE FROM COMMENTS

FESWMS 2DH

1.1 and up

(Jun. 1995)

U.S. Geological Survey

U.S. Geological Survey

National Center

12201 Sunrise Valley Drive

Reston, VA 22092

USGS.gov/

For sediment transport.

FLO-2D

v. 2007.06 and 2009.06Jimmy S. O'Brien

FLO-2D Software, Inc.

P.O. Box 66

Nutrioso, AZ 85932

FLO-2d.com/

Hydrodynamic model that has

the capabilities of modeling

unconfined flows, complex

channels, sediment transport,

and mud and debris flows.

MIKE Flood HD

v.2009 SP4DHI Water and Environment

DHI, Inc.

319 SW Washington St.

Suite 614

Portland, OR 97204

A coupling of MIKE 11 (one-

dimensional) and MIKE 21 (two-

dimensional) models. Solves the

fully dynamic equations of

motion for one- and two-

dimensional flow in open

channels, riverine flood plains,

alluvial fans and in costal zones.

TABS RMA2

v. 4.3 and up (Oct. 1996)

RMA4

v. 4.5 and up (July 2000)

US Army Corps of Engineers

(USACE)

Coastal Engineering Research

Center

Department of the Army

Waterways Experiment Station

Corps of Engineers

3909 Halls Ferry Road

Vicksburg, MS 39180-6199

Limitations on split flows.

Floodway concept formulation

unavailable. More review

anticipated for treatment of

structures.

XP-SWMM 2D/XPStorm 2D

v. 12.00

(May 2010)

XP Solutions

XP Solutions

5415 SW Westgate Dr.

Suite 150

Portland, OR 97221

XPSolutions.com

Simulates two-dimensional free

surface flows by solving the full-

dimensional, depth averaged,

momentum and continuity

equations. Dynamically linked

with the one-dimensional

modeling of XP-SWMM/XP-

Storm.

Current FEMA Accepted 2D Models

Approved FEMA Model List

o HEC-RAS automatically approved upon

release

o Extensive validation process

Applicability of Use

o Justification to FEMA to use 2D

o Is the Effective Model adequate?

Floodway Challenges

o Method 4 not available

o Method 1 not available

o Use of terrain to block encroachments

Model Review

o Challenge to find experienced reviewers

Regulatory Implications

Education

o Understanding how the model works

o Training staff

o “How to Review a 2D Model”

Anticipate and Plan

o What communities are appropriate for 2D?

o Emergency response

Reach out to others

• Communities

• Experts

• Regulators

2D Model “Flood” Preparedness

Creative Commons

Michael Yamashita