powerpoint presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% source: company filings, ncc, wcis...

51

Upload: others

Post on 22-May-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 2: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 3: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 4: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 5: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 6: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Largest mobile

operator in Nigeria

in Nigerian telecoms market since launch

subscribersmarket share by

revenue

with mix of local &

international expertise

active data users

Page 7: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 8: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 9: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 10: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 11: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 12: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 13: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

1,4191,366

329269

212 204 200

11058

China India USA Indonesia Brazil Pakistan Nigeria Ehiopia SA

423368

249175

118

Nigeria South Africa Egypt Algeria Morocco

163

92 100 69

50

Nigeria Egypt South Africa Ethiopia Algeria

Source: World Bank, Worldometers, Pyramid, EIU, CIA Factbook.

Notes: (1) Based on EIU estimates. (2) Top 5 African countries ranked by total GDP.

Page 14: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

38%

27%

38%

27%

40%

27%

38%

27%

50%

17%

22%

11%

Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid.

Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative than old one: exclusion of Incoming SMS, Incoming ONNET Calls and Airtime refill from RGS Definition. (2) Includes 3G and 4G subscribers. (3) MB/month. Market share out of top 4 operators by revenue.

Page 15: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 16: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 17: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

77.7% 78.8% 91.8%

2014A 2018A 2023E 2018A

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% 140.0% 160.0% 180.0% 200.0%Mobile Penetration (%)

3.1% 3.0%

1.5%

0.5%

2.1% 2.0%

0.9%

0.3%

Page 18: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 19: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

48%

58% 57%

69% 72%81%

87% 89% 89%

Nigeria Morocco Kenya South Africa Algeria Mexico Jordan France Belgium

0%6%

16%

47%

47%

75%

93%95% 99% 104%

4%

15%

84%

Page 20: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

26%

52% 53% 52%

250

844

1,803

14.8 14.917.2 18.7 20.4

Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19

22.6 24.0 23.3 25.229.6

Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19

Page 22: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

MTNN Revenue Today(2018A)

Nigeria Population Increase Nigeria Mobile PenetrationIncrease

Increase in # of Data Users Mobile Data Usage per UserIncrease

Price Upside Digital Upside MTNN Revenue in 5 Years(Full Potential)

+...?

+...?

+...?

+...?

Page 23: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 24: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 25: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 26: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 27: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 28: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 29: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 30: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 31: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 32: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 33: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 34: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 35: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 36: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 37: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 38: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 39: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 40: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 41: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 42: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 43: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 44: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 45: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

o

o

o

o

o

Page 46: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 47: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 48: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 49: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative

Page 50: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative
Page 51: PowerPoint Presentation · 38% 27% 38% 27% 40% 27% 17% 22% 11% Source: Company Filings, NCC, WCIS and Pyramid. Notes: (1) Modernised definition of active subscribers is more conservative