potential multi-dimensional impacts of improved livestock...

1
Potential multi-dimensional impacts of improved livestock feeding options B.K. Paul* a,b , C. Birnholz a , J.C.J. Groot b , M. Herrero c , A. Notenbaert a , K. Woyessa b , C. Timler b , C.J. Klapwijk b , J. Koge a , S. Alvarez b , P. Tittonell b Background Two-thirds of smallholder farmers in eastern and central Africa rely on mixed crop-livestock systems, and increasing demographic pressures and climate variability put livelihoods at risk 1 East Africa (EA) has one of the highest greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions intensities and lowest feed use efficiencies worldwide 1 Improved livestock feeding and forages can contribute to increased livestock productivity while potentially mitigating and adapting to climate change, which provides an opportunity for sustainable intensification of crop-livestock systems 1 Multi-dimensional analysis with other dimensions of farm performance necessary 2 Results Six types of smallholder farmers were identified for Babati district, however 88% of all farms are represented by three types only: small farms with small livestock herd (SL, n=30), small farms specialized in small ruminants (SR, n=7) and intermediate farms with higher livestock (IL, n=33; Table 1) Figure 3. Change in organic matter balance (% of organic matter in kg/ha) Figure 4. Change in GHG intensity (% change of GHG in kg CO 2 -eq/kg FPCM) Materials and Methods A household survey (N=90) was used to derive a livestock and feed based typology in Babati district, Northern Tanzania using principal component analysis and hierarchal cluster analysis Survey and typology data were used to model representative farms in the bio-economic static model FarmDESIGN 3 and two improved feeding scenarios were developed for farms from three different types Scenario 1: improving quality of feed by increasing the amount of concentrates fed to livestock Scenario 2: increasing the amount of concentrates fed to livestock and feeding intercropped Napier grass and Desmodium (10-33% of crop area) Modeling of farm-level GHG emissions based on IPCC Tier 1 and 2 Table 1. Mean characteristics of feed based farm types in Babati district, Tanzania identified by cluster analysis. Results Discussion and conclusions Livestock is the largest contributor of GHG in smallholder farms, especially enteric fermentation from cattle Improved livestock feeding options improve SOM balance and decrease GHG intensity per farm, especially when improved forages are integrated Improved forages result in higher operating profits on intermediate farm sizes, but decrease profits on small farms where the opportunity costs of land is too high The modeling approach will be extended with IPCC Tier 2 and 3 methods such as the Ruminant model for milk production and enteric fermentation Other intensification options - including improved livestock breeds, high yielding forage and crop varieties, and mineral fertilizer application - need to be modeled to assist in prioritization of technologies Acknowledgements This research was funded under the CGIAR Research Programs on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), Livestock and Fish, and Africa RISING a International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Kenya; b Wageningen University, The Netherlands; c Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO), Australia *Corresponding author, e-mail: B.Paul@ cgiar.org 1. Herrero, M. et al. (2013). Biomass use, production, feed efficiencies, and greenhouse gas emissions from global livestock systems. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 110(52), 20888-93 2. Hillier, I. et al. (2011). A farm-focused calculator for emissions from crop and livestock production. Environ. Modeling and Software, 26(9), 1070-1078. 3. Groot, J.C.J., et al. (2012). Multi-objective optimization and design of farming systems. Agricultural Systems. Vol. 110.p. 63-77. Small farm with medium livestock herd and high inputs Small farm with small livestock herd (SL) Small farm specialized in small ruminants (SR) Intermediate farm with large livestock herd (IL) Intermediate farm specialized in dairy Large farm with large livestock herd % of farms 4 38 9 41 4 5 Area (ha) 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.7 7.8 TLU 5.0 2.7 10.1 4.4 5.7 13.8 Improved cattle (nb) 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.7 0.5 Small ruminants (nb) 7.3 4.8 26.6 6.2 12.3 20.3 Grazing time (h/d) 10.3 6.2 9.7 8.6 9.0 7.5 Supplement (kg/TLU/y) 116.9 16.2 0.7 2.8 15.2 1.8 Figure 1. Livestock feeding on maize stover, communal grassland and crop residues SR Carbon stock changes-SOC Livestock manure management Livestock enteric emissions Direct and Indirect field N2O SL IL Figure 2. Sources of GHG emissions of baseline farms (% of total GHG emissions in Mg CO 2 -eq) C. Birnholz C. Birnholz C. Birnholz Figure 5. Change in operating profit (% change of operating profit in TSh) SL1 SL2 SR1 SR2 IL1 IL2 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 Percentage change from baseline Figure 6. Cut and carry feeding system SL1 SL2 SR1 SR2 IL1 IL2 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 Percentage change from baseline SL1 SL2 SR1 SR2 IL1 IL2 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Percentage change from baseline R. Sommer C. Birnholz C. Birnholz C. Birnholz

Upload: others

Post on 01-Oct-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Potential multi-dimensional impacts of improved livestock ...ciat-library.ciat.cgiar.org/Articulos_Ciat/... · 3. Groot, J.C.J., et al. (2012). Multi-objective optimization and design

Potential multi-dimensional impactsof improved livestock feeding options

B.K. Paul*a,b, C. Birnholza, J.C.J. Grootb, M. Herreroc, A. Notenbaerta, K. Woyessab, C. Timlerb, C.J. Klapwijkb, J. Kogea,

S. Alvarezb, P. Tittonellb

Background

• Two-thirds of smallholder farmers in eastern and central Africa rely on mixed crop-livestock systems, and increasing demographic pressures and climate variability put livelihoods at risk1

• East Africa (EA) has one of the highest greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions intensities and lowest feed use efficiencies worldwide1

• Improved livestock feeding and forages can contribute to increased livestock productivity while potentially mitigating and adapting to climate change, which provides an opportunity for sustainable intensification of crop-livestock systems1

• Multi-dimensional analysis with other dimensions of farm performance necessary2

Results

Six types of smallholder farmers were identified for Babati district, however 88% of all farms are represented by three types only: small farms with small livestock herd (SL, n=30), small farms specialized in small ruminants (SR, n=7) and intermediate farms with higher livestock (IL, n=33; Table 1)

Figure 3. Change in organic matter balance

(% of organic matter in kg/ha)

Figure 4. Change in GHG intensity

(% change of GHG in kg CO2-eq/kg FPCM)

Materials and Methods

• A household survey (N=90) was used to derive a livestock and feed based typology in Babati district, Northern Tanzania using principal component analysis and hierarchal cluster analysis

• Survey and typology data were used to model representative farms in the bio-economic static model FarmDESIGN3 and two improved feeding scenarios were developed for farms from three different types

• Scenario 1: improving quality of feed by increasing the amount of concentrates fed to livestock

• Scenario 2: increasing the amount of concentrates fed to livestock and feeding intercropped Napier grass and Desmodium (10-33% of crop area)

• Modeling of farm-level GHG emissions based on IPCC Tier 1 and 2

Table 1. Mean characteristics of feed based farm types in Babati district, Tanzania identified by

cluster analysis.

Results Discussion and conclusions

• Livestock is the largest contributor of GHG in smallholder farms,

especially enteric fermentation from cattle

• Improved livestock feeding options improve SOM balance and

decrease GHG intensity per farm, especially when improved forages

are integrated

• Improved forages result in higher operating profits on intermediate

farm sizes, but decrease profits on small farms where the

opportunity costs of land is too high

• The modeling approach will be extended with IPCC Tier 2 and 3

methods such as the Ruminant model for milk production and

enteric fermentation

• Other intensification options - including improved livestock breeds,

high yielding forage and crop varieties, and mineral fertilizer

application - need to be modeled to assist in prioritization of

technologies

AcknowledgementsThis research was funded under the CGIAR Research Programs on Climate Change, Agriculture

and Food Security (CCAFS), Livestock and Fish, and Africa RISING

aInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Kenya; b Wageningen University, The Netherlands; c

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO), Australia

*Corresponding author, e-mail: [email protected]

1. Herrero, M. et al. (2013). Biomass use, production, feed efficiencies, and greenhouse gas emissions from global livestock systems.Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 110(52), 20888-932. Hillier, I. et al. (2011). A farm-focused calculator for emissions from crop and livestock production. Environ. Modeling andSoftware, 26(9), 1070-1078.3. Groot, J.C.J., et al. (2012). Multi-objective optimization and design of farming systems. Agricultural Systems. Vol. 110.p. 63-77.

Small farm with

medium livestock herd and

high inputs

Small farm with small livestock

herd

(SL)

Small farm specialized

in smallruminants

(SR)

Intermediate farm with

large livestock

herd(IL)

Intermediatefarm

specialized in dairy

Largefarm with

large livestock

herd

% of farms 4 38 9 41 4 5

Area (ha) 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.7 7.8

TLU 5.0 2.7 10.1 4.4 5.7 13.8

Improved cattle (nb)

0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.7 0.5

Small ruminants (nb)

7.3 4.8 26.6 6.2 12.3 20.3

Grazing time (h/d)

10.3 6.2 9.7 8.6 9.0 7.5

Supplement(kg/TLU/y)

116.9 16.2 0.7 2.8 15.2 1.8

Figure 1. Livestock feeding on maize stover, communal grassland and crop residues

SR

Carbon stock changes-SOC Livestock manure management Livestock enteric emissions Direct and Indirect field N2O

SL IL

Figure 2. Sources of GHG emissions of baseline farms (% of total GHG emissions in Mg CO2-eq)

C. Birnholz C. Birnholz C. Birnholz

Figure 5. Change in operating profit (%

change of operating profit in TSh)

SL1

SL2

SR1

SR2

IL1

IL2

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

Percen

tag

e c

han

ge f

ro

m b

aselin

e

Figure 6. Cut and carry feeding system

SL1

SL2

SR1

SR2

IL1

IL2

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

Percen

tag

e c

han

ge f

ro

m b

aselin

e

SL1

SL2

SR1

SR2

IL1

IL2

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Percen

tag

e c

han

ge f

ro

m b

aselin

e

R. Sommer

C. Birnholz C. Birnholz C. Birnholz