post-cop21: aligning us business and climateww1.prweb.com/prfiles/2016/01/19/13166946/cop21 key...

1
ESTABLISHING A ROBUST CARBON TAX 7 VOTES INVESTOR ACTION (DIVESTMENT - PORFOLIO DECARBONIZATION - FORCEFUL STEWARDSHIP) 6 VOTES CREATING REGULATION ENCOURAGING SWIFT TRANSITION FROM HIGH CARBON OPTIONS 4 VOTES CORPORATE INNOVATION OF 2-DEGREE BUSINESS MODELS 4 VOTES ADHERENCE TO EXISTING INDCS 2 VOTES CREATING ENABLING REGULATION FOR LOW CARBON SOLUTIONS 2 VOTES OTHER 0 VOTES RATCHETING UP INDCS IN ADVANCE OF 5-YEAR DEADLINE 5 VOTES Which 3 technologies / solutions hold the greatest promise for mitigating / adapting to climate change and delivering on COP21 commitments (and beyond)? Because responsibility is unclear and pledges are voluntary, fulfillment will take courageous acts of leadership at all levels. KEY FINDINGS 4 8 DEC 14 TO DEC 18, 2015 US BUSINESS AND POST-COP21: ALIGNING CLIMATE The COP21 climate summit in Paris instilled a sense of urgency among world leaders and forged new goals for both climate and energy. A hand-picked group of leading experts across the climate and energy spectrum engaged in a virtual dialogue to evaluate the outcomes of COP21, and determine its implications for the future of global climate and industry in the U.S. 23 PARTICIPANTS | 118 POSTS CONCLUSION As this conversation and the COP21 summit reinforced, the technological capabilities, business case, and perhaps even political will are aligned to realize a <2°C global temperature rise. Ultimately, realization of these goals hinge on a change of heart in public sentiment. This, in turn, must be matched by a change in behavior at every level. What we need is nothing short of a social revolution. “…climate change is still a partisan issue, used to fuel disruption and confusion among the masses, resulting in diminished public acceptance and slowed momentum toward full-fledged positive policy change. Could this all just come down to social revolution?… What would bring forth the significant change in which energy production and GHG emissions could be seen through the lenses of economic justice and social benefit as opposed to the current paradigm? How can we drive this change?” - Garratt Hasenstab, CEO at The Mountain Life Companies DEC 14 TO DEC 18, 2015 US BUSINESS AND POST-COP21: ALIGNING CLIMATE The COP21 climate summit in Paris instilled a sense of urgency among world leaders and forged new goals for both climate and energy. A hand-picked group of leading experts across the climate and energy spectrum engaged in a virtual dialogue to evaluate the outcomes of COP21, and determine its implications for the future of global climate and industry in the U.S. 23 PARTICIPANTS | 118 POSTS DEC 14 TO DEC 18, 2015 US BUSINESS AND POST-COP21: ALIGNING CLIMATE The COP21 climate summit in Paris instilled a sense of urgency among world leaders and forged new goals for both climate and energy. A hand-picked group of leading experts across the climate and energy spectrum engaged in a virtual dialogue to evaluate the outcomes of COP21, and determine its implications for the future of global climate and industry in the U.S. 23 PARTICIPANTS | 118 POSTS James Bairey Pro Bono Clean Energy Independent Consultant Jason Kliwinski Founder & CEO The Green Building Center Julie Gorte SVP, Sustainable Investing Pax World Lily Donge Principal, Business Renewables Center Rocky Mountain Institute Mark Trexler Climate Risk Knowledge Broker The Climatographers Michael Dutschke Chairman Global Conservation Standard Robert Bryce Senior Fellow Manhattan Institute for Policy Research Sam DeLay Senior Program Manager, Energy Utilization Tennessee Valley Authority Sanford Lewis Strategic Counsel, Corporate Accountability Sanford Lewis, Attorney Ski Milburn Managing Member & CEO VAIREX Air Systems Tabaré Arroyo Currás Global Advisor on Energy Economics World Wildlife Foundation International Thomas O. Murtha Managing Director Source Capital Group 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 4 2 3 Responses to the COP21 agreement ranged from glowing to skeptical, but ultimately highlighted the gap between GHG reduction needs and pledges made. There is no silver bullet to achieve the goals, but rather a “cocktail” of solutions. The private sector may be best positioned to drive these solutions and the business case is compelling. Because accountability is unclear and pledges are voluntary, however, fulfillment will take courageous acts of leadership at all levels. 1 The Glowing “COP21 is a magnificent achievement. It is more than we had any right to expect that we could pull off.” – Hunter Lovins, President, Natural Capitalism Solutions “The significance of the signing of the agreement can't be understated. The signing by nearly 200 nations shows that the debate over climate change is over.” - Eric Corey Freed, VP, International Living Future Institute The Skeptical “It's a start, but we're running out of time for starts” - Ski Milburn, Managing Member & CEO at VAIREX air systems “The Paris Agreement is full of ambition. It also contains ambiguities and oratory calls for action, as opposed to a concrete, enforceable path forward to limiting climate change to 2C, much less 1.5C.” - Mark Trexler, Climate Risk Knowledge Broker, The Climatographers THE GAP While the COP21 Agreement set a goal of limiting global temps to 2°C above the preindustrialization level with a stretch goal of 1.5°C, all the pledges made at the conference would amount to no fewer than 2.7°C warming. KEY FINDINGS Responses to the COP21 agreement ranged from glowing to skeptical, but ultimately highlighted the gap between GHG reduction needs and pledges made. 5 The target calls for reducing GHG emissions by 1,300 Gt CO2 by 2050 ; Pledged amounts through 2025 add up to roughly 120 Gt, or less than 10%. Sure, we can expect more pledges to be made in subsequent years, but this is where we stand. The private sector is best positioned to drive change towards this goal and the business case is compelling. 3 KEY FINDINGS Overall, the financial impacts on the US economy from climate change and US implementation of COP21 commitments will be: POSITIVE 6 VOTES VERY POSITIVE 3 VOTES NEGATIVE 0 VOTES VERY NEGATIVE 0 VOTES NEUTRAL 1 VOTE “There is reason to expect that the role of the investment community, at least in the US, is likely to become more rigorous and impactful post COP21.” - Sanford Lewis, Environmental Attorney “Windmills will get better, solar will get better, batteries will get better, as will fuel cells, and hydro, and geothermal and even nuclear. And [there] will be plenty of money to be made on those improvements.” - Ski Milburn, Managing Member & CEO at VAIREX air systems “If we expect real change within our time, the leaders of our nation must 'put their money where their mouth is' and stand together to serve as a beacon of sustainability for the world to emulate, and why not, there is endless profit to be made in this pursuit of a sustainable future.” – Garratt Hasenstab, CEO, The Mountain Life Companies “The announcement by Bill Gates at the start of COP21 for increased R&D investments by private and government sectors is significant, particularly for nascent technologies struggling to cross the “valley of death” and transition to commercialization.” – Julie Gorte, SVP, Sustainable Investing at Pax World 9 Renewables “Renewable deployment will continue at a breakneck pace and oil isn't going anywhere anytime soon.” – Billy Grayson, Director of Sustainability, Liberty Property Trust Nuclear “…the US needs to enact policies that will incubate companies that are designing safer cheaper reactors.” – Robert Bryce, Senior Fellow, Manhattan Institute for Policy Research Energy Storage “Energy storage is poised for a breakthrough. Several competing technologies are pushing storage to capacities we never thought possible.” – Eric Corey Freed, VP, International Living Future Institute Biogas and Biofuels “Biogas and biofuels are an untapped and small market that is set to explode, given the need for decentralized farming and agriculture, and the need to find ways to deal with the waste.” – Eric Corey Freed, VP Global Outreach at International Living Future Institute There is no silver bullet to achieve the goals, but rather a “cocktail” of solutions. 2 KEY FINDINGS “…carbon goals could be achievable but it will be due to a combination of shuttering coal fired plants, energy efficiency, demand response, and potentially leveraged electrification with consumer technology.” - Sam DeLay, Tennessee Valley Authority “The requisite scale for change is cubic mile of oil equivalent - Ripudaman Malhotra, Co-Author: Cubic Mile of Oil 6 PARTICIPANTS Ripudaman Malhotra Co-author: A Cubic Mile of Oil Independent Consultant Facilitator Bill Baue Corporate Sustainability Architect Co-Facilitator Rene De Coning Global Strategic Insight Lead Oil & Gas Industry Co-Facilitator Raj Thamotheram Chief Executive Officer Preventable Surprises Co-Facilitator Alison Wise Clean Tech & Innovation Executive/Strategist Andrew Winston Author, The Big Pivot & Green to Gold Adviser/Speaker Andy Howard Founder Didas Research Bardi Ugo Professor, Physical Chemistry University of Florence Billy Grayson Director of Sustainability Liberty Property Trust Charles Secrett Sustainability Advisor, Analyst & Campaigner Eric Corey Freed, Vice President, Global Outreach International Living Future Institute Garratt Hasenstab Chief Executive Officer The Mountain Life Companies Guillermo Pastor Senior Independent Consultant Oil & Gas Industry Guy McPherson Professor Emeritus University of Arizona Hunter Lovins President Natural Capitalism Solutions This engagement brought together the following experts: 2

Upload: others

Post on 19-Jun-2020

4 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: POST-COP21: ALIGNING US BUSINESS AND CLIMATEww1.prweb.com/prfiles/2016/01/19/13166946/COP21 Key Takeaway… · establishing a robust carbon tax!"#$%&' investor action (divestment

ESTABLISHING A

ROBUST CARBON TAX 7 VOTES

INVESTOR ACTION

(DIVESTMENT - PORFOLIO

DECARBONIZATION -

FORCEFUL STEWARDSHIP)6 VOTES

CREATING REGULATION

ENCOURAGING SWIFT

TRANSITION FROM HIGH

CARBON OPTIONS

4 VOTES

CORPORATE INNOVATION

OF 2-DEGREE BUSINESS

MODELS 4 VOTES

ADHERENCE TO

EXISTING INDCS 2 VOTES

CREATING ENABLING

REGULATION FOR LOW

CARBON SOLUTIONS2 VOTES

OTHER0 VOTES

RATCHETING UP INDCS

IN ADVANCE OF 5-YEAR

DEADLINE 5 VOTES

Which 3 technologies / solutions hold the greatest promise for mitigating / adapting

to climate change and delivering on COP21 commitments (and beyond)?

Because responsibility is unclear and pledges are voluntary, fulfillment will take courageous acts of leadership at all levels.

K E Y F I N D I N G S

4

8

D E C 1 4 T O D E C 1 8 , 2 0 1 5

US BUSINESS AND

POST-COP21: ALIGNING

CLIMATEThe COP21 climate summit in Paris instil led a sense of

urgency among world leaders and forged new goals for

both climate and energy. A hand-picked group of leading

experts across the climate and energy spectrum engaged in

a virtual dialogue to evaluate the outcomes of COP21, and

determine its implications for the future of global climate

and industry in the U.S.

2 3 P A R T I C I P A N T S | 1 1 8 P O S T S

CONCLUSIONAs this conversation and the COP21 summit reinforced, the

technological capabil it ies, business case, and perhaps even

political wil l are aligned to realize a <2°C global

temperature rise.

Ultimately, realization of these goals hinge on a change of

heart in public sentiment. This, in turn, must be matched

by a change in behavior at every level. What we need is

nothing short of a social revolution.

“…c l imate change is s t i l l a par t isan issue , used to fue l d is rupt ion and

confus ion among the masses , resu l t ing in d imin ished pub l ic

acceptance and s lowed momentum toward fu l l - f l edged pos i t i ve

po l icy change . Cou ld th is a l l jus t come down to soc ia l revo lu t ion?…

What wou ld b r ing fo r th the s ign ificant change in wh ich energy product ion and GHG emiss ions cou ld be seen th rough the lenses o f

economic jus t ice and soc ia l benefit as opposed to the cur rent parad igm? How can we dr ive th is change?”

- Gar rat t Hasenstab , CEO at The Mounta in L i fe Companies

D E C 1 4 T O D E C 1 8 , 2 0 1 5

US BUSINESS AND

POST-COP21: ALIGNING

CLIMATEThe COP21 climate summit in Paris instil led a sense of

urgency among world leaders and forged new goals for

both climate and energy. A hand-picked group of leading

experts across the climate and energy spectrum engaged in

a virtual dialogue to evaluate the outcomes of COP21, and

determine its implications for the future of global climate

and industry in the U.S.

2 3 P A R T I C I P A N T S | 1 1 8 P O S T S

D E C 1 4 T O D E C 1 8 , 2 0 1 5

US BUSINESS AND

POST-COP21: ALIGNING

CLIMATEThe COP21 climate summit in Paris instil led a sense of

urgency among world leaders and forged new goals for

both climate and energy. A hand-picked group of leading

experts across the climate and energy spectrum engaged in

a virtual dialogue ! to evaluate the outcomes of COP21,

and determine its implications for the future of global

climate and industry in the U.S.

2 3 P A R T I C I P A N T S | 1 1 8 P O S T S

James Bairey

Pro Bono Clean Energy

Independent Consultant

Jason Kliwinski

Founder & CEO

The Green Building Center

Julie Gorte

SVP, Sustainable Investing

Pax World

Lily Donge

Principal, Business

Renewables Center

Rocky Mountain Institute

Mark Trexler

Climate Risk Knowledge Broker

The Climatographers

Michael Dutschke

Chairman

Global Conservation Standard

Robert Bryce

Senior Fellow

Manhattan Institute for

Policy Research

Sam DeLay

Senior Program Manager,

Energy Utilization

Tennessee Valley Authority

Sanford Lewis

Strategic Counsel, Corporate

Accountability

Sanford Lewis, Attorney

Ski Milburn

Managing Member & CEO

VAIREX Air Systems

Tabaré Arroyo Currás

Global Advisor on Energy

Economics

World Wildlife Foundation

International

Thomas O. Murtha

Managing Director

Source Capital Group

3

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1

4

2

3

Responses to the COP21 agreement ! ranged from glowing to skeptical, but ultimately highlighted the gap between GHG reduction needs and pledges made.

There is no silver bullet to achieve the goals, but rather a “cocktail” of solutions.

The private sector may be best positioned to drive these solutions and the business case is compelling.

Because accountability is unclear and pledges are voluntary, however, fulfillment will take courageous acts of leadership at all levels.

1

The Glowing

“COP21 is a magnificent achievement. It is more than we

had any right to expect that we

could pull off.”

– Hunter Lovins, President, Natural

Capitalism Solutions

“The significance of the signing of the agreement can't be

understated. The signing by

nearly 200 nations shows that

the debate over climate change

is over.”

- Eric Corey Freed, VP, International

Living Future Institute

The Skeptical

“It's a start, but we're running

out of time for starts”

- Ski Milburn, Managing Member &

CEO at VAIREX air systems

“The Paris Agreement is full of

ambition. It also contains

ambiguities and oratory calls for

action, as opposed to a concrete,

enforceable path forward to

limiting climate change to 2C,

much less 1.5C.”

- Mark Trexler, Climate Risk

Knowledge Broker, The

Climatographers

THE GAP

While the COP21

Agreement set a goal of

limiting global temps to

2°C above the

preindustrialization level

with a stretch goal of

1.5°C, all the pledges

made at the conference

would amount to no

fewer than 2.7°C

warming.

K E Y F I N D I N G S

Responses to the COP21 agreement ranged from glowing to skeptical, but ultimately highlighted the gap between GHG reduction needs and pledges made.

5

The target calls for reducing GHG emissions by 1,300 Gt CO2 by 2050 !; Pledged amounts through 2025 add up to roughly 120 Gt, or less than 10%. Sure, we can expect more pledges to be made in subsequent years, but this is where we stand.

The private sector is best positioned to drive change towards this goal and the business case is compelling.

3

K E Y F I N D I N G S

Overall, the financial impacts on the US economy from climate change and US implementation of

COP21 commitments will be:

POSITIVE6 VOTES

VERY POSITIVE3 VOTES

NEGATIVE0 VOTES

VERY NEGATIVE0 VOTES

NEUTRAL1 VOTE

“There is reason to expect that

the role of the investment

community, at least in the US, is

likely to become more rigorous

and impactful post COP21.”

- Sanford Lewis, Environmental

Attorney

“Windmills will get better, solar

will get better, batteries will get

better, as will fuel cells, and

hydro, and geothermal and even

nuclear. And [there] will be plenty

of money to be made on those

improvements.”

- Ski Milburn, Managing Member &

CEO at VAIREX air systems

“If we expect real change within our time, the

leaders of our nation must 'put their money

where their mouth is' and stand together to

serve as a beacon of sustainability for the world

to emulate, and why not, there is endless profit to be made in this pursuit of a sustainable future.”

– Garratt Hasenstab, CEO, The Mountain Life Companies

“The announcement by Bill Gates at the start of

COP21 for increased R&D investments by private

and government sectors is significant, particularly for nascent technologies struggling

to cross the “valley of death” and transition to

commercialization.”

– Julie Gorte, SVP, Sustainable Investing at Pax World

9

Renewables“Renewable deployment will continue at a

breakneck pace and oil isn't going anywhere

anytime soon.”

– Billy Grayson, Director of Sustainability, Liberty

Property Trust

Nuclear“…the US needs to enact policies that will

incubate companies that are designing safer

cheaper reactors.”

– Robert Bryce, Senior Fellow, Manhattan Institute for

Policy Research

Energy Storage“Energy storage is poised for a breakthrough.

Several competing technologies are pushing

storage to capacities we never thought possible.”

– Eric Corey Freed, VP, International Living Future

Institute

Biogas and Biofuels“Biogas and biofuels are an untapped and small

market that is set to explode, given the need for

decentralized farming and agriculture, and the

need to find ways to deal with the waste.” – Eric Corey Freed, VP Global Outreach at International

Living Future Institute

There is no silver bullet to achieve the goals, but rather a “cocktail” of solutions.

2

K E Y F I N D I N G S

“ … c a r b o n g o a l s c o u l d b e a c h i e v a b l e b u t i t w i l l b e d u e t o a c o m b i n a t i o n o f

s h u t t e r i n g c o a l fi r e d p l a n t s , e n e r g y e f fi c i e n c y, d e m a n d r e s p o n s e , a n d p o t e n t i a l l y l e v e r a g e d e l e c t r i fi c a t i o n w i t h c o n s u m e r t e c h n o l o g y. ”- S a m D e L a y, Te n n e s s e e Va l l e y A u t h o r i t y

“ T h e r e q u i s i t e s c a l e f o r c h a n g e i s c u b i c m i l e o f o i l e q u i v a l e n t ! ”

- R i p u d a m a n M a l h o t r a , C o - A u t h o r: C u b i c M i l e o f O i l

6

PARTICIPANTS

Ripudaman Malhotra

Co-author: A Cubic Mile of Oil

Independent Consultant

Facilitator

Bill Baue

Corporate Sustainability

Architect

Co-Facilitator

Rene De Coning

Global Strategic Insight Lead

Oil & Gas Industry

Co-Facilitator

Raj Thamotheram

Chief Executive OfficerPreventable Surprises

Co-Facilitator

Alison Wise

Clean Tech & Innovation

Executive/Strategist

Andrew Winston

Author, The Big Pivot &

Green to Gold

Adviser/Speaker

Andy Howard

Founder

Didas Research

Bardi Ugo

Professor, Physical Chemistry

University of Florence

Billy Grayson

Director of Sustainability

Liberty Property Trust

Charles Secrett

Sustainability Advisor, Analyst

& Campaigner

Eric Corey Freed,

Vice President, Global Outreach

International Living Future Institute

Garratt Hasenstab

Chief Executive OfficerThe Mountain Life Companies

Guillermo Pastor

Senior Independent Consultant

Oil & Gas Industry

Guy McPherson

Professor Emeritus

University of Arizona

Hunter Lovins

President

Natural Capitalism Solutions

T h i s e n g a g e m e n t b ro u g h t t o g e t h e r t h e f o l l o w i n g e xp e r t s :

2