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    Political Parties and Foreign Policy: A Structuralist ApproachAuthor(s): Gary KingSource: Political Psychology, Vol. 7, No. 1 (Mar., 1986), pp. 83-101Published by: International Society of Political Psychology

    Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3791158 .Accessed: 03/09/2014 04:20

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  • 8/15/2019 Political Parties and Foreign Policy

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    Political

    sychology,

    ol.

    7,

    No.

    1,

    1986

    Political arties nd

    Foreign

    olicy:

    A

    Structuralist

    pproach1

    Gary

    King2

    This

    rticlentroduceshe

    heory

    nd

    approach

    f

    tructural

    nthropology

    and

    applies

    t to

    a

    problem

    n

    American

    olitical

    cience.

    Through

    his

    p-

    proach,

    he

    bipartisanoreign

    olicy ypothesis

    nd the two

    residencies

    hypothesis

    re

    reformulated

    ndreconsidered.ntil ow

    articipants

    nthe

    debate ver achhave

    nly

    arely

    uilt

    n,

    or

    ven

    ited,

    he ther's

    esearch.

    An

    additional

    roblem

    s that he

    widespread

    onventional isdomn

    up-

    port fthe wohypothesess nconsistentithystematiccholarlynalyses.

    This

    aper

    demonstrates

    hat he wo

    hypotheses

    redrawn

    rom

    he

    ame

    underlying

    tructure.ach

    hypothesis

    nd

    the

    heoretical

    odel t

    mplies

    is

    conceptually

    nd

    empirically

    xtendedo take nto

    ccount

    he

    ifferences

    between

    ongressional

    eaders

    nd

    members.

    hen,

    istorical

    xamples

    nd

    statistical

    nalyses

    f

    House

    roll all

    data are used o demonstratehat he

    hypotheses,

    hile ometimes

    upported

    or

    the

    ongressional

    embers,

    re

    far

    more

    pplicable

    o

    eadership

    ecision

    making.

    onclusions

    uggest

    hat

    conventional isdom e

    revised o take

    hese

    ifferences

    nto ccount.

    KEY

    WORDS:

    congress; oreign olicy;

    eaders;

    political

    arties; residency;

    tructural

    anthropology

    INTRODUCTION

    Structural

    nthropology

    s a

    theory

    nd an

    approach

    which as not

    often

    een onsidered

    r

    used

    n

    political

    cience esearch.

    his

    paper

    n-

    'I

    appreciate

    he

    ritical

    ommentsn n

    earlier ersion

    f

    hiswork

    y

    Gerald

    enjamin,

    eon

    D.

    Epstein,

    arbara

    Hinckley,

    erbert .

    Kritzer,

    eatrice .

    Lewis,

    Ann

    McCann,

    nd

    especially

    ichardM.

    Merelman.

    am

    also

    grateful

    or

    he

    uggestions

    f

    the

    ditor nd

    anonymous

    eferees.

    2Department

    f

    Politics,

    ewYork

    University,

    ew

    York,

    New

    York

    10003.

    83

    0162-895X/86/0300-0083$05.00/1

    ?

    1986

    International

    ociety

    of

    Political

    Psychology

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    84

    King

    troduces tructuralismnd

    applies

    t

    to a research

    roblem

    n

    American

    politics.

    ne results that his

    houldmake t

    easier or thers o use the

    theorynd approachn other reas of political cience. tructuraln-

    thropology,

    s

    eloquentlyxplicatedy

    Levi-Strauss

    1963,

    1966,

    969)

    nd

    others,

    mplies

    everal

    ssumptions.

    First,

    ll of

    culture

    s

    divided

    nto wo

    ategories:

    urfaceevel

    r

    con-

    tent nd

    deep

    tructure.ocial

    scientistsever bservemore han he on-

    tent,

    utwe

    should,

    t

    s

    argued,

    lways

    ttempt

    o nfer o the

    tructures.

    The

    structuralist

    oal

    s to

    discovertructures

    hich

    nderliend

    determine

    a

    variety

    f

    surfaceevel

    ultural

    henomena.

    Second,

    ll

    structuresake he orm f

    binaryppositions,

    nd

    ll

    mean-

    ing s derivedromheseontrasts.he

    ymbol

    red, or

    xample,

    oesnot

    mean

    stop

    without

    ts ontrast ith

    he

    pposing

    ymbol

    green,

    nd

    ts

    associated

    oncept, go

    Leach,1970).

    Social

    psychologists,

    or

    xample,

    have

    ong

    dentifiedocial

    groups rimarily

    n

    relationo eachother

    Com-

    mins nd

    Lockwood,

    979).

    Political cientists

    sually

    efer o

    power

    ela-

    tionships

    ith

    vertical

    metaphor:

    s

    in

    up:down::superordination:subor-

    dination::upper

    lass:lower

    lass:: on

    yourway

    o the

    op : falling y

    he

    wayside.

    Structuralnthropologistsometimesofurtherndassume r assert

    that

    hese

    inary

    ppositions

    re

    fundamental

    haracteristicsf

    the

    human

    mind,

    ut

    lthough

    his

    ssumption ay

    be of

    academic

    nterest,

    t s

    in-

    herently

    nobservablend

    usually nnecessary

    or

    he

    nalysis

    f he

    esearch

    problem

    eing

    onsidered.

    chwartz

    1981:159),

    or

    xample,

    istinguishes

    between hree

    evels of

    universality

    n

    dual

    classification.

    he

    most

    methaphysical

    re formal

    niversals,

    hich

    nclude

    undamental

    ssump-

    tions

    bout he

    binary

    ature f

    human

    hought.

    n

    between,

    re substan-

    tiveuniversals,hich reobservable utdo seem o existn naturee.g.,

    hot-cold,

    eft-right,

    p-down).

    inally,

    here

    re

    sociological

    niversals,

    which

    re the

    lignment

    f

    certain

    moral

    nd

    social states o

    particular

    substantive

    ontrasts. t

    is useful

    o add to

    Schwartz's

    ierarchyolitical

    universals,

    hich

    define s

    the

    lignment

    f

    certain

    olitical henomena

    with

    he

    more

    asic

    substantiver

    social-psychological

    ontrasts.

    Third,

    evi-Strauss

    rgued

    hat t s

    unnecessary

    o

    examine

    ll

    societies

    or to

    compare

    variety

    ftime

    eriods

    o

    discover undamentaltructures.

    For ust smessages hich ereceiverom ifferentenses anbetransform-

    ed into achother

    e.g., visualizing story),

    he

    past

    xists

    nly

    s a

    struc-

    tural transformation

    f the

    present.

    hus,

    diachronic

    overtime)

    nd

    synchronic

    cross-cultural)nalyses

    re

    wo

    ways

    f

    doing

    he ame

    hing

    looking

    or

    tructure

    nd,

    by

    o

    doing, ncoveringmportant

    haracteristics

    of human ulture.

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    Political

    Parties

    and

    Foreign

    Policy

    85

    Byusing

    version

    f his

    tructural

    nthropologicalpproach,

    newhich

    is

    unencumbered

    y

    many

    f

    ts

    metaphysical

    ssumptions,

    his

    aper

    den-

    tifies

    nd

    examines wo

    binary ppositions

    t

    the evel

    of

    the

    political

    universal.3hegoal s not o earn bout heformal niversalsf thehuman

    brain,

    ut nstead

    o

    earn bout hese

    wo

    oliticalppositions

    nd heir

    ela-

    tionships

    n

    American

    olitics.eep

    tructures

    of

    nteresthen

    e

    move

    rom

    the

    political

    niversals

    o

    the

    ocial-psychological

    nd substantiveniver-

    sals

    n

    order o

    assist

    n

    understanding

    nd

    explaining

    he urface-levelela-

    tionships

    f concern o

    social cientists.

    In

    the sectionswhich

    follow,

    wo

    binary

    ppositions xisting

    n

    American

    olitics

    re

    ntroduced.

    elationships

    etweenhe wo re first

    explored ith onventionalssumptions.hese ssumptions,owever,re

    found o

    be nconsistentith

    vailable

    cholarly

    vidence. better

    xplana-

    tion f

    he

    elationship

    etweenhe

    ppositions

    s then

    resentedlong

    with

    supporting

    ata.

    Finally,

    fter

    rguing

    hat one

    structural

    xplanation

    underliesoth

    ppositions,

    xtensionso

    other

    urface-level

    henomena

    re

    made. t

    turns utthat tructural

    nthropologyrovides

    useful

    pproach

    which

    elps

    ncover

    elationships

    etween

    everaliteratures

    arely

    onsidered

    together,

    ut

    which

    re

    n

    fact

    nexorably

    elatednd

    beneficially

    ombined.

    As a result, ewly ypothesizedelationshipsmong everal ata sets re

    derived. he

    data,

    n

    turn,

    rovide

    he

    first

    ystematic

    vidence f several

    important

    heoretical

    elationships.

    THE

    REPUBLICAN/DEMOCRATIC AND FOREIGN

    POLICY/DOMESTIC POLICY

    BINARY

    OPPOSITIONS

    The two

    binaryppositions

    onsidered ere re thedistinctionse-

    tweenhe

    arties

    ndbetweenwo

    ategories

    f

    public olicy.

    onsider irst

    the

    ppositions

    etween

    he

    Democratic

    nd he

    Republican

    arties.

    learly

    this

    inary

    ategorization

    xistsn

    most

    arts

    f

    theAmericanulture: or

    the

    verage

    itizen,

    o be

    dentified

    ith

    he

    Democratic

    arty

    s to

    generally

    prefer

    more iberal

    ositions.

    o be elected s a

    Republican

    s,

    n

    general,

    to takemore

    onservativessue tands.

    Republicans

    ndDemocrats eet

    n

    different

    ational,tate,

    nd ocal

    conventionso

    choose

    variety

    f

    party

    andidates;

    hey

    ote

    or

    ifferent

    candidatesndifferentrimariesrcaucuses nd siton differentides f

    an aisle

    n

    bothhouses f

    congress,

    n all

    but

    one

    of

    the tate

    egislatures,

    3Although

    nly

    U.S.

    culture s

    considered,

    he

    oppositions

    ntroduced

    elow

    can

    be

    extended

    to other

    nations

    using

    slightly

    more

    general

    erminology.

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    86

    King

    and

    n

    thousands

    f ocal

    city, ounty,

    own,

    tc.)

    governments.

    orexam-

    ple,

    Social

    dentity

    s defined

    y

    Tajfel

    1982:

    24)

    as that

    art

    f the

    n-

    dividuals'

    elf-concept

    hich erives romheir

    nowledge

    f...

    membership

    [in] socialgroup...togetherithhevalue nd emotionalignificancef

    that

    membership.

    or officeholdersocial

    dentity

    efers

    irectly

    o their

    party

    dentification.

    Although

    he

    Republican/Democratic

    istinctions clear

    nough

    o

    give

    parties

    eparatemeanings,

    he

    boundary

    etweenhetwo s not wellde-

    fined. ates

    f

    plit-ticketoting,

    roll-off,

    nd

    drop-off

    Burnham,

    970)

    are

    high;

    he

    proportion

    f the

    lectorate

    dentifying

    ith

    political arty

    is

    far rom

    omplete;

    f

    hose

    who

    do

    dentify

    ith

    political

    arty,

    ariable

    numbersote naccordwithheir artyCrottyndJacobson,980); arty

    identifications

    volatile,

    s are

    aggregate

    lection

    eturns;

    egislatorsarely

    use their

    artymembership

    s the ole cue for

    voting

    ecisions

    Clausen,

    1973);

    nd

    even

    he

    deological

    istinctivenessf

    aspects

    fthe

    parties

    eem

    to havedeclined.

    In

    sum,

    he

    boundary

    etween

    he

    parties

    s

    crossed

    asily

    nd

    often,

    and can be

    considered

    loose

    see

    Leach

    1976:

    33-36)

    or definitionf

    a

    'boundary'

    nd

    Merelman

    1984)

    for

    xamples

    nd

    definitions

    f

    the

    on-

    cept s it s usedhere].Buteven houghheboundaryslooser, heparty

    distinctions far rom

    eing

    ost.

    n

    the

    eneral

    ase,

    Allen ndWilder

    1975)

    find

    hat

    ven

    when

    roup

    eliefsre

    similar,

    he

    minimal

    rocess

    f n

    and

    out

    group ategorization

    s

    enough

    o make

    n

    group

    avoritism

    ersist

    see

    also

    Billig

    nd

    Tajfel,

    1973;

    Sole

    et

    al.,

    1975).

    n

    fact,

    heres

    even ome

    counter-intuitive

    vidence

    hat

    when

    roups

    ave

    imilar

    alues,

    ntergroup

    discriminations

    actually

    eightened

    plausibly

    n

    order o

    protect

    roup

    distinctiveness.

    o,

    party

    oundaries

    re

    weakening

    ut

    o not eem n

    danger

    of

    osing

    heir

    meaning.

    The second inary ppositionobe consideredere s thedistinction

    between

    heAmerican

    bipartisan pproach

    o

    foreignolicy

    ndthe

    par-

    tisan

    pproach

    o domestic

    olicies.

    t

    s

    an often tated

    spiration

    o

    keep

    politics

    ut

    of

    foreignolicy,

    n

    both

    ongressional

    eliberationsnd

    public

    discussion.

    Politics

    tops

    t

    the

    water's

    dge,

    t

    s oftenwritten

    Bliss

    nd

    Johnson,

    975).

    Thisdistinction

    uarantees

    hat

    ven

    when

    olitics

    s

    part

    of

    foreignolicy

    ecisions,

    t

    s

    usually

    withinhe hetoricalonstraints

    f

    bipartisanship.

    he

    boundary

    etween

    he

    way

    itizens

    nd eaders eal

    with

    foreignnddomesticoliciesmay otbe asstrongs toncewas,but tdoes

    exist

    nd s

    clearly

    elevant.

    There s a

    large

    ody

    f

    ocial-psychological

    ork

    which

    may

    artially

    explain

    he

    xistence

    f

    these

    ppositions

    n

    terms

    f n

    group/out

    roup

    distinctions.or

    xample,

    tein

    1976)

    inds

    n

    review

    f

    mpirical

    iterature

    from

    everal

    isciplines

    hat

    nter-group

    conflict

    oes ncrease

    nternalohe-

    sion

    under

    ertain onditions.

    ajfel 1982)

    finds

    greement

    ith

    his

    pro-

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    Political

    arties

    nd

    Foreign

    olicy

    87

    position

    rom,

    mong

    thers,

    reud nd

    arly

    rustration-aggression

    heorists.

    Other

    onsequences

    f

    n

    group/outroup

    onflict orwhich

    ajfel

    cites

    evidence

    nclude he

    ncreased

    positive

    valuation

    f

    he

    ngroup

    r ts

    pro-

    ducts.

    For

    the

    Democratic/Republican

    pposition,

    he most

    pronounced

    cognitive

    ndattitudinalistinctionsre

    ikely

    o occurwhen he

    partiesry

    to

    change

    he tatus

    nd

    power

    f

    each

    ther

    Brown

    nd

    Ross,

    1982).

    Rele-

    vant

    xamples

    f

    accentuated

    arty

    istinctiveness,

    ut

    group

    iscrimina-

    tion,

    nd

    heightened

    evels

    f

    nter-party

    erbal ombat nclude

    egislative

    motions orwhich he

    president

    r

    other

    eaders

    f the

    parties

    ave

    their

    reputation

    t

    stake,

    lectoral

    ampaigns

    n

    which heres an attack n

    the

    veryxistencef the ppositionroup,nd ndebatesnwhich heparties

    attack

    undamental

    rinciples

    n

    which he

    opposition

    makes ts

    case.

    A

    majorparadox

    f

    these wo

    oppositions

    s that he ame

    political

    actors

    who

    re

    pushed

    part y

    he

    party

    pposition

    re

    pulled

    ogether

    n

    foreign

    olicy

    matters. e

    will

    ee hat or

    arty

    eaders,

    hese

    ross-pressures

    are

    xaggerated.

    neofthe

    ontributionsfthis

    aper,

    herefore,

    s to

    sug-

    gest

    framework

    or

    understanding

    his

    roblem.

    OPPOSITION

    SIMILARITIES

    Traditionally,

    hese

    wo

    ppositions

    ave

    been

    reated

    eparately

    r

    as

    only

    artially

    elated;

    fter

    ll,

    they

    re

    prima

    acie

    different

    henomena.

    But

    can

    they

    e

    usefully

    tudied

    ogether?

    rethe wo

    binary

    ppositions

    related?

    nd f

    they

    re,

    what

    orm

    oes

    the

    relationship

    ake?

    Guided

    y

    structuralism,

    lternative

    nswers

    o

    these

    uestions

    re

    now

    explored.

    Oneconventionalndclearly lausibleonnectionsthat eferredo

    by

    CecilV.

    Crabb

    1957: 198),

    nd

    mentioned

    y many

    thers:

    The

    two

    important

    actorshat

    normally

    ay

    e

    expected

    o favor

    he

    chievement

    of

    bipartisan

    ooperation

    n

    foreign

    ffairs

    re the

    nonideological

    ature

    of

    American

    arties

    nd the

    bsence f

    strict

    arty

    iscipline

    n

    congress.

    Put

    differently,

    hen

    here s

    less

    partisanship

    i.e.,

    weak

    boundaries

    e-

    tween he

    parties),

    ipartisanship

    n

    foreign

    olicy

    s

    easier o

    achieve. he

    hypothesis

    s that

    when

    he

    definitional,

    ttitudinal,

    nd

    behavioral oun-

    dary etweenheRepublicanndtheDemocraticartiesreaks own, he

    boundary

    etween

    oreign

    olicy

    ipartisanship

    nd

    domestic

    olicy artisan-

    ship

    becomes

    ighter

    nd

    ess

    permeable;

    hat

    s,

    partisan

    olitics

    ould

    e

    less

    ikely

    o

    cross

    he

    boundary

    nd

    nfect

    oreignolicy

    ecision-making.

    That

    Professor

    Crabb

    refers o

    the

    loose

    party

    boundary

    by

    its

    nonideological

    ature

    mphasizes

    hat

    his

    cultural ode is

    very

    ifferent

    from

    ightly-boundedodes,

    such

    as

    ideology

    or

    religion.

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    88

    King

    Although

    his

    tatementf the

    relationship

    etweenhe wo

    opposi-

    tions s

    theoretically

    easonable,

    t s not

    upported

    y variety

    f

    evidence.

    Consider

    hree

    ontradictory

    istorical

    nd

    cross-sectional

    xamples.

    First,lthoughheres considerablevidencehatAmericanolitical

    parties

    re

    becoming

    ore

    ermeable,

    oose,

    nd

    porous Crotty

    nd

    Jacob-

    son,

    1980),

    heres also evidence-or

    t

    least

    widespread

    xpert pinion-

    that

    artisan

    olitics

    re

    ncreasingly

    nfecting

    he

    foreignolicy

    rena.

    As

    evidence,

    onsider hace

    1978)

    s

    representative

    f

    scholarly,

    ournalistic,

    and other

    pinion:

    Thekind

    f

    broad

    onsensushat btained

    uring

    he

    postwar

    ra ndwhich ecame

    shibbolethfAmerican

    oreignolicy

    may

    no

    longer

    e

    possible

    hort f war.

    Consistent ith his s a dramaticncreasensuggestionsf howto

    tighten

    he

    oreign-bipartisan/domestic-partisan

    oundary.

    hese

    roposals

    include

    reating

    d hoc

    bipartisan

    roups

    n

    congress

    o follow

    mportant

    foreign olicy

    ssues

    Hamilton,

    978),

    ncreasingongressional

    xpertise

    (Rourke,1977),

    establishing

    ommitteesf

    the

    president's

    abinet

    nd

    members f

    congress

    Manning, 977),

    ncreasingolitically

    esponsible

    behavior

    rom

    merica's

    eaders

    Bax, 1977),

    nd

    having

    he

    president

    ct

    in

    ways

    which ould

    ncouragearty

    eaders

    n

    congress

    o work

    more lose-

    ly ogethernforeignolicyssuesFryendRogers,979).Ofcourse, irect

    empirical

    nalyses

    ould

    be better

    vidence f this

    oint,

    utnone

    xist.4

    Therefore,

    n

    thishistorical

    xample,

    he

    trength

    f the

    boundary

    n

    each

    of

    thetwo

    binary

    ppositions

    eemed o

    vary

    ogether-oosely

    e-

    fined

    oundaries

    etween

    oreign

    nd

    domestic

    olitics eing

    more

    ikely

    when here re

    oosely

    efined

    arties.

    he nitial

    ypothesis

    f an

    inverse

    relationship,

    lthough

    onsistentith

    onventional

    isdom,

    s not

    upported

    in

    this

    irst

    xample.

    As a

    second

    xample,

    onsiderwo

    ypes

    f

    people enerally

    istinguish-

    edby ocioeconomicevelswithducation eightedeavilynthedistinc-

    tion).

    Most

    nalyses

    ave

    hown

    olitical

    arties

    o be

    more alient o

    those

    in

    the

    pper

    ES

    groups;

    hese

    roups

    remore

    olarized

    long artisan

    ines

    and

    aremore

    ikely

    o

    dentify

    ith,

    nd

    be

    active

    n,

    a

    political arty

    han

    lower ES

    groups Ladd

    and

    Lipset,

    971;

    Ladd with

    Hadley,

    978).

    However,

    pper

    ES

    groups

    re also

    more

    ikely

    o

    support

    bipar-

    tisan

    oreign

    olicy

    nd to

    prefer

    ipartisan

    oreignolicies.

    or

    example,

    John

    Mueller

    1973:

    Ch.

    5)

    identifies

    follower

    entality

    s

    characteriz-

    ingpeoplewho, take s cuesfor heir wnopiniononwar nparticular

    and on

    foreign

    ffairsn

    general]

    he

    ssue

    position

    f

    prominent

    pinion

    4There

    s

    much

    esearch

    hich

    ould

    usefully

    stablish

    his

    elationship.

    ne

    example

    might

    be

    to

    content

    nalyze

    amples

    f

    debates n

    the

    House nd

    Senate

    loors n

    foreign

    nd

    on

    domestic

    olicy

    ssues.

    evels

    f

    conflict

    ould

    hen

    e

    compared

    nd

    assessed.

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    Political

    arties

    nd

    Foreign

    olicy

    89

    leaders,

    specially

    he

    resident.

    ueller's

    urvey

    nalyses

    learly

    how

    hat

    higher

    ES

    groups

    ave

    higher

    roportions

    f

    followers.

    It

    may

    eem

    omewhat

    ontradictory

    hat

    hose

    n

    upper

    ES

    groups

    arebothmore artisanndmoreikelyobe followers, articularlyince

    the

    particular

    ath

    n

    which

    hey

    re

    following

    he eader

    may

    not

    be

    con-

    sistent ith

    heir

    elatively

    trong

    artisan

    redispositions.owever,

    omeone

    with

    clear

    understanding

    f

    the

    differences

    etween

    he

    parties

    s

    likely

    to

    understandhen

    his

    oundary

    hould

    e

    breached,

    nd

    would

    herefore

    be more

    ikely

    o

    support

    uch

    n

    action

    nder

    ppropriate

    ircumstances.

    Thus,

    in

    this

    second

    example,

    for

    those

    groups

    n

    which

    the

    Republican/Democratic

    oundary

    s

    tight,

    he

    bipartisan

    oreign

    olicy/par-

    tisan omesticolicyoundarysalso ight.his sadditionalvidencegainst

    the

    original

    ypothesis;

    he

    oppositions

    o

    seem

    o

    vary

    ogether.

    As

    a

    final

    xample,

    onsider

    he

    differences

    etween

    members

    nd

    leaders f

    the

    House of

    Representatives.

    ince

    eadership

    n

    the

    House s

    solely

    ased

    on the

    political

    arty istinctions,

    t

    s

    a

    safe

    ssumption

    hat

    the

    Republican/Democratic

    oundary

    s

    tighter

    or he

    eaders han he

    members.

    he

    question

    hen

    oncerns

    he

    alience f

    theother

    pposition

    to

    these

    wo

    groups;

    he

    proposition

    bove

    ndicates

    hat

    his

    oundary

    s

    tighteror hemembers,hile he wopreviousxamplesuggesthe everse.

    Establishing

    this

    latter

    possibility-that

    the

    porousness

    of

    the

    Republican/Democratic

    oundary

    aries n

    the

    same

    direction

    s the

    foreign/domestic

    olicy

    boundary-would

    rovide

    he first

    ystematic

    evidence f

    this

    bipartisan

    oreign

    olicy

    ypothesis,

    n

    this

    aper

    r n

    the

    iterature.

    With

    oll

    all

    data from

    he

    first

    ession

    for

    omparability)

    f

    each

    of

    five

    ost-presidential

    lection

    ongresses

    1961-1977),

    his

    uestion

    an

    be

    explored.

    y

    ncluding

    hose

    otes n

    which

    he

    president

    ook

    publicpositionseeCongressionaluarterly)nd

    using

    he

    epresentative's

    ote s

    the

    nit f

    analysis,

    hose oll

    alls n

    which

    larger

    roportion

    f

    represen-

    tatives

    oted

    re

    weighted

    ore

    eavily.

    lthough

    ome

    epresentatives

    ight

    avoid

    ontroversial

    important )

    otes,

    cursory

    xamination

    f

    roll

    alls

    indicates

    hat

    his

    weighting

    s

    generally

    n

    ccord

    with

    onceptual

    mportance.

    A

    potential

    roblem

    ith

    he

    nalysis

    s the

    lustering

    f

    observations

    by

    representative

    nd

    by

    roll

    all,

    possibly

    ausing

    n

    underestimation

    f

    the

    tandard

    rrors.

    owever,

    ecause

    he

    ata et

    s so

    arge154,709

    oting

    decisions),ll of thestandardrrorsrevery mall, nda corrections

    therefore

    ot

    ikely

    o

    change

    his

    ppreciably.5

    lso,

    ince

    many

    ecisions

    in

    congress

    re

    concluded

    ong

    before r

    entirely

    ithout

    formal

    oll

    all,

    SSincehis

    s

    a

    pooled

    ross-sectional

    esign,

    eteroskedasticity

    ould

    roduce

    nefficient

    nd

    biased

    stimates. n

    analysis

    f the

    residuals,

    owever,

    ndicates

    o

    major

    problems.

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    90

    King

    there

    may

    e

    a

    selection

    ias

    see

    Barnow

    t

    l.,

    1980). inally,

    ecause

    nly

    the

    first

    ongressional

    ession f

    each

    presidency

    as

    used,

    honeymoon

    effects

    Manheim, 979) may

    cause

    problems. owever,

    ecause

    these

    analyses

    renot

    losely

    elatedoa

    possible

    oneymoon

    ffect,t s

    unlikely

    to

    greatly

    lter

    he

    results.

    urther

    nalysis

    f

    other essions

    ould

    never-

    theless e

    very

    seful.

    ualifications

    side,

    hese

    ataremain

    mong

    he

    est

    which re available t

    present

    o

    analyze

    hese

    uestions.

    In

    order o facilitate

    omparison,

    ll

    equations xplain

    he

    robability

    of

    voting

    with he

    president,

    nd all control

    or the effects

    f

    region

    (north/south),

    arty

    eadership,

    In

    i.e.,

    president's)

    nd

    Out

    i.e.,opposi-

    tion)

    party

    membership

    Republican/Democraticarty

    ifferencesre

    not

    very trongncomparisono In/Out arty ifferences),ssue rea,presi-

    dent,

    ndtime

    eriod.

    he

    consequence

    fthis

    rocedure

    s to

    take

    nto

    c-

    count

    everal

    lausible

    ival

    ypotheses

    bout

    oting

    ith

    he

    resident.6

    he

    model s a

    logistic

    nalysis

    f tabular ata. n

    party

    membersre

    expected

    to

    support

    he

    resident

    ore

    hanOut

    party

    members.

    n

    the ase

    of

    bipar-

    tisan

    ecision-making,

    he

    n/Out

    arty

    plit

    n

    support

    f the

    president

    s

    hypothesized

    o be

    greater

    n

    domestichan n

    foreign olicy

    ecisions.

    In

    order

    o

    allow

    for

    he

    possibility

    hat

    heres

    more

    ariation ithin

    the road ategoriesfdomesticndforeignolicyhan etweenhem,here

    are

    three

    oreign

    olicy

    nd

    four

    domestic

    olicy

    ategories

    f

    roll

    calls.

    This

    oding

    f

    policy

    ategories

    s

    consistent

    ith

    aried

    esultsrom

    eparate-

    ly

    onducted

    tudies

    see

    Kessel

    1974)

    nd

    Clausen

    1973)

    or

    imilar

    omestic

    codings

    nd

    Hughes

    1978)

    for

    imilar

    oreign

    olicy

    odings)].

    The

    figures

    re

    presented

    ith

    ll

    years

    1961-1977)

    ombined

    ecause

    preliminary

    nalyses

    ndicated

    hat

    imilar

    elationships

    enerally

    old

    up

    over

    ime nd

    because f

    he

    enefitsf

    aving

    pace

    nd

    reducing

    omplex-

    ity. igure presentshepredictedalues fa logisticquationxplaining

    the

    robability

    f

    the

    arty

    eader

    oting

    ith

    he

    resident.'

    stimated

    ro-

    babilities or

    he n

    and

    Out

    parties

    cross he

    even

    olicy

    reas

    ppear

    n

    the

    Figure.

    he

    arger

    he

    difference

    etween

    he n

    and

    Out

    parties

    or

    particular

    olicy

    rea

    the

    vertical

    istance

    etween

    he

    ines

    n

    the

    figure),

    the

    tronger

    re

    the

    party

    oundaries or

    hat

    policy

    rea.

    The first

    hing

    o

    notice

    bout

    Figure

    is

    that,

    s

    expected,

    n

    party

    membersf

    the

    House

    of

    Representatives

    the

    op

    ine

    n

    the

    igure)

    upport

    6Including

    hese

    tatisticalontrols

    ubstantially

    educeshe

    ossibility

    hateaders

    nd

    members

    whovote

    with he

    president

    o

    so

    by

    coincidence

    atherhan

    esign.

    7The ormal

    eadership

    f each

    party

    re the

    nly

    eal eaders

    n

    congress.

    or

    this

    nalysis,

    only

    he

    ighestanking

    eader romach

    arty

    ho otess

    considered.f he

    op

    hree

    eaders

    do notvote

    excluding

    he

    peaker,

    ho

    by

    raditionotes

    nly

    n

    the ase

    of a

    tie),

    he

    oll

    call s excluded

    rom he

    nalysis.

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    Political

    Parties and

    Foreign

    Policy

    91

    the

    president

    ar

    more ften hanOut

    party

    members

    the

    ower

    ine).

    But

    Figure

    also

    ndicates

    hat

    xcept

    or efense

    olicy

    which ould

    lausibly

    be

    explained

    y

    Vietnam

    ecoming

    ore

    f

    a domestic

    han

    foreign

    olicy

    issue which, ncidentally,upportshefirstxample,bove)-there s a

    striking

    ifference

    n

    eadership

    upport

    or

    he

    resident:

    n

    foreign

    olicy,

    the

    probability

    fan

    In

    party

    ongressional

    eader

    upporting

    he

    resident

    is

    about

    5

    percentage

    oints

    more han ut

    party

    eaders

    excluding

    efense).

    However,

    his

    plit

    n

    partyeadershipupport

    or

    he

    resident

    s about wice

    as

    great

    n

    the

    our omestic

    olicy ategories.

    hus,

    mong

    he

    arty

    eader-

    ship,

    heres a clear

    difference,

    very ight

    oundary,

    etween

    olitics

    n

    foreign olicy-which

    ends o be

    bipartisan-and olitics

    n

    domestic

    policy which endsobepartisan.his s witnessedy he lear istinction

    betweenhe eft nd

    right

    ides f the

    figure.

    In

    a

    parallel

    resentation,

    igure

    displays

    he ame

    data,

    but

    for

    he

    general

    membership

    f

    theHouse. The differenceetween

    he wo

    figures

    is dramatic:

    mong

    he

    members

    heres

    considerably

    ess

    distinction

    i.e.,

    looser

    boundaries)

    etween

    oreign

    nd domestic

    olicy

    decision-making

    (i.e.,

    betweenhe

    eft nd

    right

    ides

    f the

    figure).

    here

    s,

    however,

    till

    PROBABILITY

    ,

    F THE

    PARTY

    .90

    IN

    PARTY

    LEADER

    VOTING

    WITH

    HE

    .80

    A

    PRESIDENT

    .70 /

    .60

    OUT

    ARTY

    .50

    .40

    .

    \

    .30

    I

    I

    I

    I

    For-

    For-

    De-

    So-

    Gov't En-

    Agri-

    eign

    eign

    fense

    cial

    Mgt

    ergy

    culture

    Trade

    Aid Wel-

    fare

    POLICY AREA

    Mg.

    1.

    In

    and Out

    party

    eadership

    upport

    or he

    president.

    ource:

    ercent-

    ages

    computed

    rom he

    PM,MI

    ogit

    model.

    .f.

    =

    48,

    G2

    =

    10667.35.

    ote:

    For ll

    figures,

    odel

    bbreviations

    re

    s follows:ssue r

    policy

    rea

    I),

    Presi-

    dent

    P),

    Party

    eader's

    ositionL),

    and

    party

    embershipM).

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    92

    King

    some

    relationship.

    or

    example,

    n

    voting

    or

    foreign

    id decisions

    here

    is

    on the

    average

    o

    In

    and Out

    party

    ifference

    n

    the

    probability

    f a

    representativeoting

    with he

    president.

    n

    contrast,

    n the

    government

    managementategory,npartymembersreabout enpointsmoreikely

    to votewith he

    president

    hanOut

    party

    members.

    ut

    although

    hedif-

    ferences

    re

    n

    he orrect

    irection,

    he oundariesre

    nowhereear s

    tight

    as

    for

    he

    party

    eaders

    epresented

    n

    Figure

    .

    Thus

    n this

    xample,

    s

    in

    the

    previous

    wo,

    he

    wo

    binary pposi-

    tions end o

    vary

    ogether:

    hen he

    Republican/Democratic

    oundary

    s

    tight as

    for

    the

    party eaders),

    he

    Foreign-Bipartisan/Domestic-Partisa

    boundary

    s also

    tight.

    When

    here re

    somewhat eaker

    arty

    istinctions

    (as forHousemembers),herere lso ooser istinctionsetweenypesf

    politics

    bipartisan

    r

    partisan)

    ndifferent

    olicy

    reas

    foreign

    r

    domestic).

    It is clear hat

    n

    alternative

    xplanation

    s

    needed.

    TWO

    BINARY

    OPPOSITIONS-ONE

    UNDERLYING

    STRUCTURE

    The

    nitial

    roposition

    asthat he

    wo odesvaried

    nversely:

    hen

    the

    boundary

    etween ne was

    tight

    he other houldbe loose. This

    .79

    .60

    IN PARTY

    PROBABILITY

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    Percent-

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    PLM,MI

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    MI com-

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    d.f.

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    6,

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    =

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    Political

    Parties and

    Foreign

    Policy

    93

    proposition

    although

    ot

    xtensivelyxplored

    nthe iteraturewas

    sup-

    ported

    y

    plausible

    rgument

    nd conventional

    olitical

    ciencewisdom.t

    appears

    s comments

    n

    scholarly

    rticles

    ndas a well

    nown

    act

    n

    many

    textbooks.owever,mpiricalvidencerom hreexamplesemonstrated

    that hiswas

    probably

    ot

    he

    ase.

    Rather,

    he oundariesetweenhe

    odes

    seemed o

    vary

    ogether

    when

    necode

    was

    oose,

    he ther ode

    was oose

    as

    well. his eaves

    s

    with

    vidence

    f

    relationship

    ut

    with o

    explanation.

    In

    order o

    derive n

    explanation,

    t s

    mportant

    o

    recognize

    hat

    m-

    plicit

    n

    thediscussion

    hus

    ar s that ach

    of

    these

    inary

    ppositions

    s

    a

    signal

    r

    metaphoricymbol

    or

    he

    ther.

    t was

    mplied

    hat he

    pposi-

    tions

    aried

    ogether

    r

    apart

    r that ne caused

    heother.

    An

    alternative

    formulation,ndthebasisfor he xplanationo beoffered,s that he wo

    oppositions

    re

    metonymic;hey

    re

    ontiguous

    oeach ther.

    n other

    ords,

    one

    binarypposition

    s a structural

    ransformationf

    the ther:

    ne

    fun-

    damental

    tructure

    nderliesothdistinctions.

    Thecommon

    tructuralasisfor

    hese

    wo odes s thedistinction

    e-

    tween we nd

    they or,

    more

    enerally,

    etween

    same nd

    different;

    theformerre

    usedbecause

    hey

    avemore irect elevanceo the urface-

    level

    elationships

    f

    nterest).

    he

    concept

    f

    we doesnothave

    meaning

    until he

    pposingoncept

    f

    they

    s

    contrasted

    nddefined.

    his

    distinc-

    tion s

    recognized

    n

    many

    reas: For

    example,

    avid Truman's Wave

    Theory

    f

    nterest

    roup

    ormations based n this istinction:

    Organiza-

    tion

    egets ounterorganization,

    e

    writes

    Truman,

    956).

    mplied

    s that

    withouthe

    riginal

    rganization,

    he

    ounterorganization

    ouldnothave

    defined

    tself

    s

    a

    group

    as

    we )

    withouthe irst

    roup orming

    and

    den-

    tifying

    hemselvess we and

    everyone

    lse as

    they ).

    The ame

    rinciple

    anbe

    applied

    o Middle astern

    olitics:

    oncomi-

    tantwith he

    harp

    ncrease

    n

    mmigration

    f

    Jews o Palestine arlier

    n

    this enturynd their elf-identifications we, nd otherss they, as

    the elf-definition

    f

    the

    Arabs

    iving

    n

    the rea as

    we,

    nd theJews s

    they

    Safran,

    1978);

    efforts

    t

    linguistic

    istinctivenesslso

    increased

    during

    his

    period

    Seckback,

    974).

    War,

    for

    example,

    ould

    not exist

    withouthe

    we/they

    pposition.

    There

    re,

    of

    course,

    many olitical

    henomena

    hich o

    notderive

    from

    we/they

    istinction,

    s when

    olitical

    ction s based

    on a sense f

    community

    r consensus.n thefirst

    residential

    lections,

    or

    xample,

    political hetoricmphasizedhat hepolitical artyo whom he peaker

    belonged

    est

    represented,

    r

    in

    fact

    ctually

    as,

    the

    will

    of

    thenation.

    JohnAnderson's

    976 National

    nity arty,

    nd

    Reagan's

    984

    ppeal

    for new

    patriotism

    re more ecent

    xamples.

    The current

    emocratic/Republican

    pposition

    an be reformulated

    in this

    manner as

    my party/other

    arty,

    and the

    Foreign-

    Bipartisan/Domestic-Partisan

    inary

    opposition

    can also be viewed as

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    94 King

    redefining

    he

    we/they

    istinction.

    nstead

    f he ivision

    eing

    etween

    ar-

    ties,

    t s betweenhe

    U.S. and theworld

    or

    betweenheU.S. and

    parts

    ofthe

    world).

    rom

    his

    erspective,

    hese wo

    ppositions

    re

    really

    urface-

    level or content)manifestationsr transformationsfthe amewe/they

    structural

    pposition.

    Thus

    far

    relationship

    the

    inary ppositions

    aryingogether

    and

    an

    underlying

    xplanation

    a

    structural

    dentity

    have

    been ssembled.

    ut

    althougheep

    tructure

    s of cademicnd

    exploratory

    nterest

    and

    remains

    entirely

    n

    inference),

    t s the

    political

    ontent

    s

    presently

    onceptualized

    that s more ften f interest

    o

    political

    cientists.hese

    findings

    ust

    thereforee related

    ack o the

    riginal

    ubstantive

    problem.8

    n

    sum,

    why

    is this tructuralelationshipf nterest?

    The

    basicobservations that

    trong

    nd

    clearly

    efined

    olitical ar-

    ties eadto the

    bipartisanperation

    f

    foreignolicy

    ndthe sual

    partisan

    operation

    fdomestic

    olicy.

    he

    xplanation

    ollows

    irectly:

    ith

    strong

    parties,

    hat s with

    strong e/theypposition,

    heres the

    possibility

    f

    an

    agreement

    etweenhe

    party

    eaders;

    he eaders an

    speak

    more on-

    fidently

    or

    heir

    arty

    membersnd

    can make

    ompromises

    ith

    pposi-

    tion

    arty

    eaders

    more

    asily.9

    urthermore,

    ipartisanship

    i.e.,

    nterparty

    agreement)s mostikely hen he ssuedefineshewe/theyppositions

    theUnited tates ersus

    ther

    ations;

    f

    course,

    ipartisanship

    s

    possible

    in

    otherssue

    reas,

    ut t

    seems

    ikely

    o be

    most

    requent

    n

    foreignolicy.

    Thus,

    strong,

    ell-defined

    epublican/Democratic

    istinctioneads to

    clearer

    oundariesetween

    oreignolicy

    ipartisanship

    nd

    domestic

    olicy

    partisanship.

    ased on

    systematic

    vidence,

    his

    ffectively

    edefineshe

    bipartisanoreignolicy ypothesis.

    STRUCTURAL EXTENSIONS

    There re

    numerous

    surface-level)

    anifestationsf

    the structural

    we/theyinary

    pposition.

    xamples

    rom

    ruman's ave

    heory

    f

    nterest

    group

    ormation

    nd from

    Middle

    astern

    olitics

    ave

    lready

    een

    pro-

    vided.

    Wide arietiesf

    other

    pplications

    ould

    e

    explicated

    n

    onsiderable

    detail.

    For a few hort

    xamples,

    onsider:

    xplanations

    f social

    group

    solidarity;

    rguments

    or

    he

    psychological

    nd

    ociological

    ecessity

    f

    the

    8L6vi-Strauss

    ight

    avebeen atisfied

    ere,

    utfor

    resent

    urposes,

    concentraten

    using

    structural

    nthropology

    o understand

    he

    urface-level

    henomena

    f

    primary

    nterest

    o

    political

    cientists.

    90n

    evidenceor hose

    ircumstanceshen

    nter-group

    ompetition

    oesnot ead o n

    group

    cohesion.

    ee

    Tajfel 1982:

    16);

    Rabbie nd

    deBrey1971);

    Rabbie nd

    Wilkens

    1971);

    Rab-

    bie and

    Huygen1974);

    Rabbie t

    al.

    (1974);

    nd Horwitz

    nd Rabbie

    1982).

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    Political

    arties nd

    Foreign

    olicy

    95

    family

    r

    ts

    urrogates;

    nderstanding

    thnocentricity

    nd

    racism;

    xplora-

    tions fthe

    rigins

    fthe

    nation-state;

    xplanations

    fthe

    evelopment

    fthe

    politicalarty;

    he

    oyalty

    or

    ertain

    roducts

    hichome

    dvertising

    reates;

    the ppeal f portsnd oyaltyo certaineamswhichrenot oincidently

    named

    or ocal

    products

    nd

    ities);

    nd he

    remendous

    ppeal

    f he

    Olym-

    pics

    one

    television

    etwork

    itles ome

    events s

    The U.S. verses he

    World ).

    he ist ould

    e extended.

    nstead,

    he

    pproach

    uggested

    y

    his

    structuralist

    ethod

    n

    this

    aper

    s imitedo

    examining

    ne

    political

    ssue

    related o

    the

    original

    wo

    binary ppositions.

    Another

    urfaceevelmanifestation

    fthe

    we/theyinary pposition

    is the nstitutional

    ivalry

    etween

    ongress

    nd the

    presidency

    n

    the on-

    duct fforeignolicy.Thisbinaryppositionuggestshatnforeignolicy

    legislators

    re more

    ikely

    o

    cross

    he

    pposition

    oundary

    o

    support

    he

    president.

    n domestic

    olicy,

    owever,

    he

    ongress/presidency

    oundary

    becomes

    more alient nd

    support

    or

    he

    president

    hould

    rop.

    Thus

    far,

    party, olicy,

    nd nstitutional

    ppositions

    n the evel f

    political

    niversals

    avebeen dentified.

    ll

    three eem o be related o the

    same

    ocial-psychological

    tructure.rabb

    1957:7)

    describes

    ome f the

    distinctions

    etweenhese:

    While he wo roblemsrelationsetweenhe artiesndrelationsetweenhe x-

    ecutivend

    egislative

    ranchesare

    ntimately

    onnected,

    nly

    onfusion

    anresult

    from

    egarding

    hem

    s

    identical

    roblems. armony ay revail

    etweenhe wo

    branchesf

    government

    oncerned ith

    oreign

    ffairs;

    ut his act lone

    will

    not

    guaranteeipartisano-operation

    n

    the

    foreignolicy

    ealm.

    Crabb,

    1957:

    )

    The

    question

    f boundariesetweenheHouse and the

    presidency

    s

    explicitly

    ddressed

    yPolsby

    1968).

    An

    institutionalized

    rganization

    e

    argues

    s,

    nter

    lia,

    relatively

    ell-bounded,

    hat

    s to

    say,

    differentiated

    fromts

    nvironment.

    n

    ncrease

    n

    this oundednessr nstitutionaliza-

    tion sclearlybservedy decreasenthe urnoverfmembers,ncrease

    in

    the

    verageength

    f

    service,

    ncrease

    n

    the

    eniority

    f

    successful

    an-

    didates or

    peaker,

    nd

    sharp

    ecline

    f ateral

    areer

    movement,

    n

    and

    out

    oftheHouse

    nd,

    n

    somenotable

    ases,

    lso

    n

    andoutofthe

    peaker-

    ship.

    Thus,

    here as

    been,

    ver

    ime,

    clearer

    e/they

    istinctionetween

    congress

    nd the

    presidency.

    From heconclusionbovethat he

    trength

    f the

    boundaries

    ary

    in

    the

    ame

    direction,

    he

    trongeroundary

    etween

    ongress

    nd

    tsen-

    vironment,nd thusbetweenongressnd thepresidency,hould ead to

    an increased

    ossibility

    f

    agreement

    etweenhe wo

    branches

    f

    govern-

    ment;

    his

    greement

    hould e most

    pparent

    n

    foreign

    ffairs where

    he

    we/they

    pposition

    s

    reformulatedo

    provide

    ncentive

    or

    congres-

    sional/presidential

    onsensus.

    It should e noted hat he

    ongress/presidency

    istinctions an nstitu-

    tional

    opposition,

    whereas he

    others re

    cognitive

    r

    social

    oppositions.

    he

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    96

    King

    congress/presidencypposition

    robably

    riginated

    n the asis f

    cognitive

    oppositions

    elevant

    o the

    founders,

    ut his nstitutional

    istinction,

    nce

    in

    place,

    probably ncouraged

    nd

    exaggerated

    he

    we/theyognitive

    p-

    position. he distinctionlurswhen onsideringolitical artieswhich,

    although

    ever formal

    art

    f

    American

    overnment,

    avebeen

    nsitu-

    tionalizedince ts

    nception.

    Although

    he

    ongressional/presidential

    oundary

    s

    clearly

    ecoming

    tighterPolsby,

    968),

    t s not

    pparent

    rom

    he

    iteraturehether

    n

    foreign

    affairs

    hishas resulted

    n

    the

    predicted

    ncrease n

    agreement

    etween

    members

    f

    ongress

    nd he

    resident.

    hat

    s oftenalled

    he wo

    residen-

    cies iterature

    based

    n

    the

    hypothesis

    yWildavsky1966)]

    s

    far rom

    on-

    sensus n either he evelor the trend f congressionalupport orthe

    president

    n

    foreign

    ersus omestic

    ffairs.

    n

    fact,

    ven

    given

    he

    plausi-

    ble

    case

    Wildavsky

    makesfor

    t,

    there xists

    o

    satisfactory

    ystematic

    evidence

    f

    this

    ypothesis.

    It

    s

    nteresting

    hat

    ublished

    ork

    n

    the wo

    presidencies

    nd

    bipartisan

    oreign

    olicy

    iteratures

    arely

    ite achother

    or

    build

    n

    each ther's

    ork.

    he

    tructuralist

    pproach

    mployed

    ere

    elps

    make his

    onnection.)

    For

    example,

    eLoup

    ndShull

    1979)

    pdate

    Wildavsky'snalysis

    nd

    appear ofindupportor is hesishat ongressionalupportor he resi-

    dent s

    greater

    n

    foreign

    han n domesticffairsutfind

    hat

    he elation-

    ship

    s not s

    strong

    n

    recent

    ears.

    he

    problem

    ith

    his

    nalysis,

    nd

    with

    Wildavsky's

    riginal

    rticle,

    s that heirmeasure f

    support

    s no

    longer

    being ompiled

    y Congressional

    uarterly

    ecause f what

    CQ

    calls

    ts

    dubious

    uality.

    ee

    Sigelman

    1979)

    uses differenteasure

    nd finds

    no

    appreciable

    ifferenceetween

    oreign

    nd

    domestic

    upport.

    or

    potential

    problems

    ith he

    Sigelman

    tudy

    ee

    LeLoup

    and

    Shull

    1980).

    In

    order o

    provide

    more

    ystematic

    xaminationf this

    uestion,

    thedataanalyzednFigures and2 canbeexamined urther.gaindata

    are

    presented

    or he

    membersndthe

    party

    eaders. he

    hypothesis

    s

    that

    as a

    consequence

    f

    the

    ight

    oundaries

    etween

    ongress

    nd the

    presi-

    dent,

    oth

    he

    eadersndmembers

    ill

    upport

    he

    resident

    ore

    n

    foreign

    than n

    domestic

    ffairsoll

    alls.

    urthermore,

    rom

    he ffects

    f

    tratifica-

    tion bserved

    bove,

    he

    elationship

    hould e

    stronger

    mong

    he eaders

    than he

    followers.

    Figure reports redicted

    alues f

    a

    logisticquation xplaining

    he

    probabilityf he artyeader oting ith he residentor ach f he even

    policy

    reas. t

    suggests

    hat,

    ith

    efense

    olicy

    s

    a

    possible

    xceptiongain,

    leadership

    ecisions n

    foreign

    ffairsre farmore

    ikely

    o be

    supportive

    ofthe

    resident

    han

    redecisions

    n

    domestic

    ffairs. he

    difference

    s also

    striking:

    he

    probability

    f

    congressional

    eader

    f

    either

    arty

    oting

    ith

    the

    presidentpproachescertainty

    or

    foreign

    ffairs ut remains full25

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  • 8/15/2019 Political Parties and Foreign Policy

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    98 King

    .80

    .70

    PROBABILITY

    .60

    OF

    A

    REPRESENTATIVE

    VOTING WITH

    .50

    THE

    PRESIDENT

    .4o_

    .30

    .20

    For- For-

    De-

    So-

    Gov't En-

    Agri-

    eign eign

    fense

    cial

    Mgt ergy

    culture

    Trade

    Aid Wel-

    fare

    POLICY AREA

    Fig.

    4.

    Party

    membership

    upport

    or he

    President.

    ource:

    ercentages

    omputed

    fromhe LM,I ogitmodel. .f.= 114,G = 5297.41; LMcomponent:.f.= 19,G

    =

    39665.76.

    therest f

    ts

    environment).

    histrend an

    easily

    e seen s

    resulting,

    n

    part,

    rom

    greaterresidential

    nvolvement

    n

    the

    egislative

    rocess

    David-

    son and

    Oleszek,

    981:

    36-9;

    Wayne,

    978:

    8,

    passim).

    n

    other

    words,

    s

    a

    method

    f

    protecting

    tself

    rom

    residentialegemony,ongress

    as

    set

    up

    nstitutional

    rocedures

    hich

    mphasize

    ecision-making

    ecentralization.

    One ndicationf theprobable onsequence

    f

    congressad becomemorecentralizeds the

    greater

    upport

    or he

    presidentmong

    he

    formal

    arty

    leadership:

    entralizationould

    ive

    he eadersmore

    nfluence,

    hich

    n

    turn,

    ould

    robably

    romoteresidential

    ominance.

    he

    urrent

    strategy

    of

    decentralizationone

    ofdivide r

    be

    conquered preservesongressional

    prerogative.

    arbara

    inckley

    1978:

    06)provides

    everal

    mportant

    llustra-

    tions f

    this

    rgument:

    The

    eniority

    ystem

    reates

    committee

    eadershipndependent

    f

    party

    eaders

    n-

    cluding

    he

    resident.pecialization

    n

    committeesnd ubcommitteesan

    generatesubgovernmentsmpenetrableopresidentialnfluence. idtermlectionsounter

    the ffect

    f

    Presidential

    oattailsromhe

    receding

    lection,

    utting

    ack fterwo

    years

    f a

    four-year

    erm he

    first

    ull

    trength

    f a

    president'sartisan

    upport.

    While the

    institutionsnd

    groups

    mentionedbove

    become

    very

    cohesive

    n

    the

    face

    of

    stronger

    oundaries

    e.g.,

    what nites he

    ountry

    better

    han

    goodwar?),

    learer oundaries

    n

    the

    we/they

    istinction

    ave,

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    Political arties

    nd

    Foreign

    olicy

    99

    in

    the

    congressional

    xample, iscouraged

    ntra-group

    ohesion.

    Always

    jealous

    f

    ts

    ower

    nd

    position,ongress

    ook

    he

    ogical

    pproach

    whether

    intended

    r

    not)

    of

    decentralizing

    nd,

    s

    a

    result,

    educing

    residential

    n-

    fluence.hat s, becausehererefewermembersho an nfluencearge

    numbers

    ftheir

    olleagues,

    henumber

    f

    points

    t which

    residents

    ust

    attempt

    o

    influence

    he

    congress

    s...that much

    more.

    Davis,

    1979).

    Therefore,

    he

    esult

    f

    stronger

    oundaries,

    nthis

    ase,

    s ess

    presidential

    influence

    n

    congress

    nd

    less

    nstitutional

    greement.

    CONCLUSIONS

    In

    the

    anguage

    f

    tructural

    nthropology,

    eep

    tructure,

    nthe

    orm

    of

    the

    we/they

    inary pposition,

    eems

    o

    havebeen

    dentified.

    everal

    surface-level

    i.e.,

    content

    atherhan

    tructural)

    anifestations

    ave

    been

    explored

    nd

    explained.

    eminiscent

    fLevi-Strauss'

    laborate

    ontingency

    tables

    xpressing

    nderlying

    tructure

    n terms f

    all

    possible

    ombinations

    of

    cultural

    rtifact,

    his

    nalysis

    lso found

    hat he ranslation

    rocess

    rom

    structure

    o surface-level

    henomena

    as notbeen

    uniform.

    Profound istoricalhangesn,anddynamicsf,political arties,

    congressional-presidential

    elations,

    ipartisanship

    erses

    artisanship,

    nd

    policy

    rea

    ffects

    an

    llbe

    usefully

    nderstood

    ithinhis

    ramework.

    ore

    formally,

    tructural

    nalogies

    etweenhe

    following

    ave

    been

    stablished:

    we:they::Republican:Democrat::foreign

    olicy:domestic olicy::con-

    gress:president.

    hen he

    boundaries

    etween

    ny

    f these

    airs

    s

    strong,

    the

    boundary

    etween

    ny

    other

    air

    s

    also

    likely

    o

    be

    strong.

    This

    pproach

    as also

    helped

    o connectnd

    relate

    wo iteratures

    the twopresidenciesnd the bipartisanoreignolicy iteratureswith

    currently

    ew ross-references

    utwith umerousubstantive

    nd tructural

    relationships.

    his

    aper

    asdemonstrated

    ome f

    he

    enefits

    f

    onsidering

    these wo

    iteratures

    imultaneously.

    The

    pproach

    as

    lso ed

    o

    theoretical

    ustification

    f

    nd

    ystematic

    evidence

    or

    both

    he

    bipartisan

    oreign

    olicy

    nd

    the

    two

    presidencies

    hypotheses.

    n

    analysis

    f

    more

    han nehundred

    nd

    fifty

    housand

    oting

    decisions

    rom

    ive

    residential

    erms

    ometimes

    upports

    oth

    hypotheses,

    but he

    elationship

    s

    substantiallytronger

    mong

    he

    eaders

    han

    mong

    the membersf the U.S. HouseofRepresentatives.hus,conventional

    wisdom-

    which

    may

    be based

    more n

    this

    highly

    isible

    roup-is

    more

    plausible

    hen

    eparate

    ypotheses

    re

    pplied

    o

    congressional

    eaders

    nd

    members.

    The

    analysis

    as

    also

    helped

    o

    clarify

    he

    unique osition

    f

    the

    arty

    leadership

    n

    congresscross-pressured

    tthe ntersection

    ftwo

    tructural

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    100

    King

    oppositions.

    he

    congress/presidency

    pposition

    ncourages

    he eaders

    o

    sidewith

    ongress

    nd

    gainst

    he

    resident.

    t

    suggests

    hat

    he

    eaders esist

    presidentialttempts

    t

    persuasion

    nd

    protectongressional

    rerogative.

    However,heRepublican/Democraticpposition usheshese eadersna

    different

    irection.or

    n

    decentralized

    rganizations

    uch s theU.S. con-

    gress,

    nformations

    power;

    o,

    to

    acquire

    nformationnd

    perhaps

    presidential

    ndorsementf

    favored

    olicy bjectives,

    he

    eaders ave

    n-

    centiveso

    associatewith he

    president.

    his

    ssociation

    ives

    he eaders

    more fa

    presidential

    erspective

    han ther

    members

    which esults

    n

    far

    greater

    upport

    or

    he

    residenty

    he

    eaders han

    y

    he

    eneral

    member-

    ship.Being

    leader

    n

    the

    U.S.

    House,then,

    as

    consequences

    or

    ogni-

    tion hat eing memberoesnothave.Theresult or hepartyeadership

    is

    a

    difficult

    osition

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