platform support recommendation 4q 2014
TRANSCRIPT
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MCD
Platform Support Recommendations
2014 Fourth Quarter
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Quarterly, Magnani Caruso Dutton tracks
the use of stable releases of browsers,
operating systems, and devices for the
general U.S. population, identifying the
current share of the user base and
potential velocity for large-scale adoption
of new and obsolesce of old platforms.
Overview
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The following table is our recommended
platform support policy. Both velocity
and lifecycle are factored. Platforms that
fit into these categories change
regularly, some faster than others.
Full and partial support types are defined
after the table.
Overview
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Upcoming <=2%
Experimental <=1%
Antiquated <=1%
Aging <=2%
Might not function or display properly; no longer supported
Full core functionality with some display errors acceptable.
Full functionality and error-free display. Full core functionality with minor display & formatting errors acceptable.
Might not function or display properly; future support may be needed.
None Partial Full Partial None
Support Policy
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Full Functionality
All features and functions display and
operates as designed and specified.
Support Type Definitions
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Partial Functionality
Core functionality works correctly but
may have some display errors.
Functional errors may occur but will not
impinge on core functionality. Special
features, overlays or advanced
animation, may not function properly or
at all.
Support Type Definitions
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As a new stable release of a browser, device, or
operating system moves into the Upcoming
category, it does not necessarily displace any
other supported platform. Conversely, a platform
in the Experimental category may never move
into the mainstream environment. We also
monitor certain platforms that have been “stuck”
in the Experimental group for some time but have
a high potential to suddenly break out and
become an Upcoming or even Modern platform.
A Note on Support Type Definitions
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The recommendations outlined in this
report are based on the general U.S.
consumer market; with a couple of noted
exceptions. An individual website’s
platform support should be identified
based on its measurement analytics and
inform the design and development
specifications throughout the project.
Recommendations Summary
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The following table summarizes the
browser by operating system support
recommendations as of December 2014.
Supporting documentation is provided
later.
Browser Support Recommendations
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Browser Support Recommendations
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• Add full support of Firefox 33 and 34 to Win XP, Win 7, and Mac 10.9• Drop support for versions of Firefox prior to version 33• Add full support of Chrome 39 to Win XP, Win 7, and Mac 10.9• Drop support for versions of Chrome prior to version 39• Chrome 40 is not added to the list since the stable version was just
recently released. As of this report, support isn’t warranted but we
expect full support by the end of the 1st quarter 2015 due to
automatic upgrades.
As of this report, the Chrome for Mobile Browsers has slowly gained share on mobile devices. However, this share is almost completely on Android. For Android devices, its share is 23.41% and for iOS devices its share is 0.01% according to NetMarketshare. Therefore, we are not recommending the support of Chrome for Mobile on iOS devices.
Recommendation Changes for This Report
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Device Support Recommendations
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• Add partial support of iOS 6 on iPhone and iPad.• Add partial support of Samsung Galaxy S5 on Android v4.4.• Add partial support of Samsung Galaxy Tab 2 on Android
v4.2.
As of this report, Kindle Fire Phone market penetration is not available; as a result, we will continue to monitor this device for possible inclusion later this year.
As of writing this this report, the market penetration for Kindle Fire and Kindle Fire HD combined is 2.3% according to IDC. At this point, we recommend partial support of Kindle Fire devices since usage of Amazon Kindle Fire family.
http://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS25409815
Recommendation Changes for This Report
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This section details the operating system (OS)
versions that garner 1% or more of total sessions.
Operating System Version Analysis
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Desktop (Windows and Macintosh)
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Windows 7 is the top operating system in use with over 55% market share. Also note the remaining percentage includes operating systems such as Linux and Windows NT.
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Desktop (Macintosh Only)
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We recommend adding full support to the Mac 10.10 operating system since it passed 3% market share this quarter. Mac 10.6 and 10.8 are significantly dropping against Mac 10.10; as a result, we recommend dropping support of 10.6 and 10.8 for this current quarter.
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Mobile and Tablet
Total iOS Android Others
January 4.00% 1.23% 1.93% 0.84%
February 4.00% 1.21% 2.01% 0.78%
March 4.00% 1.32% 2.01% 0.67%
April 4.03% 1.20% 2.10% 0.80%
May 4.16% 1.27% 2.14% 0.75%
June 4.34% 1.23% 2.31% 0.73%
July 4.17% 1.13% 2.46% 0.58%
August 4.44% 1.37% 2.51% 0.56%
September 3.86% 1.11% 2.34% 0.41%
October 4.32% 1.10% 2.36% 0.86%
November 4.58% 1.12% 2.72% 0.74%
December 4.81% 1.18% 2.73% 0.90%
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Android and iOS are both enjoying growth in current quarter. However, we’re
beginning to see hints Android-based systems (mostly Samsung mobile devices
and tablets) are creeping into new territory as they pass 2% market share.
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The following tables and charts
highlight desktop browser types and
versions with 1% or more of total
sessions.
Browser Type Analysis
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Browser Type Analysis
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We compared browser use for January 2014 to December 2014 by general market browser share, as reported by w3schools, and noted some interesting differences in browser use. Chrome use is significantly higher among the browsers in the general market as it outpaces Firefox and Safari. Also note the very large difference in Safari – a browser primarily used in iOS devices.http://www.w3schools.com/browsers/browsers_stats.asp
http://www.w3schools.com/browsers/browsers_stats.asp
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Internet Explorer
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We’re seeing the slow deflation of the IE10 and 9 browsers largely due to Microsoft auto updates. At 1.10% and 1.60% respectively, we recommend partial support of these browsers in the current quarter. There is a possibility 2015 will continue to see large corporate users upgrading directly to IE 11, Firefox, or Chrome. IE11 has been intensely watched due to the connection between the latest browser version auto updates on Windows 8 and 7. Until recently, IE11 was only available on Windows 8 machines and Windows RT devices, such as the Surface. However, Microsoft pushed IE 11 auto updates to Windows 7 machines as well. As a result, we can reliably say that IE 11 will take a large percentage of market shares in the coming quarter against all IE Browsers. At 3.60%, we recommend full support of this browser.
Internet Explorer
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Firefox
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Firefox
Firefox has considerable competition from Safari and Chrome. We see Firefox version 30 dropping sharply from its release date to now. Since the browser continues to drop, we can reliably project it will fall below 1% by the end of the 3rd quarter of 2014.
Little more than a month after the release of Firefox 34, Mozilla released Firefox 35 beta on January 17th, 2015. Firefox 35 market penetration is less than 1%; therefore, we will monitor Firefox 35 in the coming quarters for possible inclusion.
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Safari
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Safari
We’re watching a gradual decline in Safari 5 on the desktop. But at 0.93% and gradually moving down, therefore, we recommend not supporting Safari 5 in current quarter. However, Safari 6 usage significantly drops in the past quarter and at 0.90% and gradually moving down, we recommend not supporting Safari 6 in current quarter. Safari 7 usages significantly dropping against the Safari 8 browser, at 1.21, we recommend partial supporting Safari 7 in the current quarter. Since Safari 8 market penetration gradually increasing, we recommend full support of Safari 8 in current quarter.
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Chrome
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We’re seeing a substantial deflation of Chrome 37 gradually
moving down, we recommend partial or no support for these
browsers.
Google released Chrome 40 version on January 6th, 2015. Chrome 40 market penetrations is less than 1%, therefore, we will monitor Chrome 40 in the coming quarters for possible inclusion.
Chrome
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http://gs.statcounter.com/#desktop+mobile-browser-US-monthly-201304-201403
Mobile and Tablet Browsers
Android
Mobile Safari
Blackberry
Mobile Chrome
January 22.21% 34.57% 3.25% 9.05%
February 21.10% 33.89% 2.52% 12.46%
March 19.96% 34.61% 1.64% 14.11%
April 18.56% 33.91% 1.43% 15.92%
May 17.56% 33.57% 1.35% 17.95%
June 16.56% 34.26% 1.32% 19.54%
July 15.03% 33.88% 1.29% 20.62%
August 14.05% 34.11% 1.20% 21.84%
September 12.63% 36.28% 1.15% 22.44%
October 12.54% 39.27% 0.78% 23.86%
November 11.56% 35.39% 0.90% 26.56%
December 11.30% 35.00% 0.76% 29.31%
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We are watching considerable difference between the Mobile Safari and Android browser usage on mobile phones and tablets. Also note that the usage of the Mobile Chrome browser is significantly increasing. At 29.31 % and gradually moving up, we recommend full support of this browser in current quarter. However, it is worth monitoring in 2015, as there is a possibility by the end of second quarter numbers of people may opt for the Nexus devices, LG G3, and Galaxy S5, along with existing Android devices, which will impact the market share. Despite Blackberry having market penetrations just above 0.76%, the general trend for Blackberry continues down; therefore, we recommend not supporting this browser and will not include the device in future reports.
Mobile and Tablet Browsers
39http://gs.statcounter.com/#desktop+mobile+tablet-comparison-US-monthly-201404-201406
Desktop and Tablet/Mobile Analysis
Desktop Mobile Tablet
January 70.50% 20.47% 9.03%
February 69.53% 21.36% 9.11%
March 69.88% 21.43% 8.69%
April 71.31% 20.24% 8.45%
May 70.88% 20.78% 8.34%
June 68.00% 23.17% 8.83%
July 68.92% 22.18% 8.91%
August 65.79% 24.45% 9.70%
September 65.08% 25.22% 9.77%
October 64.11% 27.00% 8.88%
November 64.67% 26.14% 9.20%
December 66.37% 25.29% 8.38%
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Janu
ary
Febr
uary
March
April
MayJu
ne July
Augus
t
Sept
embe
r
Octob
er
Novem
ber
Decem
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
DesktopMobileTablet
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The desktop versus mobile and tablet difference is considerable. Note that touch device usage is considerably lower than might be expected given the hype of touch devices in the general market. Even though mobile and tablet use is small – it is worth monitoring in 2015, as there is a possibility by the end of the year to see an overwhelming majority of people opting to use touch devices instead of desktop. The last quarter already shows this growth beginning to happen.
Desktop and Tablet/Mobile Analysis
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By the end of the 4th quarter of 2014, 52.08% percent of U.S. mobile and tablet owners had a device that runs iOS.
http://gs.statcounter.com/#mobile_browser-US-quarterly-201302-201401-bar
Tablet/Mobile Operating System Overview
RIM
iOS
Android Others
Q1 2014 2.06% 60.62% 32.44% 4.88%
Q2 2014 1.56% 51.66% 42.36% 3.97%
Q3 2014 1.27% 52.13% 42.84% 3.76%
Q4 2014 0.94% 52.08% 44.62% 2.36%
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In the U.S. iOS continues to dominate market share of mobile and tablet operating systems. Given RIM 0.94% and the Blackberry browser share usage hovers at .94% we do not recommend support for this browser at this time and we will eliminate tracking in the next report.
Tablet/Mobile Operating System Analysis
45http://netmarketshare.com/operating-system-market-share.aspx?qprid=10&qpcustomd=1
Android Analysis
Android 2.3
Android 4.1
Android 4.2
Android 4.3
Android 4.4
January 4.80% 11.69% 5.72% 4.85% 1.07%
February 4.55% 11.58% 6.34% 6.07% 1.37%
March 4.35% 11.42% 6.64% 6.18% 2.30%
April 3.89% 11.19% 7.13% 5.70% 3.92%
May 3.88% 10.61% 7.49% 4.98% 5.54%
June 3.83% 10.33% 8.53% 5.58% 7.25%
July 3.29% 10.03% 8.77% 4.02% 9.28%
August 3.07% 9.56% 8.74% 3.78% 11.10%
September 3.02% 9.45% 9.13% 3.58% 12.76%
October 2.59% 8.45% 8.65% 3.33% 14.42%
November 2.44% 7.99% 8.24% 3.12% 15.40%
December 2.03% 7.01% 7.94% 2.88% 16.90%
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As of writing this this report, Android 3.1, 3.2 and 5.0 are less than 1% market penetration and falls below our recommended support policy.
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Above are the top Android devices by market share as of June 2014. The Samsung
Galaxy S3, S4, and S2 are the far and away favorites with the S2 dropping
considerably against the S4 in the last quarter. http://www.appbrain.com/stats/top-android-phones
Android Device Analysis
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The Samsung Galaxy S3 and S4 are now listed in the top
Android phone list. At 5.10% and 6.00%, we recommend
continue to full support of Samsung Galaxy S4 and S3 in
current quarter. The Samsung Galaxy S5 usages crosses
2.00% As a result, we recommend partial support of this
device in current quarter. It is worth monitoring in 2015, as
there is a possibility by the end of the 1st quarter to see an
overwhelming majority of people opting to use Samsung
Galaxy S5.
Android Device Analysis
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Android Tablet Breakdown
Amazon Kindle Fire Samsung Galaxy Google Nexus
1Q 2014 7.70% 6.10% 1.90%
2Q 2014 6.10% 8.30% 2.20%
3Q 2014 7.30% 6.30% 2.10%
4Q 2014 6.70% 6.0% 1.80%
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Over the past year, the tablet market has seen major changes. Chikita completed a study to determine which tablet devices are seeing the most success in the terms of usage. This chart shows the Kindle Fire holds the top Android tablet market share while Samsung Galaxy tablets are second with Google Nexus Tablets coming in third. At this point, we recommend full support of Kindle Fire and the Samsung Galaxy tablet and partial support for Google Nexus 7 tablet.htttp://chitika.com/insights/2014/Q3-tablet-update
htttp://chitika.com/insights/2014/Q3-tablet-update
Android Tablet Analysis
52 https://mixpanel.com/trends/#report/ios_frag/from_date:-122,to_date:-32
iOS Breakdown
iOS 5.x
iOS 6.x
iOS 7.x
iOS 8.x
January 2.65% 15.66% 81.25%
February 2.15% 12.55% 85.04%
March 1.73% 9.98% 88.14%
April 1.51% 8.36% 89.95%
May 1.37% 7.29% 91.14%
June 1.29% 6.96% 91.49%
July 1.14% 5.66% 92.76%
August 0.98% 5.07% 93.30%
September 0.73% 3.94% 73.60% 21.45%
October 0.70% 3.44% 43.42% 52.13%
November 0.65% 2.93% 35.38% 60.75%
December 0.59% 2.44% 28.90% 67.74%
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In the U.S. iOS 7 continues to dominate market share of mobile and tablet operating systems until iOS 8.x released over iOS 6 and 5. Note that iOS 8.x adoption rate significantly high as it hit over 60% in little over 3 months. At this point, we recommend full support for this operating system. However, also note that iOS 5.x market share falls below 1% and gradually moving down. At 0.59% we do recommend no support for this operating system at this time.
As of this report, iOS5 is less than 1% market
penetration and falls below our recommended
support policy.
iOS Analysis
55 http://marketshare.hitslink.com/operating-system-market-share.aspx?qprid=10&qpcustomd=1
iPhone versus iPad Breakdown
iPhone
iPad
January 21.51% 32.34%
February 22.48% 29.87%
March 23.15% 29.58%
April 22.31% 28.80%
May 21.75% 26.10%
June 21.03% 24.14%
July 21.18% 22.61%
August 21.49% 22.45%
September 20.74% 22.76%
October 21.23% 22.67%
November 21.99% 22.41%
December 21.88% 20.99%
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57http://david-smith.org/iosversionstats/
iPad Breakdown
iPad 2G iPad 3G iPad 4G iPad Mini iPad Air
iOS 5.x 0.60% 0.90%
iOS 6.x 4.10% 8.00% 5.00% 1.10%
iOS 7.x 45.40% 55.30% 51.40% 51.50% 30.30%
iOS 8.x 49.90% 35.80% 43.70% 47.50% 69.70%
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The adoption rate of iOS 8.x is significantly higher than iOS 6.x and iOS 7.x among iPad users. At this time, we recommend full support of iOS 8.x in current quarter. It is worth monitoring in 2015, as there is a possibility by the end of the 1st quarter to see an overwhelming majority of people upgrading their devices to iOS 8.x.
iPad Analysis
Look for the next quarterly update in April 2015.
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MCD
Platform Support Recommendations
2014 Third Quarter