planning for noaa’s climate interests
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Planning for NOAA’s Climate Interests. US CLIVAR SSC Meeting “Planning for US CLIVAR Post-2013” Silver Spring, MD January 9, 2012 Sandy Lucas ESS Program Manager NOAA Climate Program Office. NOAA's Mission Science, Service, and Stewardship - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Planning for NOAA’s Climate Interests
US CLIVAR SSC Meeting“Planning for US CLIVAR Post-2013”
Silver Spring, MDJanuary 9, 2012
Sandy LucasESS Program Manager
NOAA Climate Program Office
NOAA's MissionScience, Service, and StewardshipTo understand and predict changes in
climate, weather, oceans, and coasts,
To share that knowledge and information with others, and
To conserve and manage coastal and marine ecosystems and resources.
NOAA Line OfficesNational Ocean Service
National Environmental Satellite, Data,
and Information
Service
National Marine
Fisheries Service
National Weather Service
NOAA Research
(OAR)
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NOAA Climate Lab/Centers
National Ocean Service
National Environmental Satellite, Data,
and Information
Service
National Marine
Fisheries Service
National Weather Service
NOAA Research
(OAR)
NCEP
Climate Prg Office
GFDL
ESRL
PMEL AOML
NCDC
NODC
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NOAA’s Next Generation Strategic Plan (NGSP)
NOAA's Mission: Science, Service, and Stewardship Vision: Resilient Ecosystems, Communities, and Economies
NOAA's Goals: • Climate Adaptation and Mitigation• Weather-Ready Nation• Healthy Oceans• Resilient Coastal Communities and
Economies
NOAA's Enterprise Objectives: • Science & Technology
Enterprise• Engagement Enterprise• Organization &
Administration Enterprise
Developed through engagement with NOAA stakeholders and employeesReleased: Dec 2010
Read or download the plan: www.ppi.noaa.gov/ngsp/
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Goal: Climate Adaptation and Mitigation
Objective 1: Improved scientific understanding of the changing climate system and its impacts
Objective 2: Assessments of current and future states of the climate system that identify potential impacts and inform science, service, and stewardship decisions
Objective 3: Mitigation and adaptation efforts supported by sustained, reliable, and timely climate services
Objective 4: A climate-literate public that understands its vulnerabilities to a changing climate and makes informed decisions
An informed society anticipating and responding to climate and its impacts
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Objective: Improved scientific understanding - Five-year Evidence Of Progress
Over the next five years, evidence of progress toward this objective will include:
1. More comprehensive knowledge of greenhouse gases and other climate forcing agents;
2. Climate observing systems are sustained and the state of the climate system is routinely monitored;
3. Improved basis for confidence in understanding key oceanic, atmospheric, hydrologic, biogeochemical, and socioeconomic components of the climate system and impacts;
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Objective: Improved scientific understanding - Five-year Evidence Of Progress
4. Advances in climate modeling leading to improved scientific understanding and a new generation of climate predictions and projections on global to regional scales and from monthly to centennial time scales;
5. Increased confidence in assessing and anticipating climate impacts; and
6. Quantitative short- to long-term outlooks and projections of Arctic sea ice.
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Benefits of US CLIVAR to NOAAUS CLIVAR:
– Serves as a bridge between the research community and the Federal funding agencies
– Organizes the research community to establish the needs and requirements for future scientific advancement and express where additional resources are needed.
– Interests specific to NOAA: predictions/projections, intraseasonal to interannual predictability, decadal predictability, process studies, ocean observations
Examples (from Climate Observations):– NOAA will continue to need updated requirements for observation
systems (e.g. OOPC, GCOS mechanisms)– NOAA will continue to look to the research community to initiate new
observing activities (e.g., TAO, PIRATA, Argo arguably all emerged from research programs)
– NOAA will need support in the area of technology development (e.g., Argo)
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NOAA’s Engagement in US CLIVARPast and current successes:• Process Studies
– Past: EPIC, NAME, VOCALS– Current: DYNAMO, CPTs
• Modeling– CMEP 1 & 2, CMIP5
• Ocean Observations– Argo
Future:NOAA would like to see continued engagement and help coordinating
with the research communityOne example:– Model-observation activities: feedback of modeling and research
community on observing efficiencies and design (e.g., what mechanisms can provide feedback from models/assimilation systems to observing strategies and plans?)
