DRAFT

Planning for Attainment:gOzone Advance

Air Improvement Resources Air Improvement Resources Executive Committee MeetingAlamo Area Council of Governments

January 23, 2013

Clean Air Act & National Ambient Air Quality Standards

• Federal Clean Air Act requires EPA to set KEYFederal Clean Air Act requires EPA to set – National Ambient Air Quality Standards for

– Pollutants harmful to public health & environment

KEY

Pollutants harmful to public health & environment

– Six “Criteria” Air Pollutants: Carbon Monoxide, Lead, Nitrogen Dioxide, Particulate Matter, Sulfur Dioxide &g

– Ozone

Compliance with EightCompliance with Eight--Hour Ozone StandardHour Ozone StandardA community will meet the eight-hour ozone standard when the three-year average of the annual fourth highest daily maximum eight hour ozone concentration measured at each monitoring

p gp g

eight-hour ozone concentration measured at each monitoring site is less than 76 parts per billion (ppb).

DRAFT

Eagle Ford Not Included

Initial Estimations: EFS, 2012DRAFT

Draft NOx Emissions in tons per day from 24‐county Eagle Ford shale playEmissions Source 2011

Initial Estimations: EFS, 2012

* 2012 estimations for Production does not include all sources. Production may 

create up to 20 additional tons of NOx/day

Exploration and Pad Construction 1.0Drilling 25.8Hydraulic Fracturing 16.3Wellhead Compressors 22 3 create up to 20 additional tons of NOx/day 

in 2012. Wellhead Compressors 22.3Wellhead Flares 21.3Midstream Facilities 18.3

Total* Estimated Emissions 105.0

NOx Emissions in tons per day from Point Sources, 8‐County San Antonio‐New Braunfels MSA

Type of Industry / Year 2008 2013 2018Electricity Generation 46.5 42.9 42.9Cement Industry 20.9 25 25Petroleum Industry 5.7 5.7 5.7Manufacturing 1.1 1.1 1.4Military Bases 0.9 0.9 0.9Other Sources 0.6 0.6 0.6Total 75.9 76.4 76.6

Violations and Nonattainment of the Ozone Standard in the AACOG region

Vi l ti th th f KEYViolation: the three year average of ozone levels on local monitors was too high.

O 2 i i l d h 2008 d d

KEY

On August 21, two monitors violated the 2008 ozone standard.

Monitoring SiteFourth Highest Average Current

Three-YearMonitoring Site Three-Year2010 2011 2012* Average

Camp Bullis C58 78 75 87 80

Calaveras Lake C59 67 71 70 69

The “Three Year A erage” needs to be

Calaveras Lake C59 67 71 70 69

San Antonio Northwest C23 72 79 81 77

* quality assurance/checks by TCEQ required prior to finalization

The “Three-Year Average” needs to be less than 76 parts per billion (ppb).

Data: http://www.tceq.state.tx.us/cgi-bin/compliance/monops/8hr_attainment.pl

Requirements vs DiscretionRequirements vs. Discretion

Requirements: KEYRequirements:• The current 2008 ozone standard is now under review:

– May be revised in 2013 according to the five‐year review cycle.

KEY

• IF the standard revised in 2013, and timeline did not change:– Proposal for a revised standard would be published in 2013 

– Final standard promulgated in 2014– Final standard promulgated in 2014. 

– Nonattainment designations promulgated in 2016 . 

• Designations would be made based on 2013‐2015 data.

• Next summer: possibly the 1st year in the 3‐year average for designations under a more stringent ozone standard. 

• Now is a great time to initiate dedicated air quality• Now is a great time to initiate dedicated air quality improvements.

Path Forward Letter – July 25, 2013Path Forward Letter  July 25, 2013

• Describe the measures and/or programsDescribe the measures and/or programs

• Provide a schedule for the implementationIf “ t l ti l b i– If “control measures are actively being implemented by program participants” and

If “planning and control considerations” contained– If “planning and control considerations” contained in the Ozone Advance program are adequate in the judgment of the EPA Administrator,the judgment of the EPA Administrator, 

– Then “EPA may allow time to determine whether such measures bring the area back into gattainment.”

The Highest Standard: SIP Creditable*DRAFT

The Highest Standard: SIP Creditable

• Quantifiable – reductions can be reliably andQuantifiable  reductions can be reliably and replicably measured

• Surplus ‐ Emission reductions are not used to meet pother requirements

• Federally Enforceable ‐ Control measures must be yenforceable through a SIP or SIP revision

• Permanent – last through the term of program

• Adequately Supported (by State) –adequate funding, personnel, and other resources to implement the control measure on schedule demonstrated

*EPA-420-B-07-015, October 2007

Key Reductions: Jan. 2013DRAFT

Key Reductions: Jan. 2013

• CPS Energy:CPS Energy: – STEP program

Solar generation– Solar generation

• City of San Antonio– Mission Verde

• Local Cement Industry

Emissions ReducedEmissions ReducedDRAFT

Sept. 2012CPS Energy

TechnologyCO2 Savings 

(Tons per year)NOx Savings

(Tons per year)SOx Savings

(Tons per year)Equivalent NumberOf Cars Removed

Home Area Network 159,235  52 0 28,952

LED Lighting 20,980  9 24 3,814

Electric Refrig. Trucks NA N/A N/A N/A

Blue Wing Solar 14,497 5 0 2,6363 736

Solar Rooftop Rebates 20,550 7 0

3,736

30 MW Solar 29,579  10 0 5,378

200 MW Coal (PPA)  1,597,680  750 5,667 290,487

400 MW Solar (PPA)  552,146 180 0 100,390

J.T. Deely  2,959,743  1,528 19,014

538,135

TOTALS 5,354,410 25% 2,539 30% 24,705 91% 973,529

Distribution of Reductions: STEPDistribution of Reductions: STEP

2009 Peak-day NOx reductions (tons/day)– 0.000 – 0.001– 0.001 – 0.003– 0.003 – 0.005– 0.005 – 0.015– 0.015 – 0.025– 0.050 –

9-2-10Graphic taken from 2010 Energy System Lab analysisGraphic taken from 2010 Energy System Lab analysisShowing distribution of NOx Reductions resulting From Energy Efficiency programs in CPS Energy’s STEP Program

City of San Antonio /yOffice of Sustainability*

• Community Green Projects: City LightsCommunity Green Projects: City Lights

• Municipal Retrofits

C fi• HVAC Retrofits

• Revolving Energy Efficiency Fund

• Transportation Enhancements: Carshare

• Weatherization Assistance ProgramWeatherization Assistance Program

• Better Buildings Retrofit Program

D il H dDetails: Handouthttp://www.sanantonio.gov/oep/

Strong Commitment to gPartnerships: Cement

• TXI Hunter and Capitol Cement– AACOG worked w/ industrial consultants to

gauge effectiveness/reduction totals• TXI vol. lowered permitted lbs NOx/ton clinker

for the existing/new kilns from 2 87/2 45for the existing/new kilns from 2.87/2.45 average (2004) to 1.95 cap

• Capitol shut down wet kiln on Dec. 15th, 2006, pozone season SNCR on dry kiln, April 2008

• 1.19 ppb. maximum 8-hour decrease, Capitol

• Lower NOx Pollution ~4.5 tons/day

Strong Commitment to gSuccess and Recognition

Strong Commitment to Success and Recognition

Photo:ForrestMims

III

June 13, 2007: Hon. Jay Millikin presents recognition awardto Tom Spaits of Capitol Cement for SNCR implementation

Assess Ongoing StrategiesAssess Ongoing Strategies

• Build San Antonio Green: EE ResidentialBuild San Antonio Green: EE Residential– 1313 Certifications to date

• 1273 New Construction 37 Retrofits 3 Multifamily1273 New Construction, 37 Retrofits, 3 Multifamily

• 24.2 million kWh saved to date

• VIA Metropolitan TransitVIA Metropolitan Transit– Transit alternatives in SmartWaySA

Bus Rapid Transit– Bus Rapid Transit

• AIR Advisory Committee/Regional St k h ldStakeholders

http://www.buildsagreen.org/; http://www.viainfo.net/

Air Improvement Resources 2013 pMeeting Calendar

Month

2013 AIR Executive Committee

2013 AIR Advisory

Committee

2013 AIR Technical

Committee Meetings Meetings Meetings

Jan. January 23 January 17 January 14Feb. - - February 11Mar. - March 21 March 11April April 24 - April 8May - May 16 May 13June - - June 10July July 24 July 8 July 8

July 25 2013: Path Forward letter due to EPAJuly 25, 2013: Path Forward letter due to EPA

Next StepsNext Steps

• Work w/ TCEQ: Assure nonattainment impactsWork w/ TCEQ: Assure nonattainment impacts

• Dialogue w/ local stakeholdersA il bl– Agree on measures available

– Agree on assessments of reductions/benefits

• Continue work on photochemical model– Eagle Ford shale development emissions inventory

• Strong communications between AIR Advisory, AIR Technical Committee, TCEQ and EPA