pinal county economic conditions & workforce …...economic conditions analysis of employment...

Pinal County Economic Conditions &

Workforce Analysis

Prepared for:

Arizona At Work - Pinal County

June 2018

Prepared by:

Elliott D. Pollack & Company

7505 East 6th Avenue, Suite 100

Scottsdale, Arizona 85251

Pinal County Economic Conditions Report

Elliott D. Pollack & Company TOC

www.arizonaeconomy.com

Table of Contents

1.0 Introduction 1

2.0 Existing Conditions 2

2.1 Economic Profile of Pinal County 2

2.2 Employment 4

2.3 Location Quotients & Identified Clusters 9

2.4 Workforce Characteristics 13

2.5 Youth 20

2.6 County Sub-Area Comparisons 26

3.0 Future Conditions 36

3.1 Forecasts 36

3.2 Pinal County’s Target Industries 37

3.3 Economic Development Pipeline 84

Appendix 1 – Methodology to Define and Determine In-demand

Industries and Occupations 85

Appendix 2 – Livable Wage Estimates 88

Appendix 3 – Pinal County Employment Forecasts 91

Appendix 4 – Target Industry Sub-Industry Selection 94


Elliott D. Pollack & Company 1


1.0 Introduction

Elliott D. Pollack and Company was retained by Arizona at Work – Pinal County to conduct an

economic conditions analysis of employment trends and workforce characteristics in Pinal

County. The analysis is designed to address in-demand economic sectors, occupations, and

industries that have capitalized on the particular business location attributes and strengths of

the County. The study will also provide an analysis of the skills and knowledge required by

these industries and assess the current workforce programs currently in place.

This analysis will inform the County of strategic opportunities that generate the types of

business, industry and entrepreneurial growth and job generation that the County seeks as well

as identify weaknesses to address moving forward.

In terms of employment, this analysis will provide historical and forecasted growth, job types,

wages, unemployment, labor force composition and participation, employment base and

concentrations. This includes statistical information such as the number of jobs currently within

each industry as well as companies and occupations within those industries. Individuals with

barriers to employment will be identified.

In addition, an assessment of the skills and educational levels of the County labor shed will be

performed.

Data has been collected from available sources such as the U.S. Census, U.S. Bureau of Labor

Statistics, Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity, EMSI and the U.S. Cluster Mapping Project.

This analysis assesses the knowledge and skills of residents relative to in-demand industries.

Occupations within these industries will be identified to help provide the County with a

comprehensive list of degrees or training required to fill current and future positions. In

conjunction with Pinal County Local Workforce Development Board members, interviews with

selected government and business leaders to identify workforce needs of the County were

conducted.

Beyond this report, our firm will also work closely with the County in the identification of

workforce training and initiatives available to residents and employers in the region. This task

will analyze the current strengths and weaknesses of the programs and estimate the capacity of

each program in its ability to serve the region’s population and employment base.




2.0 Existing Conditions

2.1 Economic Profile of Pinal County

Since 1975, Pinal County has grown by an average of 4.0% per year. Growth in the 1970s and

1980s was low to moderate (1.7% to 2.6% annually), then began to pick up in the 1990s with an

average growth rate of 4.2% during that decade. The county then experienced explosive

growth in the 2000s as the Greater Phoenix region experienced a housing boom, approaching

nearly 8.0% annual growth over the entire decade. In the post-recession period (2009-2014),

population growth retreated significantly, averaging 1.7% growth over that time.

The decrease in population growth was affected greatly by the decrease in mobility by those

around the country desiring to move but unable to either retire as planned or be able to

liquidate a housing asset because of a depressed housing market. It is anticipated that this

period will be an anomaly and Pinal County will begin to grow at higher rates of growth moving

forward. Indeed, starting in 2015, Pinal County has already started to experience higher rates of

growth and recorded 3.5% growth in 2017. Pinal County’s population is currently estimated at

427,603 people.




Population growth naturally leads to growth in the labor force. The U.S. Bureau of Labor

Statistics defines the labor force as individuals in the region who are either employed or

unemployed (jobless, looking for a job, and available for work). Additionally, there is a labor

force participation rate which measures the labor force compared to the civilian, non-

institutionalized population 16 years and older. Many in this age group who are not in the labor

force are in school, retired, or have family responsibilities restricting work opportunities.

Since 2001, both the population and labor force have more than doubled in Pinal County. In

2011, 2012, and 2013 the labor force in the County dipped slightly while population continued

to increase. This suggests that the labor force participation rate declined during this period. In

2014 the labor force grew faster than total population but grew far less than population growth

in 2015 again. 2016 and 2017 experienced a similar trend, with 2016 labor force growing

similar to population but then population far outpacing labor force growth in 2017.

This trend is not unique to Pinal County. Labor force participation across the country fell from

an average of 66% to less than 63% and has shown little signs of recovery through 2017.

Greater Phoenix averaged over 68% labor force participation in the two decades leading up to

the Great Recession, never falling below 66% in prior recessions. The Greater Phoenix metro

fell below 62% and has shown some recovery but still far below historic norms.

Due to these trends, there still may be a significant number of individuals within the working

age population that may rejoin the labor force as employment opportunities continue to grow.

Based on the overall population growth rate, there is potential for as many as 10,000 to 20,000

individuals to rejoin the labor force.




60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018YTDJune

Pinal County Civilian Labor Force2001 - 2018 YTD

Source: U.S. Dept of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, AZ Office of Economic Opportunity

2.2 Employment

Population growth also led to the creation of jobs, and the employment statistics for the

broader Greater Phoenix region illustrate the support of population growth through increased

employment opportunities. Historically, job market declines that are realized during periods of

recession in the Greater Phoenix region tend to be mild. In both 1991 and 2001, the previous

two recessions, job declines were minimal, only going negative during the 2001 recession. The

job losses in 2009, which totaled nearly 2,700 jobs, spread across many sectors but were

dominated by the construction industry and those sectors that support housing development.

Employment in the County has rebounded since 2009, though due to the relatively small

employment base, the growth rate varies greatly from year to year. As of the most recent data,

employment is 1.3% higher than the same period last year.




Many sectors of the economy in Pinal County are at or above previous peak levels. The only

exceptions are Mining & Construction, Manufacturing, and Government (though each of these

sectors have shown improvements over the last few years). The following chart illustrates the

percent of jobs gained since previous peak levels of employment experienced in 2007/2008. As

the chart shows, significant gains have been realized in Leisure & Hospitality (tourism related

industries), Education & Health Services, Information, and Professional & Business Services.

Both the Information sector and Professional & Business Services sector actually never lost jobs

during the recession but continued to grow both during the recession and continued to grow

through the recovery.




Many Pinal County residents travel outside the county for work. Thus, while employment has

rebounded to previous peak levels, the base of employment still requires commuting to

Maricopa or Pima County for many residents. As the following unemployment rate chart

illustrates, Many Pinal County residents have been able to find work after a significant number

had lost employment from the recession. The unemployment rate began to rise sharply in 2008

and peaked at 12.3% in 2009. The rate has continued to improve, even with increases to the

labor force, meaning regional employment has outpaced population over the last 8 years. The

most current month reported unemployment rate for the County is now 4.9%.




4.6%

5.4%

7.3%7.0%

6.0%5.6%

5.0%4.6%

7.4%

12.3%

10.7%

9.8%

8.5%8.1%

7.0%

6.3%

5.5%5.0% 4.9%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018YTDJune

Pinal County Unemployment RateSource: Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity

For Pinal County, the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provides data on 10 main super sectors. As the chart below shows, Government is the largest employer, accounting for 32.7% of all jobs. Trade, Transportation, & Utilities (mostly retail trade) comprise the next largest percentage of jobs with 17.5%, followed by Leisure & Hospitality (11.4%), Education & Health Services (10.2%), Professional & Business Services (10.1%), and Manufacturing (6.2%).




The “Government” sector supplies the highest percentage of jobs within Pinal County. This sector includes Federal, State, County and Local jobs and have a wide variety of industries and occupations. Some of those include:

Professional & Business Services

Education (primary, secondary, and post-secondary)

Utilities (water supply /irrigation systems)

Construction

Libraries

Waste Management

Fitness & Recreational Centers

Executive, Legislative, & General Government

Public Finance

Government Support Services

Justice, Public Order, & Safety Activities

Legal Counsel & Prosecution

National Security & International Affairs

Police & Fire Protection

Postal Service

Health Care & Social Assistance

Categorizing jobs by industry instead of aggregating jobs by who the employer may be (such as

government), the County shows a much more diversified base of industries. Using this

approach, it is apparent that educational services (14.5%) are the largest source of jobs,




followed by retail trade (13.2%), public administration (11.2%), health care (10.5%), and

accommodations & food service (10.5%).

2.3 Location Quotients & Identified Clusters

By comparing Pinal County to the State of Arizona and the U.S. under more detailed industry

classifications, some clustering of industries, or relative concentrations of certain industries can

be identified. This is represented through the use of location quotients. Anything with a

location quotient higher than 1.0 means that there is a relatively higher percentage of that

industry compared to the broader economic region.

Pinal County has a number of industries in which the location quotient was greater than 1.0

relative to both the United States and Arizona. Industries related to mining and agriculture are

by far the most concentrated industries relative to broader economic regions. Certain

manufacturing sectors (nonmetallic mineral products, chemical, food, primary metal, and

plastics & rubber products) are also well represented in the county. Other industries, such as

administrative & support services, waste management, utilities, and social assistance also have

relative concentrations in the county. Finally, local serving industries such as retail stores (food

and beverage, building material & garden supply, health and personal care, gas stations, and




general merchandise) as well as social assistance all had higher concentration of employment in

Pinal County compared to the nation or state as a whole.

Industry Relative to U.S. Relative to AZ

NAICS 111 Crop production 2.78 3.21

NAICS 112 Animal production and aquaculture 11.36 12.34

NAICS 115 Agriculture and forestry support activities 1.93 1.22

NAICS 212 Mining, except oil and gas 13.35 4.24

NAICS 213 Support activities for mining 0.68 8.95

NAICS 221 Utilities 1.17 1.01

NAICS 311 Food manufacturing 1.53 3.13

NAICS 325 Chemical manufacturing 1.2 2.87

NAICS 326 Plastics and rubber products manufacturing 0.93 2.64

NAICS 327 Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing 2.55 2.98

NAICS 331 Primary metal manufacturing 0.89 1.73

NAICS 444 Building material and garden supply stores 1.33 1.30

NAICS 445 Food and beverage stores 1.26 1.24

NAICS 446 Health and personal care stores 0.99 1.03

NAICS 447 Gasoline stations 2.36 2.39

NAICS 452 General merchandise stores 2.16 1.98

NAICS 561 Administrative and support services 1.3 0.91

NAICS 562 Waste management and remediation services 1.25 1.66

NAICS 624 Social assistance 0.81 1.05

NAICS 813 Membership associations and organizations 1.01 1.40

NAICS 814 Private households 0.61 1.30

NAICS 999 Unclassified 1.94 0.42

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

2017

Industry Location Quotients by Number Employed

The U.S. Cluster Mapping project has created a dataset at the county level for the presence of

clusters, defined as a group of individual industries that are closely related or linked, including

use of labor occupations, and co-location patterns. The cluster is identified similar to location

quotients. When a certain cluster is overrepresented in the county relative to the national

average, it is considered a specialization. The U.S. Cluster Mapping Project further defines

clusters as either “traded” or “local”. Traded industries sell to other regions and nations while

local industries are present in most geographic areas, and primarily sell locally.

As a percent of total employment, local serving clusters currently dominate the Pinal County

economy. These include health services, hospitality, real estate, and retail. In terms of traded




clusters, the County’s strongest sectors relative to the U.S. include business services,

distribution & e-commerce, tourism, mining, upstream metals, construction, transportation &

logistics, performing arts, plastics, agricultural services, and downstream metals.

Jobs

% of

Total

Jobs Sub Clusters

Local Cluster

Local Health Services

7,716 13.0%

Healthcare Provider Offices, Hospitals, Home and Residential Care, Drug

Stores, Medical Laboratories, Funeral Service and Crematories, Optical Goods

Retailing, Medical Equipment Distribution and Rental

Local Hospitality

Establishments 6,408 10.8%

Hospitality Establishments, Recreational Facilities and Instruction, Gifts and

Souvenirs Retailing

Local Real Estate,

Construction, and

Development

3,675 6.2%

Specialty Contractors, Real Estate Services, Construction Materials Retailing,

Concrete Products, General Contractors, Water and Sewer Line Construction,

Construction Materials Wholesaling, Highway and Street Construction,

Building Equipment Distribution, Developers

Local Retailing of Clothing

and General Merchandise 2,798 4.7%

General Merchandise Retailing, Apparel Retailing, Jewelry Retailing, Sewing,

Needlework, and Piece Goods Retailing, Luggage Retailing

Local Motor Vehicle

Products and Services

2,726 4.6%

Gasoline Stations, Automobile Dealers, Automotive Parts Retailing, Other

Automotive Services, Automotive Repair Shops, Other Motor Vehicles

Distribution, Automotive Parts Wholesaling, Automotive Wholesaling, Parking

Services

Local Commercial Services

2,414 4.1%

Local Professional Services, Security Services, Building Support Services,

Miscellaneous Repair Services, Laundry and Linen Services, Stationery and

Office Supply Retailing, Testing Laboratories, Commercial Photography,

Printing and Signmaking

Local Food and Beverage

Processing and Distribution

2,146 3.6%

Retail Food Stores, Food Wholesaling, Vending and Direct Selling, Beer and

Liquor Wholesaling, Beer, Wine, and Liquor Retailing, Tobacco Retailing,

Commerical and Retail Bakeries

Local Community and Civic

Organizations 1,570 2.6%

Social Service Organizations, Religious Organizations, Business Associations,

Labor Organizations, Political Organizations, Trusts

Local Personal Services

(Non-Medical)

1,152 1.9%

Child Care Services, Hair Care Services, Other Personal Services, Personal

Products Retailing, Photographic and Photofinishing Services, Repair Services,

Cleaning Services

Local Education and

Training 996 1.7%

Elementary and Secondary Schools, Job Training Services, Recreational and

Other Services

Local Household Goods

and Services

953 1.6%

Landscape and Horticultural Services, Hardware Retailing, Furniture and

Homefurnishings Retailing, Gardening Products and Supplies Retailing,

Electronics Repair, Hardware Wholesaling, Appliance Retailing

Local Financial Services

938 1.6%

Deposit-taking Institutions, Insurance Agents and Brokers, Tax Return

Preparation Services, Collection Agencies, Pension, Health, and Welfare

Funds

Local Logistical Services

778 1.3%

Local Transportation Services, Local Passenger Transportation, Warehousing

Services, Passenger Car Rental, Truck Leasing

Local Entertainment and

Media

675 1.1%

Movie Theatres, Newspapers, Sporting and Hobby Retailing, Electronic and

Photographic Retailing, Musical Instruments Retailing, Book and Periodical

Retailing, Video Rental, Electronic Media

Local Utilities

349 0.6%

Communications Services, Sanitary Services, Natural Gas Distribution,

Electric Power Distribition, Heating Oil and Other Fuel Dealers

Local Industrial Products

and Services

164 0.3%

Miscellaneous Equipment Rental and Leasing, Industrial Products and

Services Wholesaling, Industrial Machinery and Distribution, Industrial Repair

Services

Source: U.S. Cluster Mapping (http://clustermapping.us), Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School.

Copyright © 2018 President and Fellows of Harvard College. All rights reserved. Research funded in part by the U.S. Department of

Commerce, Economic Development Administration.

Pinal County Industry Clusters Identified by the U.S. Cluster Mapping Project ‐

2016




Jobs

% of

Total

Jobs Sub-Clusters Industries

Traded Clusters

Business Services 4,722 7.9% Business Support Services, Computer

Services, Engineering, Corporate

Headquarters, Architectural & Drafting

Services, Ground Passenger

Transportation, Employment Placement

Services, Consulting

Facilities Support, Engineering, Translation & Interpretation , Legal , Drafting, Landscape Architectural Services, Architects, Telephone Answering,

Telemarketing Bureaus, Payroll, Professional Employer Organizations, Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets, Data Processing, Computer Facilities

Management, Data Processing, Hosting, and Related, Other Computer Related Services, Computer Systems Design, Custom Computer Programming,

Offices of Other Holding Companies, Corporate & Regional Managing Offices, Taxi & Limousine Service, Executive Search, Employment Placement

Agencies, Managment Consulting, Distribution & Logistics Consulting, Human Resources Consulting, Other Scientific & Technical Consulting,

Administrative Consulting

Distribution &

Electronic Commerce

2,191 3.7% Warehousing & Storage, Construction &

Mining Machinery & Equipment,

Wholesale of Farm Products & Supplies,

Electronic & Catalog Shopping, Rental &

Leasing, Wholesale

Refrigerated Warehousing and Storage, General Warehousing and Storage, Drugs and Druggists' Sundries Merchant Wholesalers, Construction and

Mining (except Oil Well) Machinery and Equipment Merchant Wholesalers, Farm Product Warehousing and Storage, Farm Supplies Merchant

Wholesalers, Electronic Auctions, Business to Business Electronic Markets, Electronic Shopping, Office Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing,

Construction, Mining, and Forestry Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing, Other Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment Rental and

Leasing, Metal Service Centers and Other Metal Merchant Wholesalers, Sporting and Recreational Goods and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers

Hospitality & Tourism 1,614 2.7% Accommodations & Related Services,

Tourism Attractions, Entertainment,

Spectator Sports

Hotels, Convention & Visitors Bureaus, Bed-and-Breakfast Inns, RV Parks & Campgrounds, Recreation & Vacation Camps, All Other Amusement &

Recreation Industries, Scenic & Sightseeing Transportation, Tour Operators, Travel Agencies, Zoos & Botanical Gardens, Historical Sites, Museums,

Racetracks

Food Processing &

Manufacturing

1,469 2.5% Dairy Products, Baked Goods, Farm

Wholesalers, Animal Foods

Dry, Condensed, and Evaporated Dairy Product Manufacturing, Fluid Milk Manufacturing, Tortilla Manufacturing, Other Snack Food Manufacturing, Grain

& Field Bean Whsle, Grain and Field Bean Merchant Wholesalers, Other Animal Food Manufacturing

Upstream Metal

Manufacturing

900 1.5% Metal Products, Metal Processing, Wires &

Springs

Iron and Steel Pipe and Tube Manufacturing from Purchased Steel, Other Fabricated Wire Product Manufacturing, Primary Smelting and Refining of

Copper, Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum) Smelting and Refining, Secondary Smelting, Refining, and Alloying of Copper, Copper Rolling, Drawing,

Extruding, and Alloying , Copper Wire (except Mechanical) Drawing , Copper Rolling, Drawing, and Extruding

Paper & Packaging 760 1.3% Paper products, Packaging All Other Converted Paper Product Manufacturing, Paper Bag and Coated and Treated Paper Manufacturing

Metal Mining 748 1.3% Metal Mining Copper Ore & Nickel Ore Mining, Gold Ore Mining, All Other Metal Ore Mining, Support Activities for Metal Mining

Construction

Products & Services

705 1.2% Construction, Construction Components,

Water, Sewage, & Other Systems,

Construction Materials, Construction

Products

Power/Communications Transmission Line, Manufacturing & Industrial Buildings, Oil & Gas Pipeline, Other Heavy Construction, Civil Engineering

Construction, Cement Manufacturing, Mineral Wood Manufacturing, Miscellaneous Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing, Concrete Block & Brick

Manufacturing, Cut Stone & Stone Product Manufacturing, Water Supply & Irrigation Systems, Asphalt Shingle & Coationg Material Manufacturing,

Asphalt Paving Mixture & Block Manufacturing, Plumbing Fixture Fitting & Trim Manufacturing, Metal Tank Manufacturing

Transportation &

Logistics

478 0.8% Air Transportation, Trucking, Ground

Transportation Support Activities,

Specialty Air Transportation

Scheduled & Non-Scheduled Freight or Air Transportation, Other Airport Operations, Other Support Activities for Air Transportation, Specialized Freight

(except Used Goods) Trucking, Long-Distance, General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, Truckload, Packing and Crating, Support Activities for Rail

Transportation, Freight Transportation Arrangement, Other Support Activities for Road Transportation, All Other Support Activities for Transportation

Performing Arts 471 0.8% Performing Artists, Promoters & Managers Musical Groups and Artists, Theater Companies and Dinner Theaters, Independent Artists, Writers, and Performers, Agents and Managers for Artists,

Athletes, Entertainers, and Other Public Figures, Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events with Facilities, Promoters of Performing Arts,

Sports, and Similar Events without Facilities

Downstream Metal

Products

415 0.7% Metal Products, Fabricated Metal

Structures

Saw Blade and Handsaw Manufacturing, Hardware Manufacturing, Ornamental and Architectural Metal Work Manufacturing, Prefabricated Metal

Building and Component Manufacturing, Fabricated Structural Metal Manufacturing

Plastics 300 0.5% Plastic Products Plastics Bottle Manufacturing, Polystyrene Foam Product Manufacturing, Plastics Plumbing Fixture Manufacturing, Plastics Pipe and Pipe Fitting

Manufacturing, All Other Plastics Product Manufacturing

Nonmetal Mining 254 0.4% Nonmetal Mining All Other Nonmetallic Mineral Mining, Nonmetallic Minerals Support Activity (exc Fuels), Crushed and Broken Granite Mining and Quarrying, Other

Crushed and Broken Stone Mining and Quarrying, Crushed and Broken Limestone Mining and Quarrying, Construction Sand and Gravel Mining

Agricultural Inputs &

Services

210 0.4% Agricultural Services, Fertilizers, Farm

Management & Labor Services

Cotton Ginning, Crop Harvesting, Primarily by Machine, Postharvest Crop Activities (except Cotton Ginning), Soil Preparation, Planting, and Cultivating,

Fertilizer (Mixing Only) Manufacturing, Farm Management Services

Financial Services 174 0.3% Credit Intermediation, Securities Brokers,

Dealers, and Exchanges, Financial

Investment Activities

Sales Financing, Other Activities Related to Credit Intermediation, Real Estate Credit, All Other Nondepository Credit Intermediation, Consumer

Lending, Commodity Contracts Brokerage, Mortgage and Nonmortgage Loan Brokers, Securities Brokerage, Trust, Fiduciary, and Custody Activities,

Miscellaneous Intermediation, Portfolio Management, Investment Advice

Oil & Gas Production

& Transportation

130 0.2% Drilling Wells, Support Activities for Oil &

Gas Operations, Pipeline Transportation

Drilling Oil and Gas Wells, Support Activities for Oil and Gas Operations, Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas

Pinal County - Non-Agricultural, Traded Industry Clusters Identified by the U.S. Cluster Mapping Project - 2016

Source: U.S. Cluster Mapping (http://clustermapping.us), Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School. Copyright © 2018 President and Fellows of Harvard College. All rights reserved. Research funded in part by the U.S. Department of

Commerce, Economic Development Administration.




2.4 Workforce Characteristics

An estimated 135,00 Pinal County residents are employed in a variety of industries regionally.

The following chart shows the distribution of Pinal County residents who are employed by type

of industry. Retail trade ranks highest, followed by health care & social assistance,

accommodation & food services, and education.

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

Pinal County Residents Employed By Industry - 2015Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2018 OnTheMap Application. Longitudinal-Employer Household Dynamics Program

In terms of diversifying the economy, Pinal County has a large workforce trained in many

industries. The following table illustrates the potential opportunity by industry by comparing

the current workforce to current jobs in the County. Only Agriculture and Mining show more

jobs than there are Pinal County residents employed in those jobs. These industries are

importing workers from outside the County. For almost every industry, there are significantly

more Pinal County residents employed in industries than there are jobs available in those

industries in the County. This illustrates a significant opportunity to leverage the existing

workforce to new companies considering the County.




Industry

Pinal

County

Jobs

Pinal County

Residents

Employed

Net (Import)

Export

Agriculture 2,448 2,054 (394)

Mining & Quarrying 1,633 1,195 (438)

Utilities 487 1,001 514

Construction 2,126 7,497 5,371

Manufacturing 3,690 9,968 6,278

Wholesale Trade 1,223 4,662 3,439

Retail Trade 7,787 19,187 11,400

Transportation & Warehousing 828 3,997 3,169

Information 701 2,291 1,590

Finance and Insurance 877 5,902 5,025

Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 605 2,367 1,762

Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services 1,193 5,590 4,397

Management of Companies and Enterprises 99 1,401 1,302

Administration & Support, Waste Management 4,861 11,575 6,714

Educational Services 8,527 11,785 3,258

Health Care & Social Assistance 6,200 17,066 10,866

Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 1,069 2,630 1,561

Accommodation & Food Services 6,184 12,963 6,779

Other Services 1,744 3,739 1,995

Public Administration 6,603 7,999 1,396

Pinal County Employment Versus Resident Employment

2015

Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2018 OnTheMap Application. Longitudinal-Employer Household

Dynamics Program

The reality of the inflow and outflow of workers is actually even greater than the conceptual

table shown above. While there are residents likely qualified to fill jobs in many industries

within the County, more workers travel in from outside of the County to fill those positions,

meaning even more qualified workers are leaked out to neighboring counties.

The U.S. Census reports an estimated 58,885 jobs within Pinal County as of 2015. Of that total,

an estimated 32,492 jobs (55%) are filled by Pinal County residents while the remaining 26,393




jobs are filled by residents of neighboring counties commuting into Pinal. The remaining

102,377 residents of Pinal County who are employed commute outside of the County for work.

Pinal County residents also travel a considerable distance to work. Over 55% of the workforce travels 25 miles or more each way for work, with 16.5% traveling more than 50 miles each way.

Count Share

Total All Jobs 134,869 100.0%

Less than 10 miles 22,604 16.8%

10 to 24 miles 37,678 27.9%

25 to 50 miles 52,326 38.8%

Greater than 50 miles 22,261 16.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2018. OnTheMap Application. Longitudinal-Employer Household Dynamics Program

Distance/Direction Report - 2015

Home Census Block to Work Census Block

The following map and graphic show the locations of jobs filled by Pinal County residents. An

estimated 64.5% of the workforce travels into Maricopa County for work. Pinal County comes in

2nd with 24.1% of the workforce, followed by Pima County with 7.0% of the workforce.




The educational attainment of residents age 25 years or older is displayed below and has been

compared to Arizona and the U.S. average. In comparison to the broader economy, Pinal

County has a higher percentage of the workforce population with a high school diploma or less

(44.3%). The County also shows a higher percentage of the workforce that has attended some

college but hasn’t earned a degree whereas the broader state and U.S. figures show much

higher percentages of bachelor’s degrees and graduate degrees.

Population 25 years and over

Educational Attainment Number

Percent

of Total Number

Percent

of Total Number

Percent

of Total

Less than 9th grade 15,697 5.8% 270,834 6.1% 11,913,913 5.6%

9th to 12th grade, no diploma 25,000 9.3% 340,409 7.7% 15,904,467 7.4%

High school graduate (includes equivalency) 78,792 29.2% 1,078,358 24.3% 58,820,411 27.5%

Some college, no degree 75,251 27.9% 1,130,402 25.5% 44,772,845 21.0%

Associate's degree 25,237 9.4% 379,207 8.5% 17,469,724 8.2%

Bachelor's degree 32,073 11.9% 777,681 17.5% 40,189,920 18.8%

Graduate or professional degree 17,766 6.6% 463,744 10.4% 24,577,867 11.5%

Educational Attainment

Resident Population 25+ Years Old

Pinal County

Pinal County Arizona U.S.

269,816 4,440,635 213,649,147

Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 2012-2016

Educational attainment has far reaching implications for an individual’s circumstances through

their working career. As the following table illustrates, there is a reasonable expectation of

higher earnings when higher educational attainment is achieved. In Pinal County, a bachelor’s

degree recipient makes 56% more the earnings of a high school graduate and more than double

the earnings of someone who does not graduate from high school.





Population 25 years and over with earnings $33,375 $35,022 $36,810

Less than high school graduate $21,166 $20,053 $20,924

High school graduate (includes equivalency) $28,479 $27,300 $28,672

Some college or associate's degree $34,813 $33,941 $34,412

Bachelor's degree $44,352 $49,046 $51,094

Graduate or professional degree $51,202 $61,102 $67,832

MEDIAN ANNUAL EARNINGS


(IN 2016 INFLATION-ADJUSTED DOLLARS)

Earnings is directly correlated with poverty. Nearly 29% of individuals with less than a high

school diploma in Pinal County are considered in poverty. That figure is cut nearly in half by

graduating high school (16%). And only 5.5% of individuals with a bachelor’s degree or higher

are in poverty. These figures are fairly consistent across geographic boundaries.


Less than high school graduate 28.8% 31.0% 27.1%

High school graduate (includes equivalency) 16.0% 16.8% 14.3%

Some college or associate's degree 9.5% 11.2% 10.4%

Bachelor's degree or higher 5.5% 5.5% 4.5%

POVERTY RATE FOR THE POPULATION 25+ YEARS


BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT LEVEL

Job security is another issue. Unemployment rates are much higher for individuals with less

education. In Pinal County, the unemployment rate was 14.7% for individuals in the workforce

with less than a high school diploma versus only 3.8% for those with a bachelor’s degree or

higher.




Pinal County appears to have an issue in graduating its students from high school and getting them into post-secondary training. For the population 18-24 years old, 26.5% are less than a high school graduate versus 16.9% for the state and 13.8% across the U.S. Over 35% have attended some college or earned an associate’s degree. But across the state, 44.4% have attended some college or earned and associate’s and 46.0% across the U.S. Finally, only 2.5% of the population age 18-24 has earned a bachelor’s degree or higher versus 7.4% across the state and 10.2% across the U.S.




Population 18 to 24 years


Percent of

Total Number

Percent of

Total Number

Percent of

Total

Less than high school graduate 8,309 26.5% 113,051 16.9% 4,326,831 13.8%

High school graduate (includes equivalency) 11,227 35.8% 209,298 31.3% 9,390,475 30.0%

Some college or associate's degree 11,062 35.2% 296,547 44.4% 14,398,370 46.0%

Bachelor's degree or higher 799 2.5% 49,428 7.4% 3,180,901 10.2%


Resident Population 18-24 Years Old


Pinal County


31,397 668,324 31,296,577

2.5 Youth Pinal County has the lowest graduation rates across the state. Among the various subgroups, the American Indian population and those with limited English proficiency have extremely low graduation rates in the County.

Pin

al

Co

un

ty

Sta

te o

r A

rizo

na

Ap

ach

e C

ou

nty

Co

ch

ise C

ou

nty

Co

co

nin

o C

ou

nty

Gil

a C

ou

nty

Gra

ham

Co

un

ty

Gre

en

lee C

ou

nty

La P

az C

ou

nty

Mari

co

pa C

ou

nty

Mo

have C

ou

nty

Navajo

Co

un

ty

Pim

a C

ou

nty

San

ta C

ruz C

ou

nty

Yavap

ai

Co

un

ty

Yu

ma C

ou

nty

All 71.7% 80.2% 74.2% 84.2% 81.3% 82.4% 84.1% 92.2% 81.9% 80.7% 83.4% 80.9% 77.6% 91.0% 84.7% 87.8%

Male 66.3% 77.0% 68.1% 81.1% 77.6% 77.3% 80.9% 89.7% 83.9% 77.7% 78.7% 78.3% 73.6% 90.1% 81.9% 86.8%

Female 77.2% 83.5% 81.5% 87.6% 85.0% 88.1% 87.7% 94.7% 80.0% 83.6% 88.7% 83.7% 81.9% 91.9% 87.8% 88.8%

American Indian 53.3% 68.1% 73.0% 66.7% 68.5% 76.0% 77.4% 37.5% 63.5% 69.2% 74.6% 68.1% 79.6% 71.9%

Asian 79.2% 90.3% 90.5% 98.6% 100% 90.7% 87.5% 86.4% 95.7% 100%

Black/African American 69.7% 76.2% 88.5% 78.6% 76.8% 80.8% 81.8% 72.9% 72.4% 94.6%

Hispanic or Latino 73.1% 77.3% 80.4% 82.3% 79.8% 88.8% 80.0% 94.7% 88.0% 76.4% 87.5% 83.1% 74.8% 91.0% 85.2% 87.4%

Multiple Races 85.4% 80.5% 94.1% 87.1% 79.8% 86.7% 90.3% 78.3% 86.3%

White 73.0% 84.7% 77.1% 86.4% 90.1% 81.2% 89.3% 88.6% 84.1% 85.6% 82.9% 87.8% 83.1% 94.1% 84.6% 90.4%

Limited English Proficient 53.6% 33.8% 50.0% 45.7% 31.3% 30.2% 52.4% 32.2% 38.1% 48.1%

Economically Disadvantaged 73.1% 76.5% 84.1% 78.8% 77.7% 83.6% 80.4% 69.2% 91.8% 76.3% 81.7% 79.3% 73.5% 92.3% 85.4% 83.3%

Students With Disabilities 60.7% 68.6% 68.1% 78.6% 67.0% 84.0% 75.4% 84.6% 87.5% 69.0% 68.1% 74.7% 66.4% 73.7% 80.6% 76.1%

Source: Arizona Department of Education

High School Graduation Rates

2016 Cohort

Subgroup

Within Pinal County, high school graduation rates fluctuate significantly due to the varied school offerings. Traditional public high schools within the county have a graduation rate ranging from 72.6% (Maricopa Unified School District) up to 88.6% (Ray Unified School District). Alternative schools within the county tend to have significantly lower graduation rates.




All

Male

Fem

ale

Am

eri

can

In

dia

n o

r A

laska N

ati

ve

Asia

n

Bla

ck/A

fric

an

Am

eri

can

His

pan

ic o

r L

ati

no

Mu

ltip

le R

aces

Wh

ite

Lim

ited

En

gli

sh

Pro

ficie

nt

Eco

no

mic

all

y D

isad

van

tag

ed

Stu

den

ts W

ith

Dis

ab

ilit

ies

American Charter Schools Foundation d.b.a. Apache Trail High School 36.0% 17.3% 62.2% 32.0% 39.0% 37.0%

Apache Junction Unified District 80.1% 77.6% 82.4% 80.0% 81.6% 77.8% 64.6%

Casa Grande Union High School District 76.5% 72.6% 80.7% 60.7% 90.9% 78.1% 77.5% 86.7% 78.8% 75.2% 60.0%

Coolidge Unified District 78.8% 73.1% 84.4% 67.4% 69.7% 80.7% 91.7% 80.6% 82.1% 78.6%

Florence Unified School District 84.5% 82.3% 86.8% 50.0% 91.7% 86.8% 86.6% 81.8% 83.4% 50.0% 82.9% 64.8%

Ira H. Hayes Memorial Applied Learning Center, Inc. 0.0% 0.0%

J O Combs Unified School District 87.6% 81.1% 93.8% 81.4% 91.6% 83.6% 66.7%

Mammoth-San Manuel Unified District 85.9% 87.8% 83.3% 87.0% 86.7% 84.1% 87.5%

Maricopa Unified School District 72.6% 65.4% 79.7% 56.7% 71.2% 72.7% 92.0% 73.0% 72.6% 64.7%

Mary C O'Brien Accommodation District 25.6% 12.0% 44.4% 28.6%

Pinnacle Education-Casa Grande, Inc. 25.0%

Portable Practical Educational Preparation, Inc. (PPEP, Inc.) 62.9% 52.9% 72.2% 65.4% 70.0%

Ray Unified District 88.6% 81.0% 100% 92.9% 85.7% 90.9%

Santa Cruz Valley Union High School District 77.8% 69.2% 82.6% 77.2% 83.9%

Superior Unified School District 87.9% 87.5% 85.7% 93.1%

Source: Arizona Department of Education

Pinal County High School Graduation Rates

2016 Cohort




The following several tables have been compiled on Pinal County’s out of school youth.

According to the U.S. Census, approximately 46.8% of Pinal County’s youth aged 15 to 24 are

not enrolled in school. This equates to 21,891 individuals. The percent of youth not enrolled in

school is comparable to several of Arizona’s rural counties such as Cochise, Gila, and Mohave

counties. The percentage is well above the statewide average of 38.8% and the U.S. average of

35.6%. In order to achieve the statewide average, Pinal County would need to effectively enroll

an additional 3,750 students not currently enrolled.

While not specifically reported in this table, it is apparent that the vast majority of youth not

enrolled in school are over the age of 19. The U.S. Census reports the employment status and

educational attainment of youth aged 16-19 by enrollment status. Of the 21,891 youth not

enrolled in school, only 4,777 are aged 16-19 and 57% of those not enrolled have achieved a

high school diploma or equivalency. Those not enrolled who have achieved a high school

diploma or equivalency lags many other counties in the State with the exception of Gila County

and Mohave County. The statewide average is 68% and the U.S average is 71%.

Of the 4,777 youth in Pinal County aged 16-19 not enrolled in school, 1,944 (40.7%) are

employed. The percent of unenrolled youth employed places Pinal County near the middle of

the Arizona counties and those that exceed the county are not substantially higher. The county

with the highest employment rate is Cochise County (56%). The statewide average is 46%. Of

those employed youth 67.2% have a high school degree.

736 (15.4%) unenrolled youth in Pinal County are unemployed compared to 17.4% across the

state. The U.S. average for this cohort is 16.5%.

Finally, there are 2,097 (43.9%) unenrolled youth that are reportedly not in the labor force. This

compares to 37.0% across the state and 34.5% for the U.S.




Pin

al

Co

un

ty

Ap

ach

e C

ou

nty

Co

ch

ise C

ou

nty

Co

co

nin

o C

ou

nty

Gil

a C

ou

nty

Gra

ham

Co

un

ty

Gre

en

lee C

ou

nty

La P

az C

ou

nty

Mari

co

pa C

ou

nty

Mo

have C

ou

nty

Navajo

Co

un

ty

Pim

a C

ou

nty

San

ta C

ruz C

ou

nty

Yavap

ai

Co

un

ty

Yu

ma C

ou

nty

Sta

te o

r A

rizo

na

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Total 46,767 11,322 16,184 32,932 5,566 5,810 1,298 1,990 563,480 20,551 15,165 158,577 6,906 21,948 32,698 941,194 43,869,155

Enrolled Public Schools 22,760 6,552 7,739 23,534 2,835 3,176 707 913 319,168 9,538 7,770 92,366 4,194 11,468 16,857 529,577 23,780,707

Enrolled Private Schools 2,116 272 535 898 171 197 29 55 30,470 1,265 312 7,173 305 2,384 564 46,746 4,453,227

Not enrolled in School 21,891 4,498 7,910 8,500 2,560 2,437 562 1,022 213,842 9,748 7,083 59,038 2,407 8,096 15,277 364,871 15,635,221


Population by Enrollment Status

15-24 Year Olds

Pin

al

Co

un

ty

Ap

ach

e C

ou

nty

Co

ch

ise C

ou

nty

Co

co

nin

o C

ou

nty

Gil

a C

ou

nty

Gra

ham

Co

un

ty

Gre

en

lee C

ou

nty

La P

az C

ou

nty

Mari

co

pa C

ou

nty

Mo

have C

ou

nty

Navajo

Co

un

ty

Pim

a C

ou

nty

San

ta C

ruz C

ou

nty

Yavap

ai

Co

un

ty

Yu

ma C

ou

nty

Sta

te o

r A

rizo

na

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Total 46,767 11,322 16,184 32,932 5,566 5,810 1,298 1,990 563,480 20,551 15,165 158,577 6,906 21,948 32,698 941,194 43,869,155

Enrolled Public Schools 48.7% 57.9% 47.8% 71.5% 50.9% 54.7% 54.5% 45.9% 56.6% 46.4% 51.2% 58.2% 60.7% 52.3% 51.6% 56.3% 54.2%

Enrolled Private Schools 4.5% 2.4% 3.3% 2.7% 3.1% 3.4% 2.2% 2.8% 5.4% 6.2% 2.1% 4.5% 4.4% 10.9% 1.7% 5.0% 10.2%

Not enrolled in School 46.8% 39.7% 48.9% 25.8% 46.0% 41.9% 43.3% 51.4% 38.0% 47.4% 46.7% 37.2% 34.9% 36.9% 46.7% 38.8% 35.6%


Population by Enrollment Status

15-24 Year Olds




Pin

al

Co

un

ty

Ap

ach

e C

ou

nty

Co

ch

ise C

ou

nty

Co

co

nin

o C

ou

nty

Gil

a C

ou

nty

Gra

ham

Co

un

ty

Gre

en

lee C

ou

nty

La P

az C

ou

nty

Mari

co

pa C

ou

nty

Mo

have C

ou

nty

Navajo

Co

un

ty

Pim

a C

ou

nty

San

ta C

ruz C

ou

nty

Yavap

ai

Co

un

ty

Yu

ma C

ou

nty

Sta

te o

r A

rizo

na

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Total 19,513 5,098 6,478 12,386 2,144 2,267 583 883 221,331 8,634 6,525 56,303 3,120 9,632 12,183 367,080 17,061,952

Enrolled in school 14,736 4,140 4,636 11,366 1,811 1,917 468 676 184,062 6,870 5,029 47,779 2,823 7,918 9,976 304,207 14,633,234

Employed 3,340 390 1,263 2,526 517 442 95 186 48,931 2,177 715 11,391 267 2,384 2,241 76,865 3,781,088

Unemployed 954 243 324 1,244 105 61 29 36 12,443 452 524 5,046 132 901 667 23,161 1,049,793

Not in labor force 10,442 3,507 3,049 7,596 1,189 1,414 344 454 122,688 4,241 3,790 31,342 2,424 4,633 7,068 204,181 9,802,353

Not enrolled in school 4,777 958 1,842 1,020 333 350 115 207 37,269 1,764 1,496 8,524 297 1,714 2,207 62,873 2,428,718

High school graduate/Equivalent 2,710 675 1,586 617 173 230 73 143 25,693 909 1,004 5,670 234 1,301 1,744 42,762 1,730,579

Employed 1,307 164 988 220 45 91 39 56 14,318 423 388 3,154 140 648 997 22,978 977,361

Unemployed 312 64 190 154 54 47 24 33 4,378 131 214 1,290 27 301 180 7,399 281,913

Not in labor force 1,091 447 408 243 74 92 10 54 6,997 355 402 1,226 67 352 567 12,385 471,305

Not high school graduate 2,067 283 256 403 160 120 42 64 11,576 855 492 2,854 63 413 463 20,111 698,139

Employed 637 5 42 166 28 0 15 0 3,430 319 59 711 0 142 117 5,671 212,550

Unemployed 424 30 86 46 42 23 3 38 1,927 161 99 529 0 78 73 3,559 119,282

Not in labor force 1,006 248 128 191 90 97 24 26 6,219 375 334 1,614 63 193 273 10,881 366,307


Employment Status by Educational Attaiment

16-19 Year Olds




Pin

al

Co

un

ty

Ap

ach

e C

ou

nty

Co

ch

ise C

ou

nty

Co

co

nin

o C

ou

nty

Gil

a C

ou

nty

Gra

ham

Co

un

ty

Gre

en

lee C

ou

nty

La P

az C

ou

nty

Mari

co

pa C

ou

nty

Mo

have C

ou

nty

Navajo

Co

un

ty

Pim

a C

ou

nty

San

ta C

ruz C

ou

nty

Yavap

ai

Co

un

ty

Yu

ma C

ou

nty

Sta

te o

r A

rizo

na

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Total 19,513 5,098 6,478 12,386 2,144 2,267 583 883 221,331 8,634 6,525 56,303 3,120 9,632 12,183 367,080 17,061,952

Enrolled in school 75.5% 81.2% 71.6% 91.8% 84.5% 84.6% 80.3% 76.6% 83.2% 79.6% 77.1% 84.9% 90.5% 82.2% 81.9% 82.9% 85.8%

Employed 17.1% 7.7% 19.5% 20.4% 24.1% 19.5% 16.3% 21.1% 22.1% 25.2% 11.0% 20.2% 8.6% 24.8% 18.4% 20.9% 22.2%

Unemployed 4.9% 4.8% 5.0% 10.0% 4.9% 2.7% 5.0% 4.1% 5.6% 5.2% 8.0% 9.0% 4.2% 9.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.2%

Not in labor force 53.5% 68.8% 47.1% 61.3% 55.5% 62.4% 59.0% 51.4% 55.4% 49.1% 58.1% 55.7% 77.7% 48.1% 58.0% 55.6% 57.5%

Not enrolled in school 24.5% 18.8% 28.4% 8.2% 15.5% 15.4% 19.7% 23.4% 16.8% 20.4% 22.9% 15.1% 9.5% 17.8% 18.1% 17.1% 14.2%

High school graduate/Equivalent 13.9% 13.2% 24.5% 5.0% 8.1% 10.1% 12.5% 16.2% 11.6% 10.5% 15.4% 10.1% 7.5% 13.5% 14.3% 11.6% 10.1%

Employed 6.7% 3.2% 15.3% 1.8% 2.1% 4.0% 6.7% 6.3% 6.5% 4.9% 5.9% 5.6% 4.5% 6.7% 8.2% 6.3% 5.7%

Unemployed 1.6% 1.3% 2.9% 1.2% 2.5% 2.1% 4.1% 3.7% 2.0% 1.5% 3.3% 2.3% 0.9% 3.1% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7%


Not high school graduate 10.6% 5.6% 4.0% 3.3% 7.5% 5.3% 7.2% 7.2% 5.2% 9.9% 7.5% 5.1% 2.0% 4.3% 3.8% 5.5% 4.1%

Employed 3.3% 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 2.6% 0.0% 1.5% 3.7% 0.9% 1.3% 0.0% 1.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2%

Unemployed 2.2% 0.6% 1.3% 0.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.5% 4.3% 0.9% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7%



Employment Status by Educational Attaiment

16-19 Year Olds




2.6 County Sub-Area Comparisons

Pinal County was subdivided into four sub-markets for additional review and comparison. For data collection purposes, Census block groups or Census tracts were utilized to define the boundaries of these sub-areas. The four sub-areas are referred to as regions 1 through 4 and generally described as “Region 1 - North”, “Region 2 – Central”, “Region 3 – East”, and “Region 4 – West”. The following map approximates these regions.




Over half of Pinal County’s population is currently located in the North region, followed second by the Central region with 35.6% of the population. Region 3 (Copper Corridor) and Region 4 (West) is significantly more sparse with 7.8% and 3.8% of the population, respectively. Region 3 contains even fewer children than its overall share of the population and a much higher share of persons 60 and older compared to its share of total population.

Number Number

% of

County Number

% of

County Number

% of

County Number

% of

County

Total: 397,604 210,007 52.8% 141,352 35.6% 31,059 7.8% 15,186 3.8%

Under 5 years 25,065 14,760 58.9% 7,993 31.9% 1,149 4.6% 1,163 4.6%

5 to 9 years 27,875 16,291 58.4% 8,768 31.5% 1,335 4.8% 1,481 5.3%

10 to 14 years 28,081 16,056 57.2% 9,510 33.9% 1,481 5.3% 1,034 3.7%

15 to 17 years 15,370 8,233 53.6% 5,497 35.8% 984 6.4% 656 4.3%

18 and 19 years 9,159 4,976 54.3% 3,282 35.8% 510 5.6% 391 4.3%

20 years 4,863 2,712 55.8% 1,639 33.7% 160 3.3% 352 7.2%

21 years 4,097 1,716 41.9% 2,004 48.9% 297 7.2% 80 2.0%

22 to 24 years 13,278 6,681 50.3% 5,667 42.7% 492 3.7% 438 3.3%

25 to 29 years 25,110 11,710 46.6% 11,176 44.5% 1,061 4.2% 1,163 4.6%

30 to 34 years 27,653 14,390 52.0% 10,872 39.3% 1,114 4.0% 1,277 4.6%

35 to 39 years 27,470 15,283 55.6% 9,807 35.7% 1,037 3.8% 1,343 4.9%

40 to 44 years 25,497 13,856 54.3% 9,282 36.4% 1,258 4.9% 1,101 4.3%

45 to 49 years 22,142 11,853 53.5% 7,810 35.3% 1,509 6.8% 970 4.4%

50 to 54 years 22,942 11,391 49.7% 8,827 38.5% 1,817 7.9% 907 4.0%

55 to 59 years 22,807 11,738 51.5% 8,278 36.3% 2,060 9.0% 731 3.2%

60 and 61 years 9,302 5,014 53.9% 2,887 31.0% 1,152 12.4% 249 2.7%

62 to 64 years 14,420 7,536 52.3% 4,629 32.1% 1,883 13.1% 372 2.6%

65 and 66 years 10,297 4,949 48.1% 3,482 33.8% 1,662 16.1% 204 2.0%

67 to 69 years 14,798 7,364 49.8% 5,039 34.1% 2,055 13.9% 340 2.3%

70 to 74 years 20,761 10,294 49.6% 6,674 32.1% 3,380 16.3% 413 2.0%

75 to 79 years 13,614 6,688 49.1% 4,402 32.3% 2,317 17.0% 207 1.5%

80 to 84 years 7,361 3,576 48.6% 2,289 31.1% 1,313 17.8% 183 2.5%

85 years and over 5,642 2,940 52.1% 1,538 27.3% 1,033 18.3% 131 2.3%


Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4

West

Pinal

County

Population by Age

North Central East

The following table illustrates the share of population within each region by age group. The North and West regions have relatively higher percentages of children whereas the east region has the highest presence of retirees.




Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total

Total: 397,604 210,007 141,352 31,059 15,186

Under 5 years 25,065 6.3% 14,760 7.0% 7,993 5.7% 1,149 3.7% 1,163 7.7%

5 to 9 years 27,875 7.0% 16,291 7.8% 8,768 6.2% 1,335 4.3% 1,481 9.8%

10 to 14 years 28,081 7.1% 16,056 7.6% 9,510 6.7% 1,481 4.8% 1,034 6.8%

15 to 17 years 15,370 3.9% 8,233 3.9% 5,497 3.9% 984 3.2% 656 4.3%

18 and 19 years 9,159 2.3% 4,976 2.4% 3,282 2.3% 510 1.6% 391 2.6%

20 years 4,863 1.2% 2,712 1.3% 1,639 1.2% 160 0.5% 352 2.3%

21 years 4,097 1.0% 1,716 0.8% 2,004 1.4% 297 1.0% 80 0.5%

22 to 24 years 13,278 3.3% 6,681 3.2% 5,667 4.0% 492 1.6% 438 2.9%

25 to 29 years 25,110 6.3% 11,710 5.6% 11,176 7.9% 1,061 3.4% 1,163 7.7%

30 to 34 years 27,653 7.0% 14,390 6.9% 10,872 7.7% 1,114 3.6% 1,277 8.4%

35 to 39 years 27,470 6.9% 15,283 7.3% 9,807 6.9% 1,037 3.3% 1,343 8.8%

40 to 44 years 25,497 6.4% 13,856 6.6% 9,282 6.6% 1,258 4.1% 1,101 7.3%

45 to 49 years 22,142 5.6% 11,853 5.6% 7,810 5.5% 1,509 4.9% 970 6.4%

50 to 54 years 22,942 5.8% 11,391 5.4% 8,827 6.2% 1,817 5.9% 907 6.0%

55 to 59 years 22,807 5.7% 11,738 5.6% 8,278 5.9% 2,060 6.6% 731 4.8%

60 and 61 years 9,302 2.3% 5,014 2.4% 2,887 2.0% 1,152 3.7% 249 1.6%

62 to 64 years 14,420 3.6% 7,536 3.6% 4,629 3.3% 1,883 6.1% 372 2.4%

65 and 66 years 10,297 2.6% 4,949 2.4% 3,482 2.5% 1,662 5.4% 204 1.3%

67 to 69 years 14,798 3.7% 7,364 3.5% 5,039 3.6% 2,055 6.6% 340 2.2%

70 to 74 years 20,761 5.2% 10,294 4.9% 6,674 4.7% 3,380 10.9% 413 2.7%

75 to 79 years 13,614 3.4% 6,688 3.2% 4,402 3.1% 2,317 7.5% 207 1.4%

80 to 84 years 7,361 1.9% 3,576 1.7% 2,289 1.6% 1,313 4.2% 183 1.2%

85 years and over 5,642 1.4% 2,940 1.4% 1,538 1.1% 1,033 3.3% 131 0.9%


Population by Age

Pinal CountyRegion 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4

North Central East West

The following table details educational attainment for the population 25 years and older. Compared to the County as a whole, the central and western region have higher shares of adults with less than a high school diploma. On the higher end of educational attainment, the eastern region has the highest proportion of bachelor’s graduate, and professional degrees, followed by the north region.




Population 25 years and over


% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total

Less than 9th grade 15,697 5.8% 4,460 3.2% 9,078 9.4% 975 4.0% 1,184 12.3%

9th to 12th grade, no diploma 25,000 9.3% 10,063 7.3% 11,879 12.2% 1,448 5.9% 1,610 16.8%

High school graduate (or equivalency) 78,792 29.2% 40,339 29.1% 29,820 30.7% 5,921 24.0% 2,712 28.3%

Some college, no degree 75,251 27.9% 40,900 29.5% 25,365 26.2% 6,620 26.9% 2,366 24.7%

Associate's degree 25,237 9.4% 14,219 10.3% 8,182 8.4% 2,251 9.1% 585 6.1%

Bachelor's degree 32,073 11.9% 19,164 13.8% 8,018 8.3% 3,987 16.2% 904 9.4%

Graduate or professional degree 17,766 6.6% 9,437 6.8% 4,650 4.8% 3,449 14.0% 230 2.4%



Resident Population 25+ Years Old

269,816

Region 1

138,582

Pinal CountyNorth

Region 3

East

Region 4

West

96,992 24,651 9,591

Region 2

Central




The following two tables detail the employment status of the working age population 16 years and older as well as the youth aged 16-19. Similar to population, the majority of the County’s workforce resides in the northern part of the County. The north region also has a higher labor participation rate and employment rate than the County as a whole. The west region also has a relatively higher labor participation rate. The eastern region has the lowest labor force participation rate among the four regions. In terms of youth aged 16 to 19, the central region has the highest percentage of youth enrolled in school (77.6%) while the western region has the lowest percentage enrolled (58.5%). Of those not enrolled in school, the central region has the highest percentage without a high school diploma or GED, followed by the eastern region.




Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total

Total: 311,567 160,260 113,228 26,764 11,315

In labor force: 155,847 50.0% 90,999 56.8% 47,857 42.3% 10,176 38.0% 6,815 60.2%

Civilian labor force: 155,635 50.0% 90,946 56.7% 47,753 42.2% 10,163 38.0% 6,773 59.9%

Employed 140,965 90.6% 83,405 91.7% 42,538 89.1% 9,054 89.1% 5,968 88.1%

Unemployed 14,670 9.4% 7,541 8.3% 5,215 10.9% 1,109 10.9% 805 11.9%

Armed Forces 212 0.1% 53 0.0% 104 0.1% 13 0.0% 42 0.4%

Not in labor force 155,720 50.0% 69,261 43.2% 65,371 57.7% 16,588 62.0% 4,500 39.8%


Employment Status 16 Years and Over






Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total Number

% of

Total

Total: 19,513 10,569 6,926 1,164 854

Enrolled in school: 14,736 75.5% 7,820 74.0% 5,372 77.6% 712 61.2% 500 58.5%

Employed 3,340 22.7% 1,877 24.0% 1,158 21.6% 148 20.8% 56 11.2%

Unemployed 954 6.5% 505 6.5% 317 5.9% 13 1.8% 88 17.6%

Not in labor force 10,442 70.9% 5,438 69.5% 3,897 72.5% 551 77.4% 356 71.2%

Not enrolled in school: 4,777 24.5% 2,749 26.0% 1,554 22.4% 61 5.2% 354 41.5%

High school graduate & G.E.D. 2,710 56.7% 1,739 63.3% 646 41.6% 29 47.5% 250 70.6%

Employed 1,307 48.2% 914 52.6% 282 43.7% 9 31.0% 94 37.6%

Unemployed 312 11.5% 203 11.7% 65 10.1% 0 0.0% 14 5.6%

Not in labor force 1,091 40.3% 622 35.8% 299 46.3% 20 69.0% 142 56.8%

Not high school graduate: 2,067 43.3% 1,010 36.7% 908 58.4% 32 52.5% 104 29.4%

Employed 637 30.8% 419 41.5% 204 22.5% 0 0.0% 14 13.5%

Unemployed 424 20.5% 157 15.5% 234 25.8% 11 34.4% 22 21.2%

Not in labor force 1,006 48.7% 434 43.0% 470 51.8% 21 65.6% 68 65.4%


Employment Status 16-19 Year Olds






The following tables provide details regarding where residents work and who fills the available jobs in each region. The majority of jobs in the north region and west region are filled by people living outside of the County. The central region is split evenly between jobs filled by County residents and the significant majority of jobs in the east are filled by residents in that region.

Employed in Area, Live Outside 15,209 68.1% 13,046 49.4% 2,384 29.0% 3,065 82.3%

Live in Area, Employed in Area 7,124 31.9% 13,363 50.6% 5,833 71.0% 658 17.7%

Total Jobs 22,333 26,409 8,217 3,723

Live in Area, Employed Outside 69,577 91% 25,836 66% 1,157 17% 3,287 83%

Live in Area, Employed in Area 7,124 9% 13,363 34% 5,833 83% 658 17%

Total Workforce 76,701 39,199 6,990 3,945

Source: U.S. Census OnTheMap

West

Region 4

East

Region 3

Central

Region 2

North

Region 1

Inflow/Outflow

The following tables detail where workers in each region live (left column) and where residents go to work (right column) by city or CDP (Census Designated Place).

Place Place

All Places (Cities, CDPs, etc.) 22,333 100.0% All Places (Cities, CDPs, etc.) 76,701 100.0%

Mesa city, AZ 2,407 10.8% Phoenix city, AZ 20,204 26.3%

Maricopa city, AZ 2,054 9.2% Mesa city, AZ 9,659 12.6%

San Tan Valley CDP, AZ 1,995 8.9% Tempe city, AZ 7,264 9.5%

Phoenix city, AZ 1,809 8.1% Chandler city, AZ 6,235 8.1%

Apache Junction city, AZ 1,684 7.5% Scottsdale city, AZ 4,340 5.7%

Gilbert town, AZ 1,270 5.7% Gilbert town, AZ 4,216 5.5%

Chandler city, AZ 1,233 5.5% Apache Junction city, AZ 2,486 3.2%

Casa Grande city, AZ 1,227 5.5% Tucson city, AZ 2,132 2.8%

Coolidge city, AZ 511 2.3% Maricopa city, AZ 1,501 2.0%

Gold Canyon CDP, AZ 400 1.8% Florence town, AZ 1,281 1.7%

All Other Locations 7,743 34.7% All Other Locations 17,383 22.7%


Where People Live

who Work in the Area

Where Residents of

the Area Work

Region 1 - North




Place Place


Casa Grande city, AZ 7,109 26.9% Casa Grande city, AZ 7,740 19.7%

Phoenix city, AZ 1,686 6.4% Phoenix city, AZ 7,381 18.8%

Coolidge city, AZ 1,568 5.9% Florence town, AZ 2,208 5.6%

San Tan Valley CDP, AZ 1,526 5.8% Mesa city, AZ 1,885 4.8%

Eloy city, AZ 1,418 5.4% Tucson city, AZ 1,860 4.7%

Mesa city, AZ 1,003 3.8% Tempe city, AZ 1,743 4.4%

Gilbert town, AZ 769 2.9% Chandler city, AZ 1,507 3.8%

Tucson city, AZ 701 2.7% Coolidge city, AZ 1,107 2.8%

Chandler city, AZ 697 2.6% Eloy city, AZ 1,066 2.7%

Florence town, AZ 615 2.3% Scottsdale city, AZ 1,048 2.7%



Region 2 - Central

Where People Live

that Work in the Area

Where Residents of

the Area Work

Place Place


San Manuel CDP, AZ 423 11.9% Phoenix city, AZ 1,075 15.4%

Tucson city, AZ 362 10.2% Tucson city, AZ 865 12.4%

Superior town, AZ 229 6.5% Mesa city, AZ 348 5.0%

Casas Adobes CDP, AZ 189 5.3% Oro Valley town, AZ 265 3.8%

Oro Valley town, AZ 172 4.9% Tempe city, AZ 254 3.6%

Saddlebrooke CDP, AZ 135 3.8% Mammoth town, AZ 223 3.2%

Catalina CDP, AZ 134 3.8% Scottsdale city, AZ 214 3.1%

Mesa city, AZ 126 3.6% Apache Junction city, AZ 209 3.0%

Oracle CDP, AZ 126 3.6% San Manuel CDP, AZ 193 2.8%

San Tan Valley CDP, AZ 98 2.8% Superior town, AZ 177 2.5%



Region 3 - East

Where People Live


Where Residents of

the Area Work




Place Place


Maricopa city, AZ 946 25.4% Phoenix city, AZ 850 21.5%

Casa Grande city, AZ 327 8.8% Tucson city, AZ 320 8.1%

Phoenix city, AZ 233 6.3% Tempe city, AZ 216 5.5%

Chandler city, AZ 144 3.9% Casa Grande city, AZ 190 4.8%

Mesa city, AZ 107 2.9% Mesa city, AZ 182 4.6%

Tucson city, AZ 104 2.8% Chandler city, AZ 181 4.6%

Ak-Chin Village CDP, AZ 80 2.1% Scottsdale city, AZ 159 4.0%

Gilbert town, AZ 77 2.1% Ak-Chin Village CDP, AZ 155 3.9%

Casas Adobes CDP, AZ 64 1.7% Maricopa city, AZ 124 3.1%

Avra Valley CDP, AZ 56 1.5% Marana town, AZ 82 2.1%



Region 4 - West

Where People Live


Where Residents of

the Area Work




3.0 Future Conditions

This section presents a summary of short and long term outlooks for various industries that show strong potential for growth in Pinal County.

3.1 Forecasts

The population of the Pinal County has maintained positive growth rates through the recession. Going forward, the region is forecasted to experience growth rates in the range of 2.6% to 2.9%. By 2030, the region will be home to over 600,000 people, a 50% increase over the 2015 population.

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000

600,000

650,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Population Projection - Pinal County

2015 - 2030Source: Arizona Department of Administration, Office of Employment & Population Statistics - 2015

Consistent and strong population growth, such as that expected to occur in Pinal County year after year, will create an ever growing demand for local serving industries. Occupations that serve local residents will be a reliable source to consider for those seeking employment and careers. These occupations can safely be forecasted to continue to grow and will mirror population growth.




3.2 Targeted Industries In 2007, Pinal County commissioned a study to help determine the region’s relative strengths and attributes to help direct economic development efforts. This report was completed by the Morrison Institute and included an Asset Inventory sheet. Stakeholder meetings among County officials and County departments at all levels beginning in early 2010 were held to discuss just what the County should be doing as far as attraction of jobs. Among those meetings the following items were discussed:

• July 2007 Morrison Institute report

• 2007 , 2008, 2009 and 2010 Pinal County Strategic Plans

• Pinal County transportation system – current and planned

• Current workforce education levels

• Workforce leakage

• Retail leakage

• Pinal County Comprehensive Land Plan (adopted in 2009)

• State incentive programs

• 2010 Central Arizona Regional Economic Development (Access Arizona) Business Survey

That gave rise to the decision by the County in late 2010/early 2011 to create the Top Targeted Job Sectors for focused economic development efforts. The industry sectors include the following:

1. Transportation/Logistics

2. Manufacturing

3. Health Services

4. Aerospace & Defense

5. Natural & Renewable Resources

6. *Tourism (added in 2016)

It is notable that the majority of these targeted sectors are considered base industries. Base industries are those that export their products out of a region and result in the importation of money into a region. The issue of importing dollars into a local economy is a crucial economic development concept. Once a dollar makes its way into the region, it flows from person to person as demanded products and services are supplied. Eventually some money leaves the local economy when products (and some services) are provided by companies outside of the County. This is natural




leakage and cannot be avoided. In order to compensate for these outgoing dollars an economy must be internally productive and export products beyond its borders and attract dollars from other areas. The region’s base industries serve this purpose. Examples of base industries include the manufacturing sector (including aerospace and defense), export-related business services, tourism, retirement, and federal government employment. Base industry companies also tend to be more capital intensive, and/or utilize skilled labor (not in every case, i.e. tourism, federal government). As local capital investment improves, and as more highly skilled workers are employed, productivity increases. This also leads to higher incomes and a higher standard of living for employees in these industries. The County’s local serving industries provide goods and services to the local population. Activities include most retail operations, construction, and local service banks, to name a few. The existence of base industries creates demand for these local serving industries. Without base industries, there is no means of supporting local serving employees. The County’s targeted sectors were chosen to diversify the County’s economy away from being too dependent on current industries such as mining or agriculture. Additionally, well-paying jobs would also allow many Pinal County residents, the significant portion of the labor force that currently commutes into neighboring counties for work, an opportunity to work closer to home. The targeted sectors are not narrowly defined which allows for a multitude of business types to be considered and recruited. It also presents somewhat of a challenge to workforce development, considering the numerous and varied occupations within industries in these target sectors. The following sections briefly discuss possible industries and occupations that could be considered for each sector. Information was gathered from both Pinal County and the Greater Phoenix metro. Due to the fact that these are industries that may not currently have a strong presence in Pinal County yet, regional data helps to consider all potential opportunities. New Sectors

As illustrated in the previous list, in recent years Pinal County made the decision to add “Tourism” to its list of targeted sectors. Additionally, the County has placed a strong emphasis on “high tech” companies and sub-sectors within each of the targeted sectors above. High tech industries, sometimes also referred to as “advanced industries”, are an important and noteworthy focus for Pinal County. These industries are characterized by a deep involvement with technology research and development and STEM (science, technology, engineering and math) workers which pay significantly above average wages. They also typically have an outsized economic impact per employee due to the use of technology and automation. The tech sector employs 80% of the nations engineers, performs 90% of private sector R&D, generates an estimated 85% of all U.S. patents, and accounts for 60% of U.S. exports. These industries also support an extensive




supply chain network which creates more jobs through its ripple effects throughout the economy. The industries that encompass this “tech” sector overlap many traditional industries but are mostly concentrated in manufacturing, energy and services sectors. The introduction of a “high tech” focus will be addressed in each of the targeted sector analyses, with the exception of tourism.

Using Regional Statistics

The following statistics include data from the Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale MSA, also known as Greater Phoenix, which is comprised of Maricopa County and Pinal County. This two-county region is utilized due to its sufficient size as an employment base and its diversity of industries from which to collect reliable data. Data for Pinal County only has also been assembled for each of the targeted sectors. This data will help illustrate the current opportunities and expected wages for those seeking work within the County. It is expected that Pinal County will continue to grow its employment base and diversity over time. The Greater Phoenix metropolitan statistical area is an appropriate proxy to analyze in-demand industries. Additionally, most of the Pinal County workforce currently commutes into Maricopa County and will continue to find employment opportunities there for many years to come. Reviewing in-demand occupations within in-demand industries at both the county and the regional level provides Arizona@Work staff and job-seekers the appropriate information in terms of current opportunities and expected wages within a reasonable driving distance to their place of residence.

3.2.1 Transportation & Logistics

Based on the current and future transportation network in the region, Transportation industries could include most forms within Pinal County, be it air transportation (air & express delivery), rail transportation (freight rail), or ground transportation (trucking). Logistics includes many service based industries as well as physical assets such as warehouse facilities. Logistics services could include the following:

Fleet Management

Warehousing

Materials Handling

Order Fulfillment

Logistics

Network Design

Inventory Management

Third Party Logistics Management

Supply & Demand Planning




The following tables display the top 25 occupations within the transportation and logistics industry in Greater Phoenix and Pinal County separately. These occupations are ranked by their percentage of jobs that comprise the industry. For example, in Greater Phoenix truck drivers make up 18.2% of total jobs in the transportation industry regionally. The top 25 occupations in this industry cumulatively represent 83.7% of all jobs in the industry. The total change and percent change of the top occupations in the transportation and logistics industry from 2012 to 2017 have also been displayed. In Greater Phoenix, nearly every occupation in the industry experienced growth over the last five years, with the exception of couriers and messengers. In addition, median hourly earnings for each occupation are listed. Earnings among top occupations range from a low of $8.38 (taxi drivers) up to $42.07 (airline pilots, copilots, & flight engineers). Pinal County has a much smaller but solid base of employment in transportation and logistics.

The County’s occupations in this industry have a much higher concentration of drivers of various

types (heavy and tractor trailer truck, taxi, light truck, delivery, bus, transit, etc.). Wages are also

more modest across occupations compared to the metro averages.




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 14,864 17,761 2,897 19% 18.2% $18.03

53-3041 Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs 3,680 13,701 10,021 272% 14.1% $8.38

53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 7,577 9,398 1,821 24% 9.6% $13.20

53-3033 Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers 4,047 5,362 1,315 32% 5.5% $14.15

43-4181 Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks 3,368 3,431 63 2% 3.5% $17.38

53-2031 Flight Attendants 3,165 3,214 49 2% 3.3% $30.97

53-2011 Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers 2,982 3,024 42 1% 3.1% $42.07

43-5021 Couriers and Messengers 2,777 2,496 (281) (10%) 2.6% $12.82

49-3011 Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians 2,076 2,431 355 17% 2.5% $29.04

53-3021 Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity 1,817 2,321 504 28% 2.4% $20.29

53-3022 Bus Drivers, School or Special Client 1,089 2,271 1,182 109% 2.3% $14.60

53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 1,591 1,973 382 24% 2.0% $15.40

43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 1,466 1,830 364 25% 1.9% $15.17

43-5032 Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance 1,273 1,651 378 30% 1.7% $17.17

11-9199 Managers, All Other 1,238 1,375 137 11% 1.4% $16.56

49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 1,032 1,197 165 16% 1.2% $19.16

43-9061 Office Clerks, General 883 1,047 164 19% 1.1% $15.78

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 872 1,030 158 18% 1.1% $23.55

43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 834 1,013 179 21% 1.0% $11.59

53-1031 First-Line Supervisors of Transportation, Material-Moving Machine & Vehicle Operators 797 978 181 23% 1.0% $23.80

11-1021 General and Operations Managers 752 944 192 26% 1.0% $40.49

53-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 701 863 162 23% 0.9% $21.55

11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 686 786 100 15% 0.8% $30.57

53-7064 Packers and Packagers, Hand 667 759 92 14% 0.8% $9.78

41-3099 Sales Representatives, Services, All Other 648 754 106 16% 0.8% $21.34

Source: EMSI; U.S. BLS

Top 25 Occupations - Greater Phoenix

Transportation & Logistics




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 623 784 161 26% 30.0% $16.58

53-3041 Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs 92 534 442 480% 20.5% $8.27

53-3033 Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers 128 159 31 24% 6.1% $12.71

43-5021 Couriers and Messengers 172 159 (13) (8%) 6.1% $11.38

53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 83 105 22 27% 4.0% $12.90

53-3022 Bus Drivers, School or Special Client 45 101 56 124% 3.9% $14.09

11-9199 Managers, All Other 73 73 0 0% 2.8% $14.38

43-5032 Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance 24 34 10 42% 1.3% $16.33

53-3021 Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity 18 31 13 72% 1.2% $19.43

53-1048 First-line Supervisors of Transportation & Material Moving Workers 22 29 7 32% 1.1% $20.36

43-5052 Postal Service Mail Carriers <10 26 22 550% 1.0% $23.71

43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 24 21 (3) (13%) 0.8% $14.79

53-4031 Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters 25 20 (5) (20%) 0.8% $24.78

53-5021 Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels <10 19 12 171% 0.7% $34.24

43-6014 Secretaries & Administrative Assistants 14 18 4 29% 0.7% $14.51

13-1111 Management Analysts 12 18 6 50% 0.7% $24.74

43-9061 Office Clerks, General 15 18 3 20% 0.7% $14.98


53-4011 Locomotive Engineers 23 17 (6) (26%) 0.7% $27.72

49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 13 17 4 31% 0.6% $16.88

53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 12 16 4 33% 0.6% $16.32

11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 17 15 (2) (12%) 0.6% $28.30

53-2012 Commercial Pilots 10 14 4 40% 0.5% $31.29

53-2011 Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers 14 14 0 0% 0.5% $37.75



Top 25 Occupations - Pinal County





As the previous table illustrated, there are a wide range of potential occupations within the transportation and logistics industry. In total, 467 different occupations were identified within this single industry. The following tables display various education and skills requirements for occupations within the industry. The tables are sorted first by educational requirement. In addition to education, both work experience and training requirements have been detailed. A significant number of occupations within the transportation and logistics industry do not require a college education. Over 28% of jobs in the industry do not require any formal educational requirement. These positions also don’t require any previous work experience, though on-the-job training would be needed. The tables also illustrate that more technical positions are reserved for individuals with higher educational achievement. Those jobs requiring a high school diploma have a higher rate of previous work experience and longer-term training on the job. The jobs requiring college education have lower rates of on-the-job training, which suggests the educational training received is the skill sought by the employer, such as finance, engineering, sciences, etc.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More

No formal educational credential 28.0% 28.0% 0.0%

High school diploma or equivalent 40.5% 32.3% 7.4% 0.8%

Postsecondary nondegree award 21.1% 21.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Some college, no degree 0.6% 0.6%

Associate's degree 0.4% 0.4% 0.003%

Bachelor's degree 9.3% 2.08% 5.64% 1.56%

Master's degree 0.03% 0.02% 0.00001% 0.01%

Doctoral or professional degree 0.04% 0.04% 0.00001%

Grand Total 100.0% 84.5% 13.1% 2.4%Source: EMSI; Elliott D. Pollack & Company

Education & Skills Requirements


Education

Requirements% of Total

Occupations

Work Experience Requirement




None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-the-

job training

Long-

term on-

the-job

training Apprenticeship

Internship/

Residency


High school diploma or equivalent 40.5% 4.7% 22.4% 11.6% 1.6% 0.1%

Postsecondary nondegree award 21.1% 2.6% 18.4% 0.005% 0.05%

Some college, no degree 0.6% 0.1% 0.01% 0.5% 0.0001%

Associate's degree 0.4% 0.4% 0.002% 0.0% 0.04%

Bachelor's degree 9.3% 5.9% 0.01% 3.4% 0.02% 0.01%

Master's degree 0.0% 0.02% 0.003%

Doctoral or professional degree 0.0% 0.04% 0.0% 0.003%

Grand Total 100.0% 13.8% 68.8% 15.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%

Source: EMSI; Elliott D. Pollack & Company


Education


Occupations

Training Requirement


Advanced Transportation & Logistics

A smaller subset of transportation and logistics sectors were selected that best represent what could be considered “high tech” portions of the overall industry. Of the 57 sectors that comprise the transportation and logistics industry, 17 sectors were chosen based on the type of business activity conducted. This includes air transportation, specialized freight transportation, mixed mode transit, pipeline transportation, navigational services, and process, physical distribution, and logistics consulting services (a complete list is provided in Appendix 3 of this report). As the following table of the top 25 occupations illustrate, advanced transportation and logistics positions command much higher wages. The weighted average wage (weighted by the percentage of each occupation representing the industry as a whole) of the top 25 occupations in advanced transportation and logistics is 46% higher than the top 25 occupations in the broader transportation and logistics industry.




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings





53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,734 2,110 376 22% 8.8% $18.03

53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 1,242 1,372 130 10% 5.7% $13.20

43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 512 572 60 12% 2.4% $15.17

13-1111 Management Analysts 404 395 (9) (2%) 1.7% $26.41

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office & Administrative Support Workers 366 388 22 6% 1.6% $23.55

53-6099 Transportation Workers, All Other 345 357 12 3% 1.5% $13.64



43-5011 Cargo and Freight Agents 236 244 8 3% 1.0% $22.01

49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 188 220 32 17% 0.9% $26.55

43-9061 Office Clerks, General 181 204 23 13% 0.9% $15.78

49-2091 Avionics Technicians 146 181 35 24% 0.8% $28.31


49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 135 159 24 18% 0.7% $19.16


43-5032 Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance 128 157 29 23% 0.7% $17.17

53-3033 Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers 126 150 24 19% 0.6% $14.15

43-6014 Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, & Executive 129 145 16 12% 0.6% $16.18

43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 128 139 11 9% 0.6% $11.59

53-7061 Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment 122 134 12 10% 0.6% $10.23

11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 112 125 13 12% 0.5% $30.57







SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings


13-1111 Management Analysts 10 15 5 50% 7.1% $24.74



49-3011 Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians 68 10 (58) (85%) 4.7% $26.40

25-1099 Postsecondary Teachers <10 <10 1 Insf. Data 0.4% $24.29

49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists <10 <10 1 100% 0.9% $16.88

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers <10 <10 (1) (100%) 0.2% $21.35

49-9099 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers, All Other <10 <10 (2) (100%) 0.2% $13.55

49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General <10 <10 (3) (75%) 0.3% $15.26

25-3097 Teachers and Instructors, All Other <10 <10 1 Insf. Data 0.4% $15.55

49-3042 Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines <10 <10 (1) (100%) 0.1% $21.24

49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics <10 <10 (1) (100%) 0.2% $20.15

49-9043 Maintenance Workers, Machinery <10 <10 (5) (100%) 0.2% $17.25

51-8092 Gas Plant Operators <10 <10 0 0% 0.5% $27.82

39-6011 Baggage Porters and Bellhops 12 <10 (11) (92%) 0.3% $10.65

51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers <10 <10 (2) (67%) 0.3% $17.77

15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts <10 <10 0 0% 0.2% $34.51

53-2031 Flight Attendants <10 <10 1 Insf. Data 0.6% $28.56

53-3031 Driver/Sales Workers <10 <10 0 0% 0.3% $12.23

53-3033 Light Truck or Delivery Services Drivers <10 <10 0 0% 2.1% $12.71

53-3041 Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs <10 <10 1 100% 1.0% $8.27

53-1048 First-line Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers <10 <10 (1) (33%) 1.1% $20.36

53-1011 Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors <10 <10 (2) (100%) 0.2% $20.63

17-2199 Engineers, All Other <10 <10 0 0% 0.3% $31.78







The following tables display various education and skills requirements for occupations within the industry. The tables are sorted first by educational requirement. In addition to education, both work experience and training requirements have been detailed.

In sharp contrast to the broader industry, advanced transportation and logistics sectors require more education to qualify. Only 7.8% of the positions do not require any formal educational requirement versus over 28% of jobs in the broader industry. Nearly 22% of the occupations within the advanced sub-sectors require a bachelor’s degree versus only 9.3% across the entire transportation and logistics industry.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More



Postsecondary nondegree award 18.9% 18.9% 0.02%


Associate's degree 1.3% 1.3%


Master's degree 0.1% 0.07% 0.02%

Doctoral or professional degree 0.1% 0.1%

Grand Total 100.0% 64.0% 33.4% 2.5%




Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency




Some college, no degree 0.5% 0.1% 0.01% 0.4%





Grand Total 100.0% 24.8% 40.1% 33.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%



Education


Occupations






3.2.2 Manufacturing

Manufacturing covers a wide range of potential businesses and make up a significant portion of all industry classifications. Manufacturing can include food & beverage, textiles, wood products, printing, petroleum, chemicals, plastics, metals, machinery, electronics, transportation equipment, and many others. As illustrated previously, Pinal County already has an established manufacturing base, including nonmetallic mineral products, chemicals, food products, primary metals, wood products, plastics & rubber, and others. In addition, there are many Pinal County residents currently employed in the manufacturing industry commuting out of the county for work. The following tables display the top 25 occupations within the manufacturing industry across Greater Phoenix and Pinal County. A total of 549 separate occupations can be found within the manufacturing industry. For Greater Phoenix, the top 25 occupations in this industry cumulatively represent 43.3% of all jobs in the industry. In Pinal County, the top 25 occupations comprise 48.7% of the industry. The total change and percent change of the top occupations in the manufacturing industry from 2012 to 2017 have also been displayed. In addition, median hourly earnings for each occupation are listed. Earnings in Greater Phoenix among top occupations range from a low of $12.33 (Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders) up to $44.52 (Software Developers, Systems Software). In Pinal County, wages are slightly lower.




SOC Description

Employed in

Industry

(2012)

Employed in

Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012 - 2017)

% Change

(2012 - 2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 4,190 4,594 404 10% 3.5% $24.06

51-2092 Team Assemblers 4,216 4,452 236 6% 3.4% $13.07

51-4041 Machinists 3,533 3,862 329 9% 3.0% $19.88

51-2022 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers 4,177 3,523 (654) (16%) 2.7% $17.77

51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 3,224 3,226 2 0% 2.5% $19.47

41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale & Manufacturing, Except Technical & Scientific Products 2,310 2,568 258 11% 2.0% $23.30


11-1021 General and Operations Managers 2,333 2,499 166 7% 1.9% $40.49

11-9199 Managers, All Other 2,050 2,353 303 15% 1.8% $16.56

51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 2,090 2,298 208 10% 1.8% $17.29


17-2112 Industrial Engineers 2,239 2,150 (89) (4%) 1.6% $42.35

17-2072 Electronics Engineers, Except Computer 2,405 2,062 (343) (14%) 1.6% $38.04

43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 1,768 1,802 34 2% 1.4% $20.10

51-2099 Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other 1,472 1,672 200 14% 1.3% $12.88

11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 1,496 1,588 92 6% 1.2% $39.17

51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 1,292 1,567 275 21% 1.2% $12.33

43-5071 Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks 1,487 1,564 77 5% 1.2% $14.42

49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 1,366 1,505 139 10% 1.2% $16.49

15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 1,723 1,446 (277) (16%) 1.1% $44.52

53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,185 1,444 259 22% 1.1% $18.03

53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 1,220 1,437 217 18% 1.1% $15.40

17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 1,508 1,434 (74) (5%) 1.1% $27.06

51-5112 Printing Press Operators 1,277 1,386 109 9% 1.1% $16.42

43-9061 Office Clerks, General 1,237 1,322 85 7% 1.0% $15.78



Manufacturing




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

51-3092 Food Batchmakers 107 162 55 51% 3.8% $12.23

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 133 158 25 19% 3.7% $21.35

51-2098 Assemblers & Fabricators, All Other, Including Team Assemblers 134 148 14 10% 3.5% $13.11


51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 109 108 (1) (1%) 2.5% $12.47

51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 70 94 24 34% 2.2% $17.77

53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 87 93 6 7% 2.2% $12.90


41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing 77 89 12 16% 2.1% $19.30


53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 73 81 8 11% 1.9% $16.32

51-9023 Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 63 80 17 27% 1.9% $14.06


51-4041 Machinists 44 65 21 48% 1.5% $16.91

49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 60 63 3 5% 1.5% $15.26

11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 53 62 9 17% 1.5% $34.65

51-9041 Extruding, Forming, Pressing, Compacting Machine Setters, Operators, & Tenders 47 60 13 28% 1.4% $14.24

51-2028 Electrical, Electronic, and Electromechanical Assemblers 46 58 12 26% 1.4% $15.99

51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 43 57 14 33% 1.3% $15.33

43-5071 Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks 47 55 8 17% 1.3% $14.14

15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 47 54 7 15% 1.3% $38.95

43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 36 49 13 36% 1.2% $18.34

53-7064 Packers and Packagers, Hand 61 48 (13) (21%) 1.1% $11.74

17-2112 Industrial Engineers 35 47 12 34% 1.1% $36.45

49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 44 47 3 7% 1.1% $20.15



Manufacturing




A significant number of occupations within the industry require at least a high school diploma (55.9%). Less than 10% of jobs in the industry do not require any formal educational requirement, while 26.5% require a bachelor’s degree. The tables also illustrate that this industry requires a significant amount of on-the-job training. Approximately 75% of occupations requiring a high school diploma also require moderate to long term on-the-job training. Longer training requirements help build a qualified workforce and tend to payer higher wages.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More







Master's degree 0.1% 0.06%


Grand Total 100.0% 84.1% 9.0% 6.5%



Manufacturing

Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency

No formal educational credential 9.3% 7.9% 0.5% 0.8%




Associate's degree 4.0% 3.8% 0.01% 0.2%




Grand Total 100.0% 34.9% 17.3% 40.0% 6.3% 1.0% 0.0%


Manufacturing

Education


Occupations






Advanced Manufacturing

A smaller subset of manufacturing sectors were selected that best represent what could be considered “high tech” portions of the overall industry. In 2015, the Brookings Institute identified 50 industries in the United States that they defined as “high tech”. Out of the 50 industries, 35 were in the manufacturing industry. This report utilizes those 35 manufacturing sectors to illustrate advanced manufacturing. They include aerospace products and parts, motor vehicles, bodies, trailers, and parts, communications equipment, basic chemicals, engines, turbines, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and many others. As the following table of the top 25 occupations illustrate, advanced manufacturing positions command much higher wages. The weighted average wage of the top 25 occupations in advanced manufacturing is 32% higher than the top 25 occupations in the broader manufacturing industry. It is interesting to note that many occupations within the advanced manufacturing sector in Greater Phoenix have declined over the last 5 years. The reasons for this decline are unclear, though workforce specialists should exercise caution in this area until sufficient new demand for these positions is identified through business expansion or new businesses recruitment.




SOC Description

Employed in

Industry

(2012)

Employed in

Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

51-2022 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers 4,142 3,477 (665) (16%) 5.2% $17.77

51-2092 Team Assemblers 2,492 2,434 (58) (2%) 3.6% $13.07

17-2072 Electronics Engineers, Except Computer 2,396 2,051 (345) (14%) 3.1% $38.04

51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 2,191 2,036 (155) (7%) 3.0% $19.47

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 1,951 1,917 (34) (2%) 2.9% $24.06

17-2112 Industrial Engineers 1,906 1,769 (137) (7%) 2.6% $42.35

51-4041 Machinists 1,621 1,655 34 2% 2.5% $19.88

15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 1,706 1,426 (280) (16%) 2.1% $44.52

51-9141 Semiconductor Processors 1,477 1,231 (246) (17%) 1.8% $16.34

17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 1,325 1,211 (114) (9%) 1.8% $27.06

17-3023 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians 1,469 1,195 (274) (19%) 1.8% $30.89

17-2011 Aerospace Engineers 1,290 1,137 (153) (12%) 1.7% $45.01

43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 1,184 1,107 (77) (7%) 1.6% $20.10

11-1021 General and Operations Managers 1,170 1,102 (68) (6%) 1.6% $40.49

17-2071 Electrical Engineers 1,304 1,093 (211) (16%) 1.6% $50.97

15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 1,182 1,011 (171) (14%) 1.5% $42.70


17-2141 Mechanical Engineers 1,078 981 (97) (9%) 1.5% $41.14


11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 1,067 928 (139) (13%) 1.4% $60.21


41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale & Manufacturing, Except Technical & Scientific Products 854 862 8 1% 1.3% $23.30

11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 875 831 (44) (5%) 1.2% $39.17

13-1023 Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products 924 827 (97) (10%) 1.2% $27.35

51-2099 Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other 782 815 33 4% 1.2% $12.88







SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings








17-2072 Electronics Engineers, Except Computer 21 32 11 52% 2.0% $33.87


41-4011 Sales Representatives, Wholesale, Manufacturing, Technical & Scientific Products 24 32 8 33% 1.9% $26.38


41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale & Manufacturing, Except Technical & Scientific Products 24 28 4 17% 1.7% $19.30

17-2071 Electrical Engineers 24 28 4 17% 1.7% $42.41

51-4041 Machinists 23 27 4 17% 1.6% $16.91

11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 22 25 3 14% 1.5% $34.65

51-9071 Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers 14 23 9 64% 1.4% $11.27

15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 16 23 7 44% 1.4% $34.77

17-2141 Mechanical Engineers 19 22 3 16% 1.3% $34.12

11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 17 22 5 29% 1.3% $49.28

43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 18 22 4 22% 1.3% $18.34

17-2011 Aerospace Engineers 14 22 8 57% 1.3% $41.49

17-3023 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians 20 20 0 0% 1.2% $26.56

17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 17 19 2 12% 1.2% $24.55

49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 19 18 (1) (5%) 1.1% $15.26

17-2199 Engineers, All Other 10 18 8 80% 1.1% $31.78







Compared to the broader industry, advanced manufacturing sectors require more education to qualify. Only 2.9% of the positions do not require any formal educational requirement versus over 9.3% of jobs in the broader industry. Nearly 39% of the occupations within the advanced manufacturing sub-sectors require a bachelor’s degree versus 26.5% across the entire industry.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More

No formal educational credential 2.9% 2.9%








Grand Total 100.0% 83.8% 8.3% 7.6%




Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency









Grand Total 100.0% 48.0% 8.8% 37.2% 5.1% 0.5% 0.1%



Education


Occupations






3.2.3 Health Services

The health services industry is another sector with a wide variety of sub-industries. In addition, this industry contains businesses that could serve Pinal County’s rapidly growing local / regional population or be considered an export based company. Health services could include the following:

Ambulatory

Hospitals

Nursing & Residential Care Facilities

Social Assistance

Pharmaceuticals

Biotech

The following tables display the top 25 occupations within the health services industry across Greater Phoenix and Pinal County. A total of 573 separate occupations can be found within the health care field. The top 25 occupations in this industry in Greater Phoenix cumulatively represent 61.9% of all jobs in the industry. Similarly in Pinal County, the top 25 occupations represent 62.4% of the industry. The total change and percent change of the top occupations in health services from 2012 to 2017 have also been displayed. In addition, median hourly earnings for each occupation are listed. Earnings among top occupations in Greater Phoenix range from a low of $7.70 (childcare workers) up to $85.53 (physicians & surgeons). Registered nurses comprise most of the industry (11.2%).




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

29-1141 Registered Nurses 29,196 34,054 4,858 17% 11.2% $35.56

39-9021 Personal Care Aides 21,300 30,906 9,606 45% 10.2% $10.69

31-1011 Home Health Aides 11,527 13,229 1,702 15% 4.3% $11.40

31-9092 Medical Assistants 9,858 11,806 1,948 20% 3.9% $15.46

39-9011 Childcare Workers 11,249 10,797 (452) (4%) 3.5% $7.70

43-6013 Medical Secretaries 8,280 9,608 1,328 16% 3.2% $15.71

31-1014 Nursing Assistants 7,821 8,893 1,072 14% 2.9% $14.27

43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 5,741 6,643 902 16% 2.2% $13.77

29-1069 Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 4,522 5,022 500 11% 1.7% $85.53

11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 4,051 4,887 836 21% 1.6% $41.77

31-9091 Dental Assistants 4,003 4,481 478 12% 1.5% $18.83


19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 3,733 4,233 500 13% 1.4% $32.96

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 3,408 4,061 653 19% 1.3% $23.55

29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 3,298 4,012 714 22% 1.3% $25.02

43-3021 Billing and Posting Clerks 3,218 3,768 550 17% 1.2% $17.31

25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 3,006 3,449 443 15% 1.1% $11.64


43-6014 Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, & Executive 2,814 3,211 397 14% 1.1% $16.18

21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 2,539 3,066 527 21% 1.0% $18.98

21-1093 Social and Human Service Assistants 2,212 2,990 778 35% 1.0% $13.59

29-2099 Health Technologists and Technicians, All Other 2,411 2,949 538 22% 1.0% $19.16

29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 2,435 2,884 449 18% 0.9% $17.35

29-1021 Dentists, General 2,378 2,859 481 20% 0.9% $81.01

29-2011 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists 2,376 2,776 400 17% 0.9% $27.54



Health Services




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

29-1141 Registered Nurses 967 1,018 51 5% 11.7% $32.97

39-9011 Childcare Workers 946 726 (220) (23%) 8.3% $6.85

39-9021 Personal Care Aides 304 653 349 115% 7.5% $10.33

31-1011 Home Health Aides 288 302 14 5% 3.5% $10.94

31-1014 Nursing Assistants 228 271 43 19% 3.1% $13.24

31-9092 Medical Assistants 201 215 14 7% 2.5% $13.92

43-6013 Medical Secretaries 190 200 10 5% 2.3% $15.33

25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 136 180 44 32% 2.1% $13.16

19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 152 174 22 14% 2.0% $31.85

43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 136 150 14 10% 1.7% $13.51

11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 119 149 30 25% 1.7% $37.79

29-1069 Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 125 130 5 4% 1.5% $97.54

31-9091 Dental Assistants 103 128 25 24% 1.5% $18.07

21-1018 Substance Abuse, Behavioral Disorder, & Mental Health Counselors 115 126 11 10% 1.4% $18.02

29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 93 119 26 28% 1.4% $23.07

43-9061 Office Clerks, General 111 110 (1) (1%) 1.3% $14.98

29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians 33 99 66 200% 1.1% $15.84

29-1021 Dentists, General 60 95 35 58% 1.1% $59.32

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 82 91 9 11% 1.0% $21.41

29-2018 Clinical Laboratory Technologists and Technicians 98 89 (9) (9%) 1.0% $27.23

21-1093 Social and Human Service Assistants 83 87 4 5% 1.0% $13.52

43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 86 85 (1) (1%) 1.0% $14.51

43-3021 Billing and Posting Clerks 85 80 (5) (6%) 0.9% $16.14


25-9041 Teacher Assistants 60 76 16 27% 0.9% $11.28



Health Services




The following tables display various education and skills requirements for occupations within the health services industry. A significant number of occupations require at least a high school diploma (96.4%), meaning less than 3.5% of total jobs in the industry do not require any formal educational requirement. Beyond a high school diploma, 14.6% of occupations require a postsecondary nondegree award, and 22.0% require a bachelor’s degree. This sector also has a relatively high percentage of advanced degree earners, with 5.5% requiring a master’s degree and 8.6% requiring a doctoral or professional degree. Both work experience and on-the-job training are relatively light as many of the occupations rely on the educational training earned by the employee.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More







Master's degree 5.5% 5.4% 0.002% 0.1%


Grand Total 100.0% 92.2% 6.2% 1.5%



Health Services

Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency









Grand Total 100.0% 51.3% 32.2% 7.7% 0.3% 0.0% 8.4%


Health Services

Education


Occupations






Advanced Health Services

A smaller subset of health sectors was selected that best represent what could be considered “high tech” portions of the overall industry. Of the 47 sectors that comprise the health services industry, 26 sectors were chosen based on the type of business activity conducted. This includes medicinal and botanical manufacturing, pharmaceutical preparation, in-vitro diagnostics substances, medical laboratories, research and development, and hospitals, among others (a complete list is provided in Appendix 3 of this report). As the following table of the top 25 occupations illustrate, advanced health services positions command much higher wages. The weighted average wage of the top 25 occupations in advanced transportation and logistics is nearly 30% higher than the top 25 occupations in the broader health industry.




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

29-1141 Registered Nurses 20,563 23,412 2,849 14% 23.9% $35.56

31-1014 Nursing Assistants 2,545 2,798 253 10% 2.9% $14.27

43-6013 Medical Secretaries 2,165 2,481 316 15% 2.5% $15.71

29-2011 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists 2,015 2,281 266 13% 2.3% $27.54

11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 1,847 2,079 232 13% 2.1% $41.77

31-9092 Medical Assistants 1,657 1,958 301 18% 2.0% $15.46


29-2099 Health Technologists and Technicians, All Other 1,404 1,697 293 21% 1.7% $19.16

29-2034 Radiologic Technologists 1,488 1,626 138 9% 1.7% $31.51

29-2012 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 1,320 1,492 172 13% 1.5% $19.34

29-1131 Veterinarians 1,082 1,391 309 29% 1.4% $38.04

43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 1,119 1,339 220 20% 1.4% $13.77

29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 1,177 1,337 160 14% 1.4% $17.35

29-1126 Respiratory Therapists 1,192 1,334 142 12% 1.4% $27.43

21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 1,130 1,320 190 17% 1.3% $18.98

31-9096 Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal Caretakers 949 1,269 320 34% 1.3% $12.26

29-1069 Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 1,094 1,193 99 9% 1.2% $85.53


29-2055 Surgical Technologists 960 1,087 127 13% 1.1% $25.21

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office & Administrative Support Workers 925 1,082 157 17% 1.1% $23.55

29-2056 Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 782 1,045 263 34% 1.1% $15.85

29-2052 Pharmacy Technicians 872 980 108 12% 1.0% $15.47


29-1051 Pharmacists 813 911 98 12% 0.9% $59.00

43-3021 Billing and Posting Clerks 756 867 111 15% 0.9% $17.31







SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

29-1141 Registered Nurses 818 830 12 1% 25.3% $32.97

31-1014 Nursing Assistants 113 106 (7) (6%) 3.2% $13.24

43-6013 Medical Secretaries 73 78 5 7% 2.4% $15.33

11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 70 77 7 10% 2.4% $37.79

29-2018 Clinical Laboratory Technologists and Technicians 83 76 (7) (8%) 2.3% $27.23

29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians 18 74 56 311% 2.3% $15.84

31-9092 Medical Assistants 48 62 14 29% 1.9% $13.92

29-1069 Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 44 51 7 16% 1.6% $97.54

31-9096 Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal Caretakers 34 50 16 47% 1.5% $12.33


29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 47 49 2 4% 1.5% $15.92

29-2034 Radiologic Technologists 48 46 (2) (4%) 1.4% $28.80

29-1126 Respiratory Therapists 44 42 (2) (5%) 1.3% $25.00

29-1131 Veterinarians 37 42 5 14% 1.3% $39.36

29-1051 Pharmacists 37 41 4 11% 1.3% $55.47

29-2052 Pharmacy Technicians 38 40 2 5% 1.2% $14.32

29-2099 Health Technologists and Technicians, All Other 29 40 11 38% 1.2% $18.76

43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 32 39 7 22% 1.2% $13.51

43-9061 Office Clerks, General 46 39 (7) (15%) 1.2% $14.98

21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 30 37 7 23% 1.1% $16.85

29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 42 36 (6) (14%) 1.1% $23.07

37-2012 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 42 36 (6) (14%) 1.1% $10.18

29-2055 Surgical Technologists 34 34 0 0% 1.0% $22.40

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 30 33 3 10% 1.0% $21.41

43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 32 29 (3) (9%) 0.9% $14.51







Compared to the broader industry, advanced health services require even more education to qualify. Nearly 40% of the occupations within the advanced health services sub-sectors require a bachelor’s degree versus 22% across the entire industry.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More







Master's degree 3.6% 3.5% 0.005% 0.0%


Grand Total 100.0% 90.5% 7.1% 2.2%




Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency

No formal educational credential 3.4% 0.00% 3.4% 0.04% 0.01%








Grand Total 100.0% 68.3% 15.3% 11.3% 0.4% 0.1% 4.4%Source: EMSI; Elliott D. Pollack & Company


Education


Occupations






3.2.4 Aerospace/Defense

Pinal County has existing assets available to the aerospace and defense industry, such as Pinal

Airpark. The airpark is home to companies that store, maintain, and salvage commercial aircraft

such as Ascent Aerospace Solutions. In addition, there are training facilities for paratroopers

and helicopter pilots.

Future companies within this sector could include the following:

Large Civil Aircraft

Rotorcraft

Commercial Space

General Aviation

Engines

Unmanned Aircraft Systems

Arms Producing Companies

Alternative Aviation Fuels

Supply Chain

Military

The following table displays the top 25 occupations within the aerospace and defense industry

across Greater Phoenix as well as Pinal County. A total of 365 separate occupations can be

found within the aerospace and defense sector. The top 25 occupations in this industry

cumulatively represent 72.4% of all jobs in the industry within Greater Phoenix but only 55.6%

of the industry within Pinal County.

The total change and percent change of the top occupations in aerospace and defense from

2012 to 2017 have also been displayed. In Greater Phoenix, outside of the top six occupations

in the industry which have all experienced growth over the last 5 years, the majority of the

remaining top 25 occupations experienced a decline. In Pinal County, most of the top

occupations have shown growth, but on a much smaller base of employment.

In addition, median hourly earnings for each occupation are listed. Earnings among top

occupations in Greater Phoenix range from a low of $13.07 (Team Assemblers) up to $45.01

(Aerospace Engineers). There are a significant number of occupations within the industry that

earn higher than average wages, such as pilots, software developers, mechanical engineers, and

industrial engineers.




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

55-9999 Military occupations 13,434 14,441 1,007 7% 26.9% $18.51







51-4041 Machinists 825 802 (23) (3%) 1.5% $19.88

51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 851 768 (83) (10%) 1.4% $19.47

15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 896 723 (173) (19%) 1.3% $44.52


17-2112 Industrial Engineers 734 645 (89) (12%) 1.2% $42.35

51-2011 Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers 681 619 (62) (9%) 1.2% $25.64

43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 612 577 (35) (6%) 1.1% $20.10

51-2022 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers 712 480 (232) (33%) 0.9% $17.77

51-2092 Team Assemblers 549 459 (90) (16%) 0.9% $13.07

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 495 443 (52) (11%) 0.8% $24.06

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office & Administrative Support Workers 441 437 (4) (1%) 0.8% $23.55

17-2072 Electronics Engineers, Except Computer 533 428 (105) (20%) 0.8% $38.04

15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 511 421 (90) (18%) 0.8% $42.70

17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 456 408 (48) (11%) 0.8% $27.06

13-1023 Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, & Farm Products 455 408 (47) (10%) 0.8% $27.35

17-2141 Mechanical Engineers 456 396 (60) (13%) 0.7% $41.14

13-1081 Logisticians 426 388 (38) (9%) 0.7% $30.85




Aerospace & Defense




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

55-9999 Military-only occupations 330 406 76 23% 25.5% $18.98







11-1021 General and Operations Managers 23 22 (1) (4%) 1.4% $32.93

33-3051 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 19 21 2 11% 1.3% $31.13



13-1071 Human Resources Specialists 15 17 2 13% 1.1% $24.01

43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 21 16 (5) (24%) 1.0% $14.79


13-1081 Logisticians 13 16 3 23% 1.0% $30.40

53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers <10 16 8 100% 1.0% $16.58





17-2141 Mechanical Engineers 11 13 2 18% 0.8% $34.12

17-3023 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians 14 13 (1) (7%) 0.8% $26.56

15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 10 13 3 30% 0.8% $34.77

11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 11 13 2 18% 0.8% $49.28

11-3121 Human Resources Managers 11 13 2 18% 0.8% $31.79



Aerospace & Defense




The following tables display various education and skills requirements for occupations within the aerospace and defense industry. Apart from general military occupations, a significant number of occupations require a high school diploma. Beyond a high school diploma, 6.9% of occupations require a postsecondary nondegree award, and 25.2% require a bachelor’s degree.

Work experience requirements are highest among jobs that require either a high school diploma or bachelor’s degree. On-the-job training is also most prevalent for these two groups. Nearly 20% of jobs (within the high school graduate requirement) require moderate to long term on-the-job training.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More









Grand Total 100.0% 80.3% 16.3% 3.4%



Aerospace & Defense

Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency






Bachelor's degree 25.2% 17.9% 0.11% 7.2% 0.01%




Aerospace & Defense

Education


Occupations






Advanced Aerospace & Defense

A smaller subset of aerospace & defense sectors was selected that best represent what could be considered “high tech” portions of the overall industry. Of the 21 sectors that comprise the health services industry, 12 sectors were chosen based on the type of business activity conducted. This includes explosives manufacturing, ammunition manufacturing, Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical, and Nautical System and Instrument Manufacturing, aircraft manufacturing, air traffic control, and others (a complete list is provided in Appendix 3 of this report). As the following tables of the top 25 occupations illustrate, advanced aerospace & defense positions command much higher wages. The weighted average wage of the top 25 occupations in advanced transportation and logistics is nearly 31% higher than the top 25 occupations in the broader aerospace & defense industry.

Similar to advanced manufacturing, the occupations within this subset of advanced aerospace and defense have experienced a decline in positions over the past five years. Successful economic development efforts must occur before pursuing this particular sector as a career.




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings



51-4041 Machinists 804 776 (28) (3%) 3.8% $19.88


15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software 873 696 (177) (20%) 3.4% $44.52

17-2112 Industrial Engineers 724 633 (91) (13%) 3.1% $42.35

51-2011 Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers 669 606 (63) (9%) 3.0% $25.64

51-2022 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers 712 480 (232) (33%) 2.3% $17.77

43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 525 470 (55) (10%) 2.3% $20.10

51-2092 Team Assemblers 546 453 (93) (17%) 2.2% $13.07


17-2072 Electronics Engineers, Except Computer 523 414 (109) (21%) 2.0% $38.04

15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 504 412 (92) (18%) 2.0% $42.70

17-3026 Industrial Engineering Technicians 452 402 (50) (11%) 2.0% $27.06

17-2141 Mechanical Engineers 452 391 (61) (13%) 1.9% $41.14

13-1081 Logisticians 407 366 (41) (10%) 1.8% $30.85

13-1023 Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products 425 364 (61) (14%) 1.8% $27.35

11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers 411 336 (75) (18%) 1.6% $60.21

15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 346 305 (41) (12%) 1.5% $41.61

17-3021 Aerospace Engineering and Operations Technicians 314 283 (31) (10%) 1.4% $27.80

17-2199 Engineers, All Other 296 278 (18) (6%) 1.4% $35.76

11-1021 General and Operations Managers 314 257 (57) (18%) 1.3% $40.49

17-2071 Electrical Engineers 337 252 (85) (25%) 1.2% $50.97

15-2031 Operations Research Analysts 245 247 2 1% 1.2% $29.90

17-2131 Materials Engineers 251 240 (11) (4%) 1.2% $39.45







SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings










43-4051 Customer Service Representatives <10 13 3 30% 2.3% $14.79

15-1132 Software Developers, Applications <10 13 3 30% 2.2% $34.77

41-4011 Sales Representatives, Wholesale, Manufacturing, Technical & Scientific Products 11 12 1 9% 2.2% $26.38

11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers <10 12 3 33% 2.1% $49.28

17-3023 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians 12 12 0 0% 2.1% $26.56

17-2141 Mechanical Engineers <10 12 2 20% 2.0% $34.12

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers <10 11 2 22% 2.0% $21.35

51-4041 Machinists <10 11 1 10% 1.9% $16.91

49-9069 Precision Instrument and Equipment Repairers, All Other <10 <10 0 0% 0.1% $16.76

51-9198 Helpers--Production Workers <10 <10 0 0% 0.1% $12.21

17-2041 Chemical Engineers <10 <10 0 0% 0.1% $48.22

17-3029 Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other <10 <10 3 100% 1.0% $25.34

51-9199 Production Workers, All Other <10 <10 0 0% 0.2% $16.46

43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks <10 <10 2 29% 1.5% $18.34

43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants <10 <10 (1) (25%) 0.5% $21.93

27-3042 Technical Writers <10 <10 (1) (50%) 0.2% $22.01







The following tables display various education and skills requirements for occupations within the industry. In sharp contrast to the broader industry, advanced aerospace & defense sectors require more education to qualify. Only 1.6% of the positions do not require any formal educational requirement versus over 30% of jobs in the broader industry. Over 46% of the occupations within the advanced sub-sectors require a bachelor’s degree versus 25.2% across the entire industry.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More









Grand Total 100.0% 85.3% 7.2% 7.3%




Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency




Some college, no degree 0.7% 0.4% 0.3%



Master's degree 0.04% 0.04% 0.0003%




Education


Occupations






3.2.5 Natural & Renewable Resources

As illustrated previously, Pinal County already has an established natural and renewable resources base. This includes large mining operations, a wide array of mining support services, nonmetal mining/quarrying, and solar electricity generating facilities. Future companies in the natural and renewable resources industry could include the following:

Biofuels

Solar Energy

Wind Energy

Fuel Cells & Industrial Batteries

Pulp & Paper Products

Mining

Mining Support Services

Construction Materials

The following tables display the top 25 occupations within the natural and renewable resources industry. A total of 493 separate occupations can be found within this industry. The top 25 occupations in this industry within Greater Phoenix cumulatively represent 71.2% of all jobs in the industry. The total change and percent change of the top occupations in this industry from 2012 to 2017 have also been displayed. In addition, median hourly earnings for each occupation are listed. Earnings among top occupations range from a low of $9.36 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse) up to $40.49 (general & operations managers).




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

45-2092 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse 3,951 4,420 469 12% 18.1% $9.36

11-9013 Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers 3,587 3,401 (186) (5%) 14.0% $12.57


53-7073 Wellhead Pumpers 405 906 501 124% 3.7% $21.34

11-9141 Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers 545 838 293 54% 3.4% $16.38

99-9999 Unclassified Occupation 792 831 39 5% 3.4% $12.74


45-2093 Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals 424 488 64 15% 2.0% $11.39

53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 458 431 (27) (6%) 1.8% $18.03

39-2021 Nonfarm Animal Caretakers 443 416 (27) (6%) 1.7% $10.09

45-2091 Agricultural Equipment Operators 342 413 71 21% 1.7% $12.02


11-1011 Chief Executives 149 364 215 144% 1.5% $30.76

49-3042 Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines 438 358 (80) (18%) 1.5% $23.27

47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades & Extraction Workers 528 347 (181) (34%) 1.4% $26.05

39-2011 Animal Trainers 368 320 (48) (13%) 1.3% $10.07

45-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers 265 273 8 3% 1.1% $25.06

13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 255 224 (31) (12%) 0.9% $26.15

47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 156 216 60 38% 0.9% $21.90

53-7072 Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers 110 210 100 91% 0.9% $19.26



43-3031 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 199 170 (29) (15%) 0.7% $17.63

53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 174 169 (5) (3%) 0.7% $13.20




Natural & Renewable Resources




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

45-2092 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse 1,048 1,180 132 13% 21.9% $10.49

11-9013 Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers 909 932 23 3% 17.3% $12.69





45-2093 Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals 93 128 35 38% 2.4% $12.41


45-2091 Agricultural Equipment Operators 89 116 27 30% 2.2% $14.04


39-2021 Nonfarm Animal Caretakers 76 85 9 12% 1.6% $10.02

39-2011 Animal Trainers 65 72 7 11% 1.3% $10.02

47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades &Extraction Workers 126 69 (57) (45%) 1.3% $21.82


45-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers 64 64 0 0% 1.2% $25.86


49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 48 44 (4) (8%) 0.8% $20.15

99-9999 Unclassified Occupation 78 43 (35) (45%) 0.8% $14.01



17-2151 Mining & Geological Engineers, Including Mining Safety Engineers 49 37 (12) (24%) 0.7% $31.56

43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 29 36 7 24% 0.7% $14.51


53-7032 Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators 42 32 (10) (24%) 0.6% $19.80








Over 46% of the occupations require a high school diploma while 31.8% of jobs in the industry do not require any formal educational requirement. The remaining 22% require some form of post-secondary education, most notably a bachelor’s degree. Jobs requiring no formal education typically require some short term on-the-job training. Occupations requiring a high school diploma have a higher rate of requiring previous work experience and longer-term training on the job. The jobs requiring post-secondary education have lower rates of on-the-job training, which suggests the educational training received is the dominant skill sought by the employer.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More












Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency











Education


Occupations






Advanced Natural & Renewable Resources

A smaller subset of aerospace & defense sectors was selected that best represent what could be considered “high tech” portions of the overall industry. Of the 50 sectors that comprise the health services industry, 32 sectors were chosen based on the type of business activity conducted. This includes farm management services, mining, support activities for mining, support activities for oil & gas, electric power generation and distribution, battery manufacturing, environmental consulting services, and others (a complete list is provided in Appendix 3 of this report). As the following tables of the top 25 occupations illustrate, advanced natural & renewable resources positions command much higher wages. The weighted average wage of the top 25 occupations in advanced transportation and logistics is over 38% higher than the top 25 occupations in the broader natural & renewable resources industry.




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings




99-9999 Unclassified Occupation 668 725 57 9% 6.7% $12.74




47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 459 277 (182) (40%) 2.6% $26.05









47-5081 Helpers--Extraction Workers 167 113 (54) (32%) 1.0% $13.83


47-5013 Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining 17 92 75 441% 0.9% $20.92

49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 94 92 (2) (2%) 0.8% $16.49

47-2061 Construction Laborers 103 91 (12) (12%) 0.8% $13.65

13-1161 Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists 76 89 13 17% 0.8% $26.70

47-5041 Continuous Mining Machine Operators 113 88 (25) (22%) 0.8% $22.09

19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers 135 88 (47) (35%) 0.8% $38.04








SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings







47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades & Extraction Workers 120 64 (56) (47%) 3.1% $21.82



17-2151 Mining & Geological Engineers, Including Mining Safety Engineers 48 37 (11) (23%) 1.8% $31.56

99-9999 Unclassified Occupation 78 36 (42) (54%) 1.7% $14.01




47-5041 Continuous Mining Machine Operators 22 27 5 23% 1.3% $19.55

51-9021 Crushing, Grinding, Polishing Machine Setters, Operators, & Tenders 21 26 5 24% 1.3% $14.21

53-7032 Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators 34 25 (9) (26%) 1.2% $19.80

49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 32 25 (7) (22%) 1.2% $24.52

47-5081 Helpers--Extraction Workers 52 24 (28) (54%) 1.1% $15.21


49-9043 Maintenance Workers, Machinery 40 22 (18) (45%) 1.0% $17.25


43-6014 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 15 20 5 33% 1.0% $14.51

47-5012 Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas 40 19 (21) (53%) 0.9% $22.56








Compared to the broader industry, advanced health services require even more education to qualify. Nearly 40% of the occupations within the advanced health services sub-sectors require a bachelor’s degree versus 22% across the entire industry.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More












Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency











Education


Occupations






3.2.6 Tourism

Tourism can include the following:

Hotels/Inns

Casinos

Amusement Parks/Tours

Spectator Sports

Racetracks

Historical Sites/Museums/etc.

Travel Agencies/ Tour Operators

Scenic/ Sightseeing Transportation

The following tables displays the top 25 occupations within the tourism industry within Greater Phoenix and Pinal County separately. A total of 457 separate occupations can be found within this industry. The top 25 occupations in this industry cumulatively represent 57% of all jobs in the industry within Greater Phoenix and 64.2% within Pinal County. The total change and percent change of the top occupations in this industry from 2012 to 2017 have also been displayed. In addition, median hourly earnings for each occupation are listed. Earnings among top occupations in Greater Phoenix range from a low of $5.81 (craft artists) up to $40.49 (general & operations managers).




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-2017)

% Change

(2012-2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

37-2012 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 4,815 4,985 170 4% 6.0% $10.51

27-2042 Musicians and Singers 3,710 4,438 728 20% 5.4% $14.98

27-3043 Writers and Authors 3,122 4,043 921 30% 4.9% $14.93

35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 3,576 3,695 119 3% 4.5% $9.17

43-4081 Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks 2,738 2,805 67 2% 3.4% $10.77

39-3091 Amusement and Recreation Attendants 2,300 2,483 183 8% 3.0% $10.34

27-1013 Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and Illustrators 1,794 2,157 363 20% 2.6% $8.56

41-3041 Travel Agents 1,418 1,712 294 21% 2.1% $16.96

49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 1,524 1,611 87 6% 1.9% $16.49


35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 1,474 1,529 55 4% 1.8% $11.66

11-9081 Lodging Managers 1,195 1,409 214 18% 1.7% $21.17


37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 1,204 1,318 114 9% 1.6% $11.09

27-1012 Craft Artists 984 1,180 196 20% 1.4% $5.81

35-9011 Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers 1,132 1,171 39 3% 1.4% $9.33

27-2011 Actors 853 1,151 298 35% 1.4% $14.02

11-1021 General and Operations Managers 1,022 1,148 126 12% 1.4% $40.49

41-2021 Counter and Rental Clerks 880 1,135 255 29% 1.4% $11.64

33-9032 Security Guards 973 1,132 159 16% 1.4% $12.13

35-3011 Bartenders 1,066 1,099 33 3% 1.3% $9.41

11-9199 Managers, All Other 860 1,079 219 25% 1.3% $16.56

41-3099 Sales Representatives, Services, All Other 976 1,037 61 6% 1.3% $21.34

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Office & Administrative Support Workers 887 957 70 8% 1.2% $23.55

27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 937 927 (10) (1%) 1.1% $14.67



Tourism




SOC Description

Employed

in Industry

(2012)

Employed

in Industry

(2017)

Change

(2012-

2017)

% Change

(2012-

2017)

% of Total

Jobs in

Industry

(2017)

Median

Hourly

Earnings

27-2042 Musicians and Singers 157 226 69 44% 8.6% $11.86

27-3043 Writers and Authors 127 205 78 61% 7.8% $13.22

37-2012 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 124 122 (2) (2%) 4.6% $10.18

27-1013 Fine Artists, Including Painters, Sculptors, and Illustrators 77 109 32 42% 4.1% $6.71

39-3091 Amusement and Recreation Attendants 66 84 18 27% 3.2% $11.21

35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 71 75 4 6% 2.9% $10.01

37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 73 68 (5) (7%) 2.6% $11.11

11-9081 Lodging Managers 51 66 15 29% 2.5% $17.45

27-1012 Craft Artists 41 60 19 46% 2.3% $4.84



27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 46 53 7 15% 2.0% $13.28

27-2011 Actors 30 53 23 77% 2.0% $11.60

43-4081 Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks 54 52 (2) (4%) 2.0% $11.28

39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 73 50 (23) (32%) 1.9% $16.84

27-2099 Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers, All Other 33 43 10 30% 1.6% $14.89

39-9032 Recreation Workers 38 42 4 11% 1.6% $11.11

27-4021 Photographers 31 42 11 35% 1.6% $13.44

27-1011 Art Directors 11 37 26 236% 1.4% $12.33

39-7018 Tour and Travel Guides 27 33 6 22% 1.3% $17.77

27-2041 Music Directors and Composers 17 32 15 88% 1.2% $10.15


35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 28 32 4 14% 1.2% $12.04

41-3041 Travel Agents 22 29 7 32% 1.1% $14.91

27-3012 Public Address System and Other Announcers 22 28 6 27% 1.1% $13.05



Tourism




An estimated 33.8% of tourism occupations require a high school diploma while 41.7% of jobs in the industry do not require any formal educational requirement. The remaining 24.5% require some form of post-secondary education, most notably a bachelor’s degree (20.4%).

Jobs requiring no formal education typically require some short term on-the-job training. Occupations requiring a high school diploma have a higher rate of requiring previous work experience and longer-term training on the job. The jobs requiring post-secondary education have lower rates of on-the-job training, which suggests the educational training received is the dominant skill sought by the employer.

None

Less Than 5

Years

5 Years or

More











Tourism

Education


Occupations


None

Short-

term on-

the-job

training

Moderate-

term on-

the-job

training

Long-

term on-

the-job


Internship/

Residency










Tourism

Education


Occupations






3.3 Economic Development Pipeline

Pinal County is currently experiencing a flurry of economic development activity and interest. The Pinal County Economic Development Department has identified over 20 projects that have either recently been completed, announced, or are considering the region for new operations. This list represents billions of dollars of capital investment and potentially tens of thousands of new jobs, without even considering the ripple effects of those direct jobs.

The following table displays only a partial list of projects that could locate within the county. The projects have been generally categorized by targeted sector. To the extent information is available, the type of industry and number of potential jobs have also been displayed.

This pipeline of new investment can provide valuable insight in determining short term employment projections and future workforce needs. Industries that may not currently be represented in Pinal County could potentially become a significant part of the economy. Responsive workforce training can play an important role in helping these new companies identify and qualify their demand for employees. Close and frequent collaboration with economic development officials and other stakeholders will help to identify projects most likely to locate in the region. Once identified and confirmed, workforce staff and stakeholders can determine employment needs, training requirements, and the anticipated timing of new operations.

Target Industry Project Employees Industry Phoenix Mart 4,500 Global Wholesale Sourcing IPAZ Intermodal Facility 6,000 Industrial Park/Inland Port

Confidential Project 400 Household Consumables Manufacturing Lucid Motors 2,200 High Tech Auto Manufacturing LKQ 200 Auto Parts manufacturing Nikola Motors 1,700 High Tech Auto Manufacturing Severtson Movie Screens 75 Movie Industry Equipment Manufacturing

Health Services Sun Health Clinic/Pharmacy 15 Health care services Int'l Diplomatic Security Company 1,500 Pinal Airpark Based High Tech Military Testing N/A Military Support Resolution Copper 3,500-4,000 Copper Mining Solar Farm & Battery Storage N/A Utilities/Electricity Generation ASARCO Expansion N/A Copper Mining ACA - Confidential Project 50-100 Florence Copper 250 Copper Mining Mine Filtering Plant 375 Mining Support Services Bio Gas Facility 50-75 Ag Waste Gas Producer Attesa 2,500 Racetrack/ Research and Development

Tourism Dreamport Villages 7,000 Amusement Casino Resort 450 Gambling/Amusement

Source: Pinal County Economic Development Department

Pinal County Economic Development Pipeline

As of September 2018


Manufacturing

Transportation/ Logistics

Aerospace & Defense




Appendix 1 – Methodology to Define and Determine In-demand

Industries and Occupations

WIOA provides guidance on the definition and determination of in-demand industries or occupations as the following:

(23) IN-DEMAND INDUSTRY SECTOR OR OCCUPATION.— (A) IN GENERAL.—The term ‘‘in-demand industry sector or occupation’’ means— (i) an industry sector that has a substantial current or potential impact (including through jobs that lead to economic self-sufficiency and opportunities for advancement) on the State, regional, or local economy, as appropriate, and that contributes to the growth or stability of other supporting businesses, or the growth of other industry sectors; or (ii) an occupation that currently has or is projected to have a number of positions (including positions that lead to economic self-sufficiency and opportunities for advancement) in an industry sector so as to have a significant impact on the State, regional, or local economy, as appropriate. (B) DETERMINATION.—The determination of whether an industry sector or occupation is in-demand under this paragraph shall be made by the State board or local board, as appropriate, using State and regional business and labor market projections, including the use of labor market information.

In publishing this definition, WIOA appears to be allowing for a common-sense approach to determine in-demand industries and occupations. This is stated in two different ways with a similar outcome:

1. From an industry approach: The selected industries must have a substantial impact on the economy and contribute to the growth and stability of other supporting businesses/industry sectors. They should also contain occupations that lead an individual to economic self-sufficiency and have opportunities for advancement.

2. From an occupational approach: The occupations should lead to economic self-sufficiency and either have a number of positions needed or be projected to have future positions needed in industries that have positive economic impacts.

The only perceived difference between these two is that the occupational approach requires the local board to consider the number of available positions currently as well as the expected future positions as a qualifier for an in-demand occupation. Otherwise, the approaches have a significant amount of overlap. Thus, the two approaches must be utilized together to formulate a preferred list of in-demand industries and occupations. The resulting list should make sense from each approach, backed by data and research. The use of state and regional labor market data and projections are critical components and should be reviewed and analyzed on a regular basis for each approach.




Industry Approach

As described above, the industry selection is an analytical framework that is essentially a series of qualifiers that can be answered by a “yes” or “no”. If the data related to an industry being analyzed can answer each question in the affirmative, then it can be an in-demand industry. If it fails to meet any one of the standards, it should be rejected. Those questions include:

1. Does it have a substantial current or potential impact on the state, regional, or local economy and contribute to the growth or stability of other businesses or industries?

2. Does it contain occupations that lead an individual to economic self-sufficiency and have opportunities for advancement?

WIOA also allows for the first question to be answered by the second question. Essentially, the minimum requirement for the industry is that it contain positions that lead to economic self-sufficiency and have opportunities for advancement. This can be answered through data related to the wages of the occupations found within each industry. Wage information is available for every occupation within a given industry and wage thresholds can be defined as a qualifier by the local workforce board, informed in part by living wage calculations by family composition (living wage calculations are provided in Appendix 2 of this report). Additionally, connections can be made to several occupations within a given industry to determine the level of opportunity that may be available for advancement.

Going beyond the question of an economically self-sufficient wage and opportunities for advancement, the local workforce board can analyze potential in-demand industries based on their potential impact on the economy through regional multipliers assigned to that industry. Industry multipliers indicate how many additional local jobs in different industries are created by creating jobs in that particular industry. If desired, the local workforce board can set a standard multiplier value to assess the potential for economic impact by any given industry.

A drawback to the economic multiplier approach is that a new industry will not have any local industry data and thus, will not have a multiplier assigned to it. This is very likely to occur in Pinal County as the employment base is relatively small and not as diversified compared to other urbanized regions such as Maricopa County or Pima County. In these cases, or perhaps in all cases, a statewide multiplier may be utilized.

Occupational Approach

The occupational approach focuses on the individual and is designed to facilitate a desirable long-term outcome for the jobseeker.

1. In-demand occupations should have positions needed to be filled both now and in the future, which can be established with labor market information.

2. Labor market information should be based on reasonable drive times from the job seeker’s place of residence. Thus, data does not need to be limited to just Pinal County. Previous surveys have shown a desire by workers to work closer to home. As more




opportunities arrive in Pinal County, qualified county residents would be likely candidates to fill positions closer to home.

Coordination with Economic Development Efforts

There is a significant amount of resources at every level of government to attract, recruit, and retain businesses that, as WIOA would describe, “has a substantial current or potential impact on the State, regional, or local economy, and contributes to the growth or stability of other supporting businesses, or the growth of other industry sectors”. Businesses that receive the most attention and recruiting effort often fall within a pre-defined list commonly referred to as “targeted industries”. The targeted industries selected by economic development agencies are substantially aligned with the goals set by WIOA. These businesses tend to have above average wages, import money into the economy, and have multiplier effects that create additional jobs in other industries.

The efforts of local, regional and state economic development agencies and their targeted industries should be well-known to the local workforce board. These targeted sectors need a qualified workforce and job seekers need the expert advice of workforce specialists to guide them toward occupations and industries that will help them achieve long term economic self-sufficiency and opportunities for advancement. Existing data can help illustrate what the current economic environment looks like. To a limited extent, forecasts can help in that decision-making process. However, the business activity and decisions that are being made in real time, often facilitated by economic development agencies, provide the best short-term outlook for future workforce opportunities.

This methodology places the heaviest weight on economic development activities. As such, the research and data includes a significant amount of research on Pinal County’s targeted industries. Additionally, this approach requires regular and constant communication with county and local economic development agencies to stay abreast of upcoming opportunities and to be able to pivot our approach and resources based on the successful recruitment of new businesses.

The responsiveness of local workforce agencies to the needs of targeted sector businesses will help create a successful loop of increased economic activity. Businesses will be drawn to areas where a qualified workforce exists. In the short term, Pinal County can successfully recruit businesses due to its close proximity to Maricopa County residents. These new businesses are then available to Pinal County job seekers if they can receive the training or certification required. The successful training of job seekers into positions within these businesses can then be marketed by economic development agencies to attract additional companies. Eventually, as industry clusters form, the region will host a stable base of companies that qualified employees can choose from. The new employment options can also provide local students potential career paths that can motivate them to gain the credentials and enter into these positions. The ultimate goal is for Pinal County to gain a strong reputation for its workforce and pipeline.




Appendix 2 – Livable Wage Estimates

Title I of WIOA (Pub. L. 113–128) requires the U.S. Secretary of Labor (Secretary) to update and publish the Lower Living Standard Income Level (LLSIL) tables annually, for uses described in the law (including determining eligibility for youth). WIOA defines the term ‘‘low income individual’’ as one whose total family income does not exceed the higher level of the poverty line or 70 percent of the LLSIL. LLSIL is used for several purposes under the WIOA. Specifically, WIOA section 3(36) defines the term ‘‘low income individual’’ for eligibility purposes, and sections 127(b)(2)(C) and 132(b)(1)(B)(v)(IV) define the terms ‘‘disadvantaged youth’’ and ‘‘disadvantaged adult’’ in terms of the poverty line or LLSIL for State formula allotments. The governor and state/local workforce development boards (WDs) use the LLSIL for determining eligibility for youth and adults for certain services. In January, the U.S. Department of Health Services established poverty guidelines by family size for the contiguous 48 states. The January 2018 poverty guidelines were calculated by taking the 2016 Census Bureau’s poverty thresholds and adjusting them for price changes between 2016 and 2017 using the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U). These guidelines are listed below.

PERSONS IN FAMILY/HOUSEHOLD POVERTY GUIDELINE

1 $12,140

2 $16,460

3 $20,780

4 $25,100

5 $29,420

6 $33,740

7 $38,060

8 $42,380

Source: U.S. Department of Health & Human Services

2018 POVERTY GUIDELINES FOR THE 48

CONTIGUOUS STATES AND THE DISTRICT OF

COLUMBIA

For families/households with more than 8 persons, add $4,320 for each

additional person.

Based on those results, the U.S. Department of Labor Employment and Training Administration published the 2018 LLSIL by family size and region. The following table displays the LLSIL for the West region of the United States, both Metro and Non-Metro rates.




Metro Non-Metro

1 $15,572 $15,471

2 $25,519 $25,355

3 $35,037 $34,812

4 $43,252 $42,968

5 $51,039 $50,712

6 $59,696 $59,309

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

West Region

2018 Lower Living Standard Income Level

2018 Adjusted LLSIL

PERSONS IN FAMILY/HOUSEHOLD

The following was described in the 2016 workforce strategic plan:

“Although income is often compared to the federal poverty levels in order to determine the LLSIL thresholds for defining “low-income,” these thresholds do not account for living costs beyond a very basic food budget. The federal poverty measure does not take into consideration costs such as childcare and health care that not only draw from an individual’s income, but are also determining factors in one’s ability to work and to endure the potential hardships associated with balancing employment and other aspects of everyday life. Further, poverty thresholds do not account for geographic variation in the cost of essential household expenses. In order to determine if the current levels identified for self-sufficiency in Pinal County are accurate, the PCLWDB used the “Living Wage Calculator” developed by the Department of Urban Studies and Planning at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology to revisit the self-sufficiency levels for Pinal County. This calculator uses a market-based approach that draws upon geographically specific expenditure data related to a family’s likely minimum food, childcare, health insurance, housing, transportation, and other necessities (e.g. clothing, personal care items, etc.) costs. The living wage draws on these cost elements and the rough effects of income and payroll taxes to determine the minimum employment earnings necessary to meet a family’s basic needs while also maintaining self-sufficiency. The living wage model is a “step up” from poverty as measured by the poverty thresholds but it is a small “step up”, one that accounts for only the most basic needs of a family. The living wage is the minimum income standard that, if met, draws a very fine line between the financial independence of the working poor




and the need to seek out public assistance or suffer consistent and severe housing and food insecurity. In light of this fact, the living wage is perhaps better defined as a minimum subsistence wage.

The following table illustrates the resulting “living wage” requirement by family size and family composition compared to the 2018 LLSIL for the western U.S. in metro areas. As the table indicates, it is important to consider family composition in addition to family size. The calculations below assume one working adult per household. In addition, each child in the scenarios is assumed to be in a certain age bracket. The 1-child households are assumed to have a “young child” (around 4 years old), 2-child households are assumed to have a “young child” and a “child” (around 9 years old), and a 3-child household is assumed to have a “young child”, “child”, and “teenager” (around 15 years old). Thus, in a household with a single adult and young children, child care costs are significant. In the 2-adult household scenarios, it is assumed that the non-working adult will care for the children and child care costs are eliminated. Additional adjustments would be warranted when family composition differs from this model. For example, a family with 3 young children would have higher child care costs than the 3-child family modeled here. At the high end of the living wage estimates, a 1-adult household with children, living wages are estimated to be in the range of 200% of the reported LLSIL for 2018. In a two-adult household with one working adult, that range drops to between 125% and 160% of LLSIL.

Hourly Wage Annual Wage1 % of LLSIL Hourly Wage Living Wage1 % of LLSIL

1 $11.87 $24,691 159%

2 $25.79 $53,652 210% $19.74 $41,064 161%

3 $31.18 $64,853 185% $23.75 $49,404 141%

4 $41.24 $85,781 198% $27.04 $56,248 130%

5 $30.94 $64,347 126%

Pinal County

2017 Living Wage Calculation

Source: Dr. Amy K. Glasmeier and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology; U.S. Bureau of Labor

Statistics

1/ Annual Wage is an annualized hourly wage, assuming full-time work (2,080 hours). Original figures

are reported in 2015 dollars and have been adjusted for inflation to 2018 dollars using the CPI-U.

2-Adults, 1 Working1-Adult HouseholdPERSONS IN

HOUSEHOLD




Appendix 3 – Employment Opportunity Forecasts

Arizona@Work Pinal County desires to expand the employment opportunities of Pinal County residents. Part of that goal is to provide training and placement within the County, which can provide an enhanced quality of life by reducing commute times. As described within the body of this report, Pinal County residents currently commute outside of the County for work in extremely high numbers. Nearly 76% of all Pinal residents work outside the County. While County residents have historically travelled outside the County for work, the latest population boom that occurred in the middle part of the last decade created an even more dramatic shift for Pinal residents working outside of the County. In 2004, an estimated 64% of residents travelled out of the County for work versus 76% as of the latest reported data. The first factor in this analysis is the number of available jobs within the County. In numeric terms, nearly 20,000 more jobs exist in the County and nearly 10,000 more Pinal residents have found employment within the County compared to 10 years ago. Continued job growth, especially in industries that provide self-sustaining wages and opportunities for advancement, will be a critical component in assisting more residents find employment closer to home. The second factor in this analysis is the percentage of available jobs in the County that are filled by people living outside the County. Of the available jobs in the County, 45% employ someone living outside if Pinal County. This trend has remained fairly consistent over the past 10 years. The lowest percentage was recorded in 2004 at 42% of jobs held by non-residents and the highest percentage was recorded in 2007 at 46%. This factor may be influenced through active recognition of opportunities when they become available and matching or training Pinal job seekers to those opportunities. More than likely, this result is simply a function of an open job market and reasonable enough commute times for employees who currently travel into the County for work. The third factor in this analysis is the population and labor force available in Pinal County. The overall population of the County has grown much faster than new employment opportunities over the last 10 years. Thus, the need for longer commute times for job opportunities outside the County persist. The County has a very strong population growth outlook, making the need for substantial and sustained job growth even greater. Without it, the current trend of population outpacing jobs locally is likely to continue. Two employment forecasts, in addition to the most recent population forecast approved by the State of Arizona, were the focus of this analysis. The Arizona Governor’s Office of Economic Opportunity recently released a 10-year employment forecast for Pinal County. In addition, the Maricopa Association of Governments produced a long term (2015-2050) employment forecast for the County in 2016. Adjustments were necessary due to the different sources of data and differing baseline employment levels among these sources and in comparison to historical data. However, general conclusions can still be made despite these differences. With these various




sources, forecast scenarios were modeled to gauge their effect on job opportunities for Pinal County residents. The Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity (OEO) and the Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) have significantly different employment growth forecasts for the County. OEO’s forecast is considerably more conservative than the MAG forecast. OEO provides a base year and terminal year forecast, effectively forecasting 1.4% annual employment growth in the County over the next 10 years. This equates to between 800 and 950 new jobs each year. At current rates of job fulfillment, an estimated 4,850 Pinal residents may find new employment in the County. However, at this rate of job growth, the percentage of Pinal residents in the workforce working within the County will continue to diminish due to strong population growth that is expected over this same time period. MAG provides its employment forecast initially over a 5-year increment and then in 10-year increments. The result is a 3.2% average annual growth rate through 2020 and a 4.0% growth rate through 2030. This equates to between 1,800 and 3,400 new jobs in the County each year over the next 10 years. Under this scenario, nearly 15,000 jobs would be expected to be filled by Pinal residents and the percentage of residents working in the County would experience a gradual increase over this time period. The significant growth projected by MAG has not yet materialized in the short term (2015 to present). Thus, some adjustments are warranted. However, the growth prospects for the County, taking into consideration the pipeline of interested companies and developers, do not appear out of line or unachievable in the long term. And, as the table on the following page illustrates, the more aggressive rate of job growth is necessary to be able to provide much needed opportunities to an ever growing workforce closer to their place of residence.




Year Pop

Labor

Force Employment

Percent

Growth

Numeric

Growth

Residents

Employed

% Residents

Employed

in County

OEO Scenario

2015 406,468 134,869 58,885 32,492 24%

2016 413,312 140,791 59,699 1.4% 814 32,941 23%

2017 427,603 145,660 60,525 1.4% 825 33,397 23%

2018 439,932 149,859 61,362 1.4% 837 33,859 23%

2019 451,698 153,867 62,210 1.4% 848 34,327 22%

2020 463,463 157,875 63,070 1.4% 860 34,801 22%

2021 475,540 161,989 63,942 1.4% 872 35,283 22%

2022 487,985 166,228 64,827 1.4% 884 35,770 22%

2023 500,827 170,603 65,723 1.4% 896 36,265 21%

2024 514,109 175,127 66,632 1.4% 909 36,767 21%

2025 527,859 179,811 67,553 1.4% 921 37,275 21%

2026 542,115 184,667 68,487 1.4% 934 37,790 20%

MAG Scenario

2015 406,468 134,869 58,885 32,492 24%

2016 413,312 140,791 60,744 3.2% 1,859 33,518 24%

2017 427,603 145,660 62,662 3.2% 1,918 34,576 24%

2018 439,932 149,859 64,640 3.2% 1,978 35,667 24%

2019 451,698 153,867 66,680 3.2% 2,041 36,793 24%

2020 463,463 157,875 68,785 3.2% 2,105 37,955 24%

2021 475,540 161,989 71,569 4.0% 2,783 39,491 24%

2022 487,985 166,228 74,465 4.0% 2,896 41,089 25%

2023 500,827 170,603 77,478 4.0% 3,013 42,751 25%

2024 514,109 175,127 80,613 4.0% 3,135 44,481 25%

2025 527,859 179,811 83,875 4.0% 3,262 46,281 26%

2026 542,115 184,667 87,268 4.0% 3,394 48,154 26%

Source: AZ OEO; Maricopa Association of Governments; U.S. Census; Ell iott D. Pollack & Company

Pinal County Employment Forecast Scenarios




Appendix 4 – Targeted Industry Sub-Industry Selections

Transportation & Logistics Code Description

481111 Scheduled Passenger Air Transportation

481112 Scheduled Freight Air Transportation

481211 Nonscheduled Chartered Passenger Air Transportation

481212 Nonscheduled Chartered Freight Air Transportation

481219 Other Nonscheduled Air Transportation

482110 Rail transportation

483111 Deep Sea Freight Transportation

483112 Deep Sea Passenger Transportation

483113 Coastal and Great Lakes Freight Transportation

483114 Coastal and Great Lakes Passenger Transportation

483211 Inland Water Freight Transportation

483212 Inland Water Passenger Transportation

484110 General Freight Trucking, Local

484121 General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, Truckload

484122 General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, Less Than Truckload

484210 Used Household and Office Goods Moving

484220 Specialized Freight (except Used Goods) Trucking, Local

484230 Specialized Freight (except Used Goods) Trucking, Long-Distance

485111 Mixed Mode Transit Systems

485112 Commuter Rail Systems

485113 Bus and Other Motor Vehicle Transit Systems

485119 Other Urban Transit Systems

485210 Interurban and Rural Bus Transportation

485310 Taxi Service

485320 Limousine Service

485410 School and Employee Bus Transportation

485510 Charter Bus Industry

485991 Special Needs Transportation

485999 All Other Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation

486110 Pipeline Transportation of Crude Oil

486210 Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas

486910 Pipeline Transportation of Refined Petroleum Products

486990 All Other Pipeline Transportation

487110 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Land

487210 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Water

487990 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Other

488111 Air Traffic Control

488119 Other Airport Operations

488190 Other Support Activities for Air Transportation

488210 Support Activities for Rail Transportation

488310 Port and Harbor Operations

488320 Marine Cargo Handling

488330 Navigational Services to Shipping

488390 Other Support Activities for Water Transportation

488410 Motor Vehicle Towing

488490 Other Support Activities for Road Transportation

488510 Freight Transportation Arrangement

488991 Packing and Crating

488999 All Other Support Activities for Transportation

491110 Postal Service

492110 Couriers and Express Delivery Services

492210 Local Messengers and Local Delivery

493110 General Warehousing and Storage

493120 Refrigerated Warehousing and Storage

493130 Farm Product Warehousing and Storage

493190 Other Warehousing and Storage

541614 Process, Physical Distribution, and Logistics Consulting Services




Advanced Transportation & Logistics Code Description






484220 Specialized Freight (except Used Goods) Trucking, Local

484230 Specialized Freight (except Used Goods) Trucking, Long-Distance

485111 Mixed Mode Transit Systems

486110 Pipeline Transportation of Crude Oil

486210 Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas

486910 Pipeline Transportation of Refined Petroleum Products

486990 All Other Pipeline Transportation




488330 Navigational Services to Shipping

541614 Process, Physical Distribution, and Logistics Consulting Services




Advanced Manufacturing Code Description

3241 Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing

3251 Basic Chemical Manufacturing

3252 Resin, Synthetic Rubber, and Artificial and Synthetic Fibers and Filaments Manufacturing

3253 Pesticide, Fertilizer, and Other Agricultural Chemical Manufacturing

3254 Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing

3259 Other Chemical Product and Preparation Manufacturing

3271 Clay Product and Refractory Manufacturing

3279 Other Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing

3311 Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing

3313 Alumina and Aluminum Production and Processing

3315 Foundries

3331 Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Machinery Manufacturing

3332 Industrial Machinery Manufacturing

3333 Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing

3336 Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission Equipment Manufacturing

3339 Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing

3341 Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing

3342 Communications Equipment Manufacturing

3343 Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing

3344 Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing

3345 Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing

3346 Manufacturing and Reproducing Magnetic and Optical Media

3351 Electric Lighting Equipment Manufacturing

3352 Household Appliance Manufacturing

3353 Electrical Equipment Manufacturing

3359 Other Electrical Equipment and Component Manufacturing

3361 Motor Vehicle Manufacturing

3362 Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing

3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing

3364 Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing

3365 Railroad Rolling Stock Manufacturing

3366 Ship and Boat Building

3369 Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

3391 Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing

3399 Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing




Health Services Code Description

541380 Testing Laboratories

541713 Research and Development in Nanotechnology

541714 Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)

541715 Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)

541940 Veterinary Services

621111 Offices of Physicians (except Mental Health Specialists)

621112 Offices of Physicians, Mental Health Specialists

621210 Offices of Dentists

621310 Offices of Chiropractors

621320 Offices of Optometrists

621330 Offices of Mental Health Practitioners (except Physicians)

621340 Offices of Physical, Occupational and Speech Therapists, and Audiologists

621391 Offices of Podiatrists

621399 Offices of All Other Miscellaneous Health Practitioners

621410 Family Planning Centers

621420 Outpatient Mental Health and Substance Abuse Centers

621491 HMO Medical Centers

621492 Kidney Dialysis Centers

621493 Freestanding Ambulatory Surgical and Emergency Centers

621498 All Other Outpatient Care Centers

621511 Medical Laboratories

621512 Diagnostic Imaging Centers

621610 Home Health Care Services

621910 Ambulance Services

621991 Blood and Organ Banks

621999 All Other Miscellaneous Ambulatory Health Care Services

622110 General Medical and Surgical Hospitals

622210 Psychiatric and Substance Abuse Hospitals

622310 Specialty (except Psychiatric and Substance Abuse) Hospitals

623110 Nursing Care Facilities (Skilled Nursing Facilities)

623210 Residential Intellectual and Developmental Disability Facilities

623220 Residential Mental Health and Substance Abuse Facilities

623311 Continuing Care Retirement Communities

623312 Assisted Living Facilities for the Elderly

623990 Other Residential Care Facilities

624110 Child and Youth Services

624120 Services for the Elderly and Persons with Disabilities

624190 Other Individual and Family Services

624210 Community Food Services

624221 Temporary Shelters

624229 Other Community Housing Services

624230 Emergency and Other Relief Services

624310 Vocational Rehabilitation Services

624410 Child Day Care Services

812191 Diet and Weight Reducing Centers

902622 Hospitals (State Government)

903622 Hospitals (Local Government)




Advanced Health Services Code Description

325411 Medicinal and Botanical Manufacturing

325412 Pharmaceutical Preparation Manufacturing

325413 In-Vitro Diagnostic Substance Manufacturing

325414 Biological Product (except Diagnostic) Manufacturing

333314 Optical Instrument and Lens Manufacturing

334510 Electromedical and Electrotherapeutic Apparatus Manufacturing

339112 Surgical and Medical Instrument Manufacturing

339113 Surgical Appliance and Supplies Manufacturing

339114 Dental Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing

339115 Ophthalmic Goods Manufacturing

339116 Dental Laboratories

541380 Testing Laboratories

541713 Research and Development in Nanotechnology

541714 Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)

541715 Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)

541720 Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities

541940 Veterinary Services

621492 Kidney Dialysis Centers

621493 Freestanding Ambulatory Surgical and Emergency Centers

621511 Medical Laboratories

621512 Diagnostic Imaging Centers

622110 General Medical and Surgical Hospitals

622210 Psychiatric and Substance Abuse Hospitals

622310 Specialty (except Psychiatric and Substance Abuse) Hospitals

902622 Hospitals (State Government)

903622 Hospitals (Local Government)




Aerospace & Defense Code Description

325920 Explosives Manufacturing

332992 Small Arms Ammunition Manufacturing

332993 Ammunition (except Small Arms) Manufacturing

332994 Small Arms, Ordnance, and Ordnance Accessories Manufacturing

334511 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical, and Nautical System and Instrument Manufacturing

336411 Aircraft Manufacturing

336412 Aircraft Engine and Engine Parts Manufacturing

336413 Other Aircraft Parts and Auxiliary Equipment Manufacturing

336414 Guided Missile and Space Vehicle Manufacturing

336415 Guided Missile and Space Vehicle Propulsion Unit and Propulsion Unit Parts Manufacturing

336419 Other Guided Missile and Space Vehicle Parts and Auxiliary Equipment Manufacturing

336992 Military Armored Vehicle, Tank, and Tank Component Manufacturing









901200 Federal Government, Military




Advanced Aerospace & Defense Code Description

325920 Explosives Manufacturing

332993 Ammunition (except Small Arms) Manufacturing

332994 Small Arms, Ordnance, and Ordnance Accessories Manufacturing

334511 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical, and Nautical System and Instrument Manufacturing

336411 Aircraft Manufacturing

336412 Aircraft Engine and Engine Parts Manufacturing

336413 Other Aircraft Parts and Auxiliary Equipment Manufacturing

336414 Guided Missile and Space Vehicle Manufacturing

336415 Guided Missile and Space Vehicle Propulsion Unit and Propulsion Unit Parts Manufacturing

336419 Other Guided Missile and Space Vehicle Parts and Auxiliary Equipment Manufacturing

336992 Military Armored Vehicle, Tank, and Tank Component Manufacturing





Natural & Renewable Resources Code Description

111000 Crop Production

112000 Animal Production

115111 Cotton Ginning

115112 Soil Preparation, Planting, and Cultivating

115113 Crop Harvesting, Primarily by Machine

115114 Postharvest Crop Activities (except Cotton Ginning)

115115 Farm Labor Contractors and Crew Leaders

115116 Farm Management Services

115210 Support Activities for Animal Production

211120 Crude Petroleum Extraction

211130 Natural Gas Extraction

212111 Bituminous Coal and Lignite Surface Mining

212112 Bituminous Coal Underground Mining

212113 Anthracite Mining

212210 Iron Ore Mining

212221 Gold Ore Mining

212222 Silver Ore Mining

212230 Copper, Nickel, Lead, and Zinc Mining

212291 Uranium-Radium-Vanadium Ore Mining

212299 All Other Metal Ore Mining

212311 Dimension Stone Mining and Quarrying

212312 Crushed and Broken Limestone Mining and Quarrying

212313 Crushed and Broken Granite Mining and Quarrying

212319 Other Crushed and Broken Stone Mining and Quarrying

212321 Construction Sand and Gravel Mining

212322 Industrial Sand Mining

212324 Kaolin and Ball Clay Mining

212325 Clay and Ceramic and Refractory Minerals Mining

212391 Potash, Soda, and Borate Mineral Mining

212392 Phosphate Rock Mining

212393 Other Chemical and Fertilizer Mineral Mining

212399 All Other Nonmetallic Mineral Mining

213111 Drilling Oil and Gas Wells

213112 Support Activities for Oil and Gas Operations

213113 Support Activities for Coal Mining

213114 Support Activities for Metal Mining

213115 Support Activities for Nonmetallic Minerals (except Fuels) Mining

221114 Solar Electric Power Generation

221115 Wind Electric Power Generation

221116 Geothermal Electric Power Generation

221117 Biomass Electric Power Generation

221210 Natural Gas Distribution

322110 Pulp Mills

322121 Paper (except Newsprint) Mills

324110 Petroleum Refineries

333611 Turbine and Turbine Generator Set Units Manufacturing

335311 Power, Distribution, and Specialty Transformer Manufacturing

335911 Storage Battery Manufacturing

335912 Primary Battery Manufacturing

541620 Environmental Consulting Services




Advanced Natural & Renewable Resources Code Description

115116 Farm Management Services

211120 Crude Petroleum Extraction

211130 Natural Gas Extraction

212210 Iron Ore Mining

212221 Gold Ore Mining

212222 Silver Ore Mining

212230 Copper, Nickel, Lead, and Zinc Mining

212291 Uranium-Radium-Vanadium Ore Mining

212299 All Other Metal Ore Mining

212325 Clay and Ceramic and Refractory Minerals Mining

212391 Potash, Soda, and Borate Mineral Mining

212392 Phosphate Rock Mining

212393 Other Chemical and Fertilizer Mineral Mining

212399 All Other Nonmetallic Mineral Mining

213111 Drilling Oil and Gas Wells

213112 Support Activities for Oil and Gas Operations

213113 Support Activities for Coal Mining

213114 Support Activities for Metal Mining

213115 Support Activities for Nonmetallic Minerals (except Fuels) Mining

221114 Solar Electric Power Generation

221115 Wind Electric Power Generation

221116 Geothermal Electric Power Generation

221117 Biomass Electric Power Generation

221210 Natural Gas Distribution

322110 Pulp Mills

322121 Paper (except Newsprint) Mills

324110 Petroleum Refineries

333611 Turbine and Turbine Generator Set Units Manufacturing

335311 Power, Distribution, and Specialty Transformer Manufacturing

335911 Storage Battery Manufacturing

335912 Primary Battery Manufacturing

541620 Environmental Consulting Services




Tourism Code Description

485510 Charter Bus Industry

487110 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Land

487210 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Water

487990 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Other

532111 Passenger Car Rental

561510 Travel Agencies

561520 Tour Operators

561591 Convention and Visitors Bureaus

561599 All Other Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services

561920 Convention and Trade Show Organizers

711211 Sports Teams and Clubs

711212 Racetracks

711219 Other Spectator Sports

711310 Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events with Facilities

711320 Promoters of Performing Arts, Sports, and Similar Events without Facilities

711410 Agents and Managers for Artists, Athletes, Entertainers, and Other Public Figures

711510 Independent Artists, Writers, and Performers

712110 Museums

712120 Historical Sites

712130 Zoos and Botanical Gardens

712190 Nature Parks and Other Similar Institutions

713110 Amusement and Theme Parks

713210 Casinos (except Casino Hotels)

713290 Other Gambling Industries

713910 Golf Courses and Country Clubs

713920 Skiing Facilities

713930 Marinas

713990 All Other Amusement and Recreation Industries

721110 Hotels (except Casino Hotels) and Motels

721120 Casino Hotels

721191 Bed-and-Breakfast Inns

721199 All Other Traveler Accommodation

721211 RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Campgrounds

721214 Recreational and Vacation Camps (except Campgrounds)

pinal county economic conditions & workforce …...economic conditions analysis of employment...

Documents