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Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017

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Page 1: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions

December 4, 2017

Page 2: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

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INDUSTRY DATA

Page 3: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Economic Impact of Civil Aviation

In 2014, civil aviation generated $1.6 trillion in economic activity and supported 10.6 million jobs.

Civil aviation accounted for 5.1%(846 billion) of the U.S. gross domestic product in 2014.

Commercial airline operations enabled $310.0 billion of visitor expenditures on goods and services.

Civil aircraft manufacturing continues to be the top net exporter in the U.S. with a positive trade balance of $59.9 billion.

* Source: U.S. DOT FAA “The Economic Impact of Civil Aviation on the U.S. Economy” November 2016

Page 4: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Demand for Air Travel is Growing

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Page 5: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Regional Airlines Are Critical Infrastructure

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Regional Airlines Provide the sole link to Global Air Transportation for Many U.S. Communities.

Page 6: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Regional Airline Industry is Contracting

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Page 7: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Regional Airline Economic Environment

Communities across the country are losing air service

during a period of economic recovery. Typically at this point

in the cycle, communities would gain frequency and

options. However:

– A growing pilot shortage has left airlines with insufficient pilots to serve all existing routes.

– Airlines have been forced to reduce frequency and connectivity and in some cases have had to exit markets.

– Heaviest impact falling on small and rural communities.

Page 8: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

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PILOT SUPPLY DATA

Page 9: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Dramatically Fewer Pilots

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Page 10: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Unprecedented Attrition

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Page 11: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Cumulative Shortages Predicted

Includes new pilots entering the workforce; Reflects only the major airline cumulative shortage

= 300 parked

aircraft

= 1,400 parked

aircraft

(Analysis does not include regional airline staffing needs)

Source: University of North Dakota Pilot Supply Forecast 2016

Page 12: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

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AIR SERVICE DATA

Page 13: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Communities Losing Air Service Since 2013

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Reduction of 10% or more (256 airports)

Reduction of 20% or more (174 airports)

Reduction of 33% or more (107 airports)

Reduction of 50% or more (65 airports)

Reduction of 75% or more (26 airports)

Lost all service (20 airports)

Source: RAA analysis of OAG schedules via PlaneStats online portal; Airports had scheduled passenger air service (departures) in 2013 and had reduction in 2017

Page 14: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Without Access to Reliable and Adequate Air Service:

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Communities struggle to

attract and retain

businesses.

Communities lose essential

service providers, including

medical professionals.

Communities experience

diminished economic

viability.

Page 15: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Far-Reaching Economic Consequences

$

1.1 M

$36.1 B

$121.5 B

Source: InterVistas, http://www.airservicealliance.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/IVC-ECON-IMPACT-FOR-RASA-IN-MSP.pdf

In 2015, the economic impact of air service to small and non-hub airports alone in the contiguious 48 states was conservatively estimated at $121B — supporting over 1.1m jobs

Page 16: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Far-Reaching Potential Direct Job Losses

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When aircraft are parked without pilots, the impact is

widespread and complex.

RAA airline members employ more than 59,000 people.

Besides 20,000 pilots (not all actively flying), regional

airlines employ:

15,000 flight attendants

10,000 support staff

1,000 flight control

5,000 customer service

8,000 mechanics

Page 17: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

The pilot shortage is a shared problem.

U.S. Military Facing a Pilot Shortage

Page 18: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

“Pilots are strategic national assets and the pilot

crisis extends beyond the Air Force and military. It

is a national problem which requires senior-level

attention in Congress, the Commercial Industry,

and the DoD…Today the Air Force has a rated

manpower shortfall of approximately 1,550 pilots

across the Total Force.”

U.S. Military Discusses Pilot Shortage

“This is a supply-demand

mismatch…The nation as a whole is

producing less pilots than we need

in order to service commercial,

business and military aviation. I’m

the lead advocate as the airman on

the Joint Chiefs of Staff, because

we’re all affected by this — but we

have to look nationally at incentives

to increase the supply.”

Gen. David Goldfein, U.S. Air Force Chief of Staffhttps://federalnewsradio.com/air-force/2017/04/air-force-

chief-squashes-reports-military-will-force-pilots-stay-uniform/

Lt. Gen. Mark C. Nowland, USAF Deputy Chief of Staff

(Operations) Senate Armed Services Committee

March 29, 2017

“The Air Force faces an ongoing pilot shortage. This is

not the first time the Air Force has been in this

position, and as long as there is a market for highly-

trained, professional, disciplined Airmen it will not be

the last.”

Gen. Carlton Everhart II, U.S. Air Force Commander, Air Mobility Commandhttp://www.military.com/daily-news/2017/09/17/oped-family-first-approach-key-addressing-pilot-

shortage.html

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PILOT PAY DATA

Page 20: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Pilot Compensation

RAA member airlines pay first year, First Officers an average

total compensation of $57,316.

90% of RAA member airlines (by fleet) pay first year, First

Officers an average compensation of $60,110.

Compensation includes minimum base pay, bonus, & tuition reimbursements only;

does not include per-diem, commuter support, retirement, health, or other

benefits.

The Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS) reported 2016

median annual wage for all U.S. occupations at all levels

was $37,040.

Page 21: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Pilot Compensation

A pilot’s ROI is better than these high-prestige fields.

For every $1 invested in education:

– doctors earn $19

– lawyers earn $30

– pilots earn $33

Source: Brown Aviation Lease

Page 22: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Recruiting Success Falling Despite Investments

RAA member airline first

year, First Officer average

compensation rose more

than 150 percent between

2015 and today.

Overall recruiting success

declined during the same

period.

Higher pay has not

resolved the pilot

shortage; broader

solutions are needed.

Page 23: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Regional Airlines are Investing in Pilots

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Significant salary investments, starting year one.

Collegiate and training institution partnerships focused on career

opportunities; preferred hiring agreements.

Internship, cadet, and leadership development programs.

Tuition reimbursement agreements.

Flow programs with major airlines to support career stability.

Congress should allow airlines to offer another source of support to pilots:

airline-funded, safety enhancing structured training pathways.

Page 24: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

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POLICY &

THE PILOT SHORTAGE

Page 25: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

The Pilot Shortage + Policy = Crisis

A 2013 Federal regulation

(First Officer Qualifications)

intended to increase pilot

experience constrained

supply further by elongating

the pathway and driving up

the cost of becoming a pilot.

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Pilots graduate training with around 250 hours. On average, it takes approximately two more years for student pilots to earn the additional time required to reach 1,500 hours.

1,5

00

25

0

Page 26: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

FOQ and Pilot Supply

The 2013 FOQ rule change created a new barrier of career

entry by making it more expensive and burdensome to go

through a part 141 or part 61 pathway to become a pilot -

effectively limiting the pilot career path to wealthy students.

The FOQ rule also presented a new barrier to aviation university

graduates, who must spend additional time accumulating flight

hours after graduation and before hiring eligibility.

A 2015 UND / University of Nebraska Omaha “Pilot Careers

Aspiration Study” found more than 1/3 of aspiring aviators in

flight training environments had been discouraged or decided

against becoming a commercial pilot because of the rule. Many

considered relocating overseas for earlier career start.

Page 27: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Becoming a Pilot is Prohibitively Expensive

The added cost of getting those

hours boosted the price tag for

becoming a commercial airline

pilot to about $200,000.

Most of these costs, such as flight

training or gaining additional

hours in flight, are not covered by

student loans.

It is becoming financially

impossible for all but the

wealthiest students to become

pilots.

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Page 28: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

There is a misconception that pilots spend these two years

gaining additional training. This is incorrect.

Pilots do not receive any additional training during this time.

Very few commercial flying opportunities exist to allow meaningful

experience. Typically, pilots accumulate hours in two ways: they

pay out of pocket for recreational flying, or they do any flying they

can, like flight instruction, banner towing, and crop dusting.

T

These operations take place in fair weather, in aircraft that bear

no resemblance to today’s modern commercial airliner.

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The Additional Training Myth

Page 29: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

The Additional Training Myth

After spending two years flying aircraft that bear no resemblance to the technologically advanced jets used by today’s regional airlines and without supervised training, pilots are expected to succeed in commercial airline training.

Page 30: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Pilot Source Study 2015

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An independent study of 7000 pilot training records, conducted by six of the most trusted aviation universities in the country, showed the opposite:

– Pilots hired after the rule required more extra training and failed to complete training than before the rule.

– Pilots with lower hours in flight performed better than pilots with higher hours in flight.

– Longer times between graduation date and airline hire corresponded to decreased training performance.

– R-ATP pilots (pilots with structured training credit toward flight hours) had the best outcomes.

Page 31: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Structured Training Pathways

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Congress has already authorized Alternate (R-ATP) Pathways

that eliminate some unsupervised flight hours in favor of

additional structured training.

Military and Academic Institutions are already

approved for these R-ATP Pathways

Regional airlines have proposed additional training pathways,

which would be paid by airlines and certified by the FAA as

achieving a higher level of safety than flight time alone.

Page 32: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Airline-Sponsored Structured Training Pathways

Bridge gap between pilot training and qualification, providing additionalstructured training before a pilot is released to line flying.

Incorporate rigorous screening, testing, academics, checks, audits & more.

Use high-quality simulators to prepare pilots for scenarios they don’t encounter when building flight hours in fair weather, like icing on the wing, or losing an engine.

The FAA would approve programs line-by-line, to ensure they enhance safety.

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Page 33: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

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WASHINGTON’S

ROLE IN RECOVERY

Page 34: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Requested Actions for Policymakers

Encourage FAA to recognize that academic training courses offered by various providers including certificated air carriers, can meet the requirements of the statute where crediting completion of these courses toward a R-ATP certificate enhances safety.

Encourage FAA to evaluate aviation safety programs on science, empirical evidence, and data.

Encourage FAA to evaluate new R-ATP pathways and credit for scenario-based and highly structured training methods, such as high-fidelity flight simulators.

Open financial avenues to support pilot training: expand student loan coverage to include flight training, establish loan forgiveness programs for pilots; ensure GI bill funding; and create tax incentives encouraging employer based programs.

Page 35: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

Legislation

Senate Commerce Committee

Chairman John Thune (R-SD)

included language in the Senate

FAA Reauthorization that affirms

and expands FAA’s authority to

approve additional structured

training pathways.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck

Schumer (D-NY) has threatened

to filibuster FAA reauthorization

over the pathway language.

This safety-enhancing solution

improves pilot training, allows

airlines to invest more to support

pilot education, and protects

small community air service

across the country.

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Page 36: Pilot Workforce and Training Solutions December 4, 2017c.ymcdn.com/sites/ Impact of Civil Aviation In 2014, ... Internship, cadet, ... and expands FAA’s authority to

All comments in this deck are attributable to:

Faye Malarkey Black

President,

Regional Airline Association