phil steelesplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/nfl/week_11/itpb_nfl... · phil steeles i...
TRANSCRIPT
The Perfect Complementto Phil Steele’s
INSIDE THE PRESSBOXCOLLEGE
PHIL STEELE’SInside the Pressbox
BEST BETS in green
473 PHILADELPHIA 8:30 p.m. NBC474 DALLAS475 ATLANTA 8:30 p.m. Monday ESPN476 SEATTLEBYES: Carolina, Indianapolis,NY Jets,San Francisco
311 TENNESSEE 8:25 p.m. Thursday NBC312 PITTSBURGH 451 DETROIT 1:00 p.m. 452 CHICAGO 453 KANSAS CITY 1:00 p.m.454 NY GIANTS 455 H TAMPA BAY 1:00 p.m.456 MIAMI
457 BALTIMORE 1:00 p.m.458 GREEN BAY459 LA RAMS 1:00 p.m.460 MINNESOTA 461 ARIZONA 1:00 p.m.462 HOUSTON 463 JACKSONVILLE 1:00 p.m.464 CLEVELAND
465 WASHINGTON 1:00 p.m.466 NEW ORLEANS467 BUFFALO 4:05 p.m.468 LA CHARGERS469 CINCINNATI 4:25 p.m.470 H DENVER 471 NEW ENGLAND 4:25 p.m.472 OAKLAND
TEN FOE TEN FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST PIT FOE PIT FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 100 102 80.3 #244 88.1 #115 9/10 16-26 L 6 17 24 4 24 6 0-0 0-0 108 93 87.3 #127 87.6 #124 9/10 21-18 W 1 12 23 26 26 190-1 1-0 97 102 100.7 #5 74.5 #283 9/17 37-16 W 9 17 24 21 6 21 1-0 1-0 106 102 97.4 #18 83.5 #200 9/17 26-9 W 2 7 23 17 2 261-1 1-1 102 101 89.8 #87 83.8 #192 9/24 33-27 W 6 15 24 21 1 16 2-0 0-2 108 93 87.1 #129 88.8 #102 9/24 17-23 L 2 6 23 25 21 282-1 1-2 102 98 64.3 #292 105.0 #2 10/1 14-57 L 5 21 18 22 5 27 #8 #18 2-1 2-1 104 100 96.6 #22 81.8 #226 10/1 26-9 W 6 4 26 30 17 72-2 1-2 97 91 77.2 #270 85.1 #175 10/8 10-16 L 6 31 13 32 17 21 #27 #10 3-1 2-2 107 100 83.4 #202 98.4 #15 10/8 9-30 L 7 5 29 14 11 182-3 2-3 95 91 88.4 #109 79.9 #246 10/16 36-22 W 15 30 6 29 32 8 #19 #10 3-2 5-0 102 109 93.9 #41 84.4 #185 10/15 19-13 W 9 5 28 1 10 163-3 0-6 96 89 84.6 #181 84.1 #189 10/22 12-9 W 15 27 11 30 24 15 #13 #19 4-2 2-3 106 102 95.8 #25 79.8 #248 10/22 29-14 W 7 3 30 24 2 164-3 96 10/29 20 20 9 #13 #3 5-2 3-3 107 101 87.0 #132 91.8 #61 10/29 20-15 W 5 2 30 19 23 24-3 4-4 96 103 86.1 #153 85.7 #156 11/5 23-20 W 19 18 11 23 12 3 #6 #11 6-2 107 11/5 4 4 305-3 3-5 98 97 87.9 #119 81.2 #237 11/12 24-20 W 17 19 11 30 9 21 #19 #2 6-2 3-6 107 95 86.7 #138 88.1 #114 11/12 20-17 W 5 4 29 26 30 106-3 7-2 98 106 11/16 17 17 10 6 1 27 #16 #2 7-2 6-3 106 98 11/16 6 1 27 17 17 10
3-7 96 11/26 26 27 9 #22 #2 5-4 100 11/26 26 27 93-6 96 12/3 18 26 19 #30 #2 3-6 97 12/4 18 26 194-5 93 12/10 30 16 31 #14 #3 4-5 101 12/10 30 16 311-9 89 12/17 25 30 13 1 -1 7-2 107 12/17 25 30 137-2 113 12/24 5 6 1 14.43 Off YPP 17.25 3-6 96 12/25 5 6 16-3 105 12/31 10 2 22 #12 Off YPP Rank #23 0-9 88 12/31 10 2 22
13.87 Def YPP 17.28#25 Def YPP Rank #6
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Oakland 16-26 -9 -1 -35.4 0 21 21-95 4.5 25-41 255 1 22 29-109 3.8 22-32 250 2 at Cleveland 21-18 53 -4 9.3 0 16 17-35 2.1 24-36 255 1 20 25-57 2.3 20-30 180 7at Jacksonville 37-16 80 1 14.7 2 21 36-179 5.0 15-27 211 1 20 25-99 4.0 20-34 211 2 Minnesota 26-9 98 8 40.6 1 22 32-102 3.2 23-35 233 2 14 20-91 4.6 20-38 146 2 Seattle 33-27 -13 -3 -6.0 0 21 35-195 5.6 20-32 225 0 24 22-69 3.1 29-49 364 1 at Chicago 17-23 -22 1 8.5 0 19 17-70 4.1 22-39 212 3 18 38-220 5.8 15-22 84 2at Houston 14-57 -250 -24 -96.5 -4 9 19-86 4.5 10-20 109 2 33 42-173 4.1 25-34 272 2 at Baltimore 26-9 93 4 14.7 2 22 42-173 4.1 18-30 208 1 18 15-82 5.5 31-49 206 4at Miami 10-16 10 2 35.3 0 14 20-69 3.5 21-32 119 6 12 31-100 3.2 12-27 78 1 Jacksonville 9-30 58 6 -10.4 -4 21 20-70 3.5 33-55 301 2 15 37-231 6.2 8-14 82 2 Indianapolis 36-22 176 7 17.0 0 25 34-168 4.9 23-32 305 1 18 20-85 4.3 21-37 212 0 at Kansas City 19-13 188 11 8.8 -1 23 37-194 5.2 17-25 245 1 12 15-28 1.9 19-34 223 3at Cleveland 12-9 -15 -3 36.3 2 16 32-80 2.5 21-34 189 2 19 26-66 2.5 22-39 218 2 Cincinnati 29-14 241 10 60.2 2 21 43-152 3.5 15-25 268 0 11 17-71 4.2 17-30 108 4at Bye at Detroit 20-15 -90 -4 -3.5 -1 17 29-75 2.6 17-31 317 0 21 22-71 3.2 27-45 411 2 Baltimore 23-20 -84 -10 24.3 1 14 21-71 3.4 19-28 186 3 24 22-73 3.3 35-53 268 2 at Bye Cincinnati 24-20 108 12 -27.8 0 27 36-180 5.0 25-44 236 4 15 14-53 3.8 20-35 255 1 at Indianapolis 20-17 49 5 -6.7 0 18 30-88 2.9 19-31 228 1 13 29-71 2.4 14-24 196 3at Pittsburgh Tennesseeat Indianapolis Green Bay Houston at Cincinnatiat Arizona Baltimoreat San Francisco New England LA Rams at Houston Jacksonville Cleveland
Average 23-24 0.3 0.0 -6.3 1 19 28-125 4.4 20-32 204 6.9% 21 26-92 3.6 23-38 236 3.8% Average 21-16 74.2 0.0 7.8 -1 20 30-107 3.6 21-34 252 3.6% 16 24-102 4.2 19-32 182 10.1% Vs AFC South 29-32 2.0 -5.3 -26.9 -2 18 30-144 4.9 16-26 208 5.1% 24 29-119 4.1 22-35 232 3.8% Vs AFC North 25-14 129.0 3.3 27.6 4 20 34-120 3.5 19-30 244 2.2% 16 19-70 3.7 23-36 165 13.8%
Away 18-25 -43.8 -6.0 -6.4 0 15 27-104 3.9 17-28 157 9.7% 21 31-110 3.5 20-34 195 5.2% Home 21-18 132.3 8.0 15.7 -1 21 32-108 3.4 24-38 267 3.5% 13 25-131 5.3 15-27 112 9.8%
Oakland -2.5/50.5 Marcus Mariota 25-41-256-0-0 DeMarco Murray 12-44-3.7-0 Derrick Henry 7-76-10.9-0 at Cleveland -9/47 Ben Roethlisberger 24-36-263-2-1 Le'Veon Bell 10-32-3.2-0 Antonio Brown 11-182-16.5-0at Jacksonville -1/41.5 Marcus Mariota 15-27-215-1-1 Derrick Henry 14-92-6.6-1 Delanie Walker 4-61-15.3-0 Minnesota -9.5/43.5 Ben Roethlisberger 23-35-243-2-0 Le'Veon Bell 27-87-3.2-0 Martavis Bryant 3-91-30.3-1 Seattle -2.5/41.5 Marcus Mariota 20-32-225-2-0 DeMarco Murray 14-115-8.2-1 Rishard Matthews 6-87-14.5-1 vs. at Chicago -7.5/44 Ben Roethlisberger 22-39-235-1-0 Le'Veon Bell 15-61-4.1-1 Antonio Brown 10-110-11.0-1at Houston -2.5/43 Marcus Mariota 6-10-96-0-2 Marcus Mariota 4-39-9.8-2 Delanie Walker 3-51-17.0-0 at Baltimore -3/42.5 Ben Roethlisberger 18-30-216-1-1 Le'Veon Bell 35-144-4.1-2 Martavis Bryant 3-48-16.0-0at Miami +2/42.5 Matt Cassel 21-32-141-1-0 DeMarco Murray 14-58-4.1-0 Rishard Matthews 3-34-11.3-0 Jacksonville -7.5/42.5 Ben Roethlisberger 33-55-312-0-5 Le'Veon Bell 15-47-3.1-0 Antonio Brown 10-157-15.7-0 Indianapolis -7/47 Marcus Mariota 23-32-306-1-1 Derrick Henry 19-131-6.9-1 Eric Decker 7-88-12.6-0 vs. at Kansas City +4/46.5 Ben Roethlisberger 17-25-252-1-1 Le'Veon Bell 32-179-5.6-1 Antonio Brown 8-155-19.4-1at Cleveland -5.5/43.5 Marcus Mariota 21-34-203-0-0 DeMarco Murray 18-59-3.3-0 Delanie Walker 7-63-9.0-0 Cincinnati -4/40.5 Ben Roethlisberger 14-24-224-2-0 Le'Veon Bell 35-134-3.8-0 Antonio Brown 4-65-16.3-1at Bye at Detroit -3/45 Ben Roethlisberger 17-31-317-1-1 Le'Veon Bell 25-76-3.0-1 JuJu Smith-Schuster 7-193-27.6-1 Baltimore -3/41.5 Marcus Mariota 19-28-218-2-1 Derrick Henry 8-26-3.3-1 Delanie Walker 5-71-14.2-0 vs. at Bye Cincinnati -4/41 Marcus Mariota 25-44-264-1-1 Derrick Henry 11-52-4.7-0 Delanie Walker 6-63-10.5-0 at Indianapolis -10/46.5 Ben Roethlisberger 19-31-236-2-1 Le'Veon Bell 26-80-3.1-0 JuJu Smith-Schuster 5-97-19.4-1at Pittsburgh Tennesseeat Indianapolis vs. Green Bay Houston at Cincinnatiat Arizona Baltimoreat San Francisco vs. New England LA Rams at Houston Jacksonville Cleveland
vs.
Marcus Mariota 154-248-1783-7-6 DeMarco Murray 109-433-4.0-4 Rishard Matthews 36-513-14.3-2 vs. Ben Roethlisberger 187-306-2298-12-10 Le'Veon Bell 220-840-3.8-5 Antonio Brown 60-882-14.7-3Matt Cassel 25-42-162-1-2 Derrick Henry 94-409-4.4-3 Delanie Walker 36-382-10.6-0 Robert Golden 1-1-44-0-0 James Conner 19-101-5.3-0 JuJu Smith-Schuster 29-521-18.0-5
Marcus Mariota 32-181-5.7-3 Eric Decker 28-266-9.5-1 Martavis Bryant 4-13-3.3-0 Martavis Bryant 21-276-13.1-1vs. Category
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sTennessee 45.5 24 312 14 15-49
Pittsburgh -5.5 27 386 29 36-206 0 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sTennessee -6.5 16 229 17 42-112
Pittsburgh 42 9 194 14 15-31 -2 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sTennessee 43 26 359 21 22-94
Pittsburgh -6 23 412 19 22-56 0
Comp-Att-Yds
24-40-356
15-24-263
21-32-180
2013 Comp-Att-Yds11-20-117
21-33-163
2012
Baltimore New Englandat Houston
at San Francisco Total TO's LA Rams Jacksonville Cleveland
at Detroitat Byeat Indianapolis Tennessee Green Bayat Cincinnati
Minnesotaat Chicagoat Baltimore Jacksonvilleat Kansas City Cincinnati
Cincinnatiat Pittsburghat Indianapolis Houston at Arizona
at Houston at Miami Indianapolisat Clevelandat Bye Baltimore
Pittsburgh By 8.4
Computer Yards
Pittsburgh 26-15
Pittsburgh By 15 Pittsburgh 28 Tennessee 13
By Game Yardage Leaders
Phil Steele
Weather: Cloudy, Low 40's. While I feel that the Steelers are one of the top three teams in the NFL, I went with the Colts last week because Pittsburgh is poor off a bye and had only won one of the last nine road games by over a touchdown. They were lucky to escape with a win overcoming a 17-3 deficit. Pittsburgh is 7-2 despite having six of their first nine games on the road. At home this year they have outgained teams by a 375-243 margin and they will be fired up for the 6-3 Titans. Tennessee has a good shot at the playoffs, but they are being outscored on the year and have not impressed me the last four weeks. They did have 27-15 first down and 416-308 yardage edges against a weak Bengals teams at home. The Steelers defense holds foes to 44 yards per game below their season average and the Titans allow teams 12 above. The last four weeks Pittsburgh has the No. 4 offense in the NFL and Tennessee is No. 26. The Titans average just 261 yards per game on the road. Let’s clinch it with the trends. Pittsburgh is 10-4 ATS as a non-division home favorite since 2014 and Tennessee is 7-16 as an away ‘dog the past four years.
Pittsburgh By 7
Las Vegas Total44 Points
+/- Ratings
Las Vegas Line
Receiving
Computer Points
Position by Position Edges
Pit
tsb
urg
h S
teel
ers
OffenseSteelers Net StatsScore
Pittsburgh 387 - 304
Game Grade
PassingPittsburgh
0.10
TEN TOTAL PTS
PIT TOTAL PTS
TennesseeBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
TEN QB/WR
PIT SECONDARY
1.52Tennessee Pittsburgh 275 yardsProjected Yardage Total
197 yards
#32 #28
Tennessee Pittsburgh
Projected Passing
387 yards
Pittsburgh26 points
4.39
#17 Tennessee Pittsburgh #23
304 yards
PittsburghTennessee
Tennessee PittsburghTeam Schedule Strength
Tennessee Season Leaders
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Rushing107 yards Tennessee Pittsburgh 112 yards
15 points
25-44-265
Projected Box Score2014 Comp-Att-Yds
TEN RB's
TEN LB'S
0.51TEN OFF LINE
0.11PIT LB's
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
By 2.87 Points
Projected Final Score
SteelersFuture Schedule Strength
PIT QB/WR
TEN KICKER
1.48PIT COACHES
TEN COACHES
0.34PIT KICKER
0.21PIT RB's
TEN DEF LINE0.58
PIT OFF LINE
PIT DEF LINE
TEN SECONDARY1.58
3-02-1
Total Off
Total Def
Rush Off
Tennessee
Rush Def
Pittsburgh Season LeadersPIT SPECIAL TMS
TEN SPECIAL TMS1.01
FOE
2017 CURRENT RANKINGS
Pass Off
FOEPIT --PS RANK--PLUS/MINUS
Defense
GAME GRADES
at Cleveland
PIT
Pittsburgh By 10.5
Phil's Forecast:
Rushing
Team & Margin
RECORD
Score DefSks ByYpg Diff
Sks Allowed
NFL RANKINGS
Pittsburgh
Pass Def
Score Off
--PS RANK--TEN
FOE
GAME GRADESRECORD PLUS/MINUS
TEN
6-3 7-2Vs AFC North
Tennessee Titans
ScoreDefenseOffenseTitans Net Stats
Ten
nes
see
Tita
ns
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Oaklandat Jacksonville Seattle
FOE
Pittsburgh SteelersSteelers LogsTitans Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL:
Vs AFC South
DET FOE DET FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST CHI FOE CHI FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 99 100 88.6 #105 81.8 #225 9/10 35-23 W 18 30 5 10 14 29 0-0 0-0 96 107 84.7 #180 89.3 #95 9/10 17-23 L 21 22 28 2 15 251-0 0-1 101 100 86.5 #144 83.3 #205 9/18 24-10 W 16 27 5 26 9 13 0-1 0-0 96 99 76.9 #273 92.2 #58 9/17 7-29 L 22 21 28 15 20 122-0 2-0 103 108 86.8 #137 90.5 #77 9/24 26-30 L 16 24 5 1 12 25 0-2 2-0 93 108 88.8 #102 87.1 #129 9/24 23-17 W 25 21 28 2 6 232-1 2-1 103 103 93.7 #42 84.3 #186 10/1 14-7 W 16 22 5 9 2 19 #28 #9 1-2 2-1 97 101 77.8 #266 91.6 #63 9/28 14-35 L 19 15 25 8 24 323-1 3-1 106 100 83.3 #204 93.2 #43 10/8 24-27 L 24 13 4 15 7 28 #8 #31 1-3 2-2 95 100 86.6 #140 88.4 #106 10/9 17-20 L 23 16 20 11 1 153-2 2-2 103 104 88.2 #111 93.1 #46 10/15 38-52 L 22 20 4 5 26 9 #15 #29 1-4 3-2 96 102 87.7 #123 84.8 #179 10/15 27-24 W 25 16 29 26 15 113-3 101 10/22 19 25 2 #6 #28 2-4 4-2 99 101 90.3 #81 83.4 #203 10/22 17-3 W 22 17 32 10 6 233-3 5-2 101 107 91.8 #61 87.0 #132 10/29 15-20 L 19 23 2 5 2 30 #27 #19 3-4 4-2 101 107 90.3 #79 88.1 #116 10/29 12-20 L 25 9 31 3 26 263-4 4-3 101 99 95.3 #26 77.0 #272 11/6 30-17 W 15 22 4 18 27 17 #10 #15 3-5 101 11/5 25 9 314-4 0-8 104 88 86.7 #139 85.6 #160 11/12 38-24 W 14 16 3 31 18 13 #25 #10 3-5 4-4 101 95 80.6 #242 88.7 #103 11/12 16-23 L 27 8 30 24 26 175-4 3-6 103 96 11/19 12 23 6 28 14 30 #22 #9 3-6 5-4 96 103 11/19 28 14 30 12 23 6
7-2 104 11/23 9 3 18 #21 #13 8-1 109 11/26 9 3 184-5 101 12/3 23 12 2 #18 #7 1-9 89 12/3 23 12 23-6 95 12/10 20 25 20 #19 #21 3-6 97 12/10 20 25 203-6 96 12/16 28 14 30 8 -5 5-4 103 12/16 28 14 303-6 97 12/24 29 13 17 12.43 Off YPP 17.48 0-9 88 12/24 29 13 175-4 100 12/31 21 21 21 #3 Off YPP Rank #24 7-2 104 12/31 21 21 21
14.99 Def YPP 14.63#21 Def YPP Rank #22
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Arizona 35-23 58 -5 59.8 3 19 27-82 3.0 29-41 285 1 24 18-45 2.5 27-48 264 1 Atlanta 17-23 -71 2 -29.3 0 20 19-125 6.6 26-40 176 4 18 23-64 2.8 21-30 308 2at NY Giants 24-10 -13 -2 29.7 0 12 32-138 4.3 15-21 119 3 14 18-62 3.4 22-32 208 5 at Tampa Bay 7-29 -1 -3 -12.4 -3 19 16-20 1.3 31-45 290 1 22 34-117 3.4 18-31 194 2 Atlanta 26-30 -104 -5 2.7 3 21 19-71 3.7 25-45 253 2 26 28-151 5.4 24-35 277 2 Pittsburgh 23-17 22 -1 -8.5 0 18 38-220 5.8 15-22 84 2 19 17-70 4.1 22-39 212 3at Minnesota 14-7 -33 4 4.3 3 19 31-97 3.1 19-31 154 6 15 22-87 4.0 16-30 197 2 at Green Bay 14-35 48 3 -60.4 -4 20 30-103 3.4 21-33 205 1 17 24-91 3.8 19-27 169 2 Carolina 24-27 -120 3 -38.6 -1 19 15-50 3.3 23-35 192 6 16 28-28 1.0 26-33 334 3 Minnesota 17-20 -26 -1 -12.7 -2 16 29-115 4.0 13-26 159 1 17 31-159 5.1 22-32 141 4at New Orleans 38-52 -32 -1 -15.8 -2 18 19-66 3.5 25-52 281 5 19 37-193 5.2 21-31 186 0 at Baltimore 27-24 51 2 69.4 1 18 54-231 4.3 9-17 111 4 16 26-125 4.8 24-41 166 3at Bye Carolina 17-3 -140 -15 58.5 3 5 26-68 2.6 4-7 85 4 20 30-108 3.6 21-34 185 5 Pittsburgh 15-20 90 4 3.5 1 21 22-71 3.2 27-45 411 2 17 29-75 2.6 17-31 317 0 at New Orleans 12-20 -80 -2 -64.3 1 17 31-157 5.1 14-32 150 2 19 30-101 3.4 23-28 286 2at Green Bay 30-17 106 3 57.4 0 24 33-64 1.9 26-33 353 1 21 17-78 4.6 26-38 233 3 at Bye Cleveland 38-24 -68 -10 48.4 1 16 19-104 5.5 17-26 241 4 26 33-201 6.1 22-40 212 4 Green Bay 16-23 -19 -4 -13.8 -1 14 17-55 3.2 21-35 268 5 18 37-160 4.3 18-25 182 3at Chicago Detroit Minnesota at Philadelphiaat Baltimore San Franciscoat Tampa Bay at Cincinnati Chicago at Detroitat Cincinnati Cleveland Green Bay at Minnesota
Average 27-23 -12.9 0.0 14.8 8 19 24-83 3.4 23-37 254 9.1% 20 26-102 4.0 22-35 248 6.3% Average 17-22 -24.0 0.0 -10.7 -5 16 29-122 4.2 17-29 170 9.3% 18 28-111 3.9 21-32 205 9.1% Vs NFC North 22-12 36.5 3.5 32.3 3 22 32-81 2.5 23-32 254 10.9% 18 20-83 4.2 21-34 215 7.4% Vs NFC North 16-26 1.0 -0.7 -30.6 -7 17 25-91 3.6 18-31 211 7.4% 17 31-137 4.5 20-28 164 10.7%
Away 27-22 7.0 1.0 12.9 1 18 29-91 3.2 21-34 227 10.9% 17 24-105 4.5 21-33 206 7.6% Home 18-17 -46.8 -3.8 -2.0 0 15 26-117 4.5 16-26 154 12.3% 18 28-112 4.1 21-32 206 10.6%
Arizona +2.5/48.5 Matthew Stafford 29-41-292-4-1 Ameer Abdullah 15-30-2.0-0 Golden Tate 10-107-10.7-0 Atlanta +7/48.5 Mike Glennon 26-40-213-1-0 Tarik Cohen 5-66-13.2-0 Tarik Cohen 8-47-5.9-1at NY Giants +3/42 Matthew Stafford 15-21-122-2-0 Ameer Abdullah 17-86-5.1-0 Eric Ebron 5-42-8.4-1 at Tampa Bay +7/44.5 Mike Glennon 31-45-301-1-2 Tarik Cohen 7-13-1.9-0 Kendall Wright 7-69-9.9-0 Atlanta +3/50 Matthew Stafford 25-45-264-1-0 Ameer Abdullah 14-47-3.4-0 TJ Jones 3-63-21.0-0 vs. Pittsburgh +7.5/44 Mike Glennon 15-22-101-1-1 Jordan Howard 23-138-6.0-2 Jordan Howard 5-26-5.2-0at Minnesota +2.5/43 Matthew Stafford 19-31-209-0-0 Ameer Abdullah 20-94-4.7-1 Marvin Jones Jr 2-42-21.0-0 at Green Bay +7/45 Mike Glennon 21-33-218-1-2 Jordan Howard 18-53-2.9-1 Kendall Wright 4-51-12.8-1 Carolina -2.5/42.5 Matthew Stafford 23-35-229-2-0 Ameer Abdullah 10-31-3.1-0 Marvin Jones Jr 6-54-9.0-0 Minnesota +3.5/40.5 Mitch Trubisky 12-25-128-1-1 Jordan Howard 19-76-4.0-0 Kendall Wright 4-46-11.5-0at New Orleans +4.5/50 Matthew Stafford 25-52-312-3-3 Ameer Abdullah 14-54-3.9-0 Marvin Jones Jr 6-96-16.0-1 vs. at Baltimore +6/39.5 Mitch Trubisky 8-16-113-1-0 Jordan Howard 36-167-4.6-0 Dion Sims 2-42-21.0-1at Bye Carolina +3/41 Mitch Trubisky 4-7-107-0-0 Jordan Howard 21-65-3.1-0 Tarik Cohen 1-70-70.0-0 Pittsburgh +3/45 Matthew Stafford 27-45-423-0-0 Ameer Abdullah 11-27-2.5-0 Marvin Jones Jr 6-128-21.3-0 at New Orleans +9.5/47 Mitch Trubisky 14-32-164-0-1 Jordan Howard 23-102-4.4-0 Tre McBride 3-92-30.7-0at Green Bay -2.5/43 Matthew Stafford 26-33-361-2-0 Ameer Abdullah 21-48-2.3-1 Golden Tate 7-113-16.1-0 vs. at Bye Cleveland -10.5/43 Matthew Stafford 17-26-249-3-1 Ameer Abdullah 11-52-4.7-1 Golden Tate 6-97-16.2-1 Green Bay -4.5/37.5 Mitch Trubisky 21-35-297-1-0 Jordan Howard 15-54-3.6-0 Dontrell Inman 6-88-14.7-0at Chicago Detroit Minnesota vs. at Philadelphiaat Baltimore San Franciscoat Tampa Bay at Cincinnati Chicago vs. at Detroitat Cincinnati Cleveland Green Bay at Minnesota
vs.
Matthew Stafford 206-329-2461-17-5 Ameer Abdullah 133-469-3.5-3 Golden Tate 56-659-11.8-3 vs. Mike Glennon 93-140-833-4-5 Jordan Howard 177-714-4.0-4 Kendall Wright 27-305-11.3-1Theo Riddick 31-106-3.4-0 Marvin Jones Jr 34-537-15.8-5 Mitch Trubisky 59-115-809-3-2 Tarik Cohen 55-229-4.2-1 Tarik Cohen 29-244-8.4-2Matthew Stafford 18-85-4.7-0 TJ Jones 20-292-14.6-0 Pat O'Donnell 1-1-38-1-0 Mitch Trubisky 15-110-7.3-0 Zach Miller 20-236-11.8-2
vs. CategoryLine Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Detroit -3 14 263 16 18-66CHICAGO 47.5 17 408 23 29-114 2 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sDetroit -7.5 20 323 25 28-114CHICAGO 42 17 296 16 17-92 2 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sDetroit -3 37 546 26 32-155CHICAGO 44.5 34 444 24 31-91 2
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sDetroit -1.5 24 349 22 21-67CHICAGO 45 20 342 16 25-108 -3
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sDetroit -7 34 474 28 23-91Chicago 47 17 269 18 8-13 -1
By 2.32 Points Chicago By 1 Chicago 21 Detroit 20
41 Points
Detroit By 4.5
Detroit By 1.6
Computer Yards
Detroit
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Computer PointsTeam Schedule Strength
#31#29 Detroit Chicago
#12 Detroit Chicago #2Future Schedule Strength2014 Comp-Att-Yds
17-23-245
Projected Rushing108 yards Detroit Chicago 115 yards
Projected Passing235 yards
Phil's Forecast:
ReceivingRushingPassing
21-35-223
Detroit By 3
Team & Margin
2016 Comp-Att-Yds
By Game Yardage Leaders
28-36-302CHI COACHES
DET COACHES
Detroit 5.06DET TOTAL PTS
0.06
212 yards 2.74CHI TOTAL PTS
CHI KICKER
Game Grade
+/- Ratings
Projected Yardage Total
Detroit22 pointsProjected Final Score
327 yardsChicagoDetroit343 yards
23 pointsChicago
Chicago
Projected Box Score
DET SPECIAL TMS
Detroit Season Leaders CHI SPECIAL TMS1.87
1.37DET KICKER
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
CHI QB/WR
DET SECONDARY0.81
0.30
CHI RB's0.97
DET LB'S
DET OFF LINE
CHI OFF LINE
DET DEF LINE
DET QB/WR
CHI LB's1.34
DET RB's
Defense
Passing ReceivingRushing
Score
Position by Position Edges
FOE
CHI FOE
Bears Net Stats Offense Defense
PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES CHI
at Minnesota
--PS RANK--
Weather: Mostly Cloudy, Mid 30's, Winds 14-16 mph. With Mitch Trubisky as the starter the Bears are 4-1 ATS. I pointed out last week that Chicago is great as a home ‘dog at 8-1-1 ATS, but had not been a division home favorite in three years and they lost outright to a Packers team without Aaron Rodgers. Chicago is back in their preferred home ‘dog role where they upset Pittsburgh and Carolina and gave Atlanta and Minnesota all they could handle. Chicago’s defense is holding foes to 31 yards per game below their season average. Detroit beat Cleveland by 14 last week, but was outgained 413-345 and trailed 24-17 versus the winless Browns. Cleveland blew scoring opportunities at the Lions two-yard line before the half and at the Lions four at the end of the game. Detroit is just 2-6-1 ATS as a division away favorite and last year in Chicago they were favored by three and lost outright being outgained 408-263. I like the home ‘dog here. Chicago 23 - 22
Detroit 343 - 327
Phil Steele
Las Vegas Total
CHI DEF LINE0.07
Chicago Season Leaders
Las Vegas Line
By Game Yardage Leaders
Det
roit
Lio
ns
Ch
icag
o B
ears
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
RECORD
NFL RANKINGS
1.00CHI SECONDARY
DET FOE
0-3Vs NFC North Bears Logs
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES DET --PS RANK-- FOE 2-0
MinnesotaTotal Off at Baltimore
Detroit
Lions
Chicagoat Tampa Bay
Atlanta Pittsburghat Minnesota Rush Off at Green Bay Carolina Pass Off
Arizona 2017 CURRENT RANKINGS Atlantaat NY Giants
Detroit
Sks Allowed at New Orleansat Green Bay Rush Def at Bye
at Bye Score Off Carolina
Score Def at Philadelphiaat Baltimore Sks By San Francisco
Cleveland Pass Def Green Bayat Chicago Total Def
Ypg Diff at Cincinnati Chicago Total TO's at Detroitat Cincinnati Cleveland Green Bay
Detroit Chicago
Detroit Lions OVERALL: OVERALL: Chicago Bears5-4 3-6Lions Logs Vs NFC North
2016 Comp-Att-Yds
Lions Net Stats Offense
Minnesota
at New Orleans
at Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
20-32-2122015 Comp-Att-Yds
27-42-40526-41-353
23-36-213
Score
2015 Comp-Att-Yds28-39-298
34-45-38331-48-256
KC FOE KC FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NYG FOE NYG FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 102 108 99.3 #7 78.4 #264 9/7 42-27 W 17 9 3 3 7 7 0-0 0-0 102 102 79.3 #257 90.5 #75 9/10 3-19 L 28 5 13 15 16 171-0 1-0 107 102 92.5 #54 86.5 #143 9/17 27-20 W 11 8 3 10 16 1 0-1 1-0 100 101 83.3 #205 86.5 #144 9/18 10-24 L 26 9 13 16 27 52-0 0-2 107 96 94.6 #35 81.5 #233 9/24 24-10 W 8 9 3 13 18 30 0-2 1-1 98 102 92.4 #55 81.3 #236 9/24 24-27 L 28 8 13 10 16 13-0 2-1 108 103 90.0 #83 84.1 #188 10/2 29-20 W 4 7 6 12 13 11 #12 #25 0-3 1-1 98 99 83.0 #211 83.6 #197 10/1 23-25 L 21 10 28 18 23 44-0 2-2 108 103 90.1 #82 82.3 #220 10/8 42-34 W 2 8 12 12 3 26 #7 #18 0-4 0-4 98 95 84.6 #182 86.2 #152 10/8 22-27 L 20 14 31 18 18 325-0 3-2 109 102 84.4 #185 93.9 #41 10/15 13-19 L 1 10 16 9 5 28 #5 #25 0-5 3-1 95 101 87.0 #133 79.8 #247 10/15 23-10 W 18 18 31 19 1 175-1 2-4 105 95 82.6 #218 89.2 #99 10/19 30-31 L 2 12 10 21 21 4 #5 #28 1-5 3-2 100 104 77.2 #269 94.2 #39 10/22 7-24 L 14 14 27 23 5 145-2 3-3 103 93 86.3 #149 85.6 #162 10/30 29-19 W 2 21 8 26 4 21 #19 #14 1-6 97 10/29 17 19 276-2 4-3 103 106 83.5 #199 91.9 #60 11/5 17-28 L 2 25 9 6 19 13 #29 #30 1-6 5-2 97 107 75.9 #277 98.5 #11 11/5 17-51 L 20 20 28 12 8 16-3 102 11/12 3 24 7 #28 #30 1-7 0-9 93 101 78.7 #261 86.3 #148 11/12 21-31 L 18 28 32 28 31 146-3 1-8 102 90 11/19 4 20 7 19 32 32 #30 #31 1-8 6-3 90 102 11/19 19 32 32 4 20 7
5-4 94 11/26 24 28 12 #19 #28 4-5 98 11/23 24 28 124-6 96 12/3 27 22 29 #22 #30 4-5 96 12/3 27 22 294-5 96 12/10 15 31 5 #20 #32 5-4 102 12/10 15 31 53-6 101 12/16 14 9 28 9 -2 8-1 109 12/17 14 9 284-5 90 12/24 32 29 8 13.23 Off YPP 18.45 4-5 93 12/24 32 29 83-6 89 12/31 22 11 26 #4 Off YPP Rank #29 4-5 98 12/31 22 11 26
16.89 Def YPP 15.14#8 Def YPP Rank #20
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at New England 42-27 166 1 78.5 -1 26 27-185 6.9 28-35 352 3 25 35-124 3.5 16-36 247 3 at Dallas 3-19 -159 -9 -11.7 -1 13 12-35 2.9 29-38 198 3 22 31-129 4.2 24-39 263 1 Philadelphia 27-20 -62 -11 27.0 2 16 19-112 5.9 21-29 232 4 27 17-107 6.3 25-46 299 6 Detroit 10-24 13 2 -29.7 0 14 18-62 3.4 22-32 208 5 12 32-138 4.3 15-21 119 3at LA Chargers 24-10 -19 -8 90.9 3 16 25-189 7.6 16-21 122 5 24 26-104 4.0 20-40 226 2 at Philadelphia 24-27 61 -3 7.2 -1 21 17-49 2.9 35-47 366 0 24 39-193 4.9 21-31 161 3 Washington 29-20 98 14 -11.8 1 29 31-168 5.4 27-37 261 4 15 26-111 4.3 14-24 220 0 at Tampa Bay 23-25 -55 4 -21.8 0 24 28-91 3.3 30-49 288 0 20 23-111 4.8 22-38 323 1at Houston 42-34 58 9 10.4 1 29 35-127 3.6 29-37 323 1 20 23-144 6.3 16-31 248 3 LA Chargers 22-27 -47 -3 4.1 -1 18 25-152 6.1 21-36 183 5 21 29-124 4.3 21-44 258 0 Pittsburgh 13-19 -188 -11 -8.8 1 12 15-28 1.9 19-34 223 3 23 37-194 5.2 17-25 245 1 at Denver 23-10 -146 -8 24.9 3 12 32-148 4.6 11-19 118 3 20 17-46 2.7 31-54 366 4at Oakland 30-31 -80 -13 26.1 0 19 23-94 4.1 25-36 331 1 32 21-88 4.2 29-52 417 0 Seattle 7-24 -248 -12 -55.6 0 14 17-46 2.7 19-39 131 1 26 31-104 3.4 27-39 321 1 Denver 29-19 -88 -7 18.7 3 16 26-79 3.0 14-32 197 1 23 31-177 5.7 19-36 187 3 at Byeat Dallas 17-28 -52 -7 -3.8 -1 17 19-68 3.6 25-34 255 2 24 31-131 4.2 21-33 244 1 LA Rams 17-51 -154 -3 -77.0 -3 17 26-111 4.3 20-38 208 2 20 39-162 4.2 14-22 311 0at Bye at San Francisco 21-31 -100 -2 -9.5 1 19 23-114 5.0 28-37 260 3 21 33-186 5.6 19-25 288 0at NY Giants Kansas City Buffalo at Washingtonat NY Jets at Oakland Oakland Dallas LA Chargers Philadelphia Miami at Arizonaat Denver Washington
Average 28-23 -18.6 0.0 26.4 9 20 24-117 4.8 23-33 255 8.1% 24 27-131 4.8 20-36 259 5.9% Average 17-26 -92.8 0.0 -14.7 -2 17 22-90 4.1 24-37 218 6.6% 21 30-133 4.4 22-35 268 4.2% Vs AFC West 28-20 -62.3 -9.3 39.1 6 17 25-121 4.9 18-30 217 7.9% 26 26-123 4.7 23-43 277 3.9% Vs NFC East 14-23 -49.0 -6.0 -1.0 -2 17 15-42 2.9 32-43 282 3.5% 23 35-161 4.6 23-35 212 5.7%
Away 31-26 14.6 -3.6 39.9 2 21 26-133 5.1 25-33 277 7.4% 25 27-118 4.3 20-38 276 4.7% Home 14-32 -109.0 -4.0 -37.5 -4 16 22-93 4.3 21-36 183 9.0% 20 33-132 4.0 19-32 252 3.2%
at New England +8.5/48 Alex Smith 28-35-368-4-0 Kareem Hunt 17-148-8.7-1 Tyreek Hill 7-133-19.0-1 at Dallas +4/47 Eli Manning 29-38-220-0-1 Paul Perkins 7-16-2.3-0 Roger Lewis 4-54-13.5-0 Philadelphia -5/46.5 Alex Smith 21-28-251-1-0 Kareem Hunt 13-81-6.2-2 Travis Kelce 8-103-12.9-1 Detroit -3/42 Eli Manning 22-32-239-1-1 Shane Vereen 6-28-4.7-0 Evan Engram 4-49-12.3-1at LA Chargers -3/48 Alex Smith 16-21-155-2-0 Kareem Hunt 17-172-10.1-1 Tyreek Hill 5-77-15.4-1 vs. at Philadelphia +6/43.5 Eli Manning 35-47-366-3-2 Paul Perkins 9-22-2.4-0 Sterling Shepard 7-133-19.0-1 Washington -7/48.5 Alex Smith 27-37-293-1-0 Kareem Hunt 21-101-4.8-0 Travis Kelce 7-111-15.9-1 at Tampa Bay +3/45 Eli Manning 30-49-288-2-0 Wayne Gallman 11-42-3.8-0 Odell Beckham Jr 7-90-12.9-0at Houston -1/45 Alex Smith 29-37-324-3-0 Kareem Hunt 29-107-3.7-0 Travis Kelce 8-98-12.3-0 LA Chargers -3/45.5 Eli Manning 21-36-225-2-1 Orleans Darkwa 8-69-8.6-1 Odell Beckham Jr 5-97-19.4-1 Pittsburgh -4/46.5 Alex Smith 19-34-246-1-0 Kareem Hunt 9-21-2.3-0 Kareem Hunt 5-89-17.8-0 vs. at Denver +12/38.5 Eli Manning 11-19-128-1-0 Orleans Darkwa 21-117-5.6-0 Evan Engram 5-82-16.4-1at Oakland -3/46.5 Alex Smith 25-36-342-3-0 Kareem Hunt 18-87-4.8-0 Tyreek Hill 6-125-20.8-1 Seattle +3.5/39.5 Eli Manning 19-39-134-1-0 Orleans Darkwa 9-35-3.9-0 Evan Engram 6-60-10.0-1 Denver -7/42.5 Alex Smith 14-31-202-1-0 Kareem Hunt 22-46-2.1-0 Travis Kelce 7-133-19.0-1 at Byeat Dallas +2.5/53 Alex Smith 25-34-263-2-1 Kareem Hunt 9-37-4.1-0 Travis Kelce 7-73-10.4-1 vs. LA Rams +4.5/42 Eli Manning 20-36-220-2-1 Orleans Darkwa 16-71-4.4-0 Sterling Shepard 5-70-14.0-0at Bye at San Francisco -2.5/41.5 Eli Manning 28-37-273-2-0 Orleans Darkwa 14-70-5.0-0 Sterling Shepard 11-142-12.9-0at NY Giants Kansas City Buffalo vs. at Washingtonat NY Jets at Oakland Oakland Dallas LA Chargers vs. Philadelphia Miami at Arizonaat Denver Washington
vs.
Alex Smith 204-293-2444-18-1 Kareem Hunt 155-800-5.2-4 Travis Kelce 51-629-12.3-5 vs. Eli Manning 215-333-2093-14-6 Orleans Darkwa 81-415-5.1-1 Sterling Shepard 38-475-12.5-1Tyreek Hill 0-1-0-0-1 Alex Smith 37-173-4.7-1 Tyreek Hill 40-617-15.4-4 Geno Smith 0-2-0-0-0 Wayne Gallman 48-204-4.3-0 Evan Engram 40-443-11.1-5
Tyreek Hill 13-31-2.4-0 Kareem Hunt 32-331-10.3-2 Shane Vereen 25-84-3.4-0 Odell Beckham Jr 25-302-12.1-3vs. Category
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Kansas City -4 31 390 21 28-102
NY Giants 44 7 298 11 21-98 0 vs.
vs.
KC FOE
KC
Projected Rushing123 yards Kansas City New York 114 yards
FOE
OVERALL: OVERALL:6-3
Vs AFC West Vs NFC East1-8
2-1 0-2Chiefs Logs
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES --PS RANK--
1.36KC RB's
1.14
Kansas City Season Leaders
NYG OFF LINEKC LB'S
1.07
NYG RB's
PLUS/MINUSRECORD
NYG LB's
Passing
Phil's Forecast:
Kansas City 393 - 367
GAME GRADES --PS RANK-- FOE
Rushing Receiving
NYG
Kansas City By 4.4
Giants LogsNew York Giants
Offense Defense
+/- RatingsKansas City By 9.5
Kan
sas
Cit
y C
hie
fs
NFL RANKINGS NYG FOE
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
New
Yor
k G
ian
ts
By Game Yardage Leaders
Chiefs Net Stats Offense Defense
Position by Position Edges
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Giants Net StatsScore
Kansas City New York
1.39KC QB/WR
NYG SECONDARY
0.36NYG QB/WR
KC SECONDARY
NYG DEF LINE
KC OFF LINE
1.19NYG KICKER
1.71KC SPECIAL TMS
NYG SPECIAL TMS
Las Vegas Line
Team & Margin
NYG COACHES
KC DEF LINE1.11
NYG TOTAL PTS
24-41-288
18-37-200
New York Season Leaders
Projected Passing
KC KICKER
252 yards
Projected Box Score
46 PointsLas Vegas Total
Projected Yardage Total270 yards Kansas City New York
393 yards Kansas CityProjected Final Score
27 points Kansas City New YorkTeam Schedule Strength
#3 Kansas City New York #17
New York 367 yards
Computer Yards
Future Schedule Strength
Computer PointsKansas City
23 points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Game Grade
1.478.84
KC TOTAL PTS
By 7.37 PointsKansas City By 18 Kansas City 34 NY Giants 16
Phil Steele
Weather: Mostly Sunny, Low 50's, Winds 16-20 mph. Coming into last week, favorites of nine points or more were just 3-6 ATS, but went 2-1 last week. The Chiefs opened 5-0 and were anointed the best team in the NFL, but have struggled since going 1-3. In the last four weeks’ rankings, they are just No. 20 on offense and No. 31 on defense and are being outgained by 102 yards per game. Facing Pittsburgh, Oakland, Denver and Dallas had something to do with it. They need a magic elixir to get their season turned around and they get it in a couple of ways. Andy Reid may be the best NFL coach ever off a bye, as his combined record at Philadelphia and Kansas City is 16-2 straight up and 13-5 ATS. The last 17 times Kansas City has been an away favorite they have gone 14-3 ATS. Finally, their opponent is the New York Giants who look like they have checked out. In the last four weeks, they are No. 31 on offense and No. 32 on defense being outgained by 149 yards per game while losing their last two home games by an average of 25.5 points. Tough to lay big points in the NFL, but this is one situation that you should.
0.99
KC COACHES Kansas City By 10.5
Kansas City 27 - 23Chiefs
at New England 2017 CURRENT RANKINGS at Dallas Philadelphia
Kansas City New York Detroit
at LA Chargers at Philadelphia Washington Rush Off at Tampa Bayat Houston Pass Off LA Chargers Pittsburgh Total Off at Denverat Oakland Score Off Seattle Denver Sks Allowed at Byeat Dallas Rush Def LA Ramsat Bye Pass Def at San Franciscoat NY Giants Total Def Kansas City Buffalo Score Def at Washingtonat NY Jets Sks By at Oakland
Miami at Arizonaat Denver Washington
Ypg Diff Dallas LA Chargers Total TO's Philadelphia
Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland
2013 Comp-Att-YdsLast Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
Score
#10#28 Kansas City New York
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
TB FOE TB FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST MIA FOE MIA FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 99 9/10 13 21 12 0-0 97 9/10 24 23 40-0 0-1 99 96 92.2 #58 76.9 #273 9/17 29-7 W 15 20 12 22 21 28 0-0 0-1 97 98 88.9 #100 79.5 #252 9/17 19-17 W 25 25 4 12 15 301-0 1-1 102 100 80.0 #245 94.3 #37 9/24 17-34 L 15 19 12 17 3 26 1-0 0-2 99 88 66.7 #291 90.4 #78 9/24 6-20 L 22 22 4 32 31 321-1 0-3 99 98 83.6 #197 83.0 #211 10/1 25-23 W 18 23 4 21 10 28 #28 #30 1-1 1-2 94 101 83.6 #195 91.1 #66 10/1 0-20 L 31 20 8 2 30 102-1 2-2 99 101 89.8 #86 85.0 #176 10/5 14-19 L 19 25 1 1 30 16 #3 #29 1-2 2-2 91 97 85.1 #175 77.2 #270 10/8 16-10 W 32 17 21 6 31 132-2 2-3 97 92 81.6 #228 85.5 #164 10/15 33-38 L 17 22 5 28 12 32 #14 #31 2-2 3-1 93 104 89.5 #91 79.7 #249 10/15 20-17 W 32 7 7 4 11 222-3 3-2 95 102 81.4 #234 85.4 #167 10/22 27-30 L 12 31 7 25 11 20 #22 #32 3-2 3-3 97 95 86.4 #146 77.4 #267 10/22 31-28 W 32 7 8 31 22 262-4 4-3 96 99 82.9 #213 89.6 #88 10/29 3-17 L 11 31 17 16 5 13 #9 #9 4-2 3-4 97 99 71.5 #288 94.4 #36 10/26 0-40 L 31 12 7 24 17 52-5 5-2 93 107 83.7 #193 94.1 #40 11/5 10-30 L 17 29 19 3 24 25 #14 #20 4-3 3-5 93 95 83.9 #191 80.4 #243 11/5 24-27 L 32 16 8 14 28 52-6 4-5 93 98 85.1 #174 83.1 #209 11/12 15-10 W 19 29 22 25 27 28 #29 #15 4-4 6-3 92 101 75.9 #279 92.7 #51 11/13 21-45 L 32 20 9 20 1 83-6 4-5 95 90 11/19 20 25 20 32 29 8 #27 #17 4-5 3-6 90 95 11/19 32 29 8 20 25 20
5-4 104 11/26 7 7 23 #19 #25 7-2 107 11/26 7 7 235-4 100 12/3 21 21 21 #28 #26 3-6 89 12/3 21 21 215-4 103 12/10 12 23 6 #23 #29 7-2 107 12/11 12 23 65-4 104 12/18 7 7 23 0 -4 5-4 94 12/17 7 7 237-3 103 12/24 13 4 11 17.96 Off YPP 18.07 6-3 102 12/24 13 4 117-2 111 12/31 1 8 25 #27 Off YPP Rank #28 5-4 94 12/31 1 8 25
16.28 Def YPP 13.71#11 Def YPP Rank #28
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Bye Bye Chicago 29-7 1 3 12.4 3 22 34-117 3.4 18-31 194 2 19 16-20 1.3 31-45 290 1 at LA Chargers 19-17 -31 -3 -11.7 0 21 32-111 3.5 24-34 225 2 24 14-44 3.1 31-39 323 1at Minnesota 17-34 -152 -5 -62.1 -3 20 9-26 2.9 28-40 316 2 25 37-125 3.4 25-33 369 0 at NY Jets 6-20 -111 0 -66.8 -1 16 15-30 2.0 26-45 195 3 16 34-103 3.0 18-23 233 2 NY Giants 25-23 55 -4 21.8 0 20 23-111 4.8 22-38 323 1 24 28-91 3.3 30-49 288 0 † New Orleans 0-20 -161 -11 -33.4 -1 11 15-58 3.9 20-28 128 4 22 28-86 3.1 29-41 261 1 New England 14-19 7 3 -7.4 2 26 20-90 4.5 26-46 319 2 23 23-113 4.9 30-40 289 3 Tennessee 16-10 -10 -2 -35.3 0 12 31-100 3.2 12-27 78 1 14 20-69 3.5 21-32 119 6at Arizona 33-38 -18 -2 -46.5 0 21 21-68 3.2 27-42 346 1 23 35-160 4.6 18-22 272 2 at Atlanta 20-17 -50 1 -9.7 0 20 31-138 4.5 19-33 151 0 19 19-100 5.3 24-35 239 2at Buffalo 27-30 13 4 15.8 -2 27 25-69 2.8 32-44 378 1 23 33-173 5.2 20-33 261 1 NY Jets 31-28 85 9 0.2 0 25 25-53 2.1 25-37 304 3 16 22-92 4.2 17-27 180 3 Carolina 3-17 25 2 -17.2 -2 16 22-85 3.9 21-38 194 3 14 31-100 3.2 18-32 154 0 at Baltimore 0-40 -99 -6 -57.4 -2 13 19-45 2.4 25-44 151 3 19 40-174 4.4 13-22 121 0at New Orleans 10-30 -207 -7 -53.2 1 14 25-87 3.5 15-28 113 4 21 32-151 4.7 22-27 256 1 Oakland 24-27 16 3 22.0 1 23 18-86 4.8 34-42 309 1 20 27-84 3.1 21-30 295 1 NY Jets 15-10 -4 2 -12.9 1 17 31-90 2.9 17-34 181 1 15 19-56 2.9 23-39 219 6 at Carolina 21-45 -235 -13 -38.0 -1 17 17-100 5.9 22-37 213 0 30 36-294 8.2 21-35 254 0at Miami Tampa Bayat Atlanta at New Englandat Green Bay Denver Detroit New England Arizona at Buffaloat Carolina at Kansas City New Orleans Buffalo
Average 19-23 -31.1 0.0 -12.6 0 20 23-83 3.5 23-38 263 5.0% 21 28-110 3.9 24-36 266 4.4% Average 15-25 -66.2 0.0 -24.4 -4 18 23-80 3.6 23-36 195 5.2% 20 27-116 4.4 22-32 225 5.6% Vs NFC South 7-24 -91.0 -2.5 -36.2 -1 15 24-86 3.7 18-33 154 10.6% 18 32-126 4.0 20-30 205 1.7% Vs AFC East 19-24 -13.0 4.5 -35.3 -1 21 20-42 2.1 26-41 250 7.3% 16 28-98 3.5 18-25 207 10.0%
Away 22-33 -91.0 -2.5 -36.1 -4 21 20-63 3.1 26-39 288 5.2% 23 34-152 4.4 21-29 290 3.5% Home 24-22 30.3 3.3 2.8 1 20 25-80 3.2 24-35 230 4.7% 17 23-82 3.6 20-30 198 11.2%
Bye Bye Chicago -7/44.5 Jameis Winston 18-30-204-1-0 Jacquizz Rodgers 19-67-3.5-1 Mike Evans 7-93-13.3-1 at LA Chargers +3.5/45.5 Jay Cutler 24-33-230-1-0 Jay Ajayi 28-122-4.4-0 DeVante Parker 4-85-21.3-0at Minnesota -1.5/40 Jameis Winston 28-40-328-2-3 Jacquizz Rodgers 5-15-3.0-0 DeSean Jackson 4-84-21.0-1 vs. at NY Jets -6/43.5 Jay Cutler 26-44-220-1-1 Jay Ajayi 11-16-1.5-0 DeVante Parker 8-76-9.5-1 NY Giants -3/45 Jameis Winston 22-38-332-3-0 Jacquizz Rodgers 16-83-5.2-0 Cameron Brate 4-80-20.0-1 † New Orleans +3/52 Jay Cutler 20-28-164-0-1 Jay Ajayi 12-46-3.8-0 DeVante Parker 6-69-11.5-0 New England +5.5/55 Jameis Winston 26-46-334-1-0 Doug Martin 13-74-5.7-1 DeSean Jackson 5-106-21.2-0 Tennessee -2/42.5 Jay Cutler 12-26-92-1-1 Jay Ajayi 25-77-3.1-0 Jarvis Landry 5-44-8.8-1at Arizona -2/46 Ryan Fitzpatrick 22-32-290-3-2 Doug Martin 14-53-3.8-1 Mike Evans 3-95-31.7-1 vs. at Atlanta +13/46 Jay Cutler 19-33-151-2-1 Jay Ajayi 26-130-5.0-0 Jarvis Landry 8-62-7.8-1at Buffalo +3/45.5 Jameis Winston 32-44-384-3-1 Doug Martin 20-49-2.5-0 OJ Howard 6-98-16.3-2 NY Jets -3/38.5 Matt Moore 13-21-188-2-1 Jay Ajayi 23-51-2.2-0 Jarvis Landry 7-93-13.3-1 Carolina -1.5/46 Jameis Winston 21-38-210-0-2 Doug Martin 18-71-3.9-0 Cameron Brate 4-64-16.0-0 at Baltimore +3/37.5 Matt Moore 25-44-176-0-2 Jay Ajayi 13-23-1.8-0 Kenny Stills 5-65-13.0-0at New Orleans +7/54 Ryan Fitzpatrick 8-15-68-1-0 Peyton Barber 11-34-3.1-0 DeSean Jackson 2-25-12.5-0 vs. Oakland +3/45 Jay Cutler 34-42-311-3-0 Kenyan Drake 9-69-7.7-0 Julius Thomas 6-84-14.0-1 NY Jets +2.5/44 Ryan Fitzpatrick 17-34-187-1-1 Doug Martin 20-51-2.6-0 DeSean Jackson 6-82-13.7-0 at Carolina +8.5/38.5 Jay Cutler 22-37-213-2-1 Kenyan Drake 7-82-11.7-1 Kenny Stills 5-67-13.4-0at Miami Tampa Bayat Atlanta vs. at New Englandat Green Bay Denver Detroit New England Arizona vs. at Buffaloat Carolina at Kansas City New Orleans Buffalo
vs.
Jameis Winston 159-259-1920-10-6 Doug Martin 93-305-3.3-2 Mike Evans 40-532-13.3-4 vs. Jay Cutler 169-259-1519-12-6 Jay Ajayi 138-465-3.4-0 Jarvis Landry 61-472-7.7-5Ryan Fitzpatrick 47-82-545-5-3 Jacquizz Rodgers 51-183-3.6-1 DeSean Jackson 33-504-15.3-2 Matt Moore 38-65-364-2-3 Kenyan Drake 26-176-6.8-1 Kenny Stills 33-408-12.4-4
Peyton Barber 25-81-3.2-0 Cameron Brate 33-424-12.8-4 MarQueis Gray 0-1-0-0-0 Damien Williams 28-65-2.3-0 DeVante Parker 30-378-12.6-1vs. Category
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Tampa Bay 39 22 264 18 37-140
Miami -1 19 213 16 14-2 0 vs.
vs.
TB SECONDARY
TB LB'S
#9 Tampa Bay Miami #14
20 points
Team Schedule Strength
Miami
MIA LB's
TB COACHES
MIA KICKER
2.14
Miami
TB RB's1.73
Computer Points
Phil Steele#2
1.67
Tampa Bay
MIA OFF LINE
Tampa BayTB QB/WR
MIA SECONDARY
0.08
MIA RB's
TB DEF LINE
TB OFF LINE0.64
MIA DEF LINE
Offense
--PS RANK-- FOE
Phil's Forecast:
Tampa Bay 23 - 20
Tampa Bay By 4Best Bet: ★ Tampa Bay 21 Miami 17
Weather: Mostly Sunny, Low 80's. These two teams both were involved in games that delivered me ATS winners last week. Tampa Bay was a home ‘dog to the New York Jets and led 15-3 before allowing a touchdown with :28 left. They get Mike Evans back this week and while they are 0-4 on the road, they did almost beat a stronger Buffalo team up North with a 447-434 yardage edge. They get to stay in Florida for this. Last year the Buccaneers were talked about as a possible playoff team, but opened the year 3-5 and were written off. They won their next five, finished 9-7 and just missed the playoffs (minus 22 yards per game). That surge had them a trendy playoff pick this year, but they opened 2-6 and were written off. The defense had six sacks last week after having just eight sacks in the first eight games. I had Miami near the bottom of the NFL at the start of the year and they used smoke and mirrors including some big comebacks and opened 4-2. They have lost their last three and are only a garbage touchdown and two-point conversion versus Oakland from being 0-3 ATS in that stretch.
Tampa Bay By 2.5
Computer Yards
Tampa Bay By 0.8
Tampa Bay 351 - 335
ReceivingRushing
Defense
Vs NFC South Vs AFC East Dolphins LogsTampa Bay Buccaneers OVERALL: OVERALL: Miami Dolphins3-6 4-5
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES MIATB --PS RANK-- FOE 0-2 1-1
FOE
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES
Defense
NFL RANKINGS
Mia
mi D
olp
hin
s
Dolphins Net StatsScore
Score Def
Tam
pa
Bay
Bu
ccan
eers
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
MIA
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
0.88MIA QB/WR
Tampa Bay Season Leaders Miami Season LeadersMIA SPECIAL TMS
0.69
TB KICKER
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
0.57
0.13
Even
MIA COACHES 41.5 Points
Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas Total
Team & Margin
TB SPECIAL TMS
3.96+/- Ratings
Game Grade351 yards Tampa Bay Miami 335 yards
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Projected Final Score
MIA TOTAL PTS
Future Schedule Strength
#4
4.57
TB TOTAL PTS
229 yards Tampa Bay Miami
By 0.61 PointsMiami
2013 Comp-Att-Yds
11-21-124
Projected Yardage Total
Tampa Bay
Projected Rushing
Miami 106 yards
229 yards
Projected Passing
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
23 points Tampa Bay
121 yards
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
Bye Chicago
Tampa Bay Miamiat LA Chargers
at Minnesota at NY Jets
Bye 2017 CURRENT RANKINGS
† New Orleans New England Pass Off Tennessee NY Giants Rush Off
at Atlantaat Buffalo Score Off NY Jetsat Arizona Total Off
at Baltimoreat New Orleans Rush Def Oakland Carolina Sks Allowed
at Carolinaat Miami Total Def Tampa Bay NY Jets
at New England
Pass Def
at AtlantaSks By Denver
New England Arizona Total TO's at Buffalo Detroit Ypg Diff
at Kansas City New Orleans Buffalo
ScoreOffense
Buccaneers Logs
at Carolina
TB FOE
Buccaneers Net Stats
27-42-211
at Green Bay
Projected Box Score
BAL FOE BAL FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST GB FOE GB FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 100 100 94.7 #33 74.2 #284 9/10 20-0 W 23 18 8 19 10 18 0-0 0-0 103 105 94.2 #38 79.0 #259 9/10 17-9 W 5 25 31 11 3 161-0 0-1 105 94 88.3 #110 83.6 #196 9/17 24-10 W 23 12 8 28 24 19 1-0 1-0 104 107 85.8 #155 87.9 #120 9/17 23-34 L 6 19 31 1 14 252-0 1-1 105 97 73.2 #285 106.3 #1 9/24 7-44 L 20 10 8 19 13 21 1-1 0-2 103 93 83.5 #201 85.6 #159 9/24 27-24 W 7 23 31 27 7 182-1 2-1 100 104 81.8 #226 96.6 #22 10/1 9-26 L 30 17 7 6 4 26 #10 #19 2-1 1-2 101 97 91.6 #63 77.8 #266 9/28 35-14 W 8 24 32 19 15 252-2 2-2 97 101 92.5 #53 79.4 #254 10/8 30-17 W 27 19 7 16 24 2 #32 #22 3-1 2-2 103 99 89.2 #98 83.0 #212 10/8 35-31 W 8 22 22 10 28 243-2 1-4 102 96 84.8 #179 87.7 #123 10/15 24-27 L 26 15 11 25 16 29 #30 #23 4-1 3-2 103 99 83.1 #210 91.2 #65 10/15 10-23 L 7 24 21 16 2 133-3 4-2 99 102 85.2 #169 92.3 #57 10/22 16-24 L 28 15 3 13 1 18 #18 #14 4-2 3-2 100 106 84.6 #183 93.0 #47 10/22 17-26 L 17 23 17 4 30 253-4 4-2 99 97 94.4 #36 71.5 #288 10/26 40-0 W 24 17 5 31 12 7 #12 #27 4-3 99 10/29 18 27 154-4 4-3 103 96 85.7 #156 86.1 #153 11/5 20-23 L 23 12 3 19 18 11 #28 #17 4-3 3-4 99 101 77.0 #272 95.3 #26 11/6 17-30 L 18 27 17 15 22 44-5 101 11/12 21 10 2 #3 #20 4-4 3-5 95 101 88.7 #103 80.6 #242 11/12 23-16 W 24 26 17 27 8 304-5 5-4 101 100 11/19 23 12 2 21 21 21 #6 #24 5-4 4-5 100 101 11/19 21 21 21 23 12 2
3-6 96 11/27 18 26 19 #8 #18 7-2 106 11/26 18 26 195-4 103 12/3 12 23 6 #15 #25 3-6 95 12/3 12 23 67-2 106 12/10 6 1 27 #21 #25 0-9 88 12/10 6 1 270-9 88 12/17 31 18 15 4 5 7-3 103 12/17 31 18 153-7 96 12/23 26 27 9 13.57 Off YPP 13.84 7-2 104 12/23 26 27 93-6 97 12/31 29 13 17 #7 Off YPP Rank #9 5-4 103 12/31 29 13 17
16.35 Def YPP 15.37#10 Def YPP Rank #18
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Cincinnati 20-0 47 3 42.6 4 17 42-157 3.7 9-17 111 1 14 22-77 3.5 16-31 144 5 Seattle 17-9 145 14 16.8 0 26 28-84 3.0 28-42 286 4 12 18-90 5.0 14-27 135 3 Cleveland 24-10 -49 4 57.4 3 24 32-136 4.3 25-34 201 2 20 21-93 4.4 20-42 293 3 at Atlanta 23-34 3 5 -17.4 -2 24 15-59 3.9 33-50 308 3 19 27-141 5.2 19-28 223 3† Jacksonville 7-44 -224 -12 -83.7 -3 12 25-134 5.4 14-27 52 2 24 35-166 4.7 20-33 244 0 Cincinnati 27-24 43 1 -21.5 0 22 17-64 3.8 28-42 280 6 21 30-110 3.7 21-27 191 3 Pittsburgh 9-26 -93 -4 -14.7 -2 18 15-82 5.5 31-49 206 4 22 42-173 4.1 18-30 208 1 Chicago 35-14 -48 -3 60.4 4 17 24-91 3.8 19-27 169 2 20 30-103 3.4 21-33 205 1at Oakland 30-17 120 4 16.5 1 19 39-143 3.7 19-26 222 0 15 25-108 4.3 13-26 137 3 at Dallas 35-31 -66 -1 17.7 2 25 25-160 6.4 19-29 182 4 26 35-163 4.7 25-36 245 1 Chicago 24-27 -51 -2 -69.4 -1 16 26-125 4.8 24-41 166 3 18 54-231 4.3 9-17 111 4 at Minnesota 10-23 -124 -10 -36.7 -1 14 24-72 3.0 20-37 155 4 24 33-112 3.4 24-38 239 0at Minnesota 16-24 -149 -1 20.5 1 16 20-64 3.2 27-39 144 5 17 33-169 5.1 20-31 188 0 New Orleans 17-26 -225 -9 -44.5 1 16 24-181 7.5 12-25 79 1 25 36-161 4.5 27-38 324 1 Miami 40-0 99 6 57.4 2 19 40-174 4.4 13-22 121 0 13 19-45 2.4 25-44 151 3 at Byeat Tennessee 20-23 84 10 -24.3 -1 24 22-73 3.3 35-53 268 2 14 21-71 3.4 19-28 186 3 Detroit 17-30 -106 -3 -57.4 0 21 17-78 4.6 26-38 233 3 24 33-64 1.9 26-33 353 1at Bye at Chicago 23-16 19 4 13.8 1 18 37-160 4.3 18-25 182 3 14 17-55 3.2 21-35 268 5at Green Bay Baltimore Houston at Pittsburgh Detroit Tampa Bayat Pittsburgh at Clevelandat Cleveland at Carolina Indianapolis Minnesota Cincinnati at Detroit
Average 21-19 -24.0 0.0 4.8 4 18 29-121 4.2 22-34 166 6.2% 17 30-126 4.2 18-31 185 7.8% Average 23-23 -39.9 0.0 -7.2 5 20 23-105 4.5 23-35 208 9.5% 21 29-111 3.9 22-33 243 6.1% Vs AFC North 18-12 -31.7 1.0 33.2 5 20 30-125 4.2 22-33 173 7.0% 19 28-114 4.0 18-34 215 8.7% Vs NFC North 21-21 -64.8 -3.0 -7.9 4 18 26-100 3.9 21-32 185 9.4% 21 28-84 3.0 23-35 266 5.0%
Away 19-22 -24.4 0.8 -2.2 2 18 30-114 3.9 21-32 159 6.2% 17 27-118 4.3 18-30 180 7.4% Home 23-21 -38.2 0.0 -6.3 5 20 22-100 4.5 23-35 209 9.2% 20 29-106 3.6 22-32 242 5.7%
at Cincinnati +3/41 Joe Flacco 9-17-121-1-1 Terrance West 19-80-0.0-1 Jeremy Maclin 2-56-0.0-1 Seattle -3/51 Aaron Rodgers 28-42-311-1-1 Ty Montgomery 19-54-2.8-1 Randall Cobb 9-85-9.4-0 Cleveland -7.5/39 Joe Flacco 25-34-217-2-1 Javorius Allen 14-66-0.0-0 Benjamin Watson 8-91-0.0-0 at Atlanta +3/54.5 Aaron Rodgers 33-50-343-2-1 Ty Montgomery 10-35-3.5-1 Davante Adams 8-99-12.4-1† Jacksonville -3.5/39.5 Ryan Mallett 6-9-36-1-0 Alex Collins 9-82-0.0-0 Nick Boyle 2-14-0.0-0 vs. Cincinnati -7/47 Aaron Rodgers 28-42-313-3-1 Ty Montgomery 12-35-2.9-0 Geronimo Allison 6-122-20.3-0 Pittsburgh +3/42.5 Joe Flacco 31-49-235-1-2 Alex Collins 9-82-0.0-0 Mike Wallace 6-55-0.0-1 Chicago -7/45 Aaron Rodgers 18-26-179-4-0 Aaron Jones 13-49-3.8-1 Jordy Nelson 4-75-18.8-2at Oakland +3/40 Joe Flacco 19-26-222-0-0 Javorius Allen 21-73-0.0-1 Mike Wallace 3-133-0.0-0 at Dallas +2.5/53 Aaron Rodgers 19-29-221-3-0 Aaron Jones 19-125-6.6-1 Davante Adams 7-66-9.4-2 Chicago -6/39.5 Joe Flacco 24-41-180-0-2 Alex Collins 15-74-0.0-0 Chris Moore 3-44-0.0-0 vs. at Minnesota -3/45.5 Brett Hundley 18-33-157-1-3 Aaron Jones 13-41-3.2-0 Jordy Nelson 6-60-10.0-0at Minnesota +4/38.5 Joe Flacco 27-39-186-1-0 Alex Collins 10-30-0.0-0 Benjamin Watson 5-38-0.0-0 New Orleans +3.5/47 Brett Hundley 12-25-87-0-1 Aaron Jones 17-131-7.7-1 Martellus Bennett 2-17-8.5-0 Miami -3/37.5 Joe Flacco 10-15-101-1-0 Alex Collins 18-113-0.0-0 Jeremy Maclin 3-53-0.0-1 at Byeat Tennessee +3/41.5 Joe Flacco 34-52-261-2-2 Alex Collins 13-43-0.0-0 Jeremy Maclin 8-98-0.0-0 vs. Detroit +2.5/43 Brett Hundley 26-38-245-0-0 Ty Montgomery 5-33-6.6-0 Randall Cobb 5-58-11.6-0at Bye at Chicago +4.5/37.5 Brett Hundley 18-25-212-1-0 Jamaal Williams 20-67-3.4-0 Davante Adams 5-90-18.0-1at Green Bay Baltimore Houston vs. at Pittsburgh Detroit Tampa Bayat Pittsburgh at Clevelandat Cleveland vs. at Carolina Indianapolis Minnesota Cincinnati at Detroit
vs.
Joe Flacco 187-291-1551-8-10 Alex Collins 93-521-5.6-0 Jeremy Maclin 27-310-11.5-3 vs. Aaron Rodgers 128-193-1385-13-3 Aaron Jones 70-370-5.3-3 Davante Adams 42-494-11.8-6Ryan Mallett 9-16-56-2-0 Javorius Allen 106-377-3.6-1 Mike Wallace 20-267-13.4-2 Brett Hundley 75-122-701-2-4 Ty Montgomery 71-273-3.8-3 Randall Cobb 36-371-10.3-1Sam Koch 1-1-16-0-0 Terrance West 39-138-3.5-3 Benjamin Watson 38-261-6.9-2 Jamaal Williams 31-101-3.3-1 Jordy Nelson 33-358-10.8-6
vs. CategoryLine Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Baltimore 49 17 360 15 22-47Green Bay -2.5 19 438 15 30-140 -1 vs.
vs.
GB LB's
BAL RB's
By Game Yardage Leaders
+/- RatingsGreen Bay By 2.0
Green Bay Season Leaders
1.20BAL LB'S
0.14BAL SECONDARY
Green Bay PackersOVERALL:
Vs AFC North
Passing
Phil's Forecast:
ReceivingRushing
Team & Margin
Las Vegas Total
Packers LogsFOE
Vs NFC NorthRavens Logs4-5 5-4Baltimore Ravens
Offense
GB FOE
2017 CURRENT RANKINGS Seattleat Atlanta
Pass Off at Dallas
Green Bay
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES
FOEBAL
--PS RANK--RECORD GAME GRADES GBPLUS/MINUS--PS RANK-- 2-2FOE 2-1
DefenseScore Score
Bal
tim
ore
Rav
ens
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Gre
en B
ay P
acke
rs
Ravens Net Stats Offense Defense Packers Net Stats
Receiving
0.77
Position by Position EdgesBaltimore Green Bay
BAL DEF LINE0.72
GB OFF LINE
0.26
GB QB/WR
GB DEF LINE
BAL OFF LINE
BAL QB/WR0.20
GB SECONDARY
GB RB's
110 yards
1.115.32
GB KICKER
GB SPECIAL TMS1.32
BAL SPECIAL TMS
BAL KICKER1.64
Projected Yardage Total
125 yards
Green Bay 201 yardsProjected Passing
221 yards
Green Bay
Baltimore
Baltimore
Green Bay By 2.5Game Grade
Green Bay 21 - 20
Las Vegas Line
0.20Projected Rushing
Projected Box Score
GB COACHES
BAL COACHES
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
BaltimoreGreen Bay
Green Bay 326 yards
Weather: Mostly Sunny, Low 30's. I mentioned earlier in the year that the Green Bay Packers were an average team, but Aaron Rodgers gave them Super Bowl aspirations. With Brett Hundley under center they lost to a couple of playoff contenders at home in New Orleans and Detroit (minus 165 yards per game). Last week they surprised me and won on the road 23-16 and now get another beatable opponent at home. Baltimore does have the No. 6 defense in the NFL, but Joe Flacco is averaging 5.3 yards per attempt with an 8-10 ratio (offense is No. 30 in the league). Baltimore is 2-9 their last 11 road games, but they are also 7-2 ATS off a bye. While Green Bay lost running back Aaron Jones last week, they will be in a circle the wagons mode knowing they need to earn a victory in Lambeau this weekend.
Baltimore By 2
38 Points
GB TOTAL PTS
BAL TOTAL PTS
Green Bay #5
Baltimore 330 - 326Baltimore
Computer Points
Computer Yards
BaltimoreFuture Schedule Strength
21 pointsTeam Schedule Strength
BaltimoreProjected Final Score
20 points
330 yards
#26 Baltimore Green Bay #24 By 4.21 Points
#22
Green Bay By 3 Green Bay 20 Baltimore 17Phil Steele
Ravens
at Cincinnati
BAL
NFL RANKINGS
OVERALL:
† Jacksonville Cincinnati Cleveland
Baltimore
Chicago Total Off at Minnesota
Pittsburgh Rush Off Chicagoat Oakland
at Minnesota Score Off New Orleans Miami Sks Allowed at Byeat Tennessee Rush Def Detroitat Bye Pass Def at Chicagoat Green Bay Total Def Baltimore Houston Score Def at Pittsburgh Detroit Sks By Tampa Bayat Pittsburgh Ypg Diff at Clevelandat Cleveland Total TO's at Carolina Indianapolis Minnesota Cincinnati at Detroit
2013 Comp-Att-Yds
Passing
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
By Game Yardage Leaders
Baltimore Season Leaders
Rushing
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
20-34-31317-32-298
LAR FOE LAR FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST MIN FOE MIN FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 96 98 98.8 #10 77.1 #271 9/10 46-9 W 31 13 2 14 32 20 0-0 0-0 101 99 98.4 #14 84.6 #184 9/11 29-19 W 29 1 26 9 20 101-0 0-1 100 95 81.5 #232 97.3 #19 9/17 20-27 L 30 11 2 20 28 9 1-0 1-0 102 106 83.5 #200 97.4 #18 9/17 9-26 L 17 2 26 2 7 231-1 0-2 96 96 84.0 #190 91.0 #69 9/21 41-39 W 26 11 2 31 29 22 1-1 1-0 100 102 94.3 #37 80.0 #245 9/24 34-17 W 17 3 26 15 19 122-1 2-1 96 102 90.5 #76 89.6 #89 10/1 35-30 W 25 18 2 10 26 17 #5 #11 2-1 2-1 103 103 84.3 #186 93.7 #42 10/1 7-14 L 9 2 19 16 22 53-1 2-2 99 104 88.4 #108 93.0 #48 10/8 10-16 L 17 21 3 13 4 9 #4 #12 2-2 1-3 100 95 88.4 #106 86.6 #140 10/9 20-17 W 11 1 15 23 16 203-2 3-2 99 105 90.7 #74 92.4 #55 10/15 27-17 W 14 19 2 12 8 20 #3 #9 3-2 4-1 99 103 91.2 #65 83.1 #210 10/15 23-10 W 16 2 13 7 24 214-2 4-5 103 94 98.1 #16 76.9 #274 10/22 33-0 W 11 16 1 30 16 31 #1 #10 4-2 3-3 102 99 92.3 #57 85.2 #169 10/22 24-16 W 13 1 18 28 15 35-2 107 10/29 10 8 1 #5 #2 5-2 0-7 102 89 93.2 #45 82.5 #219 10/29 33-16 W 13 1 14 32 14 185-2 1-6 107 97 98.5 #11 75.9 #277 11/5 51-17 W 12 8 1 20 20 28 #24 #3 6-2 103 11/5 11 2 216-2 3-5 111 98 98.4 #13 78.7 #260 11/12 33-7 W 7 7 1 16 23 18 #8 #12 6-2 4-4 103 100 89.3 #96 87.4 #126 11/12 38-30 W 13 2 20 10 15 257-2 7-2 113 104 11/19 5 6 1 9 3 18 #14 #5 7-2 7-2 104 113 11/19 9 3 18 5 6 1
7-2 111 11/26 1 8 25 #3 #5 5-4 103 11/23 1 8 254-5 93 12/3 30 16 31 #5 #10 5-4 104 12/3 30 16 318-1 109 12/10 3 10 4 #5 #4 7-3 103 12/10 3 10 46-3 102 12/17 16 5 14 7 1 3-6 97 12/17 16 5 146-3 98 12/24 17 17 10 11.82 Off YPP 15.09 5-4 100 12/23 17 17 101-9 89 12/31 25 30 13 #1 Off YPP Rank #15 3-6 96 12/31 25 30 13
17.88 Def YPP 16.07#4 Def YPP Rank #12
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Indianapolis 46-9 148 9 87.9 2 19 33-63 1.9 22-30 310 1 10 24-75 3.1 11-21 150 4 New Orleans 29-19 126 4 38.3 0 23 30-129 4.3 27-32 341 1 19 21-60 2.9 27-37 284 1 Washington 20-27 -53 -7 -7.1 -2 14 21-92 4.4 16-26 240 2 21 39-229 5.9 18-27 156 2 at Pittsburgh 9-26 -98 -8 -40.6 -1 14 20-91 4.6 20-38 146 2 22 32-102 3.2 23-35 233 2at San Francisco 41-39 -3 1 47.8 0 26 32-126 3.9 22-28 292 0 25 33-113 3.4 23-37 308 4 Tampa Bay 34-17 152 5 62.1 3 25 37-125 3.4 25-33 369 0 20 9-26 2.9 28-40 316 2at Dallas 35-30 -28 2 5.0 2 24 31-168 5.4 21-36 244 1 22 27-189 7.0 20-36 251 2 Detroit 7-14 33 -4 -4.3 -3 15 22-87 4.0 16-30 197 2 19 31-97 3.1 19-31 154 6 Seattle 10-16 134 6 -14.4 -3 21 22-100 4.5 22-47 275 2 15 25-62 2.5 24-38 179 3 at Chicago 20-17 26 1 12.7 2 17 31-159 5.1 22-32 141 4 16 29-115 4.0 13-26 159 1at Jacksonville 27-17 -140 -7 3.1 0 12 32-142 4.4 11-21 107 3 19 26-169 6.5 23-35 220 5 Green Bay 23-10 124 10 36.7 1 24 33-112 3.4 24-38 239 0 14 24-72 3.0 20-37 155 4† Arizona 33-0 232 18 36.8 1 28 40-197 4.9 22-37 228 1 10 12-25 2.1 15-32 168 3 Baltimore 24-16 149 1 -20.5 -1 17 33-169 5.1 20-31 188 0 16 20-64 3.2 27-39 144 5at Bye † Cleveland 33-16 99 10 20.0 1 26 34-88 2.6 27-43 287 1 16 22-115 5.2 18-34 161 3at NY Giants 51-17 154 3 77.0 3 20 39-162 4.2 14-22 311 0 17 26-111 4.3 20-38 208 2 at Bye Houston 33-7 160 2 67.2 4 19 25-104 4.2 26-38 339 3 17 25-89 3.6 19-36 194 3 at Washington 38-30 12 -3 38.3 -1 21 31-102 3.3 21-29 304 0 24 27-81 3.0 26-45 313 1at Minnesota LA Rams New Orleans at Detroitat Arizona at Atlanta Philadelphia at Carolinaat Seattle Cincinnatiat Tennessee at Green Bay San Francisco Chicago
Average 33-18 67.1 0.0 29.6 7 20 31-128 4.2 20-32 261 4.6% 17 26-118 4.5 19-33 204 9.3% Average 24-18 69.2 0.0 16.0 1 20 30-118 3.9 22-34 246 3.3% 18 24-81 3.4 22-36 213 7.7% Vs NFC West 28-18 121.0 8.3 14.2 -2 25 31-141 4.5 22-37 265 2.7% 17 23-67 2.9 21-36 218 9.3% Vs NFC North 17-14 61.0 2.3 17.2 0 19 29-119 4.2 21-33 192 6.0% 16 28-95 3.4 17-31 156 11.7%
Away 39-26 -4.3 -0.3 36.6 5 21 34-150 4.5 17-27 239 3.7% 21 28-146 5.2 22-37 247 8.9% Home 23-15 116.8 3.2 23.4 0 21 31-124 4.0 22-33 267 1.8% 18 21-64 3.0 24-37 211 9.8%
Indianapolis -3.5/41.5 Jared Goff 21-29-306-1-0 Todd Gurley 19-40-2.1-1 Cooper Kupp 4-76-19.0-1 New Orleans -3/48 Sam Bradford 27-32-346-3-0 Dalvin Cook 22-127-5.8-0 Adam Thielen 9-157-17.4-0 Washington -2.5/45.5 Jared Goff 15-25-224-1-1 Todd Gurley 16-88-5.5-1 Gerald Everett 3-95-31.7-0 at Pittsburgh +9.5/43.5 Case Keenum 20-37-167-0-0 Dalvin Cook 12-64-5.3-0 Kyle Rudolph 4-45-11.3-0at San Francisco -2.5/40 Jared Goff 22-28-292-3-0 Todd Gurley 28-113-4.0-2 Robert Woods 6-108-18.0-0 vs. Tampa Bay +1.5/40 Case Keenum 25-33-369-3-0 Dalvin Cook 27-97-3.6-1 Stefon Diggs 8-173-21.6-2at Dallas +6/49 Jared Goff 21-36-255-2-0 Todd Gurley 23-121-5.3-0 Todd Gurley 7-94-13.4-1 Detroit -2.5/43 Case Keenum 16-30-219-0-0 Dalvin Cook 13-66-5.1-1 Stefon Diggs 5-98-19.6-0 Seattle -1.5/47.5 Jared Goff 22-47-288-0-2 Todd Gurley 14-43-3.1-0 Tyler Higbee 4-98-24.5-0 at Chicago -3.5/40.5 Case Keenum 17-21-140-1-0 Jerick McKinnon 16-95-5.9-1 Jerick McKinnon 6-51-8.5-0at Jacksonville +2.5/42 Jared Goff 11-21-124-1-0 Todd Gurley 23-116-5.0-0 Robert Woods 5-70-14.0-0 vs. Green Bay +3/45.5 Case Keenum 24-38-239-1-1 Jerick McKinnon 16-69-4.3-1 Adam Thielen 9-97-10.8-0† Arizona -3/46 Jared Goff 22-37-235-1-1 Todd Gurley 22-106-4.8-1 Robert Woods 5-59-11.8-0 Baltimore -4/38.5 Case Keenum 20-31-188-0-1 Latavious Murray 18-113-6.3-1 Jarius Wright 3-54-18.0-0at Bye † Cleveland -9.5/38 Case Keenum 27-43-288-2-1 Jerick McKinnon 14-50-3.6-1 Adam Thielen 5-98-19.6-1at NY Giants -4.5/42 Jared Goff 14-22-311-4-0 Todd Gurley 16-59-3.7-2 Robert Woods 4-70-17.5-2 vs. at Bye Houston -12/45.5 Jared Goff 25-37-355-3-0 Todd Gurley 11-68-6.2-0 Robert Woods 8-171-21.4-2 at Washington -1.5/41 Case Keenum 21-29-304-4-2 Latavious Murray 17-68-4.0-1 Adam Thielen 8-166-20.8-1at Minnesota LA Rams New Orleans vs. at Detroitat Arizona at Atlanta Philadelphia at Carolinaat Seattle vs. Cincinnatiat Tennessee at Green Bay San Francisco Chicago
vs.
Jared Goff 173-282-2390-16-4 Todd Gurley 172-754-4.4-7 Robert Woods 39-622-15.9-4 vs. Case Keenum 170-262-1914-11-5 Dalvin Cook 74-354-4.8-2 Adam Thielen 56-794-14.2-2Johnny Hekker 2-2-34-0-0 Tavon Austin 35-166-4.7-1 Cooper Kupp 32-417-13.0-3 Sam Bradford 32-43-382-3-0 Jerick McKinnon 80-319-4.0-3 Stefon Diggs 31-500-16.1-5Sean Mannion 1-1-12-0-0 Malcolm Brown 37-138-3.7-1 Todd Gurley 35-406-11.6-3 Ryan Quigley 0-1-0-0-0 Latavious Murray 95-317-3.3-2 Kyle Rudolph 37-308-8.3-3
vs. CategoryLine Score Yds FD Rush TO's
St Louis 40 18 320 18 35-160
MINNESOTA -1 21 293 21 35-145 -1 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sSt Louis -2.5 6 318 15 22-72
Minnesota 43 34 355 18 32-185 2 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sSt Louis -2.5 22 432 29 18-87
Minnesota 39.5 36 322 18 33-213 2
Los Angeles MinnesotaRushing Receiving
MIN SECONDARY0.05
LAR QB/WR
MIN LB's
LAR RB's0.30
LAR COACHES
0.73
LAR DEF LINE0.22
MIN OFF LINE
MIN DEF LINE
LAR OFF LINE
1.90LAR SPECIAL TMS
2015 Comp-Att-Yds MIN KICKER
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Los Angeles
Projected Rushing2014 Comp-Att-Yds
MIN TOTAL PTS
1.66MIN COACHES
339 yards2012 Projected Yardage Total
115 yards Los Angeles Minnesota 109 yards
Minnesota 22 pointsTeam Schedule Strength
#29 Los Angeles Minnesota #19
23 points
Minnesota 24 LA Rams 23Minnesota By 1
Weather: Dome. I feel this is a matchup of two “go with” teams as both sit atop their respective divisions. Minnesota has the No. 9 offense and No. 5 defense in the NFL and outgain their foes by an average of 391-274 at home. This is their only home game in a five-week span and the Vikings are a solid 12-3 ATS the past three years as a home favorite. I have been riding the Rams since their home loss to Seattle where they had a 375-241 yardage edge. They are 4-0 straight up and ATS since winning by 10, 33, 34 and 26. Their last two games have been versus the lowly New York Giants and a Houston Texans squad minus Deshaun Watson. They were outgained in each of their first three road games and Minnesota has a great home field edge. Jared Goff is getting a lot of accolades, but the last time he took on a top-notch defense on the road he hit just 11 of 21 for 107 yards versus the Jaguars. I cannot go against either of these teams, but will be looking to play on the loser next week.
Minnesota By 2.5
Las Vegas Total
Las Vegas Line
LA Rams 23 - 22
45.5 Points
LA Rams By 6.0
Minnesota By 1.4
Minnesota 360 - 339
Game Grade
Computer Yards
Phil's Forecast:
Vikings Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL: Minnesota Vikings7-2 7-2
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES MINLAR --PS RANK-- FOE 2-1 2-1 --PS RANK-- FOE
LAR FOE NFL RANKINGS MIN FOE
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES
DefenseScore
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing ReceivingPosition by Position Edges
Min
nes
ota
Vik
ing
s
Vikings Net Stats
0.50LAR LB'S
MIN RB'sLAR SECONDARY
0.33MIN QB/WR
Los Angeles . Season Leaders Minnesota Season LeadersMIN SPECIAL TMSLAR KICKER
0.17Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score Team & Margin
3.42224 yards Los Angeles Minnesota 251 yards 2.46LAR TOTAL PTSProjected Passing
By 0.96 Points
Future Schedule Strength
Computer Points
Minnesota 360 yardsProjected Final Score
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Minnesota
Los Angeles35-55-345
Phil Steele#6 Los Angeles Minnesota #12
+/- Ratings
Vikings
2017 CURRENT RANKINGS New Orleans
Los Angeles RamsVs NFC West
WashingtonLos Angeles Minnesota
at Pittsburghat San Francisco
Vs NFC North
Tampa Bayat Dallas Rush Off Detroit Seattle Pass Off at Chicago
at Bye
at Jacksonville Total Off Green Bay† Arizona Score Off Baltimore
Pass Def at Washingtonat Minnesota Total Def LA Rams
at Bye Sks Allowed † Clevelandat NY Giants Rush Def
Cincinnati
New Orleans Score Def at Detroitat Arizona Sks By at Atlanta
at Green Bay San Francisco Chicago
Philadelphia Ypg Diff at Carolinaat Seattle Total TO's
Rams Net Stats Offense Defense
Los
An
gel
es R
ams
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Offense
18-33-168
15-27-159
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
Score
Rams Logs
at Tennessee
Houston
Indianapolis
17-24-109
24-36-246
17-25-170
Comp-Att-Yds
ARZ FOE ARZ FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST HOU FOE HOU FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 100 99 81.8 #225 88.6 #105 9/10 23-35 L 10 14 29 18 30 5 0-0 0-0 100 97 79.3 #256 96.4 #23 9/10 7-29 L 25 4 27 22 11 210-1 0-1 98 94 87.6 #125 79.1 #258 9/17 16-13 W 14 18 29 24 32 20 0-1 0-1 95 95 86.2 #151 82.8 #215 9/14 13-9 W 29 4 27 27 10 181-1 1-1 98 99 85.7 #157 85.0 #177 9/25 17-28 L 23 14 29 9 27 17 1-1 1-1 97 105 90.3 #80 85.2 #168 9/24 33-36 L 30 5 27 3 17 71-2 0-3 95 95 83.6 #194 81.8 #224 10/1 18-15 W 24 12 29 27 32 23 #31 #6 1-2 2-1 98 102 105.0 #2 64.3 #292 10/1 57-14 W 22 5 27 5 21 182-2 3-1 95 102 81.6 #231 92.7 #49 10/8 7-34 L 28 9 30 5 20 6 #5 #17 2-2 4-0 103 108 82.3 #220 90.1 #82 10/8 34-42 L 12 3 26 2 8 122-3 2-2 92 97 85.5 #164 81.6 #228 10/15 38-33 W 28 12 32 17 22 5 #17 #12 2-3 0-5 102 89 94.7 #34 74.7 #282 10/15 33-17 W 10 9 25 30 25 153-3 4-2 94 103 76.9 #274 98.1 #16 10/22 0-33 L 26 20 31 11 16 1 #27 #7 3-3 102 10/22 9 9 223-4 90 10/29 29 24 32 #23 #29 3-3 4-2 102 107 88.9 #101 85.5 #165 10/29 38-41 L 12 10 22 21 3 163-4 0-8 90 101 87.2 #128 78.3 #265 11/5 20-10 W 30 26 32 26 30 12 #8 #7 3-4 2-6 103 90 79.4 #254 89.5 #92 11/5 14-20 L 7 21 20 28 32 64-4 5-3 93 102 86.3 #147 85.7 #158 11/9 16-22 L 29 21 31 11 5 16 #23 #27 3-5 6-2 98 111 78.7 #260 98.4 #13 11/12 7-33 L 16 23 18 7 7 14-5 3-6 93 96 11/19 30 16 31 18 26 19 #18 #23 3-6 4-5 96 93 11/19 18 26 19 30 16 31
6-3 105 11/26 10 2 22 #24 #31 4-5 101 11/27 10 2 224-2 113 12/3 11 16 1 #15 #14 6-3 98 12/3 5 6 16-3 98 12/10 17 17 10 #17 #15 1-9 89 12/10 17 17 104-5 98 12/17 8 24 24 -5 -5 6-3 105 12/17 8 24 241-8 90 12/24 19 32 32 19.28 Off YPP 13.32 7-2 106 12/25 19 32 326-3 102 12/31 16 5 14 #31 Off YPP Rank #5 3-7 96 12/31 16 5 14
13.83 Def YPP 13.10#26 Def YPP Rank #30
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Detroit 23-35 -58 5 -59.8 -3 24 18-45 2.5 27-48 264 1 19 27-82 3.0 29-41 285 1 Jacksonville 7-29 -77 4 -21.9 -4 23 23-93 4.0 19-35 110 10 19 39-155 4.0 11-21 125 0at Indianapolis 16-13 123 -1 22.0 0 17 25-83 3.3 19-36 306 4 18 29-76 2.6 20-37 190 4 at Cincinnati 13-9 -29 2 -0.5 1 14 35-168 4.8 15-24 98 3 12 24-82 3.4 20-35 213 3 Dallas 17-28 59 7 -47.1 0 22 21-49 2.3 29-48 283 6 15 26-99 3.8 13-18 174 1 at New England 33-36 21 2 -55.6 -1 23 32-125 3.9 22-33 292 2 21 20-59 3.0 25-35 337 5 San Francisco 18-15 63 5 29.2 0 25 22-51 2.3 33-51 317 6 20 27-95 3.5 24-49 210 3 Tennessee 57-14 250 24 96.5 4 33 42-173 4.1 25-34 272 2 9 19-86 4.5 10-20 109 2at Philadelphia 7-34 -112 -3 -38.1 0 16 14-31 2.2 28-44 276 2 19 33-122 3.7 21-30 297 1 Kansas City 34-42 -58 -9 -10.4 -1 20 23-144 6.3 16-31 248 3 29 35-127 3.6 29-37 323 1 Tampa Bay 38-33 18 2 46.5 0 23 35-160 4.6 18-22 272 2 21 21-68 3.2 27-42 346 1 Cleveland 33-17 93 2 65.3 2 18 33-123 3.7 17-29 217 1 16 22-134 6.1 20-37 113 4† LA Rams 0-33 -232 -18 -36.8 -1 10 12-25 2.1 15-32 168 3 28 40-197 4.9 22-37 228 1 at Byeat Bye at Seattle 38-41 30 4 -12.5 -2 25 34-142 4.2 19-30 367 5 21 21-33 1.6 26-41 446 2at San Francisco 20-10 39 3 22.9 0 20 43-167 3.9 15-30 201 0 17 17-63 3.7 24-51 266 5 Indianapolis 14-20 -83 2 -56.3 0 19 21-94 4.5 19-44 194 2 17 28-92 3.3 20-30 279 3 Seattle 16-22 3 10 -35.3 -1 24 24-34 1.4 24-47 256 2 14 23-75 3.3 22-32 212 5 at LA Rams 7-33 -160 -2 -69.6 -4 17 25-89 3.6 18-36 194 3 19 25-104 4.2 26-38 339 3at Houston Arizona Jacksonville at Baltimore LA Rams at Tennessee Tennessee San Franciscoat Washington at Jacksonville NY Giants Pittsburghat Seattle at Indianapolis
Average 17-25 -10.8 0.0 -6.5 -5 20 24-72 3.0 23-40 260 7.3% 19 27-97 3.6 22-37 245 6.5% Average 26-27 -1.4 0.0 -9.2 -5 21 30-128 4.3 19-33 221 10.5% 18 26-97 3.7 21-33 254 7.8% Vs NFC West 14-20 -31.8 0.0 1.1 -2 20 25-69 2.7 22-40 236 6.9% 20 27-108 4.0 23-42 229 8.3% Vs AFC South 26-21 30.0 10.0 10.3 0 25 29-120 4.2 21-38 192 12.4% 15 29-111 3.9 14-24 171 7.0%
Away 13-25 -48.0 -2.8 -15.5 -4 17 22-70 3.1 21-38 243 5.3% 20 29-108 3.7 23-39 253 6.1% Home 29-24 25.0 4.6 16.9 1 23 28-125 4.4 19-35 208 10.4% 18 29-119 4.2 18-29 190 6.9%
at Detroit -2.5/48.5 Carson Palmer 27-48-269-1-3 David Johnson 11-23-2.1-0 Larry Fitzgerald 6-74-12.3-0 Jacksonville -5/39 Deshaun Watson 12-23-102-1-1 Lamar Miller 17-65-0.0-0 DeAndre Hopkins 7-55-0.0-1at Indianapolis -7/44 Carson Palmer 19-36-332-1-1 Chris Johnson 11-44-4.0-0 JJ Nelson 5-120-24.0-1 at Cincinnati +6.5/38 Deshaun Watson 15-24-125-0-0 Deshaun Watson 5-67-0.0-1 DeAndre Hopkins 7-73-0.0-0 Dallas +3/47 Carson Palmer 29-48-325-2-0 Andre Ellington 5-22-4.4-0 Larry Fitzgerald 13-149-11.5-1 vs. at New England +13.5/45 Deshaun Watson 22-33-301-2-2 Lamar Miller 14-56-0.0-0 DeAndre Hopkins 7-76-0.0-0 San Francisco -6.5/43.5 Carson Palmer 33-51-357-1-1 Chris Johnson 13-32-2.5-0 Jaron Brown 8-105-13.1-0 Tennessee +2.5/43 Deshaun Watson 25-34-283-4-1 Lamar Miller 19-75-0.0-1 DeAndre Hopkins 10-107-0.0-1at Philadelphia +6.5/45 Carson Palmer 28-44-291-1-0 Chris Johnson 9-21-2.3-0 JJ Nelson 4-80-20.0-0 Kansas City +1/45 Deshaun Watson 16-31-261-5-0 Lamar Miller 15-74-0.0-0 Stephen Anderson 2-63-0.0-0 Tampa Bay +2/46 Carson Palmer 18-22-283-3-1 Adrian Peterson 26-134-5.2-2 Larry Fitzgerald 10-138-13.8-1 vs. Cleveland -7.5/46 Deshaun Watson 17-29-225-3-1 D'Onta Foreman 12-59-0.0-0 Will Fuller 2-62-0.0-1† LA Rams +3/46 Carson Palmer 10-18-122-0-1 Adrian Peterson 11-21-1.9-0 Jaron Brown 2-37-18.5-0 at Byeat Bye at Seattle +6/45.5 Deshaun Watson 19-30-402-4-3 Deshaun Watson 8-67-0.0-0 DeAndre Hopkins 8-224-0.0-1at San Francisco -2.5/39 Drew Stanton 15-30-201-2-1 Adrian Peterson 37-159-4.3-0 Larry Fitzgerald 5-70-14.0-0 vs. Indianapolis -7/45 Tom Savage 19-44-219-1-0 Lamar Miller 10-57-0.0-0 DeAndre Hopkins 6-86-0.0-1 Seattle +6/41 Drew Stanton 24-47-273-1-0 Adrian Peterson 21-29-1.4-0 Larry Fitzgerald 10-113-11.3-0 at LA Rams +12/45.5 Tom Savage 18-36-221-1-2 Lamar Miller 11-60-0.0-0 DeAndre Hopkins 7-111-0.0-0at Houston Arizona Jacksonville vs. at Baltimore LA Rams at Tennessee Tennessee San Franciscoat Washington vs. at Jacksonville NY Giants Pittsburghat Seattle at Indianapolis
vs.
Carson Palmer 164-267-1979-9-7 Adrian Peterson 95-343-3.6-2 Larry Fitzgerald 60-677-11.3-3 vs. Deshaun Watson 126-204-1699-19-8 Lamar Miller 140-543-3.9-2 DeAndre Hopkins 58-803-13.8-8Drew Stanton 44-91-536-3-2 Chris Johnson 45-114-2.5-0 JJ Nelson 21-344-16.4-2 Tom Savage 44-93-502-2-2 Deshaun Watson 36-269-7.5-2 Will Fuller 17-326-19.2-7
Kerwynn Williams 24-52-2.2-0 Jaron Brown 23-327-14.2-2 D'Onta Foreman 68-262-3.9-0 Lamar Miller 22-242-11.0-2vs. Category
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Houston 42 24 235 17 21-76
Arizona -3 27 332 19 29-97 -2 vs.
vs.
0.74
Vs NFC West
ARZ SPECIAL TMS
HOU SPECIAL TMSARZ KICKER
Future Schedule Strength
Houston #7
HOU KICKER
80 yards Arizona Houston
Projected Passing
252 yards Arizona
#13
Houston 242 yards
Projected Final Score
Houston
Arizona By 1Arizona 21 Houston 20
RECORD1-2
0.96
ARZ DEF LINE
ARZ OFF LINE
HOU OFF LINE
ARZ QB/WR
HOU LB's
OVERALL: Houston Texans4-5 3-6
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES PLUS/MINUSVs AFC South Texans Logs
Arizona Cardinals OVERALL:
GAME GRADES HOU
ARZ FOE NFL RANKINGS HOU
ARZ --PS RANK-- FOE 2-2
ReceivingPassing
--PS RANK-- FOE
FOE
Pittsburgh
Jacksonvilleat Cincinnatiat New England Tennessee
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
DefenseScore Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving RushingArizona Houston
HOU DEF LINE
0.51
HOU SECONDARYARZ RB's
1.46
HOU RB's
0.23ARZ SECONDARY
1.11ARZ LB'S
HOU QB/WR
1.08Houston Season Leaders
0.65
Weather: Roof closed during inclimate weather. Houston is down to their backup quarterback while Arizona may be down to their third string quarterback in Blaine Gabbert who has 40 NFL starts. Arizona had a top ten defense last year, but let some key players go. They held foes to 305 yards per game last year, but are still decent with 343 yards per game and are holding foes to five yards per game below their season average. Last year Houston made the playoffs thanks to a defensive unit that allowed just 300 yards per game. This year they have lost JJ Watt, Whitney Mercilus and Brian Cushing and after they allowed 291 yards per game over the first four games, they have given up 398 yards per game since. Deshaun Watson made them a Super Bowl contender, but without him they’re back to below average with Tom Savage hitting 47 percent. I was not a big Carson Palmer fan at the start of the year, so going to Drew Stanton and perhaps Gabbert is not as big a drop off. Arizona has won every other week and this is their week for a victory.
Houston By 5.7
Houston 360 - 332
Houston 25 - 19
38.5 Points
Phil Steele
By 1.12 Points
Computer Yards
+/- RatingsHouston By 5.5
Game Grade
Team & Margin Phil's Forecast:
HOU TOTAL PTS
3.03
ARZ TOTAL PTS
Las Vegas LineHouston by 2
Las Vegas Total
332 yards Arizona
19 points
4.15
118 yards HOU COACHES
0.43
ARZ COACHES
Projected Yardage Total
HoustonTeam Schedule StrengthComputer Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
#27 Arizona
Arizona 25 points
Houston 360 yards
Arizona Houston #22
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
Projected Rushing
2013 Comp-Att-Yds
Texans
San Francisco Rush Off
at Detroit 2017 CURRENT RANKINGS at Indianapolis
Arizona Houston Dallas
Kansas City Tampa Bay Total Off Clevelandat Philadelphia Pass Off
Score Off at Byeat Bye Sks Allowed at Seattle
Rush Def Indianapolis Seattle Pass Def at LA Rams
Total Def Arizona Jacksonville Score Def at Baltimore
Sks By at Tennessee Tennessee Ypg Diff San Franciscoat Washington Total TO's at Jacksonville NY Giants
at Indianapolis
Cardinals Net Stats Offense Defense
Ari
zon
a C
ard
inal
s
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Hou
ston
Tex
ans
Texans Net Stats Offense
Arizona Season Leaders
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
Cardinals Logs
at Seattle
LA Rams
at Houston
at San Francisco
† LA Rams
22-43-159
20-32-235
JAX FOE JAX FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST CLE FOE CLE FOE DATE FOE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 97 100 96.4 #23 79.3 #256 9/10 29-7 W 22 11 21 25 4 27 0-0 0-0 93 108 87.6 #124 87.3 #127 9/10 18-21 L 26 26 19 1 12 231-0 0-1 102 97 74.5 #283 100.7 #5 9/17 16-37 L 21 6 21 9 17 24 0-1 1-0 94 105 83.6 #196 88.3 #110 9/17 10-24 L 28 24 19 23 12 81-1 2-0 97 105 106.3 #1 73.2 #285 9/24 44-7 W 19 13 21 20 10 8 0-2 0-2 94 94 82.8 #216 85.6 #161 9/24 28-31 L 24 26 19 29 30 202-1 1-2 102 93 81.7 #227 93.2 #44 10/1 20-23 L 11 9 21 32 27 30 #1 #17 0-3 0-3 94 95 66.8 #290 99.1 #9 10/1 7-31 L 29 28 12 26 8 132-2 3-1 100 107 98.4 #15 83.4 #202 10/8 30-9 W 14 11 18 7 5 29 #23 #24 0-4 2-2 89 95 86.4 #145 81.9 #222 10/8 14-17 L 30 27 19 31 23 273-2 3-2 105 99 92.4 #55 90.7 #74 10/15 17-27 L 12 8 20 14 19 2 #6 #23 0-5 2-3 89 102 74.7 #282 94.7 #34 10/15 17-33 L 30 25 15 10 9 253-3 2-4 101 90 98.5 #12 76.5 #275 10/22 27-0 W 16 8 29 29 32 6 #9 #31 0-6 3-3 89 96 84.1 #189 84.6 #181 10/22 9-12 L 30 24 15 15 27 114-3 104 10/29 9 6 29 #6 #24 0-7 5-2 89 102 82.5 #219 93.2 #45 10/29 16-33 L 32 14 18 13 1 144-3 3-4 104 98 94.8 #30 80.8 #241 11/5 23-7 W 9 5 29 27 7 16 #25 #4 0-8 88 11/5 31 17 145-3 3-5 105 101 89.4 #93 89.9 #85 11/12 20-17 W 9 3 24 15 12 27 #1 #17 0-8 4-4 88 104 85.6 #160 86.7 #139 11/12 24-38 L 31 18 13 14 16 36-3 0-9 105 88 11/19 10 2 22 31 18 15 #3 #11 0-9 6-3 88 105 11/19 31 18 15 10 2 22
4-5 93 11/26 30 16 31 #1 #30 3-6 97 11/26 30 16 313-7 96 12/3 26 27 9 #1 #18 3-6 101 12/3 26 27 96-3 102 12/10 16 5 14 #2 #16 5-4 100 12/10 16 5 143-6 96 12/17 18 26 19 7 -13 4-5 101 12/17 18 26 191-9 89 12/24 25 30 13 14.77 Off YPP 19.74 3-6 96 12/24 25 30 136-3 98 12/31 17 17 10 #13 Off YPP Rank #32 7-2 106 12/31 17 17 10
19.19 Def YPP 11.89#1 Def YPP Rank #31
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Houston 29-7 77 -4 23.7 4 19 39-155 4.0 11-21 125 0 23 23-93 4.0 19-36 110 10 Pittsburgh 18-21 -53 4 -9.3 0 20 25-57 2.3 20-30 180 7 16 17-35 2.1 24-36 255 1 Tennessee 16-37 -80 -1 -14.7 -2 20 25-99 4.0 20-34 211 2 21 36-179 5.0 15-27 211 1 at Baltimore 10-24 49 -4 -57.4 -3 20 21-93 4.4 20-42 293 3 24 32-136 4.3 25-34 201 2† Baltimore 44-7 224 12 83.7 3 24 35-166 4.7 20-33 244 0 12 25-134 5.4 14-27 52 2 at Indianapolis 28-31 11 9 -69.8 -2 25 21-111 5.3 22-47 235 1 16 36-92 2.6 17-24 243 3at NY Jets 20-23 -160 2 -30.1 1 20 39-175 4.5 15-35 136 1 18 32-256 8.0 23-32 215 5 Cincinnati 7-31 -135 -9 -94.0 0 16 17-45 2.6 21-42 170 2 25 30-86 2.9 25-30 264 3at Pittsburgh 30-9 -58 -6 10.4 4 15 37-231 6.2 8-14 82 2 21 20-70 3.5 33-55 301 2 NY Jets 14-17 207 8 -15.7 -2 22 33-140 4.2 24-36 279 1 14 18-34 1.9 23-30 178 3 LA Rams 17-27 140 7 -3.1 0 19 26-169 6.5 23-35 220 5 12 32-142 4.4 11-21 107 3 at Houston 17-33 -93 -2 -65.3 -2 16 22-134 6.1 20-37 113 4 18 33-123 3.7 17-29 217 1at Indianapolis 27-0 286 8 46.8 -2 23 37-188 5.1 18-27 330 1 15 20-96 4.8 22-37 136 10 Tennessee 9-12 15 3 -36.3 -2 19 26-66 2.5 22-39 218 2 16 32-80 2.5 21-34 189 2at Bye † Minnesota 16-33 -99 -10 -20.0 -1 16 22-115 5.2 18-34 161 3 26 34-88 2.6 27-43 287 1 Cincinnati 23-7 260 18 12.0 -1 26 40-149 3.7 24-38 259 0 8 17-29 1.7 10-18 119 2 at Bye LA Chargers 20-17 76 4 -22.3 0 20 27-135 5.0 28-51 263 3 16 30-87 2.9 21-37 235 0 at Detroit 24-38 68 10 -48.4 -1 26 33-201 6.1 22-40 212 4 16 19-104 5.5 17-26 241 4at Cleveland Jacksonvilleat Arizona at Cincinnati Indianapolis at LA Chargers Seattle Green Bay Houston Baltimoreat San Francisco at Chicagoat Tennessee at Pittsburgh
Average 25-15 85.0 0.0 15.0 7 21 34-163 4.8 19-32 208 4.9% 16 26-121 4.6 19-32 165 12.1% Average 16-27 -3.3 0.0 -46.6 -13 20 24-107 4.4 21-39 207 7.8% 19 28-86 3.1 22-32 231 7.0% Vs AFC South 24-15 94.3 1.0 17.2 0 21 34-147 4.4 16-27 222 3.7% 20 26-123 4.7 19-33 152 21.0% Vs AFC North 12-25 -46.3 -3.0 -57.6 -3 19 21-65 3.1 20-38 214 10.5% 22 26-86 3.3 25-33 240 6.0%
Away 30-9 73.8 2.4 32.5 10 20 37-183 4.9 14-26 183 3.1% 18 24-130 5.4 22-37 163 15.5% Home 12-20 8.5 1.5 -41.7 -4 19 25-77 3.0 22-37 212 8.2% 18 24-59 2.4 23-33 222 6.9%
at Houston -5/39 Blake Bortles 11-21-125-1-0 Leonard Fournette 26-100-0.0-1 Allen Hurns 3-42-0.0-0 Pittsburgh +9/47 DeShone Kizer 20-30-222-1-1 Isaiah Crowell 17-33-0.0-0 Corey Coleman 5-53-0.0-1 Tennessee +1/41.5 Blake Bortles 20-34-223-1-2 Leonard Fournette 14-40-0.0-1 Allen Hurns 6-82-0.0-1 at Baltimore +7.5/39 DeShone Kizer 15-31-182-0-3 Isaiah Crowell 10-37-0.0-0 Rashard Higgins 7-95-0.0-0† Baltimore +3.5/39.5 Blake Bortles 20-31-244-4-0 Corey Grant 6-75-0.0-0 Marqise Lee 4-65-0.0-0 vs. at Indianapolis -1.5/42.5 DeShone Kizer 22-47-242-2-3 Isaiah Crowell 12-44-0.0-0 Duke Johnson 6-81-0.0-0at NY Jets -3.5/38.5 Blake Bortles 15-35-140-1-1 Leonard Fournette 24-86-0.0-0 Leonard Fournette 4-59-0.0-1 Cincinnati +3/41.5 DeShone Kizer 16-34-118-0-1 Isaiah Crowell 7-20-0.0-0 Ricardo Louis 5-64-0.0-0at Pittsburgh +7.5/42.5 Blake Bortles 8-14-95-0-1 Leonard Fournette 28-181-0.0-2 Marqise Lee 2-49-0.0-0 NY Jets -1/40.5 Kevin Hogan 16-19-194-2-1 Isaiah Crowell 16-60-0.0-0 Ricardo Louis 5-71-0.0-0 LA Rams -2.5/42 Blake Bortles 23-35-241-1-1 Leonard Fournette 21-130-0.0-1 Marqise Lee 5-83-0.0-0 vs. at Houston +7.5/46 Kevin Hogan 20-37-140-1-3 Isaiah Crowell 12-58-0.0-0 Kasen Williams 4-41-0.0-0at Indianapolis -3/42.5 Blake Bortles 18-26-330-1-0 TJ Yeldon 9-122-0.0-1 Allen Hurns 5-101-0.0-0 Tennessee +5.5/43.5 Cody Kessler 10-19-121-0-1 Isaiah Crowell 17-35-0.0-0 David Njoku 2-58-0.0-0at Bye † Minnesota +9.5/38 DeShone Kizer 18-34-179-0-0 Isaiah Crowell 11-64-0.0-1 Isaiah Crowell 4-54-0.0-0 Cincinnati -6/38.5 Blake Bortles 24-38-259-1-0 Chris Ivory 20-70-0.0-0 Marqise Lee 8-75-0.0-1 vs. at Bye LA Chargers -5.5/41 Blake Bortles 28-51-273-1-2 Corey Grant 1-56-0.0-1 Allen Hurns 7-70-0.0-0 at Detroit +10.5/43 DeShone Kizer 21-37-232-1-1 Isaiah Crowell 16-90-0.0-1 Seth DeValve 4-70-0.0-0at Cleveland Jacksonvilleat Arizona vs. at Cincinnati Indianapolis at LA Chargers Seattle Green Bay Houston vs. Baltimoreat San Francisco at Chicagoat Tennessee at Pittsburgh
vs.
Blake Bortles 167-285-1930-11-7 Leonard Fournette 147-629-4.3-6 Marqise Lee 38-493-13.0-2 vs. DeShone Kizer 132-250-1376-4-12 Isaiah Crowell 118-441-3.7-2 Duke Johnson 42-358-8.5-1Chad Henne 0-2-0-0-0 Chris Ivory 78-280-3.6-1 Allen Hurns 36-446-12.4-2 Kevin Hogan 46-75-517-4-5 Duke Johnson Jr 44-230-5.2-2 Ricardo Louis 25-306-12.2-0Marqise Lee 0-1-0-0-0 Blake Bortles 31-191-6.2-0 Keelan Cole 14-219-15.6-0 Cody Kessler 11-22-126-0-1 DeShone Kizer 40-201-5.0-4 Seth DeValve 21-264-12.6-1
vs. Category
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Jacksonville 44.5 24 336 20 35-185
Cleveland -4 6 266 13 30-69 0 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Jacksonville 41 32 314 22 29-112
Cleveland -7 28 439 24 30-97 -2 vs.24-40-342
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
Jacksonville Season Leaders
17-31-151
16-41-197
2013 Comp-Att-Yds
23-41-202
2014 Comp-Att-Yds
Rushing
Jaguars Logs
Seattle
at Tennessee at Pittsburgh
Baltimoreat San Francisco at Chicago
Green Bay Houston Total TO's
at Arizona Score Def at Cincinnati Indianapolis Sks By at LA Chargers
LA Chargers Pass Def at Detroitat Cleveland Total Def Jacksonville
at Bye Sks Allowed † Minnesota Cincinnati Rush Def at Bye
LA Rams Total Off at Houston at Indianapolis Score Off Tennessee
at NY Jets Rush Off Cincinnatiat Pittsburgh Pass Off NY Jets
at Houston Pittsburgh Tennessee
Jacksonville Clevelandat Baltimore
† Baltimore at Indianapolis
By 5.93 PointsJacksonville By 12
Jacksonville 28 Cleveland 16
Jaguars Jacksonville 24 - 17
Future Schedule StrengthPhil Steele
#32 Jacksonville Cleveland #16
#16 Cleveland #20
24 points Jacksonville
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
Projected Yardage Total
Projected Rushing
123 yards Jacksonville
209 yards
Cleveland
Jacksonville By 8.4
Projected Final ScoreComputer Yards
Cleveland 17 points
Jacksonville
Jacksonville 347 - 330
Team Schedule StrengthComputer Points
Jacksonville
120 yards
Game Grade347 yards Jacksonville Cleveland 330 yards
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
6.56
JAX TOTAL PTSProjected Passing
224 yards Jacksonville Cleveland
Phil's Forecast:CLE KICKER
Las Vegas Line Weather: Cloudy, Mid 30's, 70% chance of light snow, Winds 24-26 mph. While Cleveland is 0-9 straight up and just 2-7 ATS this year, they are only minus three yards per game. They have done a good bulk of their damage late in games when trailing big, however they’re clearly not as good as the stats would indicate. The Browns are 2-2 ATS at home this year with a trio of three point losses and a blowout loss to Cincinnati. Jacksonville is just 1-1 as an away favorite the last six years and have not been a touchdown plus favorite on the road since 2008. Jacksonville has been an up and down team all year and last week I sided with the Chargers as a big ‘dog against them and Jacksonville was fortunate to escape with the three-point overtime win. This is their week to be firing on all cylinders and in their last road game they beat Indianapolis 27-0 with a 518-232 yardage edge (Colts led Cleveland 28-7 with the Browns getting a couple of garbage touchdowns earlier this season). Cleveland is 4-11-1 ATS since 2015 as a home ‘dog. Finally, the Jags are No. 3 in the NFL in combined performances versus opponent averages holding foes to 44 yards per game below their season average and gaining 43 yards per game more than their opponents normally allow.
CLE TOTAL PTS
37 Points
Jacksonville By 14.50.63+/- Ratings
JAX COACHES
0.21Las Vegas Total
CLE COACHES
Jacksonville By 7.5
Cleveland Season LeadersCLE SPECIAL TMS0.37
JAX KICKER
Team & Margin0.45
JAX SPECIAL TMS
Jacksonville Cleveland
2.29CLE QB/WR
0.55
Defense
Rushing ReceivingPassing
Defense
Jack
son
ville
Jag
uar
s
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
OffenseScore Score
Jaguars Net Stats Offense
Cle
vela
nd
Bro
wn
s
By Game Yardage LeadersReceiving
Browns Net Stats
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
--PS RANK-- FOE
JAX FOE NFL RANKINGS CLE FOE
RECORD GAME GRADES CLEPLUS/MINUSRECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES JAX --PS RANK-- FOE 2-1 0-3Browns Logs
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAX LB'S
CLE RB'sJAX SECONDARY
0.60JAX DEF LINE
CLE OFF LINE
CLE LB's1.50
JAX RB's
JAX OFF LINE0.05
CLE DEF LINE
CLE SECONDARY1.18
JAX QB/WR
6-3Vs AFC South Vs AFC North
Position by Position Edges
2017 CURRENT RANKINGS
Ypg Diff
OVERALL: OVERALL: Cleveland Browns0-9
WAS FOE WAS FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NO FOE NO FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 99 98 83.1 #208 94.7 #32 9/10 17-30 L 16 28 9 8 19 1 0-0 0-0 99 101 84.6 #184 98.4 #14 9/11 19-29 L 9 20 10 29 1 260-1 1-0 95 100 97.3 #19 81.5 #232 9/17 27-20 W 20 28 9 30 11 2 0-1 0-1 98 103 81.8 #223 102.0 #3 9/17 20-36 L 3 31 10 4 13 71-1 2-0 98 106 97.6 #17 72.9 #287 9/24 27-10 W 14 28 9 4 25 6 0-2 2-0 96 102 99.1 #8 82.7 #217 9/24 34-13 W 5 32 10 11 2 142-1 3-0 103 108 84.1 #188 90.0 #83 10/2 20-29 L 12 13 11 4 7 6 #23 #3 1-2 1-1 101 94 91.1 #66 83.6 #195 10/1 20-0 W 2 30 10 31 20 82-2 103 10/8 9 15 17 #9 #6 2-2 104 10/8 4 26 82-2 0-5 103 98 84.1 #187 85.2 #172 10/15 26-24 W 8 13 19 27 27 10 #13 #2 2-2 3-2 104 103 93.1 #46 88.2 #111 10/15 52-38 W 5 26 9 22 20 43-2 5-1 101 107 88.6 #104 89.5 #90 10/23 24-34 L 8 13 21 3 10 5 #12 #3 3-2 4-2 106 100 93.0 #47 84.6 #183 10/22 26-17 W 4 30 25 17 23 173-3 3-3 101 103 83.5 #198 91.0 #68 10/29 19-33 L 7 15 23 6 25 19 #16 #1 4-2 3-4 107 101 88.1 #116 90.3 #79 10/29 20-12 W 3 26 26 25 9 313-4 5-2 97 106 86.9 #136 89.2 #97 11/5 17-14 W 10 14 22 13 6 18 #13 #16 5-2 2-5 107 93 94.1 #40 83.7 #193 11/5 30-10 W 3 24 25 17 29 194-4 6-2 100 103 87.4 #126 89.3 #96 11/12 30-38 L 10 15 25 13 2 20 #18 #7 6-2 5-3 107 98 100.8 #4 74.8 #281 11/12 47-10 W 2 14 26 22 25 124-5 7-2 98 111 11/19 8 24 24 1 8 25 #20 #8 7-2 4-5 111 98 11/19 1 8 25 8 24 24
1-8 90 11/23 19 32 32 #26 #5 7-2 113 11/26 19 32 325-4 102 11/30 11 15 16 #15 #10 7-3 103 12/3 11 15 163-6 101 12/10 14 9 28 #12 #1 5-4 104 12/7 14 9 284-5 93 12/17 30 16 31 -1 3 4-6 96 12/17 30 16 313-6 89 12/24 22 11 26 15.16 Off YPP 13.51 5-4 104 12/24 22 11 261-8 90 12/31 19 32 32 #16 Off YPP Rank #6 3-6 95 12/31 19 32 32
13.37 Def YPP 17.04#29 Def YPP Rank #7
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Philadelphia 17-30 -92 -3 -23.9 -2 16 17-64 3.8 23-40 200 4 19 24-58 2.4 26-39 298 2 at Minnesota 19-29 -126 -4 -38.3 0 19 21-60 2.9 27-37 284 1 23 30-129 4.3 27-32 341 1at LA Rams 27-20 53 7 7.1 2 21 39-229 5.9 18-27 156 2 14 21-92 4.4 16-26 240 2 New England 20-36 -126 -9 -39.7 0 20 17-81 4.8 27-45 348 1 29 31-119 3.8 30-39 436 2 Oakland 27-10 344 11 97.8 1 18 34-116 3.4 25-30 356 1 7 13-32 2.5 19-31 96 4 at Carolina 34-13 74 3 96.0 3 21 27-149 5.5 22-29 213 1 18 22-132 6.0 19-33 156 4at Kansas City 20-29 -98 -14 11.8 -1 15 26-111 4.3 14-24 220 0 29 31-168 5.4 27-37 261 4 Miami 20-0 161 11 33.4 1 22 28-86 3.1 29-41 261 1 11 15-58 3.9 20-28 128 4at Bye at Bye San Francisco 26-24 84 4 36.5 -1 25 33-94 2.8 25-37 325 1 21 20-85 4.3 23-47 250 3 Detroit 52-38 32 1 15.8 2 19 37-193 5.2 21-31 186 0 18 19-66 3.5 25-52 281 5at Philadelphia 24-34 -27 -4 -15.6 0 19 18-75 4.2 30-40 269 4 23 33-127 3.8 17-25 244 3 at Green Bay 26-17 225 9 44.5 -1 25 36-161 4.5 27-38 324 1 16 24-181 7.5 12-25 79 1 Dallas 19-33 -22 -2 1.4 -2 16 15-49 3.3 26-39 236 4 18 39-169 4.3 14-22 138 2 Chicago 20-12 80 2 64.3 -1 19 30-101 3.4 23-28 286 2 17 31-157 5.1 14-32 150 2at Seattle 17-14 -193 -6 21.4 1 16 23-51 2.2 21-31 193 6 22 28-148 5.3 24-45 289 2 Tampa Bay 30-10 207 7 53.2 -1 21 32-151 4.7 22-27 256 1 14 25-87 3.5 15-28 113 4 Minnesota 30-38 -12 3 -38.3 1 24 27-81 3.0 26-45 313 1 21 31-102 3.3 21-29 304 0 at Buffalo 47-10 284 22 25.9 0 32 48-298 6.2 18-25 184 0 10 15-69 4.6 16-28 129 2at New Orleans Washington NY Giants at LA Ramsat Dallas Carolinaat LA Chargers at Atlanta Arizona NY Jets Denver Atlantaat NY Giants at Tampa Bay
Average 23-26 4.1 0.0 9.6 -1 19 26-97 3.8 23-35 252 7.3% 19 27-109 4.1 21-33 236 7.3% Average 30-18 90.1 0.0 25.9 3 22 31-142 4.6 24-33 260 2.7% 17 24-111 4.7 20-33 201 8.4% Vs NFC East 20-32 -47.0 -3.0 -16.5 -4 17 17-63 3.8 26-40 235 10.1% 20 32-118 3.7 19-29 227 8.1% Vs NFC South 32-12 140.5 5.0 77.1 2 21 30-150 5.1 22-28 235 3.6% 16 24-110 4.7 17-31 135 13.1%
Away 22-24 -66.3 -4.3 7.2 2 18 27-117 4.4 21-31 210 9.8% 22 28-134 4.7 21-33 259 8.3% Home 31-24 48.3 0.3 23.2 0 20 29-132 4.5 23-33 269 3.1% 20 27-107 4.0 21-38 245 8.6%
Philadelphia +1/49.5 Kirk Cousins 23-40-240-1-1 Rob Kelley 10-30-3.0-0 Terrelle Pryor 6-66-11.0-0 at Minnesota +3/48 Drew Brees 27-37-291-1-0 Alvin Kamara 7-18-2.6-0 Mark Ingram 5-54-10.8-0at LA Rams +2.5/45.5 Kirk Cousins 18-27-179-1-0 Rob Kelley 12-78-6.5-0 Jordan Reed 6-48-8.0-0 New England +6.5/55.5 Drew Brees 27-45-356-2-0 Mark Ingram 8-52-6.5-0 Michael Thomas 5-89-17.8-0 Oakland +3/53.5 Kirk Cousins 25-30-365-3-0 Samaje Perine 19-49-2.6-0 Chris Thompson 6-150-25.0-1 vs. at Carolina +5/46.5 Drew Brees 22-29-220-3-0 Mark Ingram 14-56-4.0-0 Michael Thomas 7-87-12.4-1at Kansas City +7/48.5 Kirk Cousins 14-24-220-2-0 Kirk Cousins 7-38-5.4-0 Vernon Davis 2-89-44.5-0 Miami -3/52 Drew Brees 29-41-268-2-0 Mark Ingram 14-45-3.2-0 Michael Thomas 8-89-11.1-1at Bye at Bye San Francisco -10.5/46 Kirk Cousins 25-37-330-2-1 Chris Thompson 16-33-2.1-0 Chris Thompson 4-105-26.3-0 vs. Detroit -4.5/50 Drew Brees 21-31-186-2-2 Mark Ingram 25-114-4.6-2 Ted Ginn 4-66-16.5-1at Philadelphia +5/49 Kirk Cousins 30-40-303-3-1 Chris Thompson 7-38-5.4-0 Vernon Davis 4-67-16.8-0 at Green Bay -3.5/47 Drew Brees 27-38-331-1-2 Mark Ingram 22-105-4.8-1 Ted Ginn 7-141-20.1-0 Dallas +2.5/45.5 Kirk Cousins 26-39-263-1-1 Rob Kelley 8-19-2.4-1 Jamison Crowder 9-123-13.7-0 Chicago -9.5/38 Drew Brees 23-28-299-0-0 Mark Ingram 18-75-4.2-1 Michael Thomas 7-77-11.0-0at Seattle +8/45 Kirk Cousins 21-31-247-0-0 Chris Thompson 4-20-5.0-0 Vernon Davis 6-72-12.0-0 vs. Tampa Bay -7/54 Drew Brees 22-27-263-2-0 Mark Ingram 16-77-4.8-0 Alvin Kamara 6-84-14.0-1 Minnesota +1.5/41 Kirk Cousins 26-45-327-1-1 Samaje Perine 9-35-3.9-0 Vernon Davis 7-76-10.9-0 at Buffalo -2.5/48 Drew Brees 18-25-184-0-0 Mark Ingram 21-131-6.2-3 Michael Thomas 9-117-13.0-0at New Orleans Washington NY Giants vs. at LA Ramsat Dallas Carolinaat LA Chargers at Atlanta Arizona vs. NY Jets Denver Atlantaat NY Giants at Tampa Bay
vs.
Kirk Cousins 208-313-2474-14-5 Chris Thompson 60-277-4.6-2 Jamison Crowder 32-348-10.9-0 vs. Drew Brees 216-301-2398-13-4 Mark Ingram 144-672-4.7-7 Michael Thomas 59-662-11.2-2Rob Kelley 62-194-3.1-3 Vernon Davis 30-460-15.3-1 Alvin Kamara 64-417-6.5-4 Ted Ginn 29-483-16.7-3Samaje Perine 66-210-3.2-0 Ryan Grant 27-279-10.3-2 Adrian Peterson 27-81-3.0-0 Alvin Kamara 43-373-8.7-2
vs. CategoryLine Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Washington 51.5 47 526 24 31-225
NEW ORLEANS E 14 350 16 25-158 -2 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sWashington 50 40 459 22 43-153
New Orleans -7.5 32 358 24 10-32 -3 vs.
Receiving
New Orleans 31 Washington 21
at Tampa Bay
Carolinaat Atlanta NY Jets Atlanta
Chicago Tampa Bayat Buffalo Washingtonat LA Rams NY Giants
Dallasat Seattle Minnesotaat New Orleans
at Dallasat LA Chargers Arizona Denverat NY Giants
New Orleans By 10By 4.63 Points
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
Was
hin
gto
n R
edsk
ins
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
New
Orl
ean
s S
ain
ts
Offense
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
ScoreDefenseOffenseRedskins Net Stats
Las Vegas Line Weather: Dome. Case Keenum threw for 304 yards and four touchdowns versus this Redskins defense in Washington. The Redskins now face Drew Brees in the dome? Drew Brees isn’t the only reason this Saints team have gone from 7-9 to one of the best in the NFL. Brees now has a pair of solid running backs to turn to in Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. The biggest difference is the defense which gave up an average of 391 yards per game in the three year stretch from 2014-16. Since allowing 512.5 yards per game in their first two games this year, they have transformed into one of the NFL’s best, allowing just 255 yards per game the last seven games! Washington is off a couple of misleading finals as they were outgained 437-244 by Seattle, but came out with a win. Last week they trailed Minnesota 38-17 and had a 133-41 yardage edge after that. The Saints led Buffalo on the road 47-3 last week before allowing a late score. The Saints are two points away from a perfect 7-0 ATS run and I am not jumping in front of that train.
New Orleans By 7.5
Las Vegas Total51 Points
+/- Ratings
New Orleans By 7.2
Computer YardsNew Orleans 407 - 322
Computer Points
New Orleans By 16.5
Game Grade
Future Schedule StrengthNew Orleans 31 - 22
Team Schedule Strength#1
Phil Steele
Projected Yardage Total322 yards Washington New Orleans 407 yards
Projected Passing217 yards Washington New Orleans 259 yards
Projected Rushing105 yards Washington
New Orleans
0.92WAS QB/WR
NO SECONDARY
New Orleans 147 yards
Washington Season Leaders
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
Washington
2015 Comp-Att-Yds
WAS RB's
WAS LB'S
0.53
0.92NO LB's
New Orleans
Projected Final Score
WAS KICKER
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
WAS SECONDARY1.57
NO QB/WR
22 points Washington New Orleans 31 points
SaintsWashington New Orleans
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
19-26-306
24-52-326 1.46WAS TOTAL PTS
6.09NO TOTAL PTS
0.72NO RB's
WAS DEF LINE1.96
NO OFF LINE
WAS OFF LINE
NO DEF LINE
Pass Def
FOE
Score Off
0.00
2-00-3
Total Off
Total Def
Rush Off
Washington
New Orleans Season LeadersNO SPECIAL TMS
0.03NO KICKER
WAS SPECIAL TMS
0.89NO COACHES
WAS COACHES
FOENO
Saints Net Stats
--PS RANK--PLUS/MINUS
Defense
GAME GRADESNO
New England
Miamiat Carolina
FOEat Minnesota
Team & Margin Phil's Forecast:
at Bye Detroitat Green Bay
RECORD
Score
Score DefSks By
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Sks Allowed
NFL RANKINGS
New Orleans
--PS RANK--WASFOE
GAME GRADESRECORD PLUS/MINUSWAS
New Orleans SaintsSaints LogsRedskins Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL:
Vs NFC East4-5 7-2
Vs NFC SouthWashington Redskins
Rush Def
2017 CURRENT RANKINGS
Pass Off
Philadelphiaat LA Rams Oaklandat Kansas Cityat Bye San Franciscoat Philadelphia
20-25-324
19-28-209
2012 Comp-Att-Yds
#21 Washington New Orleans #11
#4
BUF FOE BUF FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST LAC FOE LAC FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 97 89 91.0 #67 74.9 #280 9/10 21-12 W 12 29 11 32 27 32 0-0 0-0 98 100 83.3 #206 89.4 #94 9/11 21-24 L 20 6 30 27 2 151-0 1-0 97 102 85.5 #163 82.9 #214 9/17 3-9 L 13 26 11 7 5 14 0-1 0-0 98 97 79.5 #252 88.9 #100 9/17 17-19 L 12 15 30 25 25 41-1 2-0 97 105 85.4 #166 81.3 #235 9/24 26-16 W 18 20 11 12 4 15 0-2 2-0 96 107 81.5 #233 94.6 #35 9/24 10-24 L 13 18 30 8 9 32-1 3-0 100 108 90.8 #73 81.0 #240 10/1 23-17 W 23 16 22 3 11 24 #15 #26 0-3 2-1 95 102 88.4 #107 91.7 #62 10/1 24-26 L 17 14 31 7 19 13-1 1-3 104 100 81.0 #238 86.0 #154 10/8 16-20 L 21 12 25 25 6 10 #30 #13 0-4 0-4 95 98 86.2 #152 84.6 #182 10/8 27-22 W 18 18 32 20 14 313-2 102 10/15 23 14 24 #28 #18 1-4 2-3 98 96 87.8 #122 85.2 #171 10/15 17-16 W 11 21 30 21 31 13-2 2-3 102 95 85.4 #167 81.4 #234 10/22 30-27 W 25 11 20 12 31 7 #20 #23 2-4 3-2 99 96 91.4 #64 81.6 #229 10/22 21-0 W 18 19 28 20 4 134-2 3-4 101 97 90.9 #72 75.9 #278 10/29 34-14 W 22 18 20 15 28 3 #25 #3 3-4 5-2 101 105 86.6 #141 92.6 #52 10/29 13-21 L 14 11 25 1 22 125-2 3-5 103 93 78.5 #263 87.8 #121 11/2 21-34 L 21 15 15 29 31 27 #22 #32 3-5 101 11/5 16 11 265-3 6-2 98 107 74.8 #281 100.8 #4 11/12 10-47 L 22 25 12 2 14 26 #21 #11 3-5 5-3 101 105 89.9 #85 89.4 #93 11/12 17-20 L 15 12 27 9 3 245-4 3-6 94 101 11/19 24 28 12 14 9 28 #25 #19 3-6 5-4 101 94 11/19 14 9 28 24 28 12
6-3 102 11/26 4 20 7 #15 #9 5-4 102 11/23 4 20 77-2 107 12/3 2 19 3 #28 #2 0-9 88 12/3 2 19 33-7 96 12/10 26 27 9 #30 #18 4-5 98 12/10 26 27 94-5 90 12/17 32 29 8 11 1 6-3 102 12/16 32 29 87-2 107 12/24 2 19 3 14.28 Off YPP 17.87 4-6 96 12/24 2 19 34-5 90 12/31 32 29 8 #10 Off YPP Rank #26 4-5 96 12/31 32 29 8
16.54 Def YPP 17.99#9 Def YPP Rank #3
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
NY Jets 21-12 194 12 35.7 1 23 42-190 4.5 16-28 218 2 11 15-38 2.5 26-39 176 1 at Denver 21-24 -72 -5 5.4 1 17 22-64 2.9 22-33 185 1 22 36-140 3.9 17-28 181 4at Carolina 3-9 -79 -9 -4.3 0 10 23-69 3.0 17-25 107 3 19 28-77 2.8 20-32 178 6 Miami 17-19 31 3 11.7 0 24 14-44 3.1 31-39 323 1 21 32-111 3.5 24-34 225 2 Denver 26-16 -94 -5 67.7 2 16 33-75 2.3 20-26 197 4 21 23-111 4.8 24-40 255 3 Kansas City 10-24 19 8 -90.9 -3 24 26-104 4.0 20-40 226 2 16 25-189 7.6 16-21 122 5at Atlanta 23-17 -110 -10 44.9 3 15 36-117 3.3 12-20 164 3 25 29-149 5.1 24-42 242 1 Philadelphia 24-26 -54 -8 14.9 -1 18 13-58 4.5 22-38 342 2 26 42-214 5.1 17-31 240 1at Cincinnati 16-20 -167 -1 -13.5 2 17 24-82 3.4 20-37 139 6 18 27-65 2.4 22-36 323 1 at NY Giants 27-22 47 3 -4.1 1 21 29-124 4.3 21-44 258 0 18 25-152 6.1 21-36 183 5at Bye at Oakland 17-16 69 5 32.7 1 20 28-80 2.9 25-36 263 1 15 22-109 5.0 21-30 165 1 Tampa Bay 30-27 -13 -4 -15.8 2 23 33-173 5.2 20-33 261 1 27 25-69 2.8 32-44 378 1 Denver 21-0 -9 2 5.1 3 14 26-80 3.1 15-26 162 3 12 19-69 3.6 25-35 182 5 Oakland 34-14 -36 -6 30.4 4 17 37-166 4.5 20-27 165 0 23 14-54 3.9 31-49 313 0 at New England 13-21 -65 -11 -19.5 -1 16 21-157 7.5 17-30 192 1 27 32-97 3.0 32-47 317 3at NY Jets 21-34 -24 0 2.6 -3 21 22-63 2.9 29-40 244 7 21 41-194 4.7 14-20 137 1 at Bye New Orleans 10-47 -284 -22 -25.9 0 10 15-69 4.6 16-28 129 2 32 48-298 6.2 18-25 184 0 at Jacksonville 17-20 -76 -4 22.3 0 16 30-87 2.9 21-37 235 0 20 27-135 5.0 28-51 263 3at LA Chargers Buffaloat Kansas City at Dallas New England Cleveland Indianapolis Washington Miami at Kansas Cityat New England at NY Jetsat Miami Oakland
Average 20-22 -68.1 0.0 14.9 11 17 29-112 3.8 19-29 180 10.6% 22 28-117 4.2 23-36 243 4.3% Average 19-19 -12.2 0.0 0.4 1 19 23-89 3.8 22-36 243 3.4% 20 29-135 4.7 22-35 209 9.3% Vs AFC East 21-23 85.0 6.0 28.7 -2 22 32-127 4.0 23-34 231 13.2% 16 28-116 4.1 20-30 157 3.4% Vs AFC West 17-16 1.8 2.5 -9.9 2 19 26-82 3.2 21-34 209 5.2% 16 26-127 5.0 20-29 163 13.2%
Away 16-20 -95.0 -5.0 10.5 2 16 26-83 3.2 20-31 164 15.6% 21 31-121 3.9 20-33 220 6.9% Home 18-17 -3.3 1.3 -11.2 -1 20 20-72 3.6 22-36 263 5.6% 19 30-146 4.9 21-30 192 10.7%
NY Jets -8/41.5 Tyrod Taylor 16-28-224-2-1 LeSean McCoy 22-110-0.0-0 Jordan Matthews 2-61-0.0-0 at Denver +3/43 Philip Rivers 22-33-192-3-1 Melvin Gordon 18-54-3.0-0 Tyrell Williams 5-54-10.8-0at Carolina +6.5/43 Tyrod Taylor 17-25-125-0-0 Tyrod Taylor 8-55-0.0-0 LeSean McCoy 6-34-0.0-0 Miami -3.5/45.5 Philip Rivers 31-39-331-1-0 Branden Oliver 3-31-10.3-0 Keenan Allen 9-100-11.1-0 Denver +3/39.5 Tyrod Taylor 20-26-213-2-0 Mike Tolbert 11-41-0.0-0 Jordan Matthews 3-61-0.0-0 vs. Kansas City +3/48 Philip Rivers 20-40-237-0-3 Melvin Gordon 17-79-4.6-1 Travis Benjamin 5-105-21.0-0at Atlanta +8/49 Tyrod Taylor 12-20-182-1-0 LeSean McCoy 20-76-0.0-0 Charles Clay 5-112-0.0-0 Philadelphia -2/48 Philip Rivers 22-38-347-2-0 Austin Ekeler 1-35-35.0-1 Keenan Allen 5-138-27.6-0at Cincinnati +3/39.5 Tyrod Taylor 20-37-166-1-1 LeSean McCoy 19-63-0.0-0 Nick O'Leary 5-54-0.0-0 at NY Giants +3/45.5 Philip Rivers 21-44-258-3-1 Melvin Gordon 20-105-5.3-0 Keenan Allen 4-67-16.8-0at Bye vs. at Oakland +3.5/49 Philip Rivers 25-36-268-1-0 Melvin Gordon 25-83-3.3-1 Hunter Henry 5-90-18.0-0 Tampa Bay -3/45.5 Tyrod Taylor 20-33-268-1-0 LeSean McCoy 23-91-0.0-2 Deonte Thompson 4-107-0.0-0 Denver E/41 Philip Rivers 15-26-183-2-0 Melvin Gordon 18-38-2.1-0 Hunter Henry 4-73-18.3-0 Oakland -2.5/46 Tyrod Taylor 20-27-165-1-0 LeSean McCoy 27-151-0.0-1 Andre Holmes 3-51-0.0-1 at New England +7/48.5 Philip Rivers 17-30-212-1-1 Melvin Gordon 14-132-9.4-1 Travis Benjamin 5-64-12.8-1at NY Jets -3/42.5 Tyrod Taylor 29-40-285-2-0 Tyrod Taylor 6-35-0.0-1 Deonte Thompson 7-81-0.0-1 vs. at Bye New Orleans +2.5/48 Nate Peterman 7-10-79-1-0 LeSean McCoy 8-49-0.0-0 Kelvin Benjamin 3-42-0.0-0 at Jacksonville +5.5/41 Philip Rivers 21-37-235-2-1 Austin Ekeler 10-42-4.2-0 Austin Ekeler 5-77-15.4-2at LA Chargers Buffaloat Kansas City vs. at Dallas New England Cleveland Indianapolis Washington Miami vs. at Kansas Cityat New England at NY Jetsat Miami Oakland
vs.
Tyrod Taylor 163-254-1684-10-3 LeSean McCoy 157-595-3.8-4 Charles Clay 22-271-12.3-2 vs. Philip Rivers 194-323-2263-15-7 Melvin Gordon 147-553-3.8-4 Keenan Allen 44-596-13.5-1Nate Peterman 7-10-79-1-0 Tyrod Taylor 53-237-4.5-2 LeSean McCoy 41-253-6.2-0 Austin Ekeler 25-124-5.0-1 Tyrell Williams 24-371-15.5-1
Mike Tolbert 50-179-3.6-1 Jordan Matthews 22-253-11.5-1 Branden Oliver 20-61-3.1-0 Hunter Henry 24-319-13.3-2vs. Category
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sBuffalo -2 10 292 18 22-87San Diego 45.5 22 333 20 36-83 0 vs.
vs.
Los Angeles Season Leaders
Las Vegas Line
LA Chargers 362 - 322
Position by Position EdgesReceiving
Computer Points
#30
at Kansas Cityat New England at NY Jetsat Miami Oakland
Total TO's
Cleveland Indianapolis Ypg Diff Washington
Sks By
Buffaloat Kansas City Score Def at Dallasat LA Chargers
at Bye New Orleans Pass Def at Jacksonvilleat NY Jets
Denver Oakland Sks Allowed at New England Tampa Bay
at NY Giantsat Bye Total Off at Oaklandat Cincinnati
Miami Denver Kansas Cityat Atlanta Rush Off Philadelphia
at Carolina2017 CURRENT RANKINGS at Denver NY Jets
3-6
Bills LA Chargers 26 - 19
OVERALL:
Chargers Logs
OVERALL: Los Angeles Chargers5-4Vs AFC East Vs AFC West
Buffalo BillsRECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES
BUF FOE
Los
An
gel
es C
har
ger
s
Buffalo Los Angeles
Pass Off
Score Off
Rush Def
Total Def
--PS RANK-- FOE
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Bu
ffal
o B
ills
1-1
Las Vegas Total
Game Grade
+/- Ratings
Phil Steele
Computer Yards
Bills Net Stats Offense Defense
Buffalo Los Angeles
0.46BUF RB's
LAC SECONDARY0.07
BUF QB/WR
Projected Yardage Total
LAC COACHES
239 yards
BUF DEF LINE0.61
0.31BUF KICKER
LAC QB/WR
Buffalo19 pointsProjected Final Score
362 yardsLos Angeles Buffalo322 yards
Los Angeles 26 pointsBuffalo
2.04BUF TOTAL PTS
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
LAC TOTAL PTS2.77Los Angeles
LACGAME GRADES
FOE2-2 RECORD PLUS/MINUS
NFL RANKINGS
OffenseScore
0.42Projected Rushing
LAC OFF LINE
LAC LB's
LAC SPECIAL TMS
1.41
199 yards
123 yards123 yards Buffalo Los Angeles Projected Passing
Chargers Net Stats
BUF SECONDARYLAC RB's
0.60BUF LB'S
LAC DEF LINE0.03
BUF OFF LINE
FOE--PS RANK--LAC
LA Chargers By 4
43.5 Points
LA Chargers By 7.0
Team & Margin Phil's Forecast:
ReceivingRushingPassingBy Game Yardage Leaders
Future Schedule StrengthBuffalo#18
Team Schedule Strength#15Los Angeles
#14 Buffalo Los Angeles Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
By 0.73 Points LA Chargers By 7 LA Chargers 26 Buffalo 19
Defense
Weather: Partly Cloudy, Low 70's. Buffalo is considered a playoff contender by most, but I feel they could be the most overrated team in the NFL. They are 5-4, but are No. 30 in the NFL at minus 68 yards per game (outgained in their last eight games by 101 yards per game). Los Angeles is an underrated team as they are just minus 12 yards per game and while sitting at 3-6 on the year, they have four losses by three points or less ( amazing 23 losses in their last 41 games by one score or less). Buffalo was dominated by New Orleans last week trailing 47-3 at home and make a change at quarterback here with rookie Nathan Peterman taking over. I like the Chargers, but two things make this a pass. They are laying over a field goal with little to no home field edge and quarterback Philip Rivers is questionable with a concussion.
LA Chargers By 1.5
BUF COACHESLAC KICKER
0.91BUF SPECIAL TMS
Bills Logs
Score
New England
Miami
BUF
2014 Comp-Att-Yds23-40-205
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
Rushing
Buffalo Season Leaders
18-25-250
Buffalo
CIN FOE CIN FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST DEN FOE DEN FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 100 100 74.2 #284 94.7 #33 9/10 0-20 L 19 10 18 23 18 8 0-0 0-0 100 98 89.4 #94 83.3 #206 9/11 24-21 W 27 2 15 20 6 300-1 0-1 95 95 82.8 #215 86.2 #151 9/14 9-13 L 27 10 18 29 4 27 1-0 1-0 100 104 95.0 #29 77.4 #268 9/17 42-17 W 19 3 15 5 22 170-2 1-1 93 103 85.6 #159 83.5 #201 9/24 24-27 L 27 7 18 7 23 31 2-0 1-1 105 97 81.3 #235 85.4 #166 9/24 16-26 L 12 4 15 18 20 110-3 0-3 95 94 99.1 #9 66.8 #290 10/1 31-7 W 26 8 13 29 28 12 #32 #14 2-1 2-1 101 101 86.9 #134 82.0 #221 10/1 16-10 W 14 3 15 13 29 31-3 3-1 100 104 86.0 #154 81.0 #238 10/8 20-16 W 25 6 10 21 12 25 #27 #19 3-1 101 10/8 22 2 142-3 102 10/15 24 3 18 #32 #20 3-1 0-5 101 95 79.8 #247 87.0 #133 10/15 10-23 L 19 1 17 18 18 312-3 4-2 102 106 79.8 #248 95.8 #25 10/22 14-29 L 24 2 16 7 3 30 #30 #24 3-2 2-4 96 99 81.6 #229 91.4 #64 10/22 0-21 L 20 4 13 18 19 282-4 2-5 101 87 81.6 #230 87.1 #131 10/29 24-23 W 23 7 11 30 32 6 #22 #25 3-3 5-2 93 103 85.6 #162 86.3 #149 10/30 19-29 L 26 4 21 2 21 83-4 4-3 98 104 80.8 #241 94.8 #30 11/5 7-23 L 27 7 16 9 5 29 #27 #5 3-4 7-1 93 107 78.6 #262 97.2 #20 11/5 23-51 L 24 3 23 5 10 23-5 5-3 97 98 81.2 #237 87.9 #119 11/12 20-24 L 30 9 21 17 19 11 #5 #9 3-5 6-2 91 105 79.7 #250 95.3 #27 11/12 16-41 L 23 6 19 1 22 63-6 3-6 97 89 11/19 29 13 17 22 11 26 #13 #4 3-6 3-6 89 97 11/19 22 11 26 29 13 17
0-9 88 11/26 31 18 15 #12 #29 4-5 96 11/26 31 18 157-2 106 12/4 6 1 27 #7 #18 4-5 90 12/3 6 1 273-6 96 12/10 28 14 30 #27 #10 4-6 96 12/10 28 14 307-2 104 12/17 9 3 18 -9 -14 3-7 96 12/14 9 3 185-4 103 12/24 12 23 6 16.55 Off YPP 17.81 4-5 98 12/24 12 23 64-5 101 12/31 23 12 2 #20 Off YPP Rank #25 6-3 102 12/31 23 12 2
15.87 Def YPP 11.05#14 Def YPP Rank #32
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Baltimore 0-20 -47 -3 -42.6 -4 14 22-77 3.5 16-31 144 5 17 42-157 3.7 9-17 111 1 LA Chargers 24-21 72 5 -5.4 -1 22 36-140 3.9 17-28 181 4 17 22-64 2.9 22-33 185 1 Houston 9-13 29 -2 0.5 -1 12 24-82 3.4 20-35 213 3 14 35-168 4.8 15-24 98 3 Dallas 42-17 112 10 47.4 0 26 39-178 4.6 22-32 202 2 16 14-40 2.9 30-50 228 2at Green Bay 24-27 -43 -1 21.5 0 21 30-110 3.7 21-27 191 3 22 17-64 3.8 28-42 280 6 at Buffalo 16-26 94 5 -67.7 -2 21 23-111 4.8 24-40 255 3 16 33-75 2.3 20-26 197 4at Cleveland 31-7 135 9 94.0 0 25 30-86 2.9 25-30 264 3 16 17-45 2.6 21-42 170 2 Oakland 16-10 44 5 15.5 1 16 32-143 4.5 16-26 155 4 11 15-24 1.6 21-35 230 3 Buffalo 20-16 167 1 13.5 -2 18 27-65 2.4 22-36 323 1 17 24-82 3.4 20-37 139 6 at Byeat Bye NY Giants 10-23 146 8 -24.9 -3 20 17-46 2.7 31-54 366 4 12 32-148 4.6 11-19 118 3at Pittsburgh 14-29 -241 -10 -60.2 -2 11 17-71 4.2 17-30 108 4 21 43-152 3.5 15-25 268 0 at LA Chargers 0-21 9 -2 -5.1 -3 12 19-69 3.6 25-35 182 5 14 26-80 3.1 15-26 162 3 Indianapolis 24-23 -55 -2 22.0 -1 17 21-58 2.8 17-29 218 3 19 28-115 4.1 25-39 216 4 at Kansas City 19-29 88 7 -18.7 -3 23 31-177 5.7 19-36 187 3 16 26-79 3.0 14-32 197 1at Jacksonville 7-23 -260 -18 -12.0 1 8 17-29 1.7 10-18 119 2 26 40-149 3.7 24-38 259 0 at Philadelphia 23-51 -193 -11 -70.7 -1 14 19-35 1.8 19-38 191 3 25 37-197 5.3 16-28 222 2at Tennessee 20-24 -108 -12 27.8 0 15 14-53 3.8 20-35 255 1 27 36-180 5.0 25-44 236 4 New England 16-41 -57 -11 -53.4 -2 17 28-118 4.2 18-33 221 0 28 29-99 3.4 28-37 297 1at Denver Cincinnati Cleveland at Oakland Pittsburgh at Miami Chicago NY Jetsat Minnesota at Indianapolis Detroit at Washingtonat Baltimore Kansas City
Average 17-20 -47.0 0.0 7.0 -9 16 22-70 3.1 19-30 204 9.2% 20 31-124 3.9 20-34 197 8.4% Average 18-27 35.0 0.0 -21.0 -14 19 27-113 4.2 21-36 216 8.7% 17 26-90 3.4 20-32 204 7.0% Vs AFC North 15-19 -51.0 -1.3 -0.1 -6 17 23-78 3.4 19-30 172 13.2% 18 34-118 3.5 15-28 183 3.6% Vs AFC West 15-20 53.3 3.8 -6.1 -6 18 30-132 4.5 19-31 176 12.8% 15 22-62 2.8 18-32 194 6.3%
Away 19-22 -103.4 -6.4 21.1 -1 16 22-70 3.2 19-28 187 9.3% 22 31-118 3.9 23-38 243 6.3% Home 22-22 63.4 3.4 -4.4 -5 20 30-125 4.1 21-35 225 8.1% 17 22-75 3.3 22-35 212 5.7%
Baltimore -3/41 Andy Dalton 16-31-170-0-4 Giovani Bernard 7-40-5.7-0 AJ Green 5-74-14.8-0 LA Chargers -3/43 Trevor Siemian 17-28-219-2-1 CJ Anderson 20-81-0.0-0 Demaryius Thomas 5-67-0.0-0 Houston -6.5/38 Andy Dalton 20-35-224-0-0 Joe Mixon 9-36-4.0-0 AJ Green 5-67-13.4-0 Dallas +2.5/43.5 Trevor Siemian 22-32-231-4-1 CJ Anderson 25-118-0.0-1 Demaryius Thomas 6-71-0.0-0at Green Bay +7/47 Andy Dalton 21-27-212-2-0 Joe Mixon 18-62-3.4-0 AJ Green 10-111-11.1-1 vs. at Buffalo -3/39.5 Trevor Siemian 24-40-259-0-2 Jamaal Charles 9-56-0.0-1 Demaryius Thomas 6-98-0.0-0at Cleveland -3/41.5 Andy Dalton 25-30-286-4-0 Joe Mixon 17-29-1.7-0 Tyler Kroft 6-68-11.3-2 Oakland -3/44 Trevor Siemian 16-26-179-1-0 CJ Anderson 20-95-0.0-0 AJ Derby 4-75-0.0-1 Buffalo -3/39.5 Andy Dalton 22-36-328-1-2 Joe Mixon 15-51-3.4-1 AJ Green 7-189-27.0-1 at Byeat Bye vs. NY Giants -12/38.5 Trevor Siemian 29-50-376-1-2 Jamaal Charles 5-19-0.0-0 Demaryius Thomas 10-133-0.0-0at Pittsburgh +4/40.5 Andy Dalton 17-30-140-2-2 Joe Mixon 7-48-6.9-0 AJ Green 3-41-13.7-0 at LA Chargers E/41 Trevor Siemian 25-35-207-0-1 CJ Anderson 10-44-0.0-0 AJ Derby 6-66-0.0-0 Indianapolis -10.5/43.5 Andy Dalton 17-29-243-2-0 Joe Mixon 11-18-1.6-0 Joe Mixon 3-91-30.3-0 at Kansas City +7/42.5 Trevor Siemian 19-36-198-1-3 CJ Anderson 15-78-0.0-0 Demaryius Thomas 5-66-0.0-0at Jacksonville +6/38.5 Andy Dalton 10-18-136-0-0 Joe Mixon 13-31-2.4-1 Tyler Kroft 2-79-39.5-0 vs. at Philadelphia +7/41.5 Brock Osweiler 19-38-208-1-2 Devontae Booker 6-21-0.0-0 Demaryius Thomas 8-70-0.0-1at Tennessee +4/41 Andy Dalton 20-35-265-2-0 Joe Mixon 9-37-4.1-1 AJ Green 5-115-23.0-1 New England +7/45 Brock Osweiler 18-33-221-1-1 CJ Anderson 10-54-0.0-0 Emmanuel Sanders 6-137-0.0-0at Denver Cincinnati Cleveland vs. at Oakland Pittsburgh at Miami Chicago NY Jetsat Minnesota vs. at Indianapolis Detroit at Washingtonat Baltimore Kansas City
vs.
Andy Dalton 168-271-2004-13-8 Joe Mixon 107-321-3.0-3 AJ Green 44-693-15.8-5 vs. Trevor Siemian 152-247-1669-9-10 CJ Anderson 126-536-4.3-1 Demaryius Thomas 48-569-11.9-2Jeremy Hill 37-116-3.1-0 Brandon LaFell 31-303-9.8-2 Brock Osweiler 39-75-447-2-3 Jamaal Charles 62-274-4.4-1 Emmanuel Sanders 32-433-13.5-2Giovani Bernard 28-113-4.0-0 Tyler Kroft 26-291-11.2-3 Devontae Booker 26-107-4.1-1 AJ Derby 19-224-11.8-2
vs. CategoryLine Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Cincinnati -3.5 17 332 20 29-143
DENVER 42.5 29 355 21 23-52 1 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sCincinnati 40 17 294 22 33-108
DENVER -3 20 390 22 21-113 0 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sCincinnati 47.5 37 353 20 37-207
Denver -3 28 385 22 19-85 -2
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sCincinnati 47.5 23 366 22 25-91
Denver -4.5 31 359 20 26-68 -1
22 points
#8
at Baltimore Kansas City
at Minnesota Total TO's at Indianapolis Detroit at Washington
Pittsburgh Sks By at Miami Chicago Ypg Diff NY Jets
at Denver Total Def Cincinnati Cleveland Score Def at Oakland
at Jacksonville Rush Def at Philadelphiaat Tennessee Pass Def New England
at Pittsburgh Score Off at LA Chargers Indianapolis Sks Allowed at Kansas City
Buffalo Pass Offat Bye Total Off
at Cleveland Rush Off
Baltimore 2017 CURRENT RANKINGS Houston
FOE
at Green Bay
NFL RANKINGS
Cincinnati Denver
DEN1-2 2-2
3-6
NY Giants
Future Schedule Strength#27 #25Cincinnati Denver
22 points
17-25-146
#23 Cincinnati DenverTeam Schedule Strength
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
Projected Passing
Denver
191 yards Cincinnati
0.04
Projected Yardage Total290 yards Cincinnati Denver 342 yards
DEN TOTAL PTS
DEN COACHES
Projected Final ScoreCincinnati
Receiving
Bengals Net Stats Offense Defense
Denver 110 yards98 yards
Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
2016 Comp-Att-Yds
2015 Comp-Att-Yds Cincinnati
Score
RECORDVs AFC North Vs AFC West
3-6
Cin
cin
nat
i Ben
gal
s
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Den
ver
Bro
nco
sDEN QB/WR
1.66
CIN QB/WR
DEN LB's
DEN DEF LINE
CIN OFF LINE
Denver
DEN SECONDARY
Denver Season LeadersCIN KICKER
DEN KICKER
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
CIN SECONDARY
Cincinnati
Broncos LogsDenver Broncos
Offense
Denver By 2.5
Phil Steele
Even at 22 - 22
Denver 342 - 290
FOE
Rushing Receiving
38.5 Points
Denver By 10
Cincinnati By 4.5
Game Grade
Broncos Net Stats
Weather: Mostly Sunny, High 50's. Denver has lost five straight games by double digits and by an average of 19.4 points per game. They look like one of the weakest teams in the NFL, but I think they may be one of the most underrated. Remember they opened up the season 3-1 and whipped Dallas 42-17. They were way overconfident versus the Giants as a huge favorite and despite a 412-266 yardage edge, they lost by 13. The last three weeks they have lost at Kansas City, at Philadelphia and home against New England. Most teams in the NFL would be 0-3 versus that gauntlet. They still have the No. 4 defense in the NFL and despite their 3-6 record they are actually plus 35 yards per game. The Bengals are also 3-5 with wins over Cleveland on the road and against the Bills and Colts at home. They are on the third game of a three-game road trip. In their last three road games, they have been out first downed 84-34! Not only are they a travel weary team, but Denver has their altitude advantage amplified by playing a second straight home game in a must-win situation.
Passing
Phil's Forecast:
Defense
LA Chargers Dallasat Buffalo Oakland
GAME GRADES DEN --PS RANK--
Computer Yards
Team & Margin
at Bye
Las Vegas Line
+/- Ratings
Computer Points
Las Vegas Total
4.17
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
PLUS/MINUS
Denver
By 0.80 Points
Broncos
Denver By 4.3
Best Bet: ★ Denver 24 Cincinnati 14
CIN COACHES
Denver 231 yardsCIN TOTAL PTS
0.54CIN SPECIAL TMS
DEN SPECIAL TMS
3.37
DEN RB's
CIN LB'S
0.39
1.63
0.45
0.18
CIN RB's1.85
DEN OFF LINE0.81
CIN DEF LINE
OVERALL: OVERALL:
CIN FOECIN
Cincinnati BengalsBengals Logs
--PS RANK-- FOE
Cincinnati Season Leaders
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
21-31-206
23-35-312
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES
Projected Rushing
22-35-200
27-39-299
2014 Comp-Att-Yds
28-44-300
2012 Comp-Att-Yds26-42-275
27-35-291
NE FOE NE FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST OAK FOE OAK FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 108 102 78.4 #264 99.3 #7 9/7 27-42 L 3 7 7 17 9 3 0-0 0-0 102 100 88.1 #115 80.3 #244 9/10 26-16 W 4 24 6 6 17 240-1 0-1 103 98 102.0 #3 81.8 #223 9/17 36-20 W 4 13 7 3 31 10 1-0 0-1 105 89 95.2 #28 73.0 #286 9/17 45-20 W 8 23 6 32 29 321-1 1-1 105 97 85.2 #168 90.3 #80 9/24 36-33 W 3 17 7 30 5 27 2-0 1-1 106 98 72.9 #287 97.6 #17 9/24 10-27 L 4 25 6 14 28 92-1 2-1 104 97 86.5 #142 92.7 #50 10/1 30-33 L 1 25 9 20 6 14 #16 #27 2-1 2-1 101 101 82.0 #221 86.9 #134 10/1 10-16 L 13 29 3 14 3 152-2 2-1 101 99 85.0 #176 89.8 #86 10/5 19-14 W 1 30 16 19 25 1 #1 #15 2-2 2-2 101 97 79.4 #254 92.5 #53 10/8 17-30 L 16 24 2 27 19 73-2 3-2 103 95 86.3 #150 88.1 #113 10/15 24-17 W 2 28 12 31 23 27 #1 #22 2-3 1-4 96 98 85.2 #171 87.8 #122 10/15 16-17 L 21 31 1 11 21 304-2 3-2 103 100 94.8 #31 85.2 #173 10/22 23-7 W 1 28 12 5 18 24 #4 #16 2-4 5-1 95 105 89.2 #99 82.6 #218 10/19 31-30 W 21 21 4 2 12 105-2 3-4 105 101 92.6 #52 86.6 #141 10/29 21-13 W 1 22 12 14 11 25 #14 #6 3-4 4-2 97 101 75.9 #278 90.9 #72 10/29 14-34 L 15 28 3 22 18 206-2 105 11/5 1 23 7 #26 #21 3-5 4-3 95 93 80.4 #243 83.9 #191 11/5 27-24 W 14 28 5 32 16 86-2 3-5 105 91 95.3 #27 79.7 #250 11/12 41-16 W 1 22 6 23 6 19 #32 #22 4-5 96 11/12 12 32 57-2 4-5 107 96 11/19 2 19 3 15 31 5 #32 #26 4-5 7-2 96 107 11/19 15 31 5 2 19 3
4-5 90 11/26 32 29 8 #14 #23 3-6 89 11/26 32 29 85-4 94 12/3 24 28 12 #26 #30 1-8 90 12/3 24 28 124-5 90 12/11 32 29 8 #13 #24 6-3 102 12/10 32 29 87-2 106 12/17 6 1 27 6 -7 5-4 102 12/17 6 1 275-4 94 12/24 24 28 12 14.34 Off YPP 14.90 8-1 109 12/25 24 28 124-6 96 12/31 27 22 29 #11 Off YPP Rank #14 3-6 101 12/31 27 22 29
18.85 Def YPP 15.19#2 Def YPP Rank #19
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Kansas City 27-42 -166 -1 -78.5 1 25 35-124 3.5 16-36 247 3 26 27-185 6.9 28-35 352 3 at Tennessee 26-16 9 1 35.4 0 22 29-109 3.8 22-32 250 2 21 21-95 4.5 25-41 255 1at New Orleans 36-20 126 9 39.7 0 29 31-119 3.8 30-39 436 2 20 17-81 4.8 27-45 348 1 NY Jets 45-20 139 4 23.5 2 21 27-180 6.7 23-28 230 0 17 25-126 5.0 17-25 145 4 Houston 36-33 -21 -2 55.6 1 21 20-59 3.0 25-35 337 5 23 32-125 3.9 22-33 292 2 at Washington 10-27 -344 -11 -97.8 -1 7 13-32 2.5 19-31 96 4 18 34-116 3.4 25-30 356 1 Carolina 30-33 -71 -4 -26.2 2 24 19-80 4.2 32-45 293 3 28 29-140 4.8 22-29 304 2 at Denver 10-16 -44 -5 -15.5 -1 11 15-24 1.6 21-35 230 3 16 32-143 4.5 16-26 155 4at Tampa Bay 19-14 -7 -3 7.4 -2 23 23-113 4.9 30-40 289 3 26 20-90 4.5 26-46 319 2 Baltimore 17-30 -120 -4 -16.5 -1 15 25-108 4.3 13-26 137 3 19 39-143 3.7 19-26 222 0at NY Jets 24-17 -33 0 -4.2 1 23 25-118 4.7 20-38 257 0 23 24-74 3.1 31-47 334 4 LA Chargers 16-17 -69 -5 -32.7 -1 15 22-109 5.0 21-30 165 1 20 28-80 2.9 25-36 263 1 Atlanta 23-7 60 4 21.5 0 25 36-162 4.5 21-29 241 2 21 22-120 5.5 23-33 223 1 Kansas City 31-30 80 13 -26.1 0 32 21-88 4.2 29-52 417 0 19 23-94 4.1 25-36 331 1 LA Chargers 21-13 65 11 19.5 1 27 32-97 3.0 32-47 317 3 16 21-157 7.5 17-30 192 1 at Buffalo 14-34 36 6 -30.4 -4 23 14-54 3.9 31-49 313 0 17 37-166 4.5 20-27 165 0at Bye at Miami 27-24 -16 -3 -22.0 -1 20 27-84 3.1 21-30 295 1 23 18-86 4.8 34-42 309 1at Denver 41-16 57 11 53.4 2 28 29-99 3.4 28-37 297 1 17 28-118 4.2 18-33 221 0 at Bye Oakland † New England Miami Denverat Buffalo NY Giantsat Miami at Kansas Cityat Pittsburgh Dallas Buffalo at Philadelphia NY Jets at LA Chargers
Average 29-22 1.1 0.0 10.4 6 25 28-108 3.9 26-38 302 6.4% 22 24-121 5.0 24-37 287 4.8% Average 22-24 -36.6 0.0 -21.3 -7 18 21-88 4.1 22-35 237 4.5% 19 29-117 4.1 23-32 245 4.5% Vs AFC East 24-17 -33.0 0.0 -4.2 1 23 25-118 4.7 20-38 257 0.0% 23 24-74 0.0 31-47 334 8.5% Vs AFC West 19-21 -11.0 1.0 -22.7 -2 19 19-74 3.8 24-39 271 3.4% 18 28-106 3.8 22-33 250 6.1%
Away 30-17 35.8 4.3 23.0 1 26 27-112 4.2 27-39 320 3.9% 22 22-91 4.1 26-43 306 4.1% Home 27-24 7.5 2.0 -12.2 0 21 24-121 5.1 22-34 237 2.9% 19 29-111 3.9 22-31 240 4.9%
Kansas City -8.5/48 Tom Brady 16-36-267-0-0 Mike Gillislee 15-45-0.0-3 Danny Amendola 6-100-0.0-0 at Tennessee +2.5/50.5 Derek Carr 22-32-262-2-0 Marshawn Lynch 18-76-0.0-0 Michael Crabtree 6-83-0.0-0at New Orleans -6.5/55.5 Tom Brady 30-39-447-3-0 Mike Gillislee 18-69-0.0-1 Rob Gronkowski 6-116-0.0-1 NY Jets -13.5/43.5 Derek Carr 23-28-230-3-0 Jalen Richard 6-58-0.0-1 Michael Crabtree 6-80-0.0-3 Houston -13.5/45 Tom Brady 25-35-378-5-0 Mike Gillislee 12-31-0.0-0 Brandin Cooks 5-131-0.0-2 vs. at Washington -3/53.5 Derek Carr 19-31-118-1-2 Marshawn Lynch 6-18-0.0-0 Jared Cook 4-43-0.0-1 Carolina -9.5/48 Tom Brady 32-45-307-2-0 Mike Gillislee 12-49-0.0-0 Rob Gronkowski 4-80-0.0-0 at Denver +3/44 Derek Carr 10-18-143-1-0 Marshawn Lynch 9-12-0.0-0 Johnny Holton 1-64-0.0-1at Tampa Bay -5.5/55 Tom Brady 30-40-303-1-1 Dion Lewis 7-53-0.0-0 Brandin Cooks 5-85-0.0-0 Baltimore -3/40 EJ Manuel 13-26-159-1-0 Marshawn Lynch 12-43-0.0-1 Michael Crabtree 6-82-0.0-1at NY Jets -9/47.5 Tom Brady 20-38-257-2-1 Dion Lewis 11-52-0.0-1 Brandin Cooks 6-93-0.0-0 vs. LA Chargers -3.5/49 Derek Carr 21-30-171-1-2 Marshawn Lynch 13-63-0.0-0 Michael Crabtree 6-52-0.0-1 Atlanta -3/56.5 Tom Brady 21-29-249-2-0 Dion Lewis 13-76-0.0-0 Chris Hogan 4-71-0.0-0 Kansas City +3/46.5 Derek Carr 29-52-417-3-0 DeAndre Washington 9-33-0.0-1 Amari Cooper 11-210-0.0-2 LA Chargers -7/48.5 Tom Brady 32-47-333-1-0 Dion Lewis 15-44-0.0-0 James White 5-85-0.0-0 at Buffalo +2.5/46 Derek Carr 31-49-313-1-2 DeAndre Washington 6-26-0.0-0 Michael Crabtree 5-83-0.0-0at Bye vs. at Miami -3/45 Derek Carr 21-30-300-1-1 Marshawn Lynch 14-57-0.0-2 Jared Cook 8-126-0.0-0at Denver -7/45 Tom Brady 25-34-266-3-0 Dion Lewis 14-55-0.0-1 Brandin Cooks 6-75-0.0-0 at Bye Oakland † New England Miami vs. Denverat Buffalo NY Giantsat Miami at Kansas Cityat Pittsburgh vs. Dallas Buffalo at Philadelphia NY Jets at LA Chargers
vs.
Tom Brady 231-343-2807-19-2 Mike Gillislee 103-355-3.4-4 Brandin Cooks 39-638-16.4-3 vs. Derek Carr 176-270-1954-13-7 Marshawn Lynch 86-323-3.8-4 Jared Cook 39-499-12.8-1Brian Hoyer 3-3-37-0-0 Dion Lewis 72-326-4.5-3 Rob Gronkowski 38-583-15.3-5 EJ Manuel 24-43-265-1-1 Jalen Richard 45-193-4.3-1 Amari Cooper 38-462-12.2-3
James White 30-127-4.2-0 Chris Hogan 33-438-13.3-5 Cordarrelle Patterson 10-124-12.4-2 Michael Crabtree 36-451-12.5-6vs. Category
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sNew England -14 16 297 21 32-76
Oakland 47.5 9 241 14 22-67 -1 vs.
vs.
NY Jets at LA Chargers
at Denver
at Pittsburgh Total TO's Dallasat Philadelphia
at Buffalo Sks By NY GiantsYpg Diff at Kansas City
at Washington
Patriots Logs Vs AFC East
at Buffalo Kansas City
Oakland Total Def † New England
at Miamiat Bye
Oakland Raiders
Patriots
Score OffSks Allowed
Baltimore
Future Schedule Strength#24
By 4.01 PointsOakland#20 New England #7
#13 New England Oakland
29 points New England Oakland
New England Season Leaders
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Team Schedule Strength
Projected RushingOakland127 yards New England
Projected Yardage Total
97 yards
New England Oakland 259 yards
22 points
355 yards
Projected Passing
Projected Final Score
290 yards
417 yards
NE OFF LINE
OAK RB's
OaklandNew England
New England By 7
NE SECONDARY1.41
OAK QB/WR
NE COACHES
Oakland Season LeadersOAK SPECIAL TMS
Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
0.26
1.60OAK OFF LINE
at Tampa Bay Pass Off
at Bye
Miami
at Miami
Buffalo
at NY Jets Total Off Atlanta LA Chargers
Kansas City 2017 CURRENT RANKINGS
Carolina Rush Off
at New OrleansNew England Houston
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADESNE FOE
OVERALL:
Offense Defense
Denver
NY Jetsat Tennessee
--PS RANK--Raiders Logs
54.5 Points
By Game Yardage Leaders
at Denver
Weather: Mexico City - Sunny, Mid 70's. New England was everyone’s choice to win the Super Bowl as Rob Gronkowski rejoined Tom Brady and the offense. In the first four games their defense was overwhelmed however, allowing 32 points per game and coming out victorious just twice. Since then they are 5-0 and their defense has allowed just 13.4 points per game covering the last three. They stayed in high altitude to practice this week after playing in Denver last week so they should be well acclimated to the elevation of Mexico City. Oakland looked great early at 2-0, but are just 2-5 since with Derek Carr missing a game and a half and their only two wins coming by one and three points. Interestingly, over the last four weeks New England is only plus 21 yards per game while Oakland is plus eight yards per game. Oakland has a couple of edges with Carr back to 100 percent health. They are 5-0 ATS off a bye and the Raiders (slight home field edge as one of Mexico City’s favorite teams) made the trip here last year beating Houston.
ReceivingRushing
OAKPLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES
0.28
NE DEF LINE
NE LB'S
OAK DEF LINE
OAK SECONDARY
Oakland
Oak
lan
d R
aid
ers
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es Score
Position by Position Edges
4-5
NFL RANKINGS1-0
Score Def
OVERALL:7-2
Vs AFC West
0.73
3.44
New
En
gla
nd
Pat
riot
s
Oakland
Rush Def
OAK LB's
NE QB/WRNew England
RECORD
Team & Margin
Passing
FOEOAKFOE
Raiders Net Stats
Phil's Forecast:
LA Chargers
New England 34 Oakland 27
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
7.03NE TOTAL PTS
OAK TOTAL PTS
3.02 New England By 10.0+/- Ratings
Game Grade
New England 417 - 355
Phil Steele
New England By 5.2
Computer Yards
Computer PointsNew England 29 - 22
New England By 7
Las Vegas Total
OAK KICKERLas Vegas Line
OAK COACHES
New England
0.23NE SPECIAL TMS
1.63
0.45NE KICKER
Pass Def
1-2
NE RB's
2014 Comp-Att-Yds24-37-221
New England PatriotsNE --PS RANK-- FOE
Patriots Net Stats Offense Defense
21-34-174
PHI FOE PHI FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST DAL FOE DAL FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 98 99 94.7 #32 83.1 #208 9/10 30-17 W 8 19 1 16 28 9 0-0 0-0 102 102 90.5 #75 79.3 #257 9/10 19-3 W 15 16 17 28 5 131-0 1-0 102 107 86.5 #143 92.5 #54 9/17 20-27 L 10 16 1 11 8 3 1-0 1-0 104 100 77.4 #268 95.0 #29 9/17 17-42 L 5 22 17 19 3 151-1 0-2 102 98 81.3 #236 92.4 #55 9/24 27-24 W 10 16 1 28 8 13 1-1 1-1 99 98 85.0 #177 85.7 #157 9/25 28-17 W 9 27 17 23 14 292-1 0-3 102 95 91.7 #62 88.4 #107 10/1 26-24 W 7 19 1 17 14 31 #4 #2 2-1 2-1 102 96 89.6 #89 90.5 #76 10/1 30-35 L 10 26 17 25 18 23-1 2-2 102 95 92.7 #49 81.6 #231 1/6 34-7 W 5 20 6 28 9 30 #14 #20 2-2 3-1 99 103 83.0 #212 89.2 #98 10/8 31-35 L 10 28 24 8 22 224-1 4-1 105 103 92.1 #59 88.0 #117 10/12 28-23 W 3 17 3 13 6 26 #4 #11 2-3 99 10/15 6 29 235-1 3-2 107 101 89.5 #90 88.6 #104 10/23 34-24 W 3 10 5 8 13 21 #2 #8 2-3 0-6 99 99 99.3 #6 71.3 #289 10/22 40-10 W 6 29 19 27 26 96-1 0-7 107 101 91.0 #71 83.2 #207 10/29 33-10 W 4 13 4 27 30 10 #19 #11 3-3 3-3 103 101 91.0 #68 83.5 #198 10/29 33-19 W 6 25 19 7 15 237-1 3-4 107 93 97.2 #20 78.6 #262 11/5 51-23 W 5 10 2 24 3 23 #1 #12 4-3 6-2 106 103 91.9 #60 83.5 #199 11/5 28-17 W 6 19 13 2 25 98-1 109 11/12 4 11 4 #26 #14 5-3 4-4 107 99 81.0 #239 96.3 #24 11/12 7-27 L 6 17 15 8 13 238-1 5-4 109 102 11/19 3 10 4 11 15 16 #10 #15 5-4 8-1 102 109 11/19 11 15 16 3 10 4
3-6 96 11/26 28 14 30 #10 #17 3-6 101 11/23 28 14 306-3 102 12/3 16 5 14 #10 #5 4-5 98 11/30 16 5 147-2 113 12/10 5 6 1 #6 #11 1-8 90 12/10 5 6 11-8 90 12/17 19 32 32 6 2 4-5 96 12/17 19 32 324-5 96 12/25 15 31 5 11.99 Off YPP 13.72 6-3 102 12/24 15 31 55-4 102 12/31 11 15 16 #2 Off YPP Rank #8 8-1 109 12/31 11 15 16
15.88 Def YPP 14.31#13 Def YPP Rank #24
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Washington 30-17 92 3 23.9 2 19 24-58 2.4 26-39 298 2 16 17-64 3.8 23-40 200 4 NY Giants 19-3 159 9 11.7 1 22 31-129 4.2 24-39 263 1 13 12-35 2.9 29-38 198 3at Kansas City 20-27 62 11 -30.9 -2 27 17-107 6.3 25-46 299 6 16 19-112 5.9 21-28 232 4 at Denver 17-42 -112 -10 -47.4 0 16 14-40 2.9 30-50 228 2 26 39-178 4.6 22-32 202 2 NY Giants 27-24 -61 3 -7.2 1 24 39-193 4.9 21-31 161 3 21 17-49 2.9 35-47 366 0 at Arizona 28-17 -59 -7 47.1 0 15 26-99 3.8 13-18 174 1 22 21-49 2.3 29-48 283 6at LA Chargers 26-24 54 8 -14.9 1 26 42-214 5.1 17-31 240 1 18 13-58 4.5 22-38 342 2 LA Rams 30-35 28 -2 -5.0 -2 22 27-189 7.0 20-36 251 2 24 31-168 5.4 21-36 244 1 Arizona 34-7 112 3 38.1 0 19 33-122 3.7 21-30 297 1 16 14-31 2.2 28-44 276 2 Green Bay 31-35 66 1 -17.7 -2 26 35-163 4.7 25-36 245 1 25 25-160 6.4 19-29 182 4at Carolina 28-23 5 -8 62.2 2 15 27-101 3.7 16-30 209 3 23 25-80 3.2 28-52 225 2 at Bye Washington 34-24 27 4 15.6 0 23 33-127 3.8 17-25 244 3 19 18-75 4.2 30-40 269 4 at San Francisco 40-10 211 4 51.9 3 27 43-265 6.2 17-27 236 0 23 22-103 4.7 22-38 187 5 San Francisco 33-10 66 5 37.4 1 19 31-112 3.6 18-32 192 3 14 24-94 3.9 17-36 144 4 at Washington 33-19 22 2 -1.4 2 18 39-169 4.3 14-22 138 2 16 15-49 3.3 26-39 236 4 Denver 51-23 193 11 70.7 1 25 37-197 5.3 16-28 222 2 14 19-35 1.8 19-38 191 3 Kansas City 28-17 52 7 3.8 1 24 31-131 4.2 21-33 244 1 17 19-68 3.6 25-34 255 2at Bye at Atlanta 7-27 -103 -4 -22.7 -1 18 21-107 5.1 20-30 126 8 22 34-132 3.9 22-29 204 1at Dallas Philadelphia Chicago LA Chargersat Seattle Washingtonat LA Rams at NY Giantsat NY Giants at Oakland Oakland Seattle Dallas at Philadelphia
Average 31-20 61.1 0.0 23.3 6 22 31-137 4.3 20-32 240 8.2% 17 18-66 3.6 25-40 249 6.9% Average 26-23 29.3 0.0 -0.4 2 21 30-144 4.8 20-32 212 6.2% 21 24-105 4.3 24-36 221 8.7% Vs NFC East 30-22 19.3 3.3 12.1 3 22 32-126 3.9 21-32 234 8.4% 19 17-63 3.6 29-42 278 6.3% Vs NFC East 26-11 90.5 5.5 6.3 3 20 35-149 4.3 19-31 201 4.9% 15 14-42 3.1 28-39 217 9.1%
Away 26-23 53.3 3.5 14.0 3 22 28-120 4.4 21-37 262 8.2% 18 19-79 4.2 24-40 250 7.6% Home 27-23 76.3 3.8 -0.6 -2 24 31-153 4.9 23-36 251 3.5% 20 22-108 5.0 24-34 220 7.3%
at Washington -1/49.5 Carson Wentz 26-39-307-2-1 LeGarrette Blount 14-46-3.3-0 Zach Ertz 8-93-11.6-0 NY Giants -4/47 Dak Prescott 24-39-268-1-0 Ezekiel Elliott 24-104-0.0-0 Terrance Williams 6-68-0.0-0at Kansas City +5/46.5 Carson Wentz 25-46-333-2-1 Carson Wentz 4-55-13.8-0 Zach Ertz 5-97-19.4-0 at Denver -2.5/43.5 Dak Prescott 30-50-238-2-2 Dak Prescott 3-24-0.0-0 Jason Witten 10-97-0.0-1 NY Giants -6/43.5 Carson Wentz 21-31-176-1-0 Wendell Smallwood 12-71-5.9-0 Alshon Jeffery 4-56-14.0-0 vs. at Arizona -3/47 Dak Prescott 13-18-183-2-0 Ezekiel Elliott 22-80-0.0-1 Brice Butler 2-90-0.0-1at LA Chargers +2/48 Carson Wentz 17-31-242-1-0 LeGarrette Blount 16-136-8.5-0 Zach Ertz 5-81-16.2-0 LA Rams -6/49 Dak Prescott 20-36-252-3-1 Ezekiel Elliott 21-85-0.0-1 Dez Bryant 5-98-0.0-0 Arizona -6.5/45 Carson Wentz 21-30-304-4-1 LeGarrette Blount 14-74-5.3-0 Nelson Agholor 4-93-23.3-1 Green Bay -2.5/53 Dak Prescott 25-36-251-3-1 Ezekiel Elliott 29-116-0.0-0 Jason Witten 8-61-0.0-0at Carolina +3/45 Carson Wentz 16-30-222-3-0 LeGarrette Blount 14-67-4.8-0 Alshon Jeffery 4-71-17.8-0 vs. at Bye Washington -5/49 Carson Wentz 17-25-268-4-1 Carson Wentz 8-63-7.9-0 Zach Ertz 5-89-17.8-1 at San Francisco -6.5/49 Dak Prescott 16-25-234-3-0 Ezekiel Elliott 26-147-0.0-2 Ezekiel Elliott 1-72-0.0-1 San Francisco -12.5/44 Carson Wentz 18-32-211-2-1 Corey Clement 10-54-5.4-0 Alshon Jeffery 2-62-31.0-1 at Washington -2.5/45.5 Dak Prescott 14-22-143-0-0 Ezekiel Elliott 33-150-0.0-2 Dez Bryant 4-39-0.0-0 Denver -7/41.5 Carson Wentz 15-27-199-4-0 Jay Ajayi 8-77-9.6-1 Alshon Jeffery 6-84-14.0-2 vs. Kansas City -2.5/53 Dak Prescott 21-33-249-2-0 Ezekiel Elliott 27-93-0.0-1 Terrance Williams 9-141-0.0-0at Bye at Atlanta +3.5/49 Dak Prescott 20-30-176-0-0 Alfred Morris 11-53-0.0-0 Jason Witten 7-59-0.0-0at Dallas Philadelphia Chicago vs. LA Chargersat Seattle Washingtonat LA Rams at NY Giantsat NY Giants vs. at Oakland Oakland Seattle Dallas at Philadelphia
vs.
Carson Wentz 176-291-2262-23-5 LeGarrette Blount 109-504-4.6-2 Zach Ertz 43-528-12.3-6 vs. Dak Prescott 183-289-1994-16-4 Ezekiel Elliott 191-783-4.1-7 Dez Bryant 42-478-11.4-4Nick Foles 1-1-35-0-0 Carson Wentz 44-211-4.8-0 Alshon Jeffery 34-500-14.7-5 Cooper Rush 1-2-2-0-0 Dak Prescott 32-237-7.4-5 Jason Witten 42-378-9.0-3
Corey Clement 48-182-3.8-3 Nelson Agholor 29-428-14.8-5 Alfred Morris 25-169-6.8-0 Terrance Williams 31-366-11.8-0vs. Category
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sPhiladelphia 43 23 291 21 24-97DALLAS -5 29 460 26 34-187 0 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sPhiladelphia -6 27 346 24 30-114DALLAS 43.5 13 195 15 21-69 -2 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sPhiladelphia -5.5 10 226 17 17-7DALLAS 54.5 20 359 21 33-109 1
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sPhiladelphia -3 33 459 25 35-172DALLAS 43.5 27 411 25 29-134 -1
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sPhiladelphia 54.5 33 464 26 45-256Dallas -3 10 267 16 25-93 -2
Oakland Seattle Dallas at Philadelphia
at LA Rams Ypg Diff at NY Giantsat NY Giants Total TO's at Oakland
Chicago Score Def LA Chargersat Seattle Sks By Washington
at Bye Pass Def at Atlantaat Dallas Total Def Philadelphia
San Francisco Sks Allowed at Washington Denver Rush Def Kansas City
at Carolina Total Off at Bye Washington Score Off at San Francisco
at LA Chargers Rush Off LA Rams Arizona Pass Off Green Bay
at Kansas CityPhiladelphia Dallas
at Denver NY Giants at Arizona
#18
#31
Philadelphia By 4 Philadelphia 24 Dallas 17Phil Steele
Future Schedule StrengthPhiladelphia Dallas #25 Computer Points
Philadelphia Dallas #9 By 0.95 Points
Eagles
356 yards
Dallas 25 pointsPhiladelphia
Projected Final Score27 points Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Team Schedule Strength
Dallas
Computer Yards
Las Vegas Line
343 yardsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
1.13
2.58
PHI COACHES
DAL COACHES
231 yards 3.53PHI TOTAL PTS
DAL TOTAL PTSProjected Yardage Total
115 yards
Dallas 228 yardsProjected Passing
125 yards
Position by Position EdgesPhiladelphia Dallas
DAL SPECIAL TMS
1.02DAL QB/WR
DAL DEF LINE0.01
PHI OFF LINE
Score Score
Ph
ilad
elp
hia
Eag
les
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Dal
las
Cow
boy
s
Eagles Net Stats Offense Defense
at Washington
RECORDPHI
2017 CURRENT RANKINGS
--PS RANK-- FOE 3-0NFL RANKINGSFOEPHI
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES
Philadelphia Eagles OVERALL:
Cowboys Logs
Rushing
FOE
Offense
--PS RANK--DALFOE
Vs NFC East Vs NFC East
Philadelphia 356 - 343
DAL
+/- RatingsPhiladelphia By 4.0
Passing
Phil's Forecast:
Defense
DAL KICKER
Dallas Season Leaders
GAME GRADES
Weather: Roof closed during inclimate weather. Dallas not only lost Ezekiel Elliott last week, but was also without their star left tackle Tyron Smith (Atlanta’s Adrian Clayborn had six sacks!). They also lost linebacker Sean Lee during the game and lost to Atlanta 27-7 with just 233 yards. Dallas is only plus 29 yards per game with those players. Philadelphia is one of the top three teams in the NFL and they recently added Jay Ajayi to join LeGarrette Blount at running back. Carson Wentz has an outstanding 23-5 ratio. Their defense is getting better each week as they are No. 5 in the NFL on defense over the last four weeks with 13 sacks (allowing just 71 yards per game rush). I have backed the Eagles in five of the past six weeks with the exception being the Carolina game where I passed. With six consecutive covers, I will continue to ride them here.
Philadelphia By 4
48 Points
Philadelphia By 0.1
Philadelphia 27 - 25
Dallas Cowboys
Receiving
Cowboys Net Stats
NY Giants
PLUS/MINUS
By Game Yardage Leaders
Las Vegas TotalPhiladelphia
Philadelphia
0.88
Dallas
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com)
Projected Rushing
PHI KICKER0.29Projected Box Score
PHI DEF LINE
DAL OFF LINE
Philadelphia Season Leaders
Team & Margin
PHI SECONDARY
PHI SPECIAL TMS
0.14PHI RB's
Game Grade
PHI LB'S0.14
DAL RB's
0.02
DAL LB's
2-0
OVERALL:
DAL SECONDARY2.48
PHI QB/WR
8-1 5-4
2016 Comp-Att-Yds32-44-202
Eagles Logs
Passing Rushing ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
19-40-2872016 Comp-Att-Yds
27-43-24516-29-151
2015 Comp-Att-Yds23-37-22425-34-268
2015 Comp-Att-Yds25-36-29525-38-299
2014 Comp-Att-Yds20-29-20818-29-174
ATL FOE ATL FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST SEA FOE SEA FOE DATE FOE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 107 96 89.3 #95 84.7 #180 9/10 23-17 W 2 15 25 21 22 28 0-0 0-0 105 103 79.0 #259 94.2 #38 9/10 9-17 L 11 3 16 5 25 311-0 1-0 107 104 87.9 #120 85.8 #155 9/17 34-23 W 1 14 25 6 19 31 0-1 0-1 104 98 85.0 #178 87.1 #130 9/17 12-9 W 18 1 16 31 30 222-0 2-0 108 103 90.5 #77 86.8 #137 9/24 30-26 W 1 12 25 16 24 5 1-1 1-1 101 102 83.8 #192 89.8 #87 9/24 27-33 L 21 1 16 6 15 243-0 2-1 108 100 81.0 #240 90.8 #73 10/1 17-23 L 3 11 24 23 16 22 #12 #22 1-2 1-2 101 94 97.2 #21 76.1 #276 10/1 46-18 W 15 1 16 28 31 203-1 104 10/8 3 10 23 #11 #2 2-2 3-1 104 99 93.0 #48 88.4 #108 10/8 16-10 W 13 4 9 17 21 33-1 2-2 104 93 79.7 #249 89.5 #91 10/15 17-20 L 4 11 22 32 7 7 #8 #7 3-2 104 10/15 20 4 143-2 4-2 100 103 85.2 #173 94.8 #31 10/22 7-23 L 5 18 24 1 28 12 #15 #11 3-2 1-5 104 100 94.2 #39 77.2 #269 10/22 27-7 W 23 5 14 14 14 273-3 3-4 98 95 88.0 #118 85.2 #170 10/29 25-20 W 8 16 24 28 29 28 #8 #16 4-2 3-3 107 102 85.5 #165 88.9 #101 10/29 41-38 W 21 3 16 12 10 224-3 5-3 99 101 89.9 #84 88.1 #112 11/5 17-20 L 8 13 24 22 1 10 #19 #9 5-2 3-4 106 97 89.2 #97 86.9 #136 11/5 14-17 L 13 6 18 10 14 224-4 5-3 99 107 96.3 #24 81.0 #239 11/12 27-7 W 8 13 23 6 17 15 #6 #13 5-3 4-4 102 93 85.7 #158 86.3 #147 11/9 22-16 W 11 5 16 29 21 315-4 6-3 104 102 11/20 7 7 23 16 5 14 #7 #12 6-3 5-4 102 104 11/20 16 5 14 7 7 23
3-6 95 11/26 20 25 20 #10 #5 1-9 89 11/26 20 25 207-2 104 12/3 9 3 18 #7 #10 8-1 109 12/3 9 3 187-2 111 12/7 1 8 25 #8 #9 6-3 105 12/10 1 8 253-6 95 12/18 20 25 20 -3 6 7-2 113 12/17 20 25 207-2 111 12/24 1 8 25 16.82 Off YPP 15.72 5-4 102 12/24 1 8 257-3 103 12/31 13 4 11 #22 Off YPP Rank #18 4-5 93 12/31 13 4 11
15.68 Def YPP 17.39#15 Def YPP Rank #5
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD QBR TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Chicago 23-17 71 -2 29.3 0 18 23-64 2.8 21-30 308 2 20 19-125 6.6 26-40 176 4 at Green Bay 9-17 -145 -14 -16.8 0 12 18-90 5.0 14-27 135 3 26 28-84 3.0 28-42 286 4 Green Bay 34-23 -3 -5 17.4 2 19 27-141 5.2 19-28 223 3 24 15-59 3.9 33-50 308 3 San Francisco 12-9 64 10 32.7 1 21 37-131 3.5 23-39 181 3 11 19-159 8.4 15-27 89 2at Detroit 30-26 104 5 -2.7 -3 26 28-151 5.4 24-35 277 2 21 19-71 3.7 25-45 253 2 at Tennessee 27-33 13 3 6.0 0 24 22-69 3.1 29-49 364 1 21 35-195 5.6 20-32 225 0 Buffalo 17-23 110 10 -44.9 -3 25 29-149 5.1 24-42 242 1 15 36-117 3.3 12-20 164 3 Indianapolis 46-18 240 6 39.8 0 22 33-194 5.9 21-26 283 3 16 25-98 3.9 16-29 139 3at Bye at LA Rams 16-10 -134 -6 14.4 3 15 25-62 2.5 24-38 179 3 21 22-100 4.5 22-47 275 2 Miami 17-20 50 -1 9.7 0 19 19-100 5.3 24-35 239 2 20 31-138 4.5 19-33 151 0 at Byeat New England 7-23 -60 -4 -21.5 0 21 22-120 5.5 23-33 223 1 25 36-162 4.5 21-29 241 2 at NY Giants 27-7 248 12 55.6 0 26 31-104 3.4 27-39 321 1 14 17-46 2.7 19-39 131 1at NY Jets 25-20 107 3 -6.0 -1 18 32-140 4.4 18-29 246 1 15 22-43 2.0 26-33 236 3 Houston 41-38 -30 -4 12.5 2 21 21-33 1.6 26-41 446 2 25 34-142 4.2 19-30 367 5at Carolina 17-20 25 -3 24.6 1 17 18-53 2.9 24-38 302 2 20 38-201 5.3 13-24 129 1 Washington 14-17 193 6 -21.4 -1 22 28-148 5.3 24-45 289 2 16 23-51 2.2 21-31 193 6 Dallas 27-7 103 4 22.7 1 22 34-132 3.9 22-29 204 1 18 21-107 5.1 20-30 126 8 at Arizona 22-16 -3 -10 35.3 1 14 23-75 3.3 22-32 212 5 24 24-34 1.4 24-47 256 2at Seattle Atlanta Tampa Bay at San Francisco Minnesota Philadelphia New Orleans at Jacksonvilleat Tampa Bay LA Ramsat New Orleans at Dallas Carolina Arizona
Average 22-20 56.3 0.0 2.1 -3 21 26-117 4.5 22-33 252 5.0% 20 26-114 4.3 22-34 198 8.6% Average 23-18 49.6 0.0 19.0 6 20 26-101 3.8 23-37 268 6.8% 19 25-101 4.0 20-36 218 7.7% Vs NFC South 17-20 25.0 -3.0 24.6 1 17 18-53 2.9 24-38 302 5.3% 20 38-201 5.3 13-24 129 4.2% Vs NFC West 17-12 -24.3 -2.0 24.4 5 17 28-89 3.2 23-36 191 10.1% 19 22-98 4.5 20-40 207 5.0%
Away 20-21 49.4 -0.2 4.3 -3 20 25-106 4.3 22-33 271 4.8% 20 27-120 4.5 22-34 207 7.0% Home 28-21 116.8 4.5 13.0 2 22 30-127 4.3 24-38 300 6.6% 17 25-113 4.5 18-29 197 13.7%
at Chicago -7/48.5 Matt Ryan 21-30-321-1-0 Devonta Freeman 12-37-3.1-1 Austin Hooper 2-128-64.0-1 at Green Bay +3/51 Russell Wilson 14-27-158-0-0 Russell Wilson 2-40-20.0-0 Doug Baldwin 4-63-15.8-0 Green Bay -3/54 Matt Ryan 19-28-252-1-0 Devonta Freeman 19-84-4.4-2 Julio Jones 5-108-21.6-0 San Francisco -13.5/41.5 Russell Wilson 23-39-198-1-0 Chris Carson 20-93-4.7-0 Tyler Lockett 6-64-10.7-0at Detroit -3/50 Matt Ryan 24-35-294-2-3 Devonta Freeman 21-106-5.0-1 Julio Jones 7-91-13.0-0 vs. at Tennessee +2.5/41.5 Russell Wilson 29-49-373-4-0 Chris Carson 11-34-3.1-0 Doug Baldwin 10-105-10.5-1 Buffalo -8/49 Matt Ryan 24-42-242-1-2 Tevin Coleman 9-79-8.8-0 Tevin Coleman 4-65-16.3-0 Indianapolis -13/41.5 Russell Wilson 21-26-295-2-2 Eddie Lacy 11-52-4.7-0 Tyler Lockett 4-67-16.8-0at Bye at LA Rams +1.5/47.5 Russell Wilson 24-37-198-1-1 Thomas Rawls 8-20-2.5-0 Jimmy Graham 6-37-6.2-1 Miami -13/46 Matt Ryan 24-35-248-1-1 Devonta Freeman 9-68-7.6-0 Julio Jones 6-72-12.0-0 vs. at Byeat New England +3/56.5 Matt Ryan 23-33-233-1-0 Devonta Freeman 12-72-6.0-0 Julio Jones 9-99-11.0-1 at NY Giants -3.5/39.5 Russell Wilson 27-39-334-3-0 Thomas Rawls 11-36-3.3-0 Doug Baldwin 9-92-10.2-1at NY Jets -6.5/43.5 Matt Ryan 18-29-254-2-0 Tevin Coleman 14-82-5.9-0 Mohamed Sanu 6-74-12.3-1 Houston -6/45.5 Russell Wilson 26-41-452-4-1 Russell Wilson 4-30-7.5-0 Tyler Lockett 6-121-20.2-0at Carolina -2.5/42 Matt Ryan 24-38-313-2-1 Devonta Freeman 11-46-4.2-0 Julio Jones 6-118-19.7-0 vs. Washington -8/45 Russell Wilson 24-45-297-2-2 Russell Wilson 10-77-7.7-0 Doug Baldwin 7-108-15.4-1 Dallas -3.5/49 Matt Ryan 22-29-215-2-1 Tevin Coleman 20-83-4.2-1 Taylor Gabriel 3-58-19.3-0 at Arizona -6/41 Russell Wilson 22-32-238-2-0 Thomas Rawls 10-27-2.7-0 Doug Baldwin 5-95-19.0-0at Seattle Atlanta Tampa Bay vs. at San Francisco Minnesota Philadelphia New Orleans at Jacksonvilleat Tampa Bay vs. LA Ramsat New Orleans at Dallas Carolina Arizona
vs.
Matt Ryan 199-299-2372-13-8 Devonta Freeman 116-515-4.4-5 Julio Jones 49-715-14.6-1 vs. Russell Wilson 210-335-2543-19-6 Russell Wilson 51-290-5.7-1 Doug Baldwin 54-633-11.7-3Tevin Coleman 83-401-4.8-2 Austin Hooper 31-380-12.3-3 Tanner McEvoy 0-1-0-0-1 Chris Carson 49-208-4.2-0 Tyler Lockett 29-371-12.8-0Matt Ryan 16-79-4.9-0 Mohamed Sanu 34-354-10.4-3 Eddie Lacy 48-128-2.7-0 Paul Richardson 20-380-19.0-4
vs. CategoryLine Score Yds FD Rush TO's
Atlanta 45.5 24 362 22 18-52SEATTLE -7 26 333 22 27-72 2 vs.
Line Score Yds FD Rush TO'sAtlanta 45.5 10 226 16 16-64Seattle -4 33 490 25 42-211 1 vs.
at New Orleans at Dallas Carolina Arizona
New Orleans Ypg Diff at Jacksonvilleat Tampa Bay Total TO's LA Rams
Tampa Bay Score Def at San Francisco Minnesota Sks By Philadelphia
Dallas Pass Def at Arizonaat Seattle Total Def Atlanta
at NY Jets Sks Allowed Houston at Carolina Rush Def Washington
Miami Total Off at Byeat New England Score Off at NY Giants
at Tennessee Buffalo Rush Off Indianapolisat Bye Pass Off at LA Rams
Seattle
Atlanta Seattle
Atlanta Seattle #5
Computer Yards
Atlanta
Projected Final ScoreSeattle 21 points20 points Atlanta
Team Schedule Strength#30
Future Schedule Strength
Seattle Season Leaders
Last Five Meetings (Last 16 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Seattle
Las Vegas Line
#6
Phil Steele#8
0.41
0.80
351 yards Atlanta Seattle 354 yards
113 yards
Projected Box Score
107 yards
ATL SPECIAL TMS
Passing Rushing Receiving
GAME GRADES
Offense Defense
at Green Bay
--PS RANK--
San Francisco
ScoreFalcons Net Stats Offense Defense
at Chicago 2017 CURRENT RANKINGS Green Bay
Atlantaat Detroit
ATL FOENFL RANKINGS SEA FOE
SEA3-0 RECORD PLUS/MINUS0-1Vs NFC South Vs NFC West Seahawks Logs
RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADESATL FOE
Atlanta Falcons OVERALL: OVERALL: Seattle Seahawks5-4 6-3
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Total
Game Grade
By 1.79 Points
Seattle 354 - 351
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Falcons
Seattle 24 Atlanta 17Seattle By 7
Weather: Cloudy, Low 40's, 40% chance of rain. While Seattle is No. 2 on offense and No. 9 on defense over the last four weeks, they’ve been unable to get margin over their opponents on the scoreboard thanks to struggles in the red zone and issues in the kicking game. They now welcome a Falcons squad that ended their Super Bowl hopes a season ago with a victory in the Divisional Round. Atlanta did put together one of their best performances of 2017 a week ago against the Cowboys thanks to a dominating defensive effort (allowed just seven points and 233 total yards). With that being said, I like the Seahawks here in a primetime evening matchup in front of the “12th Man” as the Atlanta running game could be shorthanded with Devonta Freeman expected to miss due to a concussion.
Projected Passing244 yards Atlanta 240 yards 4.24
Projected Yardage Total
Seattle 21 - 20
44.5 Points
Seattle By 3
Seattle By 0.5SEA TOTAL PTS
+/- RatingsATL TOTAL PTS
2.45
Computer Points
Seattle By 3.0
SEA KICKER
Projected RushingATL COACHES
SEA COACHES
SEA SPECIAL TMS
0.91ATL KICKER
SEA RB's
SEA OFF LINE
ATL DEF LINE
1.24SEA QB/WR
SEA DEF LINE0.67
ATL OFF LINE
1.09ATL LB'S
0.59
ATL SECONDARY
SEA LB's0.08
ATL RB'sSEA SECONDARY
0.90ATL QB/WR
Atlanta SeattlePosition by Position Edges
Atl
anta
Fal
con
s
Wee
kly
Lead
ers
& T
eam
Ave
rag
es
Sea
ttle
Sea
haw
ks
Score
By Game Yardage Leaders
Seahawks Net Stats
2016 Comp-Att-Yds27-42-335
Falcons Logs--PS RANK-- FOE
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
25-37-2702013 Comp-Att-Yds
23-36-16219-26-279
Atlanta
Receiving
Atlanta Season Leaders
Seattle