petra mikuš, nataša strelec mahović meteorological and hydrological service, croatia

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Petra Mikuš, Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia Satellite-based overshooting top detection Satellite-based overshooting top detection methods: methods: comparison and validation comparison and validation

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Satellite-based overshooting top detection methods: comparison and validation. Petra Mikuš, Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia. 1/1 5. Outline. On Overshooting tops (OT) Satellite based detection methods Weather conditions in the vicinity of the OTs - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Petra Mikuš, Nataša Strelec Mahović

Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Satellite-based overshooting top detection methods: Satellite-based overshooting top detection methods:

comparison and validationcomparison and validation

Page 2: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

On Overshooting tops (OT) Satellite based detection methods Weather conditions in the vicinity of the

OTs Conclusions

1/15

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

Page 3: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

domelike protrusions above thunderstorm’s anvil often penetrating into lower

stratosphere manifestation of very strong

updraft existing for less than 30 min diameter ~ 15 km vertical extant: up to about 2-3 km

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

2/15

Page 4: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

3/15

Page 5: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

OT appearance in satellite images:

Sandwich product:

HRV + color-enhanced IRW 10.8 μmHRV

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

4/15

OT

Storm top plume

Page 6: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

5/15

COLD RING

THERMAL FEATURES: color-enhanced IR 10.8 μm

COLD U/V

All the other storm top features result from the activity of OTs: cold ring, cold U/V, storm top plumes, storm top gravity waves…!!!

Central warm area

Cold ring

Cold U shape

Close-in warm area

Distant warm area

Page 7: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

6/15

Sendwich product: HRV + color-enhanced IRW

Page 8: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Channel differences:

• 6.2 – 10.8 µm (WV-IRW)

• 9.7 – 10.8 µm (O3-IRW)

• 13.4 – 10.8 µm (CO2 – IRW)

• COMB– combination of the WV-IRW and O3-IRW methods

7/15

BTD Threshold

WV-IRW

IRW brightness temperature < 215 K

> 4 K

CO2-IRW > 3.5 K

O3-IRW > 13 K

COMB > 4 K & > 13 K

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

Page 9: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

CO2 - IRW BTDWV – IRW BTD : False OT detections occur in the plume region

O3 - IRW BTD:This method is depending on the annual ozone cycle – in May BTD thresholds should be higher

COMB: WV-IRW & O3-IRW:- combination of two BTD criteria-the smallest number of false alarms

8/15

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

Page 10: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Table: Percentage of the OT pixels detected using three different BTD methods corresponding to OTs visible on HRV images.

BTD methodOT on HRV images (%)

False alarm (%)

False alarm within cold ring

or cold U/V features (%)

WV-IRW 62 38 20

CO2-IRW 72 28 14

COMB 80 20 16

• Locations of the OTs defined by mentiond BTD methods were compared with visually observed OTs on HRV images

• July 2009, between 15 and 16 UTC (five SEVIRI scans)

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

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Page 11: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

• OTs were detected using COMB BTD method

• number of OTs was calculated over 0.2° x 0.2° grid boxes

• warm seasons 2009 and 2010 (May-September)

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

10/15

Page 12: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

parallax correction → applied to automatic station location

11/15

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

Page 13: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

12:00 13:40 15:20 17:00 18:40 20:20 22:00 23:40

time

°C;

m/s

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

%;

mm

temperature(°C) max wind speed(m/s) relative humidity(%) precipitation(mm)

12/15

max. wind

precipitation

temperature

humidity

automatic station Weiz, Austria

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

Page 14: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Wind gust

Precipitation (10-min amount)

Temperature drop

13/15

Wind gusts matching OT detections 

  5 to 10.8 m/s 10.8 to 17.2 m/s >17.2 m/s total

Absolute frequency 281 428 252 951

Relative frequency (%)

30 45 25

Precipitation matching OT detections

  0-5mm 5-10mm >10mm total

Absolute frequency 704 162 70 936

Relative frequency (%)75 17 8

Temperature change matching OT detections

  2 to 4 °C 4 to 6 °C 6 to 8 °C > 8°C total

Absolute frequency 263 276 212 129 880

Relative frequency (%)

30 31 24 15

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

Page 15: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

COMB BTD method has been found to be the most appropriate BTD method for detecting the OTs, showing the smallest number of false alarms

gale wind gusts and significant 10-min precipitation amount are observed in the vicinity of the OTs

OT is only one of many possible indicators for severe weather conditions that can be seen in the satellite images (cold ring or cold U/V, right-moving storm, above anvil plume…)

14/15

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

Page 16: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

[email protected]@cirus.dhz.hr

Croatian–USA Workshop on Mesometeorology 18 - 20 June 2012, Croatia

15/15

Page 17: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Figure: Map of the study domain with locations of the automatic stations

used for this study (black square).

Page 18: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Numerically simulated Cb cloud with OT and jumping cirrus

Page 19: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Type ofautomatic station

dataNumber of detected OTs

in the vicinity of the stationNumber of OTs

matching data extremes

(%)

wind gust 1352 951 70

precipitation 1165 936 80

rel. humidity 1352 776 57

temperature 1380 880 64

Table: Total number of the OTs detected using COMB BTD method within 0,1° radius from the automatic stations measuring mentioned parameters, compared to the number of OTs matching the measured extremes. Correlation between the OTs and each measured parameter is given in

the last column.

Page 20: Petra Mikuš,   Nataša Strelec Mahović Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

Month Number of OT

May 6339

June 7252

July 1712

August 660

September 187

Total 16150

Table: Number of OT detection using COMB method from May to September 2009 and 2010.

Figure: Relative frequency of OTs, detected using COMB method, within given hour.