performance analysis of uae insurance companies (including ......out of the 30 listed companies in...
TRANSCRIPT
-
1
Performance Analysis of UAE Insurance Companies(including Branches) for the Year Ended 2018
May 12, 2019
-
2www.badriconsultancy.com
Industry at a Glance
The Insurance Industry as represented by30 listed companies and 24* foreignbranches covered in the analysisproduced a net profit of AED 1.9 bnduring 2018.
The total written premium of theinsurance industry for the year 2018 isestimated to be AED 40 billion ascompared to AED 41 billion in 2017showing a fall of around 2% for theindustry. While the listed companiesexhibited a growth in premiums of about0.4%, the foreign branches experienced adecline of 7%.
Based on the premium estimations of thepast four years, the CAGR of the Industryfrom 2015-18 is computed to be 9%.
The listed companies comprise of more than half of the total insurance industry of UAE. While the combined ratio has been stable since last year, the return on equity experienced a
slight drop from 9% in 2017 to 8% in 2018.
*A total of 30 foreign branches operate in the UAE however, 24 are used in the analysis
2015.5 2016 2016.5 2017 2017.5 2018 2018.5
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2016 2017 2018
Pre
miu
m G
row
th %
Loss
& C
om
bin
ed R
atio
Industry Overview
Loss Ratio
Combined Ratio
GWP Growth
The Insurance Industry has exhibited an improving trend in
Loss and Combined ratio.However, the premium levels
have remained stable.
-
3www.badriconsultancy.com3
Premiums Profitability
Technical Provisions
Loss & Combined Ratio
Expense & Commission Ratio
Return on Equity
Liquidity & Asset Mix
Insurance Receivables
-
4www.badriconsultancy.com
Gross Written Premium – Listed Companies
-1% -9%
10%
9%32%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
OIC ORIENT ADNIC AAAIC SALAMA
AED
Mill
ion
s
TOP 5
GWP 2017 GWP 2018
Total Gross premiums written by the listedinsurance companies in 2018 remained atthe same level as last year at AED 21.9billion.
Similar to 2017, combined premium ofthe top 5 companies was AED 12.9 billionand market share at 59%.
OIC replaced Orient as the company withthe highest written premium during theyear while SALAMA moved from 7th rankby Gross premiums in 2017 to Top 5 in2018.
-
5www.badriconsultancy.com
Gross Written Premium – Listed Companies
-3%-9%
3% -4% 12% 8% -8%3% -1% -10% 9% -20%-22% 11% 0% -25% 14% 10% -4% 405%-28% 71%
-6% -49% -1%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
AED
Mill
ion
s
Others
GWP 2017 GWP 2018
The highest growth of 2018 was shown by OUTFL with
an increase of 405% in premium in comparison to the
year 2017. The biggest decline over the same year was
shown by AKIC with a decrease of 49% compared to
the year 2017.
AKIC witnessed biggest declines in terms of GWP for
consecutive two financial years. Overall, of the 30
listed companies, half of the Companies recorded a
growth in premium volumes as compared to the
previous year, while other half saw premiums
plummet.
-
6www.badriconsultancy.com
Gross Written Premium – Listed Companies
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
5
10
15
20
25
2015 2016 2017 2018
AED
Bill
ion
s
Premium - 4 Year Trend
Gross Written Premium Growth %
The 30 listed companies exhibitedincreasing premiums and growth ratetill 2017. The highest growth rate wasrecorded during 2017 of 16% mainlydue to IA imposed minimum tariffs forMotor LOB that were materially higherthan the existing rates and newbenefits for the Industry.
During 2018, the premiums remainedat the same level as last year with aninsignificant growth rate of 0.4%.
-
7www.badriconsultancy.com
Gross Written Premium - Branches
LIC has shown a major drop in premiums from AED 1.8 billion toAED 0.8 billion, a drop of -54%.
The top 5 branches of 2018 had a combined premium of AED 7.0billion same as in 2017. Market share for these Top 5 branches of2018 is around 66% of total gross written premium for branches(2017: 61%).
Total premiums written, by the foreign branches, for the yearended 2018 amounted to AED 11.2 billion, as compared to thepremium written in 2017 of AED 12.1 billion which shows adecline of 7%. Upto 2017, SAICO had been writing business forCigna. During 2018, Cigna registered as a separate entity, causing ashift in the portfolio from SAICO to Cigna, as evident from apremium growth of 495%, while SAICO experienced an 84%decline.
12%
0%
-14%
495%
-54%
-11%
18% -1% 0%
13% -24% -32%
-84%
16% -2% -21% -9% 2% -14% -17% -19% 61% 126%0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
AED
Mill
ion
s
GWP 2017 GWP 2018
-
8www.badriconsultancy.com
Gross Written Premium – Combined
Total premiums written for all listed insurance companies andbranches, for the year 2018 amounted to AED 33 billion, ascompared to the premium written in 2017 of AED 34 billionwhich shows a decline of 2.2%.
The top 5 companies had a combined premium of AED 15.1billion for the year 2018 as compared to AED 14.7 billion for 2017and their market share has gone up from 43% to 45%.
Only one of the top 5 companies by premium volume is a branch,but 8 of the top 15 are branches, which reflects that foreignbranches have a significant market presence
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
OICORIENT
MetlifeADNIC
AAAIC
-1% -9%
12%10%
9%
AED
Mill
ion
s
TOP 5
GWP 2017 GWP 2018
-
9www.badriconsultancy.com
Takaful vs Conventional Insurers – Listed Companies
0
5
10
15
20
25
GWP 2017 GWP 2018
18 18
3 4
AED
Bill
ion
s
Conventional Takaful
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
Takaful Conventional
6%
-1%
-4%
5%
Premium Growth Profit Growth
Out of the 30 listed companies in UAE as of 2018year end, 9 operate as takaful companies.The proportion of business written by takafulcompanies grew from 16% in 2017 to 17% in 2018.
The listed Takaful Insurers saw a growth in writtenpremiums by 6% from last year while the GWP fell by1% for the conventional insurance companies.
In contrast, net profit for takaful companiesexperienced a decline of 4% while the profits forconventional companies grew by 5% from last year.
-
10www.badriconsultancy.com
Estimating Total Market Volume
* The updated HAAD statistics for 2017 was not published till the preparation of this report and hence the estimates & assumptions are applied on 2016HAAD statistic report and a flat growth for Daman is assumed.
Daman:As per HAAD Statistics of 2016*, Daman covered543,666 enhanced members at an average premium ofAED 6,161. The basic premium and Enhanced premiumworked out to be AED 1.3 bn and 3.3 bn respectively.As per our report published for 2017, a growth rate of5% was assumed for 2017 and assuming 10% of theirbusiness comes from non-HAAD sources their totalGWP for 2017 was worked out to AED 5.4 bn. Thisexcludes Thiqa. Considering the stagnant growth of theindustry during 2018, the same figure as 2017 isassumed this year.
Missing Financials:Also, for the missing information pertaining to foreignbranches and local unlisted companies, we’ve assumedthat they comprise of 5% of the listed companies plusbranches.
The Total Market Volume is estimated to be AED 40billion. The financials published were used for theListed Companies and Foreign Branches in the graphabove while for Daman and ‘Not Available’ segments,an estimation was applied as explained.
-
11www.badriconsultancy.com
Gross Written Premium – Combined
The total premium is estimated to be AED 40 billion in 2018 as compared to the estimated premium of AED 41 billion for 2017. The breakup is provided below:
* The GWP for 2017 is taken from our report as at December 31, 2017
** 30 Foreign branches operate in the UAE however 24 branches are part of our analysis as the remaining are either reinsurance companies or their financials were not available.
*** This is just an estimate based on HAAD reports and certain assumptions
The above is just an estimation and the actual number may vary.
ParticularsGWP 2018 GWP 2017*
Growth(AED Billions) (AED Billions)
Listed Companies 22 22 0.4%
Foreign Branches** 11 12 -5.7%
Daman (Estimated) *** 5 5 0.0%
Estimate of the Companies whose financials are not available to us 2 2 -1.8%
Total 40 41 -1.5%
-
12www.badriconsultancy.com
Retention Ratio – Listed Companies
1 2 3Although there may be exceptions, Retention ratios are generally reflective of the lines of business being underwritten; Motor and Medical generally tend to have high retention ratios, while commercial lines such as Aviation, Engineering and Fire tend to have lower retentions. Also, since this analysis does not segregate life and non-life business, the companies writing higher volumes of life, especially IL and PA, would also tend to show higher retention levels.
The highest retention ratio for the year 2018 of 81% is reflected by AFNIC, whereas the lowest retention ratio of 19% is exhibited by AMAN.
The weighted average retention ratio for listed companies was at 44% (2017: 46% and 2016: 47%). The retention ratios have been fairly stable historically, with marginal reduction over the last 3 years
The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premium to gross written premium.
4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Retention Ratio 2018 Weighted Average Retention Ratio
-
13www.badriconsultancy.com
Retention Ratio – Branches
The retention ratios have been calculated as a ratio of net written premium to gross written premium.
Oriental has experienced an increase in retention ratio and
has moved up to the top 5 retained branches during
2018.
The highest retention ratio for the year 2018 of 100% is reflected by ZLIC and LIC,
whereas the lowest retention ratio of 22% is reflected by
QIC.The weighted average
retention ratio for foreign branches was at 77% (2017:
71%, 2016: 74%).
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
ZLIC LIC
SLIC
Ad
amje
e
Iran
Insu
ran
ce
Cig
na
Met
life
AX
A
Ori
enta
l
MSI
RSA ZI
L
JIC
QG
IRC
Al I
tah
aad
Al W
atan
i
AIC
TMN
F
NLG
IC
SAIC
O
Med
gulf
FPIL
Am
eri
can
Ho
me
QIC
Retention Ratio Weighted Avgerage Ratio
A few branches have reinsurance arrangements through their head office which are not
reflected in the books of the UAE based branch.
Since we are using the financial numbers as published by the UAE branches
of these companies, this would be
distorting the actual retention ratios
-
14www.badriconsultancy.com
Retention Ratio – Combined
The highest retention ratio for the year 2018 of 100% is reflected by ZLIC and LIC, whereas the lowest retention ratio of 19% isreflected by AMAN.
The weighted average retention ratio for listed companies is 44% and branches is 77% making the overall weighted averageretention ratio 55% (2017: 55% and 2016: 57%).
14 out of top 15 highly retained insurers are branches and this indicates that generally the branches retain more as comparedto local companies. However, some branches have reinsurance arrangements with their head office outside of the books inthe UAE. As the UAE published financials of the branches are used, the retention ratios may be distorted.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
ZLIC LIC
SLIC
Ad
amje
e
Iran
Insu
ran
ce
Cig
na
Met
life
AX
A
Ori
enta
l
MSI
RSA ZI
L
AFN
IC JIC
QG
IRC
ASC
AN
A
GC
IC
Al I
tah
aad
Al W
atan
i
IH
SALA
MA
AIC
TMN
F
AW
NIC
WA
TAN
IA
ASN
IC
RA
KN
IC
NLG
IC
SAIC
O
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
SIC
O
TKFL
AK
IC EIC
MET
HA
Q
ALL
IAN
CE
NG
I
TAK
AFU
L-EM U
IC
AD
NIC
UN
ION
OIC
AB
NIC
Med
gulf
DN
IR
OR
IEN
T
FPIL
OU
TFL
DH
AFR
A
AA
AIC
Am
eri
can
Ho
me
QIC
DIN
AM
AN
Retention Ratio Weighted Average Retention Ratio
-
15www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit Growth – Listed Companies Trend
The listed insurance companies have experienced an increasing trend in profits over the years, although the profits seem tohave stabilized during 2018.
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
2016 2017 2018
AED
Mill
ion
s
Profit Growth Trend
-
16www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit (Before Tax) – Listed Companies
AKIC booked the highest net loss ofAED 14 million but showed areduction in loss by 90% whencompared to the loss of AED 141million in 2017.
Income on investments during 2018helped AKIC immensely in reducingthe net loss this year.
5%
6%
35%
-3% -49%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
ORIENT ADNIC EIC TKFL DHAFRA
AED
Mill
ion
s
TOP 5
Profit 2017 Profit 2018
-39% 88% 29% -54%90%
-160
-140
-120
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
UNION GCIC UIC OUTFL AKIC
AED
Mill
ion
s
BOTTOM 5
Profit 2017 Profit 2018
ORIENT booked the highest profitfor three consecutive years. Thisyears’ profit for ORIENT amountedto of AED 405 million.
-
17www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit (Before Tax) – Listed Companies
Total profit generated for 2018 amounted to
AED 1.4 billioncompared to AED 1.3 billion (restated) in
2017. Similar to 2017, 4 out of the 30 listed companies posted
losses in 2018. 3 out of these 4 loss making companies showed improvements by
reducing the losses by significant margins.
5% 6% 35% -3% -49% -41%-32% 12% -15%
266% 8% -26% -27% 1,817% -25% -88% 62% 31% 2% -34%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
DN
IR
ALL
IAN
CE
DIN
AA
AIC
SALA
MA
AW
NIC
AB
NIC
AFN
IC
NG
I
ASC
AN
A
ASN
IC
RA
KN
IC
SIC
O
MET
HA
Q
TAK
AFU
L-EM O
IC
WA
TAN
IA IH
AM
AN
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
AED
Mill
ion
s
Others
Profit 2017 Profit 2018
The highest profit growth of 1,817%was depicted by METHAQ when
compared from year-end 2017 from a profit of AED 0.8 million to AED 15
million.
The biggest decline in profits in 2018 from prior year was shown by OIC with
a change of 88% i.e. from a profit of AED 112 million to AED 13 million.
-
18www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit (Before Tax) – Branches
Total Profit generated by the Foreign Branches for the year 2018 amounted to AED 480 million compared to the profit ofthe corresponding period of 2017 of AED 725 million which shows a decrease of 34%.
This decline is amplified because LIC posted very high losses in 2018 when compared to the profits generated for thisbranch in 2017. The percentage growth in profit from 2017 to 2018 excluding this outlier works out to be a negative 4%.
-9%
-32%
24% -3%
668%-65%
77% 19% -21% 162% 65%-69%
147% 63% 255% -52% 118% 135% -89%145% -44% 13%
-46%-1,226%
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
ZIL
Met
life
RSA
AX
A
FPIL
Am
eri
can
Ho
me
Al I
tah
aad
Al W
atan
i
TMN
F
AIC
Iran
Insu
ran
ce
Ori
enta
l
NLG
IC
QIC
Ad
amje
e
JIC
SLIC
MSI
QG
IRC
ZLIC
Ge
ner
ali
SAIC
O
Med
gulf
Cig
na
LIC
AED
Mill
ion
s
Profit 2017 Profit 2018
4 out of 24 branches made a loss this year of which 3 recorded losseslast year as well.
The highest profit is recorded by ZIL of AED 230 million while the highest profit growth isgenerated by FPIL of 668%.
-
19www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit (Before Tax) – Combined
12%
4% -9%
-32% 4%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
ORIENT ADNIC ZIL Metlife EIC
AED
Mill
ion
s
TOP 5
Profit 2017 Profit 2018
12% 4%
-9% -32%
4%
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
OUTFL Medgulf AKIC Cigna LIC
AED
Mill
ion
s
BOTTOM 5
Profit 2017 Profit 2018
-
20www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit (Before Tax) - 3 Years Trend for Listed Companies
The above shows the ranking for companies based on their total profits over the last three years, in order toshow the stability of returns.
(400)
(200)
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
OR
IEN
T
AD
NIC EIC
OIC
TKFL
AW
NIC
AA
AIC
DN
IR
ALL
IAN
CE
AB
NIC
DH
AFR
A
DIN
NG
I
AFN
IC
RA
KN
IC
ASN
IC
ASC
AN
A
SIC
O
TAK
AFU
L-EM
MET
HA
Q
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
WA
TAN
IA
SALA
MA
UN
ION IH
AM
AN
OU
TFL
UIC
GC
IC
AK
IC
AED
Mill
ion
s
Profit 2016 Profit 2017 Profit 2018
-
21www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit Margin – Listed Companies
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Profit Margin 2017 Profit Margin 2018
Profit Margin is computed as net profit on everyunit of net earned premium.AKIC and OUTFL had extraordinarily low profitmargin in 2017 and have been excluded fromthe graph as it distorts the presentation.
The highest margin of 54% is depicted by SICO and lowest ofnegative 26% by OUTFL for 2018. Both the Companies had thesame rank when compared to 2017.
-
22www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit Analysis – Listed Companies
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
ORIENT ADNIC EIC DHAFRA TKFL
Mill
ion
s
TOP 5
Profit Before Investement Investement Income
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
AK
IC
OU
TFL
TAK
AFU
L-EM U
IC
OIC
Mill
ion
s
BOTTOM 5
Profit Before Investement Investement Income
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
AA
AIC
NG
I
ASN
IC
DIN
AFN
IC
AW
NIC
UN
ION
SALA
MA
DN
IR
AB
NIC
MET
HA
Q
RA
KN
IC
ASC
AN
A
WA
TAN
IA
AM
AN
SIC
O IH
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
GC
IC
ALL
IAN
CE
Mill
ion
s
Others
Profit Before Investement Investement Income
The above is sorted by profits before investment income
-
23www.badriconsultancy.com
Profit Composition 2018 – Listed Companies
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
OR
IEN
T
AD
NIC EIC
DH
AFR
A
TKFL
AA
AIC
NG
I
ASN
IC
DIN
AFN
IC
AW
NIC
UN
ION
SALA
MA
DN
IR
AB
NIC
MET
HA
Q
RA
KN
IC
ASC
AN
A
WA
TAN
IA
AM
AN
SIC
O IH
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
GC
IC
ALL
IAN
CE
AK
IC
OU
TFL
TAK
AFU
L-EM U
IC
OIC
Profit Composition - UW and Investment Income
Profit Before Investement Investement Income
-
24www.badriconsultancy.com
Premium Benchmarked on the basis of Profitability
Of the top 10 companies by Premium volume, 7 have a lower rank when benchmarked on the basis of profitability. However, listed companies like Orient, ADNIC, EIC and branches like AXA, ZIL and Metlife seem to have built up large and profitable books of business.
Gross Premium Profit
OIC 1 32
ORIENT 2 1
Metlife 3 4
ADNIC 4 2
AAAIC 5 14
AXA 6 7
SALAMA 7 15
EIC 8 5
UNION 9 39
QIC 10 37
Cigna 11 53
LIC 12 54
ZIL 13 3
NLGIC 14 34
RSA 15 6
American Home 16 20
TAKAFUL-EM 17 31
NGI 18 19
DIN 19 13
RAKNIC 20 24
ABNIC 21 17
TKFL 22 8
AMAN 23 36
ASNIC 24 23
DNIR 25 11
DHAFRA 26 9
CompanyRanking
IndicGross Premium Profit
METHAQ 27 28
WATANIA 28 33
Al Itahaad Al Watani 29 21
ALLIANCE 30 12
DARTAKAFUL 31 38
AWNIC 32 16
AFNIC 33 18
IH 34 35
Adamjee 35 40
OUTFL 36 50
AIC 37 26
ASCANA 38 22
UIC 39 49
SAICO 40 48
TMNF 41 25
Medgulf 42 51
Oriental 43 30
Iran Insurance 44 29
FPIL 45 10
JIC 46 41
SICO 47 27
AKIC 48 52
QGIRC 49 44
GCIC 50 47
SLIC 51 42
MSI 52 43
ZLIC 53 45
CompanyRanking
Indic
-
25www.badriconsultancy.com
Net Technical Provisions – Listed Companies
Total net reserves as at December 31, 2018 have
remained unchanged from 2017, reflecting similar trend to that of business written.
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
OICADNIC
ORIENTAMAN
ALLIANCE
-2% -1%
10%
-2%-1%
AED
Mill
ion
s
TOP 5
2017 2018
10%
17%
14%-5% -15%
23% -27% 0%7%
20% 8% 14% -26%0% -24% -18% -3% 16% -25%
45% -25%351% -2% 19% -62%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
AED
Mill
ion
s
Others
2017 2018
OIC in terms of booking technical provisions retains its highest rank similar to 2017, and though the sequence is slightly changed, 7
out of top 10 companies remain the same.
-
26www.badriconsultancy.com
Net Technical Provisions as a proportion of Net Written Premium – Listed Companies
Aman and Alliance Insurance were observed to be outliers due to their Individual life mathematicalreserve amounting to AED 647 million and AED 561 million respectively. Its proportion of Individual lifemathematical reserve over net reserves is around 89% and 95% respectively which presents a bigproportion in comparison to other life companies who have large portfolio of Individual life business.Hence they have been excluded from the above analysis.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
TKFL
MET
HA
Q
AK
IC
DH
AFR
A
SIC
O
AD
NIC
GC
IC
UIC
AW
NIC
OIC EIC
NG
I
TAK
AFU
L-EM
OR
IEN
T
AB
NIC
AFN
IC
DN
IR
ASN
IC
ASC
AN
A
AA
AIC
OU
TFL
WA
TAN
IA
DA
RTA
KA
FUL IH
RA
KN
IC
UN
ION
DIN
SALA
MA
-
27www.badriconsultancy.com
Loss Ratio
Combined Ratio0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
20152016
20172018
81%
71%63%
60%
105%98%
92% 92%
Loss and Combined Ratio 4 – year Trend
Loss Ratio Combined Ratio
For 2018, the weighted average lossratio was 60% (2017: 63%) andweighted average combined ratio wasat 92% (2017: 92%).
Weighted Average loss and combined ratio depicts a decreasing trend over the past 4 year perioddue to improved underwritings and IA imposed regulations and continuous monitoring.
Loss and Combined Ratio – Listed Companies Trend
-
28www.badriconsultancy.com
Loss and Combined Ratio – Listed Companies
Weighted Average loss ratio was 60% (2017: 63%, 2016: 71%) and weighted average combined ratio
was 92% (2017: 92%, 2016: 98%). The ratios
have been improving over the past years.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%O
UTF
L
AK
IC
UIC
GC
IC
TAK
AFU
L-EM
ALL
IAN
CE
OIC
AB
NIC
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
SALA
MA
RA
KN
IC
WA
TAN
IA IH
MET
HA
Q
ASC
AN
A
UN
ION
AM
AN
AD
NIC
AA
AIC
AW
NIC
AFN
IC
NG
I
EIC
ASN
IC
DN
IR
OR
IEN
T
SIC
O
TKFL
DIN
DH
AFR
A
Loss Ratio Combined Ratio Weighted Avgerage Loss Ratio Weighted Avgerage Combined Ratio
The highest combined ratio of 2017 is 145% reflected by OUTFL
and the lowest combined ratio is of DHAFRA at 57%. OUTFL was an
outlier at 2017 with combined ratio of 880%, the ratio has declined significantly in 2018 but it is still
well above 100% margin to generate UW profits for the
Company.
For Takaful companies we have consolidated the Policyholders and Shareholders P&L for
comparative purposes.
A company is deemed to be profitable from an underwriting perspective if the Combined Ratio
is below 100%. Four out of eight of the companies that are making underwriting losses are still booking
overall profit due to investment income. Insurance companies need to concentrate on underwriting profits as that is their primary
function. The new pricing regulations are a step in that direction.
-
29www.badriconsultancy.com
Loss and Combined Ratio – Branches
Weighted Average lossratio was 64% (2017: 65%,2016: 62%) and weightedaverage combined ratiowas 90% (2017: 109%,2016: 101%).
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
Loss Ratio Combined Ratio Weighted Average Loss Ratio Weighted Average Combined Ratio
The highest combined ratioof 2018 is 296% reflected byZLIC and has been removedfrom the graph as it distortsthe data. The secondhighest combined ratio is150% reflected by LIC andthe lowest combined ratio isof TMNF at 76%.
Two of the branches FPILand ZIL observed a negativeloss and combined ratio dueto gain from change inreserves and netcommission earnings andhence have been excludedfrom the analysis as itdistorts the presentation.
Loss Ratio is computed asNet Incurred Claims overNet Earned Premium.
Combined Ratio as ratio ofNet Incurred Claims alongwith expenses and netcommissions over NetEarned Premium.
1 2 3 4
-
30www.badriconsultancy.com
Loss and Combined Ratio – Combined
Weighted Average loss ratio is 62%(2017: 64%, 2016: 67%) and weightedaverage combined ratio is 91% (2017:99%, 2016: 99%).
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%LI
C
OU
TFL
AK
IC
UIC
Med
gulf
GC
IC
SLIC
SAIC
O
TAK
AFU
L-EM
ALL
IAN
CE
Cig
na
OIC
AB
NIC
QIC
NLG
IC
Ad
amje
e
Met
life
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
SALA
MA
RA
KN
IC
WA
TAN
IA IH
MET
HA
Q
AX
A
ASC
AN
A
UN
ION
QG
IRC
Al I
tah
aad
Al W
atan
i
AM
AN
MSI
Am
eri
can
Ho
me
AD
NIC
AA
AIC JIC
AW
NIC
Iran
Insu
ran
ce
AFN
IC
NG
I
EIC
RSA
Ori
enta
l
ASN
IC
DN
IR
AIC
OR
IEN
T
SIC
O
TMN
F
TKFL
DIN
DH
AFR
A
Loss Ratio Combined Ratio Weighted Average Loss Ratio Weighted Average Combined Ratio
ZLIC, ZIL and Friends Provident areexcluded as their loss and combinedratios are outliers and thus distort thepresentation however, they do have animpact on the industry and hence, havenot been excluded from weightedaverages.
-
31www.badriconsultancy.com
Combined Ratio Breakup – Listed Companies
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
Loss and Expense Ratio
Loss Ratio Expense Ratio
The above is sorted in respect with Loss ratio of the Companies. As evident, AKIC has a relatively low loss ratio but expenses pushthe combined ratio well above the 100% mark.
-
32www.badriconsultancy.com
Expense Ratio Trend – Listed Companies
25%28%
29%32%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2015 2016 2017 2018
Expense Ratio 4 - Year Trend
The expenses for listed Companies of UAEmarket are showing a gradual butincreasing trend.
If the same trend continues in future thecombined ratios will cross the margin of100%.
The graph comprises of all expenses of the listed companies, including other operating expenses.
-
33www.badriconsultancy.com
G&A Expense Ratio – Listed Companies
The highest expense ratio forDecember 31, 2018 of 72% isreflected by AKIC. The lowestexpense ratio of 12% isreflected by MEHTAQ.Weighted Average expenseratio was at 22% (2017: 23%,2016: 24%).
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
G&A Expenses Ratio Weighted Average Ratio
As may be expected, largercompanies that have extensivebusiness scale have lowerexpense ratio, as they havesufficient business to absorbthe cost base.
𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜
=𝐺𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑙 & 𝐴𝑑𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒𝑠
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑑 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚
For Takaful companies, samehas been used for comparativepurposes and wakala fees isignored, as wakala fees is apositive in one account and anegative in the other.
-
34www.badriconsultancy.com
Commission Expense – Listed Companies
𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 =𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑃𝑎𝑖𝑑 − 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑑
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑑 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚𝑠
A negative ratio signifies that the commissions earned outweigh the commissions paid.
In UAE market, it is common practice for companies to cede out large proportion of commercial lines business and benefitfrom the reinsurance commissions, which is also evident by the low net commission ratio. It is felt that there is aninherent need to optimize reinsurance arrangements so that companies can benefit from underwriting profitable businesswithout passing the risk and reward to reinsurers and just acting as fronting partners; at the same time not effecting theirsolvency position.
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%SA
LAM
A
UIC
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
OU
TFL
DN
IR
TAK
AFU
L-EM
RA
KN
IC EIC
WA
TAN
IA
ASC
AN
A
AM
AN
GC
IC IH
AK
IC
MET
HA
Q
OIC
UN
ION
TKFL
AFN
IC
NG
I
OR
IEN
T
AW
NIC
ALL
IAN
CE
AD
NIC
AA
AIC
SIC
O
DIN
ASN
IC
AB
NIC
DH
AFR
A
Commission Expense Ratio Weighted Average Ratio
The highest commission expense ratio of 45% is reflected by SALAMA, whereas the lowest commission expense ratio of -22% isreflected by DHAFRA. Both the extreme ranked Companies had the same ranking in 2017. Weighted Average commission expenseratio was at 7% (2017: 5%).
-
35www.badriconsultancy.com
Return on Equity Trend – Listed Companies
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0% 0%
8%
9%
6%
2015 2016 2017 2018
The shareholders of the listed Insurance Companies experienced a sharp increase in return onequity from 2015 to 2016 and it further increased in 2017. During 2018 however, a slight dropis seen.
-
36www.badriconsultancy.com
Return on Equity – Listed Companies
The highest return on equity for 2018 is 22% and is shown by
TKFL, whereas the lowest return on equity of -12% is reflected by AKIC. The ranking for the these
companies was same at year-end 2017
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%TK
FL
MET
HA
Q
OR
IEN
T
DH
AFR
A
WA
TAN
IA
AFN
IC
AD
NIC IH
AM
AN
DIN
ALL
IAN
CE
EIC
DN
IR
TAK
AFU
L-EM
RA
KN
IC
ASC
AN
A
SIC
O
NG
I
DA
RTA
KA
FUL
SALA
MA
AB
NIC
AW
NIC
ASN
IC
AA
AIC
UN
ION
OIC
GC
IC
OU
TFL
UIC
AK
IC
ROE Weighted Avgerage Ratio
Weighted average return on equity for 2018 was at 8%
(2017: 9%, 2016: 6%).
The return on equity is calculated as a ratio of net profit
of 2018 to total shareholder’s equity as at the beginning of
2018.
-
37www.badriconsultancy.com
Cash to Invested Assets Ratio – Listed Companies
The above chart illustrates the ratio ofcash and deposits to total invested assets.
Weighted average ratio for the listedCompanies of UAE was at 34%.
OUTFL demonstrated the highest cash toinvested assets ratio with all of the investedassets maintained as Cash and Bankbalances. The lowest ratio is produced byAKIC of 3%.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Cash to Invested Assets Ratio Weighted Average Cash to Invested Assets Ratio
-
38www.badriconsultancy.com
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Invested Assets Non-Invested Assets
The Asset mix compares the invested assets as a proportion of total invested assets for the UAE listedinsurance companies. The above has been sorted in terms of invested assets for the Companies. Thehighest proportion of invested assets is reflected by GCIC whereas, the lowest is reflected by OUTFLwith 3% of assets being invested.
Asset Mix – Listed Companies
-
39www.badriconsultancy.com
The highest receivables ratio is observed for AKIC at 107% when compared to the listed insurance companies while thelowest is exhibited by TKFL at 4%.
The weighted average insurance receivables for the listed insurance market works out to be 27%.
𝐼𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑅𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 =𝐼𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑅𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒𝑠
𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑊𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑡𝑒𝑛 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑢𝑚
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Insurance Receivables Average Insurance Receivables
Insurance Receivable Ratio – Listed Companies
-
40www.badriconsultancy.com
Total Gross premiums written by the listed insurance companies in2018 showed an insignificant growth rate of 0.4% from last year. TheGross premiums remained at the same level as 2017 at AED 21.9billion.
Total premiums written, by the foreign branches, for the year 2018amounted to AED 11.2 billion, as compared to 2017 which amountedto AED 12.1 billion. This produces a decline for branches by 7%.
The total written premium of the insurance industry for the year 2018is estimated to be AED 40.0 billion as compared to AED 40.9 billion in2017 showing a fall of around 2% for the industry.
0.4%
-7.0%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Listed Companies Branch
AED
Mill
ion
s
GWP 2017 GWP 2018
4%
-34%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Listed Companies Branch
AED
Mill
ion
s
Profit 2017 Profit 2018
Total Profit for all listed insurance companies for the year 2018amounted to AED 1.4 billion and for foreign branches AED 480million compared to 2017 which was at AED 1.3 billion for listedcompanies (restated) and AED 725 million for branches.
The profits for the listed companies grew by 4% while for theforeign branches operating in UAE there was a decline of 34%.
Conclusion
-
41www.badriconsultancy.com
As companies concentrate on Social Media we thought of undertaking a benchmarking onFacebook popularity of companies. Similar dashboards can be implemented in your company andyou may contact us for more information
Social Media Reviews – Based on Facebook
-
42www.badriconsultancy.com
Badri Management Consultancy is proud to have been awarded the Actuarial/RiskManagement Consultancy Services provider of the year at the MENAIR Insurance Awards2016 and 2018
https://www.eiseverywhere.com/ehome/287766/678811/https://www.eiseverywhere.com/ehome/142580/325377/
Awards
https://www.eiseverywhere.com/ehome/287766/678811/https://www.eiseverywhere.com/ehome/142580/325377/
-
43www.badriconsultancy.com
We have undertaken an analysis of the Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) of the listed insurance companies and branches offoreign insurance companies operating in UAE (subsequently referred to as Branches) for the year ended December 31,2018. The data has been extracted from 2018 year-end financial statements of those companies which were publicly listed.For branches, the financials published in different newspapers have been relied upon.
While we have tried to ensure accuracy in the data input and evaluation process, in view of the naturalscope for human and/or mechanical error, either at input or during analysis, we accept no liabilitywhatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part ofthis publication. If you come across an error or have a query, do write to us.
In certain cases, we needed to combine certain items together for comparison purposes. E.g.Where XOL Reinsurance Premium has been shown separately we have added it toReinsurance Premium expense and deducted from Net Earned Premium.
Some of the figures for 2017 as shown in this analysis differ from the onesshown in our report compiled as at December 31, 2017. This is because ofrestatements of financials and the exclusion (inclusion) of some branches forwhich the financials were not available (available) in 2018.
Due to limited information we are unable to segregate betweenlife and non-life. Once all companies start publishing financialstatements with this level of segregation, this can be done.
The list of companies and branches used on the next pages.
12
34
5
Points to Note
-
44www.badriconsultancy.com
Listed Insurance Companies
Sr. No. Symbol Name Market Sr. No. Symbol Name Market Sr. No. Symbol Name Market
1 AAAICAl Ain Al AhliaInsurance Co.
ADX 11 DARTAKAFULDar al Takaful (Takaful House)
DFM 21 ORIENT Orient Insurance PJSC DFM
2 ABNICAl Buhaira National Insurance Company
ADX 12 DHAFRAAl Dhafra Insurance Co.
ADX 22 RAKNICRas Al Khaimah National Insurance Co.
ADX
3 ADNICAbu Dhabi National Insurance Co.
ADX 13 DINDubai Insurance Co , PSC
DFM 23 SALAMAIslamic Arab Insurance Company
DFM
4 AFNICAl Fujairah National Insurance Co.
ADX 14 DNIRDubai National Insurance & Reinsurance Co.
DFM 24 SICOSharjah Insurance Company
ADX
5 AKICAl Khazna Insurance Co.
ADX 15 EICEmirates Insurance Co.
ADX 25TAKAFUL-EM
Takaful Emarat (PSC) DFM
6 ALLIANCE Alliance Insurance DFM 16 GCICGreen Crescent Insurance Company
ADX 26 TKFLAbu Dhabi National Takaful Co. PJSC
ADX
7 AMANDubai Islamic Insurance and Reinsurance Co.
DFM 17 IHInsurance House P.S.C
ADX 27 UIC United Insurance Co. ADX
8 ASCANAArabian Scandinavian Insurance Co.
DFM 18 METHAQMethaq Takaful Insurance Co.
ADX 28 UNIONUnion Insurance Company
ADX
9 ASNICAl Sagr National Insurance Company
DFM 19 NGINational General Insurance Company
DFM 29 WATANIANational Takaful Company
ADX
10 AWNICAl Wathba National Insurance Co
ADX 20 OICOman Insurance Company (P.S.C.
DFM 30 OUTFLOrient UNB Takaful PJSC
DFM
-
45www.badriconsultancy.com
Branches (and unlisted Companies)Sr. No. Name Remarks Sr. No. Name Remarks Sr. No. Name Remarks
1Adamjee Insurance Company Ltd.
Included 12 Saudi Arabian Insurance Company Included 23State Life Insurance Corporation of Pakistan
Included
2 Arabia Insurance Included 13Life Insurance Corporation (International) B.S.C.
Included 24 Assicurrazione Generali Included
3Tokio Marine and Nichido Fire Insurance Company Ltd.
Included 14 The Oriental Insurance Company Included 25 Noor Takaful General PJSCNot Included
4Royal and Sun Alliance Insurance
Included 15 AXA Gulf Included 26 Noor Takaful Family PJSCNot Included
5 Qatar Insurance Company Included 16 Zurich Life Insurance Company Ltd. Included 27 Al Hilal Takaful P.S.CNot Included
6 Cigna Included 17 Friend Provident International Included 28General Insurance Corporation of India
Not Included
7Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Company Ltd.
Included 18 Iran Insurance Company Included 29The Mediterranean & Gulf Insurance and Reinsurance Company
Included
8American Home Insurance Company
Included 19 Jordan Insurance Company Included 30New India Assurance Company Limited
Not Included
9 MetLife Included 20 Chubb Tempest Life Reinsurance Ltd.Not Included
31 Emirates Retakaful LimitedNot Included
10National Life and General Insurance Company
Included 21Qatar General Insurance and Reinsurance Company
Included 32 Arab Insurance GroupNot Included
11 Al Ittihad Al Watani Included 22 Zurich International Life Included 33 Malaysia Re Ltd.Not Included
-
46
CONTACT
2107 SIT Towers, PO Box 341486,Dubai Silicon Oasis, Dubai, UAE
Phone: +971-4-3207-250Fax: +971-4-3207-260
www.badriconsultancy.com
We are sharing this analysis with our customers and other industry professionals and would appreciate any feedback that you might have.
Also do let us know what other analysis / research reports would be of interest to you.
FEEDBACK