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Edwin Conway, Managing Director Head of BlackRock U.S. and Canada Institutional Client Business & Global Head of BlackRock Alternatives Specialists Harnessing the Full Potential of Alternative Strategies

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  • Edwin Conway, Managing Director Head of BlackRock U.S. and Canada Institutional Client Business

    & Global Head of BlackRock Alternatives Specialists

    Harnessing the Full Potential of Alternative Strategies

  • Topics

    1. Market Context

    2. The Next Frontier of Alternative Investing

  • Market context

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Investors are increasingly challenged to meet their return needs

    1. BlackRock Investment Institute, Barclays, Thomson Reuters (as of June 2014). The bars show market capitalization weights of assets with an average annual yield of over 4% in a select universe that represents about 70% of the Barclays Multiverse Bond Index. Index performance is shown for illustrative purposes only. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not indicative of future returns

    2. Morgan Stanley Research, Dealogic, Haver, OECD, DMO, US Bureau of Public Debt, ECB, Fed, BoE, SIFMA, TREPP, January 2015

    Equity investors are vulnerable to the business cycle

    Index Max Draw-down Peak Trough Length

    S&P 500 -53%

    October 2007

    February 2009 16 monthsMSCI World -55%

    MSCI EM -63%

    Equity valuations are above their historical averages

    Global rates continue to be at historical lows1 Fixed income supply is dwindling across the globe2

    0.01.02.03.04.05.06.0

    2006 2008 2010 2012 2014US UK Germany Japan

    (1,000)

    -

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

    USD

    bill

    ions

    US Europe UK Japan Total

    Percent

    12

    16

    20

    24

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Rolling Average MSCI Rolling Average S&P500MSCI World Mean S&P500 Mean

    Rolling average P/E ratios for public equities

    4

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Diversification implies looking beyond traditional asset classes

    Over time equities and fixed income exhibit low to moderate correlation

    US Equities

    Global Equities

    EM Equities

    Eur. Equities

    Global Corp Credit

    Global High Yield

    T-Bills LIBOR

    US Equities 1.00

    Global Equities 0.97 1.00

    EM Equities 0.77 0.86 1.00

    Eur. Equities 0.83 0.86 0.71 1.00

    Global Corp. Credit 0.22 0.30 0.34 0.17 1.00

    Global High Yield 0.67 0.74 0.76 0.59 0.60 1.00

    T-Bills -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 -0.08 -0.03 -0.13 1.00

    LIBOR -0.16 -0.15 -0.08 -0.09 -0.01 -0.15 0.95 1.00

    Sources: BlackRock (as of Jan 2015). Notes: Correlation calculated from monthly returns from January 2000 through December 2015. Indices referenced include S&P 500 (US equities), MSCI World Index (Global Equities), MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EM equities), Euro STOXX 50 (European equities), Barclays Global Aggregate Corporate Total Return Index Value Hedged USD (global corporate credit), Barclays Global High Yield Total Return Index Value Hedged USD (global high yield), BofA ML 3 Month Treasury Index (t bills) and US Cash Indices LIBOR Total Return 3 Month (LIBOR).

    but those correlations are not stable and spike during periods of economic stress

    r = 0.5

    r = -0.6

    r = 0.7

    -1

    -0.5

    0

    0.5

    1

    Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15

    Rolling 12-Month Correlation: Global Equities & Global CorporatesHigh correlation (0.75 < r < 1.00)

    Moderate correlation (0.50 < r < 0.75)

    Low correlation (0.00 < r < 0.50)

    Negatively correlated (-0.25 < r < 0)

    r = correlation

    5

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Source: BLK SPM, from Towers Watson survey, client interviews, BLK team materials, Deutsche Bank survey, CitiBank, Pyramis Survey. For illustrative purposes only. It serves as a general summary, is not exhaustive and should not be construed as investment advice.

    Alternative investments can help achieve various outcomes

    Desired Outcomes

    Asset Characteristic

    Absolute Return /

    Hedge Funds Private Equity

    Illiquid & Opportunistic

    Credit

    Real Estate(private equity

    & debt)

    Infrastructure(private equity

    & debt)

    Income Stable cash flows

    Growth High target returns

    Inflation Protection

    Inflation-linked cash flows

    Diversification Low correlation

    Reduce vol / tail risk Low volatility

    6

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Considerations for implementing an Alternative investments portfolio The challenges facing alternative investment managers are real, but the current landscape presents opportunities to deliver alpha to clients

    Proven record of performance in various market environments

    Alignment, transparency, and implementation within risk parameters

    A solutions approach that can deliver the client's desired outcome

    Harder to add uncorrelated alpha

    Higher and rising operating cost

    Greater regulation / capital requirements

    Increased demand for institutional quality

    products

    Managers need investment knowledge, market insights, and trading relationships to source investments and add alpha

    Manager / client interests can be at odds as the client seeks to add alpha and the manager seeks asset scale to cover its operating costs

    New regulations challenged traditional capital suppliers (banks), stimulating investment from large pools of money (asset managers)

    Alternatives are being used for portfolio construction and across a broader client base, including pensions and sovereign wealth funds

    Requirements for success given these challenges and opportunities

    1

    2

    3

    7

  • The next frontier of alternative investing

  • 1. Real Assets

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Investors are reportedly increasing allocations to real assets% of total survey respondents invested in real assets by sector1

    51%

    7%

    34%

    71%

    1%

    25%

    48%

    6%

    34%

    No Change

    Decrease the number of employees dedicated to realassets

    Increase the number of employees dedicated to realassets

    EMEA

    Americas

    APAC

    1 Please indicate the approximate proportion of your companys total portfolio that is allocated to each of the following real asset types : Real Estate Debt; Private Real Estate Equity; Public Real Estate Securities; Infrastructure Debt; Infrastructure Equity; Commodities (energy/oil, metals, agricultural); Timber; Farmland. (Enter percentage allocation. Totals should not add up to 100%). Information derived from participants self-reported investment characteristics (including current organizations investment and portfolio description) and responses to survey questions. 2 Q5a, Q12a, Q18a:How has your companys allocation to real asset investments changed (relative to its current allocation) over the past three years, and do you expect it to change over the next 18 months? Participants indicated their re-allocation plans by selecting: Substantial decrease (10%+) Moderate decrease, No significant change, Moderate increase, Substantial increase (10%+)3 Q3b Which of the following best describes the most likely changes in your companys organizational structure for investing in real assets over the next 18 months? ( Participants answered by indicating Increase, decrease, no change, will have no employees dedicated to real assets)

    Organizational structure changes to incorporate real assets into portfolios3

    Planning to increase allocations in all sectors2

    29%

    66%

    96%

    Commodities

    Infrastructure

    Real Estate

    10

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Key drivers for investing in real assets

    Key drivers for investing in real assets relate to current market conditions

    22%

    19%

    11%

    22%

    37%

    70%

    52%

    29%

    23%

    22%

    31%

    43%

    49%

    55%

    17%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    38%

    63%

    63%

    Cyclical adjustment

    Inflation protection

    Portfolio rebalancing

    Diversify overall portfolio

    Address long-duration liabilities

    Replace or enhance currentincome

    Increase return

    Macro environmentconsiderations

    Real Estate Infrastructure CommoditiesQ6/Q13/Q19: You indicated that your company expects to increase its [real estate / infrastructure / commodities] investment allocation. Please indicate the most important factors motivating this change (Participants answered by selecting up to three of the options listed above). Cyclical adjustment was only asked for Q19.

    11

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    The benefits of investing in infrastructure

    Infrastructure can provide solutions that investors seek in their portfolios Structure of asset class creates consistent returns and enables long-term investors to tailor allocations to achieve desired outcomes Emerging opportunity for investors to get access to a less traditional asset class Uncorrelated risk/return targets optimize a clients portfolio

    1. Private Infra Debt is private infrastructure debt transactions rated BBB or BBB- (Private Infra Debt spread data obtained via Bloomberg, Dealogic, InfraNews, and Market Participants); Public Corp Index is Barclays 1% Cap Corporate index customized for BBB/BBB- rating and average life of private infrastructure debt transactions; Public Corp (Infra) Index is Barclays 1% Cap Corporate index that includes corporate issuers in Utilities, Transportation and Energy sectors having maturities between 9 and 20 years and includes only BBB/BBB- issues. Data as of December 2014

    2. Moodys Default and Recovery Rates for Project Finance Bank Loans 1983-2011 Addendum 3. Moodys Annual Default Study: Corporate Default and Recovery Rates, 1920-2011; Corporate default rates based on 19832011 and recovery rates based on 1987-2011 4. Based on Moodys definition of Broad Infrastructure, including social and transport assets as well as transmission and distribution financings. Data shown is not an indication of future projections. Past performance is not indicative of

    future returns.

    What can infrastructure provide?

    Income Stable income aligned with clients focus on long-term liabilities

    Growth Increased opportunities for institutional capital deployment as traditional lenders are constrained by the new regulatory environment

    Diversification Low correlation with traditional asset classes improving risk/return profile

    Lower defaults and higher recovery rates1,2,3,4

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    3.4%

    3.6%

    3.8%

    4.0%

    4.2%

    4.4%

    4.6%

    4.8%

    BroadInfrastructure

    (OECD)

    Baa CorporateBonds

    BroadInfrastructure

    (OECD)

    Senior SecuredBonds

    Recovery rate

    Def

    ault

    rate

    12

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Global real estate universe is large and growing

    At $12.9 trillion, global real estate represents ~8% of global investment universe1. DTZ Research; four quadrants represent capitalization of underlying invested real estate market; as of June 2014. "Invested" = investment-grade commercial real estate held by different investor groups; defined as total value of CRE debt outstanding

    plus total value of equity in CRE holdings.2. DTZ Research, forecast by BlackRock. Forecast based on BCGs Global Wealth Survey 2014 (5.5% CAGR of global wealth) and real estate allocations going from 8.2% to 10%. Global wealth includes cash and deposits, money market funds, and

    listed securities held either directly or indirectly through managed investments or life and pension assets, and other onshore and offshore assets. It excludes investors own businesses, any real estate, and luxury goods. Global wealth reflects total financial assets across all households. Unless stated otherwise, wealth figures and percentage changes are based on local totals that were converted to U.S. dollars using year-end 2013 exchange rates for all years in order to exclude the effect of fluctuating exchange rates.

    13

    0% 5% 10% 15%

    Global REITs

    US Core RE

    US RE Debt

    US CMBS*

    Global Equities

    Global Bonds

    Treasuries

    Inflation

    Total Return

    5-Yr

    10-Yr

    20-Yr

    Real estate returns have historically been attractive1

    Americas EMEA APAC

    Equity Debt

    Priv

    ate

    Publ

    ic $1.0 tn

    $4.6 tn $5.8 tn

    $1.5 tn

    REITs and other publicly traded vehicles

    Direct private real estate investments (equity)

    Commercial mortgage backed securities and other similar

    vehicles

    Whole loan mortgages and high-yield/ mezz debt

    $12.9 trillion invested in global real estate market 1

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    6.5%

    6.6%

    6.7%

    6.8%

    6.9%

    7.0%

    8.5% 9.5% 10.5% 11.5% 12.5% 13.5% 14.5% 15.5% 16.5% 17.5%

    Tota

    l ret

    urn

    Standard deviation

    EquityFixed IncomeUS Private EQ REGlobal Private EQ RE Ex US

    Hypothetical Portfolio

    Global real estate portfolios benefit from powerful diversification effect

    Favorable risk-adjusted returns for global portfolio

    +7.5% US RE

    +7.5% Global Ex US RE

    Traditional 60% EQ / 40% FI

    Source: BlackRock, NCREIF, IPD, Barclays, MSCI, Standard & Poors; based on historical total returns in US$, 1993-2013; IPD Global Ex US is capital value-weighted average of IPD country returns; as of December 31, 2013Past performance is not indicative of future results. Index performance is shown for illustrative purposes only. It is not possible to invest directly in an index

    14

    Stable income returns

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15

    Tota

    l Ret

    urn

    Income return Appreciation Return

    Chart1

    0.4

    0.6

    Sales

    Sheet1

    Sales

    Fixed Income0.4

    Equity0.6

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

    Chart1

    0.36

    0.54

    0.1

    Sales

    Sheet1

    Sales

    Fixed Income0.36

    Equity0.54

    US Real Estate0.1

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

    Chart1

    0.32

    0.48

    0.1

    0.1

    Sales

    Sheet1

    Sales

    Fixed Income0.32

    Equity0.48

    US RE0.1

    Global RE Ex US0.1

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

  • 2. Systematic Investing

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Factor-based investment strategies

    Factor-based strategies target broad, persistent drivers of return, taking advantage of economic insights, diversification, and efficient execution opportunities that may lead to improved investor outcomes

    Looks beyond traditional asset class labels to directly target true economic drivers of returns

    Common framework provides more accurate and intuitive risk management

    Greater diversification and a higher probability of achieving investment goals

    Factor-based investing is more than investing in factors: at its best, it is a powerful and empowering management philosophy

    Simple: Translates the complex to the intuitive

    Unifying: Provides a common language and culture, enabling consistent management of assets, liabilities and the enterprise

    Flexible: Allows for more flexibility in asset allocation and manager selection decisions

    There has been a radical increase in the amount of information available for investment decision making in recent decades. We believe active managers need to evolve investment processes to capture alpha in todays market

    Must advance infrastructure, people and technology

    16

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    17%

    10%5%

    11%

    11%

    24%

    22%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    -6%

    -3%

    0%

    3%

    6%

    9%

    12%

    15%

    Rates

    Diversification

    Total Risk: 7.7%

    Asset based views of portfolios obscure underlying drivers of risk In the sample portfolio below, the portfolio appears well diversified across many asset classes, with only 32% invested in

    global equities Examining risk along factor dimensions reveals that economic risk dominates, contributing 70% of portfolio risk

    Factor investing looks through asset class labels

    Capital Allocation by Asset Class

    Equity: 32%

    Factor Allocation

    Economic Growth: ~70%

    For illustrative purposes only. Calculations performed using the BlackRock Solutions risk model and exposures as of April 30, 2015; Monthly Constant Weighted (MTC model) with 102 monthly observations; Macro Factor scheme.

    Credit

    FX

    US Equity

    Intl Equity

    EM Equity

    High Yield

    EM Bonds

    Long Treasuries

    Cash

    17

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Finding alpha is increasingly challenging in todays market environment

    Image by The Centre for Learning and Teaching, Vocational Training Council (Hong Kong)

    18

    90% of the data in the world today has been created in the last 2 years IBM 2015

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Employee sentiment can be measured from anonymous social media postings Employees view on culture, management, opportunities Positive employee sentiment leads to higher productivity Happy employees are more productive employees!

    New ways to answer old questions: Management Quality

    Business

    Customers Employees

    The Virtuous Cycle of Positive Sentiment

    Source: BlackRock and Glassdoor.com, illustrative purposes only

    19

  • 3. Custom / Opportunistic Solutions

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Case Study: Canadian Pension Plan

    Direct Opportunistic Portfolio Pursuing a range of opportunistic strategies

    Sizable allocation committed over 36 month drawdown period

    Range of alternative investments targeting IRRs from 8% to 18%

    Broad and flexible scope of mandate

    Seeking a concentrated portfolio with position sizes in the 5% 10% range

    2 to 5 year weighted average life

    No asset class or strategy exclusions aside from two specific exceptions

    Large Canadian pension plan

    Alternatives strategy: Goal to capture returns through various liquid and illiquid investment strategies

    Key strengths: Talented investment professionals, deep relationships with market participants and robust understanding of capital markets and investment fundamentals

    Client Profile

    Client Need Source and capitalize on direct opportunistic investments that cant be sourced independently

    Seek partner with point of access to many market participants

    Find diversifier to existing, primarily liquid strategies: investments that are complementary to existing mandates

    For illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that every solution managed will achieve the same level of diversification as shown above. Each solutions allocation strategies and targets depend on a variety of factors, including prevailing market conditions and investment availability. There is no guarantee that they will be achieved and any particular investment may not meet the target criteria.

    21

    SolutionKnowledge Sharing

    Highly collaborative, interactive partnership

    BlackRock provides extensive information on existing and potential investment opportunities throughout life of fund

    Investment ideas supported by robust portfolio risk analytics

    Transparency Comprehensive reporting and portfolio analysis

    Robust new investment reports paired with client veto right to ensure alignment of interests

  • 4. Hedge Fund Solutions

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    4.00%

    6.00%

    8.00%

    10.00%

    12.00%

    14.00%

    16.00%

    4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00%

    Hedge funds provide diversification benefits to traditional portfolios

    Source: eVestment: Equity: S&P 500 Index; Fixed Income: Barclays Global Aggregate; Hedge Funds: Q-BLK Appreciation Composite (QAC (net)). Data is for time period: Aug 1995 Jun 2015. Indices have no fees, are unmanaged, and are used for illustrative purposes only. Indices are not intended to be indicative of any funds performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not an indication of future results. The definitions and disclosures appearing at the end of this document are an integral part of this presentation and should be read in their entirety for a complete understanding of the information contained herein.

    Improving risk-adjusted returns, Aug 1995 Jun 2015

    Hedge funds can exhibit strong risk-adjusted returns, with low beta to traditional asset classes

    Return Standard Deviation Sharpe Ratio Portfolio

    100% Hedge Funds 8.33% 4.80% 1.18

    Traditional + HF:20% Hedge Funds

    45% Equity35% Fixed Income

    7.59% 7.88% 0.63

    Traditional: 60% Equity

    40% Fixed Income7.48% 9.68% 0.50

    100% Equity 8.77% 15.20% 0.40 100%

    60%40%

    35%

    20%45%

    100%

    Fixed IncomeHedge funds Equity

    Standard deviation (%)

    Ann

    ualiz

    ed re

    turn

    (%)

    23

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Hedge funds are complementary to traditional portfolios

    Optimal hedge fund portfolios seek to emphasize idiosyncratic (e.g., security-specific) sources of return while minimizing broad market risks

    Approach

    Idiosyncratic (e.g. deal-specific)Approval of M&A deal, plan of reorganization, model risks

    Emphasize idiosyncratic returnsAffects specific positions, can have

    significant impact on a portfolio

    Sector/styleEquity volatility, liquidity, corporate basis, sovereign risks, industries, market capitalization

    Diversify sector/style risks Affects specific strategies in

    various magnitudes

    MarketEquity market movement,interest rates, foreign currency,commodity prices

    Mitigate market risksBroad overarching market

    risks, which a hedge fund seeks to mitigateTraditional Portfolios

    Hedge Fund Portfolios

    Beta

    Alph

    a

    Sources of return

    24

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    Case study: custom emerging manager fund

    Investor Background:

    A large Canadian public pension fund

    Existing hedge fund investments were all direct investments

    BlackRock was engaged to discuss its experience investing in early stage hedge funds

    Prospect was interviewing hedge fund manager seeding platforms to supplement their growing direct platform

    Sought a partner with expertise investing in emerging hedge fund managers and strategies

    Observations & Analysis:

    Preferred a highly interactive partnership that included information exchange, education and active dialogue

    BlackRock sought to design a solution tailored to the clients specific investment goals while leveraging its long emerging manager investment experience

    Custom Solution:

    The custom fund invests in less than 10 Emerging Managers (i.e., funds with less than six months of performance history or less than $1 billion in capital)

    A drawdown structure to opportunistically add managers over a set period

    BlackRock offered a comprehensive reporting package aggregating risks at the underlying manager level and fund of hedge funds level

    Ongoing education and information sharing is a significant aspect of the relationship

    This example is shown for illustrative purposes only and there is no guarantee that every solution managed by BlackRock will achieve the same level of diversification as shown above. Each solutions allocation strategies and targets depend upon a variety of factors, including prevailing market conditions and investment availability. There is no guarantee that they will be achieved and any particular investment may not meet the target criteria.

    25

  • Proprietary and Confidential - This material may not be distributed beyond its intended audience

    DisclaimerThis material is intended for accredited investors in Canada only. The information and opinions herein are provided for informational purposes only, are subject to change and should not be relied upon as the basis for your investment decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. This document is not and should not be construed as a solicitation or offering of units of any fund or other security in any jurisdiction. No part of this material may be reproduced in any manner without the prior written permission of BlackRock Asset Management Canada Limited.

    2015 BlackRock Asset Management Canada Limited. All rights reserved. BLACKROCK is a registered trademark of BlackRock Inc. or its subsidiaries in the United States and elsewhere. All other trademarks are those of their respective owners.

  • Slide Number 1TopicsMarket context Investors are increasingly challenged to meet their return needs Diversification implies looking beyond traditional asset classes Alternative investments can help achieve various outcomesConsiderations for implementing an Alternative investments portfolio The next frontier of alternative investing1. Real AssetsInvestors are reportedly increasing allocations to real assetsKey drivers for investing in real assetsThe benefits of investing in infrastructureSlide Number 13Slide Number 142. Systematic InvestingFactor-based investment strategiesFactor investing looks through asset class labelsFinding alpha is increasingly challenging in todays market environmentNew ways to answer old questions: Management Quality3. Custom / Opportunistic SolutionsCase Study: Canadian Pension Plan4. Hedge Fund SolutionsHedge funds provide diversification benefits to traditional portfoliosHedge funds are complementary to traditional portfolios Case study: custom emerging manager fundDisclaimerSlide Number 27